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Kinaxis Inc. J (TSE:KXS)
TSX:KXS
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Kinaxis Inc (KXS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:KXS

Kinaxis Inc

(TSX:KXS)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
C$200.00
▲(12.01% Upside)
Kinaxis Inc's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, particularly around SaaS growth and AI strategy. However, the high P/E ratio and technical indicators suggest caution, as the stock may be overvalued and lacks bullish momentum.
Positive Factors
SaaS Revenue Growth
The robust growth in SaaS revenue underscores Kinaxis's strong market position and the increasing adoption of its cloud-based solutions, which is crucial for long-term revenue stability and expansion.
AI Integration Strategy
The strategic focus on AI and partnerships like Databricks enhances Kinaxis's competitive edge by improving its platform capabilities, positioning it well for future technological advancements and customer demand.
Financial Health
Kinaxis's strong balance sheet with low leverage provides financial stability and flexibility, enabling the company to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Professional Services Challenges
The slow growth in professional services and declining margins indicate potential challenges in this segment, which could affect overall profitability if not addressed.
Pressure on Professional Services Margins
The declining margins in professional services suggest increased competition and pricing pressure, which may impact the company's ability to maintain profitability in this area.
Low Net Profit Margin
The low net profit margin indicates that while revenue is growing, the company faces challenges in converting sales into bottom-line profits, which could affect long-term financial performance.

Kinaxis Inc (KXS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Kinaxis Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKinaxis Inc. (KXS) is a Canadian technology company specializing in supply chain management and sales and operations planning solutions. The company operates primarily in the software sector, offering a cloud-based platform known as RapidResponse, which provides real-time analytics, planning, and collaboration capabilities to help businesses optimize their supply chain processes. Kinaxis serves various industries, including automotive, aerospace and defense, high-tech, and consumer products, focusing on enhancing operational efficiency and responsiveness in a rapidly changing market environment.
How the Company Makes MoneyKinaxis generates revenue primarily through subscriptions to its cloud-based software solutions, particularly the RapidResponse platform. The company employs a recurring revenue model, where customers pay for ongoing access to software services, maintenance, and support, typically on an annual basis. Additionally, Kinaxis earns revenue from professional services, including implementation, consulting, and training, which help clients maximize the value of their software investments. Strategic partnerships with key players in the technology and supply chain sectors further enhance its offerings and market presence, contributing to its overall earnings.

Kinaxis Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in SaaS revenue and new business acquisitions, alongside a significant increase in profitability. Despite some challenges in the professional services segment, the overall performance and strategic initiatives, especially around AI, indicate a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking New Business Wins
The highest amount of new business ever won for a Q2, and the second highest outside of a fourth quarter. ARR grew 15% as reported, and 13% in constant currency.
Strong SaaS Revenue Growth
SaaS revenue increased by 17%, or 14% in constant currency.
Exceptional Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 25%, contributing to the fourth consecutive quarter of Rule of 40 performance. Profit increased by 437% to $18.4 million.
Expansion in Customer Base
Several new enterprise customers added, including Lactalis, McKee Foods, and SEKO Logistics.
Positive Outlook on AI Integration
Ongoing demand for newer planning solutions and AI capabilities, with plans to partner with Databricks for a new supply chain data fabric.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Professional Services
Professional services revenue grew only 2%, with lower-than-expected billable rates due to a competitive environment and a shift towards partner-led delivery.
Pressure on Professional Services Margins
Professional services gross margin declined from 27% to 23% due to market conditions.
Company Guidance
In the Kinaxis Inc. fiscal 2025 second quarter earnings call, the company reported impressive growth metrics and provided updated guidance. Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) increased by 15% to $391 million, while SaaS revenue grew by 17% to $88.4 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin reached a record 25%, supporting the company's fourth consecutive quarter of Rule of 40 performance. The company also raised its fiscal 2025 guidance for SaaS revenue growth to 13-15%. Strong new business wins and expansion of existing accounts contributed significantly, with half of ARR additions coming from expansions. The company emphasized its AI-first strategy and partnerships, such as with Databricks, to enhance its supply chain platform and drive future growth. The outlook remains positive with strategic investments in AI and data integration expected to bolster long-term performance.

