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Exelixis (EXEL)
:EXEL
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Exelixis (EXEL) AI Stock Analysis

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EXEL

Exelixis

(NASDAQ:EXEL)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$44.00
▲(14.26% Upside)
Exelixis's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its overall score. Technical analysis and valuation present some cautionary signals, but the company's strategic advancements and robust revenue growth support a favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Drug Approval
The probability of approval for the combination of zanzalintinib and Tecentriq has been increased to 80% from a prior estimate of 40%.
Financial Performance
Exelixis recorded a higher diluted net income per share than previously forecasted, indicating better-than-expected profitability.
Market Position
Cabo has already achieved 35% new patient market share for 2L+ oral therapies, indicating strong market penetration.
Negative Factors
Clinical Trials
The decision not to proceed with the Phase 3 portion of the STELLAR-305 trial resulted in the removal of risk-adjusted revenue projections for zanzalintinib in SCCHN.
Investor Confidence
Investors are less confident in zanza's potential due to the 'no-go' decision in HNSCC, and the cabo performance coming in below expectations.
Revenue Performance
Q2 revenues of $568M missed the consensus estimate of $578M.

Exelixis (EXEL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Exelixis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExelixis, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on the development and commercialization of innovative therapies for cancer treatment. Headquartered in Alameda, California, Exelixis is primarily involved in the oncology sector, offering a range of products designed to improve the lives of patients with various types of cancer. The company’s core product is cabozantinib, marketed under the brand names Cometriq and Cabometyx, which is used for the treatment of multiple cancer indications, including renal cell carcinoma and hepatocellular carcinoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyExelixis generates revenue through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, particularly cabozantinib, which is a key driver of their earnings. The company also earns revenue from collaboration agreements and licensing deals with other pharmaceutical companies, which may include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales of partnered products. Exelixis has formed strategic partnerships with a number of organizations to enhance its research capabilities and expand its market reach, thus contributing to its financial performance. Additionally, the company may receive funding from grants or governmental programs aimed at cancer research and development.

Exelixis Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business units or product lines, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsExelixis's revenue from CABOMETYX continues to drive growth, with a notable 36% year-over-year increase in the US, supported by recent regulatory approval for neuroendocrine tumors. This momentum has led to an upward revision in 2025 financial guidance, reflecting confidence in sustained demand. While operational expenses remain a challenge, the strategic focus on pipeline advancements, such as zanzalintinib trials, positions Exelixis for future growth. The European segment showed a significant spike in mid-2024, indicating potential market expansion or strategic initiatives.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Exelixis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook for Exelixis with strong revenue growth, new approvals, and positive clinical trial results. However, there were some challenges including the discontinuation of a head and neck cancer trial and higher gross to net deductions. Overall, strong financial performance and strategic advancements in oncology support a positive sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Cabozantinib U.S. franchise net product revenues grew 19% year-over-year to $520 million compared to $438 million in the second quarter of 2024.
New Indication Approval
Ipsen received approval for NET from the European Commission, expected to add to royalty streams.
Positive STELLAR-303 Results
Zanzalintinib plus atezolizumab showed significant improvement in overall survival in colorectal cancer patients versus regorafenib.
Successful Neuroendocrine Tumor Launch
CABOMETYX rapidly gained 35% share in the oral small molecule market for second-line plus neuroendocrine tumors.
Financial Strength
Exelixis reported GAAP net income of $184.8 million with cash and marketable securities around $1.4 billion.
Negative Updates
Head and Neck Cancer Trial Discontinuation
Decision made not to advance STELLAR-305 in head and neck cancer to Phase III due to competitive landscape and assessment of commercial opportunity.
Higher Gross to Net Deductions
Gross to net for the cabozantinib franchise increased to 30.2% due to higher 340B volume, impacting net revenue.
Company Guidance
During the Exelixis Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, several key metrics and forward-looking statements were discussed. Exelixis reported total revenues of $568 million, with cabozantinib franchise net product revenues at $520 million, representing a 19% year-over-year growth. The CABOMETYX net product revenues were $518 million, with negligible clinical trial sales included. Gross to net for the cabozantinib franchise was reported at 30.2%, influenced by higher 340B volume, now over 24% of total volume. The company posted a GAAP net income of $184.8 million, or $0.68 per share basic, while non-GAAP net income was $212.6 million, or $0.78 per share basic. Cash and marketable securities at the end of the quarter were approximately $1.4 billion, with $302 million allocated for share repurchases. The company reiterated its full-year 2025 financial guidance and highlighted progress in its oncology pipeline, including positive results from the STELLAR-303 trial in CRC and advancement of zanzalintinib as a potential new oncology franchise.

