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Royal Bank Of Canada (TSE:RY)
TSX:RY

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) AI Stock Analysis

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Royal Bank Of Canada

(TSX:RY)

78Outperform
Royal Bank of Canada shows a strong overall performance driven by solid financial health, reasonable valuation, and positive earnings results. The key strengths include robust profitability, effective cash flow management, and successful integration of HSBC Canada. However, concerns about credit provisions and geopolitical risks slightly temper the outlook. Technical indicators provide a mixed picture, warranting cautious optimism.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Synergies
Royal Bank's anticipated increase in profitability is the dual benefit of incremental synergies from the HSBC Canada acquisition and improvement in profitability at City National.
Market Position
The bank is expanding industry-leading market share in Canada and increasing its global market penetration.
Strategic Initiatives
Application of Artificial Intelligence was highlighted as a key strategic advantage for each of Royal's operating segments.
Negative Factors
Credit Loss Provisions
Provisions for credit losses were higher than expected, reflecting higher impaired provisions across all segments.
Macroeconomic Risks
There is potential risk of near-term earnings downside in a worsening tariff and macroeconomic scenario.

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Royal Bank Of Canada Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRoyal Bank of Canada operates as a diversified financial service company worldwide. The company's Personal & Commercial Banking segment offers checking and savings accounts, home equity financing, personal lending, private banking, indirect lending, including auto financing, mutual funds and self-directed brokerage accounts, guaranteed investment certificates, credit cards, and payment products and solutions; and lending, leasing, deposit, investment, foreign exchange, cash management, auto dealer financing, trade products, and services to small and medium-sized commercial businesses. This segment offers financial products and services through branches, automated teller machines, and mobile sales network. Its Wealth Management segment provides a suite of advice-based solutions and strategies to high net worth and ultra-high net worth individuals, and institutional clients. The company's Insurance segment offers life, health, home, auto, travel, wealth, annuities, and reinsurance advice and solutions; and business insurance services to individual, business, and group clients through its advice centers, RBC insurance stores, and mobile advisors; digital, mobile, and social platforms; independent brokers; and travel partners. Its Investor & Treasury Services segment provides asset servicing, custody, payments, and treasury services to financial and other investors; and fund and investment administration, shareholder, private capital, performance measurement and compliance monitoring, distribution, transaction banking, cash and liquidity management, foreign exchange, and global securities finance services. The company's Capital Markets segment offers corporate and investment banking, as well as equity and debt origination, distribution, advisory services, sale, and trading services for corporations, institutional investors, asset managers, private equity firms, and governments. The company was founded in 1864 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoyal Bank of Canada generates revenue through various streams, primarily segmented into personal and commercial banking, wealth management, insurance, investor and treasury services, and capital markets. Personal and commercial banking remains a significant source of income, comprising fees from traditional banking services, loans, mortgages, and credit cards. The wealth management division contributes through advisory services, asset management, and brokerage fees. The insurance segment provides income through premiums from life, health, and property insurance products. Investor and treasury services generate revenue through custodial, fund administration, and transaction processing services. Capital markets division earns by facilitating trading, investment banking, and advisory services. The bank's earnings are also bolstered by its strategic partnerships and investments in technology to enhance digital banking capabilities and customer experience.

Royal Bank Of Canada Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Royal Bank of Canada demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, high profitability margins, and robust cash flow generation. The balance sheet shows a stable financial position with moderate leverage typical for the banking industry. The overall financial health is very strong, though careful management of leverage is important.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Royal Bank of Canada demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, evident from a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase to $60.45B from $57.49B in the previous year. The bank maintains robust profitability metrics, including a high gross profit margin of 100% and a solid net profit margin of approximately 29.4%. Although there was a slight decline in EBIT margin to 30.8% in TTM, the EBITDA margin remains healthy at 34.6%. These metrics indicate a highly efficient and profitable operation with well-managed expenses.
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
The balance sheet of Royal Bank of Canada is robust, showcasing a stable financial position with an equity ratio of 6.1%, reflecting a healthy level of equity relative to total assets. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 3.7, indicating moderate leverage which is typical in the banking industry. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 13.3%, suggesting effective use of equity capital to generate profits. The bank's balance sheet is solidly positioned, although the leverage could be a risk factor if not well-managed.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
The cash flow situation for Royal Bank of Canada is excellent, with a significant operating cash flow of $59.89B in TTM, highlighting strong cash-generating capabilities. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive at 175% year-over-year, demonstrating substantial improvement. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 3.37, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 3.23, indicating effective conversion of income into cash. This strong cash flow performance supports the bank's ability to invest in growth and manage debt obligations comfortably.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
57.49B53.66B48.77B49.54B47.10B
Gross Profit
57.49B56.26B48.77B49.54B47.10B
EBIT
24.30B27.18B38.15B20.62B14.38B
EBITDA
27.28B21.45B22.63B23.06B16.92B
Net Income Common Stockholders
16.23B14.86B15.79B16.04B11.43B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
167.13B212.00B240.60B231.03B297.64B
Total Assets
2.17T2.00T1.92T1.71T1.62T
Total Debt
474.20B439.35B425.18B305.05B9.87B
Net Debt
351.46B306.28B244.77B111.56B-148.03B
Total Liabilities
2.04T1.89T1.81T1.61T1.54T
Stockholders Equity
127.09B117.66B108.06B98.67B86.66B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
20.86B23.35B19.44B58.86B136.19B
Operating Cash Flow
23.14B26.08B21.94B61.04B138.82B
Investing Cash Flow
-20.89B-28.27B-57.05B-57.35B-39.56B
Financing Cash Flow
-8.15B-9.83B-2.19B-5.93B-7.75B

