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Docebo (TSE:DCBO)
TSX:DCBO
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Docebo (DCBO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DCBO

Docebo

(TSX:DCBO)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
C$37.00
▲(12.43% Upside)
Docebo's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including ARR growth and strategic advancements. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate the stock may be overvalued. Challenges from the Dayforce wind down and AWS contract roll-off also weigh on the outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent ARR growth reflects strong business fundamentals and execution, indicating robust demand for Docebo's LMS solutions and potential for sustained revenue expansion.
AI Monetization Strategy
The AI monetization strategy enhances product offerings and creates new revenue streams, positioning Docebo to capitalize on AI trends and increase customer engagement.
FedRAMP Success
Securing federal customers through FedRAMP certification expands Docebo's market reach into the public sector, providing a stable and potentially growing revenue source.
Negative Factors
Dayforce Wind Down
The accelerated wind down of Dayforce reduces ARR, posing a challenge to maintaining growth momentum and requiring strategic adjustments to offset revenue loss.
AWS Contract Roll-off
The loss of the AWS contract will decrease ARR, necessitating new customer acquisitions or upselling to existing clients to mitigate the financial impact.
Churn and Retention Challenges
Decreasing retention metrics could indicate customer dissatisfaction or competitive pressures, potentially affecting long-term revenue stability and requiring enhanced customer retention strategies.

Docebo (DCBO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Docebo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDocebo (DCBO) is a leading provider of cloud-based learning management system (LMS) solutions, focusing on corporate training and education. The company operates in the EdTech sector, offering a range of products designed to enhance learning experiences through innovative technology. Docebo's core services include its LMS platform, which enables organizations to deliver, track, and manage their training programs effectively, alongside features such as social learning, personalized learning paths, and analytics.
How the Company Makes MoneyDocebo generates revenue primarily through subscription-based pricing models for its LMS platform. Clients pay recurring fees based on the number of users or features they require, creating a steady revenue stream. Key revenue streams include subscription fees, professional services for implementation and customization, and additional services such as training and support. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with other technology providers that enhance its platform's capabilities, as well as from expanding its customer base across various industries, including healthcare, finance, and manufacturing, which contribute to its overall earnings.

Docebo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call indicates a balanced outlook. While there are significant achievements in ARR growth, FedRAMP success, and AI strategy, challenges such as the faster-than-expected Dayforce wind down and the AWS contract roll-off present hurdles. Overall, the positive achievements are somewhat offset by these challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Annual Recurring Revenue Growth
ARR grew by 14% year-over-year, excluding the Dayforce business. This marks the second consecutive quarter of growth, demonstrating strong business fundamentals and execution.
FedRAMP Success
Achieved two new federal customers shortly after FedRAMP listing in May, ahead of the original timeline, which was expected to start in fiscal 2026.
Enterprise Expansion
Continued increase in customers over $100,000, with notable wins like Veolia and expansion within Amazon, indicating strong enterprise and mid-market performance.
AI Monetization Strategy
Introduced an AI credit-based system for AI modules like AI Virtual Coach and AI Video Presenter, indicating potential future monetization and strengthening product offerings.
Positive EBITDA Margin
Achieved a 20% EBITDA margin, which is a significant milestone for the company.
Negative Updates
Dayforce Wind Down
The wind down of Dayforce occurred faster than expected, impacting ARR. Dayforce is expected to represent 3.5% to 4.5% of total revenues in 2026 and become immaterial thereafter.
AWS Contract Roll-off
The AWS contract is set to roll off by December 31, impacting ARR by approximately $4 million.
Churn and Retention Challenges
Expected decrease in retention metrics next quarter due to the AWS downgrade, despite two consecutive quarters of improved retention.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call, Docebo provided guidance reflecting a robust financial performance and strategic advancements. The company reported a sequential ARR increase of $2.5 million, marking a 14% year-over-year growth when excluding the Dayforce business. This growth was attributed to strong performance in the mid-market and EMEA regions, with notable enterprise wins such as Veolia and Amazon expansions. Despite an accelerated wind-down with Dayforce, Docebo maintained a positive outlook, expecting Dayforce to represent 3.5% to 4.5% of total revenues by 2026 and become immaterial by 2027. The company also highlighted early success with the FedRAMP certification, securing two federal customers ahead of schedule, and emphasized its AI strategy, introducing an AI credit-based system to monetize features like AI Virtual Coach. Overall, Docebo achieved a 20% EBITDA margin, emphasizing operational efficiency and setting a foundation for continued growth into fiscal 2026.

