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Martin Marietta Materials (MLM)
NYSE:MLM

Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) AI Stock Analysis

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MLM

Martin Marietta Materials

(NYSE:MLM)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$694.00
▲(11.03% Upside)
Martin Marietta Materials demonstrates a strong financial position and positive technical indicators, supported by robust earnings call highlights. However, high valuation metrics and challenges in certain business segments slightly offset the overall positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth in the aggregates segment indicates robust demand and market position, supporting long-term business expansion.
Cash Generation
Improved cash generation enhances financial flexibility and supports investment in growth opportunities, contributing to sustainable operations.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships and asset exchanges strengthen market position and operational capabilities, aligning with long-term growth strategies.
Negative Factors
Profitability Decline
Declining profitability may hinder reinvestment and growth, affecting long-term financial health and shareholder returns.
Downstream Product Weakness
Weakness in downstream products could limit revenue diversification and expose the company to sector-specific risks, impacting stability.
Impact of Government Shutdowns
Government shutdowns could disrupt operations and delay projects, affecting revenue and operational efficiency in the long term.

Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Martin Marietta Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMartin Marietta Materials, Inc., a natural resource-based building materials company, supplies aggregates and heavy-side building materials to the construction industry in the United States and internationally. It offers crushed stone, sand, and gravel products; ready mixed concrete and asphalt; paving products and services; and Portland and specialty cement for use in the infrastructure projects, and nonresidential and residential construction markets, as well as in the railroad, agricultural, utility, and environmental industries. The company also produces magnesia-based chemicals products that are used in industrial, agricultural, and environmental applications; and dolomitic lime primarily to customers for steel production and soil stabilization. Its chemical products are used in flame retardants, wastewater treatment, pulp and paper production, and other environmental applications. The company was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyMartin Marietta generates revenue primarily through the sale of aggregates and heavy building materials. The Aggregates segment is the largest contributor to the company's earnings, driven by demand in the construction and infrastructure markets. Revenue is derived from the direct sale of raw materials to contractors, builders, and governmental entities, which are used in various construction projects such as roads, bridges, and commercial buildings. Additionally, the Specialty Products segment contributes to the revenue through the sale of cement, ready-mixed concrete, and asphalt products. Strategic partnerships with key construction firms and government contracts enhance the company's revenue stability. Factors such as infrastructure spending, economic growth, and housing demand are significant contributors to the company's earnings, as they directly influence the volume of materials required in the market.

Martin Marietta Materials Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Aggregates Tons Shipped to Customers
Aggregates Tons Shipped to Customers
Measures the volume of aggregates delivered, reflecting demand in construction and infrastructure projects and the company’s market reach.
Chart InsightsMartin Marietta's aggregates tons shipped show a slight decline in recent quarters, reflecting challenges from adverse weather and subdued residential demand. However, the company remains optimistic, raising its full-year EBITDA guidance due to strong infrastructure and nonresidential construction trends. Strategic asset exchanges and acquisitions are expected to bolster the aggregates business, potentially reversing the shipment decline. The focus on infrastructure projects and positive market trends suggest a promising outlook despite current shipment fluctuations.
Data provided by:The Fly

Martin Marietta Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Martin Marietta's strong financial performance and record achievements in their aggregates and specialties businesses, alongside a positive outlook for future growth. However, there were some challenges noted in the downstream products and potential impacts from government shutdowns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Performance in Aggregates and Specialties
Aggregates revenues of $1.5 billion, a 17% increase. Aggregates gross profit of $531 million, a 21% increase. Specialties business achieved record quarterly revenues of $131 million, a 60% increase.
Improved Safety Performance
Best year-to-date safety performance in company history as measured by both total and lost time incident rates.
Strong Financial Metrics
Revenues from continuing operations were $1.8 billion, a 12% increase. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was up 22% to $667 million. Earnings per diluted share from continuing operations were $5.97, an increase of 23%.
Positive Market Outlook for 2026
Expectation of low single-digit aggregates volume growth and mid-single-digit pricing gains for 2026.
Strategic Asset Exchange
Entered into a definitive agreement with QUIKRETE for the exchange of certain assets, positioning the company for growth under SOAR 2030.
Negative Updates
Weakness in Downstream Products
Other Building Materials revenues decreased 10% to $351 million and gross profit decreased 17% to $54 million, primarily due to reduced asphalt and paving revenues.
Impact of Government Shutdowns
Potential delays in certain administrative functions due to intermittent government shutdowns.
Company Guidance
During the Martin Marietta Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance, highlighting robust financial performance and revised projections. Key metrics included record aggregates revenues of $1.5 billion, up 17% year-over-year, and aggregates gross profit of $531 million, a 21% increase. The aggregates gross margin improved by 142 basis points to 36%. The Specialties business also achieved record quarterly revenues of $131 million, a 60% increase, with a gross profit of $34 million, up 20%. Overall, revenues from continuing operations rose to $1.8 billion, a 12% increase, while consolidated adjusted EBITDA reached $743 million, showing a 15% increase. The company raised its full-year 2025 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance to $2.32 billion at the midpoint, driven by strong performance in core aggregates and positive market trends. Looking ahead to 2026, Martin Marietta anticipates continued resilience in its aggregates business, supported by infrastructure investment and nonresidential demand, with preliminary expectations of low single-digit aggregates volume growth and mid-single-digit pricing gains.

