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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
:ALNY

Alnylam Pharma (ALNY) AI Stock Analysis

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Alnylam Pharma

(NASDAQ:ALNY)

64Neutral
Alnylam Pharma's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and positive technical momentum, tempered by profitability concerns and high leverage. The company's strategic focus on innovation and successful product launches provide optimism, though valuation challenges and regulatory uncertainties remain significant factors.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Quarterly revenues were $594 million, above the estimate of $539 million and consensus of $588 million.
Market Penetration
About 70% of new polyneuropathy patients on stabilizer therapy are selecting Amvuttra, despite Wainua’s entrance into the market.
Product Launch
The Amvuttra CM launch is progressing rapidly with more than 50% of healthcare systems already on formulary and over 75% having started patients on treatment.
Negative Factors
Product Sales
ALNY reported $469M in total product sales, which was below the expected $487M.
Revenue Miss
1Q25 product revenues of $468M missed the analyst's estimate of $550M.

Alnylam Pharma (ALNY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Alnylam Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel therapeutics based on ribonucleic acid interference. The company's pipeline of investigational RNAi therapeutics focuses on genetic medicines, cardio-metabolic diseases, hepatic infectious diseases, and central nervous system (CNS)/ocular diseases. Its marketed products include ONPATTRO (patisiran), a lipid complex injection for the treatment of the polyneuropathy of hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis in adults; GIVLAARI for the treatment of adults with acute hepatic porphyria (AHP); and OXLUMO (lumasiran) for the treatment of primary hyperoxaluria type 1 (PH1). In addition, the company is developing givosiran for the treatment of adolescent patients with AHP; patisiran for the treatment of transthyretin amyloidosis, or ATTR amyloidosis, with cardiomyopathy; cemdisiran to treat complement-mediated diseases; ALN-AAT02 for the treatment of AAT deficiency-associated liver disease; ALN-HBV02 to treat chronic HBV infection; Zilebesiran to treat hypertension; and ALN-HSD to treat NASH. Further, it offers Fitusiran for the treatment of hemophilia and rare bleeding disorders, Inclisiran to treat hypercholesterolemia, lumasiran for the treatment of advanced PH1 and recurrent renal stones, and vutrisiran for the treatment of ATTR amyloidosis, which is in phase 3 clinical trial. Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has strategic collaborations with Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to discover, develop, and commercialize RNAi therapeutics for a range of diseases by addressing therapeutic targets expressed in the eye and CNS; and Sanofi Genzyme to discover, develop, and commercialize RNAi therapeutics. It also has license and collaboration agreements with Novartis AG; Vir Biotechnology, Inc.; Dicerna Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; and PeptiDream, Inc. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlnylam Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the sales of its approved RNAi therapeutics. The company's key revenue streams include product sales, collaborations, and royalties. Alnylam has established strategic partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies to co-develop and commercialize its therapies, which provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on product sales. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to expand its pipeline and enhance its product offerings. Alnylam's significant partnerships with multinational companies like Sanofi and Regeneron contribute to its revenue through collaborative research efforts and shared commercialization rights.

Alnylam Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alnylam Pharma demonstrates strong revenue growth but faces profitability and operational efficiency challenges. High leverage poses financial risk, yet substantial liquidity from cash reserves offers some stability. Persistent cash flow issues highlight the need for improved operational cash generation.
Income Statement
62
Positive
The income statement reveals a mixed performance for Alnylam Pharma. Despite a substantial revenue growth from $1.03 billion in 2022 to $2.35 billion TTM, the company continues to operate at a net loss, with a net profit margin of -11.49% TTM. Gross profit margin remains strong at 89.04% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, negative EBIT and EBITDA margins of -4.91% and -6.22% respectively, highlight ongoing operational challenges. While revenue growth is promising, the lack of profitability is a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Alnylam Pharma's balance sheet shows a high level of debt relative to equity, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 11.27 TTM, indicating significant leverage. The return on equity (ROE) remains negative due to ongoing losses. However, the equity ratio is 2.74% TTM, which is positive but still reflects a weak equity position. The company's high level of cash and short-term investments is a positive aspect, providing liquidity support.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
The cash flow statement highlights some positive trends, with a significant financing cash flow of $309.33 million TTM, bolstering liquidity. However, both operating cash flow and free cash flow remain negative, indicating ongoing cash burn from operations and capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, further emphasizing cash flow challenges despite a minor improvement in free cash flow growth.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.25B1.83B1.04B844.29M492.85M
Gross Profit
1.92B1.52B868.60M704.14M414.80M
EBIT
-176.88M-282.18M-785.07M-708.65M-828.44M
EBITDA
-178.85M-258.24M-926.56M-661.56M-736.33M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-278.16M-440.24M-1.13B-852.82M-858.28M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.69B2.44B2.19B2.44B1.87B
Total Assets
4.30B3.83B3.55B3.64B3.41B
Total Debt
1.30B2.68B1.32B997.59M521.19M
Net Debt
329.62M1.87B453.85M177.62M24.61M
Total Liabilities
4.17B4.05B3.70B3.06B2.39B
Stockholders Equity
67.09M-220.64M-158.22M588.20M1.02B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-42.59M41.95M-613.33M-718.07M-685.32M
Operating Cash Flow
-8.31M104.16M-541.27M-641.69M-614.96M
Investing Cash Flow
-116.84M-336.35M169.35M-273.30M-435.52M
Financing Cash Flow
294.16M172.13M425.75M1.25B994.98M

