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Martin Marietta Materials (MLM)
NYSE:MLM
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Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) AI Stock Analysis

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MLM

Martin Marietta Materials

(NYSE:MLM)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$627.00
▲(12.04% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/31/26
MLM scores as above-average primarily due to strong underlying profitability and a healthier leverage profile, reinforced by a constructive earnings update with raised revenue guidance and clear cash-improvement targets. The main offset is technical weakness (price below key moving averages) alongside some financial variability—particularly the unusual TTM net margin and the recent decline in free cash flow—which reduces confidence in near-term consistency.
Positive Factors
Strong operating profitability
Martin Marietta’s high and steady TTM operating and EBITDA margins reflect durable pricing power and operating leverage in aggregates and downstream products. These margins indicate efficient quarrying, processing and local distribution economics that support sustained cash generation across cycles.
Negative Factors
Acquisition-driven leverage spike
The Lhoist transaction materially increases leverage in the near term (to roughly 3.7x), constraining financial flexibility for execution and making deleveraging a priority. Achieving the 24-month deleveraging target depends on integration synergies, asset sales and steady cash conversion, which carry execution and timing risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong operating profitability
Martin Marietta’s high and steady TTM operating and EBITDA margins reflect durable pricing power and operating leverage in aggregates and downstream products. These margins indicate efficient quarrying, processing and local distribution economics that support sustained cash generation across cycles.
Read all positive factors

Martin Marietta Materials Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Aggregates Tons Shipped to Customers
Aggregates Tons Shipped to Customers
Measures the volume of aggregates delivered, reflecting demand in construction and infrastructure projects and the company’s market reach.
Chart InsightsTonnage has returned to a seasonal, modest-growth pattern where volume gains are steady but small—management is leaning on pricing and per‑ton margin expansion (not big volume beats) to drive the record aggregates gross profit in 2025. 2026 guidance calls for only low-single-digit shipment growth and is deliberately conservative (network‑optimization upside largely excluded), so upside to earnings is more likely from cost/COGS improvements, pricing and $/ton gains than from large volume acceleration—mix and downstream softness remain the key risks.
Data provided by:The Fly

Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Martin Marietta Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. functions as a company specializing in natural resource-derived building materials. This enterprise delivers a wide range of aggregates and other heavy construction components to the building industry, serving both ...
How the Company Makes Money
Martin Marietta primarily makes money by selling construction materials, led by aggregates. Revenue is generated from (1) aggregates sales, where the company extracts raw rock and other materials at quarries, processes them into marketable product...

Martin Marietta Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple substantive achievements—record revenues and adjusted EBITDA, organic volume and mix-adjusted pricing gains, strong Specialties performance, successful acquisitions (NFM) and a transformational planned combination with Lhoist—alongside disciplined capital allocation and identified $350 million of run-rate cash opportunities. Offsetting challenges include headline ASP dilution from recent acquisitions, noncash purchase accounting charges ($52M inventory step-up and higher DD&A), elevated energy and freight costs (noted 150 bps freight headwind and a multi-million dollar energy impact), and weather/residential softness that affected some regional volumes. Management raised revenue guidance, reaffirmed EBITDA, and presented a credible plan to integrate acquisitions and delever within 24 months, signifying confidence in long-term prospects despite near-term cost and mix headwinds.
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Results
Delivered record second-quarter revenues and adjusted EBITDA; core aggregates revenue reached $1.5 billion, up 16% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Headline ASP Decline and Acquisition Mix Headwind
Headline average selling prices fell 2% during the quarter; approximately 400 basis points of the headline decline was attributable to acquisition mix (Quikrete and partial-quarter NFM), with the acquisition mix expected to be more pronounced in the second half as NFM contributes for the full period.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Quarterly Results
Delivered record second-quarter revenues and adjusted EBITDA; core aggregates revenue reached $1.5 billion, up 16% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised full‑year revenue guidance to $7.2–$7.4 billion and reaffirmed adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations at $2.36–$2.50 billion (guidance excludes any contribution from the pending Lhoist North America transaction, to be updated at closing). Q2 operating metrics supporting the outlook included record aggregates revenue of $1.5 billion, total shipments of 61.6 million tons (organic shipments +2.3%), headline ASP down 2% but up 3.7% on an organic, mix‑adjusted basis, organic COGS/ton +3.6% (including a 150‑bp external freight headwind), reported aggregates gross profit of $418 million (impacted by a $52 million noncash inventory step‑up — ~$45 million EBITDA adjustment — and ~$42 million higher DD&A) and adjusted cash gross profit of $636 million (up 15% YoY). Specialties posted record revenue of $152 million and gross profit of $50 million (Woodville ASP +4% / mix‑adjusted +5%, shipments +1%, gross profit +7%). Year‑to‑date adjusted EBITDA exceeded $1.0 billion (a first‑half record); management reiterated plans to delever back to target leverage within 24 months post‑LNA close, quantified ~$350 million of run‑rate pretax cash‑flow improvement opportunities (with >$200 million of cash benefits realized YTD from inventory and CapEx reductions), and cautioned that energy costs are expected to remain elevated through year‑end.

