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Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK)
:VIK
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Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK) AI Stock Analysis

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VIK

Viking Holdings Ltd

(NYSE:VIK)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$66.00
▲(9.45% Upside)
Viking Holdings Ltd's overall stock score is driven by a positive earnings call and strong technical indicators, suggesting bullish momentum. However, financial performance concerns, particularly high leverage and negative equity, along with a high P/E ratio, weigh down the score. The absence of a dividend yield further impacts the valuation negatively.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Viking's offerings, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term financial health.
Fleet Expansion
Fleet and itinerary expansion positions Viking for future growth, allowing it to capture more market share and meet increasing demand.
Cash Position
A strong cash position provides Viking with the flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial resources, limiting Viking's ability to invest in new projects and impacting long-term financial stability.
Declining Free Cash Flow
Declining free cash flow growth may hinder Viking's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, affecting its long-term sustainability.
Negative Equity
Negative equity indicates financial instability, posing risks to Viking's ability to secure financing and invest in future growth.

Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Viking Holdings Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionViking Holdings Ltd engages in the passenger shipping and other forms of passenger transport in North America, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through River and Ocean segments. The company also operates as a tour entrepreneur for passengers and related activities in tourism. As of December 31, 2023, it operated a fleet of 92 ships, including 81 river vessels comprising 58 Longships, 10 smaller classes based on the Longship design, 11 other river vessels, and 1 river vessel charter and the Viking Mississippi; 9 ocean ships; and 2 expedition ships. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Pembroke, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyViking Holdings Ltd generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its investments in real estate and technology sectors. In real estate, the company earns income from property rentals, sales of developed properties, and capital appreciation of its assets. In the technology sector, VIK invests in startups and established firms, profiting from equity stakes, dividends, and resale of shares. Additionally, its renewable energy projects contribute to revenues through energy sales and government incentives for sustainable practices. The company may also enter into strategic partnerships with other firms, enhancing its market access and operational capabilities, which further supports its revenue generation efforts.

Viking Holdings Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 19, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with strong revenue and booking growth, significant EBITDA increases, and strategic expansion of their fleet and itineraries. However, challenges such as rising vessel expenses, increased SG&A costs, and currency fluctuation impacts were noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Net yield increased 8%, and capacity grew by 8.8%, resulting in an 18.5% increase in revenue year-over-year to $1.9 billion.
High Booking Levels
96% of 2025 capacity is already booked, and 55% of 2026 capacity is sold, with advanced bookings showing significant increases compared to previous years.
Fleet and Itinerary Expansion
Expansion with the addition of Viking Vesta and Viking Amun, as well as new itineraries in India starting in 2027, with strong initial demand.
Significant EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $633 million, a 28.5% increase from the previous year.
Solid Financial Position
Total cash and cash equivalents of $2.6 billion and an undrawn revolver facility of $375 million, with a net leverage of 2.1x.
Negative Updates
Increased Vessel Expenses
Vessel expenses, excluding fuel, per capacity PCD increased 8.2% due to itinerary mix changes and higher port charges.
SG&A Expenses Rise
Increased investments in teams and sales and marketing to support future growth, reflecting a rise in SG&A expenses.
Currency Fluctuation Impact
Unrealized FX losses on euro-denominated loans, translating to an $0.11 impact on adjusted EPS for Q2.
Company Guidance
During Viking's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance reflecting strong performance and future growth expectations. In Q2 2025, Viking reported an 8% increase in net yield, combined with an 8.8% capacity growth, resulting in an 18.5% year-over-year revenue increase. The company noted that 96% of the 2025 capacity for its core products is already booked, with a strong start for 2026 bookings where 55% of the capacity is sold at higher rates than the previous year. Viking's fleet expansion included the addition of the Viking Vesta to its ocean fleet and the Viking Amun to its river operations on the Nile. Financially, Viking's adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 rose 28.5% year-over-year to $633 million, with net income improving by nearly $280 million. The company also highlighted a $439 million net income for the quarter, a 25.8% increase from 2024, and maintained a favorable net leverage of 2.1x as of June 30, 2025. Viking's strategic focus on destination-centric travel continues to drive strong advanced bookings and capacity expansion, with plans to add new itineraries in India starting in 2027.

Viking Holdings Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Viking Holdings Ltd demonstrates a mixed financial performance. While revenue and profitability have improved, high leverage and negative equity present significant risks. Cash flow generation is adequate, but declining free cash flow growth is a concern. The company needs to address its leverage and equity issues to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Viking Holdings Ltd has shown a positive revenue growth trend with a 5.3% increase in the latest TTM period. The company has improved its profitability, with a net profit margin rising to 9.8% from 2.9% in the previous annual report. The gross profit margin remains strong at around 40.8%. However, the company has experienced fluctuations in EBITDA margins, indicating potential volatility in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk. The company's equity is negative, which is concerning, but there has been a slight improvement in the return on equity, moving from negative to a less negative position. The equity ratio remains low, reflecting limited financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 34.8% in the latest TTM period, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting that the company is generating sufficient cash from operations relative to its net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also positive, indicating some level of cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.81B5.33B4.71B3.18B625.10M
Gross Profit2.46B2.22B1.86B747.10M-291.59M
EBITDA1.44B811.16M-1.11B1.14B-1.50B
Net Income824.48M152.33M-1.86B398.56M-2.11B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.12B10.12B8.50B7.86B7.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.44B2.34B1.59B1.25B1.91B
Total Debt5.66B5.57B5.55B6.84B6.22B
Total Liabilities10.84B10.34B13.85B11.35B11.57B
Stockholders Equity275.13M-222.73M-5.35B-3.50B-3.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow778.83M1.16B695.00M-970.33M-599.58M
Operating Cash Flow2.26B2.08B1.37B-15.44M359.81M
Investing Cash Flow-1.42B-853.71M-634.23M-856.38M-677.39M
Financing Cash Flow-78.52M-247.90M-479.65M322.04M1.31B

Viking Holdings Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price60.30
Price Trends
50DMA
60.41
Negative
100DMA
54.79
Positive
200DMA
49.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Positive
RSI
44.60
Neutral
STOCH
16.62
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 60.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 62.43, below the 50-day MA of 60.41, and above the 200-day MA of 49.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VIK.

Viking Holdings Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
88.79B24.4639.30%0.93%12.10%37.89%
73
Outperform
49.37B20.9411.97%0.37%17.73%27.95%
72
Outperform
27.57B26.33133.13%0.54%5.69%47.33%
70
Outperform
11.32B18.0245.82%5.23%66.94%
67
Neutral
$26.74B32.3934.73%17.72%
66
Neutral
9.01B107.407.91%18.13%-55.21%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIK
Viking Holdings Ltd
60.30
25.41
72.83%
TCOM
Trip.com Group Sponsored ADR
75.92
16.76
28.33%
EXPE
Expedia
222.87
75.79
51.53%
MMYT
Makemytrip
94.67
1.72
1.85%
RCL
Royal Caribbean
326.89
151.59
86.47%
NCLH
Norwegian Cruise Line
25.04
4.53
22.09%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 25, 2025