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Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. (ATMU)
NYSE:ATMU
US Market

Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. (ATMU) AI Stock Analysis

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Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc.

(NYSE:ATMU)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(7.12%Upside)
Atmus Filtration Technologies presents a moderately strong investment case. Key strengths include solid financial performance and reasonable valuation, despite high leverage risks. The technical indicators are neutral, and the earnings call indicated resilience amidst market challenges. Overall, the stock offers a balanced risk-reward opportunity.
Positive Factors
Operational Execution
Operational execution in the 18 months since IPO is building credibility for management.
Revenue Growth
ATMU continues to beat guidance and expectations despite a market downcycle, driving year-over-year sales growth.
Valuation
ATMU started the year at a ~30% discount to DCI, which has narrowed to ~10%, indicating strong relative value expansion.
Negative Factors
First-Fit Market Challenges
First-fit headwinds are getting tougher with volumes expected to be down mid-teens in the fourth quarter and remain challenging in the first half of the following year.
Market Conditions
Both the Aftermarket and First Fit markets are in a synchronized downturn, which is atypical compared to historical trends.
Tariff Risk
Tariff considerations present overhang risk on uncertainty heading into the transition to a Trump administration, with about 30% of revenue from products made in Mexico.

Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. (ATMU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. (ATMU) is a company that specializes in the development and production of high-performance filtration solutions. The company operates within the industrial and automotive sectors, providing essential filtration technologies that enhance the efficiency and sustainability of engines and equipment. Their core products include air, fuel, hydraulic, and lube filtration products, which are critical in maintaining the performance and longevity of engines across various applications.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. generates revenue through the sale of its filtration products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and aftermarket customers. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales of filtration systems and components tailored for specific industrial applications and automotive engines. Additionally, Atmus engages in partnerships with major manufacturers to integrate their filtration solutions into new engine designs, which ensures a consistent demand for their products. Aftermarket sales provide a steady stream of revenue as customers require regular replacements and upgrades to maintain optimal engine performance. Furthermore, the company's ongoing investment in research and development allows it to innovate and offer cutting-edge filtration technologies, thereby sustaining its competitive edge and market share.

Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 02, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several achievements, including strong capital allocation, successful product launches, and operational progress. However, these were offset by challenges such as sales decline, market uncertainties, and significant tariff impacts, leading to a balanced sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Capital Allocation Program
Repurchased $10 million of stock in Q1, totaling $30 million since July, with $120 million remaining under board authorization.
Operational Separation Progress
Significant progress on operational separation from Cummins, expected to complete remaining activities in 2025.
Successful Launch of NanoNet N3
Expanded leadership in fuel filtration and crankcase ventilation with the launch of NanoNet N3 media.
Grand Opening of South Korea Facility
Opened a new media manufacturing facility in Mado, South Korea, enhancing production capacity and capabilities.
Solid Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA of $82 million or 19.6%, up from $80 million or 18.8% in the prior period.
Negative Updates
Sales Decline
Sales were $417 million, a decrease of 2.4% compared to $427 million last year, driven by unfavorable foreign exchange and lower volumes.
Challenging Market Conditions
Soft market conditions globally, with uncertainty in freight activity recovery and weak demand in key markets like China and India.
Tariff-Related Challenges
Significant impact from tariffs, especially on China (145%) and potential uncertainties from Section 232 investigation.
Increased Onetime Costs
Higher Q1 onetime costs due to Belgium warehouse transition, revising full-year guidance for onetime costs to $10-15 million.
Company Guidance
During the Atmus Filtration Technologies First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance for the fiscal year, with total company revenue expected to be flat to up 4% compared to the prior year, ranging from $1.67 billion to $1.735 billion. The adjusted EBITDA margin is projected to remain between 19% and 20%, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) are anticipated to be between $2.35 and $2.60. The guidance reflects estimated tariff impacts, which include a 145% tariff on imports from China and a 10% broad-based tariff on other countries, with the company aiming to implement pricing adjustments of approximately 1.5% to offset these costs. Despite the challenging economic environment, Atmus aims to achieve a 3.2% year-over-year revenue increase from pricing and 2% from market share gains, maintaining resilience with over 80% of revenue from the aftermarket segment. Adjusted free cash flow is projected to exclude around $5 million to $10 million of onetime capital expenditures related to the company's separation from Cummins.

Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Atmus Filtration Technologies demonstrates a strong financial position with solid profitability and cash flow metrics. While the income statement shows robust margins, the balance sheet's high leverage poses potential risks. Nevertheless, the company’s impressive cash flow performance mitigates some concerns, indicating healthy cash generation and financial resilience.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Atmus Filtration Technologies shows a solid performance with improving profitability metrics. The gross profit margin for TTM is 27.98%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin stands at 11.23%, reflecting strong bottom-line control. Revenue growth, however, has seen slight fluctuations, with a TTM decline of approximately 1.42%, but a previous annual growth of 2.55%. The EBIT margin at 15.73% and EBITDA margin at 16.92% are indicative of robust operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet depicts a moderate financial position, with a significant debt-to-equity ratio of 2.22, suggesting high leverage which could pose risks. However, the return on equity (ROE) is strong at 69.63%, showing excellent returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is relatively low at 21.60%, indicating less reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement presents a favorable outlook with a free cash flow growth rate of 61.62%, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. Operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.77 and a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.50 reflect efficient cash conversion processes. These metrics underscore the company’s ability to generate cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.65B1.67B1.63B1.56B1.44B1.23B
Gross Profit460.50M462.10M443.50M361.40M350.50M309.40M
EBITDA278.40M266.20M273.70M234.30M239.60M221.70M
Net Income184.80M185.60M171.30M128.00M170.10M142.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.23B1.19B1.09B879.40M848.30M786.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments183.30M184.30M168.00M-9.40M-9.80M17.70M
Total Debt588.80M631.60M625.90M9.40M9.80M20.20M
Total Liabilities962.80M962.90M1.01B429.90M411.10M339.30M
Stockholders Equity265.30M227.40M80.70M449.50M437.20M447.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow91.90M56.80M143.20M143.60M170.40M186.60M
Operating Cash Flow142.30M105.40M189.00M177.00M202.30M213.10M
Investing Cash Flow-50.40M-48.60M-45.80M-33.40M-31.90M-26.50M
Financing Cash Flow-53.70M-35.80M24.80M-143.60M-170.40M-186.60M

Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.34
Price Trends
50DMA
36.19
Positive
100DMA
36.63
Positive
200DMA
38.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
58.35
Neutral
STOCH
77.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATMU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.15, above the 50-day MA of 36.19, and below the 200-day MA of 38.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ATMU.

Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. Risk Analysis

Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.03B22.4818.34%8.89%278.44%
FSFSS
78
Outperform
$6.47B31.0618.78%0.51%7.85%15.78%
ZWZWS
76
Outperform
$6.29B38.2510.49%0.96%3.22%38.39%
72
Outperform
$3.08B16.8695.48%0.54%1.43%12.88%
64
Neutral
$701.95M35.3510.35%10.93%6.99%
58
Neutral
$1.34B4.20-2.93%7.41%3.67%-51.13%
PCPCT
38
Underperform
$2.34B-67.71%-180.10%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATMU
Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc.
37.34
8.95
31.53%
CECO
Ceco Environmental
29.11
0.65
2.28%
ERII
Energy Recovery
12.88
0.28
2.22%
FSS
Federal Signal
109.34
26.00
31.20%
ZWS
Zurn Water Solutions
37.54
8.74
30.35%
PCT
PureCycle Technologies
13.81
8.34
152.47%

Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Atmus Filtration Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 27, 2025

Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 20, 2025. During the meeting, stockholders elected directors to the board, approved executive compensation, ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLC as the independent auditor, and passed several amendments to the Certificate of Incorporation, including declassifying the board, eliminating supermajority voting provisions, and removing legacy parent provisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATMU) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. stock, see the ATMU Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Atmus Filtration Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.05 per common share. This dividend is payable on June 18, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 3, 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATMU) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. stock, see the ATMU Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Atmus Filtration Appoints New Chief Legal Officer
Positive
May 13, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. appointed Laura Heltebran as Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary, effective May 13, 2025. Heltebran, who previously held significant legal positions at Wheels Up and Hilton Worldwide, will report to CEO Steph Disher and join the Atmus Leadership Team. Her appointment is expected to contribute to the company’s continued growth and success, leveraging her extensive legal experience and leadership skills.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATMU) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atmus Filtration Technologies, Inc. stock, see the ATMU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2025