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Docebo (TSE:DCBO)
TSX:DCBO
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Docebo (DCBO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DCBO

Docebo

(TSX:DCBO)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
C$47.00
▲(9.07% Upside)
Docebo's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting strategic wins and increased guidance. Technical analysis indicates mild bullish momentum, while valuation suggests high growth expectations. Challenges such as elongated sales cycles and operational margin pressures are noted but outweighed by strategic achievements.
Positive Factors
Contract Growth
Record average contract value from new logos at $83K, up 17% YoY, and a continued increase in overall average contract value at $55K, up 7% YoY.
Government Sector Expansion
FedRAMP ATO status could allow Docebo to quickly penetrate the government sector.
Product Innovation
Key product innovations, such as AI virtual coaching and agentic AI capabilities, were extremely well received at Docebo's Inspire event.
Negative Factors
Customer Downsizing
A large customer intends to downsize in 2026, impacting future growth.
Growth Trajectory Uncertainty
Revenue growth is dropping into single-digits and significant changes throughout the c-suite imply capped upside.
Guidance Cut
Deterioration in the macro is leading to a more prudent view of the second half, resulting in a guidance cut across metrics.

Docebo (DCBO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Docebo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDocebo Inc. (DCBO) is a leading provider of cloud-based learning management systems (LMS) designed to facilitate corporate training and development. Headquartered in Toronto, Canada, Docebo offers a suite of products that enable businesses to deliver, manage, and track online learning activities. Its platform is utilized by organizations across various industries to enhance employee training, compliance, and skill development, integrating features like content creation, social learning, and analytics.
How the Company Makes MoneyDocebo generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, where businesses pay for access to its learning management system and associated services. The company offers different pricing tiers and packages based on the size and needs of the customer, which provides scalability and flexibility to its clients. Revenue is also earned through professional services such as implementation support, customization, and training, which are offered to help clients maximize the value of their learning programs. Additionally, Docebo partners with other technology providers to integrate its platform with various enterprise systems, enhancing its offerings and expanding its market reach.

Docebo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a strong performance in the mid-market segment, significant strategic wins such as FedRAMP certification and big tech expansion, and continuous innovation in AI. However, challenges remain with elongated sales cycles and a drop in multi-use case adoption. The overall sentiment leans positive due to the outweighing highlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Mid-Market Performance
Docebo reported a very strong outcome in the mid-market segment, with notable strength in technology, healthcare, and financial services sectors. This success is attributed to improved leadership and strategic focus on target verticals.
Big Tech Expansion
Docebo expanded its presence within a large tech customer, marking a significant win by moving from an in-house system to Docebo, highlighting their enterprise capabilities.
FedRAMP Certification Achieved
Docebo obtained FedRAMP certification earlier than expected, unlocking a $2.7 billion TAM across U.S. federal, state, and local agencies, with a positive pipeline outlook for 2026.
AI Innovation with Harmony
Launched Harmony, an AI-driven platform enhancing search and administrative tasks, positioning Docebo as an AI-first company and differentiating it from legacy vendors.
Guidance Increase
Revenue guidance was increased, reflecting strong performance in the mid-market segment and favorable FX impacts.
CRO Appointment
Mark's appointment as CRO is expected to improve sales velocity and efficiency, focusing on blending sales and post-sales functions for better customer outcomes.
Government Sector Growth
Winning new state contracts and seeing increased traction in the state and local government sector post-FedRAMP, with potential federal deals in the pipeline.
Negative Updates
Reduced Multi-Use Case Adoption
The percentage of new customers using Docebo for two or more use cases dropped to 65%, down from 70-80% last year, attributed to different customer purchasing behaviors in 2025.
Elongated Enterprise Sales Cycles
Continued elongated sales cycles in the enterprise space, causing challenges in deal closures.
AWS Contract Loss
Expected decline in Q4 due to the loss of AWS as a customer, impacting net retention rates.
Seasonal Weakness in ARR
Expected seasonal weakness in ARR for Q3 due to typical slower activity in EMEA during the summer months.
Company Guidance
During the Docebo Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting strong performance in the mid-market sector, despite elongated sales cycles in the enterprise space. The revenue guidance was adjusted upward, influenced by a 1% tailwind in FX on total revenues and 2% on subscription revenues. The customer count above $100,000 saw a notable acceleration, increasing by 23% compared to 16% previously. Expectations for net retention rate (NRR) improvements through the back half of the year were confirmed, with another enhancement anticipated in Q3 before a dip in Q4 due to the loss of AWS. FedRAMP and large enterprise deals remain outside the current guidance, and future contributions from the federal sector are expected to be more significant by the second half of 2026.

