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Umicore (OTC) (UMICY)
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Umicore SA (UMICY) AI Stock Analysis

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UMICY

Umicore SA

(OTC:UMICY)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(5.71% Upside)
Umicore's stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with significant profitability challenges but a strong balance sheet. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, although the stock is overbought. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with strategic improvements, but valuation concerns persist due to a high P/E ratio. The overall score is primarily driven by financial stability and positive earnings guidance.

Umicore SA (UMICY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Umicore SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUmicore SA operates as a materials technology and recycling company worldwide. The company operates through Catalysis, Energy & Surface Technologies, and Recycling segments. The Catalysis segment produces automotive catalysts for gasoline, and diesel light and heavy-duty diesel applications; stationary catalysis for industrial emissions control; and precious metals-based compounds and catalysts for use in the pharmaceutical and fine chemicals industries, as well as fuel cell applications. The Energy & Surface Technologies segment offers cobalt and specialty materials, rechargeable battery materials, and electro-optic materials, as well as metal deposition solutions, including electroplating and PVD coating. The Recycling segment treats waste streams containing precious and other specialty metals from a range of industrial residues and end-of-life materials. This segment also produces precious metals-based materials for glass production, electric, and electronic applications. The company was formerly known as Union Minière du Haut Katanga and changed its name to Umicore SA in 2001. Umicore SA was founded in 1805 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium.
How the Company Makes MoneyUmicore generates revenue through diverse streams primarily centered around its core business segments. The Catalysis segment earns money by providing innovative catalytic solutions to automotive manufacturers, which is crucial for meeting stringent emissions regulations. The Recycling segment contributes significantly by processing end-of-life products, such as electronics and batteries, to recover valuable metals, thereby creating a sustainable loop. Additionally, the Energy and Surface Technologies division generates revenue through the production of materials for batteries and electronic applications. Key partnerships with major automotive companies, battery manufacturers, and technology firms enhance revenue opportunities, while a strong focus on sustainability and environmental compliance positions Umicore favorably in the growing market for clean technologies.

Umicore SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong performance in Catalysis and operational efficiency improvements. However, challenges remain in the Battery Materials Solutions segment, and the impact of metal price volatility and foreign exchange headwinds continue to be areas of concern.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Encouraging H1 2025 Performance
Umicore reported revenues of EUR 1.8 billion and an EBITDA of EUR 433 million, which is well up from last year. The return on capital was 16.4%, with a solid EBITDA margin of 24.3%.
Strong Performance Across Business Groups
Catalysis achieved a return on capital of 43.7%, Recycling 154%, and Specialty Materials over 12.5%, aligning with the 2028 target.
Efficiency Savings
EUR 50 million in efficiency savings were achieved in the first half, with a target of EUR 100 million for the year.
Strategic Focus on Sustainability and Partnerships
Investment continued in sustainability improvements with EUR 25 million annually, and the company is exploring partnerships in battery material solutions.
Positive Catalysis and Precious Metals Management Performance
Catalysis revenues remained in line with H1 2024, and Precious Metals Management experienced a favorable trading environment with an EBITDA margin above 41%.
Negative Updates
Battery Materials Solutions Revenue Decline
Revenues for Battery Materials Solutions were somewhat lower, with an adjusted EBITDA of minus EUR 15 million in H1 2025.
Lower Battery Cathode Materials Volumes
Battery Cathode Materials revenue was EUR 208 million, below H1 2024, with slightly lower refining volumes and CAM volumes.
Challenges in ICE Passenger Car Production
Overall ICE passenger car production declined from 38.3 million to 37.5 million, with market contractions in North America and Europe.
Free Cash Flow Negative
Umicore was slightly free cash flow negative for the first half of 2025.
Continued Impact of Metal Price and FX Volatility
A EUR 53 million headwind from inflation and foreign exchange was noted, affecting earnings despite operational efficiencies.
Company Guidance
During the Umicore Half Year 2025 Results Conference Call, CEO Bart Sap provided guidance for the rest of 2025, highlighting several key metrics and strategies. The company aims for an EBITDA target of €790 million to €850 million for the full year, after reporting €433 million in EBITDA for the first half. This reflects a solid increase from the previous year, driven by operational efficiencies and sustained demand. Umicore focuses on capital, performance, people and culture, and partnerships as its core strategic pillars. Capital expenditures for 2025 are projected to be reduced to €350 million, down from €550 million in the previous year, reflecting a disciplined approach to capital allocation. The company has also achieved €55 million in efficiency savings in the first half, with a full-year target of €100 million. Additionally, Umicore's adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 24.3%, with a return on capital of 16.4%. The leverage ratio is maintained below 2.5x, specifically at 2.3x, despite being slightly free cash flow negative for the first half. The guidance was further supported by hedging strategies and take-or-pay contracts, which offer some visibility into earnings stability amid a volatile market environment.

