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Tecnoglass
(NYSE:TGLS)
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Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$50.00
▲(13.33% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/26/26
TGLS scores well on fundamentals and guidance visibility, supported by strong profitability, conservative leverage, reaffirmed 2026 outlook, and a record backlog. The main constraint on the score is weakening cash flow/free cash flow conversion and near-term margin pressure from tariffs, aluminum inflation, and FX headwinds. Technicals are mildly supportive but the stock remains below its 200-day average, and valuation is reasonable with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability and scaled revenue
Tecnoglass exhibits durable profitability and scaled revenue: TTM gross margin ~41.5% and net margin ~14.8% reflect a differentiated product mix and solid unit economics. These margins, coupled with multi-year revenue growth, support sustained cash generation potential as core demand endures.
Negative Factors
Weak free cash flow conversion
Free cash flow has deteriorated materially, with only about $16M TTM, indicating earnings are not translating efficiently into cash. Poor conversion constrains reinvestment, makes funding capex and buybacks dependent on external liquidity, and raises sensitivity to working-capital shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong profitability and scaled revenue
Tecnoglass exhibits durable profitability and scaled revenue: TTM gross margin ~41.5% and net margin ~14.8% reflect a differentiated product mix and solid unit economics. These margins, coupled with multi-year revenue growth, support sustained cash generation potential as core demand endures.
Read all positive factors
Tecnoglass (TGLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.08B
Dividend Yield1.12%
Average Volume (3M)309.06K
Price to Earnings (P/E)13.9
Beta (1Y)1.34
Revenue Growth9.84%
EPS Growth-12.68%
CountryUS
Employees9,837
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustryConstruction Materials
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.23
Shares Outstanding46,389,145
10 Day Avg. Volume236,220
30 Day Avg. Volume309,063
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-50.47
Price to Book (P/B)3.29
Price to Sales (P/S)2.39
P/FCF Ratio68.10
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.02
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.09
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.03
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.19
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$55.00Price Target Upside24.66% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)2.76
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.10B
Tecnoglass Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Operating through its various subsidiaries, Tecnoglass Inc. specializes in the engineering, fabrication, promotion, and installation of advanced architectural systems. These solutions cater to both commercial and residential construction projects ...
How the Company Makes Money
Tecnoglass makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling architectural glass and aluminum fenestration systems for building projects. Its main revenue stream is product sales to customers involved in construction and building renovation, incl...
Tecnoglass Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a balanced picture: strong operational momentum with record backlog, record quarter revenue, commercial growth, geographic and product expansion, solid liquidity and continued shareholder returns, juxtaposed with meaningful near-term margin and cash pressures driven by a ~48% rise in aluminum costs, a ~12% peso appreciation, a newly enacted 10% import tariff, and related one-time and recurring cost increases. Management has enacted pricing, purchased inventory, added hedges, and outlined automation and efficiency initiatives to offset these headwinds, and reaffirmed full-year guidance while expecting tariff impacts to be fully neutralized by 2027. Given substantial top-line strength and clear mitigation plans but material near-term profitability and cash-flow headwinds, the call’s tone is balanced between positive growth/strategic actions and notable margin/cost challenges.Positive Updates
Record Backlog and Book-to-Bill Strength
Backlog grew 19.1% year-over-year to a record $1.36 billion; book-to-bill ratio of 1.3x and 21 consecutive quarters above 1.1x, indicating strong forward visibility and consistent order intake.
