tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Trade Desk (TTD)
NASDAQ:TTD

Trade Desk (TTD) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
11,728 Followers

Top Page

TT

Trade Desk

(NASDAQ:TTD)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$83.00
▲(8.00%Upside)
Trade Desk's strong financial performance and optimistic earnings call, highlighting robust growth and strategic advancements, are the most significant factors for its high score. While technical indicators show some resistance, the company's financial health and strategic focus on growth areas like CTV and international markets outweigh valuation concerns.
Positive Factors
Growth Outlook
TTD remains differentiated despite competition, which supports its improving growth outlook.
Market Share
TTD is the clear market share leader and best performing DSP across key qualities.
Negative Factors
Competition
Amazon DSP is gaining ground with some evidence of spend coming from TTD.
Data Strategy
TTD does not have 1st party retail data inhouse to leverage for advertising buyers.

Trade Desk (TTD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trade Desk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrade Desk, Inc. operates as a technology company in the United States and internationally. The company operates a self-service cloud-based platform that allows buyers to create, manage, and optimize data-driven digital advertising campaigns across various ad formats and channels, including display, video, audio, native, and social on various devices, such as computers, mobile devices, and connected TV. It also provides data and other value-added services. The company serves advertising agencies and other service providers for advertisers. The Trade Desk, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Ventura, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Trade Desk generates revenue primarily through a usage-based model, where clients pay based on the volume of advertising spend that runs through its platform. This typically involves charging a percentage of the advertising spend as a platform fee. Key revenue streams include fees from programmatic ad buying, data and analytics services, and integration with third-party platforms. The company also benefits from significant partnerships with major digital publishers and media platforms, which enhance its service offerings and expand its reach in the digital advertising ecosystem.

Trade Desk Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Spend
Gross Spend
Shows the total amount spent by advertisers through Trade Desk's platform, highlighting the scale of business and potential for revenue growth.
Chart InsightsThe Trade Desk's gross spend has shown robust growth, nearly tripling from 2020 to 2024. Despite this upward trajectory, the company recently missed its financial guidance for the first time in 33 quarters due to execution missteps. In response, they are implementing organizational changes to enhance internal effectiveness. With strong CTV and international growth, alongside strategic investments in AI and partnerships, The Trade Desk is well-positioned to capitalize on the expanding digital advertising market, aiming for continued growth despite recent challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Trade Desk Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 28.30%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted robust revenue growth, significant adoption of new technologies, and a strong financial position. Despite economic uncertainties impacting some clients, the company showed resilience and adaptability. The positive momentum of Kokai and OpenPath, along with international expansion, paints an optimistic picture for the future.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
The Trade Desk reported a Q1 revenue of $616 million, marking a 25% increase year-over-year, surpassing expectations despite economic uncertainties.
Significant CTV Growth
CTV continues to be the largest and fastest-growing advertising channel, with video (including CTV) representing a high 40s percentage share of the business.
Kokai Adoption and AI Integration
Around two-thirds of clients are now using the Kokai platform, which is ahead of schedule. Kokai has been delivering on lower funnel KPIs with a 24% lower cost per conversion and 20% lower cost per acquisition.
International Growth
International growth outpaced North America for the ninth consecutive quarter, representing about 12% of the overall spend.
Strong Financial Position
The company reported $1.7 billion in cash and no debt. They also repurchased $386 million of Class A common stock in Q1.
Positive Impact of OpenPath
OpenPath has shown significant improvements in publisher fill rates and revenue, exemplified by Arena Group's 4x increase in fill rates and a 79% rise in programmatic revenue.
Negative Updates
Macro Environment Concerns
Growing concerns among clients regarding economic volatility, particularly affecting large global brands.
Company Guidance
During The Trade Desk's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported a robust 25% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $616 million, which significantly exceeded expectations despite the challenging economic environment. The call highlighted the adoption of their new platform, Kokai, which is now used by about two-thirds of their clients, contributing to a 24% reduction in cost per conversion and a 20% reduction in cost per acquisition. The Trade Desk also achieved a 34% adjusted EBITDA margin, equating to $208 million for the quarter. The company continues its strategic focus on the open internet, gaining market share amidst a fairer competitive landscape following recent legal setbacks for Google. International growth outpaced North America for the ninth consecutive quarter, with CTV remaining the largest and fastest-growing advertising channel. Looking ahead, The Trade Desk anticipates Q2 revenue of at least $682 million, reflecting 17% year-over-year growth, with an adjusted EBITDA expected around $259 million.

