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Opera Ltd (OPRA)
NASDAQ:OPRA

Opera (OPRA) AI Stock Analysis

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OPRA

Opera

(NASDAQ:OPRA)

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Outperform 82 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(22.44% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/02/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (low leverage and solid cash generation) and a constructive earnings outlook supported by significant capital returns (dividend plus a large buyback). Valuation is supportive, while technicals are positive but near overbought levels, adding near-term pullback risk.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Opera’s very low leverage and conservative financing materially lower financial risk and preserve strategic optionality. Over a multi‑month horizon this supports sustained dividends, a large buyback program, and the ability to invest in AI, MiniPay and partnerships without stress in downturns.
Robust cash generation
Consistent operating and free cash flow with high cash conversion (~83% of adj. EBITDA) provides repeatable funding for buybacks, dividends and product investment. Strong cash generation enhances resilience and funds scaling of monetization initiatives over the coming quarters.
Diversified monetization & product innovation
Opera is broadening revenue beyond core search/ads via AI browsers, subscription Neon, query monetization and MiniPay. This multi‑pronged approach increases ARPU, reduces single‑stream dependency and creates durable growth levers as AI and digital payments adoption matures across markets.
Negative Factors
Rising cost of revenue
A structural shift toward off‑platform ad inventory and higher cost of revenue implies narrower gross margins. If sustained, this reduces operating leverage and requires higher revenue growth to maintain historical EBITDA/net margins, pressuring margin sustainability over coming quarters.
Increasing operating expenses
Planned increases in compensation, marketing and other operating costs expand the fixed cost base. Over a 2–6 month horizon this raises the revenue growth threshold needed to sustain margins and free cash flow, making outputs more sensitive to execution and slower top‑line scenarios.
Early-stage monetization of new products
Rapid percentage growth from nascent lines (non‑search queries, Neon) starts from a small base. Their modest absolute contribution today means scaling and consistent monetization must continue to prove durable revenue diversification; failure would keep dependence on core ad/search streams.

Opera (OPRA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Opera Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOpera Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile and PC web browsers. It operates in two segments, Browser and News, and Other. The company offers mobile browser products, such as Opera Mini, Opera for Android and iOS, Opera GX Mobile, and Opera Touch; PC browsers, including Opera for Computers and Opera GX; and Opera News, an AI-powered personalized news discovery and aggregation service. It also provides browser-based cashback rewards under the Dify brand name; owns GameMaker Studio, a 2D gaming development platform; and GXC, a gaming portal. In addition, the company operates online marketing platforms, including Opera Ads, an online advertising platform; and Opera Ads Manager, designs to create, manage, and report on digital advertising campaigns in one place allowing advertisers to reach customers. It operates in Ireland, Singapore, Russia, and internationally. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway. Opera Limited is a subsidiary of Kunlun Tech Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyOpera generates revenue through several key streams. Firstly, it earns money through advertising, specifically by offering advertising solutions within its browsers and other products. The company also monetizes its user base through partnerships with search engines, where it receives a share of ad revenue generated via its default search options. Additionally, Opera has developed a subscription-based model for premium services, allowing users to access enhanced features and tools. The introduction of a cryptocurrency wallet has also opened new avenues for revenue, particularly through transaction fees and related services. Strategic partnerships with telecom companies and content providers further bolster its earnings, enabling bundled offerings and targeted marketing initiatives.

