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trivago
(NASDAQ:TRVG)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(115.05% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/25/26
TRVG scores highest on improving fundamentals with a low-leverage balance sheet and sharply better TTM cash generation, supported by constructive earnings-call guidance (raised EBITDA outlook and planned buyback). Technicals add support with strong trend strength, though momentum is somewhat stretched. The main offsets are still-thin/uneven profitability and cash conversion, plus a valuation (P/E ~25) that leaves less room for execution missteps amid FX/regional and litigation overhangs.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A large cash balance and no long-term debt provide durable financial flexibility: supports continued product investment, marketing when opportune, and the EUR 20M buyback without external funding. Low leverage reduces refinancing and interest-rate vulnerability over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Thin Profitability
TTM return to positive net income and EBIT is encouraging, but margins remain narrow. Thin profitability leaves earnings sensitive to modest revenue slowdowns or rising costs, meaning sustained margin improvement is required to convert recent progress into durable free cash flow.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
A large cash balance and no long-term debt provide durable financial flexibility: supports continued product investment, marketing when opportune, and the EUR 20M buyback without external funding. Low leverage reduces refinancing and interest-rate vulnerability over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors
trivago Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down where trivago earns its revenue across countries and regions, showing which markets drive growth and where the company is most exposed. Highlights concentration risk, local demand cycles, currency and regulatory impacts, and where expansion or retrenchment could materially affect top-line performance.
Breaks down where trivago earns its revenue across countries and regions, showing which markets drive growth and where the company is most exposed. Highlights concentration risk, local demand cycles, currency and regulatory impacts, and where expansion or retrenchment could materially affect top-line performance.
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The Flytrivago (TRVG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.69B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)70.68K
Price to Earnings (P/E)28.0
Beta (1Y)0.91
Revenue Growth26.61%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees893
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustrySoftware - Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.17
Shares Outstanding23,124,294
10 Day Avg. Volume45,517
30 Day Avg. Volume70,684
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.11
Price to Book (P/B)0.82
Price to Sales (P/S)0.32
P/FCF Ratio54.03
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.06
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.31
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit0.32
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.54
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$3.40Price Target Upside21.86% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.05
Revenue Forecast (FY)$620.71M
trivago Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
trivago N.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates a hotel and accommodation search platform in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, Canada, Japan, and internationally. The company offers online metasearch for hotels and accommodati...
How the Company Makes Money
trivago primarily makes money by monetizing referral traffic it sends to booking providers. Its main revenue stream is advertising/referral revenue earned when OTAs, hotel chains, and other accommodation booking sites bid for prominence on trivago...
trivago Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a net-positive operational and strategic picture: strong top-line momentum (15% revenue growth), meaningful product improvements (58% conversion lift since Q1 2023), stronger marketplace diversification, a robust balance sheet (EUR 136.1M cash, zero long-term debt) and an upgraded adjusted EBITDA outlook (EUR ~25M) alongside a EUR 20M buyback. Offsetting these positives are current losses (net loss EUR 7.3M; adjusted EBITDA loss EUR 4.5M), increased operating expenses, regional pressure in Rest of World due to FX and geopolitical issues, and ongoing multiyear legal uncertainty related to Google. Overall, the company reinforced confidence in durable growth and path to profitability while acknowledging near-term cost and regional headwinds.Positive Updates
Top-line Growth
Total revenue of EUR 142.9 million in Q1 2026, up 15% year-over-year and marking the fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
Negative Updates
Current Profitability Shortfall
Reported a net loss of EUR 7.3 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of EUR 4.5 million in Q1 2026, despite improved guidance for the full year.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Top-line Growth
Total revenue of EUR 142.9 million in Q1 2026, up 15% year-over-year and marking the fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