Kinaxis Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kinaxis Inc exhibits solid financial health with consistent revenue growth, strong gross margins, and effective cash flow management. While profitability margins are improving, there is room for further enhancement. The company's low leverage and strong equity position provide a stable financial foundation, positioning it well for future growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kinaxis Inc has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.65%. The gross profit margin remains strong at 62.07% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 1.97% for TTM, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved over the years, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12 in TTM, indicating low financial leverage. The return on equity has improved to 2.39% in TTM, showing better utilization of equity. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a solid capital structure, although there is potential for enhancing returns.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Kinaxis Inc has demonstrated strong cash flow management with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 9.29% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 0.45, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.94, suggesting effective conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue514.67M483.11M426.97M366.89M250.73M224.19M
Gross Profit325.54M294.58M258.90M235.79M163.97M154.06M
EBITDA56.07M25.76M28.75M44.83M5.82M31.85M
Net Income24.79M56.00K10.06M20.08M-1.17M13.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets702.84M684.93M687.00M654.63M515.37M427.55M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments328.69M298.32M290.85M228.04M231.19M212.71M
Total Debt50.84M48.91M51.42M57.53M55.23M16.59M
Total Liabilities262.26M289.65M235.45M249.27M197.18M146.36M
Stockholders Equity440.58M395.28M451.56M405.37M318.20M281.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow102.06M90.15M78.31M6.08M16.03M47.31M
Operating Cash Flow108.72M94.45M80.64M23.79M49.30M62.49M
Investing Cash Flow-74.55M-12.97M-68.40M-72.76M-34.05M-80.13M
Financing Cash Flow-54.81M-79.67M-12.23M26.04M5.75M17.48M

Kinaxis Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price178.56
Price Trends
50DMA
186.45
Negative
100DMA
193.51
Negative
200DMA
182.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.74
Positive
RSI
40.03
Neutral
STOCH
23.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:KXS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 178.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 181.01, below the 50-day MA of 186.45, and below the 200-day MA of 182.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.74 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:KXS.

Kinaxis Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$11.72B57.4110.54%15.63%18.47%
71
Outperform
C$1.14B15.2212.56%6.36%0.03%-10.21%
70
Neutral
$13.96B23.8010.73%2.70%-7.77%-1.03%
69
Neutral
C$5.08B146.895.93%15.81%22.17%
68
Neutral
C$1.09B38.2655.53%18.51%32.49%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
51
Neutral
C$2.22B-36.64%18.75%-386.84%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:KXS
Kinaxis Inc
178.56
19.28
12.10%
TSE:OTEX
Open Text
54.78
10.27
23.07%
TSE:DSG
The Descartes Systems Group
135.61
-9.29
-6.41%
TSE:ENGH
Enghouse Systems
20.66
-9.26
-30.94%
TSE:LSPD
Lightspeed POS Inc
16.50
-4.37
-20.94%
TSE:DCBO
Docebo
37.84
-25.88
-40.62%

Kinaxis Inc Corporate Events

Kinaxis Earnings Call: Strong Growth and AI Optimism
Aug 13, 2025

Kinaxis Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth and Optimism

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kinaxis Inc. Reports Record Q2 2025 Results with Strong SaaS Growth
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Kinaxis Inc. reported a strong second quarter for 2025, with a 17% increase in SaaS revenue and a record adjusted EBITDA margin of 25%. The company achieved its fourth consecutive Rule of 40 quarter, driven by new business wins and expansion orders. Kinaxis is also seeing early adoption of its new AI capabilities, which are expected to transform supply chain operations and enhance customer value. The company’s annual recurring revenue grew by 15%, and it has raised its SaaS growth guidance for the year, reflecting strong business momentum and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KXS) stock is a Hold with a C$175.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinaxis Inc stock, see the TSE:KXS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 12, 2025