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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
NASDAQ:ALNY
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Alnylam Pharma (ALNY) AI Stock Analysis

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ALNY

Alnylam Pharma

(NASDAQ:ALNY)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$247.00
▼(-9.11% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/31/26
The score is supported primarily by improved financial performance with strong TTM profitability and free-cash-flow generation, reinforced by an earnings call showing strong product momentum and a solid cash position. Offsetting these positives, the technical setup is weak with the stock trading far below major moving averages, and valuation remains demanding (P/E 66.15), increasing sensitivity to guidance reductions and margin/spend pressures highlighted on the call.
Positive Factors
Commercial Growth
Rapid product growth and AMVUTTRA’s >$1B quarterly revenue demonstrate strong demand, expanding adoption and commercial execution. This scale can support a durable revenue base as the TTR franchise broadens across geographies and patient segments.
Negative Factors
Reduced TTR Guidance
The guidance reduction indicates that early launch demand was partly supported by pent-up switching and may normalize. Although growth remains substantial, this raises execution risk around sustaining the franchise’s current trajectory.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Commercial Growth
Rapid product growth and AMVUTTRA’s >$1B quarterly revenue demonstrate strong demand, expanding adoption and commercial execution. This scale can support a durable revenue base as the TTR franchise broadens across geographies and patient segments.
Read all positive factors

Alnylam Pharma Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes income from different business areas, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and indicating strategic focus areas.
Chart InsightsAlnylam’s revenue mix has flipped: AMVUTTRA’s explosive ramp now drives the business while legacy Onpattro trends down and collaboration income remains lumpy and milestone‑dependent. Growing royalty receipts add a recurring tail, but rising royalties payable to Sanofi on AMVUTTRA are creating margin pressure even as product volumes expand. That mix shift boosts topline scale yet raises sensitivity to pricing changes, competitive readouts and milestone timing—watch AMVUTTRA net margin and upcoming quarter‑over‑quarter TTR growth to validate the company’s guidance.
Data provided by:The Fly

Alnylam Pharma (ALNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alnylam Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company primarily dedicated to the discovery, development, and commercialization of innovative therapeutic solutions leveraging ribonucleic acid interference (RNAi) technology. Its robust pipeli...
How the Company Makes Money
Alnylam makes money primarily by selling its approved RNAi therapeutics and, secondarily, through collaboration-related revenue. Its key revenue streams include: (1) Product revenue: Sales of its commercial medicines to specialty distributors, hos...

Alnylam Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong commercial momentum — highlighted by record quarterly AMVUTTRA and broad TTR revenue growth, expanding prescriber base, robust cash and operating income, strategic geographic and AI partnerships, and an active pipeline with upcoming data readouts. Negative elements included a $200M downward revision to 2026 TTR guidance tied to normalization of early switch demand, a Q2 decline in collaboration revenue, margin pressure from higher royalties, increased R&D/SG&A investment, and industry uncertainty following a competitor trial failure (CARDIO-TTRansform). Management framed the guidance reduction as a learning from early launch dynamics and emphasized confidence in long-term TTR leadership and nucresiran’s prospects, indicating highlights outweigh challenges.
Positive Updates
AMVUTTRA Milestone Quarterly Revenue
AMVUTTRA revenue exceeded $1.0 billion in Q2 2026 — the first time a single quarter surpassed $1B — implying an annual run rate above $4.0 billion just 15 months after the ATTR-CM launch.
Negative Updates
Reduction to 2026 TTR Revenue Guidance
Revised 2026 TTR revenue guidance to $4.2B–$4.5B (a $200M reduction at the midpoint versus prior guidance) due to normalization of early second-line demand after pent-up switch activity in 2025, though the revised range still reflects ~75% YoY growth.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
AMVUTTRA Milestone Quarterly Revenue
AMVUTTRA revenue exceeded $1.0 billion in Q2 2026 — the first time a single quarter surpassed $1B — implying an annual run rate above $4.0 billion just 15 months after the ATTR-CM launch.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Alnylam updated its 2026 guidance, narrowing total net product revenue to $4.7–$5.1 billion and revising TTR revenue to $4.2–$4.5 billion (a $200 million midpoint reduction versus prior TTR guidance) — which the company says still reflects roughly 75% year‑over‑year TTR growth — while raising combined collaboration and royalty revenue guidance to $575–$625 million (about a $150 million midpoint increase). The revision follows Q2 results of ~ $1.2 billion total net product revenues (up 74% YoY), ~$1.03 billion global TTR revenue (up 89% YoY, +13% q/q), collaboration revenue $47 million (‑23% YoY), royalty revenue $72 million (+79% YoY), non‑GAAP R&D $377 million (+38% YoY), non‑GAAP SG&A $297 million (+14% YoY), non‑GAAP operating income $318 million (more than triple last year), gross margin on product sales 75% (‑4 percentage points YoY), cash and marketable securities $3.3 billion (vs. $2.9 billion YE‑2025), and AMVUTTRA exceeding $1 billion in a single quarter (implying an ARR > $4 billion 15 months after launch); management said reaching the midpoint would require H2 growth roughly in line with Q2, other non‑GAAP guidance is unchanged, and they expect mid‑single‑digit net price declines year‑over‑year.

