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Docebo (TSE:DCBO)
TSX:DCBO

Docebo (DCBO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:DCBO

Docebo

(TSX:DCBO)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$27.00
▲(7.27% Upside)
Docebo's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. However, technical analysis indicates bearish trends, and valuation is moderate. Earnings call and corporate events highlight growth potential but also reveal some risks.
Positive Factors
High gross margin
Sustained gross margins above 80% reflect SaaS economics and low incremental delivery costs. This durable margin profile supports strong operating leverage, funds continued product development and sales investment, and preserves profitability as recurring revenue scales.
Low financial leverage
A low debt-to-equity profile gives the company financial flexibility to invest in growth, pursue M&A or weather downturns without material refinancing risk. Strong equity ratio and improved ROE indicate durable capital structure and room to prioritize strategic initiatives.
Recurring revenue growth (ARR)
Double-digit ARR growth, driven by mid-market and enterprise wins, demonstrates durable subscription momentum and product-market fit. Recurring revenue growth increases predictability, enhances lifetime value, and supports scalable margins and long-term cash generation.
Negative Factors
Dayforce wind-down
An accelerated wind-down reduces ARR and distracts management from core growth initiatives. Even if Dayforce becomes immaterial by 2027, the near-term revenue gap and transition costs can pressure retention, sales cadence, and guidance reliability over the next several quarters.
Contract roll-off (AWS)
Loss of a material contract highlights customer concentration and revenue volatility risks. A $4M ARR hit and expected retention headwinds show structural exposure to large clients; sustained client concentration could weaken predictability and force higher sales investment to replace lost enterprise revenue.
Weaker free cash flow conversion
A declining free cash flow to net income ratio signals potential difficulty turning accounting profits into spendable cash. Over time this can constrain reinvestment, reduce financial flexibility for acquisitions or dividends, and increase reliance on external funding if the trend continues.

Docebo (DCBO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Docebo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDocebo Inc. provides a cloud-based learning management system to train internal and external workforces, partners, and customers in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific region. Its platform helps customers to centralize learning materials from peer enterprises and learners into one learning management system (LMS) to expedite and enrich the learning process, increase productivity, and grow teams uniformly. The company's learning platform includes Docebo Learn LMS, a cloud-based learning platform; Docebo Shape, an AI-based learning content creation tool; Docebo Content that allows to unlock the industry's best-learning content; Docebo Learning Impact, a learning measurement tool; Docebo Learning Analytics that allows learning administrators to prove their learning programs are powering their business, as well as connecting learning data to business results; Docebo Connect that connects Docebo to custom tech stack and making integrations; and Docebo Flow that allows businesses to directly inject learning into the flow of work. It also provides Docebo for Salesforce, a native integration that leverages Salesforce's application programming interface and technology architecture to produce a learning experience; and Docebo Embed (OEM) that allows original equipment manufacturers to embed and re-sell Docebo as a part of their software. In addition, the company offers Docebo Mobile App Publisher product that allows companies to create and publish own branded version of Docebo Go.Learn mobile learning applications; Docebo Extended Enterprise that breeds customer education, partner enablement, and retention; and Docebo Discover, Coach & Share that enhances the learning experience to create a culture of social learning. It serves customers in the technology, media, manufacturing, consulting and professional services, and retail industries. The company was formerly known as Docebo Canada, Inc. Docebo Inc. founded in 2005 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyDocebo generates revenue primarily through subscription-based pricing models for its LMS platform. Clients pay recurring fees based on the number of users or features they require, creating a steady revenue stream. Key revenue streams include subscription fees, professional services for implementation and customization, and additional services such as training and support. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with other technology providers that enhance its platform's capabilities, as well as from expanding its customer base across various industries, including healthcare, finance, and manufacturing, which contribute to its overall earnings.

Docebo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call indicates a balanced outlook. While there are significant achievements in ARR growth, FedRAMP success, and AI strategy, challenges such as the faster-than-expected Dayforce wind down and the AWS contract roll-off present hurdles. Overall, the positive achievements are somewhat offset by these challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Annual Recurring Revenue Growth
ARR grew by 14% year-over-year, excluding the Dayforce business. This marks the second consecutive quarter of growth, demonstrating strong business fundamentals and execution.
FedRAMP Success
Achieved two new federal customers shortly after FedRAMP listing in May, ahead of the original timeline, which was expected to start in fiscal 2026.
Enterprise Expansion
Continued increase in customers over $100,000, with notable wins like Veolia and expansion within Amazon, indicating strong enterprise and mid-market performance.
AI Monetization Strategy
Introduced an AI credit-based system for AI modules like AI Virtual Coach and AI Video Presenter, indicating potential future monetization and strengthening product offerings.
Positive EBITDA Margin
Achieved a 20% EBITDA margin, which is a significant milestone for the company.
Negative Updates
Dayforce Wind Down
The wind down of Dayforce occurred faster than expected, impacting ARR. Dayforce is expected to represent 3.5% to 4.5% of total revenues in 2026 and become immaterial thereafter.
AWS Contract Roll-off
The AWS contract is set to roll off by December 31, impacting ARR by approximately $4 million.
Churn and Retention Challenges
Expected decrease in retention metrics next quarter due to the AWS downgrade, despite two consecutive quarters of improved retention.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call, Docebo provided guidance reflecting a robust financial performance and strategic advancements. The company reported a sequential ARR increase of $2.5 million, marking a 14% year-over-year growth when excluding the Dayforce business. This growth was attributed to strong performance in the mid-market and EMEA regions, with notable enterprise wins such as Veolia and Amazon expansions. Despite an accelerated wind-down with Dayforce, Docebo maintained a positive outlook, expecting Dayforce to represent 3.5% to 4.5% of total revenues by 2026 and become immaterial by 2027. The company also highlighted early success with the FedRAMP certification, securing two federal customers ahead of schedule, and emphasized its AI strategy, introducing an AI credit-based system to monetize features like AI Virtual Coach. Overall, Docebo achieved a 20% EBITDA margin, emphasizing operational efficiency and setting a foundation for continued growth into fiscal 2026.

