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Titan America SA (TTAM)
NYSE:TTAM
US Market

Titan America SA (TTAM) AI Stock Analysis

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TTAM

Titan America SA

(NYSE:TTAM)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(12.24% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/19/26
The score is driven by solid underlying financial performance and a constructive earnings outlook with margin resilience and deleveraging, partially offset by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with bearish MACD). Valuation appears reasonable, but the modest dividend and risks tied to residential softness and input-cost pressures temper the upside.
Positive Factors
Margin improvement & profitability
Titan America delivered materially higher operating margins and record adjusted EBITDA in 2025, reflecting stronger pricing, mix and operating leverage. Sustained margin improvement increases durable free cash flow potential and resilience through cycles, supporting reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Improving leverage & balance sheet
Material deleveraging and rising equity strengthened the capital structure and reduced interest sensitivity. Lower net leverage and solid ROE provide strategic flexibility to fund capex, M&A and distributions while better absorbing cyclical downturns and financing cost swings over the medium term.
Strategic Mid-Atlantic expansion
The Keystone transaction materially expands scale, geographic diversification and long-life mineral assets in an addressable >6M short ton market. If approved and executed, logistical synergies and added capacity align the company to capture multi-year infrastructure-driven demand and improve long-run margins.
Negative Factors
Prolonged residential demand weakness
Sustained weak single‑family housing and affordability constraints reduce structural demand for cement and block products. A delayed residential rebound compresses volumes and pricing in key end markets for multiple years, limiting organic revenue growth and increasing cyclicality risk in results.
Free cash flow variability
Material FCF volatility and a sharp FCF decline in 2025 constrain the firm’s ability to consistently self‑fund capex, acquisitions and payouts. Even with strong operating cash flow in 2025, inconsistent free cash conversion raises medium‑term funding and flexibility risks under adverse working capital or capex cycles.
Regulatory and execution risk on Keystone deal
The Keystone acquisition’s benefits depend on regulatory clearance and timely integration. Delays, remedies or divestiture requirements could erode expected synergies, raise costs, and postpone diversification and margin gains, leaving planned capacity and logistic advantages unrealized for an extended period.

Titan America SA (TTAM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Titan America SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTitan America SA manufactures building materials. The Company produces and sells cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, dry mortars, building blocks, and other concrete products. Titan America serves customers worldwide.
How the Company Makes Moneynull

