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Open Text Corp. (TSE:OTEX)
TSX:OTEX
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Open Text (OTEX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OTEX

Open Text

(TSX:OTEX)

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Neutral 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
C$60.00
▲(11.50% Upside)
Open Text's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and a positive earnings call outlook. While financial performance shows some challenges, the company's strategic focus on AI and cloud, along with solid profitability margins, supports a favorable stock position. Valuation is balanced by a decent dividend yield, making it an attractive option for investors seeking growth and income.
Positive Factors
Cloud Revenue Growth
The strong growth in cloud bookings indicates robust demand for Open Text's cloud services, supporting long-term revenue expansion and market position in the cloud sector.
Operational Efficiency
High EBITDA margins reflect strong operational efficiency, allowing Open Text to maintain profitability and reinvest in growth opportunities, enhancing competitive advantage.
Strategic Capital Return
Significant capital return through dividends and buybacks demonstrates financial strength and commitment to shareholder value, supporting investor confidence and long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Negative revenue growth indicates potential challenges in market expansion and competition, which could impact long-term business sustainability and profitability.
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risk, potentially limiting flexibility in strategic investments and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, affecting long-term financial health.
Cybersecurity Revenue Decline
Decline in cybersecurity revenue highlights challenges in a critical growth area, potentially impacting future revenue streams and competitive positioning in the cybersecurity market.

Open Text (OTEX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Open Text Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOpen Text Corporation (OTEX) is a leading global enterprise information management (EIM) company headquartered in Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. The company operates in sectors including software development, cloud services, and enterprise solutions. Open Text provides a comprehensive suite of products and services that enable businesses to manage, secure, and leverage their digital information. Core offerings include content management, business process management, customer experience management, and cybersecurity solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyOpen Text Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, subscription services, and professional services. The company's revenue model includes upfront fees for traditional on-premises software licenses and recurring revenue from cloud-based subscriptions and managed services. Open Text also earns money from maintenance and support services, ensuring ongoing customer engagement and system updates. Professional services, including consulting, implementation, and training, provide additional revenue streams. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions also play a significant role in expanding the company's market reach and product offerings, contributing to its overall earnings.

Open Text Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a company with strong cloud and financial performance, strategic capital return, and a positive outlook for fiscal 2026. However, the decline in cybersecurity revenue and negative overall growth for fiscal 2025 highlight some challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cloud Bookings and Revenue Growth
Cloud bookings surged to $238 million, a 32% year-over-year growth, and cloud revenue was $475 million, representing a 2% growth for the quarter.
Record Capital Return
OpenText allocated a record $683 million to capital return, including $272 million via dividends and $411 million in stock repurchases.
Positive Outlook for Fiscal 2026
The company expects total revenue growth of 1% to 2%, cloud growth of 3% to 4%, and free cash flow expansion of 17% to 20% for fiscal 2026.
Strong Q4 Financial Performance
Total revenues for the fourth quarter were $1.31 billion, adjusted EBITDA was $444 million with a 34% margin, and free cash flow was $687 million.
Sales Pipeline Growth
Cloud sales pipeline is up nearly 30% year-over-year, with improved conversion rates and high account executive productivity.
Negative Updates
Cybersecurity Revenue Decline
Cybersecurity cloud revenue experienced a negative 4% growth, which the company expects to return to positive growth.
Negative Overall Growth for Fiscal Year 2025
Despite strong performance in certain areas, fiscal year 2025 ended with negative growth, influenced by trade and tariff challenges and a large business divestiture.
Company Guidance
During the OpenText Corporation Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance for fiscal 2026, highlighting several key metrics. OpenText anticipates total revenue growth of 1% to 2%, with cloud revenue expected to grow between 3% to 4%. The company also aims to expand adjusted EBITDA margins by 50 to 100 basis points. Free cash flow is projected to grow by 17% to 20%. Furthermore, the company plans to raise its dividend by 5% and has announced a $30 million share repurchase program. The fiscal year is set to focus on accelerating growth through AI, cloud, and security innovations, with the company expecting to see positive contributions from its cybersecurity segment, which was previously experiencing a 4% decline. OpenText is also considering mergers and acquisitions to drive higher growth rates and optimize business performance.

Open Text Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Open Text's financial performance shows strengths in operational efficiency and cash generation, but faces challenges with revenue growth and high leverage. The company maintains solid profitability margins and cash flow ratios, crucial for sustaining operations in the competitive software industry.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Open Text's income statement reveals a mixed performance. The company has maintained a strong gross profit margin of over 70% in recent years, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has declined to 8.43% in 2025 from 11.37% in 2022, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. The revenue growth rate has turned negative in 2025, suggesting a potential slowdown in business expansion. Despite these challenges, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.69 in 2025, indicating significant leverage which could pose financial risk if not managed properly. The return on equity has been relatively stable around 11%, suggesting consistent profitability relative to shareholder investment. The equity ratio stands at 28.5%, reflecting a moderate level of equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet highlights the need for careful debt management to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates a decline in free cash flow growth, with a significant drop of 300.2% in 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, suggesting that cash generation from operations is not fully covering net income, which could impact liquidity. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 82.76%, indicating that the company is still generating substantial cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.17B5.17B5.77B4.48B3.49B3.39B
Gross Profit3.73B3.73B4.19B3.17B2.43B2.35B
EBITDA1.50B1.50B2.09B1.26B1.18B1.33B
Net Income435.87M435.87M465.09M150.38M397.09M310.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.77B13.77B14.21B17.09B10.18B9.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.16B1.16B1.28B1.23B1.69B1.61B
Total Debt6.64B6.64B6.69B9.25B4.47B3.87B
Total Liabilities9.84B9.84B10.01B13.07B6.15B5.51B
Stockholders Equity3.93B3.93B4.20B4.02B4.03B4.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow687.40M687.40M808.40M655.37M888.70M812.45M
Operating Cash Flow830.62M830.62M967.69M779.21M981.81M876.12M
Investing Cash Flow-153.51M-153.51M2.06B-5.65B-970.96M-68.77M
Financing Cash Flow-834.68M-834.68M-2.96B4.40B138.46M-924.55M

Open Text Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price53.81
Price Trends
50DMA
50.93
Positive
100DMA
45.43
Positive
200DMA
41.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.84
Positive
RSI
53.92
Neutral
STOCH
19.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OTEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 53.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.33, above the 50-day MA of 50.93, and above the 200-day MA of 41.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OTEX.

