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Open Text Corp. (TSE:OTEX)
TSX:OTEX
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Open Text (OTEX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OTEX

Open Text

(TSX:OTEX)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
C$48.00
▼(-4.97% Downside)
Open Text's overall stock score is driven by a positive earnings call outlook and strong technical indicators. While financial performance shows some challenges, the company's strategic initiatives in AI and cloud, along with reasonable valuation metrics, support a favorable investment case.
Positive Factors
Negative Factors

Open Text (OTEX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Open Text Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOpen Text Corporation engages in the designs, develops, markets, and sells information management software and solutions. It offers content services; business network that manages data within the organization and outside the firewall; security and protection solutions for defending against cyber threats, and preparing for business continuity and response in the event of a breach; digital investigation and forensic security solutions; OpenText security solutions to address information cyber resilience needs; Carbonite and Webroot products; and OpenText Information Management software platform. The company also provides eDiscovery platform that provides forensics and unstructured data analytics; OpenText Developer Cloud; key developer API services; AI and analytics that leverages structured or unstructured data; digital process automation solutions, which enables organizations to transform into digital data-driven businesses; and OpenText Digital Experience platform. In addition, it offers customer support programs, including access to software upgrades, a knowledge base, discussions, product information, and an online mechanism to post and review trouble tickets; and consulting and learning services relating to the implementation, training, and integration of its licensed product offerings, as well as cloud services. The company serves organizations, enterprise and mid-market companies, public sector agencies, small and medium-sized businesses, and direct consumers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It has strategic partnerships with SAP SE, Google Cloud, Amazon AWS, Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Salesforce.com Corporation, Accenture plc, ATOS, Capgemini Technology Services SAS, Cognizant Technology Solutions U.S. Corp., Deloitte Consulting LLP, and Tata Consultancy Services. Open Text Corporation was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyOpen Text Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, subscription services, and professional services. The company's revenue model includes upfront fees for traditional on-premises software licenses and recurring revenue from cloud-based subscriptions and managed services. Open Text also earns money from maintenance and support services, ensuring ongoing customer engagement and system updates. Professional services, including consulting, implementation, and training, provide additional revenue streams. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions also play a significant role in expanding the company's market reach and product offerings, contributing to its overall earnings.

Open Text Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a company with strong cloud and financial performance, strategic capital return, and a positive outlook for fiscal 2026. However, the decline in cybersecurity revenue and negative overall growth for fiscal 2025 highlight some challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cloud Bookings and Revenue Growth
Cloud bookings surged to $238 million, a 32% year-over-year growth, and cloud revenue was $475 million, representing a 2% growth for the quarter.
Record Capital Return
OpenText allocated a record $683 million to capital return, including $272 million via dividends and $411 million in stock repurchases.
Positive Outlook for Fiscal 2026
The company expects total revenue growth of 1% to 2%, cloud growth of 3% to 4%, and free cash flow expansion of 17% to 20% for fiscal 2026.
Strong Q4 Financial Performance
Total revenues for the fourth quarter were $1.31 billion, adjusted EBITDA was $444 million with a 34% margin, and free cash flow was $687 million.
Sales Pipeline Growth
Cloud sales pipeline is up nearly 30% year-over-year, with improved conversion rates and high account executive productivity.
Negative Updates
Cybersecurity Revenue Decline
Cybersecurity cloud revenue experienced a negative 4% growth, which the company expects to return to positive growth.
Negative Overall Growth for Fiscal Year 2025
Despite strong performance in certain areas, fiscal year 2025 ended with negative growth, influenced by trade and tariff challenges and a large business divestiture.
Company Guidance
During the OpenText Corporation Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance for fiscal 2026, highlighting several key metrics. OpenText anticipates total revenue growth of 1% to 2%, with cloud revenue expected to grow between 3% to 4%. The company also aims to expand adjusted EBITDA margins by 50 to 100 basis points. Free cash flow is projected to grow by 17% to 20%. Furthermore, the company plans to raise its dividend by 5% and has announced a $30 million share repurchase program. The fiscal year is set to focus on accelerating growth through AI, cloud, and security innovations, with the company expecting to see positive contributions from its cybersecurity segment, which was previously experiencing a 4% decline. OpenText is also considering mergers and acquisitions to drive higher growth rates and optimize business performance.