trivago reaffirmed its full‑year outlook of double‑digit revenue growth and raised 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to around EUR 25 million (up from prior guidance of at least EUR 20 million), while targeting an approximate 10% adjusted EBITDA margin in the next few years and announcing a planned share buyback program of up to EUR 20 million to start execution end‑May; the company started Q2 on a promising footing after Q1 total revenue of EUR 142.9 million (+15% YoY) despite ~5% global FX headwinds, reporting an adjusted EBITDA loss of EUR 4.5 million and a net loss of EUR 7.3 million, with cash of EUR 136.1 million and zero long‑term debt. Financial and operational KPIs highlighted include Rest of World referral revenue down 12% (FX ~9%), referral mix of Developed Europe 44% / Americas 39% / RoW 17%, global ROAS up to 121% (from 118.1% YoY) with Americas ROAS 116.1% (from 102.7%), Dev Europe 130.5% (from 134%), RoW 111.2% (from 120.3%); operating expenses EUR 152.9 million (+EUR 19.2m) including S&M +EUR 10.6m, advertising spend +EUR 7.8m (20%) in Dev Europe, +EUR 4.1m (9%) in Americas and −EUR 1.0m (−5%) in RoW. Product and marketplace metrics underpinning the guidance include conversion rate +58% since Q1 2023, logged‑in members now driving >30% of referral revenue, trivago Book & Go referral revenue +530% since Q1 2023 and doubling its share year‑over‑year (now a top‑5 marketplace player), share of “all others” advertisers up from 20% (Q1 2023) to 35% (Q1 2026), Google referral share down 34% vs Q1 2023, transaction‑based CPA processing >30% of referral revenue (from 25% last quarter), and GenAI‑referred traffic remaining below 1% of revenue.trivago Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 568.92M | 548.91M | 460.85M | 485.03M | 535.00M | 361.46M |
| Gross Profit | 546.22M | 533.82M | 449.58M | 473.06M | 522.31M | 349.96M |
| EBITDA | 20.43M | 10.04M | -24.48M | -147.30M | -114.06M | 32.03M |
| Net Income | 11.47M | 11.22M | -23.70M | -164.48M | -127.22M | 10.70M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 377.19M | 358.45M | 300.72M | 325.07M | 691.59M | 834.52M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 138.45M | 142.81M | 133.75M | 127.07M | 293.58M | 256.38M |
| Total Debt | 35.79M | 36.34M | 38.43M | 40.73M | 45.27M | 47.54M |
| Total Liabilities | 168.45M | 145.15M | 103.11M | 110.05M | 129.86M | 140.74M |
| Stockholders Equity | 208.73M | 213.30M | 197.60M | 215.02M | 561.74M | 693.78M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 13.30M | 3.22M | 17.45M | 24.29M | 62.29M | 28.75M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 17.81M | 7.73M | 20.25M | 27.80M | 66.27M | 32.54M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 771.27K | -9.23M | 12.22M | 16.29M | -54.91M | 10.02M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.19M | -1.26M | -774.00K | -190.44M | -19.62M | 1.05M |
trivago Technical Analysis
Positive
2.79
Price Trends
3.81
Positive
3.33
Positive
3.18
Positive
Market Momentum
0.46
Negative
70.90
Negative
83.40
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRVG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.74, below the 50-day MA of 3.81, and below the 200-day MA of 3.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.90 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.40 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRVG.
trivago Risk Analysis
trivago disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. trivago reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
trivago Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
84 Outperform | $1.78B | 15.55 | 11.76% | 5.47% | 24.83% | 73.88% | |
75 Outperform | $1.46B | 11.89 | 19.70% | ― | 2.09% | 4.03% | |
70 Outperform | $2.69B | 28.02 | 5.70% | ― | 26.61% | ― | |
64 Neutral | $873.38M | -20.27 | -10.32% | ― | 6.78% | 52.54% | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
60 Neutral | $54.26B | 63.60 | 16.37% | ― | 443.93% | ― | |
53 Neutral | $485.68M | ― | -3.62% | 7.14% | -1.77% | -152.61% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
TRVG
trivago
5.41
1.86
52.39%
NBIS
Nebius Group
215.62
167.78
350.71%
YELP
Yelp
26.52
-8.04
-23.26%
SSTK
Shutterstock
9.81
-8.14
-45.36%
OPRA
Opera
19.90
1.30
6.98%
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings
2.29
0.66
40.49%
trivago Corporate Events
trivago Restores ADR Trading on German Stock Exchanges After Suspension
Jun 29, 2026
Trivago N.V., a major player in the online travel and hotel metasearch industry, operates a global price comparison platform that leverages AI to tailor hotel search results. The company’s service aggregates options from more than 7 million ...
trivago Shareholders Back 2025 Accounts, Board Mandates and Capital Actions at 2026 AGM
Jun 29, 2026
On June 26, 2026, trivago N.V. held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where investors overwhelmingly approved the Dutch statutory annual accounts for the 2025 financial year and confirmed the external auditor for 2026. Shareholders also ...
trivago Launches €20 Million ADS Buyback Program Approved on May 29, 2026
May 29, 2026
In April 2026, the supervisory board of trivago authorized a share repurchase program for its American Depositary Shares, with a total buyback capacity of up to €20 million. On May 29, 2026, the management board approved implementation, posi...
trivago Sets June 26, 2026 Date for Annual General Meeting in Amsterdam
May 28, 2026
Trivago N.V. announced on May 28, 2026, that it will hold its annual general meeting of shareholders on June 26, 2026, at the offices of NautaDutilh N.V. in Amsterdam, starting at 3:00 p.m. CEST. The company has made the convening notice and expla...
trivago Sues Google in Germany Over Alleged Self-Preferencing in Hotel Search
May 5, 2026
trivago N.V., the Düsseldorf-based hotel metasearch platform, has filed an antitrust damages claim against Google in the Regional Court of Hamburg, Germany, dated May 5, 2026. The action targets alleged self-preferencing of Google’s own...
trivago Lifts 2026 Profit Outlook and Launches €20 Million Buyback After Strong Q1
May 5, 2026
On May 5, 2026, Düsseldorf-based trivago reported unaudited first-quarter 2026 results showing total revenue up 15% year over year to €142.9 million, driven by double-digit Referral Revenue gains in the Americas and Developed Europe. Pr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.