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Thinkific Labs (TSE:THNC)
TSX:THNC

Thinkific Labs (THNC) AI Stock Analysis

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Thinkific Labs

(TSX:THNC)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.00
▼(-3.38%Downside)
Thinkific Labs' overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance and corporate events. Despite strong revenue growth and positive cash flow trends, persistent net losses and high operating costs impact profitability. Corporate events, such as strategic rebranding and governance improvements, support a positive long-term outlook. Technical indicators and valuation suggest caution due to bearish momentum and a high P/E ratio.
Positive Factors
Commerce Adoption
THNC will be launching advanced payments features, such as invoicing and group orders, which it believes may help drive better Commerce adoption by Plus customers.
Financial Valuation
There is limited downside to the share price given THNC's depressed EV/sales valuation and the fact that THNC should now be able to sustainably generate positive FCF.
Negative Factors
Guidance and Revenue
Q1/25 guidance was below consensus, reflecting a potential short-term impact due to the company's strategic transition.

Thinkific Labs (THNC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Thinkific Labs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThinkific Labs (THNC) is a leading technology company that provides a powerful platform for creating, marketing, and selling online courses. Serving a diverse range of entrepreneurs, educators, and businesses, Thinkific's core offerings enable users to build customized learning experiences with ease and efficiency. Operating in the e-learning and educational technology sector, the company empowers individuals and organizations to transform their expertise into scalable online courses, memberships, and communities.
How the Company Makes MoneyThinkific Labs generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering various pricing tiers to cater to different user needs and scales. The company provides a free basic plan with limited features, while its premium plans offer advanced functionalities such as custom domains, advanced course pricing options, and enhanced analytics. Additionally, Thinkific earns money through transaction fees on sales made via its platform. Significant partnerships with payment processors and digital marketing tools also contribute to its earnings, enhancing the platform's capabilities and user reach. The company's focus on continuous product innovation and customer support further bolsters its revenue streams by attracting and retaining a broad client base.

Thinkific Labs Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -23.90%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in key areas such as Thinkific Plus and Commerce adoption. While Self Serve ARR growth was flat, the company showed positive financial performance with increased revenue and EBITDA. Strategic investments and new board members indicate a commitment to future growth.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Growth in Thinkific Plus and Self Serve
Thinkific Plus revenue growth accelerated to 32% with record new customer bookings. Self Serve revenue grew by 10% year-over-year.
Increase in Thinkific Commerce Adoption
Commerce revenue was up 88% from the prior year, with GMV penetration increasing to 47% from 40% in the prior quarter.
Improved ARPU and Revenue
ARPU increased by 13% to $165 per month, and Q3 2024 revenue was $17.2 million, up 15% from the prior year.
Positive EBITDA and Cash Flow
Adjusted EBITDA was $930,000, with positive cash flow from operations of $2.5 million.
Strategic Investments and Board Additions
The company completed a headcount increase in the Plus sales team and added new members to the board of directors.
Negative Updates
Flat Self Serve ARR
Self Serve ARR was relatively flat quarter-over-quarter, indicating stabilization rather than growth.
Minor Challenges with Gateway Fee Introduction
The introduction of the gateway fee did not result in significant churn, but it caused some minor issues.
Company Guidance
During Thinkific's Q3 2024 earnings call, the company provided a positive outlook, highlighting several key metrics. Revenue for Q3 reached $17.2 million, marking a 15% increase from the previous year, driven by significant growth in both Thinkific Plus and Self Serve segments. The company achieved a penetration rate of 47% in Thinkific Commerce, up from 40% the prior quarter, while Plus revenue grew by 32%, aided by record new customer bookings. Gross payments volume (GPV) surged to $52.4 million, a 50% year-over-year increase. Additionally, the company maintained an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.4% and reported a solid cash position of $50 million. Looking ahead, Thinkific projected Q4 revenue between $17.6 million and $17.9 million, reflecting a continuation of growth trends.

