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Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)
NASDAQ:VRTX
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Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) AI Stock Analysis

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VRTX

Vertex Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:VRTX)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$418.00
▲(6.42% Upside)
Vertex Pharmaceuticals' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors contributing to its score. However, technical analysis indicates current bearish momentum, and the valuation suggests potential overvaluation. Corporate events, including a stock buyback, provide additional support to the stock's outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
VRTX reported non-GAAP EPS of $4.52, which was above consensus estimates, showcasing strong earnings performance.
Product Revenue
Other product revenue, including the broader CF portfolio and Casgevy, reached $236 million, a notable beat of $60 million.
Revenue Performance
Vertex Pharmaceuticals reported total revenue of $3.0 billion, which is 3% above consensus.
Negative Factors
Market Valuation
Vertex shares currently trade at a premium valuation with a P/E multiple of 25.3x 2026E consensus EPS versus the mega-cap BioPharma peer average of 14.9x, maintaining a Hold rating.
Pipeline Development
The next-gen Nav1.8 candidate VX-993 failed in a Phase 2 acute pain study and will not advance as a monotherapy.
Regulatory Challenges
The FDA does not currently see a regulatory path for a broad peripheral neuropathic pain label for Journavx, creating uncertainty about future approvals.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated is a global biotechnology company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of innovative medicines for serious diseases. Headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, Vertex primarily operates in the field of cystic fibrosis (CF) and has expanded its research to include other serious diseases, including sickle cell disease and beta-thalassemia. The company is known for its core products, including Trikafta, Kalydeco, and Orkambi, which are designed to treat the underlying causes of CF by targeting specific genetic mutations.
How the Company Makes MoneyVertex Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the sale of its approved drug therapies, particularly its cystic fibrosis medications, which have seen significant sales growth due to their effectiveness and the high prevalence of CF among certain populations. The company benefits from a strong pricing strategy, given the specialized nature of its therapies. Additionally, Vertex may engage in collaborations and partnerships with other pharmaceutical and biotech companies, providing potential revenue through upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties. These collaborations often focus on research and development efforts for new therapies, which can further diversify its revenue streams. The company also invests in research to expand its product pipeline, which can lead to future sales from new drug approvals.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and indicating strategic focus.
Chart InsightsVertex Pharmaceuticals' revenue from Trikafta and Kaftrio continues to drive growth, reflecting their dominance in the cystic fibrosis market. The recent earnings call highlights the successful launch of ALYFTREK, which is expected to further bolster revenue, especially as older CF therapies like Kalydeco, Orkambi, and Symdeko phase out. The company's strategic focus on expanding its CF portfolio and new product launches like CASGEVY and JOURNAVX positions it well for sustained revenue growth, despite challenges in the pain program.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.85%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Vertex's strong revenue growth and successful product launches, particularly in cystic fibrosis and sickle cell disease. However, there were challenges in expanding the pain program's label, and disappointing trial results for VX-993 in acute pain. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, particularly with strong commercial progress and pipeline advancements.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Vertex delivered $2.96 billion in revenue for Q2 2025, representing a 12% growth compared to Q2 2024.
Successful Product Launches
Positive feedback on new products: ALYFTREK in cystic fibrosis (CF), JOURNAVX in acute pain, and CASGEVY in sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia.
Expansion of CFTR Modulator Portfolio
Approval and reimbursement of ALYFTREK across multiple regions, with focus on expanding access to younger patients and those with rare mutations.
Progress in Diabetes and Kidney Programs
Advancements in type 1 diabetes with zimislecel and in kidney diseases with multiple clinical stage programs.
Commercialization and Coverage Expansion
JOURNAVX achieved coverage for approximately 150 million lives, with continued expansion anticipated.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Pain Program
FDA does not see a path to a broad peripheral neuropathy (PNP) label for suzetrigine at this time, leading to a focus on diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) for initial approval.
VX-993 Acute Pain Trial Outcome
VX-993 did not meet the primary endpoint in its Phase II trial for acute pain, leading to a decision not to advance it as monotherapy in this indication.
Company Guidance
During Vertex Pharmaceuticals' second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates. Vertex reported a 12% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $2.96 billion in Q2 2025, driven by strong performance across its cystic fibrosis (CF) franchise and new product launches. The company highlighted the successful U.S. launch of ALYFTREK, its fifth CF therapy, with early uptake, especially among CFTR modulator-naive patients and those transitioning from TRIKAFTA. Internationally, ALYFTREK received approval in the U.S., U.K., EU, and Canada, with reimbursement secured in England and anticipated in Ireland. Vertex also reported momentum in the launch of CASGEVY, a gene-edited therapy for sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia, with 75 authorized treatment centers activated globally. In acute pain, the launch of JOURNAVX showed promising results, with approximately 150 million lives covered and more than 110,000 prescriptions filled by mid-July. The company reiterated its 2025 revenue guidance of $11.85 billion to $12 billion, expecting continued growth from CF medicines, CASGEVY, and JOURNAVX. Additionally, Vertex announced a planned transition of the Chief Scientific Officer role in 2026, emphasizing a focus on advancing its pipeline programs in CF, pain, type 1 diabetes, and renal diseases.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vertex Pharmaceuticals demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, and cash flow generation is generally strong despite some fluctuations. Attention to cash flow management is advisable.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Vertex Pharmaceuticals shows strong revenue growth with a consistent increase over the years, reaching $11.42 billion in TTM. The gross profit margin remains robust at 86.1%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has fluctuated, with a significant improvement in TTM to 31.9% from a negative margin in 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.064, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is strong at 20.0%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Vertex's cash flow statement reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.28, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential concerns in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.42B11.02B9.87B8.93B7.57B6.21B
Gross Profit9.83B9.49B8.61B7.85B6.67B5.47B
EBITDA4.67B486.30M4.61B4.44B2.92B3.28B
Net Income3.64B-535.60M3.62B3.32B2.34B2.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.04B22.53B22.73B18.15B13.43B11.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.38B6.12B11.22B10.78B7.52B6.66B
Total Debt1.53B1.75B808.40M899.70M967.40M931.90M
Total Liabilities6.86B6.12B5.15B4.24B3.33B3.06B
Stockholders Equity17.18B16.41B17.58B13.91B10.10B8.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.50B-790.30M3.28B3.93B2.41B2.99B
Operating Cash Flow3.85B-492.60M3.54B4.13B2.64B3.25B
Investing Cash Flow-1.71B-3.77B-3.14B-321.10M-340.90M99.39M
Financing Cash Flow-1.81B-1.49B-562.20M-67.70M-1.48B-505.28M

