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Lionsgate Studios (LION)
NYSE:LION
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Lionsgate Studios (LION) AI Stock Analysis

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LION

Lionsgate Studios

(NYSE:LION)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▼(-7.69% Downside)
Lionsgate Studios' stock is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by revenue volatility, persistent losses, and high leverage. Technical analysis shows neutral indicators, lacking strong momentum. The negative P/E ratio and absence of a dividend yield further weigh down the stock's valuation.
Positive Factors
Diversified Revenue Streams
Lionsgate's diversified revenue streams from films, TV, and digital platforms provide resilience against market fluctuations and support long-term growth.
Partnerships in Digital Media
Collaborations with platforms like Roblox enhance Lionsgate's digital presence, engaging younger audiences and expanding market reach sustainably.
Intellectual Property Monetization
Leveraging a rich IP catalog for merchandising boosts Lionsgate's revenue potential and strengthens its competitive position in the entertainment industry.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, limiting Lionsgate's ability to invest in growth opportunities and potentially impacting long-term financial stability.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow indicates challenges in covering operational costs, which could hinder Lionsgate's ability to sustain operations and invest in new projects.
Revenue Volatility
Revenue volatility and ongoing losses highlight operational challenges, affecting Lionsgate's ability to achieve consistent financial performance and growth.

Lionsgate Studios (LION) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Lionsgate Studios Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLionsgate Studios (NASDAQ: LION) is one of the world’s leading standalone, pure play, publicly-traded content companies. It brings together diversified motion picture and television production and distribution businesses, a world-class portfolio of valuable brands and franchises, a talent management and production powerhouse and a more than 20,000-title film and television library, all driven by Lionsgate’s bold and entrepreneurial culture.
How the Company Makes MoneyLionsgate generates revenue through several key streams, including theatrical distribution of films, television licensing, and digital streaming. The company earns money by producing and distributing films that perform well at the box office, as well as through licensing content to television networks and streaming platforms. Additionally, Lionsgate benefits from home entertainment sales, including DVD and Blu-ray sales, as well as digital downloads and rentals. The company has established significant partnerships with various streaming services, which provide a steady revenue influx through licensing agreements. Furthermore, Lionsgate's extensive catalog of intellectual properties allows it to monetize its content through merchandising and ancillary products, contributing to its overall earnings.

Lionsgate Studios Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a mix of strong financial performance in the quarter and record library revenue, alongside challenges such as a decline in television segment profit and the delay of a major film project. Despite some setbacks, the highlights of revenue growth and strategic achievements suggest an overall positive outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Separation from Starz
Lionsgate completed the separation from Starz and began trading under the ticker symbol LION, which is expected to unlock significant value for shareholders and simplify the capital structure.
Record Library Revenue
Lionsgate achieved a record performance in its library segment with trailing twelve-month revenue of $956 million, driven by a strong fourth quarter.
Motion Picture Group Performance
Motion Picture revenue was up 28% year over year to $526 million, with segment profit reaching a ten-year high of $135 million, up 65% year over year.
Strong Financial Quarter
Lionsgate Studios revenue was up 22% year over year to $1.1 billion. Adjusted OIBDA was up 49% to $138 million, and operating income increased significantly to $94 million.
Television Group Achievements
The TV group secured key series renewals and launched new shows, including Seth Rogen's 'The Studio,' which became an Emmy contender and was renewed for a second season.
Negative Updates
Television Segment Profit Decline
While television revenue increased by 16% year over year to $543 million, segment profit was down 23% year over year, facing tough comparisons with the previous year.
Delay of Michael Jackson Biopic
The release of the Michael Jackson biopic is likely to be delayed out of fiscal 2026, impacting financial results for that year but bolstering the fiscal 2027 slate.
Annual Profit Decline
Adjusted OIBDA for the year was down 8% to $302 million, and operating income was down 11% to $125 million, with reported fully diluted earnings per share showing a loss of $0.43.
Company Guidance
During the Lionsgate Studios Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company outlined several financial metrics and strategic initiatives. For the quarter, Lionsgate's revenue increased by 22% year over year to $1.1 billion, with adjusted OIBDA rising 49% to $138 million and operating income reaching $94 million. The quarterly library revenue set a record at $340 million, while the full-year revenue was up 7% to $3.2 billion. However, adjusted OIBDA for the year dropped by 8% to $302 million, and operating income decreased by 11% to $125 million. The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of $256 million for the quarter and a positive adjusted free cash flow of $395 million. The fiscal year saw a trailing twelve-month library revenue of $956 million, growing 8% year over year. Lionsgate's Motion Picture Group performed well, with revenue up 28% year over year to $526 million, while the Television Group secured several series renewals and launched new content. Looking forward, the company anticipates a strong fiscal 2027 slate and expects positive free cash flow over the next two years, supported by a robust pipeline of film and TV projects.

