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Ceco Environmental (CECO)
NASDAQ:CECO

Ceco Environmental (CECO) AI Stock Analysis

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Ceco Environmental

(NASDAQ:CECO)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(11.23%Upside)
Ceco Environmental has a strong overall stock score driven by solid financial performance and positive earnings call highlights. Technical indicators and valuation scores suggest moderate optimism, balanced by potential risks such as tariff challenges and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Backlog and Demand
Backlog grew to $602M at the end of 1Q25 compared to $541M at the end of 4Q24, indicating strong future demand.
Future Business Prospects
The company's 2025 outlook and future business prospects give confidence that the company's financial results should remain solid given the company's participation in various infrastructure-driven end-markets.
Revenue Growth
Q1 revenues increased 40% (+13% organic), well above consensus estimates of 20% growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Execution
The stock recently saw a pullback driven by lower-than-guided revenue execution for 2024.
Risks and Challenges
Risks such as execution, regulatory, and merger integration could impact the company's performance.

Ceco Environmental (CECO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ceco Environmental Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCECO Environmental Corp. is a leading global provider of environmental and industrial solutions. The company operates in several sectors, including air pollution control, energy, and fluid handling, serving industries such as power generation, petrochemical, refining, and manufacturing. CECO designs and manufactures a wide range of products and systems, including air filtration equipment, emissions control technology, and fluid handling solutions, aimed at optimizing operational efficiency and ensuring environmental compliance for its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyCECO Environmental makes money through the sale and servicing of its diverse product lines, which primarily focus on air pollution control, fluid handling, and energy solutions. Revenue streams include equipment sales, maintenance contracts, and aftermarket services, ensuring continued operational efficiency and regulatory compliance for its customers. The company benefits from strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with major industrial players, which contribute significantly to its earnings. Additionally, CECO's emphasis on innovation and customized solutions helps attract a broad customer base across various industries, further enhancing its revenue potential.

Ceco Environmental Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 45.16%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
CECO Environmental reported strong financial performance with record bookings and backlog growth, supported by a robust sales pipeline. However, challenges such as tariff-related costs and lower-than-expected EBITDA margins due to increased expenses were also highlighted.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Bookings Achieved
CECO Environmental reported record Q1 bookings of approximately $228 million, marking a 57% increase year-over-year without a large order in power generation or produced water treatment markets.
Strong Backlog Growth
The company exited the quarter with a backlog of $602 million, up 55% year-over-year, and approximately $60 million higher sequentially, driven by another record quarter of new orders.
Increased Sales Pipeline
CECO's sales pipeline has grown from $4.5 billion to over $5 billion for the first time, including almost a dozen opportunities each greater than $50 million in value.
Revenue Growth
Q1 revenue reached $177 million, up 40% year-over-year, with 28% driven by recent acquisitions.
Positive Adjusted EPS
Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.10, which was above consensus.
Successful Acquisition Integration
The acquisition of Profire Energy is off to a strong start, producing high levels of bookings and revenues, and delivering on identified synergies.
Negative Updates
Tariff Challenges
Concerns about potential impacts of tariffs on supply chain costs and overall economy were discussed. Estimated gross tariff exposure is between $3 to $10 million.
Adjusted EBITDA Margins
Adjusted EBITDA margins in the quarter were approximately 8%, which fell short of expectations due to higher selling, engineering, and project execution expenses.
Increased Interest Expense
Higher interest expenses were noted, which impacted adjusted EPS.
Company Guidance
During CECO Environmental's first-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported record bookings of approximately $228 million, a 57% increase year-over-year, and highlighted a robust sales pipeline now exceeding $5 billion. The company's backlog reached $602 million, up 55% from the previous year. CECO maintained its full-year 2025 guidance, forecasting revenues between $700 million and $750 million, with adjusted EBITDA projected at $90 million to $100 million. Adjusted EPS was $0.10, above consensus, while adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $14 million, slightly exceeding expectations. Despite uncertainties related to tariffs and supply chain costs, CECO has initiated price and productivity measures to mitigate potential impacts while benefiting from a geographically aligned supply chain.