Docebo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Docebo's financial performance is strong, with a high gross profit margin and improved net profit margin. Revenue growth is steady, though slightly slowed recently. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, and cash flows are positive, despite some challenges in cash conversion.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Docebo's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin consistently above 80%, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin has improved significantly over the years, turning positive in recent periods, which is a positive sign of profitability. Revenue growth has been steady, although it has slowed down in the most recent TTM period. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting low financial leverage and risk. Return on equity has improved, indicating better utilization of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is healthy, showing a solid capital structure. However, the decrease in stockholders' equity over time could be a concern if it continues.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend in free cash flow growth, which is a good indicator of financial health. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable, suggesting efficient cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has slightly decreased, indicating potential challenges in converting income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue236.01M216.93M180.84M142.91M104.24M62.92M
Gross Profit189.65M175.64M146.34M114.73M83.46M51.38M
EBITDA27.03M27.28M8.28M-15.71M-10.92M-6.04M
Net Income22.50M26.74M2.84M7.02M-13.60M-7.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets173.23M190.71M158.38M283.67M268.22M254.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments66.13M92.58M72.03M216.47M215.32M219.66M
Total Debt2.90M1.50M2.11M3.07M4.00M3.82M
Total Liabilities127.99M132.95M107.65M91.46M77.57M53.94M
Stockholders Equity45.24M57.76M50.72M192.21M190.66M200.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.11M28.00M15.33M1.21M-4.40M3.71M
Operating Cash Flow29.21M29.25M15.96M2.29M-3.25M5.16M
Investing Cash Flow-1.96M-1.50M-9.52M-2.15M-1.15M-3.90M
Financing Cash Flow-44.08M-6.84M-151.00M1.58M422.00K172.27M

Docebo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.17
Price Trends
50DMA
29.21
Negative
100DMA
33.67
Negative
200DMA
36.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.43
Positive
RSI
24.79
Positive
STOCH
12.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DCBO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.15, below the 50-day MA of 29.21, and below the 200-day MA of 36.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.79 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:DCBO.

Docebo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$9.73B14.4712.32%3.27%-5.01%13.21%
69
Neutral
C$1.01B13.8012.20%5.69%-0.72%-9.27%
65
Neutral
C$134.68M350.000.65%14.05%-62.16%
63
Neutral
C$731.30M23.7949.99%16.25%31.71%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
41
Neutral
C$33.24M-7.17-59.22%83.08%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DCBO
Docebo
25.17
-35.63
-58.60%
TSE:OTEX
Open Text
37.10
-4.15
-10.06%
TSE:MVY.H
Moovly Media
0.01
0.00
0.00%
TSE:ENGH
Enghouse Systems
18.69
-7.59
-28.88%
TSE:NTAR
NexTech AR Solutions
0.16
0.11
220.00%
TSE:THNC
Thinkific Labs
1.96
-0.52
-20.97%

Docebo Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Docebo Buys 365Talents to Fuse Skills Intelligence With AI Learning Platform
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

Docebo has acquired French skills intelligence specialist 365Talents in a cash deal valued at about US$54.6 million, with up to US$5.1 million in additional earn-out consideration, as it seeks to fuse AI-driven skills mapping with its enterprise learning platform. By maintaining the 365Talents brand and leadership while progressively integrating their platforms, Docebo aims to create an AI-native layer that links skills detection, personalized learning and workforce decisions in real time, enabling large enterprise customers to move from skills insights to action, close the loop between training and measurable outcomes, and potentially strengthen Docebo’s competitive position in the fast-growing market for AI-enabled workforce readiness solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DCBO) stock is a Buy with a C$35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Docebo stock, see the TSE:DCBO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Docebo’s Q3 2025 Results Highlight Strong Growth and Strategic Wins
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Docebo reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with significant growth in subscription and total revenue, reflecting the company’s successful AI-first platform strategy and expanding market presence. The company secured notable new contracts, including a global industrial services provider and the Latvian School of Public Administration, highlighting its ability to deliver scalable and modern learning solutions, thereby strengthening its position in the government and education sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:DCBO) stock is a Buy with a C$35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Docebo stock, see the TSE:DCBO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025