Thinkific Labs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thinkific Labs shows strong revenue growth and improving cash flow, with a healthy gross margin. However, persistent net losses and high operational costs impact profitability, despite a stable balance sheet with low leverage.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Thinkific Labs has shown strong revenue growth over recent years, increasing from $21 million in 2020 to $66 million in 2024, indicating a positive growth trajectory. However, the company consistently reports negative EBIT and net income, which impacts profitability. Gross profit margins are healthy at approximately 75%, but significant operating losses suggest high operational costs.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a solid equity base with stockholders' equity at $41.6 million in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, demonstrating conservative leverage. However, the decline in total assets and equity from 2023 to 2024 suggests potential challenges in asset management and capital retention.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Thinkific Labs has improved its free cash flow position, turning from negative in 2023 to a positive $6.7 million in 2024, highlighting strong cash flow management. Operating cash flow has also turned positive, although the company previously faced cash flow deficits. This improvement suggests better operational efficiency and cost control.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue68.82M66.94M59.05M51.48M38.12M21.07M
Gross Profit51.61M50.31M44.56M39.11M29.21M16.62M
EBITDA305.00K-1.06M-9.26M-30.44M-23.63M-1.19M
Net Income1.23M-237.00K-9.78M-41.90M-28.44M-1.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets61.90M61.37M97.79M102.97M132.40M12.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments51.37M49.49M86.61M93.85M126.05M9.07M
Total Debt1.66M1.77M1.03M1.96M875.26K1.36M
Total Liabilities19.93M19.77M15.85M15.12M10.79M7.63M
Stockholders Equity41.96M41.59M81.94M87.85M121.61M5.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.96M6.75M-5.44M-27.11M-18.91M2.34M
Operating Cash Flow7.09M6.99M-5.43M-25.85M-18.26M2.63M
Investing Cash Flow-132.00K-166.00K53.37K-1.26M-655.16K-289.80K
Financing Cash Flow-41.73M-42.60M-2.41M-241.18K138.26M3.15M

Thinkific Labs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.07
Price Trends
50DMA
2.85
Negative
100DMA
2.96
Negative
200DMA
2.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
45.45
Neutral
STOCH
65.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:THNC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.12, below the 50-day MA of 2.85, and below the 200-day MA of 2.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:THNC.

Thinkific Labs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSDSG
75
Outperform
$12.01B60.7310.66%17.42%22.81%
75
Outperform
$10.53B11.9615.87%3.52%-8.74%307.82%
TSKXS
74
Outperform
C$5.70B408.432.32%15.14%-31.45%
74
Outperform
$1.19B37.5141.12%20.52%246.69%
63
Neutral
C$2.20B-33.64%23.95%39.68%
63
Neutral
€10.05B18.646.74%1.75%2.60%-31.99%
59
Neutral
C$139.38M93.672.02%16.58%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:THNC
Thinkific Labs
2.07
-0.18
-8.00%
TSE:DSG
The Descartes Systems Group
140.30
3.92
2.87%
TSE:OTEX
Open Text
40.79
0.01
0.03%
TSE:DCBO
Docebo
39.64
-12.82
-24.44%
TSE:KXS
Kinaxis Inc
201.07
41.26
25.82%
TSE:LSPD
Lightspeed POS Inc
15.87
-3.08
-16.25%

Thinkific Labs Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thinkific Unveils Strategic Rebrand and AI-Driven Platform Enhancements
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

Thinkific Labs Inc. has announced a strategic rebrand and major product investments to enhance its platform with AI-powered features, aiming to meet the growing demand for monetizing expertise through education-based revenue models. This rebranding effort, which includes a new website and visual identity, positions Thinkific to support businesses in navigating the evolving landscape of digital education, emphasizing community-driven learning, learner engagement, and commerce tools. The company’s new direction aligns with industry trends where businesses are increasingly using education as a revenue-generating strategy, and Thinkific’s platform enhancements are designed to improve operational efficiency and learner outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:THNC) stock is a Buy with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thinkific Labs stock, see the TSE:THNC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Thinkific Labs Inc. Announces AGM Results and Auditor Appointment
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

Thinkific Labs Inc. announced the results of its annual general meeting, where all seven nominees proposed by management were elected to the Board of Directors. Additionally, KPMG LLP was appointed as the auditor for the ensuing year. These developments reinforce Thinkific’s governance structure and ensure continuity in its financial oversight, potentially strengthening its position in the learning commerce industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:THNC) stock is a Buy with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thinkific Labs stock, see the TSE:THNC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Thinkific Completes C$14.5 Million Secondary Offering of Rhino Group Shares
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

