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Bank Of Montreal (TSE:BMO)
TSX:BMO

Bank Of Montreal (BMO) AI Stock Analysis

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Bank Of Montreal

(TSX:BMO)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
C$164.00
â–²(7.65%Upside)
Bank of Montreal has a solid overall position, bolstered by strong financial performance and strategic corporate events. While technical analysis is mixed, the valuation is appealing. The bank's strategic initiatives and robust earnings support a positive outlook, though economic uncertainties and credit risks require caution.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Optimization
Management's focus on balance sheet optimization, including the sale of a non-relationship credit card portfolio and running off higher cost deposits, is boosting net interest margins and return on equity.
Financial Performance
The stock outperformed peers after reporting stronger growth due to a narrower loss in the corporate segment and lower credit costs.
Negative Factors
Impaired Provisions
Impaired PCLs could trend up slightly, which was worse than expected but reasonable given the current climate.
Tariff Risks
Risks from tariffs could impact credit improvements, with potential rises in impaired provisions for credit losses.

Bank Of Montreal (BMO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Bank Of Montreal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Bank of Montreal (BMO) is a multinational financial services provider headquartered in Canada. It operates in several sectors including personal and commercial banking, wealth management, and capital markets. BMO offers a wide range of products and services, such as personal and business banking, investment solutions, mortgage loans, credit cards, and financial advisory services. With a strong presence in North America, BMO serves millions of customers through its extensive network of branches and ATMs, as well as digital banking platforms.
How the Company Makes MoneyBMO makes money primarily through interest income and non-interest income. Interest income is generated from loans and mortgages offered to personal and commercial banking customers. The bank earns interest on the funds it lends, which is a major component of its revenue. Non-interest income comes from fees and commissions associated with various financial services, including wealth management, investment banking, and trading activities. BMO also benefits from its capital markets operations, which provide services such as underwriting, advisory, and trading solutions. Additionally, strategic partnerships and collaborations with financial technology firms and other institutions enhance its service offerings and contribute to its revenue growth.

Bank Of Montreal Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with strong financial metrics and strategic initiatives driving growth. However, economic uncertainties and trade challenges pose risks, leading to increased provisions for credit losses and muted commercial loan growth. Overall, the bank is well-positioned for future growth but remains cautious about external economic conditions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong PPPT Growth
Pre-provision pretax earnings (PPPT) grew 12%, reflecting robust performance across diversified businesses.
CET1 Ratio and Capital Position
CET1 ratio remains strong at 13.5%, allowing for continued investment in growth and shareholder returns.
Dividend Increase
Announced an increase in the dividend by four cents, representing a 5% increase from last year.
Positive Operating Leverage
Achieved positive operating leverage of 2.7% with disciplined expense management and revenue growth.
Wealth Management and Capital Markets Performance
Wealth management net income increased by 13% and Capital Markets PPPT exceeded guidance with strong trading revenue, particularly in commodities.
Digital and Product Innovations
Successful launch of VIP Porter loyalty cards and savings amplifier account surpassing $10 billion in deposits, contributing to customer growth.
Negative Updates
Higher Provisions for Credit Losses
Total PCLs increased by $349 million year-over-year, reflecting economic uncertainty and trade policy impacts.
Challenges in US Commercial Loan Growth
Muted loan growth in the US commercial sector with a sequential decline, attributed to trade uncertainties.
Lower Non-Interest Revenue
Non-interest revenue experienced a decline, influenced by loss on the US credit card portfolio sale and fewer days in the quarter.
Impact of Trade Uncertainties
Economic uncertainties related to trade policies affecting customer and market activities, with GDP growth expected to slow in Canada and the US.
Company Guidance
In the Bank of Montreal's Q2 2025 earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted. The bank reported adjusted net income and EPS of $2.62, with PPPT growth of 12%. The CET1 ratio stood at 13.5%, reflecting a robust capital position. Year-to-date EPS grew by 10% due to a 13% increase in revenue. Pre-provision pretax earnings reached $7.8 billion, marking a 22% increase, while ROE improved to 10.6%. The bank announced a 5% dividend increase and completed 50% of its NCIB program. In commercial banking, 90% of borrowers utilized additional services, showcasing diversified revenue streams. Their TPS revenue grew by 20%, contributing substantially to overall revenue. Wealth management's ROE rose to 29%, with net new asset growth being the second highest on record. In capital markets, PPPT exceeded guidance at $684 million, driven by strong trading revenue, particularly in commodities. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the bank focuses on maintaining positive operating leverage and enhancing shareholder returns.

Bank Of Montreal Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bank of Montreal demonstrates a strong financial position with robust revenue growth and profitability. However, high leverage and a decline in free cash flow growth indicate areas for improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a solid performance with a significant increase in total revenue from the previous year by 38.24% (TTM). The gross profit margin is robust, indicating efficient cost management. However, the EBIT margin is moderate at 6.96%, suggesting room for improvement in operational efficiency. The net profit margin is healthy at 18.42%, highlighting profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.13, which is typical for the banking industry but indicates high leverage. The equity ratio is 5.96%, suggesting a conservative level of equity financing. Return on Equity is a strong 9.32%, affirming effective use of shareholders' funds.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a decline in free cash flow growth rate compared to previous periods, indicating potential challenges in generating cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.15, suggesting effective conversion of income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.96 indicates less cash available after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue66.96B32.04B29.02B26.26B26.91B22.23B
Gross Profit29.56B28.28B29.64B25.95B26.91B25.02B
EBITDA12.65B11.18B7.71B19.00B11.44B7.61B
Net Income8.16B7.32B4.42B13.54B7.75B5.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.47T1.41T1.29T1.14T988.17B949.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments180.06B113.53B114.31B118.21B121.97B95.24B
Total Debt274.34B262.44B248.74B222.64B189.81B187.01B
Total Liabilities1.38T1.33T1.22T1.07T930.65B892.67B
Stockholders Equity87.56B84.25B77.01B71.04B57.52B56.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.02B27.47B7.91B3.51B43.07B49.80B
Operating Cash Flow17.57B29.03B9.59B4.96B44.05B50.84B
Investing Cash Flow-31.52B-24.53B-21.16B-29.47B-299.00M-31.97B
Financing Cash Flow7.31B-17.41B268.00M15.98B-5.12B-10.30B

