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Royal Bank Of Canada (TSE:RY)
TSX:RY
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Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RY

Royal Bank Of Canada

(TSX:RY)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$224.00
▲(9.74% Upside)
Royal Bank of Canada's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The stock's technical indicators suggest potential overbought conditions, which could lead to a short-term correction. The valuation is reasonable, providing a balanced outlook for investors.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth across key segments indicates robust business expansion and effective market penetration, supporting long-term financial health.
Capital Strength
A strong capital position with a high CET1 ratio enhances financial stability and provides a buffer against economic uncertainties, supporting sustainable growth.
Strategic Acquisitions
Successful integration of acquisitions like HSBC Canada enhances operational efficiency and competitive positioning, driving long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially straining cash flow and limiting flexibility, especially in rising interest rate environments.
Declining Margins
Declining profit margins may indicate rising operational costs or competitive challenges, which could pressure future earnings and profitability.
Elevated Credit Loss Provisions
Increased credit loss provisions reflect potential asset quality issues, which could impact profitability and require careful risk management.

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Royal Bank Of Canada Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRoyal Bank of Canada (RY) is one of the largest financial institutions in Canada and a leading global bank. It operates through various segments including Personal & Commercial Banking, Wealth Management, Insurance, Investor & Treasury Services, and Capital Markets. RBC provides a wide range of financial services, including personal banking, business banking, investment services, asset management, and insurance products, serving millions of clients across Canada and internationally.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoyal Bank of Canada's revenue model is primarily based on interest income, fee-based income, and trading revenues. The majority of its revenue comes from Personal & Commercial Banking, which earns interest from loans and mortgages, as well as fees from various banking transactions. Wealth Management contributes significantly through asset management fees and commissions from financial products. Insurance operations generate premiums and investment income, while Capital Markets focuses on trading, investment banking, and advisory services. Additionally, RBC's Investor & Treasury Services provides custody and administration services, which further contribute to its revenue. Strategic partnerships and a strong digital banking presence also enhance its earnings potential.

Royal Bank Of Canada Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted RBC's strong financial performance driven by record earnings and substantial growth in revenue across multiple segments, particularly in Capital Markets and Wealth Management. However, the bank remains cautious due to geopolitical risks, trade uncertainties, and elevated credit provisions, which could impact future performance. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment remains positive due to the strong results and strategic initiatives in place.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Third Quarter Earnings
RBC reported record third quarter earnings of $5.4 billion, up 21% or over $900 million from the previous year, with a strong return on equity of over 17% for the quarter.
Strong Revenue Growth Across Segments
Revenue reached $17 billion this quarter, including record revenue in Capital Markets and double-digit growth in Personal Banking and Wealth Management.
Capital Markets Performance
Capital Markets reported record revenue of $3.8 billion, pre-provision pretax earnings of $1.7 billion, and net income of $1.3 billion, driven by strong results in Global Markets and Corporate Investment Banking.
Wealth Management Growth
Double-digit growth in assets under administration in both Canadian and U.S. Wealth Management, with significant market appreciation and net new client assets.
HSBC Canada Acquisition Synergies
Realization of $740 million in annualized cost synergies from the acquisition of HSBC Bank Canada, contributing to strong operating leverage.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical and Trade Policy Risks
Uncertainty around trade policy, particularly China's levy against Canada's canola exports and potential renegotiation of CUSMA, poses risks to consumer confidence and corporate profit margins.
Elevated Credit Loss Provisions
Provisions on impaired loans were up, with commercial banking PCLs remaining elevated due to softer economic conditions and ongoing trade uncertainty.
Challenges in Commercial Real Estate
Growth in commercial banking moderated to 6% year-over-year, with challenges noted in more tariff-sensitive sectors and cyclical headwinds in commercial real estate.
Softer Canadian Economy Impacts
The Canadian economy shows signs of softness, impacting sectors such as transportation, industrial products, and consumer discretionary, contributing to elevated impairments.
Company Guidance
During the RBC 2025 Third Quarter Results Conference Call, RBC reported record earnings of $5.4 billion, marking a 21% increase from the previous year, alongside a robust return on equity (ROE) of over 17% for the quarter. The bank's capital strength was highlighted with a CET1 ratio of 13.2%, and gross capital generation contributed 77 basis points. Revenue reached $17 billion, bolstered by significant gains in Capital Markets and double-digit growth in Personal Banking and Wealth Management. In terms of guidance, RBC anticipates maintaining an ROE of at least 16% in fiscal 2026, amidst a backdrop of geopolitical risks and trade uncertainties. The bank's diversified business model, strategic investments, and focus on cost synergies, particularly from the acquisition of HSBC Bank Canada, underpin its positive outlook, despite external challenges.