Open Text Risk Analysis

Open Text disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Open Text reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Open Text Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.12B14.9712.56%6.32%0.03%-10.21%
$13.68B23.3310.73%2.75%-7.77%-1.03%
C$5.08B146.895.93%15.81%22.17%
C$10.64B52.4410.54%15.63%18.47%
$1.00B35.2555.53%18.51%32.49%
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
C$2.22B-36.64%18.75%-386.84%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OTEX
Open Text
53.81
14.85
38.13%
TSE:DSG
The Descartes Systems Group
123.87
-24.60
-16.57%
TSE:KXS
Kinaxis Inc
169.84
3.84
2.31%
TSE:ENGH
Enghouse Systems
20.81
-8.36
-28.66%
TSE:LSPD
Lightspeed POS Inc
16.85
-3.92
-18.87%
TSE:DCBO
Docebo
35.15
-32.39
-47.96%

Open Text Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
OpenText Appoints George Schindler to Board
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, OpenText announced the appointment of George Schindler to its board of directors. Schindler, who previously served as President and CEO of CGI Inc., brings a wealth of experience in driving growth and creating shareholder value. His appointment is expected to enhance OpenText’s focus on its core Information Management for AI business, potentially strengthening its market position and offering valuable perspectives to the board.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OTEX) stock is a Buy with a C$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open Text stock, see the TSE:OTEX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Open Text Divests eDOCS Solution to NetDocuments
Positive
Oct 3, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Open Text Corporation announced a definitive agreement to divest its eDOCS on-premise solution, part of its Analytics portfolio, to NetDocuments for $163 million in cash. This strategic move aligns with OpenText’s focus on its core business of secure information management for AI, aiming to enhance shareholder value and reduce outstanding debt. The transaction, expected to close by early 2026, will integrate the software, customer contracts, associated services, and employees into NetDocuments, supporting OpenText’s capital allocation framework and future revenue growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OTEX) stock is a Hold with a C$40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open Text stock, see the TSE:OTEX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
OpenText Appoints Steve Rai as New CFO
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, OpenText announced the appointment of Steve Rai as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective October 6, 2025. Rai, who has over 30 years of experience in global finance and a strong background in the technology industry, previously served as CFO of BlackBerry Limited. His appointment is expected to drive OpenText’s next phase of growth and strategic vision, especially in the age of AI. Interim CEO James McGourley expressed confidence in Rai’s leadership and expertise, while also thanking Cosmin Balota for his interim role as CFO.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OTEX) stock is a Buy with a C$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open Text stock, see the TSE:OTEX Stock Forecast page.

OpenText Earnings Call: Cloud Growth and Future Outlook
Aug 12, 2025

OpenText Corporation’s recent earnings call painted a balanced picture of the company’s current standing and future prospects. While the call highlighted strong growth in cloud services and a promising outlook for fiscal 2026, it also acknowledged challenges such as revenue declines in fiscal year 2025, cybersecurity issues, and broader economic headwinds. This duality in sentiment reflects both optimism and caution as the company navigates its path forward.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Open Text Appoints James McGourlay as Interim CEO
Neutral
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Open Text Corporation announced a significant leadership transition with the appointment of James McGourlay as Interim CEO, following the departure of Mark J. Barrenechea. The company has also established an Executive Committee to support the transition and is actively searching for a new CEO. OpenText plans to continue exploring portfolio-shaping opportunities to enhance its core Information Management for AI business, aiming to drive long-term shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OTEX) stock is a Hold with a C$31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open Text stock, see the TSE:OTEX Stock Forecast page.

OpenText Reports Strong Cloud Growth in FY2025
Aug 9, 2025

Open Text Corporation, a leader in Information Management software and services, has released its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, highlighting a focus on cloud services, AI-driven platforms, and strategic capital allocation. The company reported $1.86 billion in cloud revenues, marking a 2.0% year-over-year growth, alongside a 5% increase in dividends and a new $300 million share repurchase program. Despite a 10.4% decline in total revenues to $5.168 billion, OpenText achieved a 32% surge in cloud bookings, driven by its AI-driven Titanium X platform, and returned a record $683 million to shareholders. The company also reported adjusted EBITDA of $1.784 billion, maintaining a margin of 34.5%, while investing in cloud, security, and AI sectors. Looking ahead, OpenText’s management is optimistic about growth opportunities in AI, cloud, and security, projecting a 3% to 4% increase in cloud revenue and a 1% to 2% rise in total revenue for fiscal 2026.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
OpenText Announces Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

OpenText Corporation announced its financial results for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, reporting total revenues of $5.168 billion, a 10.4% decrease year-over-year. Despite the decline in total revenues, the company achieved a 2.0% growth in cloud revenues and a 5% increase in dividend per share for fiscal 2026. OpenText also introduced a $300 million share repurchase program and highlighted its strategic focus on AI, cloud, and security for future growth. The company returned a record $683 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, demonstrating its commitment to shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OTEX) stock is a Hold with a C$31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Open Text stock, see the TSE:OTEX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025