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Vulcan Materials Company (VMC)
NYSE:VMC

Vulcan Materials (VMC) AI Stock Analysis

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VMC

Vulcan Materials

(NYSE:VMC)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$335.00
▲(11.86% Upside)
Vulcan Materials' strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are the most significant factors driving the score. The technical analysis supports a positive trend, although valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio and low dividend yield slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth reflects strong demand for Vulcan's products, supporting long-term business expansion and market position.
Public Construction Growth
Increased public construction activity ensures a steady demand for Vulcan's materials, bolstering future revenue and stability.
CEO Transition Plan
The planned CEO transition ensures strategic continuity and leadership stability, which is crucial for sustained growth and innovation.
Negative Factors
Weak Residential Demand
Weak residential demand could limit growth opportunities in this segment, affecting overall revenue diversification and resilience.
Mixed Pricing Dynamics
Mixed pricing dynamics may pressure margins, challenging Vulcan's ability to maintain profitability in varying market conditions.
M&A Activity Pause
Paused M&A activity could slow strategic expansion and market share growth, impacting long-term competitive positioning.

Vulcan Materials (VMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vulcan Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVulcan Materials Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces and supplies construction aggregates primarily in the United States. It operates through four segments: Aggregates, Asphalt, Concrete, and Calcium. The Aggregates segment provides crushed stones, sand and gravel, sand, and other aggregates; and related products and services that are applied in construction and maintenance of highways, streets, and other public works, as well as in the construction of housing and commercial, industrial, and other nonresidential facilities. The Asphalt Mix segment offers asphalt mix in Alabama, Arizona, California, New Mexico, Tennessee, and Texas, as well as engages in the asphalt construction paving activity in Alabama, Tennessee, and Texas. The Concrete segment provides ready-mixed concrete in California, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas and Virginia, and Washington D.C. The Calcium segment mines, produces, and sells calcium products for the animal feed, plastics, and water treatment industries. The company was formerly known as Virginia Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to Vulcan Materials Company. Vulcan Materials Company was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.
How the Company Makes MoneyVulcan Materials generates revenue primarily through the sale of construction aggregates and related products. The company operates a revenue model based on the production and sale of these materials, which are sold to construction companies and government projects. Key revenue streams include the sale of crushed stone, sand, gravel, and asphalt mix, which are indispensable for various infrastructure projects. Additionally, Vulcan benefits from long-term contracts with governmental and municipal entities for road and infrastructure maintenance. The company also engages in strategic acquisitions and partnerships to expand its market presence and production capabilities, further contributing to its earnings.

Vulcan Materials Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

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Any
Aggregates Shipped
Aggregates Shipped
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Vulcan Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with significant improvements in adjusted EBITDA, aggregate shipments, and public construction growth. However, challenges persist in residential demand and there are mixed pricing dynamics. Despite a pause in M&A activity, the company maintains a positive outlook for 2026 with expected growth in shipments and pricing improvements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA of $735 million improved 27% compared to the prior year, with a margin expansion of 310 basis points.
Strong Aggregate Shipments
Aggregate shipments increased 12% in the quarter, resulting in 3% higher shipments on a year-to-date basis.
Growth in Public Construction
Public construction activity is strong, with trailing 12-month awards up 17% year-over-year in Vulcan's footprint.
Free Cash Flow Growth
Free cash flow increased by 31% to over $1 billion, with a conversion rate of 94%.
Positive Outlook for 2026
Expectations for organic shipments to return to growth and mid-single-digit pricing improvements in 2026.
Negative Updates
Weak Residential Demand
Residential demand remains weak, with single-family housing starts and permits decelerating across most U.S. markets.
Mixed Pricing Dynamics
Mix-adjusted pricing improved by 5% in the quarter, but there were 150 basis points of mix headwinds in aggregate freight adjusted selling price.
M&A Activity Pause
A quiet year for M&A activities, largely due to uncertainties with tariffs and interest rates.
Company Guidance
During the Vulcan Materials Company's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance and provided guidance for the remainder of 2025 and into 2026. The third quarter saw a 27% increase in adjusted EBITDA, reaching $735 million, with a 310 basis point expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin. Aggregate shipments rose by 12% during the quarter, contributing to a 3% year-to-date increase. The company's mix-adjusted pricing improved by 5% in the quarter and 7% year-to-date. For the full year, Vulcan anticipates a 3% increase in shipments, projecting full-year adjusted EBITDA between $2.35 billion and $2.45 billion, representing a 17% increase over the prior year at the midpoint. The company highlighted strong public construction activity, with public contract awards in Vulcan's markets up 17% year-over-year, and noted that 60% of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) funds remain unspent, indicating a long runway for continued growth. For 2026, Vulcan expects modest shipment growth and mid-single-digit pricing improvements, driven by strong public and improving private non-residential demand, despite ongoing weakness in residential markets.

