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Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRTX)
NASDAQ:VRTX
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Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) AI Stock Analysis

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VRTX

Vertex Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:VRTX)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$599.00
▲(35.77% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
VRTX scores well primarily due to strong financial performance (high margins, low leverage, and solid cash generation) and a constructive earnings outlook with reiterated guidance and meaningful pipeline/regulatory progress. The score is tempered by mixed/weakening technical momentum (negative MACD) and only moderate valuation support given the ~27.5 P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Durable CF franchise and label expansion
Expanded labels meaningfully increase the addressable CF patient base and underpin recurring prescription revenue. Broad eligibility and high patient retention for chronic CF therapies create a predictable, long-duration revenue stream that supports investment and planning over the next 2–6 months and beyond.
Negative Factors
Profitability and cash-flow volatility
A prior large swing into negative operating and free cash flow evidences operational sensitivity to program timing and launches. Even with recovery, this volatility raises the risk that cadence of clinical events or launch dynamics could strain resources or capital allocation flexibility over the next several quarters.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Durable CF franchise and label expansion
Expanded labels meaningfully increase the addressable CF patient base and underpin recurring prescription revenue. Broad eligibility and high patient retention for chronic CF therapies create a predictable, long-duration revenue stream that supports investment and planning over the next 2–6 months and beyond.
Read all positive factors

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsVertex Pharmaceuticals' revenue growth is robust across all regions, with the U.S. leading due to the successful launch of ALYFTREK and strong CF franchise performance. Europe shows steady growth, supported by ALYFTREK's approval and reimbursement. The 'Other' category, while smaller, also contributes positively. The earnings call underscores this momentum, highlighting a 12% year-over-year revenue increase and successful product launches. However, challenges in the pain program and trial setbacks for VX-993 could impact future growth. Overall, Vertex's strategic focus on CF and new therapies is driving significant revenue gains.
Data provided by:The Fly

Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated is a leading biotechnology firm primarily focused on the discovery, advancement, and marketing of innovative treatments, particularly for cystic fibrosis (CF). The company offers a range of approved medications ...
How the Company Makes Money
Vertex primarily makes money by selling its approved prescription medicines, with the largest revenue contribution coming from its cystic fibrosis (CF) franchise. Revenue is recognized from product sales to a network of wholesalers, specialty dist...