Royal Bank Of Canada Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price167.43
Price Trends
50DMA
161.78
Positive
100DMA
166.43
Positive
200DMA
163.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.44
Negative
RSI
62.56
Neutral
STOCH
93.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 167.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 160.18, above the 50-day MA of 161.78, and above the 200-day MA of 163.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RY.

Royal Bank Of Canada Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSRY
78
Outperform
$236.50B13.6114.39%3.43%11.51%14.79%
BMBMO
77
Outperform
$71.08B12.6710.01%4.61%15.63%66.95%
64
Neutral
$12.64B9.748.05%17044.60%12.66%-4.62%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RY
Royal Bank Of Canada
167.43
33.10
24.64%
BMO
Bank Of Montreal
97.63
8.94
10.08%
BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
50.35
5.74
12.87%
CM
Canadian Bank of Commerce
63.72
17.55
38.01%
TD
Toronto Dominion Bank
63.96
11.76
22.53%
NTIOF
National Bank of Canada
88.20
7.96
9.92%

Royal Bank Of Canada Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.44%|
Next Earnings Date:May 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
RBC reported a strong start to fiscal 2025 with record earnings and growth driven by successful integration of HSBC Canada and robust performance across divisions. However, increased credit provisions, challenges in Commercial Banking, and geopolitical risks pose concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
RBC reported first quarter earnings of $5.1 billion, with adjusted earnings of $5.3 billion, up 29% year-over-year. The return on equity was recorded at 16.8% with strong common equity tier 1 ratio of 13.2%. Net interest income increased by 26% this quarter.
Successful Integration of HSBC Canada
The acquisition of HSBC Canada contributed $267 million to adjusted earnings. RBC has achieved 70% of the targeted $740 million cost synergies, with an annualized run rate savings of over $500 million.
Strong Performance in Capital Markets
Capital Markets reported record pre-provision pre-tax earnings of $1.7 billion, with Global Markets revenue exceeding $2 billion. Corporate Investment Banking was up 24% from last year.
Wealth Management Achievements
Wealth Management revenue surpassed $5.5 billion, generating nearly $1 billion in net income. Assets under management increased 23% year-over-year, surpassing $700 billion for the first time.
Positive Operating Leverage
RBC generated operating leverage of 13% or 8% on an adjusted basis. The bank reported robust adjusted all-bank operating leverage of 7.7%.
Negative Updates
Increased Credit Provisions
Impaired loans increased, driven by a significant account in the Capital Markets portfolio. Provisions on impaired loans rose to 39 basis points, with a $1.5 billion new formation in Capital Markets.
Challenges in Commercial Banking
Commercial Banking loan growth may moderate due to clients delaying investments amidst tariff-driven uncertainty. The HSBC Canada portfolio is driving a disproportionate share of Commercial Banking PCL on impaired loans.
Impact of California Wildfires
RBC's provision for the California wildfires amounted to $45 million, impacting City National's performance.
Potential Tariff and Geopolitical Risks
Uncertainty around trade policy and geopolitics may moderate client activity, with risks of recessionary conditions if broad and sustained tariffs are imposed.
Company Guidance
During RBC's 2025 first-quarter earnings call, the company reported record earnings of $5.1 billion, with adjusted earnings of $5.3 billion, representing a 29% year-over-year increase. The return on equity stood at 16.8%, supported by a strong common equity tier 1 ratio of 13.2%. The bank achieved a gross internal capital generation of 76 basis points, contributing to a 13% growth in book value. Net interest income rose by 26%, driven by robust deposit growth in Personal Banking and loan growth in Commercial Banking, while fee-based revenue also saw significant growth across various segments. The acquisition of HSBC Canada significantly contributed to the results, with expected cost synergies of $740 million by early 2026. Operating leverage was reported at 13%, or 8% on an adjusted basis. Despite an increase in provisions for credit losses and impaired loans, RBC maintained its PCL guidance for the year. The bank anticipates ongoing economic uncertainty due to potential tariff impacts but remains confident in navigating these challenges given its diversified business model and strong capital position.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.