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Exelixis (EXEL)
NASDAQ:EXEL
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Exelixis (EXEL) AI Stock Analysis

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EXEL

Exelixis

(NASDAQ:EXEL)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$43.00
▲(1.15% Upside)
Exelixis's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's robust revenue growth, efficient cost management, and strategic advancements in its R&D pipeline contribute to a favorable outlook. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation metrics indicate fair pricing, which slightly tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth driven by the cabozantinib franchise indicates strong market demand and effective commercialization strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Clinical Success
The clinical success of zanzalintinib in colorectal cancer trials enhances Exelixis's R&D pipeline, potentially leading to new market opportunities and revenue streams.
Cash Flow Management
Improved free cash flow indicates efficient operations and financial flexibility, enabling Exelixis to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Restructuring Charges
Restructuring charges increase operating expenses, potentially affecting profitability and indicating internal adjustments that may disrupt operations in the short term.
Regulatory Delays
Regulatory delays can postpone market entry for new drugs, impacting revenue growth and strategic plans, and potentially affecting investor confidence.
Declining Cash Reserves
Declining cash reserves may limit Exelixis's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives, posing a risk to financial flexibility and long-term growth.

Exelixis (EXEL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Exelixis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExelixis, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on the development and commercialization of innovative therapies for cancer treatment. Headquartered in Alameda, California, Exelixis is primarily involved in the oncology sector, offering a range of products designed to improve the lives of patients with various types of cancer. The company’s core product is cabozantinib, marketed under the brand names Cometriq and Cabometyx, which is used for the treatment of multiple cancer indications, including renal cell carcinoma and hepatocellular carcinoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyExelixis generates revenue through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, particularly cabozantinib, which is a key driver of their earnings. The company also earns revenue from collaboration agreements and licensing deals with other pharmaceutical companies, which may include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales of partnered products. Exelixis has formed strategic partnerships with a number of organizations to enhance its research capabilities and expand its market reach, thus contributing to its financial performance. Additionally, the company may receive funding from grants or governmental programs aimed at cancer research and development.

Exelixis Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsExelixis's revenue from CABOMETYX continues to drive growth, with a notable 36% year-over-year increase in the US, supported by recent regulatory approval for neuroendocrine tumors. This momentum has led to an upward revision in 2025 financial guidance, reflecting confidence in sustained demand. While operational expenses remain a challenge, the strategic focus on pipeline advancements, such as zanzalintinib trials, positions Exelixis for future growth. The European segment showed a significant spike in mid-2024, indicating potential market expansion or strategic initiatives.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Exelixis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and successful market penetration of new treatments, particularly in the oncology segment. The advancement of zanzalintinib in clinical trials and its potential new indications were key positives. However, restructuring charges and potential regulatory delays posed challenges. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, indicating a favorable outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Exelixis reported total revenues of approximately $598 million for the third quarter of 2025, with cabozantinib franchise net product revenues of approximately $543 million, marking a 14% year-over-year increase.
Successful Launch and Growth in Neuroendocrine Tumors
CABOMETYX has rapidly become the market leader in second-line plus neuroendocrine tumors with greater than 40% new patient share for oral therapies.
Zanzalintinib Clinical Success
Positive results for STELLAR-303 in colorectal cancer (CRC) with a 20% reduction in the risk of death in the ITT population, marking the first clinical success in a non-MSI-high third-line plus CRC population.
Share Repurchase Program
Exelixis repurchased approximately $99 million of the company's shares in the third quarter, with an additional $750 million share repurchase program authorized.
Negative Updates
Restructuring Charges
The company incurred a $19.8 million restructuring charge in the third quarter, contributing to an increase in operating expenses.
Regulatory Delays
Potential delays in filing the NDA for zanzalintinib due to the government shutdown, impacting the timeline for regulatory approval.
Company Guidance
During Exelixis' Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company highlighted its strong performance and provided guidance for the fiscal year. Exelixis reported total revenues of approximately $598 million, driven by the cabozantinib franchise's net product revenues of $543 million, a 14% increase year-over-year. The global Cabo franchise generated $739 million in product revenues, with the U.S. Cabo franchise contributing significantly. The company updated its full-year 2025 financial guidance, narrowing total revenue projections to between $2.3 billion and $2.35 billion and adjusting net product revenue expectations to between $2.1 billion and $2.15 billion. Exelixis also expects to maintain a gross-to-net ratio for the cabozantinib franchise at around 30% for the year. Operating expenses for the quarter were approximately $361 million, with a provision for income taxes of $58.8 million. The company emphasized its commitment to advancing its R&D pipeline, including the promising zanzalintinib, and announced plans for a $750 million share repurchase program.

