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Exelixis (EXEL)
NASDAQ:EXEL

Exelixis (EXEL) AI Stock Analysis

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EXEL

Exelixis

(NASDAQ:EXEL)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$48.00
▲(14.29% Upside)
Exelixis's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's robust profitability, strategic pipeline advancements, and reasonable valuation support a favorable outlook. Technical indicators suggest positive momentum, although valuation metrics are moderate.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The strong revenue growth driven by the cabozantinib franchise indicates robust demand and successful market penetration, supporting long-term financial stability.
Pipeline Advancements
Successful clinical trials like STELLAR-303 enhance Exelixis's pipeline, potentially leading to new product approvals and revenue streams.
Balance Sheet Health
A low debt-to-equity ratio reflects financial prudence, providing Exelixis with flexibility to invest in R&D and withstand economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Restructuring Charges
Restructuring charges increase short-term expenses and may indicate underlying operational challenges, potentially impacting profitability.
Regulatory Delays
Regulatory delays can postpone product launches and revenue realization, affecting Exelixis's growth trajectory and competitive position.
Leadership Transition
Leadership changes can lead to strategic shifts and potential disruptions, impacting company stability and execution of long-term plans.

Exelixis (EXEL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Exelixis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExelixis, Inc., an oncology-focused biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of new medicines to treat cancers in the United States. The company's products include CABOMETYX tablets for the treatment of patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma who received prior anti-angiogenic therapy; and COMETRIQ capsules for the treatment of patients with progressive and metastatic medullary thyroid cancer. Its CABOMETYX and COMETRIQ are derived from cabozantinib, an inhibitor of multiple tyrosine kinases, including MET, AXL, RET, and VEGF receptors. The company also offers COTELLIC, an inhibitor of MEK as a combination regimen to treat advanced melanoma; and MINNEBRO, an oral non-steroidal selective blocker of the mineralocorticoid receptor for the treatment of hypertension in Japan. In addition, it is developing XL092, an oral tyrosine kinase inhibitor that targets VEGF receptors, MET, AXL, MER, and other kinases implicated in growth and spread of cancer; XB002, an antibody-drug conjugate composed of human mAb against tissue factor (TF) for the treatment of advanced solid tumors; XL102, an orally bioavailable cyclin-dependent kinase 7 (CDK7) inhibitor for the treatment of advanced or metastatic solid tumors; and XB002 for the treatment of non-hodgkin's lymphoma. Exelixis, Inc. has research collaborations and license agreements with Ipsen Pharma SAS; Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Ltd.; F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd.; Redwood Bioscience, Inc.; R.P. Scherer Technologies, LLC; Catalent Pharma Solutions, Inc.; NBE Therapeutics AG; Aurigene Discovery Technologies Limited; Iconic Therapeutics, Inc.; Invenra, Inc.; StemSynergy Therapeutics, Inc.; Genentech, Inc.; Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; and Daiichi Sankyo Company, Limited. The company was formerly known as Exelixis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and changed its name to Exelixis, Inc. in February 2000. Exelixis, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Alameda, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyExelixis generates revenue primarily through the sales of its flagship product, cabozantinib, which contributes significantly to its overall earnings. The company also engages in collaborations and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies, which provide additional revenue streams through upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on product sales. These partnerships often focus on the development and commercialization of new therapeutic candidates, enhancing Exelixis's financial stability and growth potential. Additionally, Exelixis invests in research and development, aiming to expand its portfolio of oncology therapies, which could lead to further monetization opportunities in the future.

Exelixis Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsExelixis's revenue from CABOMETYX continues to drive growth, with a notable 36% year-over-year increase in the US, supported by recent regulatory approval for neuroendocrine tumors. This momentum has led to an upward revision in 2025 financial guidance, reflecting confidence in sustained demand. While operational expenses remain a challenge, the strategic focus on pipeline advancements, such as zanzalintinib trials, positions Exelixis for future growth. The European segment showed a significant spike in mid-2024, indicating potential market expansion or strategic initiatives.
Data provided by:The Fly

Exelixis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and successful market penetration of new treatments, particularly in the oncology segment. The advancement of zanzalintinib in clinical trials and its potential new indications were key positives. However, restructuring charges and potential regulatory delays posed challenges. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, indicating a favorable outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Exelixis reported total revenues of approximately $598 million for the third quarter of 2025, with cabozantinib franchise net product revenues of approximately $543 million, marking a 14% year-over-year increase.
Successful Launch and Growth in Neuroendocrine Tumors
CABOMETYX has rapidly become the market leader in second-line plus neuroendocrine tumors with greater than 40% new patient share for oral therapies.
Zanzalintinib Clinical Success
Positive results for STELLAR-303 in colorectal cancer (CRC) with a 20% reduction in the risk of death in the ITT population, marking the first clinical success in a non-MSI-high third-line plus CRC population.
Share Repurchase Program
Exelixis repurchased approximately $99 million of the company's shares in the third quarter, with an additional $750 million share repurchase program authorized.
Negative Updates
Restructuring Charges
The company incurred a $19.8 million restructuring charge in the third quarter, contributing to an increase in operating expenses.
Regulatory Delays
Potential delays in filing the NDA for zanzalintinib due to the government shutdown, impacting the timeline for regulatory approval.
Company Guidance
During Exelixis' Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company highlighted its strong performance and provided guidance for the fiscal year. Exelixis reported total revenues of approximately $598 million, driven by the cabozantinib franchise's net product revenues of $543 million, a 14% increase year-over-year. The global Cabo franchise generated $739 million in product revenues, with the U.S. Cabo franchise contributing significantly. The company updated its full-year 2025 financial guidance, narrowing total revenue projections to between $2.3 billion and $2.35 billion and adjusting net product revenue expectations to between $2.1 billion and $2.15 billion. Exelixis also expects to maintain a gross-to-net ratio for the cabozantinib franchise at around 30% for the year. Operating expenses for the quarter were approximately $361 million, with a provision for income taxes of $58.8 million. The company emphasized its commitment to advancing its R&D pipeline, including the promising zanzalintinib, and announced plans for a $750 million share repurchase program.

