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Ceco Environmental Corp. (CECO)
:CECO
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Ceco Environmental (CECO) AI Stock Analysis

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CECO

Ceco Environmental

(NASDAQ:CECO)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$49.00
▲(9.74% Upside)
The most significant factor contributing to the stock's score is the positive earnings call, with record backlog and bookings growth, leading to a raised annual guidance. Financial performance is strong, with improved profitability and reduced leverage. However, technical analysis indicates potential for a pullback due to overbought conditions, and valuation suggests moderate overvaluation without dividend support.
Positive Factors
Business Growth
The company's backlog grew to $602M at the end of 1Q25 compared to $541M at the end of 4Q24, indicating strong future demand.
Financial Performance
CECO posted better-than-expected Q2 results, as revenues increased 35% (+15% organic), above consensus estimates of 30% growth.
Market Outlook
CECO Environmental is being upgraded to a 'Buy' from 'Neutral' due to strong 1Q25 results and confidence in the company's future business prospects.
Negative Factors
Merger Integration
Risks such as execution, regulatory, and merger integration could impact the company's performance.
Operational Risks
Risks include execution risk, regulatory risk, dependency on subcontractors, merger integration risk, dilution risk, and uncertainty due to global macroeconomic and geopolitical environment.

Ceco Environmental (CECO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ceco Environmental Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCeco Environmental (CECO) is a leading provider of environmental technologies and solutions focused on air quality, water and wastewater treatment, and waste management. The company operates primarily in sectors such as industrial, commercial, and municipal markets, offering a range of core products and services including air pollution control systems, liquid filtration and separation technologies, and waste-to-energy solutions. CECO's innovative technologies are designed to help clients comply with environmental regulations while improving operational efficiency and sustainability.
How the Company Makes MoneyCECO generates revenue through the sale of its environmental technologies and services, which include equipment sales, installation, maintenance, and consulting services. Key revenue streams consist of project-based contracts for customized solutions, ongoing service agreements, and the sale of replacement parts and consumables. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with other industrial firms and government agencies, which enhance its market reach and enable collaborative projects. Additionally, CECO's focus on sustainability and compliance with environmental regulations positions it favorably in a growing market, contributing to its earnings through increased demand for its solutions.

Ceco Environmental Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 28.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in backlog, bookings, revenue, and EBITDA, with a positive outlook for future growth across various markets. Although there are concerns about modest inflation and previous project delays, the overall performance and raised guidance indicate a strong and positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Backlog Growth
Backlog grew to a new record, exiting the quarter at $688 million, which is up almost $300 million or more than 75% year-over-year.
Substantial Increase in Bookings
Q2 bookings reached $274 million, up 95% versus Q2 last year, marking the third consecutive quarter with bookings over $200 million.
Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Revenue of $185 million in the quarter was up 35% year-over-year, while adjusted EBITDA at over $23 million was up 45% year-over-year.
Raised Annual Guidance
The company raised its 2025 annual guidance for orders and revenue, now expecting bookings to be between $870 million and $930 million and revenue between $725 million and $775 million.
Strong Performance in Diverse Markets
Growth was seen in power generation, semiconductor, industrial water, and natural gas infrastructure markets, all contributing to the strong performance.
Negative Updates
Modest Inflation Expected
The company anticipates some modest inflation in the second half of 2025, which might impact costs.
Project Delays in 2024
The company experienced project-related delays in the second half of 2024, although these have since abated.
Company Guidance
During the CECO Environmental Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, several financial metrics were highlighted, indicating a successful quarter with record-breaking figures. The company's backlog reached a new high of $688 million, marking a year-over-year increase of nearly $300 million or over 75%, and a sequential rise of approximately $80 million. New bookings for Q2 totaled $274 million, representing a 95% increase compared to the same period last year. The company's revenue for the quarter amounted to $185 million, reflecting a 35% increase year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 45% to over $23 million, driven by strong gross margins and improved SG&A costs. The earnings per share (EPS) for Q2 was $0.24, up about 35% from the previous year. Additionally, CECO raised its full-year guidance for 2025, projecting bookings to range between $870 million and $930 million, and revenue between $725 million and $775 million, while maintaining its outlook for adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow.