Umicore SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Umicore SA faces significant profitability challenges as evidenced by negative net income and EBIT margins in 2024, indicating operational inefficiencies. However, the balance sheet remains robust with strong cash reserves and no debt, providing financial stability. Cash flow management is effective, with positive free cash flow growth, but the company must address its declining revenue and profitability to ensure long-term sustainability. The mixed financial performance highlights the need for strategic initiatives to improve operational efficiency and revenue generation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals a concerning decline in profitability with a negative net income of $1.48 billion in 2024, down from a positive $385 million in 2023. The gross profit margin decreased from 8.32% in 2023 to 14.88% in 2024, and the EBIT margin turned negative, indicating operational challenges. Revenue growth has been volatile, with a significant decrease of 18.7% from 2023 to 2024. The company needs to address its declining revenue and profitability to improve its financial health.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity ratio of 20.6% as of 2024, indicating a reasonable level of equity financing. Additionally, the debt-to-equity ratio has improved to zero in 2024 from 75.3% in 2023, reflecting a stronger balance sheet position. The company's cash position is strong, with cash and equivalents of $2.01 billion exceeding total debt, leading to a net debt position of -$2.01 billion. Despite these strengths, the decrease in stockholders' equity from 2023 to 2024 suggests challenges in maintaining equity levels.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights a moderate free cash flow growth rate of 81.5% from 2023 to 2024, driven by reduced capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved significantly due to lower net income, indicating efficient cash generation relative to reported earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests that the company's cash conversion from profits remains a challenge. The company appears to be managing its cash flows well despite profitability issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.10B14.85B18.27B25.44B24.05B20.71B
Gross Profit2.25B2.21B1.52B1.67B1.57B1.52B
EBITDA2.08B432.60M1.05B1.08B1.15B619.15M
Net Income128.80M-1.48B385.07M569.88M618.96M130.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.59B9.41B9.97B9.94B9.05B8.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.11B2.01B1.52B1.24B1.19B1.01B
Total Debt2.86B3.45B2.75B2.35B2.16B2.43B
Total Liabilities6.58B7.49B6.27B6.38B5.88B5.72B
Stockholders Equity2.04B1.94B3.66B3.52B3.11B2.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.60M286.50M157.92M142.88M842.15M92.78M
Operating Cash Flow469.80M868.70M1.04B634.17M1.26B528.32M
Investing Cash Flow-739.70M-775.70M-948.70M-480.77M-471.45M-429.46M
Financing Cash Flow-52.70M413.50M129.28M-112.53M-602.37M638.08M

Umicore SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.73
Price Trends
50DMA
4.07
Positive
100DMA
3.83
Positive
200DMA
3.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Negative
RSI
80.59
Negative
STOCH
99.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UMICY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.21, above the 50-day MA of 4.07, and above the 200-day MA of 3.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.59 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UMICY.

Umicore SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.80B36.3519.67%15.74%294.80%
74
Outperform
$821.38M37.0711.95%6.19%15.04%
66
Neutral
$4.53B32.316.13%1.32%3.16%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
53
Neutral
$95.71M-7.69%-4.78%-1359.72%
39
Underperform
$55.14M-160.82%
38
Underperform
$2.60B-148.91%-79.12%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UMICY
Umicore SA
4.91
1.91
63.67%
CECO
Ceco Environmental
50.01
22.61
82.52%
ERII
Energy Recovery
15.32
-3.30
-17.72%
FTEK
Fuel Tech
3.03
1.98
188.57%
SCWO
374Water
0.60
-0.89
-59.73%
PCT
PureCycle Technologies
14.50
5.41
59.52%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 03, 2025