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Arq Inc (ARQ)
NASDAQ:ARQ

Arq Inc (ARQ) AI Stock Analysis

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ARQ

Arq Inc

(NASDAQ:ARQ)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(9.59% Upside)
Arq Inc's overall stock score is driven by mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While the earnings call highlights some positive developments, significant operational challenges and a weak valuation weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Strong PAC Business Performance
The PAC business's strong performance, with increased selling prices and reduced expenses, indicates robust demand and operational efficiency, supporting future revenue growth.
Strategic Revenue Diversification
Diversifying revenue streams through alternative uses for feedstock can enhance resilience and open new market opportunities, strengthening long-term growth prospects.
Low Financial Leverage
Low financial leverage reduces risk and enhances financial stability, providing flexibility for strategic investments and growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
GAC Production Delays
Delays in GAC production can hinder revenue growth and increase costs, impacting operational efficiency and profitability in the medium term.
Negative Cash Flow Growth
Negative cash flow growth indicates challenges in generating sufficient cash, potentially limiting the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Net Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges, as indicated by a negative net profit margin, can strain financial resources and hinder long-term value creation for shareholders.

Arq Inc (ARQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arq Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArq, Inc. produces activated carbon products in North America. The company's products include granular activated carbon, powdered activated carbon, and colloidal carbon products; Arq Powder Wetcake, a fine and low-ash coal waste-derived particle; and additives for air emissions control. Its products are used in various applications, including; water treatment, ground water remediation, soil sediments, air emissions, and asphalt additives. The company was formerly known as Advanced Emissions Solutions, Inc. and changed its name to Arq, Inc. in February 2024. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyArq Inc generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company monetizes its technology by licensing its proprietary materials and processes to various industries, including energy and manufacturing sectors, which are seeking to enhance their sustainability practices. Additionally, Arq Inc may engage in joint ventures or partnerships with larger firms to co-develop projects, sharing both the risks and rewards associated with new technologies. Grants and funding from government and environmental organizations aimed at promoting renewable energy initiatives also contribute to the company's earnings. Furthermore, the sale of carbon credits generated through its carbon capture technologies represents another significant revenue stream as businesses seek to meet regulatory requirements and sustainability goals.

Arq Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment. While the PAC business shows strong performance and there are promising alternative revenue streams, significant challenges with GAC production delays and associated costs present notable setbacks. The overall sentiment is balanced due to both positive and negative aspects highlighted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong PAC Business Performance
The PAC business delivered strong financial results, with a 7% increase in average selling prices over the prior year and a 43% reduction in SG&A expenses. The company generated $16.7 million of adjusted EBITDA on a trailing 12-month basis, marking a $25 million improvement from a negative $8.7 million two years ago.
First Commercial Production and Sales of GAC
Achieved first commercial production and sales of granular activated carbon (GAC), although at well below capacity. There is strong market demand with numerous spot purchase requests at prices above existing contracts.
Potential Alternative Revenue Streams
Exploring alternative uses for Corbin feedstock, such as asphalt, purified coal, rare earth materials, and synthetic graphite, which could provide diversification and additional revenue opportunities.
Negative Updates
GAC Production Delays and Challenges
The ramp-up of GAC production has been slower than expected due to design issues and feedstock variability, leading to delays in reaching full capacity until mid-2026. The company incurred several million dollars in inefficiencies and costs related to these challenges.
Lower Overall Gross Margins
Gross margin in the quarter was 28.8%, significantly impacted by high fixed production costs and low early ramp volumes of GAC, compared to steadier margins in prior quarters.
Net Loss for the Quarter
The company reported a net loss of approximately $700,000 for the quarter, primarily due to the high fixed production cost on initial GAC volumes.
Company Guidance
During the Arq Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. Arq reported a third quarter adjusted EBITDA of $5.2 million, despite facing challenges in its granular activated carbon (GAC) operations due to inefficiencies and post-commissioning costs. The PAC business showed strong performance with a 7% increase in average selling prices year-over-year and a 43% reduction in SG&A expenses. The company generated $16.7 million of adjusted EBITDA on a trailing 12-month basis, a $25 million improvement from the end of September 2023. Arq anticipates reaching full GAC capacity by mid-2026, with strategic investments in a new thermal oxidizer to support a production capacity of 25 million pounds per year. The company ended the quarter with $15.5 million in total cash and reiterated its full-year 2025 CapEx forecast of $8 million to $12 million.

