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Summit Therapeutics (SMMT)
NASDAQ:SMMT
US Market

Summit Therapeutics (SMMT) AI Stock Analysis

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Summit Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:SMMT)

53Neutral
Summit Therapeutics' stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including lack of revenue and ongoing losses, balanced by a strong equity position. Technical indicators show positive momentum, supporting short-term interest. Valuation remains weak due to negative earnings and no dividend. Positive clinical developments from the earnings call bolster the score, highlighting potential for future growth.
Positive Factors
Earnings Potential
Ivonescimab's potential market entry in 2026 with projected peak sales of $1.6B in 2L+ EGFR+ NSCLC indicates strong future revenue potential for Summit Therapeutics.
Financial Health
The company ended the quarter with $361.3 million in cash, reflecting strong financial health to support ongoing and future projects.
Strategic Partnerships
Multiple Investigator Sponsored Trials (ISTs) are approved or ongoing, and Phase 1b/2 trials combining Ivo and PFE's Vedotin ADCs are expected to start in the future, indicating strategic partnerships and future research plans.
Negative Factors
Interim Analysis
The market overreacted negatively to the lack of statistical significance in the interim analysis of the HARMONi-2 OS data, causing a sharp drop in SMMT shares.
Market Reaction
The market recently appeared disgruntled with the lack of statistical significance for the overall survival hazard ratio reported for HARMONi-2, sending SMMT shares down 36%.
Statistical Significance
The market reacted negatively to the lack of statistical significance for the overall survival hazard ratio, leading to a significant drop in SMMT shares.

Summit Therapeutics (SMMT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Summit Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSummit Therapeutics Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines to treat infectious diseases in the United States and Latin America. It conducts clinical programs focusing on Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI). The company's lead product candidate is ridinilazole, an orally administered small molecule antibiotic that is in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of CDI. It also offers SMT-738, for combating multidrug resistant infections primarily carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae infections; and DDS-04 series for the potential treatment of infections caused by the Enterobacteriaceae. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneySummit Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through collaboration and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships often involve upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties based on the commercial success of the developed products. Additionally, the company may receive government grants and funding from nonprofit organizations that support research and development of new antibiotics. As a clinical-stage company, Summit Therapeutics does not yet generate revenue from product sales, as its products are still in the development phase.

Summit Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Summit Therapeutics faces significant financial hurdles, characterized by non-existent revenue streams and substantial losses. While the balance sheet is bolstered by strong equity levels, cash flow challenges persist, indicating a need for strategic shifts to improve operational cash generation and profitability.
Income Statement
15
Very Negative
Summit Therapeutics shows no revenue generation in recent years, leading to negative profit margins. The gross profit margin and net profit margin remain negative due to the lack of revenue and substantial losses, indicating significant challenges in achieving profitability and growth in the biotech sector.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's balance sheet demonstrates a strong equity position relative to liabilities, with a low debt-to-equity ratio and a high equity ratio. However, sustained net losses have eroded overall equity growth, posing a risk to future financial stability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Operating cash flows are consistently negative, reflecting ongoing challenges in operational efficiency and cash generation. Despite positive financing cash flows, reliance on external funding could pose risks. Free cash flow trends remain negative, further highlighting cash management issues.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.00704.29K1.81M860.00K
Gross Profit
-15.01M-2.05M-1.81M1.81M860.00K
EBIT
313.00K-89.74M-72.09M-86.19M-53.19M
EBITDA
-212.85M1.00M-52.63M-62.74M-37.13M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-221.31M-614.93M-74.38M-86.15M-52.70M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
412.35M186.24M348.61M71.79M66.42M
Total Assets
435.56M202.95M664.17M113.37M102.50M
Total Debt
7.22M106.10M518.76M2.78M465.00K
Net Debt
-97.64M34.67M170.16M-69.01M-65.95M
Total Liabilities
46.81M125.26M537.51M30.09M23.05M
Stockholders Equity
388.75M77.69M126.65M83.28M79.45M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-142.25M-76.89M-42.21M-72.89M-48.53M
Operating Cash Flow
-142.11M-76.76M-41.58M-72.59M-48.11M
Investing Cash Flow
-205.34M-587.77M-624.00K-306.00K-421.00K
Financing Cash Flow
381.23M86.51M620.24M77.92M50.55M

Summit Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.90
Price Trends
50DMA
21.35
Positive
100DMA
20.55
Positive
200DMA
18.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.57
Positive
RSI
57.14
Neutral
STOCH
22.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMMT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.09, above the 50-day MA of 21.35, and above the 200-day MA of 18.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SMMT.

