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PureCycle Technologies (PCT)
NASDAQ:PCT
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PureCycle Technologies (PCT) AI Stock Analysis

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PCT

PureCycle Technologies

(NASDAQ:PCT)

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Underperform 38 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:
PureCycle Technologies is facing significant financial challenges, including zero revenue and negative cash flows, which heavily weigh down its stock score. The company's bearish technical indicators and poor valuation further contribute to a low score. However, recent operational improvements and partnerships offer a glimmer of hope, reflected in slightly higher scores for earnings call and corporate events. Overall, the stock remains a high-risk investment with potential upside if operational improvements lead to financial stability.
Positive Factors
Procter & Gamble Partnership
The partnership with Procter & Gamble enhances PureCycle's market reach and credibility, providing a stable platform for growth and expansion in the recycled materials market.
Certification Achievement
Certification validates product quality and boosts customer confidence, potentially increasing demand and facilitating entry into new markets.
Operational Improvements
Enhanced operational efficiency at the Ironton facility indicates improved production capabilities, supporting long-term growth and customer satisfaction.
Negative Factors
Zero Revenue
Lack of revenue generation poses a significant risk to financial stability and growth prospects, limiting the company's ability to invest in expansion and innovation.
Negative Cash Flows
Persistent negative cash flows indicate reliance on external financing, which could constrain future operational and strategic initiatives if not addressed.
Limited Cash Reserves
Limited cash reserves heighten financial vulnerability, potentially impacting the company's ability to sustain operations and invest in growth opportunities.

PureCycle Technologies (PCT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PureCycle Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPureCycle Technologies, Inc. produces recycled polypropylene (PP). The company holds a license for restoring waste PP into ultra-pure recycled resin. Its recycling process separates color, odor, and other contaminants from plastic waste feedstock to transform it into virgin-like resin. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyPureCycle Technologies generates revenue by selling ultra-pure recycled polypropylene resin to manufacturers and companies seeking sustainable materials for their products. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with major corporations and partnerships with companies looking to incorporate recycled materials into their supply chains. Additionally, PureCycle benefits from licensing its proprietary recycling technology to other facilities, expanding its market reach and potential income sources. The company's earnings are bolstered by the growing demand for environmentally friendly materials, as businesses and consumers increasingly prioritize sustainability.

PureCycle Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant operational and production achievements, successful partnerships, and a positive commercial outlook with major brands, while also acknowledging some delays in project rollouts and challenges in specific market segments. Overall, the sentiment of the call is optimistic with strong growth prospects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Production and Operational Progress
Q3 was one of the highest quarters of production in the company's history, with September reaching a record 3.3 million pounds. Denver processed 9.4 million pounds of feedstock in Q3 and 4.4 million pounds in October.
Expansion and Capacity Increase
Denver's capacity is expected to reach approximately 100 million pounds annually with the addition of a third shift. The 100 million pound compounding expansion at Ironton is on track for mechanical completion in December.
Successful Product Development and Partnerships
Major strides in product development, notably with white thermoform coffee lids, leading to progress with 3 of the top 5 quick service restaurant companies, expected to ship in Q4 and ramp in 2026.
Financial Strength and Innovation Grants
Ended the quarter with over $234 million of unrestricted cash. The proposal to the EU Innovation Fund was accepted, expecting a grant of up to EUR 40 million by the end of Q1 2026.
Positive Commercial Outlook
Scheduled shipments to P&G in Q4 and plans for other applications in Q1. Overall demand from key projects expected to reach 40-50 million pounds annually, with strong potential demand exceeding supply capacity.
Negative Updates
Delays in Project Rollout
Delays in some project rollouts attributed to regulatory dynamics and mergers among global converters, impacting contract timings expected to move in Q3.
Challenges in Fiber Market
Long brand adoption cycle in the fragmented fiber market has slowed progress, despite technical qualifications with numerous fiber producers.
Company Guidance
During the PureCycle Technologies Third Quarter 2025 Corporate Update Conference Call, several key metrics and developments were highlighted. The company reported a record production month in September, achieving 3.3 million pounds, contributing to a Q3 total of 7.2 million pounds at Ironton. Similarly, the Denver facility processed 9.4 million pounds in Q3 and 4.4 million pounds in October. The company plans to expand Denver's capacity to approximately 100 million pounds annually by adding a third shift in Q4. PureCycle is on track to ship material to P&G’s converter in Q4 and expects to ramp production to 60%-70% rates over the next 3-6 months, aiming for near nameplate capacity in the second half of 2026. The commercial pipeline shows potential demand between 40 million to 50 million pounds annually, with significant volume expected from major brands and applications, including partnerships with Procter & Gamble and quick service restaurants. Additionally, the company received acceptance for a grant of up to EUR 40 million from the EU Innovation Fund for its Antwerp project, anticipated by the end of Q1.

