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Bank Of Nova Scotia (TSE:BNS)
TSX:BNS

Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BNS

Bank Of Nova Scotia

(TSX:BNS)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$113.00
â–²(13.17% Upside)
The Bank of Nova Scotia's stock is rated positively due to strong financial performance and strategic execution, as highlighted in the earnings call. Technical indicators support a bullish outlook, while the valuation remains attractive with a solid dividend yield. However, high leverage and declining free cash flow growth are areas to monitor.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant year-over-year revenue increase indicates strong business performance and market demand, supporting long-term growth prospects.
Strategic Initiatives
Successful strategic initiatives like increased closed referrals enhance client relationships and revenue streams, strengthening competitive positioning.
Capital and Shareholder Returns
Strong capital ratios and share repurchases reflect robust financial health and commitment to shareholder value, supporting long-term stability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, especially if interest rates rise, potentially impacting the bank's long-term financial flexibility.
Increased Loan Loss Provisions
Rising loan loss provisions may signal deteriorating credit quality, posing a risk to future profitability and financial health.
Decline in Canadian Banking Earnings
Declining earnings in Canadian Banking due to higher PCLs and lower margins could impact overall profitability and market position.

Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Bank Of Nova Scotia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Bank of Nova Scotia provides various banking products and services in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Peru, Chile, Colombia, the Caribbean and Central America, and internationally. It operates in four segments: Canadian Banking, International Banking, Global Wealth Management, and Global Banking and Markets. The company offers financial advice and solutions, and day-to-day banking products, including debit and credit cards, chequing and saving accounts, investments, mortgages, loans, and insurance to individuals; and business banking solutions comprising lending, deposit, cash management, and trade finance solutions to small, medium, and large businesses, including automotive financing solutions to dealers and their customers. It also provides wealth management advice and solutions, including online brokerage, mobile investment, full-service brokerage, trust, private banking, and private investment counsel services; and retail mutual funds, exchange traded funds, liquid alternative funds, and institutional funds. In addition, the company offers international banking services for retail, corporate, and commercial customers; and lending and transaction, investment banking advisory, and capital markets access services to corporate customers. Further, it provides online, mobile, and telephone banking services. The company operates a network of 954 branches and approximately 3,766 automated banking machines in Canada; and approximately 1,300 branches and a network of contact and support center internationally. The Bank of Nova Scotia was founded in 1832 and is headquartered in Halifax, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyScotiabank generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source is net interest income, which arises from the difference between interest earned on loans and interest paid on deposits. This includes personal loans, mortgages, and commercial lending. Additionally, the bank earns substantial fees from wealth management services, investment banking activities, and transaction-based services such as account maintenance and credit card fees. Scotiabank also benefits from trading and investment income derived from its capital markets division, which engages in trading securities and providing advisory services. Collaborations with other financial institutions and technology partners enhance Scotiabank's service offerings and operational efficiencies, contributing to its overall revenue generation. Furthermore, the bank's international operations, particularly in growth markets, provide additional avenues for earnings, helping to diversify its revenue base.

Bank Of Nova Scotia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 02, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflected strong financial performance and strategic execution with notable EPS and ROE growth. However, there were challenges related to credit losses and adjusting items that impacted net income. The sentiment is balanced with robust earnings growth across key segments, while facing headwinds in credit provisions and Canadian banking earnings.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong EPS and ROE Growth
EPS grew by 10% for the full year, and Q4 ended with an ROE of 12.5%, up 190 basis points year-over-year.
Significant Revenue and Profit Increases
Global Wealth Management earnings rose by 17% year-over-year, and Global Banking and Markets earnings increased by 30%. Overall revenue was up 12% year-over-year, with positive operating leverage of 3%.
Successful Strategic Initiatives
Closed referrals between Canadian retail, commercial, and wealth were $15 billion for the year, up 18% over last year. The Mortgage+ program drove multiproduct banking relationships, aiding deposit and card growth.
Capital and Shareholder Returns
The CET1 ratio ended at 13.2% after repurchasing 10.8 million shares in fiscal 2025. The bank also reduced its wholesale funding ratio by 60 basis points.
Improvement in Canadian Banking and International Banking
Canadian Banking saw increased efficiency and sales capacity, while International Banking earnings rose by 1% year-over-year with significant gains in Mexico.
Global Transaction Banking Expansion
The launch of new cash management capabilities in North America is expected to drive client connectivity and revenue growth.
Negative Updates
Adjusting Items Impact
Net income was impacted by $299 million of adjusting items, including a $268 million charge related to simplifying Canadian operations and rightsizing Global Banking and Markets in Asia.
Increased Loan Loss Provisions
The provision for credit losses was $4.7 billion, driven mainly by higher performing PCLs, with credit loss ratios slightly elevated.
Decline in Canadian Banking Earnings
Canadian Banking earnings were down 9%, affected by higher PCLs and lower margins due to rate cuts.
Challenges in Retail Portfolios
Impaired PCLs in retail portfolios increased, driven by Canadian and international markets, with certain areas like the GTA showing increased mortgage delinquencies.
Company Guidance
During Scotiabank's Q4 results presentation, the executives highlighted a year of robust financial performance, with earnings per share (EPS) growing by 10% for fiscal year 2025. The bank achieved an ROE of 12.5%, marking a 190 basis point increase year-over-year, and an efficiency ratio of 54.3%, improved by 180 basis points from the previous period. Throughout the year, Scotiabank successfully increased closed referrals by 18% to $15 billion and added 400,000 primary clients. The bank ended the year with a CET1 ratio of 13.2% after repurchasing 10.8 million shares. Q4 earnings reached $2.6 billion or $1.93 per share, up 23% year-over-year, excluding a restructuring charge. Performance improvements were noted across Canadian Banking, Global Wealth Management, and International Banking, with a focus on driving client primacy, enhancing technology, and optimizing capital allocation. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, Scotiabank aims to achieve double-digit EPS growth and an ROE of 14% plus, supported by improved revenue growth, positive operating leverage, and strategic investments in technology and client relationships.

