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Martin Marietta Materials (MLM)
NYSE:MLM

Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) AI Stock Analysis

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Martin Marietta Materials

(NYSE:MLM)

75Outperform
Martin Marietta Materials presents a strong overall performance, driven by solid financials, positive technical momentum, and a fair valuation. The company's robust infrastructure demand and strategic market positioning support a positive outlook, despite challenges in certain segments.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
MLM announced preliminary 1Q25 results: sales of $1.353bn (+8% YoY) and EBITDA of $351mn (+21% YoY), suggesting profitability tracked a bit better than expected.
Infrastructure Growth
Backlogs are growing and strength in infrastructure projects is noted, which supports positive growth expectations.
Pricing Strategy
The 'value over volume' approach by MLM is viewed positively, contributing to better-than-expected pricing and profit performance.
Negative Factors
Pricing Timing Issues
The Jan 1 vs. April 1 price increase timing issue is expected to remain an area of heightened focus for investors until industry discipline is proven to be restored.
Private Construction Trends
Private construction trends are weakening to start the year, raising concerns that volumes could take a leg down into 2026 and placing pressure on price increases.
Share Price Decline
MLM shares off -23% from November highs, reflecting investor concerns about the future.

Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Martin Marietta Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMartin Marietta Materials, Inc., a natural resource-based building materials company, supplies aggregates and heavy-side building materials to the construction industry in the United States and internationally. It offers crushed stone, sand, and gravel products; ready mixed concrete and asphalt; paving products and services; and Portland and specialty cement for use in the infrastructure projects, and nonresidential and residential construction markets, as well as in the railroad, agricultural, utility, and environmental industries. The company also produces magnesia-based chemicals products that are used in industrial, agricultural, and environmental applications; and dolomitic lime primarily to customers for steel production and soil stabilization. Its chemical products are used in flame retardants, wastewater treatment, pulp and paper production, and other environmental applications. The company was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyMartin Marietta Materials generates revenue primarily through the sale of construction aggregates, which include crushed stone, sand, and gravel. These materials are essential for building roads, bridges, and other infrastructure projects. The company also earns income from producing and selling cement, ready-mixed concrete, and asphalt, which are critical for both residential and commercial construction. Key revenue streams include contracts with government entities for public infrastructure projects, as well as sales to private construction firms. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships have enabled Martin Marietta to expand its market presence and access new geographic regions, further bolstering its revenue potential. Additionally, the company's vertically integrated business model, encompassing production, distribution, and sales, helps optimize operational efficiencies and cost management, contributing to its profitability.

Martin Marietta Materials Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Aggregates Tons Shipped to Customers
Aggregates Tons Shipped to Customers
Tracks the quantity of aggregates sold, reflecting construction activity levels and the company's market position.
Chart InsightsMartin Marietta Materials experienced fluctuating aggregate shipments, with a notable decline in early 2024. Despite this, the company achieved record financial performance in Q4 2024, driven by strategic acquisitions and improved margins. The earnings call highlighted strong infrastructure demand and a positive outlook for 2025, with anticipated growth in shipments and pricing. However, challenges such as inclement weather and a slowdown in private construction impacted shipments. The company's strategic focus on high-growth areas and infrastructure investments positions it well for future growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Martin Marietta Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Martin Marietta Materials demonstrates solid financial performance with consistent revenue growth and strong operational efficiency. However, profitability metrics have experienced some decline, and there is room for improvement in return on equity.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Martin Marietta Materials exhibits solid financial performance with a consistent revenue growth trajectory. The TTM gross profit margin stands at 29.24%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has declined from the previous year to 16.07% in the TTM, mainly due to reduced net income. The revenue growth rate from 2024 to TTM is modest at 1.55%, reflecting stable but slow growth in sales. The company maintains a strong EBITDA margin of 29.94%, highlighting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. The equity ratio is solid at 51.26%, suggesting a strong capital structure. However, the return on equity has decreased to 11.75% in the TTM, reflecting a need for better capital utilization. Overall, the balance sheet portrays a stable financial position with a focus on equity.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Martin Marietta Materials demonstrates a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.41, indicating robust cash generation relative to profit. Free cash flow has grown by 2.15% from 2024 to TTM, showcasing effective cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 0.58, indicating that a significant portion of earnings is reinvested or impacted by capital expenditures.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.54B6.78B6.16B5.41B4.73B
Gross Profit
1.88B2.02B1.42B1.35B1.25B
EBIT
2.71B1.60B1.21B973.80M1.01B
EBITDA
3.33B2.17B1.59B1.46B1.42B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.00B1.17B866.80M702.50M721.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
670.00M1.27B358.00M258.40M207.30M
Total Assets
18.17B15.12B14.99B14.39B10.58B
Total Debt
5.80B4.92B5.04B5.10B2.63B
Net Debt
5.13B3.65B4.68B4.84B2.42B
Total Liabilities
8.71B7.09B7.82B7.86B4.69B
Stockholders Equity
9.45B8.03B7.17B6.54B5.89B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
604.00M878.10M509.40M714.60M690.40M
Operating Cash Flow
1.46B1.53B991.20M1.14B1.05B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.44B458.70M-483.80M-3.47B-409.70M
Financing Cash Flow
373.00M-1.06B-407.50M2.29B-357.00M

