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Arq Inc (ARQ)
NASDAQ:ARQ
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Arq Inc (ARQ) AI Stock Analysis

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ARQ

Arq Inc

(NASDAQ:ARQ)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▼(-1.83% Downside)
Arq Inc's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its strong earnings call performance and positive technical analysis. However, financial performance challenges and poor valuation metrics weigh down the score. The company's strategic initiatives and market momentum provide optimism, but profitability and cash flow issues need addressing.
Positive Factors
Pricing Strategy
Converting from powdered activated carbon to granular activated carbon should increase prices and margins for Arq — driving meaningful higher revenue and profits.
Production Achievement
Arq announced that it has successfully completed commissioning of its first Granular Activated Carbon production line at the Company's Red River Plant, and initial production was successfully achieved.
Regulatory Environment
The Trump EPA appears at least to be supportive of maintaining PFAS remediation rules.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Arq reported earnings that missed consensus estimates, with revenue and gross margin coming in below expectations.
Transition Delays
The GAC metamorphosis is taking longer than expected.

Arq Inc (ARQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arq Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArq Inc (ARQ) is a technology company focused on developing innovative solutions in the fields of data analytics and artificial intelligence. The company operates primarily in the software sector, providing advanced tools and platforms that enable businesses to harness the power of big data for decision-making processes. Core products include data management software, analytics platforms, and AI-driven insights that cater to various industries such as healthcare, finance, and retail.
How the Company Makes MoneyArq Inc generates revenue through a subscription-based model for its software platforms, charging clients monthly or annually for access to its data analytics and AI solutions. Additionally, the company offers tiered licensing options for enterprise clients, providing customized solutions and support at higher price points. Key revenue streams also include professional services such as consulting, training, and implementation support for clients looking to integrate Arq's technologies into their existing systems. Strategic partnerships with major cloud service providers and industry leaders further enhance Arq's market reach and contribute to its earnings through collaborative projects and joint marketing efforts.

Arq Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates a strong performance by Arq, highlighted by successful commissioning of the GAC line and robust PAC business results. Despite achieving significant milestones and revenue growth, the company faced challenges with net loss and commissioning-related costs. However, the overall sentiment leans positive due to strategic progress and market opportunities.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Commissioning of GAC Line
Completed commissioning of the first GAC line at Red River, with ramp-up towards 25 million pounds nameplate capacity expected within 6 months.
Strong PAC Business Performance
Delivered another solid quarter with PAC business, achieving a 9% increase in ASP, and fifth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA, increasing more than 3x compared to last year.
Revenue Growth
Achieved 13% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $29 million, driven by higher volumes and ASP growth.
RNG Market Opportunity
Initiated sales to RNG customers, positioning for growth in a potentially high-margin market with increasing demand.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Reduced SG&A expenses by approximately 16% year-over-year, contributing to improved profitability.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Incurred
Reported a net loss of $2.1 million, up from a net loss of $2 million last year, primarily due to costs associated with GAC line commissioning.
Commissioning-Related Costs
Incurred approximately $1.9 million in costs associated with preproduction feedstock for the GAC line, impacting financial results.
Challenges in Market Diversification
While there is progress, the company continues to work on reducing reliance on the mercury emissions market and diversifying into other sectors.
Company Guidance
During the Arq Q2 2025 earnings call, significant guidance was provided on the company's strategic and financial performance. The commissioning of the first Granular Activated Carbon (GAC) line at Red River marked a key milestone, with a ramp-up to the nameplate capacity of 25 million pounds anticipated within six months. The company reported a 9% increase in Average Selling Price (ASP), narrowly missing a ninth consecutive quarter of double-digit year-over-year price growth, and achieved a 13% revenue growth year-over-year to $29 million. Arq's PAC business saw its fifth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA, which increased more than threefold from the same quarter last year, reflecting the successful turnaround of its foundational business. The company reiterated its 2025 CapEx forecast of $8 million to $12 million and highlighted its strategic diversification to reduce mercury market exposure to under 40% of volumes. Additionally, Arq addressed potential future expansions, including a second GAC line decision by the end of 2025, while emphasizing continued focus on enhancing profitability and capturing new market opportunities in water treatment and renewable natural gas (RNG) sectors.

