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Open Text Corp. (TSE:OTEX)
TSX:OTEX

Open Text (OTEX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OTEX

Open Text

(TSX:OTEX)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
C$39.00
▲(9.61% Upside)
Open Text's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, particularly in cloud revenue growth and improved profit margins. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation metrics are fair but not compelling. The company's high leverage and challenges in certain segments, such as customer support and cybersecurity, present risks that temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Enterprise cloud bookings
Sustained 20% growth in enterprise cloud bookings indicates stronger recurring revenue and larger, stickier customer commitments. Higher bookings velocity and rising long-term Cloud RPO support predictable ARR expansion and durable multi-year revenue visibility from enterprise customers.
High and improving margins
Very high gross margins and expanding adjusted EBITDA reflect a scalable software business and disciplined cost structure. Margin strength supports reinvestment in product, M&A, and debt reduction, improving cash generation resilience even as revenue mix shifts toward cloud.
Strong free cash flow generation
Robust free cash flow growth and high FCF-to-net-income conversion provide durable financial flexibility. Consistent FCF supports dividend payments, deleveraging plans and targeted acquisitions, reducing financial risk and enabling strategic investment without relying on equity markets.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 1.7 signals significant leverage that can constrain strategic flexibility. Elevated debt raises interest and refinancing risks, limits ability to pursue large M&A or aggressive buybacks, and heightens vulnerability if revenue growth or cash conversion slows.
Declining customer support revenue
A decline in legacy customer support revenue suggests erosion of a stable, recurring maintenance base as clients transition to cloud. This reduces near-term predictability and upsell anchoring, forcing the company to replace steady support cashflows with cloud ARR over multiple quarters.
Cybersecurity cloud weakness
Underperformance in the cybersecurity cloud component signals challenges cross-selling into a high-growth adjacent market. Failure to gain traction there limits TAM expansion, reduces diversification of cloud ARR, and could slow the pace at which cloud revenue offsets legacy declines.

Open Text (OTEX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Open Text Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOpen Text Corporation engages in the designs, develops, markets, and sells information management software and solutions. It offers content services; business network that manages data within the organization and outside the firewall; security and protection solutions for defending against cyber threats, and preparing for business continuity and response in the event of a breach; digital investigation and forensic security solutions; OpenText security solutions to address information cyber resilience needs; Carbonite and Webroot products; and OpenText Information Management software platform. The company also provides eDiscovery platform that provides forensics and unstructured data analytics; OpenText Developer Cloud; key developer API services; AI and analytics that leverages structured or unstructured data; digital process automation solutions, which enables organizations to transform into digital data-driven businesses; and OpenText Digital Experience platform. In addition, it offers customer support programs, including access to software upgrades, a knowledge base, discussions, product information, and an online mechanism to post and review trouble tickets; and consulting and learning services relating to the implementation, training, and integration of its licensed product offerings, as well as cloud services. The company serves organizations, enterprise and mid-market companies, public sector agencies, small and medium-sized businesses, and direct consumers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It has strategic partnerships with SAP SE, Google Cloud, Amazon AWS, Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Salesforce.com Corporation, Accenture plc, ATOS, Capgemini Technology Services SAS, Cognizant Technology Solutions U.S. Corp., Deloitte Consulting LLP, and Tata Consultancy Services. Open Text Corporation was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyOpenText generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, subscriptions, and professional services. Its revenue model includes a mix of one-time license fees and recurring subscription fees, particularly from its cloud-based offerings. Key revenue streams come from product licenses, maintenance and support services, and professional consulting services. The company has established significant partnerships, including collaborations with major technology firms like Microsoft and SAP, which enhance its market reach and integration capabilities. Additionally, OpenText benefits from strategic acquisitions that expand its product portfolio and customer base, further contributing to its financial growth.

