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Exelixis (EXEL)
NASDAQ:EXEL
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Exelixis (EXEL) AI Stock Analysis

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EXEL

Exelixis

(NASDAQ:EXEL)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$44.00
▲(8.78% Upside)
Exelixis's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its stock score. While technical indicators suggest caution, the company's strategic advancements and robust revenue growth support a favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 19% YoY growth in cabozantinib revenues indicates strong market demand and effective commercialization strategies, supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Financial Strength
Robust net income and substantial cash reserves enhance Exelixis's ability to invest in R&D and withstand market fluctuations, ensuring financial stability.
Positive Clinical Trial Results
Positive trial results for zanzalintinib enhance Exelixis's oncology pipeline, potentially leading to new product approvals and expanded market presence.
Negative Factors
Declining Cash Reserves
Declining cash reserves may limit Exelixis's ability to fund new projects or manage unforeseen expenses, impacting long-term operational flexibility.
Higher Gross to Net Deductions
Increased deductions reduce net revenue, potentially affecting profitability and cash flow, challenging Exelixis's margin sustainability over time.
Trial Discontinuation
Discontinuation of the STELLAR-305 trial limits Exelixis's pipeline diversification, potentially affecting future growth and market competitiveness.

Exelixis (EXEL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Exelixis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExelixis, Inc., an oncology-focused biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of new medicines to treat cancers in the United States. The company's products include CABOMETYX tablets for the treatment of patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma who received prior anti-angiogenic therapy; and COMETRIQ capsules for the treatment of patients with progressive and metastatic medullary thyroid cancer. Its CABOMETYX and COMETRIQ are derived from cabozantinib, an inhibitor of multiple tyrosine kinases, including MET, AXL, RET, and VEGF receptors. The company also offers COTELLIC, an inhibitor of MEK as a combination regimen to treat advanced melanoma; and MINNEBRO, an oral non-steroidal selective blocker of the mineralocorticoid receptor for the treatment of hypertension in Japan. In addition, it is developing XL092, an oral tyrosine kinase inhibitor that targets VEGF receptors, MET, AXL, MER, and other kinases implicated in growth and spread of cancer; XB002, an antibody-drug conjugate composed of human mAb against tissue factor (TF) for the treatment of advanced solid tumors; XL102, an orally bioavailable cyclin-dependent kinase 7 (CDK7) inhibitor for the treatment of advanced or metastatic solid tumors; and XB002 for the treatment of non-hodgkin's lymphoma. Exelixis, Inc. has research collaborations and license agreements with Ipsen Pharma SAS; Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Ltd.; F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd.; Redwood Bioscience, Inc.; R.P. Scherer Technologies, LLC; Catalent Pharma Solutions, Inc.; NBE Therapeutics AG; Aurigene Discovery Technologies Limited; Iconic Therapeutics, Inc.; Invenra, Inc.; StemSynergy Therapeutics, Inc.; Genentech, Inc.; Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; and Daiichi Sankyo Company, Limited. The company was formerly known as Exelixis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and changed its name to Exelixis, Inc. in February 2000. Exelixis, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Alameda, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyExelixis generates revenue through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, particularly cabozantinib, which is a key driver of their earnings. The company also earns revenue from collaboration agreements and licensing deals with other pharmaceutical companies, which may include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales of partnered products. Exelixis has formed strategic partnerships with a number of organizations to enhance its research capabilities and expand its market reach, thus contributing to its financial performance. Additionally, the company may receive funding from grants or governmental programs aimed at cancer research and development.

Exelixis Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsExelixis's revenue from CABOMETYX continues to drive growth, with a notable 36% year-over-year increase in the US, supported by recent regulatory approval for neuroendocrine tumors. This momentum has led to an upward revision in 2025 financial guidance, reflecting confidence in sustained demand. While operational expenses remain a challenge, the strategic focus on pipeline advancements, such as zanzalintinib trials, positions Exelixis for future growth. The European segment showed a significant spike in mid-2024, indicating potential market expansion or strategic initiatives.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Exelixis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook for Exelixis with strong revenue growth, new approvals, and positive clinical trial results. However, there were some challenges including the discontinuation of a head and neck cancer trial and higher gross to net deductions. Overall, strong financial performance and strategic advancements in oncology support a positive sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Cabozantinib U.S. franchise net product revenues grew 19% year-over-year to $520 million compared to $438 million in the second quarter of 2024.
New Indication Approval
Ipsen received approval for NET from the European Commission, expected to add to royalty streams.
Positive STELLAR-303 Results
Zanzalintinib plus atezolizumab showed significant improvement in overall survival in colorectal cancer patients versus regorafenib.
Successful Neuroendocrine Tumor Launch
CABOMETYX rapidly gained 35% share in the oral small molecule market for second-line plus neuroendocrine tumors.
Financial Strength
Exelixis reported GAAP net income of $184.8 million with cash and marketable securities around $1.4 billion.
Negative Updates
Head and Neck Cancer Trial Discontinuation
Decision made not to advance STELLAR-305 in head and neck cancer to Phase III due to competitive landscape and assessment of commercial opportunity.
Higher Gross to Net Deductions
Gross to net for the cabozantinib franchise increased to 30.2% due to higher 340B volume, impacting net revenue.
Company Guidance
During the Exelixis Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, several key metrics and forward-looking statements were discussed. Exelixis reported total revenues of $568 million, with cabozantinib franchise net product revenues at $520 million, representing a 19% year-over-year growth. The CABOMETYX net product revenues were $518 million, with negligible clinical trial sales included. Gross to net for the cabozantinib franchise was reported at 30.2%, influenced by higher 340B volume, now over 24% of total volume. The company posted a GAAP net income of $184.8 million, or $0.68 per share basic, while non-GAAP net income was $212.6 million, or $0.78 per share basic. Cash and marketable securities at the end of the quarter were approximately $1.4 billion, with $302 million allocated for share repurchases. The company reiterated its full-year 2025 financial guidance and highlighted progress in its oncology pipeline, including positive results from the STELLAR-303 trial in CRC and advancement of zanzalintinib as a potential new oncology franchise.