Thinkific Labs Inc. announced the closing of a secondary offering of approximately C$14.5 million of common shares held by the Rhino Group. The transaction involved the sale of 6,444,445 shares, representing about 9.47% of Thinkific’s outstanding shares, reducing Rhino Group’s stake from 23.92% to 14.45%. The net proceeds were directed to the Rhino Group, with no financial gain for Thinkific. The offering was conducted via a prospectus supplement and private placement, with lock-up agreements in place for the Rhino Group and key stakeholders, potentially stabilizing the company’s share price and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:THNC) stock is a Buy with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thinkific Labs stock, see the TSE:THNC Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Thinkific Announces Virtual Annual General Meeting for June 2025
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

Thinkific Labs Inc. announced that its Annual General Meeting will be held virtually on June 20, 2025. The company is utilizing notice-and-access procedures to distribute meeting materials electronically, encouraging shareholders to vote in advance. This virtual meeting format reflects Thinkific’s commitment to leveraging digital solutions to engage with stakeholders efficiently.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:THNC) stock is a Buy with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thinkific Labs stock, see the TSE:THNC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Thinkific Announces C$13 Million Secondary Offering and Leadership Transition
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

Thinkific Labs Inc. announced a secondary offering of approximately C$13 million of shares held by the Rhino Group, with no proceeds going to Thinkific itself. This transaction is designed to provide liquidity to Rhino Group’s investors, while maintaining their significant stake in Thinkific. The offering involves a lock-up agreement for Rhino Group and key Thinkific stakeholders, ensuring stability in shareholding. Additionally, Russ Mann is set to become the board chair, indicating a strategic leadership transition as Thinkific continues its growth trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:THNC) stock is a Buy with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thinkific Labs stock, see the TSE:THNC Stock Forecast page.

Other
Thinkific Receives 2025 Top Rated Award from TrustRadius
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

Thinkific has been honored with the 2025 Top Rated Award from TrustRadius, highlighting its commitment to customer satisfaction through a robust learning commerce platform. This accolade is based on genuine customer reviews and reflects Thinkific’s dedication to empowering learning businesses with user-friendly solutions and excellent customer support. The recognition follows other significant achievements, including placements in G2’s 2025 Best Software Awards and TIME’s top global edtech companies list, reinforcing Thinkific’s strong industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:THNC) stock is a Buy with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thinkific Labs stock, see the TSE:THNC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Thinkific to Engage with Investors at CIBC Conference
Positive
May 20, 2025

Thinkific Labs Inc. announced its participation in the CIBC Technology & Innovation Conference on May 22, 2025, where Founder and CEO Greg Smith will engage in a fireside chat and host meetings with investors. This participation highlights Thinkific’s active engagement with the investment community, potentially enhancing its industry positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:THNC) stock is a Buy with a C$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thinkific Labs stock, see the TSE:THNC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thinkific Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results with 12% Revenue Growth
Positive
May 6, 2025

Thinkific Labs Inc. reported a strong start to 2025 with a 12% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $17.8 million in the first quarter. The company saw significant growth in its commerce and subscription revenues, attributed to improvements in customer onboarding and a focused strategy. Thinkific’s financial performance was bolstered by a net income of $0.4 million, a notable improvement from the previous year’s loss, and a consistent gross margin of 74%. The company also maintained a robust cash flow from operations, highlighting the resilience of its financial model. Operationally, Thinkific was recognized for its customer service and education software products, and it launched an integration with HubSpot, enhancing its enterprise-grade solutions.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thinkific Completes Share Conversion to Streamline Equity Structure
Positive
Apr 25, 2025

Thinkific Labs Inc. has completed a capital reorganization that converts all Multiple Voting Shares into Single Voting Common Shares, which will trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the same symbol. This move is expected to streamline the company’s share structure and potentially enhance market perception, impacting stakeholders positively by simplifying the equity framework.

Business Operations and Strategy
Thinkific Simplifies Share Structure to Enhance Shareholder Value
Positive
Apr 14, 2025

Thinkific Labs Inc. has announced the conversion of its Multiple Voting Shares into Single Voting Common Shares, effectively eliminating its dual-class share structure. This strategic move aims to align voting rights with economic interests, reflecting the company’s commitment to shareholder equality and governance best practices. The change is expected to enhance shareholder value by increasing public float and liquidity, demonstrating Thinkific’s confidence in its growth trajectory and dedication to maximizing long-term value for shareholders.

Financial Disclosures
Thinkific to Announce Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 9, 2025

Thinkific Labs Inc. announced it will release its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 6, 2025, after market close. The company will host a conference call and webcast to discuss the financial and operational results, reflecting its ongoing commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025