Exelixis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exelixis demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and strong cash flow generation. The balance sheet reflects stability with low leverage and solid equity. While there are small risks associated with declining cash reserves, the company's overall financial position supports its growth trajectory in the biotechnology industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Exelixis demonstrates strong income statement performance with consistent growth in revenue, reflected in a TTM revenue of $2.23 billion, a significant increase from prior periods. The company's gross profit margin remains robust, with a TTM margin of approximately 96.6%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved to 27.0% in the TTM period, showcasing enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also increased, underscoring operational efficiency. Overall, the company shows strong revenue and profit growth, with efficient cost control contributing to improved profitability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position, with stockholders' equity accounting for approximately 75.9% of total assets in the TTM period. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low at 0.09, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is strong at 29.6%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds. While the equity ratio suggests financial stability, the decrease in cash and short-term investments could pose a potential risk if it affects liquidity in the future.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Exelixis displays strong cash flow management with an improvement in free cash flow, growing by 18.2% from the previous annual period to $748.9 million in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.28 indicates good cash generation from operations relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio also supports the company's ability to convert earnings into cash. Despite high financing cash outflows, the overall cash flow position remains strong, supporting further growth and investment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.29B2.17B1.83B1.61B1.43B987.54M
Gross Profit2.21B2.09B1.76B1.55B1.38B951.27M
EBITDA862.90M718.75M196.60M222.36M300.30M119.20M
Net Income677.90M521.27M207.76M182.28M231.06M111.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.82B2.95B2.94B3.07B2.62B2.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments988.53M1.11B995.30M1.31B1.47B1.21B
Total Debt176.46M190.82M189.94M190.17M51.27M49.09M
Total Liabilities662.85M703.49M678.45M583.06M405.62M258.22M
Stockholders Equity2.16B2.24B2.26B2.49B2.21B1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow753.10M633.79M170.35M224.16M336.58M178.64M
Operating Cash Flow791.01M699.97M333.32M362.61M400.80M208.98M
Investing Cash Flow230.00M-116.78M-26.95M-524.41M-42.88M-131.22M
Financing Cash Flow-903.06M-628.81M-546.05M586.00K-14.80M-25.13M

Exelixis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.51
Price Trends
50DMA
39.93
Positive
100DMA
39.97
Positive
200DMA
39.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.89
Negative
RSI
57.55
Neutral
STOCH
47.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXEL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.04, above the 50-day MA of 39.93, and above the 200-day MA of 39.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXEL.

Exelixis Risk Analysis

Exelixis disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exelixis reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Exelixis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$20.04B17.1230.39%18.09%3563.21%
78
Outperform
$8.27B14.79124.50%31.19%59.01%
76
Outperform
$11.40B17.9030.56%9.93%54.33%
73
Outperform
$10.51B20.499.07%12.31%60.21%
55
Neutral
$13.13B62.46%-73.59%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$12.86B103.32%47.55%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXEL
Exelixis
42.25
5.87
16.14%
BMRN
BioMarin Pharmaceutical
55.50
-9.59
-14.73%
HALO
Halozyme
74.00
26.21
54.84%
INCY
Incyte
106.24
32.72
44.50%
ASND
Ascendis Pharma
209.03
78.18
59.75%
BBIO
BridgeBio Pharma
70.99
43.80
161.09%

Exelixis Corporate Events

Exelixis Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 5, 2025

Exelixis, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing cancer therapies, with a strong emphasis on its cabozantinib franchise and expanding pipeline of oncology treatments.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Exelixis Announces $750 Million Stock Repurchase Program
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Exelixis announced a stock repurchase program of up to $750 million to be completed by the end of 2026. The company reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with total revenues of $597.8 million and significant growth in its cabozantinib franchise. Exelixis also highlighted progress in its clinical trials and pipeline development, including positive results from the STELLAR-303 trial. The company is undergoing a corporate reorganization plan, which includes workforce changes and office closures, expected to be completed by the end of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXEL) stock is a Buy with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exelixis stock, see the EXEL Stock Forecast page.

