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Boise Cascade Company (BCC)
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Boise Cascade (BCC) AI Stock Analysis

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BCC

Boise Cascade

(NYSE:BCC)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$93.00
▲(7.18% Upside)
Boise Cascade's overall stock score reflects a mix of solid financial management, attractive valuation, and positive corporate actions. However, technical indicators suggest short-term bearish trends, and earnings call details highlight operational challenges and a difficult market environment.
Positive Factors
Capital Deployment
Boise Cascade Company is strategically deploying capital by investing in high-functioning sites, positioning well for when the market improves.
Market Positioning
The company has diversified its exposure from single-family homes to multi-family housing, improving its market positioning.
Valuation
The stock is considered very cheap, trading at 6.3 EBITDA, with high margins and multiple ways of returning capital to shareholders.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Boise Cascade reported softer than anticipated first quarter results as severe weather, competitive pricing, and slowing starts weighed on both sales price and volume while a planned plant outage further weighed on quarterly margins.
Macro Environment
Deteriorating macroeconomic conditions and little change in tariffs, interest rates, or economic uncertainty are limiting factors.
Pricing Risks
There are some risks on the pricing and margin front in Wood Products, particularly if the recently slower activity persists into 2025.

Boise Cascade (BCC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Boise Cascade Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBoise Cascade Company (NYSE: BCC) is a prominent North American manufacturer and distributor of building materials. Headquartered in Boise, Idaho, the company operates through two main segments: Wood Products and Building Materials Distribution. The Wood Products segment is involved in the manufacture of engineered wood products, plywood, and lumber, while the Building Materials Distribution segment focuses on the wholesale distribution of a wide range of building materials, including wood products manufactured by the company and other third-party producers.
How the Company Makes MoneyBoise Cascade generates revenue primarily through the sale of its manufactured wood products and the distribution of a broad array of building materials. In the Wood Products segment, the company earns money by producing and selling engineered wood products, plywood, and lumber to a variety of customers, including retail lumberyards, home improvement centers, and industrial manufacturers. The Building Materials Distribution segment contributes to Boise Cascade's earnings by purchasing building materials from suppliers and selling them to a network of dealers and retailers. This segment benefits from strong relationships with suppliers and a comprehensive distribution network. Additionally, strategic partnerships and a focus on operational efficiency help the company maintain competitive pricing and enhance its market presence, further contributing to its financial performance.

Boise Cascade Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.91%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. Key achievements included the successful modernization of the Oakdale mill and improved gross margins in BMD. However, declines in housing starts, consolidated sales, and segment EBITDA indicate significant challenges, along with operational disruptions from scheduled outages and a strike at one facility.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Oakdale Mill Modernization
The modernization project at the Oakdale mill is substantially complete, enhancing operational efficiency and reliability.
BMD Gross Margin Improvement
BMD's gross margin percentage increased by 60 basis points year-over-year to 15.4%, driven by increased margins on general line products.
Strong Capital Expenditure and Shareholder Returns
Capital expenditures of $132 million in the first half of 2025, with significant investments in Wood Products and BMD. Paid $18 million in dividends and repurchased approximately $96 million in common stock.
LVL Volume Growth
LVL volumes increased by 8% year-over-year and 18% sequentially, indicating robust demand in this product category.
Completion of Lease Buyouts
Completed lease buyouts for distribution centers in Chicago and Minneapolis, enhancing market presence.
Negative Updates
Decline in Housing Starts
Total U.S. housing starts and single-family housing starts decreased by 1% and 8%, respectively, compared to the prior-year quarter.
Decrease in Consolidated Sales
Consolidated second quarter sales of $1.7 billion were down 3% from the second quarter of 2024.
Wood Products Sales and EBITDA Decline
Wood product sales were down 9% year-over-year, and segment EBITDA declined from $95.1 million to $37.3 million due to lower sales prices and volumes.
Scheduled Outage and Maintenance Impact
The Oakdale mill outage and Kettle Falls maintenance project negatively impacted plywood sales and EBITDA.
BMD Sales Decline
BMD sales decreased by 2% year-over-year, driven by a 2% decrease in prices, despite flat sales volumes.
Strike at Billings Facility
Ongoing strike at the Billings facility with 19 union representatives, though it is limited in scope.
Company Guidance
During Boise Cascade's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the third quarter, anticipating continued headwinds in residential construction activity. For the Wood Products segment, they project EBITDA between $20 million and $30 million, expecting high single-digit sequential declines in EWP volumes and low to mid-single-digit declines in EWP pricing due to competitive pressures. For the Building Materials Distribution (BMD) segment, EBITDA is estimated to be between $70 million and $80 million. The company also highlighted the completion of the Oakdale mill modernization, which will enhance operational efficiency. Despite market challenges, Boise Cascade remains committed to investing in growth opportunities and maintaining strong service standards. The call emphasized the importance of distribution flexibility and inventory management in navigating market uncertainties.

