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Cementos Pacasmayo S.a.a. (CPAC)
NYSE:CPAC

Cementos Pacasmayo SAA (CPAC) AI Stock Analysis

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CPAC

Cementos Pacasmayo SAA

(NYSE:CPAC)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(73.72% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven mainly by mixed financial performance—solid operating margins and generally positive free cash flow, but pressured by leverage and recent margin/revenue softness. Technicals are supportive with an established uptrend and moderate momentum, while valuation is helped by the high dividend yield but offset by a mid-range P/E. Earnings call commentary is net positive on volumes and margins, though transaction costs and project-driven volatility remain key risks.
Positive Factors
Operating profitability
Record 2025 EBITDA and historically strong operating margins (~15–20%) reflect durable operational efficiency and pricing power in cement production. Sustained EBITDA supports reinvestment, maintenance of capacity and resilience to cyclical demand swings over the next several months.
Cash generation
Consistent positive free cash flow in recent years provides structural ability to fund capex, dividends and working capital needs without immediate equity raises. While FCF is volatile, recent coverage of ~71–80% of net income indicates meaningful cash conversion that supports financial durability over 2–6 months.
Strategic endorsement
A binding acquisition agreement with global cement leader Holcim represents a structural endorsement, potentially unlocking scale, procurement advantages, technical know‑how and capital access. If approved, ownership change could materially strengthen market position and long‑term competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Leverage
Elevated leverage limits financial flexibility and raises vulnerability to earnings shocks. With net debt/EBITDA ~2.8x and modest operating cash flow relative to total debt, the company has constrained capacity for rapid deleveraging, making it more sensitive to margin or volume setbacks over the medium term.
Revenue & margin volatility
Uneven revenue and compressing net margins show exposure to project timing and non‑operating costs. This volatility complicates forecasting and reduces certainty around sustainable earnings and cash generation, limiting the company’s ability to plan long‑term investments or consistent distributions in coming quarters.
Project execution risk
Project pauses and segment execution issues materially depress volumes and margins in construction products. Given these segments' contribution to revenue and margin mix, such execution risk can persist through project cycles, causing structural swings in segment profitability and near‑term cash flows.

Cementos Pacasmayo SAA (CPAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cementos Pacasmayo SAA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCementos Pacasmayo SAA (CPAC) is a leading Peruvian company in the cement and construction materials sector, primarily focused on the production and distribution of cement, concrete, and other building materials. Established in 1949, CPAC operates several cement plants and is recognized for its commitment to quality and sustainability. The company serves a diverse clientele, including construction companies, contractors, and retail customers across Peru.
How the Company Makes MoneyCementos Pacasmayo generates revenue primarily through the sale of cement and related construction materials. Its key revenue streams include the production of various types of cement, ready-mix concrete, and aggregates. The company benefits from a strong market position bolstered by its extensive distribution network and strategic partnerships with construction firms and suppliers. Additionally, CPAC's focus on innovation and sustainability, including the development of eco-friendly products, enhances its competitive advantage and attracts a growing customer base. The company's earnings are also supported by its ability to adapt to market demand and invest in capacity expansion to meet the needs of the booming construction sector in Peru.