Bank Of Nova Scotia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Bank of Nova Scotia maintains a robust financial position with strong revenue growth and stable cash flows. While profitability margins appear pressured, the bank's solid equity base and cash flow suggest resilience. However, high leverage remains a strategic focus area to mitigate potential financial risks in fluctuating market conditions.
Income Statement
The Bank of Nova Scotia has shown stable revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in total revenue for the TTM compared to previous years. However, the net profit margin has been fluctuating, and the EBIT margin for the TTM is lower compared to historical figures, indicating some operational challenges. Overall, the income statement reflects steady revenue growth but with potential profitability pressures.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet is characterized by strong equity, with a relatively stable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is moderate, reflecting a solid foundation amidst high total assets. However, the total debt remains high, which could pose risks if economic conditions change unfavorably. The bank's strong equity position provides a cushion, but leveraging remains an area to watch.
Cash Flow
The Bank of Nova Scotia demonstrates a strong cash flow position, with a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio and consistent operating cash flow. The free cash flow has grown, indicating efficient capital management. The discrepancy between operating cash flow and net income ratio suggests solid cash generation capabilities, which is a positive indicator of liquidity and financial health.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue73.18B29.48B31.79B31.15B30.91B
Gross Profit32.38B29.56B31.79B31.15B30.91B
EBITDA12.11B10.56B0.0014.20B14.00B
Net Income7.79B7.76B7.41B9.92B9.62B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.46T1.41T1.41T1.35T1.18T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments108.10B108.17B140.83B119.31B120.05B
Total Debt236.69B300.67B313.81B310.86B245.66B
Total Liabilities1.37T1.33T1.33T1.27T1.11T
Stockholders Equity86.87B82.37B76.93B73.22B70.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.14B15.16B31.28B16.37B-13.27B
Operating Cash Flow10.49B15.65B11.47B16.94B-12.81B
Investing Cash Flow-19.00B-7.45B-30.04B-11.29B14.70B
Financing Cash Flow9.18B-8.84B16.71B-4.58B-2.78B

Bank Of Nova Scotia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price99.85
Price Trends
50DMA
95.93
Positive
100DMA
90.75
Positive
200DMA
80.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.33
Positive
RSI
58.75
Neutral
STOCH
27.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BNS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 99.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 99.55, above the 50-day MA of 95.93, and above the 200-day MA of 80.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BNS.

Bank Of Nova Scotia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$123.31B17.099.19%4.32%-3.65%-1.73%
76
Outperform
C$68.28B17.1913.53%2.64%7.50%-5.28%
74
Outperform
C$116.53B14.5913.69%3.07%-3.13%18.22%
74
Outperform
$220.87B11.3016.78%3.34%3.07%144.41%
73
Outperform
C$329.68B16.7015.28%2.58%2.13%25.16%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
C$130.22B16.0310.10%3.61%-1.30%20.41%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
99.85
29.10
41.13%
TSE:BMO
Bank Of Montreal
183.27
47.58
35.07%
TSE:CM
Canadian Bank of Commerce
126.79
38.76
44.03%
TSE:RY
Royal Bank Of Canada
234.68
65.96
39.09%
TSE:TD
Toronto Dominion Bank
130.16
55.72
74.84%
TSE:NA
National Bank of Canada
173.05
44.59
34.72%

Bank Of Nova Scotia Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Scotiabank Reports Strong Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Results
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

Scotiabank reported a net income of $7,758 million for fiscal year 2025, slightly down from $7,892 million in 2024, with a diluted EPS of $5.67. However, the fourth quarter showed a significant improvement with a net income of $2,206 million, up from $1,689 million in the same period last year, and a diluted EPS of $1.65. The bank’s adjusted net income for the year was $9,510 million, indicating strong performance across its business lines, particularly in Global Wealth Management and Global Banking and Markets. The bank’s strategic restructuring and focus on strengthening its balance sheet and improving its loan-to-deposit ratio contributed to these results.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BNS) stock is a Buy with a C$106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank Of Nova Scotia stock, see the TSE:BNS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Scotiabank Declares Dividend and Updates Share Purchase Plan
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

Scotiabank has announced a dividend of $1.10 per share on its outstanding common shares, payable on January 28, 2026, to shareholders recorded by January 6, 2026. The bank continues to allow shareholders to receive dividends in the form of common shares through its Shareholder Dividend and Share Purchase Plan, with purchases made on the open market instead of issuing new shares from treasury. This decision reflects Scotiabank’s ongoing strategy to manage its share distribution and market presence effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BNS) stock is a Buy with a C$106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank Of Nova Scotia stock, see the TSE:BNS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Scotiabank Completes Transfer of Operations to Davivienda Group
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

Scotiabank has completed the transfer of its banking operations in Colombia, Costa Rica, and Panama to Davivienda, resulting in a new entity, Davivienda Group, where Scotiabank holds a 20% stake. This strategic move is expected to enhance Scotiabank’s international banking strategy by leveraging Davivienda’s regional expertise and Scotiabank’s global capabilities, aiming to improve profitability and expand their client base. The transaction is anticipated to result in a CAD $300 million after-tax loss in Q1 2026 due to foreign currency translation losses, but will also benefit Scotiabank’s CET1 ratio by reducing risk-weighted assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BNS) stock is a Buy with a C$106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank Of Nova Scotia stock, see the TSE:BNS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025