Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce (TSE:CM)
TSX:CM
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Canadian Bank of Commerce (CM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CM

Canadian Bank of Commerce

(TSX:CM)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$136.00
â–²(11.58% Upside)
The Canadian Bank of Commerce's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a robust earnings call, highlighting significant growth and strategic advancements. While technical indicators suggest the stock is overbought, the reasonable valuation and attractive dividend yield provide a balanced investment opportunity. Attention to leverage and credit loss provisions is advised.
Positive Factors
Digital and AI Innovations
The bank's focus on digital and AI innovations enhances customer experience and operational efficiency, positioning it strongly in the evolving financial services landscape.
Capital Markets Growth
Strong growth in capital markets indicates effective strategic positioning and capability in capturing market opportunities, contributing to diversified revenue streams.
Robust Capital Position
A strong capital position with a solid CET1 ratio ensures financial stability and flexibility, supporting future growth initiatives and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Increased Provisions for Credit Losses
Rising credit loss provisions reflect potential risk exposure in the loan portfolio, which could impact profitability if economic conditions worsen.
U.S. Commercial Real Estate Challenges
Challenges in U.S. commercial real estate could limit growth and profitability in this segment, requiring strategic adjustments to mitigate risks.
Mortgage Delinquency Increase
Rising mortgage delinquencies, especially in key regions, may signal underlying economic stress, potentially affecting the bank's credit quality and risk profile.

Canadian Bank of Commerce (CM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Canadian Bank of Commerce Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Canadian Bank of Commerce (CM) is a leading financial institution in Canada, providing a wide range of banking and financial services to individuals, businesses, and institutions. Operating primarily in the retail and commercial banking sectors, CM offers products such as personal and business banking accounts, loans, mortgages, investment services, and wealth management solutions. The bank is committed to delivering customer-centric services and leveraging technology to enhance customer experience.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Canadian Bank of Commerce generates revenue through various key streams, primarily focusing on net interest income from loans and deposits. The bank earns interest from loans provided to customers, which is typically higher than the interest it pays on deposits, creating a profit margin. Additionally, CM generates fee-based income from services such as account maintenance fees, transaction fees, and advisory services. Investment income from wealth management and investment products also contributes to the bank's revenue. Significant partnerships with financial technology firms allow CM to innovate and enhance its service offerings, further boosting its earnings potential.

Canadian Bank of Commerce Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
CIBC reported a strong quarter with significant growth in net income, robust capital position, and positive operating leverage. The bank's digital and AI advancements were highlighted as key achievements. However, increased provisions for credit losses and challenges in the U.S. commercial real estate sector were notable concerns. Mortgage delinquency rates also showed some increase, particularly in stress-prone regions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
CIBC delivered net income of $2.1 billion, up 11% from the prior year, and earnings per share of $2.16, up 12%. Pre-provision, pre-tax earnings also increased by 12%.
Robust Capital Position
The bank ended the quarter with a CET1 ratio of 13.4%, while repurchasing 5.5 million common shares. Announced intention to launch another normal course issuer bid for 2% of outstanding common shares.
Positive Operating Leverage
CIBC achieved its 8th consecutive quarter of positive operating leverage, aided by broad-based growth and healthy margin expansion.
Digital and AI Innovations
CIBC's digital banking capabilities were recognized with the highest ranking in customer satisfaction in the J.D. Power study. Their AI-powered voice assistant won the 2025 Digital CX Award for Best Use of AI for Customer Experience.
Capital Markets Growth
CIBC Capital Markets reported a 43% increase in net income year-over-year, driven by higher underwriting, advisory activity, and global markets revenues.
Negative Updates
Increased Provisions for Credit Losses
Total provision for credit losses was up 16% from a year ago, with impaired PCLs at 33 basis points. This is due to an evolving economic environment.
U.S. Commercial Real Estate Challenges
Continued execution of a strategy to move away from certain commercial real estate elements, leading to slightly higher payoff activity and reduced utilization rates.
Mortgage Delinquency Increase
90-plus day delinquencies in the mortgage portfolio showed a moderate increase, with GVA and GTA regions exhibiting more stress.
Company Guidance
During the CIBC Q3 2025 earnings call, the bank reported robust financial results with key metrics indicating strong performance. CIBC achieved an adjusted net income of $2.1 billion, reflecting an 11% increase from the previous year, and an earnings per share of $2.16, up 12%. The bank's return on equity improved to 14.2%, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of year-over-year ROE improvement. The CET1 ratio stood at a solid 13.4%, and CIBC repurchased 5.5 million common shares, highlighting a strong capital position. The bank's operating leverage remained positive for the eighth consecutive quarter, driven by a 12% increase in pre-provision, pre-tax earnings and broad-based growth across all business units. The provision for credit losses increased by 16% year-over-year but remained within guidance, with impaired losses favorably low. CIBC continued to outperform in key areas such as digital banking, client satisfaction, and strategic client growth, particularly in capital markets, where U.S. revenue growth was up 37% year-to-date. The bank also announced plans for a new normal course issuer bid for 2% of its outstanding common shares, indicating confidence in its earnings trajectory and balance sheet strength.