Cementos Pacasmayo SAA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong strategic and operational positives — notably a binding acquisition agreement with Holcim at PEN 5.1 billion, record full‑year EBITDA (PEN 594.2m), double‑digit quarterly EBITDA and gross profit growth excluding one‑offs, significant cement sales growth, and continued ESG recognition. Offsetting these positives were meaningful one‑off transaction expenses (~PEN 77–80m) that produced a negative reported quarterly net income, higher full‑year administrative and selling expenses (notably a 50% rise in admin expenses), a notable quarterly volume decline (-8.2%), segment margin pressure from paused/ongoing projects (concrete/mortar down 25.1% q/q with a ~7.8pp margin contraction), and a higher net debt/EBITDA of 2.8x. Management expressed optimism on volumes and margins for the coming year and confidence in regulatory approval of the transaction. Overall, the strategic endorsement and solid underlying operational results outweigh near‑term transactional and project‑timing headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic acquisition agreement with Holcim
Holcim agreed to acquire Inversiones Aspi (50.01% controlling stake in Cementos Pacasmayo) at an agreed valuation of PEN 5.1 billion, representing ~9x record EBITDA (LTM to July 2025). Transaction pending regulatory approvals and seen by management as a strong endorsement of Pacasmayo's strategy and operations.
Record full‑year EBITDA
Full‑year 2025 all‑time high EBITDA of PEN 594.2 million, an increase of 6.4% year‑over‑year when excluding one‑off transactional expenses.
Quarterly EBITDA and gross profit growth (ex one‑offs)
Quarter EBITDA excluding transaction expenses reached PEN 158.7 million, an 11.4% increase year‑over‑year. Quarterly gross profit increased 11.4% year‑over‑year driven by lower raw material costs, higher consumption of own clinker and operational efficiencies.
Revenue growth
Revenues for the reported quarter increased 6.2% year‑over‑year to PEN 559.5 million; full‑year revenues grew ~7.0% versus 2024.
Cement sales outperformance
Cement sales in the quarter rose strongly (+30.6% year‑over‑year in the period cited) and full‑year cement sales improved 8.7% versus 2024, driven by robust demand from construction, agro, industrial and fishing sectors in the North.
Improved margins and cost efficiencies
Gross margin improved by 0.4 percentage points in the reported quarter and by 1.9 percentage points for the full year versus 2024, attributed to lower raw material costs and reduced imported clinker use; operational and maintenance plans contributed to efficiencies.
Net income growth excluding one‑offs
Consolidated net income would have been PEN 59.8 million for the quarter (a 19.6% increase year‑over‑year) excluding one‑off transactional expenses; full‑year net income excluding one‑offs would have been PEN 231.8 million, up 16.5% versus 2024.
Sustainability and ESG recognition
Achieved 3‑star recognition from Peru's MINAM for consecutive GHG reductions (2022–2024) with Rioja, Pacasmayo and Piura plants recognized; ranked industry leader in Merco ESG for 10th consecutive year and placed 9th in Peru's overall most responsible companies ranking.
Negative Updates
Quarterly volume decline
Sales volumes in the quarter declined 8.2% year‑over‑year despite full‑year volume growth; the quarter weakness was attributed to project timing and the Motupe riverbank protection project being put on standby.
Concrete, pavement and mortar segment weakness
Concrete, pavement and mortar sales fell 25.1% year‑over‑year in the quarter (while full‑year sales rose 6.3%), with gross margin contraction of ~7.8 percentage points in the quarter and ~3.2–3.3 percentage points for the full year due to the Motupe project halt and execution of the Piura airport project.
Significant one‑off transaction expenses
Company recognized substantial acquisition‑related transactional expenses (reported in the call as roughly in the PEN 77–80 million range), which drove consolidated net income in the quarter to a negative result and reduced reported profitability.
Sharp increase in administrative and selling costs (full year)
Administrative expenses increased 50% for the full year (5.7% in the quarter), primarily due to higher personnel costs from collective bargaining. Selling expenses decreased 8.3% in the quarter but rose ~40% for the full year driven by higher advertising/promotion and related costs.
Net leverage increased
Net debt to EBITDA ratio rose to 2.8x, reflecting higher leverage relative to EBITDA and indicating some pressure on balance‑sheet metrics despite efforts to lower debt amortization payments.
Operational/project timing risk
Pause of the Motupe riverbank protection project and ongoing execution of the Piura airport project caused volume and margin volatility in the quarter; management noted these project timing effects may impact near‑term segment performance.
Regulatory and closing uncertainty
Holcim acquisition remains subject to regulatory approvals and change‑of‑control contractual obligations (some of which triggered the transactional expenses); although management expects approvals, the outcome and timing create inherent execution risk.
Segment‑level margin pressure in construction products
Precast materials sales fell 16% in the quarter (full year +3%), and certain construction product margins experienced significant quarter‑to‑quarter swings due to high prior‑year comparables and project mix effects.
Company Guidance
Management provided only qualitative 2026 guidance: they expect volumes to be stronger than in 2025, prices to remain competitive, and EBITDA margins to stay at 2025 levels or trend slightly higher (helped by planned energy‑saving projects in 2H), with election‑driven public spending likely to pick up after Q2–Q3 — but they declined to give numeric revenue or EBITDA targets. For context they highlighted key 2025 metrics: agreed valuation of PEN 5.1 billion (≈9x LTM EBITDA to July 2025), full‑year EBITDA PEN 594.2m (+6.4% YoY excl. one‑offs), Q4 EBITDA PEN 158.7m excl. transaction expenses, quarter revenues PEN 559.5m (+6.2% YoY), cement sales +30.6% in the quarter / +8.7% FY, concrete/pavement/mortar -25.1% in Q4 / +6.3% FY, precast -16% Q4 / +3% FY, gross margin +0.4 ppt Q4 / +1.9 ppt FY, concrete margin -7.8 ppt Q4 / -3.2 ppt FY, net income excl. one‑offs PEN 59.8m for the quarter (+19.6% YoY) and PEN 231.8m FY (+16.5% YoY), net debt/EBITDA 2.8x, and transaction‑related costs of roughly PEN 77–80m.