Exelixis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exelixis demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and strong cash flow generation. The balance sheet reflects stability with low leverage and solid equity. While there are small risks associated with declining cash reserves, the company's overall financial position supports its growth trajectory in the biotechnology industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Exelixis demonstrates strong income statement performance with consistent growth in revenue, reflected in a TTM revenue of $2.23 billion, a significant increase from prior periods. The company's gross profit margin remains robust, with a TTM margin of approximately 96.6%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved to 27.0% in the TTM period, showcasing enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also increased, underscoring operational efficiency. Overall, the company shows strong revenue and profit growth, with efficient cost control contributing to improved profitability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position, with stockholders' equity accounting for approximately 75.9% of total assets in the TTM period. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low at 0.09, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is strong at 29.6%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds. While the equity ratio suggests financial stability, the decrease in cash and short-term investments could pose a potential risk if it affects liquidity in the future.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Exelixis displays strong cash flow management with an improvement in free cash flow, growing by 18.2% from the previous annual period to $748.9 million in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.28 indicates good cash generation from operations relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio also supports the company's ability to convert earnings into cash. Despite high financing cash outflows, the overall cash flow position remains strong, supporting further growth and investment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.29B2.17B1.83B1.61B1.43B987.54M
Gross Profit2.21B2.09B1.76B1.55B1.38B951.27M
EBITDA862.90M718.75M196.60M222.36M300.30M119.20M
Net Income677.90M521.27M207.76M182.28M231.06M111.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.82B2.95B2.94B3.07B2.62B2.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments988.53M1.11B995.30M1.31B1.47B1.21B
Total Debt176.46M190.82M189.94M190.17M51.27M49.09M
Total Liabilities662.85M703.49M678.45M583.06M405.62M258.22M
Stockholders Equity2.16B2.24B2.26B2.49B2.21B1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow753.10M633.79M170.35M224.16M336.58M178.64M
Operating Cash Flow791.01M699.97M333.32M362.61M400.80M208.98M
Investing Cash Flow230.00M-116.78M-26.95M-524.41M-42.88M-131.22M
Financing Cash Flow-903.06M-628.81M-546.05M586.00K-14.80M-25.13M

Exelixis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.00
Price Trends
50DMA
40.79
Positive
100DMA
39.66
Positive
200DMA
40.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
50.43
Neutral
STOCH
24.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXEL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.61, above the 50-day MA of 40.79, and above the 200-day MA of 40.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXEL.

Exelixis Risk Analysis

Exelixis disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exelixis reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Exelixis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$19.05B16.3830.39%18.09%3563.21%
78
Outperform
$11.15B17.6830.56%9.93%54.33%
77
Outperform
$9.95B19.419.07%12.31%60.21%
73
Outperform
$7.58B13.82124.50%31.19%59.01%
59
Neutral
$14.59B-17.6862.46%-73.59%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$12.96B-47.75103.32%47.55%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXEL
Exelixis
42.00
8.32
24.70%
BMRN
BioMarin Pharmaceutical
51.80
-13.20
-20.31%
HALO
Halozyme
65.77
18.45
38.99%
INCY
Incyte
97.63
30.57
45.59%
ASND
Ascendis Pharma
202.82
65.08
47.25%
BBIO
BridgeBio Pharma
74.02
47.81
182.41%

Exelixis Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Exelixis Announces Leadership Transition with New General Counsel
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Exelixis announced the resignation of Jeffrey Hessekiel, J.D., its Executive Vice President and General Counsel, effective in November 2025. Brenda Hefti, J.D., Ph.D., will be promoted to General Counsel, effective November 7, 2025, marking a significant leadership transition within the company.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Exelixis Announces $750 Million Stock Repurchase Program
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Exelixis announced a stock repurchase program of up to $750 million to be completed by the end of 2026. The company reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with total revenues of $597.8 million and significant growth in its cabozantinib franchise. Exelixis also highlighted progress in its clinical trials and pipeline development, including positive results from the STELLAR-303 trial. The company is undergoing a corporate reorganization plan, which includes workforce changes and office closures, expected to be completed by the end of 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025