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Cemex Sab De Cv (CX)
NYSE:CX

Cemex SAB (CX) AI Stock Analysis

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CX

Cemex SAB

(NYSE:CX)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$13.50
â–˛(9.40% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/08/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (profitability recovery, improved leverage, and positive free cash flow) and supportive earnings-call guidance around cost savings, margins, and free-cash-flow conversion. Technicals are mixed with neutral momentum and near-term consolidation, while valuation is middling with a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improved Leverage
CEMEX has meaningfully reduced leverage versus 2020, lowering refinancing and liquidity risk and improving financial flexibility. A more moderate debt-to-equity ratio supports sustained investment in operations, dividends and buybacks and strengthens the firm's resilience through construction cycles.
Stronger Cash Generation
The company produced consistently positive operating and free cash flow with a marked improvement in 2025 and a raised conversion target for 2026. Higher and more predictable cash conversion underpins sustainable reinvestment, deleveraging optionality and capacity to fund dividends and the announced buyback program.
Cost Savings & Structural Efficiency
Project Cutting Edge has delivered material, recurring EBITDA savings and management targets further escalation to $400M by 2027. Durable programmatic cost reductions boost margin sustainability, improve operating leverage and create structural competitiveness across volatile regional markets.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression
EBITDA and EBIT margins have stepped down from 2023 highs, indicating weaker pricing or mix and higher cost pressure. Sustained margin compression reduces earnings resilience, limits internal cash generation under stress, and narrows the buffer available to service debt or fund strategic initiatives.
Cyclical Volume Exposure
CEMEX remains exposed to cyclical end-markets, notably U.S. residential construction and pockets of weak demand. Prolonged softness in housing or regional construction can depress aggregates and ready-mix volumes, pressuring utilization, fixed-cost absorption and medium-term revenue trends.
Cash Flow Volatility & Asset Risk
FCF volatility and recent impairment charges highlight sensitivity to working capital, capex timing and asset valuations. Erratic cash generation and impairment risk can constrain capital allocation consistency, raise refinancing risk in downturns, and limit the durability of shareholder returns.

Cemex SAB (CX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cemex SAB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, produces, markets, distributes, and sells cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, urbanization solutions, and other construction materials worldwide. The company also offers various complementary construction products, including asphalt products; concrete blocks; roof tiles; architectural products; concrete pipes for storm and sanitary sewers applications; and other precast products, such as rail products, concrete floors, box culverts, bridges, drainage basins, barriers, and parking curbs. In addition, it provides building solutions for housing solutions, pavement solutions, and green building services; cement trade maritime services; and information technology solutions. The company operates approximately 2,000 retail stores. CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Pedro Garza GarcĂ­a, Mexico.
How the Company Makes MoneyCemex generates revenue primarily through the sale of its core products: cement, ready-mix concrete, and aggregates. Cement sales represent a significant portion of its revenue, as it is a fundamental material in construction. Ready-mix concrete and aggregates further contribute to the company's revenue streams, catering to various construction needs. Additionally, Cemex benefits from strategic partnerships with construction firms, government contracts, and large-scale infrastructure projects, which provide a consistent demand for its products. The company also emphasizes sustainability and innovation, which can lead to cost efficiencies and differentiation in the competitive construction materials market. Market dynamics, including construction activity and economic conditions in the regions where Cemex operates, also significantly influence its earnings.

Cemex SAB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
CEMEX's third quarter results highlighted significant improvements in EBITDA and margins, supported by effective cost-cutting measures and strategic pricing. The company demonstrated strong performance in key regions such as Mexico and the U.S. However, challenges remain with volume declines in some markets and persistent weakness in the U.S. residential sector. Overall, the positive achievements slightly outweigh the challenges faced.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant EBITDA Growth
Consolidated EBITDA increased at a double-digit rate, supported by all regions with EMEA, Mexico, and the Caribbean region recording double-digit growth. The EBITDA margin expanded by 2.5 percentage points.
Successful Cost-Cutting Initiatives
Project Cutting Edge resulted in approximately $90 million in EBITDA savings in Q3, keeping the company on track to reach the 2025 full year goal of $200 million in savings.
Positive Pricing Trends
Consolidated prices are up low single digits year-over-year, with Mexico seeing a mid-single-digit increase in cement, ready-mix, and aggregates prices since December.
Strong Performance in Mexico
Mexico's EBITDA grew 11%, with prices for cement continuing their positive trajectory with a sequential increase of 1%.
Record Performance in the U.S.
The U.S. reached a record third quarter EBITDA and EBITDA margin, driven by increased cost efficiencies and higher prices.
European Decarbonization Leadership
Operations in Europe surpassed the European Cement Association's 2030 CO2 emissions target, reinforcing CEMEX's position as an industry leader.
Negative Updates
Volume Declines in Key Markets
Consolidated volumes were stable with growth in EMEA, but demand conditions remained soft in Mexico and the U.S. experienced volume performance improvement due to an easier prior year comparison base.
Persistent Weakness in U.S. Residential Sector
Volume declines in aggregates and ready-mix were noted, with demand reflecting strength in infrastructure but persistent softness in the residential sector.
Challenges in Urbanization Solutions
Urbanization Solutions faced challenging conditions with declines in revenue and EBITDA, largely due to weakness in concrete block in Florida and Mexico infrastructure.
Company Guidance
In the CEMEX Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided comprehensive guidance on its financial and strategic initiatives. CEMEX reported a significant increase in consolidated EBITDA, which rose at a double-digit rate, largely driven by cost savings of approximately $90 million under Project Cutting Edge and higher prices. The company remains on track to achieve its 2025 full-year goal of $200 million in EBITDA savings. Net sales grew for the first time since the first quarter of 2024, supported by stable volume and higher prices. CEMEX's EBITDA margin expanded by 2.5 percentage points, reaching its highest level for a third quarter since 2020. The call highlighted the company's focus on operational excellence, with a free cash flow conversion rate reaching 41% on a trailing 12-month basis, despite severance payments of $135 million. CEMEX expects further improvements in free cash flow generation, targeting a 45% conversion rate in 2026, and aims to achieve $400 million in annualized recurring EBITDA savings by 2027. The company is also advancing on portfolio rebalancing efforts, having completed the divestment of its operations in Panama and consolidating Couch Aggregates in the U.S., which is expected to offset the EBITDA loss from the Panama sale.

