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Vivendi (VIVHY)
OTHER OTC:VIVHY

Vivendi (VIVHY) AI Stock Analysis

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VIVHY

Vivendi

(OTC:VIVHY)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-28.32% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/15/26
The score is held down primarily by highly volatile financial performance (sharp revenue decline, weak core operating profitability, and a significant 2025 cash-flow drop). Technicals add further pressure with a clear downtrend and very weak momentum. Valuation also detracts due to a high P/E and an unusually high dividend yield that may reflect elevated risk.
Positive Factors
Strategic equity stakes (UMG)
A meaningful stake in UMG provides durable optionality: steady dividend potential, the ability to crystallize value via selective disposals, and upside from long-term music industry monetization trends. This creates recurring non-operating income and portfolio upside independent of volatile operating results.
Negative Factors
Revenue collapse 2024–2025
A marked revenue collapse across 2024–2025 signals durable loss of operating scale or deconsolidation. Reduced top-line base limits operating leverage, makes margins harder to sustain, and weakens the company’s ability to generate predictable operating earnings and fund ongoing investments or distributions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strategic equity stakes (UMG)
A meaningful stake in UMG provides durable optionality: steady dividend potential, the ability to crystallize value via selective disposals, and upside from long-term music industry monetization trends. This creates recurring non-operating income and portfolio upside independent of volatile operating results.
Read all positive factors

Vivendi (VIVHY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vivendi Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Vivendi SE operates as a entertainment, media, and communication company in France, the rest of Europe, the Americas, Asia/Oceania, and Africa. It operates through Canal+ Group, Havas Group, Editis, Prisma Media, Gameloft, Vivendi Village, Corpora...
How the Company Makes Money
Vivendi primarily makes money through (1) income and value creation from its portfolio of equity stakes in media and entertainment companies and (2) revenue generated by any fully consolidated operating businesses it controls. A major component of...

Vivendi Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 06, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted successful spin-off operations and positive stock performance. However, the company faced challenges with declining revenues, particularly for Gameloft, and a significant net loss due to the spin-off. While there were notable achievements in certain segments, the overall financial performance showed some negative trends.
Positive Updates
Vivendi Stock Performance
Vivendi's stock rose by 15% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the SBF120 index.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue and EBITDA Decline
Revenue was reported at €297 million, with an EBITDA of minus 1%. The net earnings group shares were negatively impacted by €6 billion due to the split.
Read all updates
Q4-2024 Updates
Negative
Vivendi Stock Performance
Vivendi's stock rose by 15% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the SBF120 index.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During Vivendi's 2024 fiscal year earnings call, key metrics and guidance were highlighted. The company reported a portfolio valued at €7.1 billion, with a net asset value of €4.8 billion, equating to €4.69 per share. Revenue was noted at €297 million, with EBITDA at minus 1%. Adjusted net income stood at €111 million, while net earnings group shares were negatively impacted by €6 billion due to the split of assets. The group experienced a 15% rise in stock value since the start of the year, outperforming the SBF120 index. Gameloft, an operational asset, saw a revenue drop of 5.7% but improved EBITDA from €5 million to €8 million. The company also highlighted a 30% loan-to-value ratio, with a net debt of €2.72 billion. The management spoke about reducing corporate costs and a strategic plan to sell its stake in Telecom Italia, while emphasizing continued investment in Gameloft for organic growth and potential acquisitions. An ordinary dividend of €0.04 per share, representing a yield of 1.5%, was proposed for approval at the April 28 shareholders' meeting.

Vivendi Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are unstable: revenue collapses in 2024–2025 and profitability appears driven by non-operating items (2025 shows a small net profit despite deeply negative operating profit). Cash flow deteriorates sharply in 2025 after stronger 2023–2024, while the balance sheet is a relative support with manageable leverage but weak/volatile returns on equity.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
47
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue145.00M294.88M297.00M10.51B9.60B8.72B
Gross Profit44.00M64.36M86.00M4.82B4.24B3.85B
EBITDA-47.00M-74.92M101.00M-104.00M926.00M895.00M
Net Income30.00M19.21M-6.00B405.00M-1.01B24.69B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.33B6.95B7.93B38.25B31.28B33.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments240.00M201.91M107.00M2.19B2.55B4.46B
Total Debt1.98B1.73B2.69B9.11B4.43B5.15B
Total Liabilities2.51B2.25B3.34B21.01B13.68B14.17B
Stockholders Equity4.82B4.70B4.59B17.11B17.37B18.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-66.00M17.29M1.84B932.00M363.00M1.18B
Operating Cash Flow-64.00M20.17M1.84B937.00M748.00M1.64B
Investing Cash Flow994.00M1.07B-2.13B808.00M-695.00M-3.75B
Financing Cash Flow-796.00M-938.44M-1.83B-1.47B-1.44B4.43B

Vivendi Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.79
Price Trends
50DMA
2.46
Negative
100DMA
2.68
Negative
200DMA
3.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
21.57
Positive
STOCH
8.21
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIVHY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.17, above the 50-day MA of 2.46, and below the 200-day MA of 3.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 21.57 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VIVHY.

Vivendi Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$7.62B8.407.05%5.28%-2.80%
62
Neutral
$67.18B98.112.05%-4.29%
61
Neutral
$12.59B22.6148.36%2.47%4.37%-16.22%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
51
Neutral
$2.73B-14.3320.86%97.19%-21.46%
45
Neutral
$1.23B-64.47-1.49%-10.68%-127.54%
43
Neutral
$1.98B120.150.63%177.89%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIVHY
Vivendi
1.96
-0.93
-32.25%
SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings
22.76
1.32
6.18%
IQ
Iqiyi
1.27
-0.99
-43.81%
WMG
Warner Music Group
24.10
-6.46
-21.13%
LION
Lionsgate Studios
9.40
1.86
24.67%
WBD
Warner Bros
27.09
16.36
152.47%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 15, 2026