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Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)
NASDAQ:VRTX
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Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) AI Stock Analysis

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VRTX

Vertex Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:VRTX)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$438.00
▲(10.82% Upside)
Vertex Pharmaceuticals' overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's robust revenue growth and successful product launches are significant strengths. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and valuation metrics indicate moderate attractiveness. Challenges in the pain program and increased operational expenses are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Pipeline Expansion
Recent updates in VX-548 and VX-147 have been encouraging and reinforce confidence in Vertex's pipeline.
Prescription Growth
Journavx scripts are showing a strong rebound, with total prescriptions increasing by 4% and new prescriptions increasing by 5%.
Revenue Performance
Vertex Pharmaceuticals reported total revenue of $3.0 billion, which is 3% above consensus.
Negative Factors
Clinical Trial Setbacks
The next-gen Nav1.8 candidate VX-993 failed in a Phase 2 acute pain study and will not advance as a monotherapy.
Regulatory and Market Strategy
Vertex Pharmaceuticals will not pursue a broad peripheral neuropathic pain label for Journavx and canceled plans to advance it into Phase 3 for lumbosacral radiculopathy.
Transparency Issues
The company did not disclose the number of lives with unrestricted access to Journavx, unlike previous reports.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated is a global biotechnology company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of innovative medicines for serious diseases. Headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, Vertex primarily operates in the field of cystic fibrosis (CF) and has expanded its research to include other serious diseases, including sickle cell disease and beta-thalassemia. The company is known for its core products, including Trikafta, Kalydeco, and Orkambi, which are designed to treat the underlying causes of CF by targeting specific genetic mutations.
How the Company Makes MoneyVertex Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the sale of its approved drug therapies, particularly its cystic fibrosis medications, which have seen significant sales growth due to their effectiveness and the high prevalence of CF among certain populations. The company benefits from a strong pricing strategy, given the specialized nature of its therapies. Additionally, Vertex may engage in collaborations and partnerships with other pharmaceutical and biotech companies, providing potential revenue through upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties. These collaborations often focus on research and development efforts for new therapies, which can further diversify its revenue streams. The company also invests in research to expand its product pipeline, which can lead to future sales from new drug approvals.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and indicating strategic focus.
Chart InsightsVertex Pharmaceuticals' revenue from Trikafta and Kaftrio continues to drive growth, reflecting their dominance in the cystic fibrosis market. The recent earnings call highlights the successful launch of ALYFTREK, which is expected to further bolster revenue, especially as older CF therapies like Kalydeco, Orkambi, and Symdeko phase out. The company's strategic focus on expanding its CF portfolio and new product launches like CASGEVY and JOURNAVX positions it well for sustained revenue growth, despite challenges in the pain program.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment due to Vertex's strong revenue growth, successful product launches, and advancements in its pipeline. However, challenges in the pain program and increased operational expenses present notable concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Vertex delivered $2.96 billion in revenue in Q2 2025, representing a 12% growth compared to Q2 2024. U.S. revenue growth was 14% year-over-year, driven by ongoing patient demand and favorable gross to net, along with contributions from CASGEVY, JOURNAVX, and collaboration revenue.
Successful Product Launches
Vertex launched multiple new products, including ALYFTREK for cystic fibrosis, JOURNAVX for acute pain, and CASGEVY for sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia. The launch of ALYFTREK in the U.S. is progressing well, particularly for patients naive to CFTR modulators.
Pipeline Advancements
Vertex advanced several programs, including the NG 3.0 regimen for cystic fibrosis with VX-828 and type 1 diabetes treatment zimislecel. The company is also prioritizing clinical-stage programs in renal diseases and achieved positive regulatory feedback for future developments.
Positive Financial Position
Vertex ended the quarter with $12 billion in cash and investments and announced a new $4 billion share repurchase program, indicating strong financial health and commitment to shareholder returns.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Pain Program
The NaV1.8 inhibitor VX-993 did not meet the primary efficacy endpoint in the Phase II trial, leading to a decision not to advance it as monotherapy in acute pain. The FDA also does not see a path to a broad peripheral neuropathic pain label at this time.
Regulatory and Reimbursement Hurdles
The FDA feedback on suzetrigine in diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) suggests a narrow path for approval. Additionally, the JOURNAVX launch faced initial challenges with gross to net due to patient support programs.
Operational Expenses Increase
Non-GAAP operating expenses increased 24% year-on-year due to the advancement of the pipeline and the build-out of commercial capabilities, impacting operating income.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Vertex Pharmaceuticals reported $2.96 billion in revenue, marking a 12% increase compared to Q2 2024. This growth was driven by multiple new product launches, including ALYFTREK for cystic fibrosis (CF) and JOURNAVX for acute pain. ALYFTREK contributed to a 14% increase in U.S. revenue, as it is now approved and reimbursed in several countries. JOURNAVX secured coverage for approximately 150 million lives in the U.S., with 84 million having unrestricted access. CASGEVY, a gene-edited therapy for sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia, also showed growth, with 29 patients receiving infusions by the end of Q2. Vertex maintained its revenue guidance for 2025 at $11.85 billion to $12 billion, reflecting confidence in its CF portfolio and new product contributions. The company is advancing several clinical programs, including those for type 1 diabetes and various kidney diseases, with potential regulatory submissions expected in 2026.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vertex Pharmaceuticals demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, and cash flow generation is generally strong despite some fluctuations. Attention to cash flow management is advisable.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Vertex Pharmaceuticals shows strong revenue growth with a consistent increase over the years, reaching $11.42 billion in TTM. The gross profit margin remains robust at 86.1%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has fluctuated, with a significant improvement in TTM to 31.9% from a negative margin in 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.064, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is strong at 20.0%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Vertex's cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.28, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential concerns in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.42B11.02B9.87B8.93B7.57B6.21B
Gross Profit9.83B9.49B8.61B7.85B6.67B5.47B
EBITDA4.67B486.30M4.61B4.44B2.92B3.28B
Net Income3.64B-535.60M3.62B3.32B2.34B2.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.04B22.53B22.73B18.15B13.43B11.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.38B6.12B11.22B10.78B7.52B6.66B
Total Debt1.53B1.75B808.40M899.70M967.40M931.90M
Total Liabilities6.86B6.12B5.15B4.24B3.33B3.06B
Stockholders Equity17.18B16.41B17.58B13.91B10.10B8.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.50B-790.30M3.28B3.93B2.41B2.99B
Operating Cash Flow3.85B-492.60M3.54B4.13B2.64B3.25B
Investing Cash Flow-1.71B-3.77B-3.14B-321.10M-340.90M99.39M
Financing Cash Flow-1.81B-1.49B-562.20M-67.70M-1.48B-505.28M

