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Royalty Pharma PLC (RPRX)
NASDAQ:RPRX

Royalty Pharma (RPRX) AI Stock Analysis

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RPRX

Royalty Pharma

(NASDAQ:RPRX)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$45.00
▲(11.91% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (exceptional margins and solid cash generation) and a bullish earnings update with raised 2025 guidance and continued capital deployment. Technicals support the view with an established uptrend, while valuation is reasonable but not cheap, and leverage/interest expense plus the upcoming Promacta royalty decline temper the upside.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 11% growth in portfolio and royalty receipts highlights Royalty Pharma's effective strategy in expanding its revenue base, ensuring sustained financial performance over the medium term.
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions of high-value royalty interests enhance Royalty Pharma's portfolio, providing long-term revenue streams and strengthening its market position.
FDA Approval of MYQORZO
The FDA approval of MYQORZO enhances Royalty Pharma's future cash-flow visibility and strengthens its portfolio with a newly approved cardiovascular therapy.
Negative Factors
Promacta Royalty Decline
The anticipated decline in Promacta royalties due to generic competition poses a risk to Royalty Pharma's revenue, affecting its long-term income stability.
Increased Interest Expenses
Rising interest expenses could pressure Royalty Pharma's financial flexibility, impacting its ability to invest in new opportunities and manage debt effectively.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
The negative free cash flow growth indicates potential challenges in cash generation, which may affect Royalty Pharma's ability to fund future investments and shareholder returns.

Royalty Pharma (RPRX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Royalty Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRoyalty Pharma plc operates as a buyer of biopharmaceutical royalties and a funder of innovations in the biopharmaceutical industry in the United States. It is also involved in the identification, evaluation, and acquisition of royalties on various biopharmaceutical therapies. In addition, the company collaborates with innovators from academic institutions, research hospitals and not-for-profits, small and mid-cap biotechnology companies, and pharmaceutical companies. Its portfolio consists of royalties on approximately 35 marketed therapies and 10 development-stage product candidates that address various therapeutic areas, such as rare disease, cancer, neurology, infectious disease, hematology, and diabetes. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoyalty Pharma generates revenue primarily through its portfolio of royalty interests in various biopharmaceutical products. The company acquires these royalties from other companies, often taking an upfront payment in exchange for a percentage of future sales from established drugs. This revenue model capitalizes on the success of marketed therapies, allowing Royalty Pharma to earn income as long as the drugs continue to generate sales. Key revenue streams include royalties from high-performing drugs in areas such as oncology, rare diseases, and infectious diseases. Additionally, Royalty Pharma has formed strategic partnerships and collaborations with leading biopharmaceutical companies, which enhance its revenue opportunities and provide access to new drugs in development. The company's ability to identify and invest in promising therapies is a significant factor contributing to its earnings.

Royalty Pharma Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Portfolio Receipts
Portfolio Receipts
Tracks the income generated from the company's portfolio of royalty interests, highlighting cash flow stability and the effectiveness of its investment strategy in acquiring lucrative royalty streams.
Chart InsightsRoyalty Pharma's Portfolio Receipts have shown robust growth, with a notable 20% increase in the latest quarter, surpassing guidance. This momentum is fueled by strategic partnerships, such as the collaboration with Revolution Medicines, and efficient cost management, reducing operating costs. The raised full-year guidance reflects confidence in sustained growth. However, challenges like the Vertex royalty dispute could impact future receipts. The company's strong cash flow and significant share repurchases underscore its financial health and shareholder value focus.
Data provided by:The Fly

Royalty Pharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Royalty Pharma reported a strong financial performance with significant growth and strategic acquisitions in the third quarter of 2025, leading to an upward revision of its full-year guidance. Despite challenges such as the upcoming decline in Promacta royalties and increased interest expenses, the company's diversified portfolio and pipeline expansion underline its growth potential.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Royalty Pharma reported an 11% growth in both portfolio receipts and royalty receipts, driven by a diversified portfolio. The company raised its full-year 2025 guidance for portfolio receipts to $3.2 billion to $3.25 billion, representing growth of 14% to 16%.
Successful Capital Deployment
The company deployed $1 billion in the quarter on loyalty transactions, totaling $1.7 billion for the first 9 months. It also repurchased 4 million shares, totaling $1.15 billion in share repurchases for the year.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquired royalty interests in Amgen's Imdelltra for up to $950 million, Zenas Biopharma's obexelimab for up to $300 million, and Alnylam's Amvuttra for $310 million.
Pipeline Expansion
Development-stage pipeline expanded to 17 therapies, with expectations of multiple pivotal readouts in the near future. The pipeline is expected to generate over $36 billion in cumulative peak sales.
Consistent Returns
Return on invested capital maintained at 15.7% and return on invested equity at 22.9%.
Negative Updates
Upcoming Challenges with Promacta
Minimal royalties from Promacta expected in 2026 due to the launch of generics in the United States and Europe in 2025.
Increased Interest Expenses
Interest paid is expected to be between $350 million to $360 million in 2026, including interest payments on $2 billion of senior secured notes issued in September 2025.
Company Guidance
During Royalty Pharma's third quarter earnings call, the company reported a robust 11% growth in both portfolio and royalty receipts, showcasing the strength of its diversified portfolio. The company also introduced new quarterly metrics, revealing a return on invested capital of 15.7% and a return on invested equity of 22.9% for the past 12 months. Throughout the quarter, Royalty Pharma deployed $1 billion on value-creating transactions, raising its full-year top-line guidance for 2025 to $3.2 billion to $3.25 billion, representing a 14% to 16% growth. The company completed several significant transactions, including a $950 million royalty interest acquisition on Amgen's Imdelltra and a $310 million royalty on Alnylam's Amvuttra. Additionally, Royalty Pharma repurchased 4 million shares, totaling $1.15 billion in share buybacks for the year, and expanded its development-stage pipeline to 17 therapies. The guidance increase marks the third raise this year and the 14th since the company's IPO in 2020.

