Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $7.31B
• Dividend Yield: 4.97%
• Average Volume (3M): 3.85M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.8
• Beta (1Y): 1.28
• Revenue Growth: -2.80%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: US
• Employees: 5,515
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 97
• Industry: Entertainment
• EPS (TTM): 0.84
• Shares Outstanding: 336,740,450
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,070,440
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,846,244
• PEG Ratio: 0.02
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.70
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.89
• P/FCF Ratio: 7.61
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.50
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.14
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.49
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 7.81
• 1Y Price Target: $22.75
• Price Target Upside: 4.74% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8
• EPS Forecast (FY): 2.79
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $8.54B

• Rating: 54 Neutral
• Price Target: $22.00 ▲(1.29% Upside)

Sirius XM Holdings' overall stock score is driven by mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While the company shows strong cash flow and profitability, declining revenue growth and unattractive valuation metrics weigh on the score. The earnings call provided some optimism with improved guidance and cost savings, but challenges in subscriber metrics and market momentum persist.

Positive Factors

Cash Flow Growth

Robust cash flow growth indicates effective cash management and operational efficiency, providing the company with financial flexibility for strategic investments.

Podcast Ad Revenue Growth

Significant growth in podcast ad revenue highlights successful diversification and strengthens the company's position in the digital advertising market.

Increased Guidance

Raising guidance reflects management's confidence in future growth prospects and strategic initiatives, enhancing long-term shareholder value.

Negative Factors

Decline in Subscriber Revenue

A decline in subscriber revenue suggests challenges in maintaining subscriber growth, which could impact long-term revenue stability.

Flat Total Revenue

Flat revenue growth indicates potential stagnation in core business areas, which may hinder future expansion and profitability.

Negative Self-Pay Net Adds

Negative self-pay net additions reflect difficulties in attracting and retaining subscribers, posing a risk to sustained revenue growth.

Sirius XM Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a leading audio entertainment company based in the United States, primarily known for its satellite radio service. Established in 1990, Sirius XM operates in the audio entertainment sector, offering a wide range of music, talk, news, and sports programming. The company provides its services through multiple platforms, including satellite radio, online streaming, and mobile applications, catering to millions of subscribers across North America. Its core offerings include over 150 channels of content, featuring exclusive programs and partnerships with popular personalities and brands.

How the Company Makes Money

Sirius XM generates revenue primarily through subscription fees from its satellite radio and streaming services. The company offers various subscription plans, including individual and family options, which contribute significantly to its recurring revenue. Additionally, Sirius XM earns revenue from advertising sales on its non-premium channels, as well as through partnerships and content agreements with other media companies and brands. The company also monetizes its services by selling premium add-on features, such as enhanced music services and exclusive content packages. Strategic partnerships with automotive manufacturers to integrate its services into vehicles further bolster its subscriber base and revenue streams.

Sirius XM Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Sirius XM Holdings shows a mixed financial performance. While the company maintains profitability with a reasonable gross profit margin of 47.64% and a net profit margin of 11.61%, revenue growth has declined by 14%. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but shareholder returns are modest. Strong cash flow growth of 22.42% indicates robust cash management.

Income Statement

Sirius XM Holdings shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 14%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a reasonable gross profit margin of 47.64% and a net profit margin of 11.61%, indicating profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also positive at 14.93% and 22.55%, respectively, showing operational efficiency. Despite the revenue decline, the company remains profitable, which is a positive sign.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage. However, the return on equity is modest at 8.79%, suggesting limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not directly available, but the overall asset base is substantial. The company's financial stability is supported by its low leverage, but the return metrics could be improved.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows strong free cash flow growth of 22.42% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.55, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.64, both reflecting efficient cash conversion. The positive cash flow metrics suggest robust cash management and operational efficiency.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	8.55B	8.70B	8.95B	9.00B	8.70B	8.04B
Gross Profit	4.08B	4.20B	4.38B	4.52B	4.40B	4.10B
EBITDA	2.34B	-747.00M	2.54B	2.61B	2.52B	1.39B
Net Income	993.00M	-1.67B	1.26B	1.21B	1.31B	131.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	27.40B	27.52B	30.06B	10.02B	10.27B	10.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	79.00M	162.00M	306.00M	57.00M	191.00M	71.00M
Total Debt	10.08B	10.42B	11.49B	9.82B	9.24B	8.97B
Total Liabilities	15.85B	16.45B	16.95B	13.37B	12.90B	12.62B
Stockholders Equity	11.56B	11.07B	10.08B	-3.35B	-2.63B	-2.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.22B	1.01B	1.18B	1.55B	1.61B	1.67B
Operating Cash Flow	1.90B	1.74B	1.83B	1.98B	2.00B	2.02B
Investing Cash Flow	-766.00M	-970.00M	-696.00M	-548.00M	-200.00M	-741.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.18B	-916.00M	-1.19B	-1.56B	-1.68B	-1.31B

Sirius XM Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 21.72
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SIRI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 21.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.52, below the 50-day MA of 22.23, and below the 200-day MA of 22.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SIRI.