Boise Cascade Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Boise Cascade's financial performance is solid with a strong balance sheet and low leverage, but declining profitability and revenue. Despite a decrease in net income, the company's EBIT and EBITDA margins remain stable, supporting its financial resilience. Cash flow generation is strong but could improve with better capital expenditure management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Boise Cascade's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin due to effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased from the previous year, reflecting increased operational costs. The revenue growth rate is negative, indicating a decline in sales, primarily due to market fluctuations in the construction materials industry. Despite this, the company maintains a robust EBIT margin, though it's slightly lower than previous periods, suggesting some pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating prudent financial management and a strong equity position. The return on equity is declining, reflecting reduced profitability, but remains healthy. The equity ratio is strong, showcasing a well-capitalized balance sheet with sufficient assets to cover liabilities.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Boise Cascade demonstrates strong free cash flow generation, although there is a decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient cash generation relative to profitability. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio highlights some capital expenditure constraints impacting cash reserves.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.56B6.72B6.84B8.39B7.93B5.47B
Gross Profit896.03M1.33B1.43B1.91B1.63B938.79M
EBITDA472.87M669.94M803.01M1.26B1.05B424.45M
Net Income262.27M376.35M483.66M857.66M712.49M174.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.003.37B3.46B3.24B2.57B1.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00713.26M949.57M998.34M748.91M405.38M
Total Debt63.03M516.22M529.79M523.08M531.79M531.40M
Total Liabilities1.29B1.22B1.26B1.18B1.22B1.11B
Stockholders Equity2.15B2.15B2.20B2.06B1.35B850.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow118.38M208.75M472.02M927.10M560.47M215.09M
Operating Cash Flow273.85M438.32M687.46M1.04B666.98M294.52M
Investing Cash Flow-213.38M-237.82M-375.55M-625.46M-105.59M-78.72M
Financing Cash Flow-431.65M-436.81M-360.68M-166.33M-217.87M-95.66M

Boise Cascade Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price86.77
Price Trends
50DMA
87.55
Negative
100DMA
91.02
Negative
200DMA
109.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.12
Positive
RSI
49.93
Neutral
STOCH
36.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 86.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 86.87, below the 50-day MA of 87.55, and below the 200-day MA of 109.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BCC.

Boise Cascade Risk Analysis

Boise Cascade disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Boise Cascade reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Boise Cascade Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$37.41B39.5811.89%0.67%0.19%4.33%
77
Outperform
$7.32B16.6131.87%0.45%0.88%-4.17%
74
Outperform
$36.62B34.9311.88%0.55%-0.54%-48.61%
71
Outperform
$3.24B12.1511.77%6.73%-4.67%-35.04%
67
Neutral
$1.46B14.7914.05%-37.30%32.91%
44
Neutral
C$864.63M-6.77-14.90%2.78%16.54%-27.01%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCC
Boise Cascade
86.77
-34.51
-28.45%
EXP
Eagle Materials
225.45
-18.24
-7.48%
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
607.50
71.68
13.38%
VMC
Vulcan Materials
283.17
38.71
15.83%
LOMA
Loma Negra Compania Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anonima
12.08
5.43
81.65%

Boise Cascade Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Boise Cascade Increases Quarterly Dividend by 5%
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Boise Cascade announced a 5% increase in its quarterly dividend, raising it to $0.22 per share. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to shareholders and may influence its financial strategy and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BCC) stock is a Buy with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boise Cascade stock, see the BCC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025