Summit Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Summit Therapeutics disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Summit Therapeutics reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Summit Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$13.23B12.1423.16%30.43%82.29%
80
Outperform
$10.91B22.3423.13%18.49%176.71%
77
Outperform
$11.89B28.209.64%17.35%151.40%
75
Outperform
$13.29B11.7619.94%19.85%21.16%
75
Outperform
$12.10B193.470.47%17.13%-88.78%
53
Neutral
$20.72B-94.89%80.00%
52
Neutral
$5.35B3.96-42.60%2.86%17.58%1.27%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMMT
Summit Therapeutics
27.90
23.43
524.16%
BMRN
BioMarin Pharmaceutical
62.03
-20.07
-24.45%
EXEL
Exelixis
39.60
17.70
80.82%
INCY
Incyte
62.53
8.45
15.63%
UTHR
United Therapeutics
294.60
34.09
13.09%
GMAB
Genmab
21.48
-7.55
-26.01%

Summit Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 13.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented significant positive developments, particularly the regulatory approval and promising interim results for ivonescimab, indicating strong progress in its clinical development. However, challenges such as limited market opportunities for specific trials and increased G&A expenses were noted. Overall, the positive highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Ivonescimab Approval in China
Ivonescimab received approval from the NMPA in China as a frontline monotherapy treatment for NSCLC patients with positive PD-L1 expression. This approval was based on positive progression-free survival (PFS) results from Akeso's HARMONi-2 trial, marking a significant regulatory milestone.
Positive Interim Analysis Results
An interim analysis of overall survival (OS) from the HARMONi-2 trial showed a clinically meaningful and strongly positive trend favoring ivonescimab with a hazard ratio of 0.777, indicating a potential 22% reduction in the risk of death compared to pembrolizumab.
HARMONi-6 Phase III Trial Success
Akeso's HARMONi-6 Phase III trial met its primary endpoint of progression-free survival in patients with advanced squamous NSCLC. The trial showed statistically significant improvement with ivonescimab plus chemotherapy versus tislelizumab plus chemotherapy.
Financial Position
The company ended the first quarter of 2025 with a strong cash position of approximately $361 million and is debt-free after paying off all debt in the fourth quarter of 2024.
Negative Updates
Limited Market Opportunity
The HARMONi trial represents a limited market opportunity compared to the frontline treatment for NSCLC, as it focuses on EGFR-mutant NSCLC after progression on a third-generation TKI.
Increased G&A Expenses
General and administrative (G&A) expenses increased to $15.6 million in Q1 2025 from $14.2 million in Q4 2024, primarily due to increased professional services to support the development of ivonescimab.
Company Guidance
During the Summit Therapeutics Q1 2025 earnings call, significant metrics and guidance regarding the development of their investigational asset, ivonescimab, were provided. The ongoing progress in ivonescimab's clinical trials was highlighted, with ivonescimab receiving approval from China's NMPA for frontline monotherapy in NSCLC patients with positive PD-L1 expression, based on positive progression-free survival (PFS) results from Akeso's HARMONi-2 trial. An interim analysis showed a 22% potential reduction in the risk of death with a hazard ratio of 0.777. Additionally, ivonescimab in combination with chemotherapy met its primary PFS endpoint in the HARMONi-6 trial, showing statistically significant improvement over tislelizumab combined with chemotherapy. Summit expects top-line data from their global HARMONi Phase III trial by mid-2025. Financially, Summit reported $361 million in cash and equivalent assets, with R&D expenses remaining steady at $51.2 million.

Summit Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Summit Therapeutics Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 1, 2025

Summit Therapeutics reported its financial results and operational progress for the first quarter of 2025. The company highlighted significant advancements in its ivonescimab clinical trials, including the HARMONi-6 study conducted by Akeso in China, which showed statistically significant improvements in progression-free survival for NSCLC patients. Ivonescimab received approval in China for a second indication, and the company continues to expand its clinical collaborations globally. Financially, Summit reported increased R&D expenses due to the expansion of clinical studies, resulting in a higher net loss compared to the previous year.

Spark’s Take on SMMT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, SMMT is a Neutral.

Summit Therapeutics’ overall stock score is 56, reflecting considerable challenges in financial performance with no revenue generation and negative cash flow. However, positive technical indicators and a strong strategic outlook, including collaborations and financial stability, offer some promise. The lack of traditional valuation metrics and uncertainties around trial timelines and strategic reliance on external partnerships are notable concerns.

To see Spark’s full report on SMMT stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Summit Therapeutics Highlights Q4 Results and FDA Fast Track
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

Summit Therapeutics reported its 2024 fourth-quarter financial results, highlighting advances in its clinical trials for ivonescimab, including a collaboration with Pfizer to explore novel treatments in solid tumor settings. The company also announced the completion of enrollment for its HARMONi trial and received Fast Track designation from the FDA, positioning itself as a key player in innovative oncology treatments. Financially, Summit recorded a significant decrease in operating expenses primarily due to reduced R&D costs, although it saw an increase in R&D spending linked to expanded clinical trials.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.