Canadian Bank of Commerce Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Canadian Bank of Commerce demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, though margins have slightly decreased. The balance sheet shows increased leverage, which could be a risk if not managed properly. Cash flow generation is robust, with significant growth in free cash flow. Overall, the financial health is solid, but attention to leverage and cash conversion is advised.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The Canadian Bank of Commerce shows strong revenue growth with a 24.84% increase in TTM, indicating robust business expansion. The gross profit margin is healthy at 60.34%, and the net profit margin is solid at 18.63%, reflecting effective cost management. However, the margins have decreased compared to the previous year, suggesting potential pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The bank's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 5.90, indicating higher leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. Return on equity is strong at 13.31%, showing efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, but the high leverage remains a concern.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Free cash flow has grown by 23.6% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential issues in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 93.56%, showing strong cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue43.63B23.61B21.31B20.78B19.86B16.25B
Gross Profit26.32B23.52B21.29B20.80B19.80B16.25B
EBITDA11.97B10.34B8.05B8.73B9.01B5.80B
Net Income8.13B7.12B5.00B6.22B6.43B3.79B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.10T1.04T975.72B943.60B837.68B769.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments139.28B93.25B80.52B92.72B88.15B117.07B
Total Debt369.24B208.49B194.50B187.45B164.17B45.86B
Total Liabilities1.04T982.98B922.51B893.22B791.85B728.22B
Stockholders Equity62.60B58.73B52.98B50.18B45.65B41.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.17B10.00B11.14B21.61B-4.17B59.99B
Operating Cash Flow17.29B11.09B12.15B22.71B-3.33B60.30B
Investing Cash Flow-6.12B-20.75B-20.76B-24.39B-3.51B-19.41B
Financing Cash Flow-3.80B-2.61B-2.16B-1.61B-1.95B-1.22B

Canadian Bank of Commerce Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price121.89
Price Trends
50DMA
112.98
Positive
100DMA
106.01
Positive
200DMA
95.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.31
Negative
RSI
79.34
Negative
STOCH
96.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 121.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 116.34, above the 50-day MA of 112.98, and above the 200-day MA of 95.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.34 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CM.

Canadian Bank of Commerce Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$61.80B15.3013.25%2.85%9.25%0.34%
77
Outperform
$110.53B14.3013.40%3.18%-0.39%20.28%
75
Outperform
$289.20B15.5414.60%2.89%3.48%17.81%
75
Outperform
$194.14B9.7317.36%3.62%7.92%175.59%
74
Outperform
$125.89B15.3710.20%3.64%1.78%32.32%
71
Outperform
C$118.03B17.708.64%4.55%-2.54%-6.66%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CM
Canadian Bank of Commerce
121.89
35.68
41.39%
TSE:BMO
Bank Of Montreal
176.88
51.09
40.62%
TSE:BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
95.00
23.44
32.76%
TSE:RY
Royal Bank Of Canada
208.76
42.38
25.47%
TSE:TD
Toronto Dominion Bank
115.89
39.86
52.43%
TSE:NA
National Bank of Canada
163.03
34.35
26.70%

Canadian Bank of Commerce Corporate Events

Stock Split
CIBC Announces Split of Canadian Depositary Receipts
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

