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PureCycle Technologies (PCT)
NASDAQ:PCT
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PureCycle Technologies (PCT) AI Stock Analysis

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PCT

PureCycle Technologies

(NASDAQ:PCT)

Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:
PureCycle Technologies is facing significant financial challenges, including zero revenue and negative cash flows, which heavily weigh down its stock score. The company's bearish technical indicators and poor valuation further contribute to a low score. However, recent operational improvements and partnerships offer a glimmer of hope, reflected in slightly higher scores for earnings call and corporate events. Overall, the stock remains a high-risk investment with potential upside if operational improvements lead to financial stability.
Positive Factors
Capacity Expansion
PCT's newly announced ~1B lb capacity plan is in early stages of ramping up, which is expected to drive rapid revenue growth.
Commercialization Progress
PCT has increased its number of active and pending trials, indicating progress in commercialization efforts.
Cost Savings and Awards
PCT announced plans to begin compounding operations at Ironton by year-end, aiming to save $4MM in annual costs and potentially attract more awards.
Negative Factors
Project Financing
No update on project financing or other funding activities for first line in Augusta.
Revenue and EBITDA Performance
2Q revenue was below consensus and the company reported a negative adjusted EBITDA greater than expectations due to moderate cost growth.

PureCycle Technologies (PCT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PureCycle Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPureCycle Technologies (PCT) is an innovative company operating in the sustainable materials sector, primarily focused on recycling and repurposing polypropylene plastic waste. The company's core product is ultra-pure recycled polypropylene, which is produced through a proprietary purification process that removes contaminants, colors, and odors found in waste plastics. This enables PureCycle to supply high-quality recycled resin that can be used in a wide range of consumer and industrial applications, contributing to a circular economy and reducing environmental impact.
How the Company Makes MoneyPureCycle Technologies generates revenue by selling ultra-pure recycled polypropylene resin to manufacturers and companies seeking sustainable materials for their products. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with major corporations and partnerships with companies looking to incorporate recycled materials into their supply chains. Additionally, PureCycle benefits from licensing its proprietary recycling technology to other facilities, expanding its market reach and potential income sources. The company's earnings are bolstered by the growing demand for environmentally friendly materials, as businesses and consumers increasingly prioritize sustainability.

PureCycle Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong positive momentum with successful capital raising, significant commercial progress, and operational achievements. However, there are concerns about increased spending and potential delays in the Antwerp project.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Capital Raise
PureCycle Technologies raised $300 million in capital to support global growth, including projects in Thailand, Antwerp, and the U.S., aiming for roughly 1 billion pounds of installed capacity by 2030.
Commercial Progress
The company has 17 customer applications in post-trial discussions, indicating strong demand and successful trials, with plans for a revenue ramp in the second half of 2025 and increasing visibility for 2026.
Operational Achievements
Ironton Facility achieved onstream times approaching 90% in April and May, and produced pellets for 65 consecutive days, showing significant operational reliability improvement.
First Major Commercial Agreement
Signed an agreement with Emerald Carpets for approximately 5 million pounds of resin per year, starting in Q3, reflecting a major commercial success.
Successful Trials in Film
Achieved first successful trial in film earlier than expected, with plans for additional large-scale trials, tapping into an underserved market for FDA and non-FDA applications.
Negative Updates
Increased Operational Spend
Operations and corporate spend was around $39 million, slightly higher than the $37 million spent in the previous quarter, with anticipation of further increases.
Permitting Delays in Antwerp
Permitting for the Antwerp project is expected to be completed in the second half of 2026, indicating potential delays in project completion.
Company Guidance
During the PureCycle Technologies Second Quarter 2025 Corporate Update Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on their expansion and commercial strategies. They announced a $300 million capital raise in June, which will support their global growth plans aimed at reaching 1 billion pounds of installed capacity by 2030. PureCycle is focusing on regions such as Asia, Europe, and the U.S., with specific projects in Thailand and Antwerp. The company reported having 17 customer applications in post-trial discussions, with plans for revenue ramp-up in the second half of 2025. The Ironton facility demonstrated operational reliability, achieving onstream times approaching 90% in both April and May, and they successfully completed a rate test of 14,000 pounds per hour. Additionally, they have initiated a project to expand on-site compounding operations at Ironton to approximately 100 million pounds. Financially, PureCycle ended the quarter with $298 million in cash, and they continue to anticipate reaching corporate EBITDA breakeven by late Q4 2025 or early Q1 2026.

