tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Trade Desk (TTD)
NASDAQ:TTD

Trade Desk (TTD) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
13,675 Followers

Top Page

TTD

Trade Desk

(NASDAQ:TTD)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$43.00
▲(15.31% Upside)
Trade Desk's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, indicating robust growth potential. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the high P/E ratio reflects premium valuation, which may pose risks if growth expectations are not met.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates strong demand for Trade Desk's platform, highlighting its competitive position and ability to capture market share.
Product Innovation
Continuous product innovation enhances Trade Desk's platform capabilities, attracting more clients and strengthening its competitive edge.
Financial Strength
Strong financial health with significant cash reserves and no debt provides Trade Desk with flexibility to invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Macro-Economic Concerns
Macro-economic pressures on key clients could impact ad spending, potentially slowing Trade Desk's revenue growth in affected sectors.
Competitive Challenges
Increased competition from major players could pressure Trade Desk's pricing and market share, affecting long-term profitability.
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
A decline in free cash flow growth may signal challenges in cash flow management, potentially limiting future investment capabilities.

Trade Desk (TTD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trade Desk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrade Desk (TTD) is a global technology company that specializes in digital advertising and programmatic ad buying. Founded in 2009, the company provides a platform that enables advertisers to purchase and manage digital advertising campaigns across various channels, including display, video, audio, and social media. Trade Desk operates within the advertising technology sector, offering tools and solutions that leverage data and analytics to optimize ad spending and improve campaign performance.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrade Desk primarily generates revenue through a software-as-a-service (SaaS) model, charging advertisers fees based on their advertising spend on the platform. The company earns money by taking a percentage of the total media spend that advertisers allocate for their campaigns, known as the 'take rate.' Key revenue streams include fees from demand-side platform (DSP) services, which allow advertisers to access and buy inventory from various ad exchanges. Additionally, Trade Desk has developed partnerships with various data providers, enabling advertisers to leverage audience data for targeted campaigns, further enhancing the platform's value and driving additional revenue. Their focus on data-driven advertising and continuous innovation in ad technology also contribute to their earnings by attracting a diverse range of clients across multiple industries.

Trade Desk Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Spend
Gross Spend
Shows the total amount spent by advertisers through Trade Desk's platform, highlighting the scale of business and potential for revenue growth.
Chart InsightsThe Trade Desk's gross spend has shown robust growth, nearly tripling from 2020 to 2024. Despite this upward trajectory, the company recently missed its financial guidance for the first time in 33 quarters due to execution missteps. In response, they are implementing organizational changes to enhance internal effectiveness. With strong CTV and international growth, alongside strategic investments in AI and partnerships, The Trade Desk is well-positioned to capitalize on the expanding digital advertising market, aiming for continued growth despite recent challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Trade Desk Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong revenue growth and operational improvements, with significant product innovations and international expansion. Despite some macro-economic challenges and competitive pressures, the company is well-positioned for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue grew approximately 18% compared with Q3 of last year, and excluding political spend, revenue grew by 22%.
CTV and Kokai Performance
CTV remains the largest and fastest-growing channel. Kokai has delivered 26% better cost per acquisition, 58% better cost per unique reach, and a 94% better click-through rate compared to Solimar.
International Growth
The company's growth across international markets continues to outpace growth in North America.
Operational Enhancements
Introduction of new leadership roles, operational progress, and a focus on more data-driven culture and accountability.
Product Innovations
Introduction of OpenPath, OpenAds, Pubdesk, Deal Desk, Audience Unlimited, and Trading Modes.
Financial Strength
Generated approximately $317 million in adjusted EBITDA, or about 43% of revenue, with a strong cash position of $1.4 billion and no debt.
Negative Updates
Macro-Economic Concerns
Some large brands, particularly in consumer products, CPG, and parts of retail, are still feeling pressure from factors like tariffs and inflation.
Competitive Challenges
The competitive environment is evolving with companies like Google and Amazon trying to evolve their DSPs, which could lead to pricing pressures.
Company Guidance
During The Trade Desk's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Jeff Green highlighted several key metrics and developments. Revenue increased by approximately 18% year-over-year, and when political spend is excluded, the revenue growth was 22%. CTV remained the company's largest and fastest-growing channel, contributing significantly to overall business growth. The company also emphasized strong adoption of retail media across various verticals, with notable expansion into CTV and AI chatbots. The financial outlook for Q4 anticipates at least $840 million in revenue, representing an 18.5% increase year-over-year, excluding political ad spend. The adjusted EBITDA for Q4 is projected to be approximately $375 million. Additionally, The Trade Desk's CTV and audio channels are expected to grow as a percentage of the channel mix, driven by their premium and authenticated nature. The company also reported a strong balance sheet with approximately $1.4 billion in cash and no debt.