Martin Marietta Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price535.80
Price Trends
50DMA
485.95
Positive
100DMA
510.19
Positive
200DMA
532.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
10.01
Negative
RSI
67.91
Neutral
STOCH
88.46
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 535.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 494.87, above the 50-day MA of 485.95, and above the 200-day MA of 532.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 10.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MLM.

Martin Marietta Materials Risk Analysis

Martin Marietta Materials disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Martin Marietta Materials reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Martin Marietta Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
VMVMC
78
Outperform
$35.28B38.9812.10%0.70%-2.24%3.00%
EXEXP
76
Outperform
$7.79B16.7233.51%0.43%0.64%-1.15%
MLMLM
75
Outperform
$32.30B16.5411.88%0.58%-0.54%-48.61%
KNKNF
73
Outperform
$5.27B26.2514.71%2.42%10.21%
CXCX
73
Outperform
$7.83B8.366.58%1.34%-8.41%570.14%
JHJHX
68
Neutral
$10.45B24.0521.77%1.26%-17.38%
49
Neutral
$1.95B-1.37-21.20%3.73%0.84%-29.84%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
535.80
-60.56
-10.15%
CX
Cemex SAB
6.15
-1.72
-21.86%
EXP
Eagle Materials
233.97
-31.63
-11.91%
JHX
James Hardie
24.17
-12.13
-33.42%
VMC
Vulcan Materials
267.05
2.46
0.93%
KNF
Knife River Corporation
96.33
15.56
19.26%