Arq Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arq Inc shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, yet operational efficiency needs improvement.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Arq Inc shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has experienced a positive revenue growth rate of 25.5% in the TTM, indicating a strong top-line growth trajectory. However, profitability remains a concern with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, reflecting operational challenges. The gross profit margin has improved slightly, but the company needs to address its cost structure to enhance profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet of Arq Inc is relatively stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18, suggesting prudent financial leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is healthy, showing a strong capital base, but the company needs to improve its profitability to enhance shareholder value.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Arq Inc's cash flow statement highlights significant challenges. The free cash flow is negative, although it has shown improvement in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating inefficiencies in converting earnings into cash. The company needs to focus on improving its cash generation capabilities to support its operations and growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue117.94M108.96M99.18M102.99M100.29M67.36M
Gross Profit39.35M39.44M31.86M22.52M34.72M16.96M
EBITDA9.55M6.58M1.46M-1.96M85.50M-1.33M
Net Income-3.92M-5.11M-12.25M-8.92M60.40M-20.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets277.95M284.37M235.50M181.16M185.44M146.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.03M13.52M45.36M66.43M78.75M25.93M
Total Debt34.96M34.36M31.74M12.44M10.50M26.88M
Total Liabilities60.79M67.09M57.10M41.19M38.13M61.46M
Stockholders Equity217.15M217.28M178.40M139.98M147.30M85.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-40.85M-74.69M-44.17M-14.97M19.80M47.36M
Operating Cash Flow5.24M10.48M-16.65M-6.06M26.00M54.05M
Investing Cash Flow-50.82M-85.07M-28.54M-4.61M44.38M-7.47M
Financing Cash Flow3.70M42.68M22.91M-1.68M-17.53M-27.73M

Arq Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.65
Price Trends
50DMA
3.55
Positive
100DMA
5.04
Negative
200DMA
5.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
49.22
Neutral
STOCH
43.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARQ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.63, above the 50-day MA of 3.55, and below the 200-day MA of 5.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARQ.

Arq Inc Risk Analysis

Arq Inc disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arq Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arq Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$2.48B49.5418.85%29.86%331.33%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$41.95M-14.18-7.10%-5.66%-397.46%
48
Neutral
$32.98M-5.15-53.13%-49.70%-2.72%
48
Neutral
$54.16M-2.67-232.63%
45
Neutral
$159.68M-38.50-1.80%7.20%-2951.61%
45
Neutral
$18.58M-1.77-73.79%10.97%44.99%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARQ
Arq Inc
3.65
-2.64
-41.97%
CECO
Ceco Environmental
70.13
41.20
142.41%
FTEK
Fuel Tech
1.39
0.39
39.56%
CLIR
ClearSign Combustion
0.60
-0.62
-50.57%
LIQT
LiqTech International
1.78
-0.09
-4.81%
SCWO
374Water
3.23
-2.36
-42.22%

Arq Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Arq Inc Amends Revolving Credit Agreement
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Arq Inc. and its subsidiaries entered into a second amendment to their Revolving Credit Agreement with MidCap Funding IV Trust. This amendment adjusts the borrowing availability calculation and updates the company’s minimum liquidity covenant, reducing the required minimum liquidity to $2.0 million from December 10, 2025, through January 30, 2026, and then increasing it to $5.0 million from January 31, 2026, onward.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARQ) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arq Inc stock, see the ARQ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025