Vulcan Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vulcan Materials demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and a stable balance sheet. Despite a slight decline in free cash flow growth, the company's cash generation remains robust.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Vulcan Materials shows strong income statement performance with consistent revenue growth and improving profit margins. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 28.15% and a net profit margin of 14.26%, both of which are healthy for the industry. Revenue growth is positive at 3.67% TTM, indicating a solid upward trajectory. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, reflecting efficient operations and cost management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56 TTM, showing a decrease from previous years, which indicates improved leverage management. Return on equity is strong at 13.45% TTM, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 51.45%, highlighting a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow performance is satisfactory, with a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -3.95% TTM. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.68, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.62, showing a good conversion of earnings into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.87B7.42B7.78B7.32B5.55B4.86B
Gross Profit2.22B2.00B1.95B1.56B1.37B1.28B
EBITDA2.60B1.98B2.04B1.53B1.47B1.28B
Net Income1.12B911.90M933.20M575.60M670.80M584.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.98B17.10B14.55B14.23B13.68B11.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments191.30M559.70M931.10M161.40M235.00M1.20B
Total Debt4.93B5.83B4.39B4.52B4.52B3.69B
Total Liabilities8.22B8.96B7.04B7.28B7.11B5.66B
Stockholders Equity8.73B8.12B7.48B6.93B6.54B6.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.05B806.10M664.20M535.60M560.60M708.16M
Operating Cash Flow1.71B1.41B1.54B1.15B1.01B1.07B
Investing Cash Flow-2.62B-2.81B-163.50M-1.05B-1.87B-381.51M
Financing Cash Flow674.80M1.06B-585.60M-175.20M-94.30M234.66M

Vulcan Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price299.47
Price Trends
50DMA
294.85
Positive
100DMA
295.20
Positive
200DMA
281.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.44
Positive
RSI
50.98
Neutral
STOCH
34.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VMC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 299.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 300.04, above the 50-day MA of 294.85, and above the 200-day MA of 281.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VMC.

Vulcan Materials Risk Analysis

Vulcan Materials disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vulcan Materials reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vulcan Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$19.82B14.217.10%0.74%-6.34%210.97%
77
Outperform
$39.60B35.6213.56%0.67%6.54%32.48%
76
Outperform
£81.95B24.3715.21%1.17%4.28%0.39%
73
Outperform
$39.21B34.2511.63%0.51%1.99%-41.08%
71
Outperform
$6.99B16.5028.77%0.47%1.50%-4.44%
67
Neutral
$3.91B26.779.71%5.52%-25.56%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VMC
Vulcan Materials
299.47
27.34
10.05%
CX
Cemex SAB
12.89
7.03
119.78%
EXP
Eagle Materials
211.97
-43.59
-17.06%
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
653.33
112.34
20.76%
CRH
CRH plc
123.68
26.08
26.73%
KNF
Knife River Corporation
69.66
-33.92
-32.75%

Vulcan Materials Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Vulcan Materials Announces CSO Retirement Plan
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Vulcan Materials announced that Stanley G. Bass, the Chief Strategy Officer, will retire effective April 30, 2026. The company’s Board approved the proration of his current base salary until his retirement, while maintaining his incentive opportunities unchanged for 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (VMC) stock is a Buy with a $335.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Materials stock, see the VMC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Vulcan Materials Announces CEO Transition Plan
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 10, 2025, Vulcan Materials Company announced that Ronnie A. Pruitt, currently the Chief Operating Officer, will become the Chief Executive Officer effective January 1, 2026, succeeding J. Thomas Hill, who will transition to Executive Chairman of the Board. This leadership change is part of a comprehensive succession plan, with Pruitt bringing over three decades of experience in the building materials industry. The transition aims to ensure continuity in Vulcan’s strategic direction and continued growth, with Pruitt’s leadership expected to drive innovation and value creation for shareholders, customers, and employees.

The most recent analyst rating on (VMC) stock is a Hold with a $311.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vulcan Materials stock, see the VMC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025