PureCycle Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PureCycle Technologies faces critical financial challenges, including zero revenue, mounting net losses of $289 million, and negative cash flows. Despite an improved debt-to-equity ratio, the company's equity ratio has decreased, and its cash flow remains negative, indicating significant risks.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
PureCycle Technologies has consistently reported zero revenue over the years, indicating a lack of sales and market penetration. The company has faced increasing net losses, with the latest net income at -$289 million, suggesting significant operational challenges and poor profitability. There is no revenue growth or profitability margin to assess, reflecting a struggling position in its industry.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved from 2.43 in 2020 to 0.37 in 2024, indicating better leverage management. However, the equity ratio has decreased over time, with the latest equity ratio at 22.61%, reflecting vulnerability in its financial structure. The decreasing total assets and stockholders' equity suggest a deteriorating asset base and financial strength.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Cash flow statements highlight negative operating and free cash flows, indicating a lack of self-sustaining operations and capital expenditure reliance without adequate financing inflows. The free cash flow has consistently been negative, with an increasing trend in cash outflows. This persistent cash burn is a significant risk factor.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.66M0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-76.77M-34.71M-18.86M-26.56M-10.55M-8.60M
EBITDA-131.72M-197.66M-97.97M-79.54M-67.30M-46.99M
Net Income-228.46M-289.14M-101.72M-84.75M-77.50M-52.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets989.12M798.38M1.04B861.34M664.68M407.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments237.94M15.68M121.64M162.48M200.78M64.49M
Total Debt731.45M401.31M543.80M250.13M232.51M262.27M
Total Liabilities920.90M617.94M619.14M350.45M283.15M296.23M
Stockholders Equity68.22M180.45M420.24M510.88M381.54M111.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-194.99M-200.41M-248.81M-352.67M-191.90M-47.77M
Operating Cash Flow-145.89M-144.83M-94.91M-65.48M-54.51M-17.95M
Investing Cash Flow-49.10M-7.01M-102.10M-218.39M-305.57M-29.81M
Financing Cash Flow348.59M-109.17M272.00M247.53M293.37M378.19M

PureCycle Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.55
Price Trends
50DMA
11.96
Negative
100DMA
12.96
Negative
200DMA
10.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.11
Negative
RSI
34.48
Neutral
STOCH
41.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.48, below the 50-day MA of 11.96, and below the 200-day MA of 10.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PCT.

PureCycle Technologies Risk Analysis

PureCycle Technologies disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PureCycle Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PureCycle Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.84B36.3918.85%29.86%331.33%
68
Neutral
$761.74M42.269.41%0.10%1.50%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
45
Neutral
$271.09M-1.80%7.20%-2951.61%
45
Neutral
$18.58M-73.79%10.97%44.99%
44
Neutral
$78.31M-23.98-7.10%-5.66%-397.46%
38
Underperform
$1.54B-147.56%12.57%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCT
PureCycle Technologies
8.55
-4.75
-35.71%
ARQ
Arq Inc
3.69
-4.02
-52.14%
CECO
Ceco Environmental
51.92
19.87
62.00%
ERII
Energy Recovery
14.38
-1.18
-7.58%
FTEK
Fuel Tech
1.81
0.74
69.16%
LIQT
LiqTech International
1.93
0.10
5.46%

PureCycle Technologies Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
PureCycle Technologies Reports Progress in Operations and Facilities
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

In a corporate update for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, PureCycle Technologies announced significant progress in its operations, including improvements at its Ironton Facility and the successful launch of the Denver, PA sorting facility. The company has made strides in commercializing its PureFive™ resin, with successful trials and sales to major companies such as Drake Extrusion Inc. and Churchill Container. These developments highlight PureCycle’s potential for growth in various industries, including consumer goods and automotive, as it continues to enhance production capacity and product quality.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 21, 2025