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Vulcan Materials
(NYSE:VMC)
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Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$305.00
▲(9.05% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/28/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial fundamentals and a generally positive earnings outlook with reiterated EBITDA guidance and solid cash generation. Offsetting these strengths are weak technical trend signals (price below major moving averages) and a less supportive valuation profile (P/E 33.1 with a low dividend yield), while recent legal and leadership events add modest uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Advantaged footprint & project proximity
A dense quarry, yard and terminal footprint with ~60% of large projects within 50 miles gives durable logistical advantage. Proximity lowers delivered cost, reduces freight exposure, speeds backlog conversion and supports sustained pricing power across infrastructure and large private projects.
Negative Factors
Sizeable absolute debt level
While leverage metrics have improved, the absolute debt burden remains materially large. In a downturn or extended construction slowdown, sizable nominal debt increases fixed obligations and interest sensitivity, constraining capital allocation and heightening refinancing risk in adverse markets.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Advantaged footprint & project proximity
A dense quarry, yard and terminal footprint with ~60% of large projects within 50 miles gives durable logistical advantage. Proximity lowers delivered cost, reduces freight exposure, speeds backlog conversion and supports sustained pricing power across infrastructure and large private projects.
Read all positive factors
Vulcan Materials Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Aggregates Shipped
Measures the volume of aggregates delivered, indicating demand for construction materials and the company’s capacity to meet market needs.
Measures the volume of aggregates delivered, indicating demand for construction materials and the company’s capacity to meet market needs.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyVulcan Materials (VMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$37.42B
Dividend Yield0.71%
Average Volume (3M)1.07M
Price to Earnings (P/E)34.1
Beta (1Y)0.75
Revenue Growth6.86%
EPS Growth18.35%
CountryUS
Employees11,548
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryConstruction Materials
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)8.50
Shares Outstanding129,754,880
10 Day Avg. Volume814,579
30 Day Avg. Volume1,071,411
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.91
Price to Book (P/B)4.41
Price to Sales (P/S)4.74
P/FCF Ratio33.15
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$326.17Price Target Upside16.61% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering14
EPS Forecast (FY)9.13
Revenue Forecast (FY)$8.15B
Vulcan Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vulcan Materials Company, alongside its affiliated entities, stands as a prominent producer and distributor of construction aggregates, primarily operating within the United States. The company's activities are organized into four distinct divisio...
How the Company Makes Money
Vulcan makes money primarily by selling construction aggregates—crushed stone, sand, and gravel—which typically represent the company’s largest revenue stream. Revenue is generated on a per-ton basis, with realized earnings driven by shipment volu...
Vulcan Materials Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a generally positive operational and financial picture: Q1 delivered higher adjusted EBITDA (+9%), shipment growth (+5%), improved mix-adjusted pricing (+4%), margin expansion, strong cash generation ($1.8B TTM) and a healthy balance sheet (debt down ~$350M; net leverage 1.9x). Management reaffirmed full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance ($2.4B–$2.6B), highlighted an advantaged footprint with stronger public and data-center driven demand, active M&A/greenfield pipeline and ongoing cost discipline. The primary near-term negatives are energy/diesel-driven cost pressure (estimated ~$25M Q2 impact), modestly lower pricing vs. tougher comps and continued residential weakness. Overall, the balance of material positives (profitability, cash flow, balance sheet, pricing traction and market positioning) outweighs the identified near-term headwinds.Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Generated $447 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q1, a 9% increase versus the prior year, and reaffirmed full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2.4 billion to $2.6 billion.