Lionsgate Studios Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lionsgate Studios is facing significant financial challenges. The income statement shows profitability issues with negative margins, and the balance sheet is concerning due to a high debt-to-equity ratio and negative stockholders' equity. Cash flow metrics indicate liquidity problems, with negative free cash flow and operational inefficiencies.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Lionsgate Studios has experienced fluctuating revenue with a slight decrease in TTM. The company shows a negative net profit margin and EBITDA margin, indicating profitability challenges. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly in the TTM, reflecting increasing cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's high debt-to-equity ratio is concerning, with negative stockholders' equity indicating potential solvency issues. Despite this, the asset base has expanded over the years, which may provide some stability. However, the negative equity ratio highlights financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow metrics are weak, with negative free cash flow in the TTM, indicating liquidity concerns. Operating cash flow has turned negative in the TTM, reflecting operational inefficiencies. The cash flow to net income ratios indicate challenges in converting income to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2020Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.13B3.20B2.99B3.08B1.91B17.87M
Gross Profit939.70M985.50M1.10B875.90M692.90M17.87M
EBITDA1.73B1.77B334.80M1.87B922.30M96.59M
Net Income-194.00M-128.50M-93.50M-300.00K-19.60M43.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.16B5.12B5.10B4.41B3.69B4.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments186.10M205.70M312.60M210.90M361.30M262.30M
Total Debt1.67B1.67B4.10B3.18B2.35B260.47M
Total Liabilities6.16B6.04B6.13B4.85B3.71B4.29B
Stockholders Equity-1.15B-1.08B-1.15B-780.40M-236.90M446.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-111.30M-120.30M479.00M339.60M-242.60M156.79M
Operating Cash Flow-98.50M-106.80M488.90M346.10M-232.40M166.43M
Investing Cash Flow3.80M-35.40M-331.80M31.30M-300.00K-236.15M
Financing Cash Flow39.30M84.50M-74.90M-394.50M365.00M95.71M

Lionsgate Studios Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.50
Price Trends
50DMA
6.51
Negative
100DMA
6.36
Positive
200DMA
6.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
54.16
Neutral
STOCH
87.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LION, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.28, below the 50-day MA of 6.51, and below the 200-day MA of 6.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LION.

Lionsgate Studios Risk Analysis

Lionsgate Studios disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lionsgate Studios reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lionsgate Studios Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$200.79B17.5111.01%0.89%5.00%144.65%
$24.96B12.1019.96%0.90%16.60%57.39%
$463.86B45.7342.86%15.49%35.53%
$52.36B70.032.18%-3.79%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
$17.80B-654.74-0.11%1.21%-1.75%99.73%
$1.87B432.48%-930.72%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LION
Lionsgate Studios
6.50
-0.37
-5.39%
PSKY
Paramount Skydance
16.56
6.25
60.62%
DIS
Walt Disney
112.34
17.04
17.88%
NFLX
Netflix
1,094.56
335.12
44.13%
FOXA
Fox
61.27
19.66
47.25%
WBD
Warner Bros
21.04
13.49
178.68%

Lionsgate Studios Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Lionsgate Studios Expands Credit Facility to $1.25 Billion
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On September 30, 2024, Lionsgate Studios Corp. subsidiaries entered into a senior secured amortizing term credit facility, initially valued at $455 million, secured by intellectual property rights from library titles. Over the following year, the facility’s maximum principal amount was increased multiple times, reaching $1.25 billion by September 26, 2025, through a series of amendments and waivers, reflecting Lionsgate’s strategic financial maneuvers to leverage its intellectual property assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (LION) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Lionsgate Studios stock, see the LION Stock Forecast page.

Lionsgate Studios Faces Potential Risks from Shareholder Rights Plan and BC Act Provisions
Aug 13, 2025

Lionsgate Studios Corp. faces potential business risks due to certain provisions under the Business Corporations Act (British Columbia) and the adoption of a shareholder rights plan. These measures may delay or prevent a change in control, potentially discouraging takeover bids that shareholders might find favorable. The BC Act allows for specific shareholder actions, such as proposing changes or requisitioning meetings, but requires significant ownership thresholds, potentially limiting shareholder influence. Additionally, the rights plan could cause dilution for unapproved acquisition attempts, further deterring changes in management or control that could benefit shareholders.

Lionsgate Studios Reports First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Lionsgate Studios Corp., a leading content company, operates in the motion picture and television production sectors, known for its diverse portfolio of brands and franchises. In its first quarter of fiscal 2026, Lionsgate reported a studio revenue of $556 million but faced a net loss of $94 million from continuing operations. The company is navigating a transitional year post-separation from STARZ, with plans to release major film tentpoles and double its scripted television series deliveries in the coming fiscal year. Key financial highlights include a 12% increase in trailing 12-month library revenue to a record $989 million, while the television production segment saw a 20% revenue increase and a significant profit rise. Looking ahead, Lionsgate’s management remains focused on strategic growth initiatives, including expanding its film and television library and exploring new platforms, aiming for a return to solid growth by fiscal 2027.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2025