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Exelixis (EXEL)
NASDAQ:EXEL

Exelixis (EXEL) AI Stock Analysis

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Exelixis

(NASDAQ:EXEL)

Rating:84Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
▲(17.16%Upside)
Exelixis's strong financial performance, positive earnings outlook, and strategic pipeline developments drive its high stock score. The technical indicators support mild bullish sentiment, while the valuation suggests fair pricing. The company's robust cash position and strategic initiatives provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Positive Factors
Market Exclusivity
Challenges to Cabo's IP were ruled in favor of EXEL to retain market exclusivity.
Regulatory Approval
Increased probability-of-success for zanzalintib (Zanza) FDA approval.
Trial Results
EXEL announced positive topline results from the STELLAR-303 Phase 3 pivotal trial for zanzalintinib + atezolizumab versus regorafenib in metastatic colorectal cancer.
Negative Factors
Commercial Risks
Risks include, but are not limited to: commercial risk with respect to Cabometyx (cabozantinib); failure to generate favorable data from ongoing clinical programs, particularly those involving zanzalintinib.
Regulatory Concerns
Questions remain whether the revision could be a regulatory issue for the FDA, given the proximity between when the primary endpoint was changed and the topline release.

Exelixis (EXEL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Exelixis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExelixis, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing new medicines to enhance care and outcomes for patients with cancer. Operating primarily in the biopharmaceutical sector, Exelixis is best known for its flagship product, CABOMETYX (cabozantinib), a medication used in the treatment of various forms of cancer, including renal cell carcinoma and hepatocellular carcinoma. The company continues to engage in research and development activities to expand its portfolio of oncology therapies.
How the Company Makes MoneyExelixis primarily generates revenue through the sale of its proprietary cancer treatments, notably CABOMETYX. The company earns money by marketing and distributing these drugs both directly and through strategic partnerships with pharmaceutical companies. A significant portion of its revenue is derived from product sales within the United States, while international sales further contribute to its financial performance. Exelixis also benefits financially from collaborations with other organizations, receiving milestone payments, royalties, and licensing fees. These partnerships help expand the reach of its products and support ongoing research and development efforts to bring new therapies to market.

Exelixis Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability for Exelixis, and indicating strategic focus and market demand.
Chart InsightsExelixis's revenue from CABOMETYX shows a strong upward trajectory, bolstered by its recent regulatory approval for neuroendocrine tumors. The US segment is a key driver, with a 36% year-over-year increase in net product revenues. This momentum has led to an upward revision of the 2025 financial guidance, highlighting the strategic importance of CABOMETYX in Exelixis's portfolio. Despite some operational challenges, the company is optimistic about its pipeline progress and financial outlook, supported by robust cash reserves and marketable securities.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Exelixis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 17.81%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Exelixis demonstrated strong financial and operational performance in Q1 2025, highlighted by significant revenue growth and regulatory approvals. Despite some challenges with operational expenses and the discontinuation of XL495, the company raised its financial guidance and showed promising pipeline progress.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Exelixis reported total revenues of approximately $555 million for Q1 2025, with cabozantinib franchise net product revenues at $513.3 million, marking a 36% year-over-year increase.
US CABOMETYX Growth
The CABOMETYX US Business demonstrated strong growth with net product revenues increasing to $513 million from $378 million year-over-year, reflecting a 36% increase.
Regulatory Approval for CABOMETYX
CABOMETYX received US regulatory approval for use in neuroendocrine tumors, achieving this milestone ahead of the assigned PDUFA date.
Raised Financial Guidance
Exelixis increased its 2025 full-year financial guidance for net product revenues and total revenues by $100 million due to strong Q1 performance.
Pipeline Progress
Exelixis advanced new molecules from its pipeline, including zanza, with pivotal trial milestones anticipated in the second half of 2025.
Negative Updates
Operational Expenses
Total operating expenses for Q1 2025 were approximately $369 million, reflecting costs associated with clinical trials and manufacturing.
Discontinuation of XL495
Exelixis decided to discontinue the development program for XL495 due to drug-related toxicities and low therapeutic index.
Company Guidance
During the Exelixis First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting strong performance and future expectations. The US cabo franchise saw a 36% year-over-year increase in net product revenues, reaching $513 million, while global cabo revenues hit $680 million. This robust performance led to an upward revision of the 2025 financial guidance, with net product revenues now projected between $2.05 billion and $2.15 billion, and total revenues between $2.25 billion and $2.35 billion, each increased by $100 million. Exelixis attributed its success to the growing demand for CABOMETYX, especially following its regulatory approval for neuroendocrine tumors, and highlighted strategic advancements in their pipeline, including pivotal trials for zanzalintinib in various cancer types. The company also reported a GAAP net income of $159.6 million and a non-GAAP net income of $179.6 million for the quarter, with a strong balance sheet featuring $1.65 billion in cash and marketable securities.

