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Incyte Corp (INCY)
NASDAQ:INCY

Incyte (INCY) AI Stock Analysis

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INCY

Incyte

(NASDAQ:INCY)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$112.00
▲(10.99% Upside)
Incyte's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's robust profitability and strategic focus on high-value R&D projects position it well for future growth. Technical analysis presents mixed signals, but the longer-term trends remain positive. Valuation is reasonable, supporting the stock's growth potential.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Incyte's products, supporting long-term financial stability and market expansion.
Pipeline Development
Breakthrough Therapy designation accelerates development, potentially leading to faster market entry and competitive advantage in oncology.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improving cash flow enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and reducing reliance on external financing.
Negative Factors
Program Terminations
Terminating programs may limit future growth opportunities and reflect challenges in pipeline development, impacting long-term innovation.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory hurdles can delay product launches, increase costs, and hinder the company's ability to capitalize on new market opportunities.
Slowed Revenue Growth
Slowing revenue growth may signal market saturation or increased competition, potentially impacting future profitability and market share.

Incyte (INCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Incyte Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIncyte Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics in the United States and internationally. The company offers JAKAFI, a drug for the treatment of myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera; PEMAZYRE, a fibroblast growth factor receptor kinase inhibitor that act as oncogenic drivers in various liquid and solid tumor types; and ICLUSIG, a kinase inhibitor to treat chronic myeloid leukemia and philadelphia-chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Its clinical stage products include ruxolitinib, a steroid-refractory chronic graft-versus-host-diseases (GVHD); itacitinib, which is in Phase II/III clinical trial to treat naive chronic GVHD; and pemigatinib for treating bladder cancer, cholangiocarcinoma, myeloproliferative syndrome, and tumor agnostic. In addition, the company engages in developing Parsaclisib, which is in Phase II clinical trial for follicular lymphoma, marginal zone lymphoma, and mantel cell lymphoma. Additionally, it develops Retifanlimab that is in Phase II clinical trials for MSI-high endometrial cancer, merkel cell carcinoma, and anal cancer, as well as in Phase II clinical trials for patients with non-small cell lung cancer. It has collaboration agreements with Novartis International Pharmaceutical Ltd.; Eli Lilly and Company; Agenus Inc.; Calithera Biosciences, Inc; MacroGenics, Inc.; Merus N.V.; Syros Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Innovent Biologics, Inc.; Zai Lab Limited; Cellenkos, Inc.; and Nimble Therapeutics, as well as clinical collaborations with MorphoSys AG and Xencor, Inc. to investigate the combination of tafasitamab, plamotamab, and lenalidomide in patients with relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, and relapsed or refractory follicular lymphoma. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.
How the Company Makes MoneyIncyte generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proprietary products, with Jakafi being the most significant contributor to its income. The company also earns revenue from collaboration agreements and licensing deals with other pharmaceutical companies, which often include upfront payments, milestone payments based on the achievement of development and regulatory goals, and royalties on sales of partnered products. Additionally, Incyte's strategic partnerships enhance its research capabilities and broaden its product offerings, allowing it to tap into new markets and therapeutic areas, further diversifying its revenue streams.

Incyte Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where strategic focus might be needed.
Chart InsightsIncyte's revenue growth is driven by robust performance in its Net Product Revenues, particularly from Jakafi and Opzelura, which are seeing increased demand and market penetration. The earnings call highlights a strategic focus on core products and R&D, despite rising expenses and competitive pressures. The successful launch of Niktimvo and positive R&D progress in hematology-oncology suggest potential for sustained growth, though challenges in solid tumor oncology remain. Incyte's raised revenue guidance reflects confidence in its strategic direction and ability to optimize growth and shareholder value.
Data provided by:The Fly

