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Knife River Corporation (KNF)
NYSE:KNF
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Knife River Corporation (KNF) AI Stock Analysis

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KNF

Knife River Corporation

(NYSE:KNF)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$78.00
▲(9.87% Upside)
Knife River Corporation's overall stock score reflects strong earnings performance and strategic growth initiatives, which are offset by technical weaknesses and valuation concerns. The company's financial stability is solid, but attention to cash flow and leverage is necessary. The optimistic earnings outlook and strategic acquisitions are significant positives, while the bearish technical indicators and high P/E ratio present challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions enhance market position and operational capacity, driving sustainable growth and competitive advantage.
High Backlog Levels
A high backlog ensures future revenue streams and reflects strong demand, supporting long-term business stability and growth.
Negative Factors
Increased Leverage
Increased leverage can strain financial flexibility and elevate risk, potentially impacting long-term financial stability.
Declining Free Cash Flow
Declining free cash flow limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt, affecting long-term viability.
Challenges in Mountain Region
Operational challenges in key regions can hinder growth and profitability, affecting the company's overall market position.

Knife River Corporation (KNF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Knife River Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKnife River Corporation provides aggregates-based construction materials and contracting services in the United States. It operates through six segments: Pacific, Northwest, Mountain, North Central, South, and Energy Services. The company mines, processes, and sells construction aggregates, including crushed stone and sand, and gravel; and produces and sells asphalt and ready-mix concrete, as well as provides contracting services to support the aggregate-based product lines, including heavy-civil construction, asphalt and concrete paving, and site development and grading. It serves federal, state, and municipal governments for various projects, such as highways, bridges, airports, schools, public buildings, and other public-infrastructure projects. The company was founded in 1917 and is based in Bismarck, North Dakota.
How the Company Makes MoneyKnife River Corporation generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of construction materials such as aggregates, asphalt, and ready-mix concrete. The company earns substantial income from its construction services, which include road construction, paving, and other infrastructure projects. Additionally, Knife River often engages in long-term contracts with government entities and private sector clients, providing a steady flow of income. Strategic partnerships with local and state governments, as well as ongoing projects in road and highway maintenance, contribute significantly to its earnings. The company also benefits from fluctuations in construction demand and infrastructure investment trends, which can enhance its revenue potential during periods of economic growth.

Knife River Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with record results and positive progress in strategic initiatives. The company's acquisitions and pricing strategies have yielded impressive margins and growth, particularly in the Central segment. However, some challenges were noted, such as project delays due to weather and competitive dynamics in the Mountain region. Despite these, the overall outlook remains optimistic, with continued focus on growth and operational improvements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Results
Knife River Corporation reported record quarterly revenue of $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $273 million, marking all-time highs.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Margin
The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.7% for the quarter, driven by improved gross margins across aggregate, ready-mix, and asphalt product lines.
Successful Acquisitions
Recent acquisitions, including Strata Corporation, significantly contributed to the company's record revenue and EBITDA figures.
Positive Outlook for Oregon
Despite previous challenges, Oregon showed year-over-year improvements and a stabilization trend, supported by a new transportation funding package.
High Backlog Levels
Knife River reported record third-quarter backlog with more high-margin asphalt paving materials, and strong DOT budgets across various states.
Growth in Central Segment
The Central segment achieved record quarterly revenue and EBITDA, with a backlog up 83% year-over-year, driven primarily by growth in Texas.
Energy Services Growth
The Energy Services segment saw revenue growth of 34% and EBITDA growth of 18%, driven by acquisitions and vertical integration.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Mountain Region
The Mountain segment faced reduced asphalt paving due to project timing, competitive bid dynamics, and weather delays, impacting contracting services.
Wet Weather Impact
Continued wet weather impacted projects, particularly in the Central segment, delaying construction and operating conditions.
Oregon Funding Limitations
The transportation funding package for Oregon was significantly less than initially proposed, requiring future legislative efforts for additional support.
Company Guidance
During the Knife River Corporation's third-quarter 2025 conference call, the company reported record financial results, including revenue of $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $273 million, marking all-time quarterly highs. The adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 22.7% due to strong contributions from recent acquisitions and effective cost control and pricing optimization efforts under their EDGE strategy. The company highlighted a record backlog with increased higher-margin asphalt paving materials and noted significant improvements in gross margins across their aggregate, ready-mix, and asphalt product lines. Despite challenges such as adverse weather and a sluggish Oregon economy, the company achieved year-over-year improvements in Oregon, with contracting services backlog at about 90% compared to the previous year. Looking forward, Knife River expects 2025 full-year revenue between $3.1 billion and $3.15 billion, and adjusted EBITDA between $475 million and $500 million, leveraging strong market fundamentals and continued strategic acquisitions.

