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Vulcan Materials Company (VMC)
NYSE:VMC

Vulcan Materials (VMC) AI Stock Analysis

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VMC

Vulcan Materials

(NYSE:VMC)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$335.00
▲(14.78% Upside)
Vulcan Materials' strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are the most significant factors driving the score. The technical analysis supports a positive trend, although valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio and low dividend yield slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth reflects strong demand for Vulcan's products, supporting long-term business expansion and market position.
Public Construction Growth
Increased public construction activity ensures a steady demand for Vulcan's materials, bolstering future revenue and stability.
CEO Transition Plan
The planned CEO transition ensures strategic continuity and leadership stability, which is crucial for sustained growth and innovation.
Negative Factors
Weak Residential Demand
Weak residential demand could limit growth opportunities in this segment, affecting overall revenue diversification and resilience.
Mixed Pricing Dynamics
Mixed pricing dynamics may pressure margins, challenging Vulcan's ability to maintain profitability in varying market conditions.
M&A Activity Pause
Paused M&A activity could slow strategic expansion and market share growth, impacting long-term competitive positioning.

Vulcan Materials (VMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vulcan Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVulcan Materials Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces and supplies construction aggregates primarily in the United States. It operates through four segments: Aggregates, Asphalt, Concrete, and Calcium. The Aggregates segment provides crushed stones, sand and gravel, sand, and other aggregates; and related products and services that are applied in construction and maintenance of highways, streets, and other public works, as well as in the construction of housing and commercial, industrial, and other nonresidential facilities. The Asphalt Mix segment offers asphalt mix in Alabama, Arizona, California, New Mexico, Tennessee, and Texas, as well as engages in the asphalt construction paving activity in Alabama, Tennessee, and Texas. The Concrete segment provides ready-mixed concrete in California, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas and Virginia, and Washington D.C. The Calcium segment mines, produces, and sells calcium products for the animal feed, plastics, and water treatment industries. The company was formerly known as Virginia Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to Vulcan Materials Company. Vulcan Materials Company was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.
How the Company Makes MoneyVulcan Materials generates revenue primarily through the sale of construction aggregates and related products. The company operates a revenue model based on the production and sale of these materials, which are sold to construction companies and government projects. Key revenue streams include the sale of crushed stone, sand, gravel, and asphalt mix, which are indispensable for various infrastructure projects. Additionally, Vulcan benefits from long-term contracts with governmental and municipal entities for road and infrastructure maintenance. The company also engages in strategic acquisitions and partnerships to expand its market presence and production capabilities, further contributing to its earnings.

Vulcan Materials Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Aggregates Shipped
Aggregates Shipped
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Vulcan Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with significant improvements in adjusted EBITDA, aggregate shipments, and public construction growth. However, challenges persist in residential demand and there are mixed pricing dynamics. Despite a pause in M&A activity, the company maintains a positive outlook for 2026 with expected growth in shipments and pricing improvements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA of $735 million improved 27% compared to the prior year, with a margin expansion of 310 basis points.
Strong Aggregate Shipments
Aggregate shipments increased 12% in the quarter, resulting in 3% higher shipments on a year-to-date basis.
Growth in Public Construction
Public construction activity is strong, with trailing 12-month awards up 17% year-over-year in Vulcan's footprint.
Free Cash Flow Growth
Free cash flow increased by 31% to over $1 billion, with a conversion rate of 94%.
Positive Outlook for 2026
Expectations for organic shipments to return to growth and mid-single-digit pricing improvements in 2026.
Negative Updates
Weak Residential Demand
Residential demand remains weak, with single-family housing starts and permits decelerating across most U.S. markets.
Mixed Pricing Dynamics
Mix-adjusted pricing improved by 5% in the quarter, but there were 150 basis points of mix headwinds in aggregate freight adjusted selling price.
M&A Activity Pause
A quiet year for M&A activities, largely due to uncertainties with tariffs and interest rates.
Company Guidance
During the Vulcan Materials Company's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance and provided guidance for the remainder of 2025 and into 2026. The third quarter saw a 27% increase in adjusted EBITDA, reaching $735 million, with a 310 basis point expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin. Aggregate shipments rose by 12% during the quarter, contributing to a 3% year-to-date increase. The company's mix-adjusted pricing improved by 5% in the quarter and 7% year-to-date. For the full year, Vulcan anticipates a 3% increase in shipments, projecting full-year adjusted EBITDA between $2.35 billion and $2.45 billion, representing a 17% increase over the prior year at the midpoint. The company highlighted strong public construction activity, with public contract awards in Vulcan's markets up 17% year-over-year, and noted that 60% of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) funds remain unspent, indicating a long runway for continued growth. For 2026, Vulcan expects modest shipment growth and mid-single-digit pricing improvements, driven by strong public and improving private non-residential demand, despite ongoing weakness in residential markets.