Trade Desk Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trade Desk exhibits a strong financial profile characterized by consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and a solid balance sheet. The company's prudent leverage and strong cash flows indicate a well-managed financial strategy conducive to future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Trade Desk's income statement shows strong growth and profitability. The company has demonstrated solid revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from the previous year. The gross profit margin remains high, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin has improved steadily, showcasing enhanced profitability. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, further emphasizing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a robust equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating prudent leverage management. Return on Equity (ROE) has shown improvement, reflecting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio indicates a strong asset base funded by shareholder equity, showcasing financial stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Trade Desk's cash flow statement highlights strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. Free cash flow growth rate is positive, reflecting healthy cash reserves to support growth initiatives. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust, underscoring financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.57B2.44B1.95B1.58B1.20B836.03M
Gross Profit2.06B1.97B1.58B1.30B974.91M657.22M
EBITDA497.96M514.66M280.90M168.08M124.82M144.21M
Net Income412.09M393.08M178.94M53.38M137.76M242.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.71B6.11B4.89B4.38B3.58B2.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.74B1.92B1.38B1.45B958.78M624.04M
Total Debt334.97M312.21M235.89M260.96M284.60M292.43M
Total Liabilities2.99B3.16B2.72B2.27B2.05B1.74B
Stockholders Equity2.72B2.95B2.16B2.12B1.53B1.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow685.76M632.39M543.30M456.85M318.54M324.95M
Operating Cash Flow845.42M739.46M598.32M548.73M378.51M405.07M
Investing Cash Flow-268.98M-157.51M-107.59M-304.37M-93.64M-143.27M
Financing Cash Flow-376.09M-107.61M-626.11M31.99M31.93M44.68M

Trade Desk Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price76.85
Price Trends
50DMA
70.45
Positive
100DMA
64.72
Positive
200DMA
92.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.41
Negative
RSI
63.77
Neutral
STOCH
92.89
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TTD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 76.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.35, above the 50-day MA of 70.45, and below the 200-day MA of 92.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.89 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TTD.

Trade Desk Risk Analysis

Trade Desk disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trade Desk reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trade Desk Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TTTTD
80
Outperform
$36.38B92.4916.88%25.07%103.30%
75
Outperform
$609.10M160.141.94%3.62%-53.21%
DVDV
72
Outperform
$2.51B52.604.83%15.30%-22.69%
GTGTM
71
Outperform
$3.34B85.002.23%-3.12%-37.59%
DSDSP
65
Neutral
$864.04M471.434.15%30.64%
60
Neutral
$4.41B-63.52%30.08%-196.62%
50
Neutral
C$2.94B1.84-63.12%2.59%11.24%-12.42%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TTD
Trade Desk
76.85
-21.72
-22.04%
GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies
10.37
-1.51
-12.71%
PUBM
PubMatic
13.67
-6.56
-32.43%
GRND
Grindr
21.30
9.08
74.30%
DSP
Viant Technology
13.64
3.35
32.56%
DV
DoubleVerify Holdings
15.40
-4.63
-23.12%

Trade Desk Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Trade Desk Stockholders Approve Key Governance Proposals
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 27, 2025, The Trade Desk, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where four proposals were considered and voted upon. The stockholders elected two Class III directors, approved the 2025 Incentive Award Plan, endorsed executive compensation on a non-binding basis, and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, impacting its leadership structure and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (TTD) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trade Desk stock, see the TTD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 01, 2025