Ceco Environmental Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ceco Environmental demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue and profit growth, a stable balance sheet with low leverage, and positive free cash flow. However, there are opportunities for enhancement in profitability and cash flow metrics.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ceco Environmental has shown strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $608.3M, up from $557.9M in the prior year. Gross profit margin improved to 34.7%, and the net profit margin increased to 7.8%, indicating enhanced profitability. The EBIT margin also improved significantly to 14.9%, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 29.9%, showing a stable equity base. However, the return on equity is moderate at 16.6%, suggesting room for improvement in asset utilization.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Ceco Environmental's cash flow position is stable with a positive free cash flow of $15.0M. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.25, which is relatively low, suggesting opportunities for improving cash generation relative to earnings.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
608.30M557.93M544.85M422.63M324.14M316.01M
Gross Profit
210.98M196.15M171.02M128.22M100.92M105.13M
EBIT
90.71M35.40M34.57M34.89M9.86M21.44M
EBITDA
101.98M45.23M47.45M38.33M21.89M30.52M
Net Income Common Stockholders
47.43M12.96M12.91M17.42M1.98M8.21M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
146.47M37.83M54.78M45.52M29.90M35.99M
Total Assets
957.10M759.70M600.29M504.72M416.20M419.31M
Total Debt
363.84M245.07M155.48M119.66M72.54M81.93M
Net Debt
217.37M207.24M100.70M74.14M42.64M45.93M
Total Liabilities
667.04M507.81M362.80M286.57M210.24M215.70M
Stockholders Equity
285.79M247.69M232.64M213.22M204.55M202.66M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
11.64M7.46M36.26M26.27M10.68M476.00K
Operating Cash Flow
11.91M24.83M44.65M29.65M13.30M4.42M
Investing Cash Flow
-97.79M-105.31M-56.49M-48.26M-2.08M-9.23M
Financing Cash Flow
188.19M65.91M21.14M38.18M-15.56M3.72M

Ceco Environmental Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price27.87
Price Trends
50DMA
24.01
Positive
100DMA
24.77
Positive
200DMA
26.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.69
Positive
RSI
60.36
Neutral
STOCH
58.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CECO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 27.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.22, above the 50-day MA of 24.01, and above the 200-day MA of 26.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CECO.

Ceco Environmental Risk Analysis

Ceco Environmental disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ceco Environmental reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ceco Environmental Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$957.17M21.5218.34%8.89%278.44%
66
Neutral
$4.52B12.345.41%3.62%4.15%-12.18%
64
Neutral
$691.05M34.5010.35%10.93%6.99%
55
Neutral
$32.40M-75.96%10.88%3.57%
54
Neutral
$60.02M-6.95%7.30%-247.48%
54
Neutral
$15.38M-69.66%-17.77%0.86%
51
Neutral
$22.02M-62.68%19.09%3.50%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CECO
Ceco Environmental
27.87
4.49
19.20%
ERII
Energy Recovery
12.57
-0.26
-2.03%
FTEK
Fuel Tech
1.89
0.85
81.73%
CLIR
ClearSign Combustion
0.60
-0.12
-16.67%
LIQT
LiqTech International
1.49
-0.84
-36.05%
TOMZ
TOMI Environmental Solutions
1.11
0.00
0.00%

Ceco Environmental Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CECO Environmental Holds Annual Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, CECO Environmental Corp. held its annual meeting of stockholders where eight directors were elected, executive compensation was approved, and Deloitte was ratified as the independent auditor for fiscal 2025. The meeting also established an annual advisory vote on executive compensation, reflecting shareholder engagement in governance matters.

The most recent analyst rating on (CECO) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ceco Environmental stock, see the CECO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.