Martin Marietta Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.13%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a strong start to fiscal 2025 with record-setting performance in several key metrics and a positive outlook for infrastructure and nonresidential sectors. However, challenges remain in the cement and concrete segments, as well as the asphalt and paving segment, due to specific market conditions and costs.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Performance
The company reported record first quarter aggregate revenues, gross profit, gross margin, and gross profit per ton. These results were driven by 7% pricing growth, disciplined cost control, and margin-accretive acquisitions.
Magnesia Specialties Record Performance
Magnesia Specialties established new quarterly record revenues, gross profit, and gross margin, with gross margin increasing 806 basis points compared to the prior year quarter.
Strong Consolidated Financial Metrics
Consolidated gross profit was $335 million, a 23% increase; consolidated gross margin was 25%, an increase of 300 basis points; consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $351 million, a 21% increase; and consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin was 26%, an increase of 274 basis points.
Encouraging Market Trends
Double-digit growth in organic March aggregate shipments and April daily shipment trends provided confidence in the company's full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2.25 billion at the midpoint.
Infrastructure and Nonresidential Sector Outlook
The company anticipates robust demand for infrastructure in public end markets and data centers in the nonresidential sector, driven by federal and state investments and projects like Stargate in Texas and Google in South Carolina.
Negative Updates
Cement and Concrete Revenue Decline
Cement and concrete revenues decreased 12% to $233 million due to the February 2024 divestiture of the South Texas cement plant, winter weather, and slower residential demand.
Challenges in Ready-Mix Concrete Segment
Gross profit in ready-mix concrete declined due to higher raw material costs, despite improvements in the cement segment.
Asphalt and Paving Gross Loss
The asphalt and paving segment posted a $23 million gross loss due to customary winter shutdowns and higher raw material costs.
Company Guidance
During the Martin Marietta First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company highlighted its impressive financial performance, achieving record first-quarter aggregate revenues, gross profit, gross margin, and gross profit per ton despite challenging winter weather. The company reported a 7% increase in pricing growth, a 23% rise in consolidated gross profit to $335 million, and a 21% increase in consolidated adjusted EBITDA to $351 million. Magnesia Specialties also set quarterly records with an 806 basis point improvement in gross margin. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2.25 billion at the midpoint. Martin Marietta emphasized robust infrastructure investments from the Infrastructure and Investments and Jobs Act, with expectations for increased construction activity and funding peaking in 2026. The nonresidential sector is benefiting from strong demand for data centers driven by artificial intelligence, while residential activity faces affordability challenges. The company remains focused on realizing fair value for its materials and managing costs effectively amid macroeconomic uncertainties.

Martin Marietta Materials Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Martin Marietta Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, Martin Marietta Materials announced its financial results for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025, highlighting significant growth in key areas. The company reported an 8% increase in revenues to $1.3 billion and a 23% rise in gross profit to $335 million, driven by pricing momentum, cost discipline, and acquisition contributions. The aggregates segment saw a record gross profit per ton growth of 16%, while the Magnesia Specialties business achieved quarterly records in revenues and profitability. Despite challenges such as winter weather and reduced residential demand, the company maintained strong performance, supported by infrastructure demand and strategic positioning in growth markets. Cash generation improved, with $218 million provided by operating activities, and the company returned $499 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

Spark’s Take on MLM Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, MLM is a Outperform.

Martin Marietta Materials exhibits a solid overall performance with a strong balance sheet and effective cash flow management. Despite some profitability challenges, the company’s strategic acquisitions and strong infrastructure demand support a positive outlook. Valuation metrics suggest a fair price, and technical indicators point to a positive trend, making the stock a reasonable investment within the construction materials sector.

To see Spark’s full report on MLM stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Martin Marietta Materials CFO Resignation Announced
Neutral
Apr 10, 2025

On April 9, 2025, Martin Marietta Materials announced the resignation of James A.J. Nickolas as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective April 11, 2025. His departure is due to personal reasons, allowing him to relocate to Chicago and join another company. The company has appointed Robert J. Cardin as the Interim Chief Financial Officer, who will continue his role as Senior Vice President, Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer. Martin Marietta has begun a search for a new CFO with the help of an executive search firm.

Spark’s Take on MLM Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, MLM is a Neutral.

Martin Marietta Materials has a stable financial foundation with strong balance sheet and cash flow management, though recent profitability challenges and inconsistent free cash flow are concerns. Technical indicators show downward momentum, cautioning potential investors. Valuation appears reasonable, with a positive outlook from recent earnings, driven by strategic acquisitions and infrastructure demand.

To see Spark’s full report on MLM stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Martin Marietta Reports Record Q4 2024 Profits
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

Martin Marietta announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting a return to earnings growth and margin expansion despite challenges like inclement weather and softening construction demand. The company achieved record fourth-quarter profits and nearly double-digit growth in unit margins, supported by approximately $6 billion in acquisitions and divestitures that optimized its portfolio and improved its margin profile. The strategic actions taken in 2024 are expected to offset softness in residential construction and support continued earnings growth into 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.