CIBC announced a split of four series of its Canadian Depositary Receipts (CDRs), which will take effect after trading closes on November 13, 2025. The split is intended to adjust the number of CDRs without impacting their economic value or the tax position of Canadian residents holding these CDRs. The CDRs will trade on a split-adjusted basis starting November 14, 2025, and CIBC has assured that no action is required from CDR holders as brokerage accounts will be automatically updated.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Hold with a C$111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

CIBC Releases Updated Code of Conduct Emphasizing Ethical Standards
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, CIBC announced the release of its updated Code of Conduct, emphasizing its commitment to ethical and professional standards. The Code serves as a guide for decision-making and interactions with stakeholders, ensuring a safe and respectful workplace. The bank has implemented mechanisms for monitoring compliance and addressing violations, highlighting the importance of trust and integrity in its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Hold with a C$111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
CIBC Announces Special Cash Distribution for Honeywell CDR Holders
Neutral
Oct 22, 2025

CIBC announced a special cash distribution for holders of Honeywell Canadian Depositary Receipts (CDRs) following Honeywell’s spin-off of Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. The distribution is set for October 30, 2025, with proceeds from the sale of Spin-Off Securities to be distributed by November 10, 2025. This move is part of Honeywell’s broader strategy to distribute shares of Solstice, impacting stakeholders involved with Honeywell CDRs.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Hold with a C$112.69 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
CIBC Expands Global Investment Access with New U.S. CDRs
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

CIBC has announced the addition of six new U.S. Canadian Depositary Receipts (CDRs) to its lineup, now totaling 109 CDRs available for trading on the TSX. These new CDRs, based on prominent U.S. companies, provide Canadian investors with affordable access to global stocks while mitigating currency risk, enhancing CIBC’s offerings in global investment opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Buy with a C$121.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
CIBC to Transfer 11 CDR Listings to TSX
Positive
Oct 10, 2025

CIBC has announced its plan to transfer 11 Canadian Depositary Receipt listings from Cboe Canada to the Toronto Stock Exchange. This strategic move, which has received conditional approval from TSX, is set to take effect on October 16, 2025, and is expected to enhance the visibility and accessibility of these financial products, potentially impacting stakeholders positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Buy with a C$114.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
CIBC Launches $450 Million Capital Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

CIBC announced a $450 million domestic public offering of 5.898% Limited Recourse Capital Notes Series 8, targeting institutional investors. This strategic move is aimed at bolstering CIBC’s capital base for general corporate purposes, potentially enhancing its financial flexibility and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Hold with a C$111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesProduct-Related Announcements
CIBC Renames General Electric CDRs to GE Aerospace CDRs
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

CIBC has announced a name change for its General Electric Canadian Depositary Receipts (CDRs) to GE Aerospace Canadian Depositary Receipts, effective immediately on the Cboe Canada Exchange. This change, which does not affect the ticker symbol, is part of CIBC’s ongoing efforts to align its financial products with market developments, ensuring seamless transitions for stakeholders and maintaining trading continuity.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Hold with a C$111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

CIBC Appoints Marianne Harrison to Board of Directors
Sep 4, 2025

On September 2, 2025, CIBC announced the appointment of Marianne Harrison to its Board of Directors, effective September 8, 2025. Harrison, with her extensive experience in the financial services sector, including leadership roles at John Hancock and Manulife Canada, is expected to enhance CIBC’s governance and contribute to its client-focused strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Hold with a C$111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
CIBC Appoints Marianne Harrison to Board of Directors
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

CIBC has announced the appointment of Marianne Harrison to its Board of Directors, effective September 8, 2025. With extensive experience in senior leadership roles within the financial services sector, including her tenure as President and CEO at John Hancock and Manulife Canada, Harrison is expected to enhance CIBC’s governance and contribute to its client-focused strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Hold with a C$111.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

CIBC Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

CIBC’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, marked by significant growth in net income and a strong capital position. The bank’s advancements in digital and AI technologies were celebrated as major achievements. However, the call also highlighted some concerns, including increased provisions for credit losses and challenges in the U.S. commercial real estate sector. Additionally, there was a noted rise in mortgage delinquency rates, particularly in stress-prone regions.

