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Kinaxis (TSE:KXS)
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Kinaxis Inc (KXS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:KXS

Kinaxis Inc

(TSX:KXS)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
C$216.00
▲(11.00% Upside)
Kinaxis Inc's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, highlighting growth in SaaS revenue and profitability. However, technical indicators suggest short-term bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The company's strategic focus on AI and data integration supports a positive long-term outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
KXS had a record quarter of new ARR bookings—representing a strong recovery from weakness in Q3/24—helped in part by a growing mix of expansion deals.
Market Position
Kinaxis continues to benefit from a strong competitive position, and recent management changes haven't generally been a source of concern for customer prospects.
Valuation
Analyst views valuation as attractive, and believes the uncertainty pertaining to the CEO transition is adequately priced in.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
The Street is slightly high on FY2025 SaaS revenue given FX headwinds, a spending environment that remains subdued, and the potential impact that recent management changes may have had on Q4 bookings.
Revenue Estimates
Consensus FY2025 estimates are considered too high, with expectations 2% below consensus on FY2025 SaaS revenue and total revenue, and 6% below on EBITDA.

Kinaxis Inc (KXS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Kinaxis Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKinaxis Inc. is a Canadian-based company that operates in the software and information technology sector, specializing in supply chain management solutions. The company offers a cloud-based platform known as RapidResponse, which provides an integrated suite of applications designed to enhance supply chain operations, including planning, monitoring, and responding to changes in real-time. Kinaxis serves a diverse range of industries, including automotive, consumer products, high-tech, aerospace, and pharmaceuticals, helping businesses optimize their supply chains for better efficiency and agility.
How the Company Makes MoneyKinaxis Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of subscriptions to its RapidResponse platform, which operates on a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model. Customers subscribe to the platform to access its suite of supply chain management tools, with pricing typically based on the number of users or the extent of services required. This recurring revenue model ensures a steady stream of income. Additionally, Kinaxis may generate revenue through professional services, which include consulting, implementation, and training services to assist clients in integrating and optimizing the use of its software. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with global consulting firms and technology partners, which can lead to increased visibility and market reach, further driving sales and adoption of its solutions.

Kinaxis Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.25%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in SaaS revenue and new business acquisitions, alongside a significant increase in profitability. Despite some challenges in the professional services segment, the overall performance and strategic initiatives, especially around AI, indicate a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking New Business Wins
The highest amount of new business ever won for a Q2, and the second highest outside of a fourth quarter. ARR grew 15% as reported, and 13% in constant currency.
Strong SaaS Revenue Growth
SaaS revenue increased by 17%, or 14% in constant currency.
Exceptional Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 25%, contributing to the fourth consecutive quarter of Rule of 40 performance. Profit increased by 437% to $18.4 million.
Expansion in Customer Base
Several new enterprise customers added, including Lactalis, McKee Foods, and SEKO Logistics.
Positive Outlook on AI Integration
Ongoing demand for newer planning solutions and AI capabilities, with plans to partner with Databricks for a new supply chain data fabric.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Professional Services
Professional services revenue grew only 2%, with lower-than-expected billable rates due to a competitive environment and a shift towards partner-led delivery.
Pressure on Professional Services Margins
Professional services gross margin declined from 27% to 23% due to market conditions.
Company Guidance
In the Kinaxis Inc. fiscal 2025 second quarter earnings call, the company reported impressive growth metrics and provided updated guidance. Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) increased by 15% to $391 million, while SaaS revenue grew by 17% to $88.4 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin reached a record 25%, supporting the company's fourth consecutive quarter of Rule of 40 performance. The company also raised its fiscal 2025 guidance for SaaS revenue growth to 13-15%. Strong new business wins and expansion of existing accounts contributed significantly, with half of ARR additions coming from expansions. The company emphasized its AI-first strategy and partnerships, such as with Databricks, to enhance its supply chain platform and drive future growth. The outlook remains positive with strategic investments in AI and data integration expected to bolster long-term performance.