Titan America SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 17, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call portrayed a largely positive picture: Titan America delivered record full-year revenue, adjusted EBITDA, net income and operating cash flow, improved margins and materially reduced leverage while advancing strategic capacity investments, digital initiatives and a foundational acquisition agreement. These achievements offset notable headwinds including sustained residential weakness, Mid-Atlantic underperformance driven by tariffs, adverse weather and higher energy costs. Management provided conservative but constructive 2026 guidance (low single-digit revenue growth and modest margin expansion) and highlighted multiple self-help and growth levers.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Financial Performance
Full-year 2025 revenue reached $1.66 billion, up 1.8% year-over-year; adjusted EBITDA was a record $390 million, up ~5% from $370 million; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 23.4%, a 75 basis point improvement versus 2024; net income was $185 million, up 12% year-over-year.
Strong Q4 Results and Margin Improvement
Fourth-quarter 2025 revenue was $406 million, up 4% year-over-year; Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $94 million, up ~12% year-over-year; Q4 net income was $44 million, up 19% year-over-year; Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 23.1% from 21.4% a year earlier.
Outstanding Cash Flow and Deleveraging
Operating cash flow for the full year was a record $295 million (Q4 operating cash flow $81 million vs $51 million prior year); full-year free cash flow was $132 million after $163 million net CapEx; net debt at year-end was $250.7 million, yielding a net leverage ratio of 0.64x (improved from 1.21x at end of 2024).
Florida Segment Delivered Record Results
Florida segment full-year revenue was $1.02 billion, up 2.7% year-over-year; full-year segment adjusted EBITDA was $279 million, up 11.6%; Q4 external revenue $247 million (+5.1% YoY) and Q4 segment adjusted EBITDA $65 million (+22.5% YoY); Q4 segment margin expanded to 26.1% from 22.4%.
Strong Volume Growth in Aggregates and Fly Ash
Full-year aggregates volumes increased 15.7% and fly ash volumes grew 20.9%; in Q4 aggregates volumes rose 10.3% and fly ash rose 23.2%, reflecting benefits from capacity investments and stronger utility generation.
Strategic Capacity Investments and Digital Initiatives
Net CapEx of $163 million focused on expanding cement and aggregates capacity, alternative fuels, Pennsuco grinding capacity and logistics/rail terminals; investments in digital transformation, predictive maintenance and logistics technology contributed to margin expansion and operational efficiency.
Signed Agreement to Acquire Keystone Cement Company
Agreement signed to acquire Keystone Cement (Bath, PA) — ~990,000 short tons clinker capacity; access to an addressable market >6 million short tons (PA, OH, MD, DE); mineral assets support >50 years of capacity; expected logistical synergies with existing hubs; transaction is pending regulatory approval.
Shareholder Returns and Public Listing Milestone
Titan America completed its first year as a public company on the NYSE and paid an issue premium distribution of $0.04 per share approved by the Board; management highlighted the company’s ability to deliver record results as a newly public company.
Negative Updates
Mid-Atlantic Segment Weakness
Mid-Atlantic full-year adjusted EBITDA declined 10.6% to $121 million and segment margin contracted to 18.8% from 21.2% in 2024; Q4 segment adjusted EBITDA fell 5.4% YoY to $32 million and Q4 margin declined to 20.4% from 22.3%, driven by soft demand in Metro New York/New Jersey, adverse weather and tariff-related cost pressure.
Cement and Concrete Block Volume Declines
Full-year cement volumes fell 2.4% reflecting residential weakness; full-year concrete block volumes declined 2.1%; Q4 cement volumes were nearly flat (+0.2%) while Q4 concrete block volumes rose due to easy hurricane comps but annual block volumes remain down.
Residential Market Softness Sustained
Persistently elevated mortgage rates and low housing affordability kept single-family residential construction weak through 2025; management expects residential recovery may be pushed into 2027, weighing on cement and block demand.
Pricing Pressure in Specific Products
Full-year cement pricing was modestly down -0.4% on a like-for-like basis and Q4 cement pricing was essentially flat; concrete block pricing declined ~2% in Q4 and -1.7% for the year; fly ash pricing fell ~2% in Q4 despite volume gains.
Tariffs and Higher Raw Material Costs
Tariffs and higher raw material costs adversely affected Mid-Atlantic results and were not fully offset by price increases in 2025; management expects tariffs to be a smaller headwind in 2026 but they pressured margins in 2025.
Rising Energy and Fuel Costs and Geopolitical Risk
Fuel and energy represent roughly 8% of COGS; diesel and liquid fuel costs rose (reference to ~$5 per gallon), and recent geopolitical events and higher oil prices introduce inflationary risk that could pressure margins; some mitigation exists via alternative fuels and fuel surcharges, but exposure remains.
Keystone Acquisition Subject to Regulatory Approval
While strategic, the Keystone Cement acquisition remains pending regulatory review, creating execution and timing risk before capacity and synergy benefits can be realized.
Company Guidance
Titan America guided 2026 to like‑for‑like low single‑digit revenue growth versus 2025's $1.66 billion and a modest expansion in adjusted EBITDA margins above 2025's 23.4% (2025 adjusted EBITDA $390 million), while flagging continued residential softness with an inflection likely pushed into 2027 as mortgage rates hover around 6%. Management expects infrastructure and private non‑residential strength to persist (about 50% of IIJA funds spent with the remainder expected to be deployed over the next three years), anticipates tariffs to be a smaller year‑over‑year headwind in 2026, and has announced price actions of $12/ton for cement, $10/yd for ready‑mix and $3 for aggregates (announced in January and largely pushed into April); it also warned that higher energy and fuel costs (diesel roughly $5/gal) pose upside cost risk to be managed via price realization, operational efficiencies and targeted CapEx.

Titan America SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and margin improvement with better leverage trends, but free cash flow is volatile (notably the 2025 decline) and demand appears somewhat lumpy/cyclical.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Profitability and momentum are strong. Revenue expanded sharply in 2025 (up ~96% vs. 2024), while margins improved across the board (gross margin ~26% and net margin ~11% in 2025 vs. ~16% and ~4.6% in 2022). EBIT and EBITDA margins also stepped up meaningfully from 2022–2025, indicating better operating leverage. The main weakness is that growth appears uneven—2024 revenue growth was modest before the 2025 surge, which can imply a more cyclical or lumpy demand profile typical of construction materials.
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Leverage looks reasonable and improving. Debt-to-equity declined to ~0.45 in 2025 from ~0.78 in 2022, alongside a sizable rise in equity, which strengthens the capital structure. Returns on equity are healthy (roughly 18–22% in 2023–2025), supporting the view that the company is generating solid profits on shareholder capital. A key risk is that total debt remains sizable in absolute terms, so results could still be sensitive to industry downturns and financing conditions.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Cash generation is solid but less consistent. Operating cash flow increased from 2022 to 2025, and in 2025 operating cash flow exceeded net income (about 1.38x), a positive quality signal. However, free cash flow growth turned negative in 2025 (down ~39%), and free cash flow covered only ~42% of net income in 2025, suggesting heavier reinvestment or working-capital swings. The variability in free cash flow is the main constraint on the score.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.66B1.63B1.59B1.36B
Gross Profit434.99M416.65M363.49M221.27M
EBITDA380.21M348.71M314.24M188.81M
Net Income185.44M166.07M155.24M62.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.89B1.57B1.50B1.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments211.75M12.12M22.04M29.84M
Total Debt462.41M460.18M409.41M462.09M
Total Liabilities859.81M816.24M779.03M854.50M
Stockholders Equity1.03B750.01M719.77M592.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow117.09M112.62M108.38M50.10M
Operating Cash Flow277.63M248.04M227.13M178.37M
Investing Cash Flow-157.95M-135.80M-117.65M-127.30M
Financing Cash Flow79.94M-123.33M-117.78M-21.66M

