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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
NASDAQ:ALNY
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Alnylam Pharma (ALNY) AI Stock Analysis

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Alnylam Pharma

(NASDAQ:ALNY)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$337.00
▲(4.40%Upside)
Alnylam Pharma's overall score reflects a promising growth trajectory with strong technical indicators and strategic corporate actions. However, the high financial leverage and negative earnings impact the valuation, while the positive earnings call sentiment and corporate event developments highlight potential for future improvement.
Positive Factors
Market Opportunity
There is a convincing multi-billion dollar opportunity for Amvuttra in TTR amyloidosis, supported by strong uptake in newly diagnosed patients and those progressing on prior therapies.
Market Share and Growth
The survey indicates that Amvuttra could achieve a 29% market share at its peak, suggesting faster uptake than currently estimated, which could represent an upside to estimates.
Performance Outlook
Raising the Alnylam price target to $348 after increasing Amvuttra estimates indicates a positive outlook for the company's future performance.
Negative Factors
Revenue Projections
Building momentum in TTR and beyond: execution, innovation, and a leading biotech platform poised to generate annual revenues of more than $10 billion.
Sales Forecast
In the less conservative scenario, 1H25 TTR sales could deliver ~50%-55% of the midpoint of 2025 TTR guidance, suggesting clear upside.

Alnylam Pharma (ALNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alnylam Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics based on RNA interference (RNAi). The company operates in the healthcare sector and specializes in the development of therapies for genetically defined diseases. Alnylam's core products are RNAi-based medicines designed to treat a variety of conditions, including rare genetic diseases, cardio-metabolic diseases, and infectious diseases.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlnylam Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the sale of its RNAi-based therapeutic products. The company earns money from product sales, particularly from its commercialized medicines such as ONPATTRO, GIVLAARI, and OXLUMO, which target specific genetic disorders. In addition to product sales, Alnylam also engages in strategic collaborations and partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies, which provide additional revenue streams through milestone payments, licensing fees, and royalties. These partnerships often involve the joint development and commercialization of RNAi therapeutics, leveraging Alnylam's technology platform and expertise in RNA interference.

Alnylam Pharma Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes income from different business areas, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and indicating strategic focus areas.
Chart InsightsAlnylam Pharma's revenue growth is largely driven by the impressive performance of AMVUTTRA, which has shown strong uptake and favorable patient access, particularly in the U.S. TTR franchise. Despite a decline in Onpattro sales, the company's strategic focus on TTR leadership and innovation is yielding results, with a 28% year-over-year revenue increase. The earnings call highlights a positive outlook, with expectations of achieving sustainable profitability by the end of 2025, supported by successful product launches and ongoing pipeline advancements.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Alnylam Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 22.63%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive trajectory for Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, characterized by strong revenue growth and successful product launches. Despite some uncertainties related to regulatory policies and increased R&D expenses, the company's strategic focus on TTR leadership and sustainable financial performance supports a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals reported a strong start to 2025 with $469 million in combined net product revenues, representing 28% growth year-over-year. The U.S. TTR franchise saw robust 45% year-over-year growth driven by increased uptake in the hereditary polyneuropathy population.
Successful Product Launches
AMVUTTRA received expanded indication approvals in the U.S. and Brazil for ATTR cardiomyopathy, with a positive CHMP opinion in the EU. Additionally, Qfitlia for hemophilia A or B was approved, marking the sixth RNAi therapeutic discovered by Alnylam.
Strategic Focus and Future Growth
Alnylam's strategy centers on TTR leadership, growth through innovation, and strong financial performance. The company is on track to achieve sustainable non-GAAP profitability in 2025.
Negative Updates
Regulatory and Policy Uncertainty
Concerns were raised about potential impacts from evolving policies, tariffs, FDA personnel changes, and biotech industry initiatives, although Alnylam believes it is well-positioned to navigate these challenges.
Pipeline and R&D Expenses
While committed to innovation, Alnylam anticipates increased R&D expenses due to ongoing clinical trials. The need for continuous investment in pipeline progress presents a financial challenge.
Company Guidance
During the Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance underscoring a strong start to the year with $469 million in combined net product revenues, marking a 28% year-over-year growth. This was primarily driven by a robust 45% growth in their U.S. TTR franchise. The company reiterated its full-year guidance, projecting a 36% year-over-year growth in TTR franchise revenues and emphasized its goal of achieving sustainable non-GAAP profitability by the end of 2025. The call highlighted the successful launch of AMVUTTRA for ATTR cardiomyopathy, with early signs of broad uptake and favorable patient access. Alnylam also announced ongoing pipeline advancements, including the initiation of pivotal studies and expected regulatory approvals in key markets.