Vulcan Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vulcan Materials demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet reflects a stable capital structure with improved leverage ratios. However, the decline in free cash flow growth suggests potential challenges in cash generation. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the construction materials industry, but careful management of cash flow is essential for sustaining growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Vulcan Materials shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 3.79%. The gross profit margin improved to 28.23%, indicating efficient cost management. Net profit margin also increased to 14.19%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin slightly decreased to 14.08%, suggesting some operational cost pressures. Overall, the income statement reflects a positive growth trajectory and solid profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.56, indicating a healthier leverage position. Return on equity increased to 13.40%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 51.44%, reflecting a stable capital structure. While the balance sheet shows strength in equity utilization, the total debt remains significant, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow increased, with a strong coverage ratio of 1.68. However, free cash flow growth is negative at -3.95%, which could impact future investments. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.62, indicating a moderate conversion of profits into cash. While cash flow from operations is robust, the decline in free cash flow growth warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.87B7.42B7.78B7.32B5.55B4.86B
Gross Profit2.22B2.00B1.95B1.56B1.37B1.28B
EBITDA2.60B1.98B2.04B1.53B1.47B1.28B
Net Income1.12B911.90M933.20M575.60M670.80M584.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.98B17.10B14.55B14.23B13.68B11.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments191.30M559.70M931.10M161.40M235.00M1.20B
Total Debt4.93B5.83B4.39B4.52B4.52B3.69B
Total Liabilities8.22B8.96B7.04B7.28B7.11B5.66B
Stockholders Equity8.73B8.12B7.48B6.93B6.54B6.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.05B806.10M664.20M535.60M560.60M708.16M
Operating Cash Flow1.71B1.41B1.54B1.15B1.01B1.07B
Investing Cash Flow-2.62B-2.81B-163.50M-1.05B-1.87B-381.51M
Financing Cash Flow674.80M1.06B-585.60M-175.20M-94.30M234.66M

Vulcan Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price291.87
Price Trends
50DMA
292.07
Negative
100DMA
292.43
Negative
200DMA
273.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
49.85
Neutral
STOCH
34.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VMC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 291.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 292.80, below the 50-day MA of 292.07, and above the 200-day MA of 273.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VMC.

Vulcan Materials Risk Analysis

Vulcan Materials disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vulcan Materials reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vulcan Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$17.59B12.587.10%0.75%-6.34%210.97%
77
Outperform
$6.98B16.0630.10%0.46%1.50%-4.44%
77
Outperform
$38.57B34.6913.56%0.67%6.54%32.48%
76
Outperform
$83.26B24.7615.21%1.19%4.28%0.39%
73
Outperform
$38.23B33.4011.63%0.51%1.99%-41.08%
67
Neutral
$4.16B28.239.71%5.52%-25.56%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VMC
Vulcan Materials
291.87
30.94
11.86%
CX
Cemex SAB
11.66
6.16
112.00%
EXP
Eagle Materials
217.55
-30.21
-12.19%
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
633.94
105.22
19.90%
CRH
CRH plc
124.42
31.55
33.97%
KNF
Knife River Corporation
73.46
-29.17
-28.42%

Vulcan Materials Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Vulcan Materials Announces CSO Retirement Plan
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Vulcan Materials announced that Stanley G. Bass, the Chief Strategy Officer, will retire effective April 30, 2026. The company’s Board approved the proration of his current base salary until his retirement, while maintaining his incentive opportunities unchanged for 2026.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Vulcan Materials Announces CEO Transition Plan
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 10, 2025, Vulcan Materials Company announced that Ronnie A. Pruitt, currently the Chief Operating Officer, will become the Chief Executive Officer effective January 1, 2026, succeeding J. Thomas Hill, who will transition to Executive Chairman of the Board. This leadership change is part of a comprehensive succession plan, with Pruitt bringing over three decades of experience in the building materials industry. The transition aims to ensure continuity in Vulcan’s strategic direction and continued growth, with Pruitt’s leadership expected to drive innovation and value creation for shareholders, customers, and employees.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025