Titan America SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.70
Price Trends
50DMA
15.11
Negative
100DMA
14.91
Negative
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
45.84
Neutral
STOCH
14.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TTAM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.21, below the 50-day MA of 15.11, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TTAM.

Titan America SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.44B28.0623.07%0.19%20.27%31.94%
69
Neutral
$2.71B16.290.94%0.28%-1.57%
69
Neutral
$16.04B1.7310.45%0.74%-6.34%210.97%
69
Neutral
$1.81B14.7222.02%1.12%15.70%19.92%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$914.19M20.6416.04%5.46%9.24%24.01%
49
Neutral
$1.32B79.745.06%-33.99%-61.41%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TTAM
Titan America SA
14.70
1.64
12.56%
CPAC
Cementos Pacasmayo SAA
10.17
4.84
90.81%
CX
Cemex SAB
10.63
4.63
77.14%
USLM
United States Lime & Minerals
120.01
23.58
24.45%
TGLS
Tecnoglass
40.42
-33.37
-45.22%
LOMA
Loma Negra Compania Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anonima
10.78
-0.38
-3.41%

Titan America SA Corporate Events

Titan America Posts Record 2025 Results and Moves to Expand Mid-Atlantic Footprint
Mar 17, 2026

On March 17, 2026, Titan America SA reported that fourth-quarter 2025 revenue rose 4.1% year-on-year to $405.7 million, while net income jumped 19.1% to $43.5 million as improved volumes, cost controls and productivity expanded margins. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter advanced 12.2% to $93.7 million, with gains driven by higher aggregates and cement output and better sales mix despite soft residential demand and regional headwinds in the Mid-Atlantic.

For full year 2025, Titan America posted record revenue of $1.66 billion, up 1.8% from 2024, and net income of $185.4 million, an 11.7% increase, as lower costs, resilient pricing and reduced financing and tax burdens lifted profitability. The group generated $295.4 million in operating cash flow, maintained modest leverage at 0.64 times adjusted EBITDA, and highlighted an agreement to acquire Keystone Cement Company to extend its Mid-Atlantic footprint and strengthen its long-term strategic position in that market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TTAM) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Titan America SA stock, see the TTAM Stock Forecast page.

Titan America SA Declares First-Quarter 2026 Cash Distribution from Issue Premium
Mar 17, 2026

On March 17, 2026, Titan America SA announced that its board declared a first‑quarter 2026 distribution of $0.04 per common share, to be paid from the company’s available issue premium. The payout is scheduled for May 8, 2026, to shareholders of record as of April 20, 2026.

The move underscores Titan America’s capacity and willingness to return capital while highlighting that future distributions or dividends will remain at the board’s discretion, subject to available issue premium, financial performance, and shareholder approvals. This framework signals continued but not guaranteed cash returns, aligning distributions with the company’s earnings, cash needs, and strategic outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (TTAM) stock is a Hold with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Titan America SA stock, see the TTAM Stock Forecast page.

Titan America to Acquire Keystone Cement in $310 Million Mid-Atlantic Expansion
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Titan America SA announced an agreement to acquire Pennsylvania-based Keystone Cement Company, a cement manufacturer and aggregates producer in the Lehigh Valley, from the Fortaleza, Uniland and Tritadura groups for $310 million, or about $313 per short ton of current clinker capacity. The deal substantially expands Titan America’s footprint in the Mid-Atlantic by adding one of the state’s most efficient kilns with 990,000 short tons of clinker capacity, long‑life mineral assets expected to support more than 50 years of production, a strong position in a 6.2 million short ton addressable market across Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware and Ohio, and significant local aggregates and alternative-fuels infrastructure; integrated with Titan’s Essex and Roanoke Cement operations and its fly ash plants in Pennsylvania and Ohio, the acquisition is positioned to unlock logistics, commercial and cost synergies, enhance geographic diversification and margin performance once regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions are satisfied, and deepen the company’s exposure to large-scale infrastructure, technology and transportation investment-led demand in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (TTAM) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Titan America SA stock, see the TTAM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 19, 2026