Exelixis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exelixis demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, robust profitability margins, and effective cash generation. The balance sheet is healthy with low leverage, although there's a slight decline in stockholders' equity.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Exelixis demonstrates strong revenue growth, with a TTM revenue increase of 6% over the previous year. The company maintains high gross and net profit margins at 96.8% and 28.0% respectively for TTM, reflecting efficient cost management. Additionally, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 33.1% and 36.7%, indicating solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09, suggesting conservative leverage levels. The equity ratio is a healthy 75.1%, showcasing a solid financial foundation. However, stockholders' equity has seen a slight decline over the past year, necessitating monitoring.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Operating cash flow is robust, with a TTM to net income ratio of 1.31, indicating effective cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow has grown significantly by 28.3% from the previous period, supporting financial flexibility and potential reinvestment.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.17B1.83B1.61B1.43B987.54M
Gross Profit2.09B1.76B1.55B1.38B951.27M
EBITDA718.75M196.60M222.36M300.30M119.20M
Net Income521.27M207.76M182.28M231.06M111.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.95B2.94B3.07B2.62B2.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.11B995.30M1.31B1.47B1.21B
Total Debt215.83M189.94M190.17M51.27M49.09M
Total Liabilities703.49M678.45M583.06M405.62M258.22M
Stockholders Equity2.24B2.26B2.49B2.21B1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow633.79M170.35M224.16M336.58M178.64M
Operating Cash Flow699.97M333.32M362.61M400.80M208.98M
Investing Cash Flow-116.78M-26.95M-524.41M-42.88M-131.22M
Financing Cash Flow-628.81M-546.05M586.00K-14.80M-25.13M

Exelixis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price38.51
Price Trends
50DMA
41.29
Negative
100DMA
40.47
Negative
200DMA
37.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.80
Negative
RSI
45.62
Neutral
STOCH
56.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXEL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 38.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.82, below the 50-day MA of 41.29, and above the 200-day MA of 37.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXEL.

Exelixis Risk Analysis

Exelixis disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exelixis reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Exelixis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$16.40B19.1024.30%18.87%1088.27%
79
Outperform
$8.53B16.66179.14%34.97%71.10%
78
Outperform
$10.32B18.3929.00%10.73%81.66%
78
Outperform
$11.03B17.0211.62%17.38%153.58%
73
Outperform
$7.33B61.9121.42%25.71%4.48%
61
Neutral
$11.91B357.68%55.77%46.81%
51
Neutral
$7.83B-0.18-40.10%2.29%21.46%-2.03%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXEL
Exelixis
38.51
12.69
49.15%
BMRN
BioMarin Pharmaceutical
58.66
-31.66
-35.05%
CORT
Corcept Therapeutics
69.73
35.29
102.47%
HALO
Halozyme
73.18
8.76
13.60%
INCY
Incyte
84.84
19.20
29.25%
ASND
Ascendis Pharma
193.01
54.10
38.95%

Exelixis Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Exelixis Holds Annual Meeting, Elects New Directors
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Exelixis held its Annual Meeting via live webcast, where stockholders elected 11 directors to serve until the next annual meeting in 2026. Additionally, stockholders ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 2, 2026, and approved the executive compensation proposal.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2025