Royal Bank Of Canada Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Royal Bank of Canada demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, with robust cash flow generation. However, the high leverage poses potential risks, and declining margins may indicate rising costs or competitive challenges. Overall, the financial health is solid, but careful management of debt and costs is essential.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The income statement shows strong revenue growth with a 20.54% increase in TTM, indicating robust business expansion. Gross profit margin is healthy at 51.92%, and net profit margin is solid at 16.29%. However, the margins have decreased compared to previous years, suggesting increased costs or competitive pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.83, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if interest rates rise. Return on equity is strong at 14.50%, showing efficient use of equity. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth of 7.57% in TTM, indicating good cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.06, suggesting potential issues in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 97.29%, showing strong cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue117.58B134.49B53.66B48.77B49.54B47.10B
Gross Profit61.04B54.26B56.26B48.77B49.54B47.10B
EBITDA27.92B27.28B21.45B22.63B23.06B16.92B
Net Income19.15B16.23B14.86B15.79B16.04B11.43B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.23T2.17T2.00T1.92T1.71T1.62T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments440.33B167.13B212.00B240.60B231.03B297.64B
Total Debt789.67B474.20B439.35B425.18B305.05B9.87B
Total Liabilities2.09T2.04T1.89T1.81T1.61T1.54T
Stockholders Equity135.56B127.09B117.66B108.06B98.67B86.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow84.81B20.86B23.35B19.44B58.86B136.19B
Operating Cash Flow87.17B23.14B26.08B21.94B61.04B138.82B
Investing Cash Flow-99.01B-20.89B-28.27B-57.05B-57.35B-39.56B
Financing Cash Flow-8.98B-8.15B-9.83B-2.19B-5.93B-7.75B

Royal Bank Of Canada Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price204.12
Price Trends
50DMA
200.53
Positive
100DMA
189.05
Positive
200DMA
176.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.58
Positive
RSI
53.79
Neutral
STOCH
46.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 204.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 203.72, above the 50-day MA of 200.53, and above the 200-day MA of 176.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RY.

Royal Bank Of Canada Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$107.20B14.0513.40%3.37%-0.39%20.28%
$59.22B14.6713.25%2.98%9.25%0.34%
$287.39B15.6814.60%2.96%3.48%17.81%
$194.67B9.8617.36%3.66%7.92%175.59%
$125.86B15.5310.20%3.67%1.78%32.32%
$113.19B17.118.64%5.56%-2.54%-6.66%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RY
Royal Bank Of Canada
204.12
41.28
25.35%
TSE:BMO
Bank Of Montreal
174.07
52.51
43.20%
TSE:BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
91.86
24.10
35.57%
TSE:CM
Canadian Bank of Commerce
115.25
31.66
37.87%
TSE:TD
Toronto Dominion Bank
114.64
41.16
56.02%
TSE:NA
National Bank of Canada
155.75
27.47
21.41%

Royal Bank Of Canada Corporate Events

Royal Bank of Canada Issues $1.35 Billion in Capital Notes to Strengthen Financial Position
Sep 23, 2025

On September 23, 2025, Royal Bank of Canada announced the issuance of $1.35 billion in 6.500% Limited Recourse Capital Notes, Series 7, and Non-Cumulative 5-Year Fixed Rate Reset First Preferred Shares, Series BZ. This move is part of the bank’s strategy to strengthen its capital base and enhance its financial flexibility. The issuance is expected to have significant implications for the bank’s financial operations, potentially improving its industry positioning and providing more stability for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RY) stock is a Hold with a C$208.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Royal Bank Of Canada stock, see the TSE:RY Stock Forecast page.

RBC Earnings Call: Record Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for the Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) painted a picture of robust financial health and strategic growth, despite looming external challenges. The sentiment throughout the call was predominantly positive, driven by record earnings and substantial revenue growth across various segments. However, caution was advised due to geopolitical risks, trade uncertainties, and elevated credit provisions that could potentially impact future performance. Nevertheless, the bank’s strong results and strategic initiatives provided a reassuring outlook.

Royal Bank of Canada Reports Record Q3 2025 Earnings
Aug 28, 2025

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) is a global financial institution and the largest bank in Canada, known for its diversified business model and focus on innovation in the banking sector. It operates across multiple segments including personal and commercial banking, wealth management, insurance, and capital markets.

Royal Bank of Canada Reports Record Q3 2025 Earnings
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Royal Bank of Canada reported a record net income of $5.4 billion for the third quarter ended July 31, 2025, marking a 21% increase from the previous year. This growth was driven by strong performance across all business segments, particularly in Capital Markets and Personal Banking, reflecting the bank’s robust business model and strategic investments. The bank’s capital position remains strong with a CET1 ratio of 13.2%, supporting continued growth and shareholder returns. The results highlight RBC’s commitment to client focus and its ability to adapt and thrive in a dynamic economic environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RY) stock is a Buy with a C$201.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Royal Bank Of Canada stock, see the TSE:RY Stock Forecast page.

Royal Bank of Canada Issues $2.75 Billion in Medium-Term Notes
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Royal Bank of Canada announced the issuance of Senior Global Medium-Term Notes, Series J, with a total aggregate principal amount of $2.75 billion. The issuance includes $1.25 billion of 4.498% Senior Fixed Rate/Floating Rate Notes due in 2029, $500 million of Senior Floating Rate Notes due in 2029, and $1 billion of 4.696% Senior Fixed Rate/Floating Rate Notes due in 2031. This strategic move is part of the bank’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its financial position and support its growth initiatives. The issuance is expected to have implications for the bank’s capital structure and may influence its market positioning by enhancing its ability to fund operations and investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RY) stock is a Buy with a C$168.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Royal Bank Of Canada stock, see the TSE:RY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025