Cementos Pacasmayo SAA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating profitability is solid (EBIT margin ~15%–20%), and free cash flow has been positive recently, but results are uneven with revenue declines in 2023 and 2025 and net margin compression in 2025. Leverage is a key constraint (debt-to-equity ~1.2–1.34; net debt/EBITDA cited at 2.8x), limiting flexibility if earnings soften.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Profitability is solid with consistently healthy operating margins (EBIT margin ~15%–20% from 2021–2025) and improving gross margin versus earlier years. However, growth is uneven: revenue dipped in 2023 and again in 2025, and net profit margin fell notably in 2025 (about 7.3%) versus 2024 (about 10.1%), pointing to pressure below the operating line and/or higher non-operating costs.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate-to-elevated leverage, with debt consistently above equity (debt-to-equity roughly ~1.2–1.34 in 2021–2025). Returns on equity have been decent but have cooled recently (about 16.3% in 2024 down to about 12.2% in 2025). Strength is that equity has remained relatively stable, but the debt load limits flexibility if earnings soften further.
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
Cash generation is positive and generally supportive, with free cash flow positive in most years (notably 2024–2025), but it is volatile (negative in 2022 and down ~15% in 2025). Free cash flow covered a meaningful portion of net income in 2024–2025 (roughly 71%–80%), though cash flow relative to outstanding debt is modest (operating cash flow to total debt around ~0.39–0.60 in 2023–2025), suggesting limited rapid deleveraging capacity.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.00B1.98B1.95B2.12B1.94B
Gross Profit738.74M728.53M689.45M652.03M559.43M
EBITDA541.52M553.40M490.66M477.71M431.45M
Net Income145.36M198.88M168.90M176.83M153.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.10B3.25B3.30B3.38B3.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.57M72.96M90.50M168.94M272.49M
Total Debt1.43B1.51B1.59B1.60B1.55B
Total Liabilities1.91B2.03B2.11B2.18B2.00B
Stockholders Equity1.19B1.22B1.19B1.20B1.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow243.00M256.82M123.02M-66.68M76.02M
Operating Cash Flow339.94M321.14M412.32M111.82M170.56M
Investing Cash Flow-108.82M-76.61M-289.44M-176.19M-91.82M
Financing Cash Flow-249.24M-261.34M-115.44M-121.48M-130.09M

Cementos Pacasmayo SAA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.62
Price Trends
50DMA
10.50
Negative
100DMA
8.59
Positive
200DMA
7.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
47.23
Neutral
STOCH
32.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPAC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.78, below the 50-day MA of 10.50, and below the 200-day MA of 7.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CPAC.

Cementos Pacasmayo SAA Risk Analysis

Cementos Pacasmayo SAA disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cementos Pacasmayo SAA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
We are incorporating artificial intelligence technologies into our processes. These technologies may present business, compliance, and reputational risks. Q4, 2023
2.
Evolving expectations and/or requirements for reporting on or implementing environmental, social and governance (ESG) programs could increase our costs, and failure to meet expectations or requirements could adversely affect our sales and results of operations. Q4, 2023
3.
Our operations are subject to physical challenges related to climate change. Q4, 2023

Cementos Pacasmayo SAA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.54B19.530.94%0.28%-1.57%
72
Outperform
$42.03B37.1410.65%0.51%1.99%-41.08%
71
Outperform
$19.04B18.913.14%0.74%-6.34%210.97%
70
Outperform
$7.28B17.5528.77%0.47%1.50%-4.44%
64
Neutral
$962.79M21.4316.04%5.46%9.24%24.01%
63
Neutral
$1.33B34.515.06%-33.99%-61.41%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPAC
Cementos Pacasmayo SAA
10.48
5.10
94.80%
CX
Cemex SAB
12.74
6.52
104.79%
EXP
Eagle Materials
222.27
-0.97
-0.44%
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
673.29
193.72
40.39%
LOMA
Loma Negra Compania Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anonima
10.87
0.46
4.42%
TTAM
Titan America SA
18.61
2.88
18.31%

Cementos Pacasmayo SAA Corporate Events

Cementos Pacasmayo Files IFRS-Audited 2025 Consolidated Results With U.S. Regulators
Feb 13, 2026

On February 13, 2026, Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. filed a Form 6-K in the United States announcing the publication of its audited consolidated financial statements for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024. The accompanying independent auditors’ report concludes that the group’s 2025 consolidated financial statements present fairly, in all material respects, its financial position and performance in accordance with IFRS, with no key audit matters identified and no material inconsistencies found with other information in the 2025 annual report, reinforcing confidence in its reporting and governance for investors and regulators.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPAC) stock is a Hold with a $12.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cementos Pacasmayo SAA stock, see the CPAC Stock Forecast page.