Cemex SAB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid post-2020 recovery with sustained profitability (~6% net margin TTM/2025), improving leverage (debt-to-equity down versus 2020), and consistently positive operating and free cash flow. Offsetting this, margins have compressed since the 2023 peak and free cash flow has shown volatility (drop in 2024, rebound in 2025), consistent with cyclical sensitivity.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue has been broadly stable to modestly up overall, with strong growth in 2023 followed by a flat/slightly down 2024 and low single-digit growth in 2025. Profitability has clearly recovered from the 2020 loss and remains positive, with TTM/2025 net margin around ~6% and solid operating profitability (mid-to-high single-digit EBIT margin). The main weakness is margin compression since 2023 (EBITDA and EBIT margins have stepped down), suggesting either cost pressure or softer pricing/mix versus the prior peak.
Balance Sheet
77
Positive
Leverage has improved meaningfully over the period: debt-to-equity moved down from elevated levels in 2020 to a more moderate level by 2025, alongside steadily rising equity. Returns on equity are positive and fairly steady in the mid-to-high single digits in recent years (after a weak 2023 and negative 2020), pointing to normalized profitability. Key watchouts are that debt remains sizable in absolute terms and profitability is not high enough to make leverage a non-issue if the cycle turns.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
The business is generating consistent positive operating cash flow and free cash flow across all years provided, with a notable rebound in free cash flow in 2023 and further improvement in 2025 versus 2024. Free cash flow has covered a meaningful portion of earnings in most years (roughly one-third to two-thirds), which supports earnings quality. The primary weakness is volatility in free cash flow growth (sharp drop in 2024, rebound in 2025), implying sensitivity to working capital and/or capital spending timing.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.18B16.20B16.55B14.71B14.32B
Gross Profit5.08B5.44B5.48B4.49B4.43B
EBITDA2.54B2.83B3.26B2.17B2.67B
Net Income963.25M939.00M182.00M858.00M754.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.97B27.30B28.43B27.49B27.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.82B864.00M624.00M495.00M613.00M
Total Debt7.65B7.36B8.16B8.82B9.16B
Total Liabilities15.34B14.82B16.32B16.58B17.43B
Stockholders Equity13.31B12.18B11.76B10.50B9.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.01B598.00M1.36B613.00M1.06B
Operating Cash Flow2.06B1.89B2.22B1.37B1.84B
Investing Cash Flow-264.36M-328.00M-1.32B-640.00M-717.29M
Financing Cash Flow-791.65M-1.25B-701.00M-961.00M-1.40B

Cemex SAB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.34
Price Trends
50DMA
12.22
Positive
100DMA
11.07
Positive
200DMA
9.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
47.99
Neutral
STOCH
49.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.61, above the 50-day MA of 12.22, and above the 200-day MA of 9.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CX.