Arq Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arq Inc faces profitability and cash flow challenges despite maintaining a strong balance sheet with low leverage. The income statement shows mixed results with a stable gross profit margin but negative net profit margin. Cash flow analysis indicates significant challenges with negative free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Arq Inc's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is stable at 36.27%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative at -1.40%, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. Revenue growth is modest at 2.78%, suggesting limited expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are low at 2.03% and 9.11%, respectively, indicating pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet of Arq Inc reveals a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05, indicating low financial leverage and reduced risk. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.76%, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates significant challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -57.63%, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is highly negative, reflecting cash flow difficulties. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.02, indicating insufficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue117.64M108.96M99.18M102.99M100.29M67.36M
Gross Profit42.67M39.44M31.86M16.11M26.79M8.43M
EBITDA10.73M6.58M1.46M-1.96M85.50M-1.33M
Net Income-1.65M-5.11M-12.25M-8.92M60.40M-20.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets284.54M284.37M235.50M192.17M197.41M156.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.96M13.52M45.36M66.43M78.75M30.93M
Total Debt38.45M34.36M31.74M12.44M10.50M26.88M
Total Liabilities67.77M67.09M57.10M52.19M50.11M70.91M
Stockholders Equity216.77M217.28M178.40M139.98M147.30M85.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.85M-74.69M-44.17M-11.92M69.48M46.58M
Operating Cash Flow695.00K10.48M-16.65M-2.42M77.08M54.05M
Investing Cash Flow-61.75M-85.07M-28.54M-8.24M-6.70M-7.47M
Financing Cash Flow32.35M42.68M22.91M-1.68M-17.53M-27.73M

Arq Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.64
Price Trends
50DMA
6.10
Positive
100DMA
5.19
Positive
200DMA
5.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Negative
RSI
67.59
Neutral
STOCH
78.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARQ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.87, above the 50-day MA of 6.10, and above the 200-day MA of 5.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARQ.

Arq Inc Risk Analysis

Arq Inc disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arq Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arq Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.70B33.5919.67%15.74%294.80%
64
Neutral
$10.96B16.358.89%1.96%2.68%-15.17%
57
Neutral
$313.78M-0.81%11.96%70.59%
56
Neutral
$30.41M-46.19%19.03%11.70%
53
Neutral
$97.57M-7.69%-4.78%-1359.72%
43
Neutral
$18.70M-78.97%-12.76%15.23%
39
Underperform
$40.81M-160.82%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARQ
Arq Inc
7.64
0.92
13.69%
CECO
Ceco Environmental
46.69
18.35
64.75%
FTEK
Fuel Tech
3.00
1.98
194.12%
CLIR
ClearSign Combustion
0.59
-0.14
-19.18%
LIQT
LiqTech International
1.88
-1.12
-37.33%
SCWO
374Water
0.37
-0.83
-69.17%

Arq Inc Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arq Inc Launches GAC Production Line at Red River
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Arq Inc. announced the successful commissioning of its first granular activated carbon (GAC) production line at the Red River Plant, marking a significant milestone in its corporate transformation. The company has commenced commercial-scale production, with initial sales completed, and plans to ramp up to a target of 25 million pounds annualized production. This development positions Arq to meet the strong demand in the GAC market, enhancing its strategic value and growth opportunities.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Arq Inc Announces Board Changes at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Arq Inc. held its annual meeting where significant changes to the Board of Directors were made, with L. Spencer Wells and Gilbert Li stepping down. The meeting included votes on various proposals, including the election of six directors, approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of Moss Adams LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. Richard Campbell-Breeden was appointed as Chair of the Board, with Laurie Bergman, Carol Eicher, and Campbell-Breeden taking key committee roles.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025