Cementos Pacasmayo Posts Record Underlying 2025 Results as Holcim Moves to Take Control
Feb 13, 2026

On December 16, 2025, Cementos Pacasmayo reached a key milestone when Holcim agreed to acquire Inversiones Aspi S.A., which controls 50.01% of the company, valuing Pacasmayo at S/5.1 billion, with closing subject to regulatory approvals expected in the first half of 2026. The deal underscores a strategic endorsement by a global cement leader, potentially reshaping Pacasmayo’s ownership structure and positioning while signaling confidence in Peru’s construction market.

For the fourth quarter and full year 2025, reported on February 12, 2026, Pacasmayo posted solid operating growth, with cement, concrete and precast volumes up 8.2% in 4Q25 and 7.2% for 2025, and revenues up 6.2% and 7.0%, respectively, versus the prior periods. Excluding one-off expenses linked to the Holcim transaction, EBITDA rose 11.4% in the quarter and 6.4% for the year to record levels, though these non-recurring costs dragged reported 4Q25 EBITDA and net income into sharp decline, resulting in a quarterly net loss despite stronger underlying margins and demand.

Management highlighted robust bagged cement demand and infrastructure activity in northern Peru, improved gross margins, and record employee engagement scores as evidence of a healthy underlying franchise. The combination of solid fundamentals, progress on decarbonization efforts and the incoming Holcim majority owner suggests potential for strategic support and scale benefits, but investors will be watching regulatory approval and the integration process closely.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPAC) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cementos Pacasmayo SAA stock, see the CPAC Stock Forecast page.

Cementos Pacasmayo Convenes 2026 Annual Shareholders’ Meeting to Decide Dividends, Board and ESG Priorities
Feb 13, 2026

Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. has called its Annual Mandatory Shareholders’ Meeting for March 24, 2026, with a second-call date of March 31, 2026, at its Lima headquarters. Shareholders of record up to 10 days before the meeting may participate, and proxy powers of attorney must be registered by the afternoon of March 23, 2026.

The agenda includes presenting 2025 financial and social management results, ratifying 2025 dividend distributions, deciding on profit allocation and future dividend delegation, and determining and electing the new Board of Directors. The meeting will also review ESG matters, including climate risk, emissions-reduction commitments, and gender equity initiatives, signaling continued attention to sustainability and corporate governance frameworks relevant to investors and regulators.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPAC) stock is a Buy with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cementos Pacasmayo SAA stock, see the CPAC Stock Forecast page.

Cementos Pacasmayo Announces Major Shareholder Agreement with Holcim
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. announced that its majority shareholder, Inversiones ASPI S.A., has entered into a Share Purchase Agreement with Holcim Ltd. for the sale of 99.99% of its shares. The transaction, valued at S/5,100 million, represents a high profitability opportunity for shareholders, offering a premium over the company’s current market capitalization. The deal is subject to regulatory approvals expected in the first half of 2026, including authorization from INDECOPI.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPAC) stock is a Buy with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cementos Pacasmayo SAA stock, see the CPAC Stock Forecast page.

Cementos Pacasmayo Announces New General Counsel Appointment
Dec 5, 2025

Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. announced a change in its principal legal representative as part of a succession plan. On December 5, 2025, Mr. Javier Durand, who has served as General Counsel since 2008, stepped down, and Mrs. Gabriela Dañino, who joined the company in July 2025, assumed the role. Mrs. Dañino brings extensive legal experience from her work at prestigious law firms and will lead all legal functions at Cementos Pacasmayo. The company expressed gratitude for Mr. Durand’s contributions over his 30-year career with the Hochschild-Pacasmayo Group, highlighting his role in strengthening the company’s compliance culture and corporate reputation.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPAC) stock is a Buy with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cementos Pacasmayo SAA stock, see the CPAC Stock Forecast page.

Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. Reports Strong Financial Position as of June 2025
Nov 28, 2025

Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. released its interim consolidated financial statements for the period ending June 30, 2025. The report highlights a financial position with total assets of S/3,228,413,000 and total liabilities of S/1,914,964,000, indicating a stable financial standing. The company’s equity increased to S/1,313,449,000, reflecting growth from the previous period. These financial results provide stakeholders with insights into the company’s operational efficiency and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPAC) stock is a Buy with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cementos Pacasmayo SAA stock, see the CPAC Stock Forecast page.

Cementos Pacasmayo Reports Strong Financial Performance for Q3 2025
Nov 28, 2025

Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. released its interim consolidated financial statements for the period ending September 30, 2025. The report highlights an increase in total assets to S/3,292,562,000 compared to S/3,166,043,000 as of December 31, 2024, and a rise in equity to S/1,384,796,000 from S/1,213,098,000. These financial results indicate a positive trend in the company’s financial health, which could enhance its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (CPAC) stock is a Buy with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cementos Pacasmayo SAA stock, see the CPAC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026