PureCycle Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PureCycle Technologies faces critical financial challenges, including zero revenue, mounting net losses of $289 million, and negative cash flows. Despite an improved debt-to-equity ratio, the company's equity ratio has decreased, and its cash flow remains negative, indicating significant risks.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
PureCycle Technologies has consistently reported zero revenue over the years, indicating a lack of sales and market penetration. The company has faced increasing net losses, with the latest net income at -$289 million, suggesting significant operational challenges and poor profitability. There is no revenue growth or profitability margin to assess, reflecting a struggling position in its industry.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved from 2.43 in 2020 to 0.37 in 2024, indicating better leverage management. However, the equity ratio has decreased over time, with the latest equity ratio at 22.61%, reflecting vulnerability in its financial structure. The decreasing total assets and stockholders' equity suggest a deteriorating asset base and financial strength.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Cash flow statements highlight negative operating and free cash flows, indicating a lack of self-sustaining operations and capital expenditure reliance without adequate financing inflows. The free cash flow has consistently been negative, with an increasing trend in cash outflows. This persistent cash burn is a significant risk factor.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.23M0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-96.17M-34.71M-18.86M-26.56M-10.55M-8.60M
EBITDA-195.49M-197.66M-97.97M-79.54M-67.30M-46.99M
Net Income-290.73M-289.14M-101.72M-84.75M-77.50M-52.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.04B798.38M1.04B861.34M664.68M407.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments284.07M15.68M121.64M162.48M200.78M64.49M
Total Debt723.55M401.31M543.80M250.13M232.51M262.27M
Total Liabilities943.60M617.94M619.14M350.45M283.15M296.23M
Stockholders Equity98.87M180.45M420.24M510.88M381.54M111.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-195.28M-200.41M-248.81M-352.67M-191.90M-47.77M
Operating Cash Flow-140.81M-144.83M-94.91M-65.48M-54.51M-17.95M
Investing Cash Flow-54.48M-7.01M-102.10M-218.39M-305.57M-29.81M
Financing Cash Flow469.77M-109.17M272.00M247.53M293.37M378.19M

PureCycle Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.60
Price Trends
50DMA
14.03
Positive
100DMA
11.06
Positive
200DMA
10.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
61.97
Neutral
STOCH
75.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.04, below the 50-day MA of 14.03, and above the 200-day MA of 10.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PCT.

PureCycle Technologies Risk Analysis

PureCycle Technologies disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PureCycle Technologies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PureCycle Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$772.44M35.1311.95%6.19%15.04%
76
Outperform
$1.70B33.5919.67%15.74%294.80%
64
Neutral
$10.95B16.378.81%1.96%2.68%-15.33%
57
Neutral
$313.78M-0.81%11.96%70.59%
53
Neutral
$97.57M-7.69%-4.78%-1359.72%
39
Underperform
$40.81M-160.82%
38
Underperform
$2.45B-148.91%-79.12%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCT
PureCycle Technologies
14.86
8.90
149.33%
ARQ
Arq Inc
7.61
0.89
13.24%
CECO
Ceco Environmental
46.80
18.46
65.14%
ERII
Energy Recovery
14.57
-1.87
-11.37%
FTEK
Fuel Tech
2.91
1.89
185.29%
SCWO
374Water
0.30
-0.90
-75.00%

PureCycle Technologies Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
PureCycle Technologies Reports Progress in Operations and Facilities
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

In a corporate update for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, PureCycle Technologies announced significant progress in its operations, including improvements at its Ironton Facility and the successful launch of the Denver, PA sorting facility. The company has made strides in commercializing its PureFive™ resin, with successful trials and sales to major companies such as Drake Extrusion Inc. and Churchill Container. These developments highlight PureCycle’s potential for growth in various industries, including consumer goods and automotive, as it continues to enhance production capacity and product quality.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 21, 2025