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Vulcan Materials Company (VMC)
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Vulcan Materials (VMC) AI Stock Analysis

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VMC

Vulcan Materials

(NYSE:VMC)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$322.00
▲(12.08% Upside)
Vulcan Materials' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, highlighting robust growth in public construction and improved profitability. However, technical analysis indicates potential bearish momentum, and the high valuation suggests limited upside. The company's strategic focus on infrastructure projects positions it well for future growth, but careful cash flow management is crucial.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Vulcan's revenue growth surpassing expectations indicates strong market demand and effective business execution, supporting long-term expansion.
Public Infrastructure Growth
Increased public infrastructure spending, supported by legislative funding, provides a stable demand base for Vulcan's aggregates, ensuring future growth.
Leadership Transition
The planned CEO transition to Ronnie Pruitt ensures continuity in strategic direction, leveraging his experience to drive future growth and innovation.
Negative Factors
Residential Construction Weakness
Weakness in residential construction due to affordability challenges could limit demand for Vulcan's products, impacting revenue from this segment.
Free Cash Flow Decline
Declining free cash flow growth may constrain Vulcan's ability to invest in future opportunities, impacting long-term financial flexibility.
Weather Impact on Shipments
Weather-related disruptions can significantly affect Vulcan's operational efficiency and revenue, posing a recurring risk to business stability.

Vulcan Materials (VMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vulcan Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVulcan Materials Company (VMC) is a leading producer of construction aggregates in the United States, primarily engaged in the production and sale of crushed stone, sand, and gravel. The company operates in two main segments: the Aggregates segment, which includes the extraction and processing of raw materials, and the Concrete and Asphalt segment, which provides ready-mixed concrete and asphalt products. Vulcan serves various markets including infrastructure, commercial, and residential construction, positioning itself as a critical supplier in the construction industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyVulcan Materials generates revenue primarily through the sale of construction aggregates, which account for a significant portion of its income. The company has a diversified customer base that includes contractors, government agencies, and industrial customers, allowing for stable demand across various sectors. Additional revenue is derived from its Concrete and Asphalt segment, which complements its aggregates business. Vulcan also engages in strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its market presence and operational efficiency. Factors contributing to its earnings include infrastructure spending, housing market trends, and regional economic growth, as well as the company's ability to leverage its extensive network of production facilities and distribution channels.

Vulcan Materials Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Aggregates Shipped
Aggregates Shipped
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Vulcan Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with significant improvements in adjusted EBITDA, aggregate shipments, and public construction growth. However, challenges persist in residential demand and there are mixed pricing dynamics. Despite a pause in M&A activity, the company maintains a positive outlook for 2026 with expected growth in shipments and pricing improvements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA of $735 million improved 27% compared to the prior year, with a margin expansion of 310 basis points.
Strong Aggregate Shipments
Aggregate shipments increased 12% in the quarter, resulting in 3% higher shipments on a year-to-date basis.
Growth in Public Construction
Public construction activity is strong, with trailing 12-month awards up 17% year-over-year in Vulcan's footprint.
Free Cash Flow Growth
Free cash flow increased by 31% to over $1 billion, with a conversion rate of 94%.
Positive Outlook for 2026
Expectations for organic shipments to return to growth and mid-single-digit pricing improvements in 2026.
Negative Updates
Weak Residential Demand
Residential demand remains weak, with single-family housing starts and permits decelerating across most U.S. markets.
Mixed Pricing Dynamics
Mix-adjusted pricing improved by 5% in the quarter, but there were 150 basis points of mix headwinds in aggregate freight adjusted selling price.
M&A Activity Pause
A quiet year for M&A activities, largely due to uncertainties with tariffs and interest rates.
Company Guidance
During the Vulcan Materials Company's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance and provided guidance for the remainder of 2025 and into 2026. The third quarter saw a 27% increase in adjusted EBITDA, reaching $735 million, with a 310 basis point expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin. Aggregate shipments rose by 12% during the quarter, contributing to a 3% year-to-date increase. The company's mix-adjusted pricing improved by 5% in the quarter and 7% year-to-date. For the full year, Vulcan anticipates a 3% increase in shipments, projecting full-year adjusted EBITDA between $2.35 billion and $2.45 billion, representing a 17% increase over the prior year at the midpoint. The company highlighted strong public construction activity, with public contract awards in Vulcan's markets up 17% year-over-year, and noted that 60% of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) funds remain unspent, indicating a long runway for continued growth. For 2026, Vulcan expects modest shipment growth and mid-single-digit pricing improvements, driven by strong public and improving private non-residential demand, despite ongoing weakness in residential markets.