Docebo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Docebo demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient cost management and low leverage. The company effectively generates cash, although recent declines in cash flow growth and operational margins may warrant attention. Overall, Docebo is financially stable with a solid performance trajectory in the software application industry.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Docebo has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.45%. The company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 80.87% and a net profit margin of 9.29% in the TTM period, indicating efficient cost management. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to the previous year, suggesting potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is strong at 45.11%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive, with a high free cash flow to net income ratio of 95.24%, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -1.9% in the TTM period, suggesting a decline in cash flow generation compared to the previous year.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue230.50M216.93M180.84M142.91M104.24M62.92M
Gross Profit186.41M175.64M146.34M114.73M83.46M51.38M
EBITDA24.30M27.28M8.28M-15.71M-10.92M-6.04M
Net Income21.42M26.74M2.84M7.02M-13.60M-7.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets171.23M190.71M158.38M283.67M268.22M254.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.58M92.58M72.03M216.47M215.32M219.66M
Total Debt1.37M1.50M2.11M3.07M4.00M3.82M
Total Liabilities136.55M132.95M107.65M91.46M77.57M53.94M
Stockholders Equity34.68M57.76M50.72M192.21M190.66M200.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.91M28.00M15.33M1.21M-4.40M3.71M
Operating Cash Flow28.25M29.25M15.96M2.29M-3.25M5.16M
Investing Cash Flow-1.60M-1.50M-9.52M-2.15M-1.15M-3.90M
Financing Cash Flow-45.34M-6.84M-151.00M1.58M422.00K172.27M

Docebo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price43.09
Price Trends
50DMA
41.56
Positive
100DMA
40.27
Positive
200DMA
48.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Positive
RSI
54.80
Neutral
STOCH
74.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DCBO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 43.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.84, above the 50-day MA of 41.56, and below the 200-day MA of 48.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:DCBO.

Docebo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Neutral
$1.28B43.5955.53%18.51%32.49%
61
Neutral
$35.52B8.84-11.06%1.87%8.55%-8.14%
$8.50B20.2510.73%3.20%
$9.12B62.7410.54%
70
Outperform
C$5.37B154.605.93%15.81%22.17%
60
Neutral
C$126.54M135.041.61%16.12%
51
Neutral
C$2.22B-36.64%18.75%-386.84%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DCBO
Docebo
43.09
-11.39
-20.91%
OTEX
Open Text
33.23
2.97
9.81%
DSGX
The Descartes Systems Group
107.79
13.17
13.92%
TSE:KXS
Kinaxis Inc
190.80
46.15
31.90%
TSE:LSPD
Lightspeed POS Inc
16.84
0.50
3.06%
TSE:THNC
Thinkific Labs
1.85
-0.40
-17.78%

Docebo Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Docebo Surpasses Q2 2025 Expectations with Strategic Advances
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

Docebo reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, surpassing revenue and profitability expectations despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. The company achieved significant milestones, such as advancing its AI-first strategy, appointing a new Chief Revenue Officer, and obtaining FedRAMP Moderate Authorization to expand its public sector reach. These developments, along with notable customer wins across various industries, position Docebo for sustained growth and enhanced market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DCBO) stock is a Buy with a C$54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Docebo stock, see the TSE:DCBO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Docebo Inc. Announces Shareholder Meeting Results and Auditor Appointment
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

Docebo Inc. announced the results of its annual general meeting of shareholders, where all seven nominees for the board of directors were elected. Additionally, the appointment of KPMG LLP as auditors for the 2025 fiscal year was approved. These outcomes reinforce Docebo’s governance structure and operational stability, potentially strengthening its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DCBO) stock is a Buy with a C$54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Docebo stock, see the TSE:DCBO Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Docebo Announces Shareholder Meeting Results and Auditor Appointment
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

Docebo Inc. announced the results of its annual general meeting of shareholders, where all seven nominees for the board of directors were elected. Additionally, the appointment of KPMG LLP as the company’s auditors for the 2025 fiscal year was approved. These outcomes reflect strong shareholder support and are expected to reinforce Docebo’s strategic direction and operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DCBO) stock is a Buy with a C$54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Docebo stock, see the TSE:DCBO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025