Negative Updates
Margin Compression and EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA fell to $61.5 million (24.7% margin) from $70.2 million (31.6%) a year earlier; gross margin declined to 38.5% from 43.9% year-over-year, reflecting meaningful margin pressure.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Backlog and Book-to-Bill Strength
Backlog grew 19.1% year-over-year to a record $1.36 billion; book-to-bill ratio of 1.3x and 21 consecutive quarters above 1.1x, indicating strong forward visibility and consistent order intake.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed full‑year 2026 guidance of $1.06–$1.13 billion in revenue and $225–$245 million in adjusted EBITDA (unchanged from April and inclusive of the newly enacted 10% U.S. tariff), supported by a record $1.36 billion backlog (up 19.1% YoY), Q1 revenue of $249.0 million (+12% YoY) and Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $61.5 million (24.7% margin). They expect the May price increase to begin contributing by early July and to fully neutralize the tariff impact in 2027 as pricing, automation and efficiency savings take hold; near‑term headwinds include aluminum costs (LME + U.S. premium up ~48% YoY) and a ~12% Colombian peso appreciation (management estimates ~110 bps gross margin impact per 5% peso move). Capital plans call for $60–$70 million of 2026 capex (including ~1% of revenues for maintenance) plus $20–$25 million to purchase land for a potential U.S. facility; Q1 capex was $17.3 million and operating cash flow was $6.7 million after securing approximately $34 million of U.S. aluminum. Balance sheet and returns highlights: total liquidity ~ $425 million (including >$330 million revolver availability), net debt/LTM adjusted EBITDA ~0.4x, no material maturities until 2030, and Q1 shareholder returns of ~$16.5 million in buybacks (under a $250 million program with ~$92.5 million remaining) plus $6.7 million in dividends.Tecnoglass Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.01B | 983.61M | 890.18M | 833.26M | 716.57M | 496.79M |
| Gross Profit | 419.72M | 421.41M | 379.97M | 390.93M | 349.50M | 202.58M |
| EBITDA | 257.67M | 272.06M | 259.06M | 292.47M | 259.01M | 127.69M |
| Net Income | 149.27M | 159.57M | 161.31M | 182.88M | 155.74M | 68.15M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.36B | 1.26B | 1.02B | 962.72M | 734.31M | 591.56M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 94.36M | 104.05M | 137.53M | 132.41M | 105.72M | 86.99M |
| Total Debt | 200.26M | 171.63M | 109.31M | 170.01M | 169.48M | 199.06M |
| Total Liabilities | 625.22M | 547.34M | 385.46M | 414.70M | 383.98M | 346.87M |
| Stockholders Equity | 735.23M | 713.05M | 631.18M | 548.02M | 348.82M | 243.86M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 16.38M | 34.49M | 90.97M | 60.87M | 70.59M | 65.74M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 104.49M | 135.75M | 170.53M | 138.83M | 141.92M | 117.25M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -96.14M | -87.55M | -77.29M | -76.02M | -72.58M | -50.76M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -77.24M | -85.53M | -84.55M | -42.77M | -44.80M | -43.79M |
Tecnoglass Technical Analysis
Neutral
44.12
Price Trends
42.87
Positive
44.48
Positive
50.13
Negative
Market Momentum
0.75
Negative
55.04
Neutral
34.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TGLS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 44.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.95, above the 50-day MA of 42.87, and below the 200-day MA of 50.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TGLS.
Tecnoglass Risk Analysis
Tecnoglass disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tecnoglass reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Tecnoglass Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | $2.08B | 13.85 | 20.25% | 1.12% | 9.84% | -12.68% | |
72 Outperform | $3.56B | 19.13 | 18.35% | 0.94% | 2.67% | 4.16% | |
68 Neutral | $157.87M | 15.03 | 19.91% | ― | 9.32% | 6.78% | |
67 Neutral | $1.08B | 19.13 | 14.22% | 5.46% | 16.65% | -3.36% | |
65 Neutral | $7.22B | 17.71 | 28.27% | 0.47% | 2.13% | -4.85% | |
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
52 Neutral | $1.40B | 52.94 | 3.73% | ― | -8.04% | -72.35% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
TGLS
Tecnoglass
44.75
-31.95
-41.65%
CPAC
Cementos Pacasmayo SAA
12.03
6.53
118.73%
EXP
Eagle Materials
233.83
32.66
16.24%
LOMA
Loma Negra Compania Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anonima
11.56
0.59
5.38%
SMID
Smith-Midland
29.75
-3.81
-11.35%
TTAM
Titan America SA
19.32
6.96
56.34%
Tecnoglass Corporate Events
Business Operations and Strategy
Tecnoglass Highlights Growth Strategy and U.S. Market Expansion
Positive
Jun 25, 2026
On June 25, 2026, Tecnoglass Chief Financial Officer Santiago Giraldo outlined the company’s evolution from a Colombian window assembler into a leading U.S.-focused glass and window supplier, highlighting its rapid growth since its 2013 New ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tecnoglass Shareholders Approve Redomiciliation and Governance Changes
Neutral
Jun 16, 2026
On June 16, 2026, Tecnoglass Inc. shareholders approved a series of governance and structural changes at the company’s Annual General Meeting, including the de-registration of the company in the Cayman Islands and its continuation as a Flori...
Dividends
Tecnoglass Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Jun 10, 2026
On June 10, 2026, Tecnoglass announced that its board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.15 per share for the second quarter of 2026, equivalent to $0.60 per share on an annualized basis. The dividend will be paid on July 31, 2026, to shareh...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.