tiprankstipranks
Bank Of Montreal (TSE:BMO)
TSX:BMO

Bank Of Montreal (BMO) AI Stock Analysis

2,355 Followers

Top Page

TSE:BMO

Bank Of Montreal

(TSX:BMO)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
C$197.00
â–¼(-1.37% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/25/26
The score is held back mainly by weaker recent cash-flow conversion/volatility, elevated leverage, and soft near-term growth, alongside cautious near-term technical momentum. Offsetting these are a reasonable valuation with a solid dividend and a constructive earnings-call outlook featuring improving profitability metrics, strong capital levels, and continued capital returns.
Positive Factors
Strong capital buffer (CET1)
A CET1 ratio of ~13.1% above the ~12.5% target provides durable loss-absorbing capacity and regulatory headroom. This supports continued capital returns and buybacks while insulating the bank through credit cycles and funding stress, preserving franchise stability over months.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
A large decline in free cash flow and sub-100% cash conversion of earnings reduce financial flexibility. Over the medium term this constrains the bank's ability to sustainably fund buybacks, dividends, or cushion volatility, making capital actions more dependent on future cash recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong capital buffer (CET1)
A CET1 ratio of ~13.1% above the ~12.5% target provides durable loss-absorbing capacity and regulatory headroom. This supports continued capital returns and buybacks while insulating the bank through credit cycles and funding stress, preserving franchise stability over months.
Read all positive factors

Bank Of Montreal (BMO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Bank Of Montreal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Bank of Montreal provides diversified financial services primarily in North America. The company's personal banking products and services include checking and savings accounts, credit cards, mortgages, and financial and investment advice services;...
How the Company Makes Money
BMO primarily makes money through net interest income (the spread between interest earned on loans and securities and interest paid on deposits and other funding) and non-interest income (fees, commissions, and trading-related revenue) across its ...

Bank Of Montreal Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call showcases clear and broad-based operational momentum with record PPPT, double-digit EPS and ROE improvement, strong Capital Markets and Wealth performance, successful integration of acquisitions, disciplined cost actions and continued capital returns. Offsetting this are one-time severance costs, elevated expenses in the near term, pockets of consumer credit stress in Canada (higher delinquencies and elevated unsecured loss rates), muted loan growth due to optimization (especially in the U.S.) and macro/trade uncertainty affecting Canadian outlook. On balance, the positives—sizable earnings and ROE progression, margin improvement, strong fee growth and a path to further loan/deposit expansion as optimization completes—materially outweigh the transitory and localized headwinds.
Positive Updates
Record Pre-Provision Pre-Tax Earnings and Revenue
PPPT reached a record $4.1 billion. Management reported record revenue across each operating segment, with total revenue up 6% year-over-year (8% on a constant currency basis).
Negative Updates
One-Time Severance Charge and Near-Term EPS Impact
A previously announced severance charge of $202 million (pre-tax) reduced EPS by $0.21 (approximately $147 million after tax). The charge increased reported expenses this quarter and was recorded across operating segments.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Pre-Provision Pre-Tax Earnings and Revenue
PPPT reached a record $4.1 billion. Management reported record revenue across each operating segment, with total revenue up 6% year-over-year (8% on a constant currency basis).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated it is on track to hit its 15% ROE goal by year‑end 2027 while maintaining a strong CET1 buffer (Q1 CET1 13.1% vs a 12.5% target) and continuing buybacks (6 million shares repurchased this quarter); Q1 results included record PPPT $4.1B, adjusted EPS $3.48 (+15% YoY), net income $2.6B (+11%), revenue +6% (+8% CC), NII ex‑Markets +5% (+7% CC) and NIM ex‑Markets 233 bps (+20 bps YoY, +3 bps q/q) with NIM expected to be relatively stable as ladder reinvestments and deposit‑mix tailwinds offset competitive pressures. They said U.S. balance‑sheet optimization is ~90% complete and should be effectively finished by end‑Q2, supporting positive commercial loan growth in H2 and mid‑single‑digit loan growth overall; credit guidance is for impaired provisions to remain in the mid‑40 bps range (Q1 PCL $746M or 44 bps), gross impaired loans $6.9B (102 bps) and a performing allowance of $4.6B (69 bps). The quarter included a $202M severance charge ($147M after tax) that reduced EPS by $0.21 but will yield ~$250M of annualized savings (half in 2026, half in 2027), underpinning expected positive operating leverage (1.1% ex‑charge) and an improved efficiency ratio of 55.8%.

Bank Of Montreal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains solid (about 11.8% net margin; ~10.4% ROE) but growth is soft (TTM revenue down ~1.5%). Leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity ~4.7x) and cash generation is the key weakness, with free cash flow down sharply (~-72.9%) and covering only ~57% of net income.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.01B78.15B78.56B29.02B26.26B26.91B
Gross Profit33.31B32.48B28.28B29.64B25.95B26.91B
EBITDA13.89B12.39B11.18B7.71B19.09B11.44B
Net Income9.06B8.71B7.32B4.42B13.54B7.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.46T1.48T1.41T1.29T1.14T988.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments373.05B104.16B113.53B114.31B118.21B121.97B
Total Debt407.31B415.19B262.44B248.74B222.64B189.81B
Total Liabilities1.37T1.39T1.33T1.22T1.07T930.65B
Stockholders Equity85.70B88.05B84.25B77.01B71.04B57.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.30B8.51B27.47B19.59B3.51B43.07B
Operating Cash Flow4.03B10.24B29.03B21.27B4.96B44.05B
Investing Cash Flow1.75B605.00M-24.53B-21.16B-29.47B-299.00M
Financing Cash Flow-11.57B-8.67B-17.41B268.00M15.98B47.12B

Bank Of Montreal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price199.73
Price Trends
50DMA
192.54
Positive
100DMA
185.59
Positive
200DMA
174.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.07
Negative
RSI
63.78
Neutral
STOCH
93.44
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BMO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 199.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 189.45, above the 50-day MA of 192.54, and above the 200-day MA of 174.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BMO.

Bank Of Montreal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
C$132.19B9.4114.75%3.07%-3.13%18.22%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
C$332.20B13.7115.37%2.58%2.13%25.16%
66
Neutral
C$75.79B12.6212.83%2.64%7.50%-5.28%
64
Neutral
C$235.31B13.2217.26%3.34%3.07%144.41%
62
Neutral
C$124.30B14.7010.41%4.32%-3.65%-1.73%
60
Neutral
C$141.05B13.1810.47%3.61%-1.30%20.41%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BMO
Bank Of Montreal
201.54
78.61
63.95%
TSE:BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
101.67
39.77
64.24%
TSE:CM
Canadian Bank of Commerce
144.40
66.52
85.40%
TSE:RY
Royal Bank Of Canada
239.00
84.10
54.29%
TSE:TD
Toronto Dominion Bank
140.67
60.42
75.29%
TSE:NA
National Bank of Canada
197.54
87.32
79.22%

Bank Of Montreal Corporate Events

Dividends
BMO Holds Quarterly Dividend Steady and Confirms Reinvestment Options for Shareholders
Positive
Feb 25, 2026
Bank of Montreal’s board has declared a quarterly dividend of $1.67 per common share for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, holding the payout steady from the previous quarter. The bank also declared dividends on several series of Class B pr...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
BMO Kicks Off 2026 With Double-Digit Earnings Growth and Record Revenue
Positive
Feb 25, 2026
BMO Financial Group reported a strong start to fiscal 2026, with first-quarter net income rising 16% year over year to $2.49 billion and adjusted earnings up 11%, driven by record revenue across all operating segments and lower provisions for cred...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 25, 2026