tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Exelixis (EXEL)
:EXEL
Advertisement

Exelixis (EXEL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
3,048 Followers

Top Page

EXEL

Exelixis

(NASDAQ:EXEL)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(9.45% Upside)
Exelixis demonstrates strong financial performance and a positive outlook from recent earnings. However, technical indicators suggest near-term challenges. Valuation remains moderate, supporting a stable investment thesis.
Positive Factors
Financial Guidance
Exelixis raised 2025 revenue guidance to $2.25-2.35B due to strong Cabo sales, indicating confidence in future performance.
Market Performance
Cabo market share grew to 45% and increased 18% TRx YoY growth, outperforming the TKI market.
Market Share
The launch of NET has rapidly captured a 35% market share in less than four months, demonstrating strong market penetration.
Negative Factors
Drug Development
The decision not to advance zanza in the STELLAR-305 trial could exacerbate concerns about its competitiveness against cabo.
Financial Performance
Q2 revenues of $568M missed the consensus estimate of $578M, leading to potential investor disappointment.
Investor Sentiment
Investors are less confident in zanza's potential due to the 'no-go' decision in HNSCC, and the cabo performance coming in below expectations.

Exelixis (EXEL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Exelixis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExelixis, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing new medicines to enhance care and outcomes for patients with cancer. Operating primarily in the biopharmaceutical sector, Exelixis is best known for its flagship product, CABOMETYX (cabozantinib), a medication used in the treatment of various forms of cancer, including renal cell carcinoma and hepatocellular carcinoma. The company continues to engage in research and development activities to expand its portfolio of oncology therapies.
How the Company Makes MoneyExelixis primarily generates revenue through the sale of its proprietary cancer treatments, notably CABOMETYX. The company earns money by marketing and distributing these drugs both directly and through strategic partnerships with pharmaceutical companies. A significant portion of its revenue is derived from product sales within the United States, while international sales further contribute to its financial performance. Exelixis also benefits financially from collaborations with other organizations, receiving milestone payments, royalties, and licensing fees. These partnerships help expand the reach of its products and support ongoing research and development efforts to bring new therapies to market.

Exelixis Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability for Exelixis, and indicating strategic focus and market demand.
Chart InsightsExelixis's revenue from CABOMETYX shows a strong upward trajectory, bolstered by its recent regulatory approval for neuroendocrine tumors. The US segment is a key driver, with a 36% year-over-year increase in net product revenues. This momentum has led to an upward revision of the 2025 financial guidance, highlighting the strategic importance of CABOMETYX in Exelixis's portfolio. Despite some operational challenges, the company is optimistic about its pipeline progress and financial outlook, supported by robust cash reserves and marketable securities.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Exelixis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -15.61%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong growth in the cabozantinib franchise and positive clinical trial results. However, challenges with 340B volume and the decision not to advance a major trial into Phase III created some concerns. Overall, positive developments in key markets and financial metrics outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance of Cabozantinib Franchise
U.S. cabo franchise net product revenues grew 19% year-over-year to $520 million in Q2 2025, compared to $438 million in the second quarter of 2024.
Positive Results from STELLAR-303
The combination of zanzalintinib plus atezolizumab demonstrated a statistically significant improvement in overall survival in the intent-to-treat population for colorectal cancer.
Successful Launch in Neuroendocrine Tumors
CABOMETYX rapidly became the market leader in second-line plus neuroendocrine tumors with approximately 35% new patient share for oral therapies in Q2 2025.
Financial Strength and Share Repurchase
Exelixis reported total revenues of approximately $568 million and repurchased approximately $302 million of the company's shares in Q2 2025.
Negative Updates
Challenges with 340B Volume
An increase in 340B volume to over 24% of total volume in Q2 2025 led to higher gross to net deductions, impacting financial results.
STELLAR-305 Trial Decision
Decision made not to advance STELLAR-305 trial into Phase III for head and neck cancer, based on evaluation of data and the commercial opportunity.
Company Guidance
During the Exelixis Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, key financial metrics were highlighted, including a 19% year-over-year increase in U.S. cabozantinib franchise net product revenues, reaching $520 million. The CABOMETYX net product revenues were $518 million, with a gross to net deduction of 30.2%, primarily due to higher 340B volume. The total revenues for the quarter were approximately $568 million, inclusive of $48.2 million in collaboration revenues. The company reported a GAAP net income of $184.8 million, or $0.68 per share basic, and $0.65 per share diluted. Non-GAAP net income was $212.6 million, or $0.78 per share basic and $0.75 per share diluted, excluding $28 million in stock-based compensation. Exelixis repurchased $302 million worth of shares, with $204 million remaining under the current repurchase plan. The company also reiterated its full-year 2025 financial guidance as it assesses additional revenue opportunities in the second half of the year.