CIBC Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Aug 29, 2025

The Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) is a prominent North American financial institution offering a comprehensive range of financial services across personal banking, commercial banking, wealth management, and capital markets, with a strong presence in Canada, the United States, and globally.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
CIBC to Redeem $750 Million Capital Notes, Adjusting Capital Structure
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

CIBC announced its plan to redeem $750 million of its 4.375% Limited Recourse Capital Notes Series 1 on September 29, 2025, ceasing interest accrual from that date. This redemption, financed from CIBC’s general corporate funds, involves redeeming 750,000 Non-Cumulative 5-Year Fixed Rate Reset Class A Preferred Shares Series 53, impacting the bank’s capital structure and potentially influencing its financial strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Hold with a C$102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CIBC Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results with Significant Growth
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

CIBC reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with significant increases in revenue and net income compared to the previous year. The bank achieved a 10% year-over-year revenue growth and a 17% increase in reported net income, driven by higher net interest margins and volume growth. CIBC’s strategic investments in technology and employee compensation contributed to higher non-interest expenses, but these were offset by increased earnings in its core business segments. The bank’s robust capital position and proactive management approach have positioned it well in a dynamic environment, delivering top-tier returns for shareholders and sustainable value for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Hold with a C$102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
CIBC Declares Quarterly Dividends for October 2025
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

CIBC announced that its Board of Directors has declared a dividend of $0.97 per share on common shares for the quarter ending October 31, 2025, with payments scheduled for October 28, 2025. Additionally, dividends were declared for various series of Class A Preferred Shares, reflecting the bank’s commitment to providing returns to its shareholders. This announcement underscores CIBC’s stable financial position and its ongoing strategy to deliver value to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Hold with a C$102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
CIBC to Repurchase Up to 20 Million Shares to Enhance Shareholder Value
Positive
Aug 28, 2025

CIBC announced its plan to repurchase up to 20 million common shares, representing approximately 2.2% of its outstanding shares, under a normal course issuer bid, pending approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange. This move aims to provide CIBC with greater flexibility in managing its capital position and enhancing shareholder value, following the successful completion of a similar repurchase program in the previous year.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Hold with a C$102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesProduct-Related Announcements
CIBC Expands U.S. CDR Offerings with Coinbase and Lockheed Martin
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

CIBC has expanded its U.S. Canadian Depositary Receipts (CDRs) lineup by introducing two new CDRs for Coinbase and Lockheed Martin, now available on the TSX. These CDRs allow Canadian investors to access global companies in Canadian dollars, offering affordability and currency risk mitigation, thereby enhancing investment opportunities in global stocks.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Hold with a C$102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
CIBC Asset Management Announces Fund Terminations and Risk Rating Adjustment
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

CIBC Asset Management Inc. announced the termination of three funds due to their small asset size, effective November 28, 2025, with redemption requests accepted until then. Additionally, CAM has adjusted the risk rating of the Renaissance Diversified Income Fund from ‘Low to Medium’ to ‘Medium’, aligning with Canadian Securities Administrators’ standards, without altering the fund’s investment objectives or strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Buy with a C$90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesProduct-Related Announcements
CIBC Asset Management to Terminate 2025 Bond Funds
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

CIBC Asset Management Inc. announced the termination of the CIBC 2025 Investment Grade Bond Fund and the CIBC 2025 U.S. Investment Grade Bond Fund, effective November 28, 2025. This decision aligns with the funds’ investment objectives, and unitholders are encouraged to consult with advisors regarding financial and tax implications. The termination will involve asset liquidation and distribution of net assets to unitholders. The ETF Series units will be delisted from Cboe Canada Inc., ceasing trading by November 26, 2025. This move reflects CIBC’s strategic adjustments in its asset management operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Buy with a C$90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
CIBC Announces Strategic Leadership Changes to Drive Future Growth
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

CIBC has announced several senior executive leadership changes to support its client-focused strategy and prepare for future growth as Harry Culham takes over as President and CEO. Key appointments include Christian Exshaw as Senior Executive Vice-President and Group Head of Capital Markets, Kevin Li as Senior Executive Vice-President and Group Head of the U.S. Region, and Christina Kramer as Senior Executive Vice-President and Chief Administrative Officer. These changes are aimed at enhancing the bank’s operational efficiency and strengthening its market position across various regions, with an emphasis on innovation, client relationships, and strategic growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CM) stock is a Buy with a C$90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canadian Bank of Commerce stock, see the TSE:CM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025