Negative Updates
Short-Term Diesel/Energy Cost Headwind
Retail diesel price increase generated an expected near-term headwind of approximately $25 million in Q2; aggregates freight-adjusted unit cash cost of sales increased 4% year-over-year in Q1. Management expects second-quarter costs to be most impacted before pricing actions flow through.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Generated $447 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q1, a 9% increase versus the prior year, and reaffirmed full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2.4 billion to $2.6 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Vulcan reiterated full‑year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2.4–$2.6 billion after a solid Q1: adjusted EBITDA was $447 million (up 9% YoY), aggregate shipments rose 5% and mix‑adjusted aggregates freight‑adjusted price improved 4% while aggregates freight‑adjusted unit cash cost of sales increased 4%; trailing 12‑month aggregate cash gross profit per ton was $11.38 (management target $20/ton). Management expects 2026 shipments growth and accelerating pricing (midyear increases underway), sees a near‑term diesel headwind of roughly $25 million in Q2 (≈57 million gallons burned annually) that could push Q2 cash costs toward the high‑single‑digit YoY range but still expects low‑single‑digit cost growth for the full year; trailing 12‑month cash from operations was $1.8 billion, TTM capex $686 million (≈70% maintenance, 30% growth), capital returns >$800 million (dividends $262M, buybacks $550M including $149M in Q1), total debt $4.6 billion (≈$350M lower YoY) with net debt/adjusted EBITDA ~1.9x, TTM SG&A $562M (7% of revenue, down 20 bps) and trailing‑12‑month ROIC 16% (up 30 bps), while trailing‑12‑month highway awards in their markets are +12% and public infrastructure awards +17%, and ~60% of large projects sit within 50 miles of a Vulcan facility.Vulcan Materials Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 8.11B | 7.93B | 7.42B | 7.78B | 7.32B | 5.55B |
| Gross Profit | 2.22B | 2.17B | 2.00B | 1.95B | 1.56B | 1.37B |
| EBITDA | 2.56B | 2.57B | 1.98B | 2.04B | 1.53B | 1.47B |
| Net Income | 1.12B | 1.08B | 911.90M | 933.20M | 575.60M | 670.80M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 16.44B | 16.70B | 17.10B | 14.55B | 14.23B | 13.68B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 194.20M | 183.30M | 559.70M | 931.10M | 161.40M | 235.00M |
| Total Debt | 4.89B | 5.41B | 5.83B | 4.39B | 4.52B | 4.52B |
| Total Liabilities | 7.95B | 8.15B | 8.96B | 7.04B | 7.28B | 7.11B |
| Stockholders Equity | 8.46B | 8.53B | 8.12B | 7.48B | 6.93B | 6.54B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.03B | 1.14B | 806.10M | 664.20M | 535.60M | 560.60M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.80B | 1.81B | 1.41B | 1.54B | 1.15B | 1.01B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -147.50M | -529.20M | -2.81B | -163.50M | -1.05B | -1.87B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.97B | -1.70B | 1.06B | -585.60M | -175.20M | -94.30M |
Vulcan Materials Technical Analysis
Negative
279.70
Price Trends
286.33
Negative
283.06
Positive
289.95
Negative
Market Momentum
-3.57
Positive
42.82
Neutral
15.94
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VMC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 279.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 288.79, below the 50-day MA of 286.33, and below the 200-day MA of 289.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.94 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VMC.
Vulcan Materials Risk Analysis
Vulcan Materials disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vulcan Materials reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Vulcan Materials Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | $35.05B | 13.88 | 25.07% | 0.59% | -1.28% | 140.98% | |
72 Outperform | $69.09B | 17.68 | 23.51% | 1.52% | 6.33% | 14.09% | |
68 Neutral | $37.42B | 34.13 | 13.10% | 0.72% | 6.86% | 18.35% | |
65 Neutral | $18.18B | 35.99 | 3.67% | 0.82% | 9.40% | -67.61% | |
65 Neutral | $6.86B | 16.82 | 28.27% | 0.47% | 1.68% | -7.06% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
56 Neutral | $4.48B | 30.62 | 9.35% | ― | 9.57% | -18.90% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
VMC
Vulcan Materials
283.92
13.12
4.84%
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11.70
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EXP
Eagle Materials
209.91
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MLM
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569.66
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-0.45%
CRH
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99.71
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4.75%
KNF
Knife River Corporation
76.22
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-7.95%
Vulcan Materials Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Vulcan Materials Faces Limited NAFTA Arbitration Award Impact
Negative
Jul 27, 2026
On July 27, 2026, Vulcan Materials announced that a NAFTA arbitration tribunal had issued its decision in the company’s long-running dispute with Mexico, initiated in 2018 over the shutdown of its quarrying operations and the repudiation of ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vulcan Materials President Announces Upcoming Retirement Transition
Positive
May 11, 2026
Vulcan Materials Company announced that President Thompson S. Baker II notified the company on May 11, 2026, that he will retire from his role effective July 15, 2026, marking an upcoming leadership transition at the construction materials produce...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.