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Boise Cascade (BCC)
NYSE:BCC
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Boise Cascade (BCC) AI Stock Analysis

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BCC

Boise Cascade

(NYSE:BCC)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$76.00
▼(-0.31% Downside)
Boise Cascade's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial environment with declining revenue and profitability. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, while the valuation suggests the stock is fairly priced. The earnings call provided mixed signals, with strategic initiatives offering potential long-term benefits despite current financial pressures.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A low debt-to-equity ratio indicates conservative leverage, providing financial stability and flexibility to navigate challenging market conditions.
Strategic Partnerships
Expanding partnerships can enhance product offerings and market reach, driving long-term revenue growth and competitive advantage.
Market Expansion
New distribution centers support market expansion, improving service to key markets and potentially increasing market share and revenue.
Negative Factors
Decline in Wood Products Segment
A significant decline in the Wood Products segment impacts overall profitability and could indicate challenges in maintaining competitive pricing and market demand.
Decreased Net Income
A substantial decrease in net income reflects a challenging pricing environment and could affect the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives.
EWP and Plywood Pricing Pressures
Pricing pressures in key product segments can erode margins and profitability, posing long-term challenges to maintaining competitive positioning.

Boise Cascade (BCC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Boise Cascade Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBoise Cascade Company manufactures wood products and distributes building materials in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments, Wood Products and Building Materials Distribution. The Wood Products segment manufactures laminated veneer lumber and laminated beams used in headers and beams; I-joists for residential and commercial flooring and roofing systems, and other structural applications; structural, appearance, and industrial plywood panels; and ponderosa pine lumber products. This segment's products are used in new residential construction, residential repair-and-remodeling markets, light commercial construction, and industrial applications. It sells its products to wholesalers, home improvement centers, retail lumberyards, and industrial converters. The Building Materials Distribution segment distributes a line of building materials, including oriented strand boards, plywood, and lumber; general line items, such as siding, composite decking, doors, metal products, insulation, and roofing; and engineered wood products. This segment sells its products to dealers, home improvement centers, and specialty distributors. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
How the Company Makes MoneyBoise Cascade generates revenue primarily through the sale of its wood products, which include engineered wood products like I-joists and laminated veneer lumber, as well as plywood and lumber. The company operates two main segments: the Wood Products segment and the Building Materials Distribution segment. The Wood Products segment contributes significant revenue from manufacturing and selling a range of wood products, while the Building Materials Distribution segment earns revenue by distributing building materials sourced from various manufacturers. Key revenue streams include direct sales to contractors and builders, as well as sales through distribution centers. Additionally, strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers enhance BCC's product offerings and market reach, further driving sales growth.

Boise Cascade Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted strategic expansions and partnerships, along with a focus on general line product growth and shareholder returns. However, these were overshadowed by significant declines in key financial metrics, including net income and Wood Products segment performance, amidst a challenging pricing environment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
General Line Product Growth
The general line product sales increased 6% year-over-year, with notable market share gains in decking and multifamily business, aided by strategic capacity expansions.
Strategic Partnerships Expansion
Boise Cascade expanded its partnership with James Hardie in the Baltimore market, adding a new revenue stream in decking, which represents net new revenue for the company.
Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns
The company repurchased approximately $120 million of common stock through October 2025 and announced a new $300 million share repurchase program, showing commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
New Distribution Centers
Opening of a new greenfield distribution center in Hondo, Texas, to better serve key markets like Austin and San Antonio, aligning with the strategic goal to expand market-leading national distribution presence.
Negative Updates
Decline in Wood Products Segment
Wood Products sales were down 13% year-over-year, with segment EBITDA dropping from $77.4 million to $14.5 million, attributed to lower sales prices, volumes, and higher conversion costs.
Decreased Net Income
Net income for the third quarter was $21.8 million, significantly down from $91 million in the same period last year, reflecting a challenging pricing environment in key product segments.
EWP and Plywood Pricing Pressures
EWP volumes were down 15% sequentially with prices declining 6% due to competitive pressures. Plywood pricing also faced challenges, with a 5% sequential decline.
Increased Costs and Lower Margins
Selling and distribution expenses increased by $7.8 million, and BMD's EBITDA margin fell from 5.6% to 4.5% year-over-year due to commodity price headwinds and competitive pricing pressures.
Company Guidance
During the Boise Cascade Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the future. The third quarter consolidated sales were reported at $1.7 billion, a 3% decrease from the same period in 2024. Net income was $21.8 million or $0.58 per share, down from $91 million or $2.33 per share in the prior year. The Wood Products segment saw sales of $396.4 million, a 13% decline, with segment EBITDA falling to $14.5 million from $77.4 million. The Building Materials Distribution (BMD) segment's sales were $1.6 billion, a 1% decrease, with segment EBITDA of $69.8 million compared to $87.7 million in the previous year. Looking ahead, Boise Cascade estimates fourth quarter EBITDA for Wood Products to range from breakeven to $15 million and for BMD from $40 million to $55 million. The company reported capital expenditures of $187 million for the first nine months of 2025, with expectations for 2025 capital spending between $230 million and $250 million, and plans for 2026 between $150 million and $170 million. Additionally, the Board of Directors approved a $0.22 per share quarterly dividend and authorized up to $300 million in common stock repurchases.