Knife River Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Knife River Corporation shows consistent revenue growth and stable profitability margins, which are positive indicators of operational efficiency. However, increased leverage and declining free cash flow present potential risks. The company maintains a solid financial position but should focus on improving cash flow management and reducing debt levels.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Knife River Corporation shows a steady revenue growth rate of 3.34% in the TTM, with a gross profit margin of 18.13% and a net profit margin of 5.20%. While these margins are slightly below the industry average, the company has maintained consistent revenue growth over the years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also stable, indicating efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.96 in the TTM, indicating higher leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed properly. However, the return on equity is 10.58%, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 43.39%, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
The free cash flow has decreased significantly, resulting in a negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -21.74%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 61.50%, indicating that the company generates sufficient cash from operations to cover its net income, though the decline in free cash flow is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.05B2.90B2.83B2.53B2.23B2.18B
Gross Profit547.89M569.83M538.93M360.89M346.95M370.58M
EBITDA454.63M463.11M427.21M306.74M293.41M304.96M
Net Income148.32M201.68M182.87M116.22M129.75M147.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.70B2.85B2.60B2.29B2.18B0.00
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments81.10M281.13M262.32M10.09M13.85M0.00
Total Debt1.24B726.76M726.37M730.96M734.52M0.00
Total Liabilities2.10B1.38B1.33B1.27B1.23B0.00
Stockholders Equity1.61B1.48B1.27B1.03B952.84M0.00
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-80.58M149.90M211.44M29.28M7.01M96.53M
Operating Cash Flow255.02M322.32M335.73M207.44M181.24M232.40M
Investing Cash Flow-939.99M-294.80M-117.89M-155.88M-398.27M-185.85M
Financing Cash Flow498.63M-8.71M34.39M-55.32M223.80M-47.95M

Knife River Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price70.99
Price Trends
50DMA
71.12
Negative
100DMA
77.40
Negative
200DMA
85.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.85
Negative
RSI
59.30
Neutral
STOCH
85.30
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KNF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 70.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.13, below the 50-day MA of 71.12, and below the 200-day MA of 85.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.30 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for KNF.

Knife River Corporation Risk Analysis

Knife River Corporation disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Knife River Corporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Knife River Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$15.44B11.017.10%0.84%-6.34%210.97%
74
Outperform
$2.87B0.78%
70
Outperform
$2.63B14.3926.21%1.21%15.70%19.92%
67
Neutral
$3.75B25.429.71%5.52%-25.56%
64
Neutral
$2.62B13.999.05%1.21%-4.25%-50.60%
63
Neutral
$3.31B25.4324.29%0.19%20.27%31.94%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KNF
Knife River Corporation
70.99
-27.95
-28.25%
CX
Cemex SAB
10.20
4.62
82.80%
USLM
United States Lime & Minerals
115.70
-26.31
-18.53%
BCC
Boise Cascade
70.64
-71.31
-50.24%
TGLS
Tecnoglass
49.73
-29.00
-36.83%
TTAM
Titan America SA
15.55
-0.72
-4.43%

Knife River Corporation Corporate Events

Knife River Corp Reports Record Earnings and Optimistic Outlook
Nov 6, 2025

The recent earnings call from Knife River Corporation reflected a strong financial performance, marked by record results and positive strides in strategic initiatives. The sentiment was largely optimistic, with the company achieving impressive margins and growth, particularly in the Central segment. However, challenges such as project delays due to weather and competitive dynamics in the Mountain region were noted. Despite these hurdles, the overall outlook remains positive, with a continued focus on growth and operational improvements.

Knife River Corporation Reports Record Q3 2025 Results
Nov 5, 2025

Knife River Corporation, a vertically integrated construction materials and contracting services company, specializes in aggregates and operates primarily in the construction industry, focusing on publicly funded DOT projects and private ventures.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Knife River Corporation Announces Q3 2025 Earnings
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Knife River Corporation announced its third quarter 2025 earnings. The announcement is being furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission, reflecting the company’s ongoing financial reporting and compliance efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (KNF) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Knife River Corporation stock, see the KNF Stock Forecast page.

Knife River’s Earnings Call: Record Backlog Amid Challenges
Aug 7, 2025

The recent earnings call of Knife River Corporation painted a picture of both triumphs and trials. The company celebrated a record backlog and success in dynamic pricing and strategic acquisitions, yet faced significant hurdles due to weather-related disruptions and challenges in Oregon. The sentiment expressed was one of cautious optimism, with strong performances in some areas being counterbalanced by notable difficulties.

Knife River Corporation Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 6, 2025

Knife River Corporation, a vertically integrated construction materials and contracting services company, specializes in aggregates and operates in the infrastructure sector. The company recently released its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a record backlog and strategic acquisitions despite challenging weather conditions affecting the construction season. Key financial metrics showed a 3% increase in revenue to $833.8 million, but net income fell by 35% to $50.6 million, with adjusted EBITDA also declining by 9%. Despite these setbacks, Knife River achieved a record backlog of $1.3 billion, with significant contributions from recent acquisitions, and maintained a strong focus on its Competitive EDGE strategy. Looking ahead, Knife River remains optimistic about its long-term growth prospects, driven by infrastructure demand and strategic initiatives, while adjusting its full-year EBITDA guidance to reflect current challenges.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025