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trivago NV (TRVG)
NASDAQ:TRVG
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trivago (TRVG) AI Stock Analysis

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TRVG

trivago

(NASDAQ:TRVG)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-3.54% Downside)
Trivago's overall stock score is driven by its strong earnings call performance, highlighting consistent revenue growth and strategic AI integration. However, financial performance challenges, high valuation, and neutral technical indicators weigh down the score. The company must address profitability and operational inefficiencies to improve its financial health.
Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term stability and investor confidence.
Successful AI Integration
AI integration enhances user experience and operational efficiency, potentially leading to increased customer retention and competitive advantage.
Cash Reserves and No Long-term Debt
Strong cash reserves and no long-term debt provide financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and cushioning against economic downturns.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Negative profit margins highlight operational inefficiencies, which can hinder long-term growth and shareholder value if not addressed.
Operational Expense Increase
Rising operational expenses can pressure margins and profitability, necessitating cost management to maintain financial health.
Reduced ROAS in Developed Europe
Decreased ROAS indicates declining advertising efficiency, potentially impacting revenue growth and necessitating strategic adjustments.

trivago (TRVG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

trivago Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrivago N.V. is a global hotel and accommodation search platform headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany. The company operates in the travel and hospitality sector, providing users with a comprehensive comparison of hotel prices and availability from various online booking platforms. Trivago's core services include a hotel metasearch engine that aggregates listings from numerous travel sites, allowing users to find the best deals on accommodations and related services across the globe.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrivago primarily generates revenue through a performance-based advertising model. The company earns money by charging hotels and online travel agencies (OTAs) a fee each time a user clicks on a hotel listing that redirects them to the advertiser's website to complete a booking, a process known as Cost Per Click (CPC). Key revenue streams include direct partnerships with hotel chains and OTAs that pay for increased visibility on the Trivago platform. Additionally, Trivago leverages its extensive data analytics capabilities to optimize advertising placements and enhance user experiences, which further attracts advertisers. The company's success is also bolstered by its global reach and brand recognition, which draws a significant volume of traffic to its website and mobile applications.

trivago Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook with consistent revenue growth, strong marketing performance, and strategic AI integration outweighing challenges such as foreign exchange headwinds and increased operational expenses.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Revenue Growth
Trivago delivered a 13% year-over-year revenue growth, marking the third consecutive quarter of double-digit growth despite major foreign exchange headwinds.
Improved Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA improved by 18% year-over-year, reaching a better-than-expected EUR 16 million.
Strong Brand and Marketing Performance
Strong double-digit branded traffic revenue growth, enhanced by AI-powered campaigns and significant impact from the brand ambassador Jürgen Klopp.
Increased Profitability Expectations
Trivago expects mid-teens percentage revenue growth for the full year of 2025 and a positive adjusted EBITDA of at least EUR 10 million.
Successful AI Integration
AI Smart search feature expanded across key languages, improving user experience and conversion rates. AI review summaries and new guest sentiment ratings introduced.
Cash Reserves and No Long-term Debt
As of September 30, 2025, Trivago held EUR 106.3 million in cash and cash equivalents with no long-term debt.
Negative Updates
Foreign Exchange Headwinds
Unfavorable foreign exchange headwinds negatively affected revenue development by approximately 4% globally.
Operational Expense Increase
Excluding a prior year impairment charge, operational expenses increased by EUR 17.7 million, mainly driven by increased selling and marketing expenses.
Reduced ROAS in Developed Europe
Return on advertising spend (ROAS) in Developed Europe reduced from 151.2% in 2024 to 141.2% in 2025.
Company Guidance
During trivago's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 13% year-over-year revenue growth, marking its third consecutive quarter of double-digit growth despite facing major foreign exchange headwinds. The company's adjusted EBITDA improved by 18% year-over-year, achieving a net profit of EUR 11 million and an adjusted EBITDA of EUR 16 million. Trivago's growth was driven by strong branded traffic revenue, particularly in the Americas, and enhanced by AI-powered campaigns and product improvements. The company maintained a stable return on advertising spend, with advertising expenses increasing by EUR 14.5 million, driven by higher brand marketing investments. Despite economic uncertainties, trivago expects mid-teens percentage revenue growth for the full year of 2025 and aims for an adjusted EBITDA of around EUR 20 million in 2026. The company also noted improvements in marketing efficiency and user satisfaction, with AI features enhancing the hotel search experience. Trivago continues to focus on branded growth, optimizing its core hotel search experience, and creating value for its partners, anticipating sustained double-digit growth and profitability.

