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Bank Of Nova Scotia (TSE:BNS)
TSX:BNS

Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BNS

Bank Of Nova Scotia

(TSX:BNS)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:―
The Bank of Nova Scotia's stock is supported by strong financial performance, reasonable valuation, and strategic initiatives highlighted in the recent earnings call. Despite technical indicators suggesting caution with some bearish momentum, the bank's robust dividend yield and solid financial foundation offer resilience against market fluctuations. Key risks include high leverage and credit loss provisions, but the bank's strategic focus on growth and risk management provides an optimistic outlook.
Positive Factors
Strategic Investments
The investment in KeyCorp is strategically significant, providing a positive earnings contribution and enhancing Scotiabank's financial performance.
Global Wealth Management Growth
The strong performance in Global Wealth Management indicates robust demand for advisory services, contributing to long-term revenue growth.
Capital Strength
Improved capital ratios enhance financial stability and provide a buffer against economic uncertainties, supporting sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
Elevated Credit Loss Provisions
High credit loss provisions indicate potential risk exposure, which could impact profitability and require careful risk management.
Canadian Banking Earnings Decline
Declining earnings in Canadian Banking suggest challenges in the domestic market, potentially affecting overall financial performance.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Potential tariffs and macroeconomic uncertainties could disrupt business operations and impact future growth prospects.

Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Bank Of Nova Scotia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS), commonly known as Scotiabank, is a leading Canadian multinational banking and financial services company headquartered in Toronto, Ontario. As one of Canada's Big Five banks, Scotiabank offers a wide range of financial products and services, including personal and commercial banking, wealth management, and corporate and investment banking. The bank operates in over 30 countries, with a strong presence in Canada, Latin America, the Caribbean, Central America, and Asia-Pacific, serving millions of customers worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyScotiabank generates revenue through various streams, primarily from its core banking services. Personal and commercial banking forms a significant portion of its earnings, which includes interest income from loans and mortgages, and fees from accounts and transactions. The wealth management division contributes through advisory services, management fees, and investment products. Corporate and investment banking provides income through underwriting, advisory fees, and trading activities. Additionally, the bank earns from its international operations, which diversify its revenue sources and mitigate country-specific risks. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions also play a critical role in expanding its market reach and enhancing profitability.

Bank Of Nova Scotia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 02, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflected strong financial performance and strategic execution with notable EPS and ROE growth. However, there were challenges related to credit losses and adjusting items that impacted net income. The sentiment is balanced with robust earnings growth across key segments, while facing headwinds in credit provisions and Canadian banking earnings.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong EPS and ROE Growth
EPS grew by 10% for the full year, and Q4 ended with an ROE of 12.5%, up 190 basis points year-over-year.
Significant Revenue and Profit Increases
Global Wealth Management earnings rose by 17% year-over-year, and Global Banking and Markets earnings increased by 30%. Overall revenue was up 12% year-over-year, with positive operating leverage of 3%.
Successful Strategic Initiatives
Closed referrals between Canadian retail, commercial, and wealth were $15 billion for the year, up 18% over last year. The Mortgage+ program drove multiproduct banking relationships, aiding deposit and card growth.
Capital and Shareholder Returns
The CET1 ratio ended at 13.2% after repurchasing 10.8 million shares in fiscal 2025. The bank also reduced its wholesale funding ratio by 60 basis points.
Improvement in Canadian Banking and International Banking
Canadian Banking saw increased efficiency and sales capacity, while International Banking earnings rose by 1% year-over-year with significant gains in Mexico.
Global Transaction Banking Expansion
The launch of new cash management capabilities in North America is expected to drive client connectivity and revenue growth.
Negative Updates
Adjusting Items Impact
Net income was impacted by $299 million of adjusting items, including a $268 million charge related to simplifying Canadian operations and rightsizing Global Banking and Markets in Asia.
Increased Loan Loss Provisions
The provision for credit losses was $4.7 billion, driven mainly by higher performing PCLs, with credit loss ratios slightly elevated.
Decline in Canadian Banking Earnings
Canadian Banking earnings were down 9%, affected by higher PCLs and lower margins due to rate cuts.
Challenges in Retail Portfolios
Impaired PCLs in retail portfolios increased, driven by Canadian and international markets, with certain areas like the GTA showing increased mortgage delinquencies.
Company Guidance
During Scotiabank's Q4 results presentation, the executives highlighted a year of robust financial performance, with earnings per share (EPS) growing by 10% for fiscal year 2025. The bank achieved an ROE of 12.5%, marking a 190 basis point increase year-over-year, and an efficiency ratio of 54.3%, improved by 180 basis points from the previous period. Throughout the year, Scotiabank successfully increased closed referrals by 18% to $15 billion and added 400,000 primary clients. The bank ended the year with a CET1 ratio of 13.2% after repurchasing 10.8 million shares. Q4 earnings reached $2.6 billion or $1.93 per share, up 23% year-over-year, excluding a restructuring charge. Performance improvements were noted across Canadian Banking, Global Wealth Management, and International Banking, with a focus on driving client primacy, enhancing technology, and optimizing capital allocation. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, Scotiabank aims to achieve double-digit EPS growth and an ROE of 14% plus, supported by improved revenue growth, positive operating leverage, and strategic investments in technology and client relationships.