Open Text Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Open Text's financial performance shows strengths in operational efficiency and cash generation, but faces challenges with revenue growth and high leverage. The company maintains solid profitability margins and cash flow ratios, crucial for sustaining operations in the competitive software industry.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Open Text's income statement reveals a mixed performance. The company has maintained a strong gross profit margin of over 70% in recent years, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has declined to 8.43% in 2025 from 11.37% in 2022, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. The revenue growth rate has turned negative in 2025, suggesting a potential slowdown in business expansion. Despite these challenges, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.69 in 2025, indicating significant leverage which could pose financial risk if not managed properly. The return on equity has been relatively stable around 11%, suggesting consistent profitability relative to shareholder investment. The equity ratio stands at 28.5%, reflecting a moderate level of equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet highlights the need for careful debt management to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates a decline in free cash flow growth, with a significant drop of 300.2% in 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, suggesting that cash generation from operations is not fully covering net income, which could impact liquidity. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 82.76%, indicating that the company is still generating substantial cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.17B5.17B5.77B4.48B3.49B3.39B
Gross Profit3.73B3.73B4.19B3.17B2.43B2.35B
EBITDA1.50B1.50B2.09B1.26B1.18B1.33B
Net Income435.87M435.87M465.09M150.38M397.09M310.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.77B13.77B14.21B17.09B10.18B9.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.16B1.16B1.28B1.23B1.69B1.61B
Total Debt6.64B6.64B6.69B9.25B4.47B3.87B
Total Liabilities9.84B9.84B10.01B13.07B6.15B5.51B
Stockholders Equity3.93B3.93B4.20B4.02B4.03B4.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow687.40M687.40M808.40M655.37M888.70M812.45M
Operating Cash Flow830.62M830.62M967.69M779.21M981.81M876.12M
Investing Cash Flow-153.51M-153.51M2.06B-5.65B-970.96M-68.77M
Financing Cash Flow-834.68M-834.68M-2.96B4.40B138.46M-924.55M

Open Text Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price50.51
Price Trends
50DMA
42.87
Positive
100DMA
40.52
Positive
200DMA
39.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.22
Negative
RSI
73.60
Negative
STOCH
77.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OTEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 50.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.61, above the 50-day MA of 42.87, and above the 200-day MA of 39.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.60 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OTEX.

Open Text Risk Analysis

Open Text disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Open Text reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Open Text Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
11.81B58.289.88%15.63%18.47%
71
Outperform
1.15B15.4212.47%6.28%0.03%-10.21%
70
Outperform
5.22B150.605.61%15.81%22.17%
70
Outperform
$12.85B21.8110.73%2.93%-7.77%-1.03%
69
Neutral
1.20B42.1161.75%18.51%32.49%
52
Neutral
2.35B-2.71-44.44%18.75%-386.84%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OTEX
Open Text
50.51
7.65
17.84%
DSGX
The Descartes Systems Group
100.00
-2.54
-2.48%
TSE:KXS
Kinaxis Inc
185.13
22.33
13.72%
EGHSF
Enghouse Systems
15.30
-7.35
-32.45%
TSE:LSPD
Lightspeed POS Inc
17.40
-1.34
-7.15%
DCBO
Docebo
30.33
-16.24
-34.87%

Open Text Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
OpenText Appoints New Board Member for Strategic Growth
Positive
Nov 26, 2024

OpenText Corporation has appointed Fletcher Previn, Senior VP and CIO of Cisco Systems, to its board of directors, highlighting the company’s focus on refreshing its board with diverse skill-sets. Previn brings over 20 years of IT experience, including a significant tenure at IBM, and is expected to contribute to OpenText’s growth and modernization strategies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025