Boise Cascade Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Boise Cascade faces a challenging financial environment with declining revenue and profitability. Despite this, the company maintains a strong balance sheet with low leverage, providing stability. Cash flow challenges are evident, but operational efficiencies and a solid capital structure offer some resilience.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Boise Cascade's income statement shows a decline in revenue and profitability over the TTM period. The gross profit margin decreased from 20.9% in 2023 to 18.2% in TTM 2025, and the net profit margin fell from 7.1% to 4.0%. Revenue growth has been negative, indicating a challenging market environment. However, the company maintains positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, suggesting operational efficiency despite the downturn.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24 in TTM 2025, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity has decreased from 22.0% in 2023 to 12.3% in TTM 2025, reflecting reduced profitability. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth, down by 76.2% in TTM 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has also decreased, indicating potential cash flow challenges. However, the company still maintains a positive free cash flow to net income ratio, suggesting some resilience in cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.51B6.72B6.84B8.39B7.93B5.47B
Gross Profit1.08B1.33B1.43B1.91B1.63B938.79M
EBITDA437.05M673.23M805.96M1.28B1.06B409.67M
Net Income193.00M376.35M483.66M857.66M712.49M174.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.40B3.37B3.46B3.24B2.57B1.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments511.77M713.26M949.57M998.34M748.91M405.38M
Total Debt523.61M516.22M529.79M523.08M531.79M542.88M
Total Liabilities1.26B1.22B1.26B1.18B1.22B1.11B
Stockholders Equity2.14B2.15B2.20B2.06B1.35B850.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.50M208.75M472.02M927.10M560.47M215.09M
Operating Cash Flow217.70M438.32M687.46M1.04B666.98M294.52M
Investing Cash Flow-274.07M-237.82M-375.55M-625.46M-105.59M-78.72M
Financing Cash Flow-193.46M-436.81M-360.68M-166.33M-217.87M-95.66M

Boise Cascade Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price76.24
Price Trends
50DMA
72.86
Positive
100DMA
79.40
Negative
200DMA
86.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Negative
RSI
63.18
Neutral
STOCH
94.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 76.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.45, above the 50-day MA of 72.86, and below the 200-day MA of 86.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BCC.

Boise Cascade Risk Analysis

Boise Cascade disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Boise Cascade reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Boise Cascade Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$39.27B35.3313.56%0.66%6.54%32.48%
68
Neutral
$37.59B32.8311.63%0.54%1.99%-41.08%
67
Neutral
$7.09B16.3330.10%0.48%1.50%-4.44%
64
Neutral
$2.82B15.089.05%1.21%-4.25%-50.60%
63
Neutral
$1.51B39.615.06%-33.99%-61.41%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCC
Boise Cascade
76.24
-70.26
-47.96%
EXP
Eagle Materials
223.72
-78.58
-25.99%
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
623.24
32.64
5.53%
VMC
Vulcan Materials
297.24
12.30
4.32%
LOMA
Loma Negra Compania Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anonima
12.48
0.18
1.46%

Boise Cascade Corporate Events

Boise Cascade Reports Decreased Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 5, 2025

Boise Cascade Company is a leading North American producer of engineered wood products and plywood, as well as a major U.S. distributor of building materials. The company is known for its extensive distribution network and commitment to providing high-quality building solutions.

Boise Cascade’s Mixed Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Nov 5, 2025

The recent earnings call for Boise Cascade Company painted a mixed picture for investors. While the company highlighted strategic expansions and partnerships, and a focus on general line product growth and shareholder returns, these positive aspects were overshadowed by significant declines in key financial metrics. The company faced challenges in its Wood Products segment performance amidst a tough pricing environment, which impacted overall sentiment during the call.

Stock BuybackDividends
Boise Cascade Announces Dividend and Share Buyback
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Boise Cascade announced a quarterly dividend of $0.22 per share, payable on December 17, 2025, to stockholders of record on December 1, 2025. Additionally, the company authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $300 million, replacing the previous authorization, after repurchasing 1.25 million shares for approximately $120 million earlier in the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCC) stock is a Buy with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boise Cascade stock, see the BCC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Boise Cascade Releases Q3 2025 Outlook Presentation
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Boise Cascade released updated presentation materials for its third quarter 2025 outlook, which were posted on its website for the investment community. The presentation highlights the company’s strategic focus on growth through acquisitions and market expansion, emphasizing its strong market positioning and operational efficiency in the building materials sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCC) stock is a Hold with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boise Cascade stock, see the BCC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025