Bank Of Nova Scotia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Bank of Nova Scotia maintains a robust financial position with strong revenue growth and stable cash flows. While profitability margins appear pressured, the bank's solid equity base and cash flow suggest resilience. However, high leverage remains a strategic focus area to mitigate potential financial risks in fluctuating market conditions.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The Bank of Nova Scotia has shown stable revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in total revenue for the TTM compared to previous years. However, the net profit margin has been fluctuating, and the EBIT margin for the TTM is lower compared to historical figures, indicating some operational challenges. Overall, the income statement reflects steady revenue growth but with potential profitability pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet is characterized by strong equity, with a relatively stable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is moderate, reflecting a solid foundation amidst high total assets. However, the total debt remains high, which could pose risks if economic conditions change unfavorably. The bank's strong equity position provides a cushion, but leveraging remains an area to watch.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The Bank of Nova Scotia demonstrates a strong cash flow position, with a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio and consistent operating cash flow. The free cash flow has grown, indicating efficient capital management. The discrepancy between operating cash flow and net income ratio suggests solid cash generation capabilities, which is a positive indicator of liquidity and financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue73.86B29.48B31.79B31.15B30.91B31.29B
Gross Profit22.13B29.56B31.79B31.15B30.91B31.29B
EBITDA11.17B10.56B0.0014.20B14.00B9.70B
Net Income7.21B7.76B7.41B9.92B9.62B6.78B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41T1.41T1.41T1.35T1.18T1.14T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments191.81B108.17B140.83B119.31B120.05B116.50B
Total Debt484.05B300.67B313.81B310.86B245.66B7.41B
Total Liabilities1.33T1.33T1.33T1.27T1.11T1.07T
Stockholders Equity83.80B82.37B76.93B73.22B70.80B68.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.47B15.16B31.28B16.37B-13.27B55.89B
Operating Cash Flow18.79B15.65B11.47B16.94B-12.81B56.66B
Investing Cash Flow-9.31B-7.45B-30.04B-11.29B14.70B-56.46B
Financing Cash Flow-6.97B-8.84B16.71B-4.58B-2.78B28.13B

Bank Of Nova Scotia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price100.40
Price Trends
50DMA
93.45
Positive
100DMA
87.80
Positive
200DMA
78.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.01
Negative
RSI
76.79
Negative
STOCH
93.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BNS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 100.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 96.83, above the 50-day MA of 93.45, and above the 200-day MA of 78.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.79 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BNS.

Bank Of Nova Scotia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$61.80B15.3013.53%2.69%7.50%-5.28%
75
Outperform
$318.90B16.1515.28%2.63%2.13%25.16%
75
Outperform
$212.67B10.8816.78%3.34%3.07%144.41%
74
Outperform
$110.53B14.3013.69%3.07%-3.13%18.22%
71
Outperform
$123.68B17.149.19%4.32%-3.65%-1.73%
69
Neutral
$126.72B15.6010.10%3.54%-1.30%20.41%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
100.17
25.58
34.29%
TSE:BMO
Bank Of Montreal
181.30
46.22
34.21%
TSE:CM
Canadian Bank of Commerce
127.84
37.45
41.43%
TSE:RY
Royal Bank Of Canada
230.00
58.53
34.13%
TSE:TD
Toronto Dominion Bank
125.80
53.37
73.68%
TSE:NA
National Bank of Canada
172.56
43.21
33.40%

Bank Of Nova Scotia Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Scotiabank Projects $62 Million Earnings Contribution from KeyCorp
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

Scotiabank announced an expected net income contribution of CAD $62 million from its ownership interest in KeyCorp for Q2 2025, reflecting its share of KeyCorp’s Q1 2025 net income. After adjusting for amortization of acquired intangible assets, the adjusted net income contribution is projected to be CAD $71 million. This announcement highlights Scotiabank’s strategic investments and their impact on its financial performance, indicating a positive contribution to its earnings from KeyCorp.

Spark’s Take on TSE:BNS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:BNS is a Neutral.

The Bank of Nova Scotia shows a stable financial position with strong revenue growth and cash flow, providing resilience despite profitability pressures. The stock’s reasonable valuation and high dividend yield add attractiveness, while technical indicators suggest caution with bearish momentum. Strategic advancements are notable, but elevated credit loss provisions and macroeconomic uncertainties remain risks.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:BNS stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Scotiabank Reports Q1 Earnings Amid Strategic Portfolio Adjustments
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

Scotiabank reported a significant drop in its first-quarter net income to $993 million, primarily due to a $1,355 million impairment loss from the sale of its banking operations in Colombia, Costa Rica, and Panama. Despite this, the bank’s adjusted net income rose to $2,362 million, with strong performances in Global Wealth Management and Global Banking and Markets. The bank continues to focus on its North American markets and simplifying its international portfolio, as evidenced by recent strategic moves.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Scotiabank Declares Dividend and Updates Share Purchase Plan
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

Scotiabank has announced a dividend of $1.06 per share on its outstanding common shares, payable on April 28, 2025, to shareholders recorded by April 1, 2025. The bank has decided to continue purchasing common shares on the open market rather than issuing new shares from its treasury, with all associated costs covered by the bank. This decision reflects Scotiabank’s strategic approach to managing shareholder value and market operations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2025