Alnylam Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM turnaround with meaningful profitability (net income ~$808M; ~13.5% net margin; ~20% EBIT margin) and strong cash generation (OCF ~$886M; FCF ~$794M; ~24% FCF growth; ~90% FCF-to-net-income). The main constraint is balance-sheet risk history and still-meaningful leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.18) after prior years of losses/low or negative equity, making sustainability of the new run-rate a key watch item.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.80B3.71B2.25B1.83B1.04B844.29M
Gross Profit3.83B3.04B1.92B1.52B868.60M704.14M
EBITDA1.15B631.44M-178.85M-258.24M-926.56M-661.56M
Net Income807.99M313.75M-278.16M-440.24M-1.13B-852.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.56B4.97B4.24B3.83B3.55B3.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.31B2.91B2.69B2.44B2.19B2.44B
Total Debt1.27B1.28B1.30B1.31B1.32B997.59M
Total Liabilities4.20B4.18B4.17B4.05B3.70B3.06B
Stockholders Equity1.35B789.18M67.09M-220.64M-158.22M588.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow542.54M465.38M-42.59M41.95M-613.33M-718.07M
Operating Cash Flow634.49M524.08M-8.31M104.16M-541.27M-641.69M
Investing Cash Flow74.94M436.33M-116.84M-336.35M169.35M-273.30M
Financing Cash Flow-364.24M-305.19M294.16M172.13M425.75M1.25B

Alnylam Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price271.77
Price Trends
50DMA
270.10
Negative
100DMA
288.66
Negative
200DMA
334.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-14.62
Negative
RSI
41.05
Neutral
STOCH
71.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALNY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 271.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 237.32, above the 50-day MA of 270.10, and below the 200-day MA of 334.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -14.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALNY.

Alnylam Pharma Risk Analysis

Alnylam Pharma disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alnylam Pharma reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alnylam Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$25.03B15.1929.70%26.93%80.66%
81
Outperform
$61.94B36.5221.66%70.57%30.28%
75
Outperform
$130.67B29.7723.31%11.45%22.53%
68
Neutral
$19.46B25.4614.55%21.75%-36.69%
66
Neutral
$30.05B37.7793.61%95.14%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$23.01B-11.76-9.16%-1.05%-395.95%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALNY
Alnylam Pharma
228.61
-229.67
-50.12%
INCY
Incyte
123.47
38.01
44.48%
VRTX
Vertex Pharmaceuticals
528.19
137.43
35.17%
ARGX
Argenx Se
992.99
336.10
51.17%
GMAB
Genmab
32.96
9.14
38.37%
BNTX
BioNTech SE
92.75
-18.65
-16.74%

Alnylam Pharma Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Alnylam Shareholders Reaffirm Board, Pay Practices and Auditor
Positive
May 27, 2026
At its Annual Meeting held after a March 25, 2026 record date, Alnylam shareholders re-elected Class I directors Stuart A. Arbuckle, Yvonne L. Greenstreet, M.D., and Elliott Sigal, M.D., Ph.D., to terms running until the 2029 annual meeting, while...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2026