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price395.25
Price Trends
50DMA
428.41
Negative
100DMA
442.94
Negative
200DMA
452.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.04
Negative
RSI
43.62
Neutral
STOCH
64.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VRTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 395.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 392.15, below the 50-day MA of 428.41, and below the 200-day MA of 452.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VRTX.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Vertex Pharmaceuticals disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vertex Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$16.92B19.7024.30%18.87%1088.27%
75
Outperform
$101.56B28.3122.77%10.38%
74
Outperform
$45.86B35.2724.75%89.58%
73
Outperform
$60.77B14.4515.34%0.47%5.38%3.58%
60
Neutral
$59.25B-257.82%5.01%-330.09%
51
Neutral
$7.95B-0.38-43.43%2.22%22.30%-1.83%
50
Neutral
$27.04B-1.81%7.51%30.53%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VRTX
Vertex Pharmaceuticals
395.25
-75.86
-16.10%
ALNY
Alnylam Pharma
455.03
201.87
79.74%
INCY
Incyte
86.56
24.30
39.03%
REGN
Regeneron
558.44
-581.44
-51.01%
ARGX
Argenx Se
768.00
215.44
38.99%
BNTX
BioNTech SE
102.66
2.13
2.12%

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Reports 12% Revenue Increase in Q2 2025
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

Vertex Pharmaceuticals reported a 12% increase in total revenue for the second quarter of 2025, reaching $2.96 billion, driven by strong performance in cystic fibrosis therapies and new product launches. The company announced the planned retirement of Chief Scientific Officer David Altshuler in August 2026, with Mark Bunnage set to succeed him. Vertex reiterated its full-year financial guidance, highlighting continued growth in cystic fibrosis treatments and ongoing clinical advancements.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2025