Exelixis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exelixis exhibits strong financial health, with robust revenue growth and profitability margins. The balance sheet is solid, though a slight decline in stockholders' equity requires monitoring. Cash flow is particularly strong, supporting financial flexibility.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Exelixis demonstrates strong revenue growth, with a TTM revenue increase of 6% over the previous year. The company maintains high gross and net profit margins at 96.8% and 28.0% respectively for TTM, reflecting efficient cost management. Additionally, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 33.1% and 36.7%, indicating solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09, suggesting conservative leverage levels. The equity ratio is a healthy 75.1%, showcasing a solid financial foundation. However, stockholders' equity has seen a slight decline over the past year, necessitating monitoring.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Operating cash flow is robust, with a TTM to net income ratio of 1.31, indicating effective cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow has grown significantly by 28.3% from the previous period, supporting financial flexibility and potential reinvestment.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.30B2.17B1.83B1.61B1.43B987.54M
Gross Profit2.22B2.09B1.76B1.55B1.38B951.27M
EBITDA844.28M718.75M196.60M222.36M300.30M110.06M
Net Income643.57M521.27M207.76M182.28M231.06M111.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.84B2.95B2.94B3.07B2.62B2.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.03B1.11B995.30M1.31B1.47B1.21B
Total Debt187.13M190.82M189.94M190.17M51.27M49.09M
Total Liabilities706.22M703.49M678.45M583.06M405.62M258.22M
Stockholders Equity2.13B2.24B2.26B2.49B2.21B1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow812.84M633.79M170.35M224.16M336.58M178.64M
Operating Cash Flow842.59M699.97M333.32M362.61M400.80M208.98M
Investing Cash Flow-178.81M-116.78M-26.95M-524.41M-42.88M-131.22M
Financing Cash Flow-739.58M-628.81M-546.05M586.00K-14.80M-25.13M

Exelixis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price43.53
Price Trends
50DMA
40.57
Positive
100DMA
38.31
Positive
200DMA
35.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.58
Negative
RSI
56.27
Neutral
STOCH
44.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXEL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.41, above the 50-day MA of 40.57, and above the 200-day MA of 35.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXEL.

Exelixis Risk Analysis

Exelixis disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exelixis reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Exelixis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$12.47B20.7430.22%24.49%244.87%
76
Outperform
$6.64B14.30147.06%25.65%57.10%
74
Outperform
$13.08B209.000.47%17.13%-88.78%
72
Outperform
$7.85B64.2221.52%30.93%11.78%
71
Outperform
$10.37B20.299.64%17.99%152.10%
64
Neutral
¥346.04B10.53-2.88%2.72%11.67%-7.08%
52
Neutral
$10.61B357.68%10.69%34.71%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXEL
Exelixis
43.53
21.15
94.50%
BMRN
BioMarin Pharmaceutical
54.14
-31.11
-36.49%
CORT
Corcept Therapeutics
73.99
42.39
134.15%
HALO
Halozyme
52.32
0.32
0.62%
INCY
Incyte
67.55
5.80
9.39%
ASND
Ascendis Pharma
173.00
40.35
30.42%

Exelixis Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Exelixis Holds Annual Meeting, Elects New Directors
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Exelixis held its Annual Meeting via live webcast, where stockholders elected 11 directors to serve until the next annual meeting in 2026. Additionally, stockholders ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 2, 2026, and approved the executive compensation proposal.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXEL) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exelixis stock, see the EXEL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Exelixis Launches Special Equity Award Program
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

On March 28, 2025, Exelixis, Inc.’s Board of Directors approved a Special Equity Award Program designed to incentivize long-term performance and employee retention over a five-year period. The program offers performance-based restricted stock units to all employees, including executives, with vesting contingent on the company’s stock price reaching specific targets and continued employment, aligning employee interests with shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025