Martin Marietta Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are above average: strong operating profitability (TTM gross margin ~29.6%, operating margin ~22.7%, EBITDA margin ~32.6%) and a strengthening balance sheet with improving leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.50). The score is held back by variability in reported earnings (TTM net margin unusually high vs prior years, suggesting potential non-recurring effects) and a notable step-down in TTM free cash flow (~21.7% decline), indicating less consistent cash conversion despite solid operating cash flow.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
69
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.69B6.54B6.54B6.78B6.16B5.41B
Gross Profit1.89B1.96B1.88B2.02B1.42B1.35B
EBITDA1.88B2.15B3.34B2.17B1.77B1.45B
Net Income2.46B1.14B2.00B1.17B867.00M702.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.30B18.71B18.17B15.13B14.99B14.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments112.00M67.00M670.00M1.27B358.00M258.40M
Total Debt5.95B5.32B5.80B4.73B5.43B5.53B
Total Liabilities9.76B8.68B8.71B7.09B7.82B7.86B
Stockholders Equity11.55B10.03B9.45B8.03B7.17B6.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow810.00M978.00M604.00M878.00M509.00M714.60M
Operating Cash Flow1.52B1.78B1.46B1.53B991.00M1.14B
Investing Cash Flow-1.70B-1.59B-2.44B459.00M-484.00M-3.47B
Financing Cash Flow69.00M-800.00M373.00M-1.06B-407.00M2.29B

Martin Marietta Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price559.60
Price Trends
50DMA
574.74
Negative
100DMA
585.14
Negative
200DMA
610.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.31
Positive
RSI
44.53
Neutral
STOCH
22.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 559.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 565.98, below the 50-day MA of 574.74, and below the 200-day MA of 610.33, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MLM.

Martin Marietta Materials Risk Analysis

Martin Marietta Materials disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Martin Marietta Materials reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Martin Marietta Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$2.02B13.4520.25%1.12%9.84%-12.68%
70
Outperform
$32.42B12.8823.11%0.59%0.06%125.23%
70
Outperform
$35.15B31.6013.11%0.72%6.86%18.35%
65
Neutral
$18.05B35.403.67%0.82%9.40%-67.61%
62
Neutral
$6.30B16.1126.87%0.47%1.68%-7.06%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
56
Neutral
$4.15B28.369.35%9.57%-18.90%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
525.14
-49.64
-8.64%
CX
Cemex SAB
11.82
3.49
41.96%
EXP
Eagle Materials
204.94
-14.47
-6.59%
VMC
Vulcan Materials
268.57
-4.38
-1.61%
TGLS
Tecnoglass
43.44
-31.17
-41.78%
KNF
Knife River Corporation
73.17
-10.20
-12.23%

Martin Marietta Materials Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Martin Marietta Posts Record Q2 Revenue, Raises Guidance
Positive
Jul 30, 2026
On July 30, 2026, Martin Marietta reported second‑quarter 2026 results, posting record revenues of $1.95 billion, up 21% year on year, and a 13% rise in adjusted EBITDA, while net earnings and gross profit declined due to acquisition‑r...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Martin Marietta to Acquire Lhoist North America
Positive
Jun 29, 2026
On June 27, 2026, Martin Marietta Materials agreed to acquire Lhoist North America from Belgium-based LNA Holding for $13.5 billion, in a mix of $7 billion cash and newly issued stock valued at $6.5 billion, adding a major North American producer ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Martin Marietta to Acquire Lhoist North America Franchise
Positive
Jun 29, 2026
Martin Marietta Materials announced on June 29, 2026 that it has signed a definitive Securities Sale Agreement to acquire all outstanding equity interests in Lhoist North America, a major producer of hi-calcium and dolomitic lime and industrial mi...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Martin Marietta Shareholders Back Directors and Equity Plan
Positive
May 14, 2026
On May 14, 2026, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. shareholders approved all items on the ballot at the company’s annual meeting, including the election of ten directors to one-year terms and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as i...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Martin Marietta Posts Mixed Q1 2026 Results, Reaffirms Outlook
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
Martin Marietta reported first-quarter 2026 results on April 30, 2026, with revenues from continuing operations up 17% year-on-year to $1.36 billion, driven by record aggregates shipments and strong infrastructure and heavy nonresidential demand, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2026