Open Text Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong cloud revenue growth, increased enterprise cloud bookings, and improved profit margins, reflecting a positive trajectory for the company. However, there were concerns about the decline in customer support revenue, uncertainty in the revenue mix due to cloud transitions, and challenges in the cybersecurity segment. Overall, the company maintains a strong financial position and a positive outlook for fiscal '26.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cloud Revenue Growth
Q1 cloud revenue was $485 million, up 6% year-over-year. Content Cloud grew 21% year-on-year in Q1, driven by bookings in financial services, energy, utilities, and telecom sectors.
Increase in Enterprise Cloud Bookings
Enterprise cloud bookings were up 20% year-on-year in Q1, positioning the company towards achieving its fiscal '26 outlook range of 12% to 16% growth.
Improved Profit Margins
Q1 GAAP-based gross margins were 72.8%, up 100 basis points year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA margin was 36.3%, an increase of 130 basis points year-over-year.
Record Number of Large Deals
Closed 33 deals greater than $1 million in Q1, up 43% year-on-year, with key wins in various sectors, including healthcare and cybersecurity.
Free Cash Flow Surge
Q1 free cash flow was $101 million, a significant increase of $218 million year-over-year.
Commitment to Strong Financial Position
Company reports a solid financial foundation with expanding margin and free cash flow, and a strategy to reduce debt, pay dividends, and reinvest in growth.
Negative Updates
Decline in Customer Support Revenue
Customer support revenues of $587 million were down 1.5% year-over-year.
Uncertainty in Revenue Mix
Potential variability in revenue mix due to faster-than-expected customer transition to the cloud, impacting the predictability of quarterly revenue.
Cybersecurity Cloud Component Decline
Cloud component of the cybersecurity business experienced a decline, indicating challenges in cross-selling opportunities.
Company Guidance
During the Open Text Corporation First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted. The company reported Q1 total revenues of $1.3 billion, marking a 1.5% year-over-year increase, driven largely by Cloud and License revenues. Cloud revenue for the quarter reached $485 million, up 6% year-over-year, aligning well with their fiscal 2026 outlook range of 3% to 4% growth. Cloud bookings displayed robust performance, with Cloud cRPO up 6% year-over-year, long-term Cloud RPO up 16%, and total Cloud RPO increasing by 11% year-on-year. Enterprise cloud bookings also surged by 20% year-on-year in Q1. The company closed 33 deals over $1 million, representing a 43% increase year-on-year. Content Cloud, the largest business unit at approximately 40% of the business, grew 21% year-on-year. The Q2 total revenue is expected to range between $1.275 billion and $1.295 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin projected between 35.5% and 36%. Overall, the fiscal year 2026 outlook remains unchanged, anticipating ARR growth with Cloud growth surpassing maintenance declines.

Open Text Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Open Text exhibits strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, with robust gross and EBIT margins. However, high leverage could be a concern if not managed properly. The company shows strong cash flow generation, supporting its financial stability and potential for future investments.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Open Text demonstrates strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 9.4%. The gross profit margin remains robust at 72.3%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively modest at 8.4%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.69, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity is moderate at 10.6%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the balance sheet shows a stable asset base.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Open Text's free cash flow growth is strong at 31.8%, highlighting effective cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, indicating a solid conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.83 suggests efficient cash utilization relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.17B5.17B5.77B4.48B3.49B3.39B
Gross Profit3.64B3.73B4.19B3.17B2.43B2.35B
EBITDA1.58B1.50B2.10B1.27B1.17B1.35B
Net Income496.49M435.87M465.09M150.38M397.09M310.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.48B13.77B14.21B17.09B10.18B9.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.09B1.16B1.28B1.23B1.69B1.61B
Total Debt6.63B6.64B6.69B9.25B4.47B3.87B
Total Liabilities9.52B9.84B10.01B13.07B6.15B5.51B
Stockholders Equity3.95B3.93B4.20B4.02B4.03B4.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow905.75M687.40M808.40M655.37M888.70M812.45M
Operating Cash Flow1.06B830.62M967.69M779.21M981.81M876.12M
Investing Cash Flow-162.10M-153.51M2.06B-5.65B-970.96M-68.77M
Financing Cash Flow-825.84M-834.68M-2.96B4.40B138.46M-924.55M

Open Text Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price35.58
Price Trends
50DMA
44.49
Negative
100DMA
48.03
Negative
200DMA
43.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.26
Positive
RSI
16.25
Positive
STOCH
4.82
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OTEX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 35.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.98, below the 50-day MA of 44.49, and below the 200-day MA of 43.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 16.25 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.82 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:OTEX.

Open Text Risk Analysis

Open Text disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Open Text reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Open Text Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$9.30B41.0510.70%14.55%15.55%
78
Outperform
C$4.03B82.088.24%15.11%75.40%
72
Outperform
$9.35B13.9112.32%3.27%-5.01%13.21%
69
Neutral
C$1.02B13.9912.20%5.69%-0.72%-9.27%
63
Neutral
$723.26M25.0449.99%16.25%31.71%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
53
Neutral
C$2.11B-2.30-37.01%17.23%-435.45%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OTEX
Open Text
35.58
-6.27
-14.98%
TSE:DSG
The Descartes Systems Group
102.05
-68.05
-40.01%
TSE:KXS
Kinaxis Inc
141.50
-28.50
-16.76%
TSE:ENGH
Enghouse Systems
18.50
-7.85
-29.80%
TSE:LSPD
Lightspeed POS Inc
14.94
-6.36
-29.86%
TSE:DCBO
Docebo
26.49
-35.58
-57.32%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025