Exelixis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exelixis demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, robust profitability margins, and effective cash generation. The balance sheet is healthy with low leverage, although there's a slight decline in stockholders' equity.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Exelixis demonstrates strong revenue growth, with a TTM revenue increase of 6% over the previous year. The company maintains high gross and net profit margins at 96.8% and 28.0% respectively for TTM, reflecting efficient cost management. Additionally, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 33.1% and 36.7%, indicating solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09, suggesting conservative leverage levels. The equity ratio is a healthy 75.1%, showcasing a solid financial foundation. However, stockholders' equity has seen a slight decline over the past year, necessitating monitoring.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Operating cash flow is robust, with a TTM to net income ratio of 1.31, indicating effective cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow has grown significantly by 28.3% from the previous period, supporting financial flexibility and potential reinvestment.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.17B1.83B1.61B1.43B987.54M
Gross Profit2.09B1.76B1.55B1.38B951.27M
EBITDA718.75M196.60M222.36M300.30M119.20M
Net Income521.27M207.76M182.28M231.06M111.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.95B2.94B3.07B2.62B2.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.11B995.30M1.31B1.47B1.21B
Total Debt215.83M189.94M190.17M51.27M49.09M
Total Liabilities703.49M678.45M583.06M405.62M258.22M
Stockholders Equity2.24B2.26B2.49B2.21B1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow633.79M170.35M224.16M336.58M178.64M
Operating Cash Flow699.97M333.32M362.61M400.80M208.98M
Investing Cash Flow-116.78M-26.95M-524.41M-42.88M-131.22M
Financing Cash Flow-628.81M-546.05M586.00K-14.80M-25.13M

Exelixis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price37.46
Price Trends
50DMA
42.69
Negative
100DMA
40.29
Negative
200DMA
37.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.69
Positive
RSI
34.91
Neutral
STOCH
12.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXEL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 37.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.42, below the 50-day MA of 42.69, and above the 200-day MA of 37.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EXEL.

Exelixis Risk Analysis

Exelixis disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exelixis reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Exelixis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$11.88B18.3411.62%17.99%152.10%
79
Outperform
$7.49B16.13147.06%25.65%57.10%
78
Outperform
$7.42B62.7621.42%25.71%4.48%
75
Outperform
$15.18B17.6524.30%18.87%1088.27%
73
Outperform
$10.08B17.9729.00%10.73%81.66%
51
Neutral
$7.38B0.53-62.86%2.36%15.62%-0.90%
43
Neutral
$11.27B357.68%10.69%34.71%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXEL
Exelixis
37.46
10.94
41.25%
BMRN
BioMarin Pharmaceutical
61.93
-24.37
-28.24%
CORT
Corcept Therapeutics
70.45
36.40
106.90%
HALO
Halozyme
60.81
6.69
12.36%
INCY
Incyte
77.72
17.43
28.91%
ASND
Ascendis Pharma
186.59
62.97
50.94%

Exelixis Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Exelixis Holds Annual Meeting, Elects New Directors
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Exelixis held its Annual Meeting via live webcast, where stockholders elected 11 directors to serve until the next annual meeting in 2026. Additionally, stockholders ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 2, 2026, and approved the executive compensation proposal.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXEL) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exelixis stock, see the EXEL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025