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price392.79
Price Trends
50DMA
443.80
Negative
100DMA
455.74
Negative
200DMA
458.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-19.96
Positive
RSI
37.60
Neutral
STOCH
54.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VRTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 392.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 425.63, below the 50-day MA of 443.80, and below the 200-day MA of 458.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -19.96 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VRTX.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Vertex Pharmaceuticals disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vertex Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$11.05B17.0111.62%17.38%153.58%
74
Outperform
$39.67B30.7124.75%89.58%
73
Outperform
$100.71B28.0822.77%10.38%
72
Outperform
$61.52B14.6215.34%0.46%5.38%3.58%
66
Neutral
$27.29B-1.81%7.51%30.53%
60
Neutral
$58.84B-257.82%5.01%-330.09%
51
Neutral
$7.69B-0.19-46.01%2.25%22.94%-0.68%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VRTX
Vertex Pharmaceuticals
392.79
-95.26
-19.52%
ALNY
Alnylam Pharma
448.91
174.43
63.55%
BMRN
BioMarin Pharmaceutical
57.44
-35.32
-38.08%
REGN
Regeneron
580.41
-613.17
-51.37%
ARGX
Argenx Se
661.32
137.13
26.16%
BNTX
BioNTech SE
112.55
22.62
25.15%

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Reports 12% Revenue Increase in Q2 2025
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

Vertex Pharmaceuticals reported a 12% increase in total revenue for the second quarter of 2025, reaching $2.96 billion, driven by strong performance in cystic fibrosis therapies and new product launches. The company announced the planned retirement of Chief Scientific Officer David Altshuler in August 2026, with Mark Bunnage set to succeed him. Vertex reiterated its full-year financial guidance, highlighting continued growth in cystic fibrosis treatments and ongoing clinical advancements.

The most recent analyst rating on (VRTX) stock is a Sell with a $325.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vertex Pharmaceuticals stock, see the VRTX Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Launches $4 Billion Stock Buyback
Positive
May 19, 2025

Vertex Pharmaceuticals has announced a new stock repurchase program, authorizing up to $4.0 billion in buybacks without an expiration date. This initiative, combined with the existing 2023 program, allows the company to repurchase up to $4.775 billion in total, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (VRTX) stock is a Sell with a $325.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vertex Pharmaceuticals stock, see the VRTX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Vertex Pharmaceuticals held its annual shareholder meeting where several key decisions were made. The shareholders elected a new board of directors, ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, and approved the 2024 executive compensation program. However, a proposal concerning excessive golden parachutes was not approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (VRTX) stock is a Sell with a $325.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vertex Pharmaceuticals stock, see the VRTX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025