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call conveyed a positive, execution-focused tone: strong top-line results (8% revenue growth to $2.99B), major commercial milestones (AlifTrack >$1B cumulative revenue, >1M Gernavix prescriptions, >500 KASJEVY patients initiated), and a standout Phase III interim win for povitacicept in IgAN with rapid BLA submission. At the same time, the company disclosed a program discontinuation (VX-522) due to tolerability, increased SG&A (30% YoY) tied to commercialization investments, and several important longer-term readouts (eGFR for renal programs, enaxaplin and AMPLITUDE results) remain pending. The positives — strong revenue and multiple high-impact pipeline/regulatory achievements — outweigh the challenges and near-term variability risks.
Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Revenue Growth
Total product revenue of $2.99 billion in Q1 2026, up 8% year-over-year; non-GAAP operating income of $1.31 billion (vs. $1.18 billion prior year); non-GAAP net income of $1.1 billion and EPS of $4.47 (up from $4.06).
Negative Updates
Discontinuation of VX-522 mRNA Program
Vertex discontinued the VX-522 mRNA program for people who produce no CFTR protein due to unresolved tolerability issues (lung inflammation likely related to LNP delivery). Early termination prevents assessment of efficacy and full safety; company will close out the study.
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Q1 Revenue Growth
Total product revenue of $2.99 billion in Q1 2026, up 8% year-over-year; non-GAAP operating income of $1.31 billion (vs. $1.18 billion prior year); non-GAAP net income of $1.1 billion and EPS of $4.47 (up from $4.06).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Vertex reiterated 2026 guidance for total revenue of $12.95–$13.10 billion (growth of 8–9%), including an expectation of $500 million-plus from non‑CF products, with full‑year gross margin forecast just under 86%. Management reiterated combined non‑GAAP operating expenses of $5.65–$5.75 billion and a non‑GAAP effective tax rate of 19.5%–20.5% (Q1 non‑GAAP ETR was 19.6%), and said guidance reflects expected foreign‑exchange impacts net of hedging. They expect Gernavix prescriptions to more than triple in 2026 (base ~550k in 2025) with gross‑to‑net normalizing in H2, and highlighted strong visibility to the $500M+ non‑CF goal driven by growing KASJEVY and GERNAVICS contributions (Q1 KASJEVY $43M; GERNAVICS $29M). The company ended Q1 with $13.0 billion in cash and investments and deployed ~$344 million to repurchase ~741k shares, while reiterating a capital focus on innovation and commercial investment.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: very high gross margins (mid‑80%+), robust operating/net margins in 2025 and TTM 2026, low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.10 TTM), and strong cash generation in 2025 and improving in TTM 2026. Main risk is volatility, highlighted by the sharp 2024 profitability and cash flow disruption.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.26B12.07B11.02B9.87B8.93B7.57B
Gross Profit10.57B10.27B9.49B8.61B7.85B6.67B
EBITDA5.39B4.86B486.30M4.61B4.44B2.92B
Net Income4.34B3.95B-535.60M3.62B3.32B2.34B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.48B26.14B22.53B22.73B18.15B13.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.25B6.61B6.12B11.22B10.78B7.52B
Total Debt1.99B3.88B1.75B808.40M899.70M967.40M
Total Liabilities7.12B7.48B6.12B5.15B4.24B3.33B
Stockholders Equity19.36B18.67B16.41B17.58B13.91B10.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.71B3.19B-790.30M3.28B3.93B2.41B
Operating Cash Flow4.24B3.63B-492.60M3.54B4.13B2.64B
Investing Cash Flow-1.32B-945.40M-3.77B-3.14B-321.10M-340.90M
Financing Cash Flow-2.12B-2.26B-1.49B-562.20M-67.70M-1.48B

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price441.20
Price Trends
50DMA
446.92
Positive
100DMA
453.57
Positive
200DMA
443.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
17.70
Negative
RSI
81.04
Negative
STOCH
91.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VRTX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 441.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 466.08, below the 50-day MA of 446.92, and below the 200-day MA of 443.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 17.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.04 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VRTX.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Vertex Pharmaceuticals disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vertex Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$23.35B16.0129.31%21.48%1853.63%
77
Outperform
$134.02B31.0423.93%11.75%
76
Outperform
$58.83B52.8116.82%90.23%51.88%
74
Outperform
$68.59B15.3814.32%0.45%5.92%1.85%
68
Neutral
$41.76B71.7498.29%82.57%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$22.98B-6.67%10.01%-71.78%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VRTX
Vertex Pharmaceuticals
528.04
68.63
14.94%
ALNY
Alnylam Pharma
312.78
-11.35
-3.50%
INCY
Incyte
116.86
49.59
73.72%
REGN
Regeneron
654.27
119.09
22.25%
ARGX
Argenx Se
939.68
393.64
72.09%
BNTX
BioNTech SE
97.55
-12.50
-11.36%

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vertex Shareholders Endorse Board, Governance and Equity Plan
Positive
May 13, 2026
At its annual meeting held on May 13, 2026, Vertex Pharmaceuticals’ shareholders elected ten directors, including CEO Reshma Kewalramani and Executive Chairman Jeffrey Leiden, to serve on the board until the 2027 annual meeting, reinforcing ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vertex Director Upadhyay to Step Down Amid CFO Move
Neutral
Apr 29, 2026
On April 28, 2026, Vertex Pharmaceuticals said director Suketu Upadhyay informed its board that he would not stand for re‑election at the company’s 2026 annual meeting, as he has been named the forthcoming chief financial officer of In...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026