Cemex SAB Risk Analysis

Cemex SAB disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cemex SAB reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The failure of any bank in which we deposit our funds could have an adverse effect on our financial condition. Q4, 2022
2.
We are subject to restrictions and reputational risks resulting from non-controlling interests held by third parties in our consolidated subsidiaries. As of the date of this annual report, we control three publicly listed companies, where this risk is heightened. Q4, 2022
3.
We may fail to secure certain materials required to run our business, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, liquidity and results of operations. Q4, 2022

Cemex SAB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$39.55B36.9112.99%0.67%6.54%32.48%
72
Outperform
$39.91B35.2510.65%0.51%1.99%-41.08%
71
Outperform
$18.94B18.913.14%0.74%-6.34%210.97%
70
Outperform
$7.28B17.5328.77%0.47%1.50%-4.44%
70
Outperform
$83.48B22.6415.21%1.17%4.28%0.39%
63
Neutral
$1.35B36.355.06%―-33.99%-61.41%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CX
Cemex SAB
12.34
5.97
93.75%
EXP
Eagle Materials
225.20
-1.52
-0.67%
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
683.60
196.13
40.23%
VMC
Vulcan Materials
310.79
62.84
25.34%
CRH
CRH plc
121.49
22.65
22.92%
LOMA
Loma Negra Compania Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anonima
10.81
-0.44
-3.91%

Cemex SAB Corporate Events

Cemex Calls March 26, 2026 Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting to Approve 2025 Results and Board Appointments
Feb 6, 2026

On February 6, 2026, Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. convened an Ordinary General Shareholders’ Meeting for March 26, 2026, in Monterrey, Mexico, setting an agenda centered on reviewing and approving the 2025 financial and management reports, including audited financial statements, as well as reports from key oversight committees covering audit, corporate practices and finance, and sustainability, climate action, social impact, and diversity. Shareholders will also vote on the allocation of 2025 profits, including a proposed cash dividend, set a cap for the company’s share repurchase fund, appoint or reaffirm individual members and officers of the Board of Directors and its main committees, determine their compensation, and designate individuals to formalize the meeting’s resolutions, with detailed admission, registration, and shareholder eligibility requirements underscoring Cemex’s governance and ownership control framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (CX) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cemex SAB stock, see the CX Stock Forecast page.

Cemex Lifts 2025 Cash Flow, Plans Higher Dividend and Share Buyback as Transformation Gains Traction
Feb 5, 2026

On February 5, 2026, Cemex reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighting the impact of its ongoing transformation plan. Adjusted Free Cash Flow from operations rose 50% for 2025 with a 46% conversion rate, while operating EBITDA inched up 1% for the year, supported by US$200 million in recurring savings from Project Cutting Edge and a strong second half that delivered 17% EBITDA growth. Although fourth-quarter net income was hit by goodwill and asset impairments, full-year net income increased 2%, and would have climbed 41% to US$1.5 billion absent those charges, with double‑digit growth in fourth-quarter sales and EBITDA driven by a recovery in Mexico, record fourth-quarter EBITDA in the U.S., and solid EMEA performance. Reflecting improved cash generation and confidence in the plan, Cemex’s board is proposing an annual dividend about 40% higher than last year and plans to activate a share repurchase program of up to US$500 million over three years, while the company also advanced its decarbonization agenda, cutting gross CO₂ emissions by 2% in 2025 and reaching the European cement industry’s 2030 emissions target five years early in its European operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CX) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cemex SAB stock, see the CX Stock Forecast page.

Cemex Sets February 5 Release Date for Fourth-Quarter 2025 Results
Jan 29, 2026

Cemex announced it will release its fourth-quarter 2025 financial results on February 5, 2026, and will hold a conference call and live audio webcast that same day to discuss the figures with investors and analysts. The company indicated that all related materials are expected to be made available on its website and filed with regulators in Mexico and the United States ahead of the call, while also cautioning that the webcast could face unforeseen technical issues and reiterating that any information shared may include forward-looking statements subject to a wide range of operational, macroeconomic, regulatory, and market risks that could materially affect future results and guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (CX) stock is a Buy with a $14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cemex SAB stock, see the CX Stock Forecast page.

Cemex Announces Third Dividend Payment for 2025
Dec 11, 2025

Cemex announced the payment of the third installment of its cash dividend, totaling USD $32.5 million, as approved during its Ordinary General Shareholders’ Meeting on March 25, 2025. The dividend will be distributed to registered holders of Series A and B shares, CPOs, and ADSs as of December 15, 2025, with payments scheduled for December 16, 2025, in Mexican pesos and December 23, 2025, for ADS holders. This dividend, sourced from Cemex’s Net Tax Profit Account as of December 31, 2013, will not be subject to tax withholding, potentially benefiting shareholders by maximizing their returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (CX) stock is a Hold with a $11.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cemex SAB stock, see the CX Stock Forecast page.

Cemex Announces Third Dividend Payment for December 2025
Dec 5, 2025

Cemex announced the payment of the third installment of its declared cash dividend, amounting to USD $32.5 million, to be distributed to registered holders of Series A and B shares, CPOs, and ADSs as of December 15, 2025. The payment will be made in Mexican Pesos on December 16, 2025, with ADS holders receiving their payments around December 23, 2025. This dividend, originating from Cemex’s Net Tax Profit Account as of December 31, 2013, will not be subject to tax withholding, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CX) stock is a Buy with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cemex SAB stock, see the CX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 08, 2026