trivago Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trivago shows strong gross margins and improving cash flow, but faces challenges with profitability and revenue stability. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but negative returns on equity indicate inefficiencies. The company shows potential for improvement, but must address operational and profitability issues to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
trivago's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has a strong gross profit margin consistently above 97%, indicating efficient cost management. However, net profit margins have been negative, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. Recent revenue growth is positive at 3.87% TTM, but historical volatility with periods of decline suggests instability in revenue generation. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain negative, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position. trivago maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio around 0.20, suggesting conservative leverage. However, return on equity is negative, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows improvement, with a significant 70.92% growth in free cash flow TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential issues in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy, suggesting better cash management. Historical fluctuations in cash flow growth rates highlight potential volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue523.73M460.85M485.03M535.00M361.46M248.92M
Gross Profit511.68M449.58M473.06M522.31M349.96M238.79M
EBITDA12.00M-24.48M-147.30M-114.06M32.03M-252.65M
Net Income1.79M-23.70M-164.48M-127.22M10.70M-244.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets360.99M300.72M325.07M691.59M834.52M830.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments124.95M133.75M127.07M293.58M256.38M227.80M
Total Debt36.96M38.43M40.73M45.27M47.54M93.17M
Total Liabilities163.24M103.11M110.05M129.86M140.74M166.38M
Stockholders Equity197.75M197.60M215.02M561.74M693.78M664.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.31M17.45M24.29M62.29M28.75M2.37M
Operating Cash Flow15.32M20.25M27.80M66.27M32.54M7.87M
Investing Cash Flow-15.26M12.22M16.29M-54.91M10.02M-16.19M
Financing Cash Flow-1.11M-774.00K-190.44M-19.62M1.05M-180.00K

trivago Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.11
Price Trends
50DMA
3.23
Negative
100DMA
3.43
Negative
200DMA
3.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
43.69
Neutral
STOCH
46.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRVG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.10, below the 50-day MA of 3.23, and below the 200-day MA of 3.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TRVG.

trivago Risk Analysis

trivago disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. trivago reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

trivago Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$769.79M12.0310.76%6.02%13.06%66.19%
72
Outperform
$1.25B15.348.73%5.73%30.00%-9.72%
70
Outperform
$1.80B12.9420.37%5.35%33.74%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
53
Neutral
$221.62M80.571.22%17.38%
51
Neutral
$698.11M-14.07%6.65%50.32%
47
Neutral
$27.95B119.633.45%-95.06%1.92%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRVG
trivago
3.07
1.42
86.06%
NBIS
Nebius Group
102.22
83.65
450.46%
YELP
Yelp
29.34
-7.55
-20.47%
SSTK
Shutterstock
22.30
-7.10
-24.15%
OPRA
Opera
13.62
-3.58
-20.81%
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings
1.72
-0.77
-30.92%

trivago Corporate Events

trivago Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results with Continued Growth
Nov 4, 2025

On November 5, 2025, trivago N.V. announced its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, reporting a 13% year-over-year increase in total revenue to €165.6 million, driven by an 11% rise in Referral Revenue. This marks the company’s fourth consecutive quarter of revenue growth, with net income reaching €11.0 million, the highest third-quarter result since going public. The acquisition of Holisto Limited, completed on July 31, 2025, contributed to these results. The company expects continued growth into 2026, with projections of mid-teens percentage revenue growth and an Adjusted EBITDA of around €20 million.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025