Vulcan Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vulcan Materials demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet reflects a stable capital structure with improved leverage ratios. However, the decline in free cash flow growth suggests potential challenges in cash generation. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the construction materials industry, but careful management of cash flow is essential for sustaining growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Vulcan Materials shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 3.79%. The gross profit margin improved to 28.23%, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin also increased to 14.19%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin slightly decreased to 14.08%, suggesting some operational cost pressures. Overall, the income statement reflects a positive growth trajectory and solid profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.56, indicating a healthier leverage position. Return on equity increased to 13.40%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 51.44%, reflecting a stable capital structure. While the balance sheet shows strength in equity utilization, the total debt remains significant, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow increased, with a strong coverage ratio of 1.68. However, free cash flow growth is negative at -3.95%, which could impact future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.62, indicating a moderate conversion of profits into cash. While cash flow from operations is robust, the decline in free cash flow growth warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.87B7.42B7.78B7.32B5.55B4.86B
Gross Profit2.22B2.00B1.95B1.56B1.37B1.28B
EBITDA2.31B1.98B2.04B1.53B1.47B1.28B
Net Income1.12B911.90M933.20M575.60M670.80M584.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.98B17.10B14.55B14.23B13.68B11.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments191.30M559.70M931.10M161.40M235.00M1.20B
Total Debt4.93B5.83B4.39B4.52B4.52B3.69B
Total Liabilities8.22B8.96B7.04B7.28B7.11B5.66B
Stockholders Equity8.73B8.12B7.48B6.93B6.54B6.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.05B806.10M664.20M535.60M560.60M708.16M
Operating Cash Flow1.71B1.41B1.54B1.15B1.01B1.07B
Investing Cash Flow-2.62B-2.81B-163.50M-1.05B-1.87B-381.51M
Financing Cash Flow674.80M1.06B-585.60M-175.20M-94.30M234.66M

Vulcan Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price287.30
Price Trends
50DMA
296.23
Negative
100DMA
285.30
Positive
200DMA
269.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.87
Positive
RSI
40.95
Neutral
STOCH
36.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VMC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 287.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 293.83, below the 50-day MA of 296.23, and above the 200-day MA of 269.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.87 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VMC.

Vulcan Materials Risk Analysis

Vulcan Materials disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vulcan Materials reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vulcan Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
£78.92B24.5215.21%1.27%4.28%0.39%
78
Outperform
$15.45B11.017.10%0.84%-6.34%210.97%
72
Outperform
$37.96B34.1513.56%0.68%6.54%32.48%
68
Neutral
$36.83B32.1711.63%0.52%1.99%-41.08%
67
Neutral
$6.64B15.2830.10%0.48%1.50%-4.44%
67
Neutral
$3.75B25.429.71%5.52%-25.56%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VMC
Vulcan Materials
287.30
-3.08
-1.06%
CX
Cemex SAB
10.20
4.62
82.80%
EXP
Eagle Materials
206.96
-105.24
-33.71%
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
610.64
-1.88
-0.31%
CRH
CRH plc
113.00
12.21
12.11%
KNF
Knife River Corporation
70.99
-27.95
-28.25%

Vulcan Materials Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Vulcan Materials Announces CEO Transition Plan
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 10, 2025, Vulcan Materials Company announced that Ronnie A. Pruitt, currently the Chief Operating Officer, will become the Chief Executive Officer effective January 1, 2026, succeeding J. Thomas Hill, who will transition to Executive Chairman of the Board. This leadership change is part of a comprehensive succession plan, with Pruitt bringing over three decades of experience in the building materials industry. The transition aims to ensure continuity in Vulcan’s strategic direction and continued growth, with Pruitt’s leadership expected to drive innovation and value creation for shareholders, customers, and employees.

The most recent analyst rating on (VMC) stock is a Hold with a $311.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Materials stock, see the VMC Stock Forecast page.

Vulcan Materials’ Earnings Call Highlights Strong Performance
Aug 2, 2025

The recent earnings call of Vulcan Materials Company revealed a strong financial performance, characterized by significant improvements in adjusted EBITDA and cash flow, despite weather-related challenges impacting shipments. The sentiment during the call was optimistic, with promising future demand driven by substantial highway contract awards and data center projects. However, the company acknowledged ongoing challenges in the residential construction and private non-residential sectors.

Vulcan Materials Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 1, 2025

Vulcan Materials Company, headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama, is the largest producer of construction aggregates in the United States, specializing in crushed stone, sand, gravel, and aggregates-based construction materials such as asphalt and ready-mixed concrete.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025