Alnylam Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price259.39
Price Trends
50DMA
249.06
Positive
100DMA
251.97
Positive
200DMA
258.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.85
Negative
RSI
56.40
Neutral
STOCH
83.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALNY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 259.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 241.59, above the 50-day MA of 249.06, and above the 200-day MA of 258.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALNY.

Alnylam Pharma Risk Analysis

Alnylam Pharma disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alnylam Pharma reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alnylam Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$18.89B17.2012.75%2.58%-3.85%-24.34%
75
Outperform
$13.29B11.7619.94%19.85%21.16%
71
Outperform
$35.31B41.8217.33%78.01%
64
Neutral
$33.82B-414.62%22.97%38.54%
62
Neutral
$25.18B-3.38%-27.64%-172.62%
53
Neutral
$20.72B-94.89%80.00%
52
Neutral
$5.35B3.96-42.60%2.86%17.58%1.27%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALNY
Alnylam Pharma
259.39
108.17
71.53%
UTHR
United Therapeutics
294.60
34.09
13.09%
SMMT
Summit Therapeutics
27.90
23.43
524.16%
ARGX
Argenx Se
649.67
255.89
64.98%
BNTX
BioNTech SE
104.94
11.59
12.42%
RPRX
Royalty Pharma
32.89
5.24
18.95%

Alnylam Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive trajectory for Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, characterized by strong revenue growth and successful product launches. Despite some uncertainties related to regulatory policies and increased R&D expenses, the company's strategic focus on TTR leadership and sustainable financial performance supports a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported a strong start to 2025 with $469 million in combined net product revenues, representing 28% growth year-over-year. The U.S. TTR franchise saw robust 45% year-over-year growth driven by increased uptake in the hereditary polyneuropathy population.
Successful Product Launches
AMVUTTRA received expanded indication approvals in the U.S. and Brazil for ATTR cardiomyopathy, with a positive CHMP opinion in the EU. Additionally, Qfitlia for hemophilia A or B was approved, marking the sixth RNAi therapeutic discovered by Alnylam.
Strategic Focus and Future Growth
Alnylam's strategy centers on TTR leadership, growth through innovation, and strong financial performance. The company is on track to achieve sustainable non-GAAP profitability in 2025.
Negative Updates
Regulatory and Policy Uncertainty
Concerns were raised about potential impacts from evolving policies, tariffs, FDA personnel changes, and biotech industry initiatives, although Alnylam believes it is well-positioned to navigate these challenges.
Pipeline and R&D Expenses
While committed to innovation, Alnylam anticipates increased R&D expenses due to ongoing clinical trials. The need for continuous investment in pipeline progress presents a financial challenge.
Company Guidance
During the Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance underscoring a strong start to the year with $469 million in combined net product revenues, marking a 28% year-over-year growth. This was primarily driven by a robust 45% growth in their U.S. TTR franchise. The company reiterated its full-year guidance, projecting a 36% year-over-year growth in TTR franchise revenues and emphasized its goal of achieving sustainable non-GAAP profitability by the end of 2025. The call highlighted the successful launch of AMVUTTRA for ATTR cardiomyopathy, with early signs of broad uptake and favorable patient access. Alnylam also announced ongoing pipeline advancements, including the initiation of pivotal studies and expected regulatory approvals in key markets.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.