Incyte Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and growth in key products like Jakafi and Opzelura. The launch of Niktimvo exceeded expectations. However, the decision to terminate certain programs due to regulatory and strategic priorities presented challenges. Overall, the sentiment was more positive given the revenue growth and successful product launches.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenues of $1.37 billion and product sales of $1.15 billion, representing a 20% and 19% increase, respectively, versus prior year.
Jakafi Performance
Jakafi Q3 sales reached $791 million, a 7% increase with strong demand growth of 10% year-over-year.
Opzelura Sales Surge
Opzelura sales reached $188 million, a 35% increase versus prior year. Sales in the U.S. were $144 million, a 21% increase.
Niktimvo Launch Success
Niktimvo sales in the third quarter totaled $46 million, an increase of 27% versus the second quarter.
Pipeline and R&D Focus
Strategic focus on high-value programs and key updates in solid tumor and povorcitinib programs.
Negative Updates
Program Terminations
Incyte decided to pause or stop several early-stage programs, including INCA34460, INCB-57643, and povorcitinib in chronic spontaneous urticaria.
Regulatory Challenges
The regulatory bar for povorcitinib in chronic spontaneous urticaria was deemed onerous, leading to its program termination.
Company Guidance
Incyte's third-quarter 2025 earnings call revealed a robust financial performance and optimistic guidance for the future. Total revenues reached $1.37 billion, with product sales at $1.15 billion, marking a 20% and 19% increase, respectively, from the previous year. Jakafi achieved Q3 sales of $791 million, with a 7% increase driven by a 10% year-over-year demand growth. The company raised its full-year guidance for Jakafi to a range of $3.05 billion to $3.075 billion. Opzelura also showed strong growth, recording $188 million in sales, a 35% year-over-year increase, with international sales for vitiligo growing by 117%. Niktimvo continued to outperform expectations, with Q3 sales totaling $46 million, a 27% increase from the previous quarter. The company plans to focus on strategic investments in high-value R&D projects and anticipates the initiation of pivotal trials for key pipeline products, aiming to drive future growth and maintain financial discipline.

Incyte Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Incyte exhibits a strong financial profile with robust profitability, minimal leverage, and improving cash flows. The income statement and balance sheet are particularly strong, with high profit margins and a very low debt-to-equity ratio. However, there is potential for further enhancement in cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Incyte's income statement shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 92.95% and a net profit margin of 24.69% for the TTM. Revenue growth is positive at 4.98%, indicating steady expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 23.01% and 33.64%, respectively, reflecting efficient operations. Overall, the company demonstrates solid revenue growth and profitability, although the growth rate has slowed compared to previous years.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0076, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is impressive at 42.13%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at a healthy level, reflecting a stable financial position with significant equity backing the assets.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 26.59% for the TTM, indicating enhanced cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.93, suggesting strong cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly lower at 0.96, which is still healthy but indicates room for improvement in cash efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.81B4.24B3.70B3.39B2.99B2.67B
Gross Profit4.42B3.86B3.38B3.14B2.80B2.51B
EBITDA1.68B408.16M919.43M599.64M630.20M-178.24M
Net Income1.19B32.62M597.60M340.66M948.58M-295.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.33B5.44B6.78B5.84B4.93B3.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.93B2.16B3.66B3.24B2.35B1.80B
Total Debt41.27M43.54M38.29M41.46M44.82M47.53M
Total Liabilities1.68B2.00B1.59B1.47B1.16B949.65M
Stockholders Equity4.65B3.45B5.19B4.37B3.77B2.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.20B249.07M449.00M892.11M568.48M-311.98M
Operating Cash Flow1.25B335.34M496.49M969.94M749.49M-124.60M
Investing Cash Flow-86.66M157.52M-207.68M-78.54M-207.70M-269.00M
Financing Cash Flow-16.31M-2.02B-20.03M-794.00K6.18M71.71M

Incyte Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price100.91
Price Trends
50DMA
98.44
Positive
100DMA
91.38
Positive
200DMA
78.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
53.75
Neutral
STOCH
79.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INCY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 100.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 99.85, above the 50-day MA of 98.44, and above the 200-day MA of 78.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for INCY.

Incyte Risk Analysis

Incyte disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Incyte reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Incyte Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$19.77B16.9330.39%18.09%3563.21%
79
Outperform
$22.12B19.3520.04%13.50%17.16%
78
Outperform
$12.38B19.6230.56%9.93%54.33%
76
Outperform
$20.22B14.1728.20%24.98%127.06%
75
Outperform
$11.39B22.919.07%12.31%60.21%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$12.80B-49.26103.32%47.55%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INCY
Incyte
100.91
31.00
44.34%
BMRN
BioMarin Pharmaceutical
61.14
-5.49
-8.24%
EXEL
Exelixis
46.61
12.79
37.82%
UTHR
United Therapeutics
510.44
149.57
41.45%
ASND
Ascendis Pharma
209.23
70.44
50.75%
GMAB
Genmab
33.65
13.18
64.39%

Incyte Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Incyte Board Member Hervé Hoppenot Retires
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Hervé Hoppenot announced his retirement from Incyte Corporation’s Board of Directors, effective immediately. Mr. Hoppenot, who previously served as Chairman and CEO, had been a board member since 2014.

Executive/Board Changes
Incyte Appoints Thomas Tray as Financial Officer
Positive
Oct 3, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Incyte Corporation announced the appointment of Thomas Tray as the principal financial officer, effective September 16, 2025. Mr. Tray, who has been with the company since 2005, has held various roles, most recently as Vice President, Finance and Chief Accounting Officer. This appointment reflects the company’s confidence in Mr. Tray’s capabilities and could strengthen its financial leadership.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025