Bank Of Montreal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price152.35
Price Trends
50DMA
142.46
Positive
100DMA
139.60
Positive
200DMA
134.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.83
Negative
RSI
75.86
Negative
STOCH
97.29
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BMO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 152.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 147.20, above the 50-day MA of 142.46, and above the 200-day MA of 134.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.86 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.29 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BMO.

Bank Of Montreal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSRY
81
Outperform
$250.61B14.1214.17%4.52%6.03%15.60%
TSTD
79
Outperform
$174.21B10.3014.27%4.19%13.12%61.99%
TSNA
78
Outperform
$55.02B13.2513.42%3.36%17.13%14.73%
TSCM
77
Outperform
$89.27B11.9713.19%4.01%5.38%21.68%
TSBMO
72
Outperform
$108.97B14.019.88%5.79%6.98%32.63%
TSBNS
71
Outperform
$93.62B15.178.00%7.71%3.72%-17.99%
67
Neutral
$16.86B11.649.71%3.83%11.61%-9.60%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BMO
Bank Of Montreal
152.35
41.68
37.66%
TSE:NA
National Bank of Canada
140.89
34.50
32.43%
TSE:TD
Toronto Dominion Bank
101.10
28.90
40.03%
TSE:RY
Royal Bank Of Canada
178.11
34.04
23.63%
TSE:CM
Canadian Bank of Commerce
97.34
33.91
53.46%
TSE:BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
74.98
16.29
27.76%

Bank Of Montreal Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
BMO to Acquire Burgundy Asset Management, Enhancing Wealth Management Services
Positive
Jun 19, 2025

BMO has announced its acquisition of Burgundy Asset Management, a leading independent wealth manager with $27 billion in assets under management. This strategic move is expected to enhance BMO’s wealth management capabilities, particularly in the Canadian Investment Counsel space, and strengthen its position as a top provider for high-net-worth clients. The transaction, valued at approximately $625 million, is anticipated to close by the end of 2025, subject to regulatory approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BMO) stock is a Buy with a C$150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank Of Montreal stock, see the TSE:BMO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
BMO Financial Group Strengthens Leadership with Key Executive Appointments
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

BMO Financial Group has announced several executive appointments aimed at enhancing client service and supporting growth ambitions in Canada and the U.S. These changes are designed to streamline decision-making, improve profitability, and foster innovation through leadership in AI, data, and cloud computing. The appointments reflect BMO’s commitment to talent development and strategic integration of its U.S. operations, with a focus on ethical performance and strong governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BMO) stock is a Hold with a C$141.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank Of Montreal stock, see the TSE:BMO Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
BMO Financial Group Boosts Quarterly Dividend by 3%
Positive
May 28, 2025

BMO Financial Group announced an increase in its quarterly dividend for common shares by 4 cents to $1.63 per share, marking a 3% rise from the previous quarter and a 5% increase from the prior year. This decision reflects BMO’s commitment to delivering value to its shareholders and may enhance its attractiveness to investors. The dividends for both common and preferred shares are scheduled for payment in August 2025, with the option for common shareholders to reinvest dividends through the bank’s Shareholder Dividend Reinvestment and Share Purchase Plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BMO) stock is a Buy with a C$150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank Of Montreal stock, see the TSE:BMO Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
BMO Financial Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with Increased Dividends
Positive
May 28, 2025

BMO Financial Group reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, showing an increase in both reported and adjusted net income compared to the previous year. The company achieved strong revenue and pre-tax earnings growth across its operating groups, despite a rise in provisions for credit losses. BMO’s robust capital position allowed it to increase its dividend and execute share buybacks, demonstrating resilience and commitment to shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BMO) stock is a Buy with a C$150.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank Of Montreal stock, see the TSE:BMO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
BMO Announces Redemption of $1.25 Billion Series J Notes
Neutral
May 6, 2025

Bank of Montreal (BMO) announced its intention to redeem its $1,250 million Series J Medium-Term Notes on June 17, 2025. This redemption, approved by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions, will be executed at a price equal to 100% of the principal amount plus accrued interest, ceasing further interest accrual post-redemption. This move may impact BMO’s financial strategy and stakeholder interests, aligning with its broader commitment to sustainable financial practices.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bank of Montreal to Redeem $1.25 Billion Series J Notes
Neutral
May 6, 2025

Bank of Montreal announced its intention to redeem $1,250 million of its Series J Medium-Term Notes on June 17, 2025. This move, approved by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions, will affect the company’s financial operations by ceasing interest accrual on the notes after the redemption date.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 20, 2025