Docebo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Docebo demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient cost management and low leverage. The company effectively generates cash, although recent declines in cash flow growth and operational margins may warrant attention. Overall, Docebo is financially stable with a solid performance trajectory in the software application industry.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Docebo has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.45%. The company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 80.87% and a net profit margin of 9.29% in the TTM period, indicating efficient cost management. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to the previous year, suggesting potential pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is strong at 45.11%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive, with a high free cash flow to net income ratio of 95.24%, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -1.9% in the TTM period, suggesting a decline in cash flow generation compared to the previous year.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue230.50M216.93M180.84M142.91M104.24M62.92M
Gross Profit186.41M175.64M146.34M114.73M83.46M51.38M
EBITDA24.30M27.28M8.28M-15.71M-10.92M-6.04M
Net Income21.42M26.74M2.84M7.02M-13.60M-7.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets171.23M190.71M158.38M283.67M268.22M254.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.58M92.58M72.03M216.47M215.32M219.66M
Total Debt1.37M1.50M2.11M3.07M4.00M3.82M
Total Liabilities136.55M132.95M107.65M91.46M77.57M53.94M
Stockholders Equity34.68M57.76M50.72M192.21M190.66M200.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.91M28.00M15.33M1.21M-4.40M3.71M
Operating Cash Flow28.25M29.25M15.96M2.29M-3.25M5.16M
Investing Cash Flow-1.60M-1.50M-9.52M-2.15M-1.15M-3.90M
Financing Cash Flow-45.34M-6.84M-151.00M1.58M422.00K172.27M

Docebo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price32.91
Price Trends
50DMA
39.17
Negative
100DMA
39.99
Negative
200DMA
42.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.34
Positive
RSI
30.65
Neutral
STOCH
13.37
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DCBO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.75, below the 50-day MA of 39.17, and below the 200-day MA of 42.73, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:DCBO.

Docebo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
C$4.72B136.848.24%15.11%75.40%
67
Neutral
$10.38B50.1510.54%15.63%18.47%
67
Neutral
C$12.80B19.0412.32%2.76%-5.01%13.21%
65
Neutral
$1.02B34.8355.53%18.51%32.49%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
C$2.15B-2.48-37.01%17.23%-435.45%
59
Neutral
C$153.95M164.961.61%16.12%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DCBO
Docebo
32.91
-38.64
-54.00%
TSE:OTEX
Open Text
48.49
9.25
23.59%
TSE:DSG
The Descartes Systems Group
118.37
-41.61
-26.01%
TSE:KXS
Kinaxis Inc
177.95
8.67
5.12%
TSE:LSPD
Lightspeed POS Inc
18.37
-5.37
-22.62%
TSE:THNC
Thinkific Labs
2.13
-0.12
-5.33%

Docebo Corporate Events

Docebo Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Nov 8, 2025

Docebo Inc., a prominent player in the learning platform sector, leverages artificial intelligence to enhance enterprise training solutions globally. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, Docebo announced a robust financial performance, showcasing growth in revenue and profitability, driven by its AI-First platform strategy and expanding market presence. Key financial highlights include a 10% increase in subscription revenue to $58 million, representing 94% of total revenue, and a total revenue rise of 11% to $61.6 million. The company also reported a net income of $6.1 million, up from $5.0 million the previous year, and an adjusted EBITDA of $12.4 million, marking a significant improvement. Docebo’s strategic wins include securing new clients across various sectors, such as a global industrial services provider and Amazon Health, reflecting its capability to deliver scalable learning solutions. The company also strengthened its position in the government sector with new contracts, including the U.S. Department of Energy and the Department of Defense’s Air Force Cyber Academy. Looking ahead, Docebo remains committed to innovation and disciplined execution, with management projecting continued revenue growth and a focus on delivering long-term value.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Docebo’s Q3 2025 Results Highlight Strong Growth and Strategic Wins
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Docebo reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with significant growth in subscription and total revenue, reflecting the company’s successful AI-first platform strategy and expanding market presence. The company secured notable new contracts, including a global industrial services provider and the Latvian School of Public Administration, highlighting its ability to deliver scalable and modern learning solutions, thereby strengthening its position in the government and education sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DCBO) stock is a Buy with a C$35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Docebo stock, see the TSE:DCBO Stock Forecast page.

Docebo’s Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Growth and Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

The recent earnings call for Docebo, Inc. revealed a generally positive sentiment, underscored by strong performance in the mid-market sector and strategic growth initiatives. The company showcased its expansion within major tech companies and celebrated the early completion of FedRAMP certification, signaling innovation and potential for future growth. However, challenges such as lower multi-use case adoption, prolonged enterprise sales cycles, and the loss of the AWS contract were also highlighted as areas of concern.

Docebo Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 9, 2025

Docebo Inc., a prominent provider of AI-driven learning platforms, has reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showcasing its continued growth and strategic advancements in the e-learning sector. The company, known for its innovative approach to learning management, has made significant strides in expanding its market reach and enhancing its product offerings.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Docebo Surpasses Q2 2025 Expectations with Strategic Advances
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

Docebo reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, surpassing revenue and profitability expectations despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. The company achieved significant milestones, such as advancing its AI-first strategy, appointing a new Chief Revenue Officer, and obtaining FedRAMP Moderate Authorization to expand its public sector reach. These developments, along with notable customer wins across various industries, position Docebo for sustained growth and enhanced market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DCBO) stock is a Buy with a C$54.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Docebo stock, see the TSE:DCBO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025