Royalty Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Royalty Pharma exhibits strong financial health with high profitability, efficient cash flow management, and a solid equity base. While revenue growth is stable, the company shows potential for further expansion. Leverage is moderate, and cash flow generation remains robust, although recent free cash flow growth has declined slightly. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the biotechnology industry with a strong financial foundation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Royalty Pharma demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin of 100% and a robust EBIT margin of 83.76% in TTM. The net profit margin has improved to 44.28% in TTM, indicating enhanced efficiency. Revenue growth is modest at 1.94% in TTM, showing stability but limited expansion. Overall, the company maintains high profitability and stable revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.26 in TTM, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 15.20%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is not directly provided, but the balance sheet shows a solid equity base. While leverage is slightly high, the company maintains a strong equity position and profitability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.05 in TTM, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is stable at 1.0, showing consistent cash flow management. However, free cash flow growth is negative at -2.55%, suggesting a slight decline in cash flow generation. Overall, cash flow metrics are solid, with some room for improvement in growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.35B2.26B2.35B2.24B2.29B2.12B
Gross Profit2.35B2.26B2.35B2.24B2.29B1.89B
EBITDA1.58B1.56B1.89B423.69M1.43B1.68B
Net Income764.96M858.98M1.13B42.83M619.73M975.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.35B18.22B16.38B16.81B17.52B16.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments955.04M1.77B1.23B2.43B2.80B2.65B
Total Debt8.97B7.61B6.14B7.12B7.10B5.82B
Total Liabilities9.73B7.88B6.30B7.29B7.27B6.12B
Stockholders Equity6.41B6.95B6.53B5.63B5.78B4.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.41B2.77B2.99B2.14B2.02B2.03B
Operating Cash Flow2.41B2.77B2.99B2.14B2.02B2.03B
Investing Cash Flow-1.27B-2.68B-2.07B-1.03B-1.87B-2.76B
Financing Cash Flow-1.14B361.14M-2.15B-944.86M385.11M1.49B

Royalty Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.21
Price Trends
50DMA
39.26
Positive
100DMA
37.64
Positive
200DMA
35.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Negative
RSI
52.07
Neutral
STOCH
51.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RPRX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.52, above the 50-day MA of 39.26, and above the 200-day MA of 35.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RPRX.

Royalty Pharma Risk Analysis

Royalty Pharma disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Royalty Pharma reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Royalty Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$20.48B17.8920.04%13.50%17.16%
81
Outperform
$20.80B17.6530.39%18.09%3563.21%
80
Outperform
$23.21B22.9911.51%2.23%3.72%-31.46%
76
Outperform
$21.54B14.2628.20%24.98%127.06%
53
Neutral
$26.24B-40.32-2.94%7.04%-25.24%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$13.28B-50.63103.32%47.55%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RPRX
Royalty Pharma
39.72
9.53
31.57%
INCY
Incyte
105.24
32.77
45.22%
UTHR
United Therapeutics
471.99
105.60
28.82%
ASND
Ascendis Pharma
215.04
83.42
63.38%
GMAB
Genmab
33.85
12.63
59.52%
BNTX
BioNTech SE
106.07
-6.69
-5.93%

Royalty Pharma Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Royalty Pharma Announces Planned Legal Leadership Transition
Neutral
Dec 22, 2025

On December 20, 2025, Royalty Pharma plc announced that Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer George W. Lloyd, 66, would transition out of his executive role effective December 31, 2025, and remain with the company as a senior advisor under a new standard employee offer letter starting January 1, 2026. Executive Vice President and General Counsel Arthur R. McGivern, 50, who joined the company in October 2022 after serving as a partner at Goodwin Procter LLP, was scheduled to assume Lloyd’s responsibilities on January 1, 2026, marking a planned legal leadership transition that maintains continuity in the company’s senior legal function.

The most recent analyst rating on (RPRX) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Royalty Pharma stock, see the RPRX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingProduct-Related Announcements
Royalty Pharma Gains From FDA Approval of MYQORZO
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Cytokinetics announced U.S. FDA approval of MYQORZO (aficamten), a cardiac myosin inhibitor indicated for adult patients with symptomatic obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, triggering economic benefits to Royalty Pharma under prior funding agreements. Royalty Pharma is entitled to a tiered royalty on MYQORZO sales—4.5% on sales up to $5 billion and 1% above that threshold—and has provided Cytokinetics with up to $450 million in long-term and launch capital related to the drug, of which $275 million has been drawn and $20 million repaid as of September 30, 2025, with total repayments to Royalty Pharma expected to reach 1.9 times the amounts drawn over 10 years, including up to an additional $175 million that Cytokinetics can access following approval, reinforcing Royalty Pharma’s future cash flow visibility and exposure to a newly approved cardiovascular therapy.

The most recent analyst rating on (RPRX) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Royalty Pharma stock, see the RPRX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 25, 2025