Exelixis Advances Phase 1 Study of XL309 for Advanced Solid Tumors
Sep 7, 2025

Exelixis is currently conducting a Phase 1 clinical study titled An Open-Label, Multicenter Study to Investigate the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, and Preliminary Efficacy of XL309 (ISM3091) as Single-Agent and Combination Therapy in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors. The study aims to evaluate the safety, tolerability, and preliminary efficacy of XL309, both alone and in combination with olaparib, in patients with advanced solid tumors. This research is significant as it explores potential new treatment options for these challenging conditions.

Exelixis Advances in Neuroendocrine Tumor Treatment with New Clinical Trial
Sep 7, 2025

Study Overview: Exelixis is conducting a Phase 2/3 clinical trial titled ‘A Phase 2/3, Multicenter, Randomized Open-Label Study of Zanzalintinib vs Everolimus in Participants With Previously Treated, Unresectable, Locally Advanced or Metastatic Neuroendocrine Tumors.’ The study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of zanzalintinib compared to everolimus in treating pancreatic and extra-pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors, which are challenging conditions with limited treatment options.

Executive/Board Changes
Exelixis Announces New Executive VP for R&D
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 29, 2025, Exelixis, Inc. announced a significant leadership change as Dana T. Aftab, Ph.D., was appointed as Executive Vice President, Research and Development, succeeding Amy C. Peterson, M.D., who concluded her service as Executive Vice President, Product Development and Medical Affairs and Chief Medical Officer. This transition may impact the company’s strategic direction in research and development, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXEL) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exelixis stock, see the EXEL Stock Forecast page.

Exelixis’s Promising Study on XB371: A New Hope for Solid Tumors
Aug 28, 2025

Exelixis is currently conducting a clinical study titled ‘A Dose Escalation and Expansion Study of XB371 Administered in Participants With Locally Advanced or Metastatic Solid Tumors.’ The study aims to evaluate the safety and tolerability of the drug XB371 in patients with advanced solid tumors, which is crucial for determining its potential as a treatment option.

Exelixis and Novartis: Key Updates from the Pan Tumor Rollover Study
Aug 27, 2025

The Pan Tumor Rollover Study, officially titled ‘Pan-Tumor Study for Long-term Treatment of Cancer Patients Who Have Participated in BMS Sponsored Trials Investigating Nivolumab and Other Cancer Therapies,’ aims to assess the long-term safety of nivolumab, both as a monotherapy and in combination with other cancer treatments, across various tumor types. This study is significant as it seeks to provide insights into the sustained safety profile of these therapies, potentially impacting treatment protocols for cancer patients.

Exelixis’s Promising Study on Renal Cell Carcinoma: A Potential Game Changer?
Aug 24, 2025

Study Overview: The clinical study titled ‘A Phase 1b/2 Study of Immune and Targeted Combination Therapies in Participants With RCC (KEYMAKER-U03): Substudy 03C’ aims to evaluate the safety and efficacy of experimental drug combinations in patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) who have experienced recurrent disease during or after anti-PD-(L)1 therapy. This study is significant as it explores new treatment avenues for a challenging cancer type.

Exelixis’s Innovative RCC Study: A Potential Game-Changer?
Aug 20, 2025

Study Overview: The clinical study titled A Phase 1b/2 Study of Immune and Targeted Combination Therapies in Participants With RCC (KEYMAKER-U03): Substudy 03C aims to assess the safety and efficacy of experimental drug combinations in patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) who have experienced disease recurrence during or after anti-PD-(L)1 therapy. This study is significant as it explores new treatment options for a challenging patient population.

Exelixis’s Promising Study on Renal Cell Carcinoma: Key Updates for Investors
Aug 19, 2025

Study Overview: The clinical study titled ‘A Phase 1b/2 Study of Immune and Targeted Combination Therapies in Participants With RCC (KEYMAKER-U03): Substudy 03C’ aims to evaluate the safety and efficacy of experimental treatment combinations in patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) who have experienced disease recurrence during or after anti-PD-(L)1 therapy. This study is significant as it explores new therapeutic options for a challenging patient group.

Pan-Tumor Rollover Study: A New Horizon in Long-term Cancer Treatment
Aug 15, 2025

The Pan-Tumor Rollover Study, officially titled ‘Pan-Tumor Study for Long-term Treatment of Cancer Patients Who Have Participated in BMS Sponsored Trials Investigating Nivolumab and Other Cancer Therapies,’ aims to evaluate the long-term safety of nivolumab monotherapy and its combinations with other cancer therapies across various tumor types. This study is significant as it explores sustained treatment options for patients who have previously participated in Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS) trials.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025