Sirius XM Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
WMG	63 Neutral	$15.53B	52.72	54.66%	2.41%	1.36%	-45.79%
Sector *	60 Neutral	$48.67B	4.58	-11.27%	4.14%	2.83%	-41.78%
IQ	60 Neutral	$2.12B	173.44	0.67%	―	-10.86%	-94.68%
DLPN	55 Neutral	$18.45M	-0.77	-101.62%	―	4.84%	-9.71%
SIRI	54 Neutral	$7.31B	7.83	8.86%	4.97%	-2.80%	―
LION	48 Neutral	$2.03B	―	―	―	97.19%	-21.46%
ANGH	41 Neutral	$18.69M	-0.25	―	―	88.72%	-85.54%

Sirius XM Holdings Corporate Events

SiriusXM Earnings Call: Balanced Sentiment and Growth Outlook

SiriusXM’s recent earnings call presented a balanced sentiment, highlighting both achievements and challenges. The company reported strong gains in podcast ad revenue and cost savings, while total revenue remained flat and subscriber revenue saw a decline. This balanced sentiment underscores the company’s effective cost management and growth in new segments, despite facing challenges in subscriber metrics.

SiriusXM’s Q3 2025: Revenue Steady, Profitability Rises

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a leading audio entertainment company in North America, offering a wide range of audio services including satellite radio, streaming music, and podcasting through its flagship SiriusXM and Pandora platforms. In its third quarter of 2025, SiriusXM reported revenue of $2.16 billion, a slight decrease from the previous year, but a significant turnaround in net income to $297 million from a loss in the same quarter last year. The company also reported an adjusted EBITDA of $676 million and free cash flow of $257 million. Despite a minor decline in subscriber revenue, SiriusXM’s strategic initiatives in digital advertising and podcasting have shown promising growth. The company has introduced new content and subscription plans, such as the ad-supported SiriusXM Play, to broaden its audience reach and enhance advertiser engagement. Looking ahead, SiriusXM has raised its financial guidance for 2025, reflecting confidence in its strategic direction and ability to deliver sustainable profitability.

Sirius XM Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results

Sirius XM Holdings reported its third quarter 2025 financial results, showing a revenue of $2.16 billion, a slight decrease from the previous year, but a significant improvement in net income to $297 million compared to a loss in 2024. The company increased its financial guidance for 2025, reflecting confidence in its strategy to enhance subscriber experience and expand its digital advertising and podcasting businesses. Despite a decrease in subscriber revenue and adjusted EBITDA, SiriusXM maintained strong margins and continued to innovate in programming and advertising, including launching new subscription plans and expanding its podcast network.

The most recent analyst rating on (SIRI) stock is a Sell with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sirius XM Holdings stock, see the SIRI Stock Forecast page.

Sirius XM Holdings Expands Board, Appoints New Director

On September 5, 2025, Sirius XM Holdings Inc. announced an increase in the size of its Board of Directors from nine to ten members, appointing Dave Stephenson as a new independent director effective September 18, 2025. Stephenson, who holds extensive experience in technology and e-commerce from his roles at Airbnb and Amazon, is expected to contribute significantly to SiriusXM’s strategic direction and growth, particularly in maintaining financial strength and enhancing listener experiences. His appointment is seen as a strategic move to leverage his expertise in operations, finance, and strategy to benefit SiriusXM’s transformation journey and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (SIRI) stock is a Sell with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sirius XM Holdings stock, see the SIRI Stock Forecast page.

Sirius XM Extends Credit Facility to 2030

On August 20, 2025, Sirius XM Radio LLC amended its existing credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank and other lenders. This amendment extends the maturity of its revolving credit facility to August 31, 2030, and increases its principal amount to $2 billion, enhancing Sirius XM’s financial flexibility for future operations and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (SIRI) stock is a Sell with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sirius XM Holdings stock, see the SIRI Stock Forecast page.

Sirius XM Holdings Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a leading audio entertainment company in North America, offering a diverse range of content through its subscription service SiriusXM, ad-supported and premium music streaming services of Pandora, and an expansive podcast network. The company serves approximately 160 million listeners monthly with a mix of live, on-demand, and curated programming across various genres.

Sirius XM’s Mixed Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges

Sirius XM Holdings recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed performance for the quarter. The company showcased strong growth in podcast ad revenue and successful cost-saving measures. However, these positive aspects were overshadowed by declines in revenue and EBITDA, as well as challenges in the advertising market. Despite these hurdles, Sirius XM is actively pursuing strategic initiatives, including new subscription plans and content partnerships, to foster future growth.