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Kinaxis Inc. J (TSE:KXS)
TSX:KXS

Kinaxis Inc (KXS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:KXS

Kinaxis Inc

(TSX:KXS)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
C$202.00
▲(14.20% Upside)
Kinaxis Inc's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of the stock score. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic initiatives in AI and SaaS position it well for future growth. However, the high valuation and neutral technical indicators slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The strong growth in ARR and SaaS revenue indicates robust demand for Kinaxis' offerings, supporting long-term revenue expansion and market leadership.
New Partnerships
The strategic partnership with Workday can expand Kinaxis' market reach and product capabilities, driving future growth and competitive advantage.
AI Product Launch
The introduction of AI-driven Maestro agents positions Kinaxis to leverage AI for improved customer solutions, potentially increasing market share and revenue.
Negative Factors
Professional Services Margin Pressure
Declining margins in professional services could impact profitability, suggesting a need for strategic adjustments to maintain financial health.
Subscription Term License Revenue Challenges
The transition from on-premise to SaaS models affects revenue streams, requiring careful management to ensure stable growth during the shift.
Net Profit Margin
A relatively low net profit margin indicates potential inefficiencies, highlighting the need for operational improvements to enhance profitability.

Kinaxis Inc (KXS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Kinaxis Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKinaxis Inc. provides cloud-based subscription software for supply chain operations in the United States, Japan, Hong Kong, The Netherlands, South Korea, the United Kingdom, Singapore, France, Ireland, Germany, India, and Canada. It offers Kinaxis, a cloud-based software-as-a-service platform, which provides advanced planning, sales and operations planning, supply and demand planning, inventory management, and command and control center services. The company also provides professional services, including business transformation, implementation, and continuous learning services; and support services. It serves technology and electronics, aerospace and defense, life sciences and pharmaceuticals, industrial, automotive, consumer products, and retail markets. The company was formerly known as webPLAN Inc. and changed its name to Kinaxis Inc. in May 2005. Kinaxis Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyKinaxis generates revenue primarily through subscriptions to its cloud-based software solutions, particularly the RapidResponse platform. The company employs a recurring revenue model, where customers pay for ongoing access to software services, maintenance, and support, typically on an annual basis. Additionally, Kinaxis earns revenue from professional services, including implementation, consulting, and training, which help clients maximize the value of their software investments. Strategic partnerships with key players in the technology and supply chain sectors further enhance its offerings and market presence, contributing to its overall earnings.

Kinaxis Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call showcased strong performance across key metrics with significant new customer wins and successful product launches, particularly in the AI space, leading to an increase in financial guidance. However, there were some challenges in professional services margins and subscription term license revenue, but these were outweighed by the positive developments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record New Business Bookings
The company booked the most new business for Q3, doubling the amount from a year ago, marking the second highest total ever next to the fourth quarter of 2024.
ARR and SaaS Revenue Growth
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth accelerated to 17%, and SaaS revenue grew by 17%, reflecting strong product leadership and market demand.
Adjusted EBITDA Achievement
Adjusted EBITDA hit record levels with a margin of 25%, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of Rule of 40 performance.
Strong New Customer Wins
Notable new enterprise customers include Renault, Repsol, Seiko Epson, and FasterPak, expanding Kinaxis' reach across vertical markets and geographies.
AI and Maestro Agents Launch
Launch of Maestro agents as a new revenue stream, enhancing customer outcomes with AI, and reported significant productivity gains for customers.
Guidance Increase
Raised fiscal 2025 SaaS revenue guidance for the second consecutive quarter alongside an increased full-year adjusted EBITDA margin outlook.
Negative Updates
Professional Services Margin Pressure
Professional services revenue only grew by 4% with gross margin dropping to 24% from 32% due to competitive pricing in the market.
Challenges in Subscription Term License Revenue
Shift of certain on-premise customers to SaaS has resulted in a reduction in subscription term license revenue, impacting total revenue growth by approximately 2 percentage points.
Company Guidance
During the Kinaxis Inc. Fiscal 2025 Third Quarter Results Conference Call, key financial performance metrics were highlighted, showcasing a strong quarter with significant growth. The company reported a 17% increase in annual recurring revenue (ARR) and SaaS revenue, both up 17%, marking a substantial acceleration from previous quarters. Adjusted EBITDA hit record levels with a margin of 25%, contributing to a fifth consecutive quarter of Rule of 40 performance. Total revenue reached $134.6 million, up 11% compared to the same quarter last year. The company also noted a transition of some customers from subscription term license revenue to SaaS, impacting total revenue growth by approximately 2 percentage points. Additionally, Kinaxis announced a new partnership with Workday to enhance supply chain orchestration and the general availability of its Maestro agents, which are expected to drive a new revenue stream. The company raised its full-year SaaS revenue guidance to 15–17% growth, reflecting strong market demand and execution.