Exelixis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exelixis demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and strong cash flow generation. The balance sheet reflects stability with low leverage and solid equity. However, declining cash reserves pose a minor risk.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Exelixis demonstrates strong income statement performance with consistent growth in revenue, reflected in a TTM revenue of $2.23 billion, a significant increase from prior periods. The company's gross profit margin remains robust, with a TTM margin of approximately 96.6%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved to 27.0% in the TTM period, showcasing enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also increased, underscoring operational efficiency. Overall, the company shows strong revenue and profit growth, with efficient cost control contributing to improved profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position, with stockholders' equity accounting for approximately 75.9% of total assets in the TTM period. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low at 0.09, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is strong at 29.6%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds. While the equity ratio suggests financial stability, the decrease in cash and short-term investments could pose a potential risk if it affects liquidity in the future.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Exelixis displays strong cash flow management with an improvement in free cash flow, growing by 18.2% from the previous annual period to $748.9 million in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.28 indicates good cash generation from operations relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio also supports the company's ability to convert earnings into cash. Despite high financing cash outflows, the overall cash flow position remains strong, supporting further growth and investment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.23B2.17B1.83B1.61B1.43B987.54M
Gross Profit2.15B2.09B1.76B1.55B1.38B951.27M
EBITDA798.36M718.75M196.60M222.36M300.30M119.20M
Net Income602.30M521.27M207.76M182.28M231.06M111.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.68B2.95B2.94B3.07B2.62B2.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments791.10M1.11B995.30M1.31B1.47B1.21B
Total Debt179.84M215.83M189.94M190.17M51.27M49.09M
Total Liabilities644.54M703.49M678.45M583.06M405.62M258.22M
Stockholders Equity2.03B2.24B2.26B2.49B2.21B1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow748.86M633.79M170.35M224.16M336.58M178.64M
Operating Cash Flow772.03M699.97M333.32M362.61M400.80M208.98M
Investing Cash Flow-12.55M-116.78M-26.95M-524.41M-42.88M-131.22M
Financing Cash Flow-793.50M-628.81M-546.05M586.00K-14.80M-25.13M

Exelixis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.45
Price Trends
50DMA
39.84
Positive
100DMA
40.83
Negative
200DMA
38.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
62.26
Neutral
STOCH
88.70
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXEL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.26, above the 50-day MA of 39.84, and above the 200-day MA of 38.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXEL.

Exelixis Risk Analysis

Exelixis disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exelixis reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Exelixis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
16.56B19.5520.88%18.87%1088.27%
79
Outperform
8.87B17.52167.48%34.97%71.10%
77
Outperform
$10.89B19.4029.00%10.73%81.66%
76
Outperform
10.44B16.3310.90%17.38%153.58%
61
Neutral
12.09B-40.13357.68%55.77%46.81%
58
Neutral
9.78B-13.0343.43%7.62%-55.29%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXEL
Exelixis
40.45
13.62
50.76%
BMRN
BioMarin Pharmaceutical
55.14
-16.27
-22.78%
HALO
Halozyme
75.81
16.31
27.41%
INCY
Incyte
86.00
19.18
28.70%
ASND
Ascendis Pharma
199.37
45.94
29.94%
BBIO
BridgeBio Pharma
53.33
26.50
98.77%

Exelixis Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Exelixis Announces New Executive VP for R&D
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Exelixis, Inc. announced a significant leadership change as Dana T. Aftab, Ph.D., was appointed as Executive Vice President, Research and Development, succeeding Amy C. Peterson, M.D., who concluded her service as Executive Vice President, Product Development and Medical Affairs and Chief Medical Officer. This transition may impact the company’s strategic direction in research and development, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXEL) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exelixis stock, see the EXEL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 12, 2025