Martin Marietta Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Martin Marietta Materials shows a stable financial position with strong gross margins and a solid balance sheet. However, challenges in maintaining revenue growth and profitability are evident, with declining net profit margins and return on equity. Cash flow generation remains a positive aspect, supporting the company's financial health despite some operational inefficiencies.
Income Statement
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM gross profit margin is healthy at 30.6%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 16.8% from 30.5% in the previous year, reflecting a significant drop in profitability. Revenue growth is negative in the TTM, suggesting challenges in maintaining sales momentum. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, indicating reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54 in the TTM, showing a decrease from previous years, which is a positive sign of reduced leverage. The return on equity has decreased to 11.2% in the TTM from 21.1% in the previous year, indicating lower profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with a 4.6% growth in free cash flow in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.35, lower than previous years, suggesting a potential area for improvement. The free cash flow to net income ratio is stable at 0.55, reflecting consistent cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.64B6.54B6.78B6.16B5.41B4.73B
Gross Profit1.98B1.88B2.02B1.42B1.35B1.25B
EBITDA2.21B3.34B2.17B1.77B1.45B1.40B
Net Income1.15B2.00B1.17B867.00M702.50M721.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.65B18.17B15.13B14.99B14.39B10.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.00M670.00M1.27B358.00M258.40M207.30M
Total Debt5.90B5.80B4.73B5.43B5.53B3.08B
Total Liabilities8.91B8.71B7.09B7.82B7.86B4.69B
Stockholders Equity9.73B9.45B8.03B7.17B6.54B5.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.01B604.00M878.00M509.00M714.60M690.40M
Operating Cash Flow1.84B1.46B1.53B991.00M1.14B1.05B
Investing Cash Flow-2.59B-2.44B459.00M-484.00M-3.47B-409.70M
Financing Cash Flow769.00M373.00M-1.06B-407.00M2.29B-357.00M

Martin Marietta Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price625.04
Price Trends
50DMA
619.45
Positive
100DMA
619.35
Positive
200DMA
579.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.57
Positive
RSI
47.94
Neutral
STOCH
66.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 625.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 631.90, above the 50-day MA of 619.45, and above the 200-day MA of 579.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MLM.

Martin Marietta Materials Risk Analysis

Martin Marietta Materials disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Martin Marietta Materials reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Martin Marietta Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$17.98B12.867.10%0.74%-6.34%210.97%
77
Outperform
$6.95B16.0030.10%0.47%1.50%-4.44%
77
Outperform
$39.62B35.6413.56%0.67%6.54%32.48%
74
Outperform
$2.36B13.2126.21%1.12%15.70%19.92%
73
Outperform
$38.97B34.0411.63%0.51%1.99%-41.08%
67
Neutral
$4.28B28.699.71%5.52%-25.56%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
625.04
119.25
23.58%
CX
Cemex SAB
11.53
5.90
104.90%
EXP
Eagle Materials
208.52
-25.40
-10.86%
VMC
Vulcan Materials
292.12
42.28
16.92%
TGLS
Tecnoglass
47.94
-25.88
-35.06%
KNF
Knife River Corporation
74.64
-20.57
-21.60%

Martin Marietta Materials Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Martin Marietta extends and modifies key credit facility
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. entered into Loan Modification No. 4 and Extension Agreement with its lenders and JPMorgan Chase Bank (JPMCB), amending a material definitive credit agreement. The move reflects an adjustment and extension of the company’s existing financing arrangements, which may support its capital structure and liquidity position as it continues to operate in the construction materials sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (MLM) stock is a Buy with a $730.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Martin Marietta Materials stock, see the MLM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Martin Marietta Reports Record Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Martin Marietta reported record financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with significant increases in revenues, gross profit, and earnings from operations compared to the previous year. The company achieved all-time quarterly records in its aggregates business and raised its full-year guidance for Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA. The acquisition of Premier Magnesia and a strategic asset exchange with Quikrete Holdings are expected to enhance Martin Marietta’s portfolio and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (MLM) stock is a Buy with a $680.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Martin Marietta Materials stock, see the MLM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025