Kinaxis Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kinaxis Inc shows strong financial health with consistent revenue and margin improvements. The income statement reflects robust revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet is solid with a healthy equity ratio and manageable debt levels. Cash flow management is strong, with significant free cash flow growth, indicating effective capital management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Kinaxis Inc demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, most notably a recent TTM increase to CAD 496.5M from CAD 483.1M annually. Gross profit margin remains robust at 62.07% TTM, indicating effective cost management. Net profit margin improved to 1.97% TTM from 0.01% annually, signifying enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also showed improvements, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
77
Positive
The balance sheet of Kinaxis Inc is solid, with a healthy equity ratio of 60.11% TTM, ensuring stability and less reliance on debt. However, the debt-to-equity ratio slightly increased to 0.12 TTM, which remains low but indicates a small rise in leverage. Return on equity improved to 2.38% TTM, showing better utilization of equity compared to the previous period.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Kinaxis Inc exhibits strong cash flow management, with operating cash flow covering net income well, reflected in a ratio of 10.1 TTM. Free cash flow remains robust at CAD 92.94M TTM, growing by 34.6% from the previous year. This indicates effective capital expenditure control and strong cash generation capability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue514.67M483.11M426.97M366.89M250.73M224.19M
Gross Profit325.54M294.58M258.90M235.79M163.97M154.06M
EBITDA63.94M37.67M40.39M50.66M22.89M36.53M
Net Income24.79M56.00K10.06M20.08M-1.17M13.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets704.33M685.34M691.98M648.27M520.27M428.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments329.39M298.50M292.96M225.82M233.39M213.14M
Total Debt50.95M48.94M51.79M56.97M55.76M16.62M
Total Liabilities262.82M289.82M237.15M246.84M199.05M146.65M
Stockholders Equity441.51M395.51M454.83M401.43M321.22M281.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow101.58M94.70M77.06M6.27M16.30M45.03M
Operating Cash Flow108.28M99.21M79.36M24.52M50.14M59.47M
Investing Cash Flow-76.61M-13.62M-67.31M-74.99M-34.63M-76.26M
Financing Cash Flow-53.84M-83.69M-12.04M26.84M5.85M16.64M

Kinaxis Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price194.59
Price Trends
50DMA
200.35
Negative
100DMA
192.75
Positive
200DMA
181.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.61
Positive
RSI
42.61
Neutral
STOCH
12.92
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:KXS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 194.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 199.90, below the 50-day MA of 200.35, and above the 200-day MA of 181.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.92 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:KXS.

Kinaxis Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
C$5.50B158.425.93%15.81%22.17%
70
Outperform
$1.23B15.7713.26%5.77%5.12%-2.77%
70
Outperform
$11.29B19.2510.73%3.23%-7.77%-1.03%
70
Neutral
$1.26B43.4555.53%18.51%32.49%
66
Neutral
$11.75B58.9110.66%17.42%22.81%
63
Neutral
€2.33B20.874.56%2.67%5.30%-63.21%
53
Neutral
C$2.20B-36.64%18.75%-386.84%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:KXS
Kinaxis Inc
194.59
43.39
28.70%
TSE:ENGH
Enghouse Systems
22.78
-5.97
-20.76%
TSE:DSG
The Descartes Systems Group
140.22
5.63
4.18%
TSE:OTEX
Open Text
45.15
2.67
6.30%
TSE:DCBO
Docebo
42.97
-16.68
-27.96%
TSE:LSPD
Lightspeed POS Inc
16.93
-0.93
-5.21%

Kinaxis Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kinaxis Inc. Reports Record Q2 2025 Results with Strong SaaS Growth
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Kinaxis Inc. reported a strong second quarter for 2025, with a 17% increase in SaaS revenue and a record adjusted EBITDA margin of 25%. The company achieved its fourth consecutive Rule of 40 quarter, driven by new business wins and expansion orders. Kinaxis is also seeing early adoption of its new AI capabilities, which are expected to transform supply chain operations and enhance customer value. The company’s annual recurring revenue grew by 15%, and it has raised its SaaS growth guidance for the year, reflecting strong business momentum and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KXS) stock is a Hold with a C$175.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinaxis Inc stock, see the TSE:KXS Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kinaxis Secures Shareholder Approval for Key Resolutions at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

Kinaxis Inc. announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual Meeting of Shareholders were approved, including the election of seven directors, the appointment of KPMG LLP as auditors, and an advisory vote on executive compensation. This approval reflects strong shareholder support for the company’s governance and strategic direction, reinforcing its position as a leader in supply chain orchestration.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:KXS) stock is a Hold with a C$154.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinaxis Inc stock, see the TSE:KXS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025