Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $7.21B
• Dividend Yield: 5.07%
• Average Volume (3M): 3.92M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.44
• Revenue Growth: -3.75%
• EPS Growth: -253.95%
• Country: US
• Employees: 5,515
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 81
• Industry: Entertainment
• EPS (TTM): 0.57
• Shares Outstanding: 336,740,450
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,024,198
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,915,254
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.54
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 2.14
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 4.45
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -13.25
• 1Y Price Target: $22.80
• Price Target Upside: 6.44% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 10

• Rating: 49 Neutral
• Price Target: $21.00 ▼(-1.96% Downside)

The overall stock score for Sirius XM Holdings is heavily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including declining profitability and negative earnings, which pose solvency risks. The technical analysis also presents bearish signals, further weighing down the score. Despite this, the optimism from the earnings call regarding strategic growth initiatives and cost management provides some positive outlook, albeit limited. Valuation concerns remain due to a negative P/E ratio, though the high dividend yield offers a slight offset for income-focused investors.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

The dividend now yields 5.0%, indicating a strong return on investment.

Innovation

SiriusXM remains a top innovator in audio advertising technology, including a new agreement for an ad initiative with AI-generated voice replicas while maintaining human likeness control.

Revenue Growth

Ad-supported Sirius product in early stages could improve monetization potential.

Negative Factors

Advertising Challenges

The company is struggling to gain advertising traction, which is affecting Pandora results.

Market Concerns

Concerns over new car affordability, even for middle-income households, present a perceptual issue for SiriusXM’s market.

Revenue Risks

Advertisers are moving quickly to cut digital spend due to macroeconomic fears, which could pose a risk to revenue and AEBITDA guidance.

Sirius XM Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. provides satellite radio services on a subscription fee basis in the United States. It broadcasts music, sports, entertainment, comedy, talk, news, traffic, and weather channels, including various music genres, such as rock, pop and hip-hop, country, dance, jazz, Latin, and classical; live play-by-play sports from various leagues and colleges; various talk and entertainment channels for a range of audiences; national, international, and financial news; and limited run channels. The company also provides streaming service that includes a range of music and non-music channels, and podcasts, as well as channels that are not available on its satellite radio service; and offers applications to allow consumers to access its streaming service on smartphones, tablets, computers, home devices, and other consumer electronic equipment, as well as connected vehicle services. In addition, it distributes satellite radios through automakers and retailers, as well as its website. Further, the company provides location-based services through two-way wireless connectivity, including safety, security, convenience, remote vehicles diagnostic, maintenance and data, and stolen or parked vehicle locator services. Additionally, it offers satellite television services, which offer music channels on the DISH Network satellite television service as a programming package; Travel Link, a suite of data services that include graphical weather, fuel prices, sports schedule and scores, and movie listings; and real-time traffic and weather services. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Sirius XM Holdings Inc. is a subsidiary of Liberty Media Corporation.

How the Company Makes Money

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. generates revenue primarily through subscription fees paid by individuals and businesses for access to its satellite radio and streaming services. Additionally, the company earns money from advertising on its Pandora platform, which allows users to access streaming music and podcasts supported by ads. Another significant revenue stream comes from partnerships with automotive manufacturers, who integrate SiriusXM services into new vehicles, often including trial subscriptions that can convert into paid subscriptions. The company also benefits from licensing and distribution agreements, further enhancing its revenue through diverse content offerings and strategic collaborations.

Sirius XM Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Sirius XM Holdings faces significant challenges, particularly with recent operational losses impacting profitability. The income statement reveals declining net income and negative margins, while the balance sheet shows moderate stability with some recovery in equity. Cash flow remains robust, indicating efficient cash management, but challenges in free cash flow growth reflect operational difficulties.

Income Statement

The income statement reveals a concerning decline in net income, with the latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) showing a negative net profit margin of -19.16%. While previous years showed profitability, the recent downturn poses significant challenges. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, and current negative EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

Despite the negative net income, the balance sheet shows a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio improvement due to a reduction in total debt. The equity ratio is stable, but the financial health is somewhat undermined by fluctuating stockholder equity, which recently turned positive. This indicates moderate financial stability but potential risks from past negative equity.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows a healthy operating cash flow, with a positive free cash flow despite the net income losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. However, the decline in free cash flow growth is a concern, reflecting challenges in sustaining cash reserves.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	8.56B	8.70B	8.95B	9.00B	8.70B	8.04B
Gross Profit	4.12B	4.20B	4.38B	4.52B	4.40B	4.10B
EBITDA	-1.38B	-747.00M	2.54B	2.61B	2.52B	1.39B
Net Income	-1.76B	-1.67B	1.26B	1.21B	1.31B	131.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	27.33B	27.52B	10.37B	10.02B	10.27B	10.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	92.00M	162.00M	216.00M	57.00M	191.00M	71.00M
Total Debt	61.00M	10.38B	9.53B	9.82B	9.24B	8.97B
Total Liabilities	16.00B	16.45B	12.94B	13.37B	12.90B	12.62B
Stockholders Equity	11.33B	11.07B	-2.56B	-3.35B	-2.63B	-2.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	999.00M	1.01B	1.20B	1.55B	1.61B	1.67B
Operating Cash Flow	1.73B	1.74B	1.85B	1.98B	2.00B	2.02B
Investing Cash Flow	-810.00M	-970.00M	-686.00M	-548.00M	-200.00M	-741.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-996.00M	-916.00M	-1.00B	-1.56B	-1.68B	-1.31B

Sirius XM Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 21.42
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SIRI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.56, below the 50-day MA of 22.39, and below the 200-day MA of 22.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SIRI.

Sirius XM Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FOXA	81 Outperform	$22.93B	11.00	19.96%	1.00%	15.70%	26.73%
DIS	73 Outperform	$202.14B	17.63	11.01%	0.89%	5.00%	144.65%
ROKU	70 Outperform	$12.26B	―	-2.47%	―	17.32%	87.79%
NWSA	69 Neutral	$16.95B	35.03	5.69%	0.70%	-11.42%	75.42%
Sector *	57 Neutral	€327.07M	-7.21	2.14%	4.49%	13.34%	-265.59%
WBD	57 Neutral	$27.01B	36.13	2.18%	―	-5.58%	-254.85%
SIRI	49 Neutral	$7.21B	―	-38.19%	5.07%	-3.75%	-253.95%

Sirius XM Holdings Corporate Events

Sirius XM Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results

On July 31, 2025, Sirius XM Holdings announced its second quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a revenue of $2.14 billion, a 2% decrease from the previous year. The company achieved a net income of $205 million, with diluted EPS of $0.57, and an adjusted EBITDA of $668 million. Despite the revenue decline, SiriusXM maintained a healthy EBITDA margin and generated $402 million in free cash flow, reflecting disciplined cost management and strategic investments. The company also highlighted improvements in subscriber trends and content agreements, including a new deal with Stephen A. Smith, and significant growth in podcast revenue. SiriusXM returned $137 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, while reaffirming its full-year 2025 financial guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (SIRI) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sirius XM Holdings stock, see the SIRI Stock Forecast page.

Sirius XM Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting

On May 28, 2025, Sirius XM Holdings Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made. Stockholders elected Eddy W. Hartenstein, Kristina M. Salen, and Jennifer C. Witz as Class I directors. Additionally, a non-binding advisory vote determined that a Say-on-Pay vote on executive compensation should occur annually, with the board’s decision on this frequency to be filed later. Furthermore, the appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accountants for 2025 was ratified by the stockholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SIRI) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sirius XM Holdings stock, see the SIRI Stock Forecast page.