Trade Desk Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trade Desk demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, and cash flow generation remains robust despite recent declines in free cash flow growth. The company is well-positioned in the competitive software application industry, though it should monitor cost pressures and cash flow trends closely.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Trade Desk shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 4.16% and consistent profitability with a net profit margin of 15.72%. The gross profit margin remains robust at 78.81%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from previous years suggests rising costs or competitive pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity is solid at 16.00%, reflecting effective use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio is moderate, suggesting room for improvement in asset management.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, with a ratio of 0.29 to net income, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. However, free cash flow growth has declined by 8.58% in the TTM, which could signal potential challenges in cash flow management or increased capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.79B2.44B1.95B1.58B1.20B836.03M
Gross Profit2.20B1.97B1.58B1.30B974.91M657.22M
EBITDA653.99M514.66M280.90M168.08M167.04M172.84M
Net Income438.58M393.08M178.94M53.38M137.76M242.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.94B6.11B4.89B4.38B3.58B2.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.45B1.92B1.38B1.45B958.78M624.04M
Total Debt375.98M312.21M235.89M260.96M284.60M292.43M
Total Liabilities3.34B3.16B2.72B2.27B2.05B1.74B
Stockholders Equity2.60B2.95B2.16B2.12B1.53B1.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow687.54M632.39M543.30M456.85M318.54M324.95M
Operating Cash Flow880.53M739.46M598.32M548.73M378.51M405.07M
Investing Cash Flow-474.11M-157.51M-107.59M-304.37M-93.64M-143.27M
Financing Cash Flow-974.76M-107.61M-626.11M31.99M31.93M44.68M

Trade Desk Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price37.29
Price Trends
50DMA
43.79
Negative
100DMA
49.10
Negative
200DMA
57.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.77
Negative
RSI
34.79
Neutral
STOCH
37.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TTD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 37.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.39, below the 50-day MA of 43.79, and below the 200-day MA of 57.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TTD.

Trade Desk Risk Analysis

Trade Desk disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trade Desk reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trade Desk Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$14.02B49.2915.22%8.45%-69.85%
70
Outperform
$18.02B42.5416.78%20.82%41.82%
69
Neutral
$49.23B480.493.52%26.63%-46.13%
68
Neutral
$2.36B43.617.56%6.27%226.16%
65
Neutral
$734.22M450.004.45%22.97%49.49%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$409.84M-48.99-2.85%-0.68%-146.14%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TTD
Trade Desk
37.29
-86.67
-69.92%
MGNI
Magnite
16.44
0.02
0.12%
DOCU
DocuSign
70.43
-24.42
-25.75%
DDOG
Datadog
141.84
-6.56
-4.42%
PUBM
PubMatic
8.96
-6.41
-41.70%
DSP
Viant Technology
11.88
-8.21
-40.87%

Trade Desk Corporate Events

Legal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Trade Desk Receives Nasdaq Reprimand for Rule Violation
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 9, 2025, The Trade Desk, Inc. received a reprimand from Nasdaq for violating voting rights rules due to an amendment to its articles of incorporation. The amendment, approved on September 16, 2025, extended the conversion date of Class B to Class A shares. Despite the reprimand, Nasdaq closed the matter with no further action, and the company’s stock listing remains unaffected.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Trade Desk Reports Strong Q3 Revenue Growth
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, The Trade Desk announced its third-quarter financial results, reporting an 18% year-over-year revenue growth to $739 million, driven by innovations in its Kokai platform. The company also revealed a $500 million increase in its share repurchase program, highlighting its strong financial position and commitment to returning value to shareholders. The Trade Desk’s strategic initiatives, including new product launches and partnerships, reinforce its market leadership and potential for future growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025