Kinaxis Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kinaxis Inc exhibits solid financial health with consistent revenue growth, strong gross margins, and effective cash flow management. While profitability margins are improving, there is room for further enhancement. The company's low leverage and strong equity position provide a stable financial foundation, positioning it well for future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Kinaxis Inc has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.65%. The gross profit margin remains strong at 62.07% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 1.97% for TTM, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved over the years, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12 in TTM, indicating low financial leverage. The return on equity has improved to 2.39% in TTM, showing better utilization of equity. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a solid capital structure, although there is potential for enhancing returns.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Kinaxis Inc has demonstrated strong cash flow management with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 9.29% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.45, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.94, suggesting effective conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue578.51M483.11M426.97M366.89M250.73M224.19M
Gross Profit360.14M294.58M258.90M235.79M163.97M154.06M
EBITDA83.74M25.76M28.75M44.83M5.82M31.85M
Net Income41.24M56.00K10.06M20.08M-1.17M13.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets999.30M684.93M687.00M654.63M515.37M427.55M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments465.24M298.32M290.85M228.04M231.19M212.71M
Total Debt68.17M48.91M51.42M57.53M55.23M16.59M
Total Liabilities377.29M289.65M235.45M249.27M197.18M146.36M
Stockholders Equity622.01M395.28M451.56M405.37M318.20M281.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow117.11M90.15M78.31M6.08M16.03M47.31M
Operating Cash Flow124.61M94.45M80.64M23.79M49.30M62.49M
Investing Cash Flow-103.38M-12.97M-68.40M-72.76M-34.05M-80.13M
Financing Cash Flow-70.01M-79.67M-12.23M26.04M5.75M17.48M

Kinaxis Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price176.88
Price Trends
50DMA
175.53
Positive
100DMA
182.39
Negative
200DMA
184.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
52.90
Neutral
STOCH
80.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:KXS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 176.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 175.73, above the 50-day MA of 175.53, and below the 200-day MA of 184.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:KXS.

Kinaxis Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$10.58B49.1010.70%14.55%15.55%
78
Outperform
C$4.95B101.468.24%15.11%75.40%
72
Outperform
C$11.72B17.1212.32%3.27%-5.01%13.21%
69
Neutral
C$1.13B15.2712.20%5.62%-0.72%-9.27%
66
Neutral
C$6.90B51.2714.07%21.17%
63
Neutral
C$876.41M28.7849.99%16.25%31.71%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:KXS
Kinaxis Inc
174.92
-3.69
-2.07%
TSE:OTEX
Open Text
45.66
6.72
17.27%
TSE:DSG
The Descartes Systems Group
123.06
-43.65
-26.18%
TSE:ENGH
Enghouse Systems
20.40
-5.59
-21.51%
TSE:DCBO
Docebo
30.44
-36.24
-54.35%
TSE:LMN
Lumine Group Inc
27.51
-14.61
-34.69%

Kinaxis Inc Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Kinaxis Inc. Initiates Share Buyback Program to Boost Shareholder Value
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Kinaxis Inc. has announced its intention to initiate a normal course issuer bid, allowing the company to repurchase up to 5% of its outstanding shares over the next year. This move, approved by the Toronto Stock Exchange, is aimed at enhancing shareholder value by potentially increasing equity interest for remaining shareholders through share cancellation, reflecting the company’s confidence in its underlying business value.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kinaxis Inc. Reports Record Q3 2025 Results with Strong SaaS and ARR Growth
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Kinaxis Inc. reported a strong third quarter for 2025, with significant growth in SaaS revenue and Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), both increasing by 17%. The company launched its initial Maestro Agents, which are expected to create a new revenue stream and improve customer outcomes. A notable early adopter, a top-10 global pharmaceutical company, has already seen a tenfold increase in planner productivity. The company’s financial performance and strategic initiatives position it well for continued growth and leadership in the supply chain sector.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kinaxis Inc. Reports Record Q3 2025 Results and Launches New AI Solutions
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Kinaxis Inc. reported a strong third quarter for 2025, with a 17% increase in SaaS revenue and Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR). The company launched its initial Maestro Agents, creating a new revenue stream and enhancing customer outcomes. This development, along with record Adjusted EBITDA and a robust AI product pipeline, positions Kinaxis well for future growth and strengthens its market leadership in the supply chain industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025