Ceco Environmental Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ceco Environmental demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue and profit growth, a stable balance sheet with low leverage, and positive free cash flow. While profitability and cash flow metrics suggest opportunities for enhancement, the company is well-positioned for future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ceco Environmental has shown strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $608.3M, up from $557.9M in the prior year. Gross profit margin improved to 34.7%, and the net profit margin increased to 7.8%, indicating enhanced profitability. The EBIT margin also improved significantly to 14.9%, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 29.9%, showing a stable equity base. However, the return on equity is moderate at 16.6%, suggesting room for improvement in asset utilization.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Ceco Environmental's cash flow position is stable with a positive free cash flow of $15.0M. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.25, which is relatively low, suggesting opportunities for improving cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue557.93M544.85M422.63M324.14M316.01M
Gross Profit196.15M171.02M128.22M100.92M105.13M
EBITDA45.23M47.45M38.33M21.89M30.52M
Net Income12.96M12.91M17.42M1.98M8.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets759.70M600.29M504.72M416.20M419.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.83M54.78M45.52M29.90M35.99M
Total Debt249.92M155.48M119.66M72.54M81.93M
Total Liabilities507.81M362.80M286.57M210.24M215.70M
Stockholders Equity247.69M232.64M213.22M204.55M202.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.46M36.26M26.27M10.68M476.00K
Operating Cash Flow24.83M44.65M29.65M13.30M4.42M
Investing Cash Flow-105.31M-56.49M-48.26M-2.08M-9.23M
Financing Cash Flow65.91M21.14M38.18M-15.56M3.72M

Ceco Environmental Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price44.65
Price Trends
50DMA
33.70
Positive
100DMA
28.65
Positive
200DMA
28.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.81
Negative
RSI
69.58
Neutral
STOCH
69.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CECO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.63, above the 50-day MA of 33.70, and above the 200-day MA of 28.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CECO.

Ceco Environmental Risk Analysis

Ceco Environmental disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ceco Environmental reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ceco Environmental Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$770.84M35.0611.95%6.19%15.04%
74
Outperform
$1.58B31.1919.67%15.74%294.80%
58
Neutral
$19.13M-78.97%-12.76%15.23%
58
Neutral
HK$13.62B5.49-2.78%5.72%2.29%-57.50%
56
Neutral
$88.56M-7.69%-4.78%-1359.72%
50
Neutral
$27.79M-75.96%10.88%3.57%
41
Neutral
$18.82M-62.68%19.09%3.50%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CECO
Ceco Environmental
44.65
17.05
61.78%
ERII
Energy Recovery
14.49
-2.97
-17.01%
FTEK
Fuel Tech
2.85
1.85
185.00%
CLIR
ClearSign Combustion
0.61
-0.14
-18.67%
LIQT
LiqTech International
1.99
-0.54
-21.34%
TOMZ
TOMI Environmental Solutions
0.94
0.00
0.00%

Ceco Environmental Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
CECO Environmental Announces Departure of Senior VP
Neutral
Jul 24, 2025

CECO Environmental Corp. announced the upcoming departure of Lynn Watkins-Asiyanbi, the Senior Vice President and Chief Administrative and Legal Officer, effective August 15, 2025. The company has entered into a separation agreement with her, which includes severance payments and benefits, as well as conditions related to non-disparagement, non-competition, and non-solicitation covenants.

The most recent analyst rating on (CECO) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceco Environmental stock, see the CECO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CECO Environmental Holds Annual Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, CECO Environmental Corp. held its annual meeting of stockholders where eight directors were elected, executive compensation was approved, and Deloitte was ratified as the independent auditor for fiscal 2025. The meeting also established an annual advisory vote on executive compensation, reflecting shareholder engagement in governance matters.

The most recent analyst rating on (CECO) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceco Environmental stock, see the CECO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025