Alnylam Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alnylam Pharma shows promising revenue growth but struggles with profitability and operational efficiency. Despite strong gross profit margins, negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight ongoing challenges. The high leverage poses financial risk, but strong liquidity from cash reserves provides stability. Cash flow challenges persist, with positive financing activities offering some relief.
Income Statement
62
Positive
The income statement reveals a mixed performance for Alnylam Pharma. Despite a substantial revenue growth from $1.03 billion in 2022 to $2.35 billion TTM, the company continues to operate at a net loss, with a net profit margin of -11.49% TTM. Gross profit margin remains strong at 89.04% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, negative EBIT and EBITDA margins of -4.91% and -6.22% respectively, highlight ongoing operational challenges. While revenue growth is promising, the lack of profitability is a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Alnylam Pharma's balance sheet shows a high level of debt relative to equity, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 11.27 TTM, indicating significant leverage. The return on equity (ROE) remains negative due to ongoing losses. However, the equity ratio is 2.74% TTM, which is positive but still reflects a weak equity position. The company's high level of cash and short-term investments is a positive aspect, providing liquidity support.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
The cash flow statement highlights some positive trends, with a significant financing cash flow of $309.33 million TTM, bolstering liquidity. However, both operating cash flow and free cash flow remain negative, indicating ongoing cash burn from operations and capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, further emphasizing cash flow challenges despite a minor improvement in free cash flow growth.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.25B1.83B1.04B844.29M492.85M
Gross Profit1.92B1.52B868.60M704.14M414.80M
EBITDA-178.85M-258.24M-926.56M-661.56M-736.33M
Net Income-278.16M-440.24M-1.13B-852.82M-858.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.30B3.83B3.55B3.64B3.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.69B2.44B2.19B2.44B1.87B
Total Debt1.30B2.68B1.32B997.59M521.19M
Total Liabilities4.17B4.05B3.70B3.06B2.39B
Stockholders Equity67.09M-220.64M-158.22M588.20M1.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-42.59M41.95M-613.33M-718.07M-685.32M
Operating Cash Flow-8.31M104.16M-541.27M-641.69M-614.96M
Investing Cash Flow-116.84M-336.35M169.35M-273.30M-435.52M
Financing Cash Flow294.16M172.13M425.75M1.25B994.98M

Alnylam Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price322.81
Price Trends
50DMA
302.48
Positive
100DMA
276.00
Positive
200DMA
269.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.95
Positive
RSI
58.45
Neutral
STOCH
45.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALNY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 322.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 320.37, above the 50-day MA of 302.48, and above the 200-day MA of 269.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALNY.

Alnylam Pharma Risk Analysis

Alnylam Pharma disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alnylam Pharma reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alnylam Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$20.53B14.8916.57%2.47%1.15%37.75%
76
Outperform
$13.23B11.9019.94%19.85%21.16%
76
Outperform
$34.23B41.6117.33%78.01%
66
Neutral
$40.57B-414.62%17.21%21.16%
58
Neutral
$26.60B-3.87%0.58%-764.64%
55
Neutral
€4.61B17.01-50.16%3.67%15.32%-9.52%
53
Neutral
$18.09B-123.93%-99.70%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALNY
Alnylam Pharma
324.69
87.99
37.17%
UTHR
United Therapeutics
297.33
-31.34
-9.54%
SMMT
Summit Therapeutics
27.63
17.88
183.38%
ARGX
Argenx Se
572.71
106.15
22.75%
BNTX
BioNTech SE
111.04
24.67
28.56%
RPRX
Royalty Pharma
35.47
7.96
28.93%

Alnylam Pharma Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Alnylam Pharma Appoints New Chief R&D Officer
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals announced the integration of its Research and Early Development function with its Development function into a single organization, appointing Pushkal Garg as Executive Vice President, Chief Research and Development Officer. This strategic move aims to accelerate pipeline progress and foster collaboration, enhancing Alnylam’s ability to deliver RNAi therapeutics to all major tissues by 2030, thus potentially transforming patient care across a range of diseases.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALNY) stock is a Buy with a $328.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alnylam Pharma stock, see the ALNY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Alnylam Pharma Re-elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 13, 2025

On March 10, 2025, Alnylam Pharma held its Annual Meeting where stockholders re-elected four Class III directors to serve until 2028. Additionally, stockholders approved several key proposals, including a Certificate of Amendment, the Second Amended and Restated 2018 Stock Incentive Plan, and the compensation of named executive officers. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALNY) stock is a Buy with a $328.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alnylam Pharma stock, see the ALNY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 19, 2025