Opera Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong operational execution: double-digit top-line growth (Q4 +22%, FY +28%), expanding monetization (advertising, query revenue, MiniPay), robust profitability (23%+ EBITDA margins), and excellent cash conversion, capped by a sizable $300M buyback. Lowlights are mostly execution/scale considerations (cost-of-revenue mix shift, rising OpEx, early-stage monetization for Neon and non-search query revenues) and a more cautious 2026 growth guide relative to 2025. Overall, the positive financial results, cash generation, product momentum, and shareholder returns materially outweigh the manageable challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue Outperformance
Q4 revenue of $177 million, up 22% year-over-year and ~8% above the midpoint of guidance; exceeded the high end of the revenue guidance range by over $12 million.
Strong Full-Year Revenue Growth
Full-year 2025 revenue of $615 million, growing 28% year-over-year (accelerated from 21% in 2024).
Robust EBITDA and Profitability
Quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $42 million (23.6% margin) and full-year adjusted EBITDA of $143 million (23.2% margin); adjusted EBITDA was ~7% above midpoint guidance.
Excellent Cash Generation and Conversion
Q4 operating cash flow $40 million (96% of adjusted EBITDA) and full-year operating cash flow $118 million (83% of adjusted EBITDA). Free cash flow was $35 million in Q4 and $98 million for the year.
Advertising & E‑commerce Momentum
Advertising revenue had an unprecedented sequential increase of $19 million vs Q3 and grew 25% year-over-year, driven by scaled e-commerce partnerships; average spend among top 50 advertisers grew 56% in 2025.
Rapid Expansion of Query Monetization
User intent query revenue grew 16% year-over-year; non-search query revenue grew over 200% year-over-year and contributed over $5 million in Q4 (up from $3 million in Q3).
Audience & ARPU Growth
Total MAUs ended the year at 284 million (including 60 million in Western markets); ARPU increased 26% to $2.49 in Q4. Opera GX reached 34 million MAUs (5% sequential increase) and remains the highest-ARPU product.
Scale and Platform Reach
Opera Ads processes ~12 million ad queries per second (more than double year-ago); worked with 300+ advertisers in 2025 and total advertising reach (including OEM white-label) exceeds 0.5 billion MAUs.
Product Innovation & AI Integration
Launched Opera Air and subscription-based Opera Neon; rolled out Opera One R3 with Opera AI (20% faster agentic engine) and expanded Opera AI across browsers as a differentiation and monetization driver.
MiniPay Traction
MiniPay reached over 13 million activated wallets (up from 10 million in Q3) and increased cumulative transactions from 290 million to 390 million; expanded support for USDT and Tether Gold and began rolling out a MiniPay card.
Capital Allocation: Large Buyback & Dividends
Announced a $300 million share buyback authorization (over 25% of market cap) in addition to a recurring dividend, demonstrating strong cash generation and shareholder returns focus.
Rule of 40 & Margin Discipline
Company remained a Rule of 40 business for the fifth consecutive year while maintaining healthy EBITDA margins and investing in growth (2025 adjusted EBITDA margin 23.2%).
Negative Updates
Rising Cost of Revenue
Cost of revenue scaled with revenue overperformance and represented 37.4% of total revenue in Q4; company expects cost of revenue ~38% for 2026, implying a ~2 percentage point gross margin headwind as off-platform ad inventory scales.
Higher-than-Expected Compensation Costs
Q4 cash compensation expense was approximately $1 million higher than expected, driven by increased bonus provisions and a weaker U.S. dollar; total costs were $11 million above midpoint guidance (offset by $14 million revenue upside).
Neon Early-Stage Monetization
Opera Neon (subscription-based) was rolled out widely in mid-December and user demand for agentic browsers is not yet mainstream; monetization and subscriber contribution remain early and small currently.
Non-search Query Revenue Still Small in Absolute Terms
Non-search query revenue grew >200% YoY but represents modest dollars today (~$5 million in the quarter), so scale and sustainability remain to be proven despite rapid growth rates.
Competitive Pressure and Market Perception
Management noted increased competition in Europe and from well-capitalized entrants; also commented that public market valuation does not fully reflect operational performance, indicating external sentiment/headwinds.
Expected Increase in Operating Expenses
Guidance implies growth in cash-based compensation (low-teens %), marketing (~10%), and other OpEx (~15%) for 2026 — indicating higher absolute cost base even as profitability is maintained.
Slower Growth Guidance for 2026 vs 2025
Guided 2026 revenue of $720–735 million (17–20% growth), which is a deceleration versus 2025 growth of 28%, reflecting a more cautious outlook early in the year.
OPay IPO Timing Uncertain
OPay performance is strong, but management provided no confirmed timing for a potential IPO despite hiring experienced public executives, leaving monetization/realization timing unclear.
Company Guidance
Opera guided Q1 2026 revenue of $169–172M (up 18–21% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA of $38–40M (22.9% margin at the midpoint), and full‑year 2026 revenue of $720–735M (growth 17–20%) with adjusted EBITDA of $167–172M (23.3% margin at the midpoint). Management implicitly guides to a full‑year OpEx base pre‑adjusted EBITDA of $558M at the midpoint (Q1 ~$131.5M), expects cost of revenue to be ~38% of revenue (starting below and ticking up), cash‑based compensation to grow in the low teens percent, marketing spend to grow ~10% (evenly distributed), and other OpEx pre‑adj. EBITDA to grow ~15%; they also said 2025 cash conversion (operating cash flow ~$118M, ~83% of adj. EBITDA; free cash flow ~$98M, ~69% of adj. EBITDA) is a fair baseline for 2026. Finally, they announced a $300M share buyback authorization (over 25% of market cap) in addition to the recurring dividend.

Opera Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by a very low-leverage balance sheet (minimal debt) and solid, improving operating and free cash flow. Profitability is consistently positive with healthy 2025 net margins, but recent margin compression and historical earnings/cash-flow volatility temper the score.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Opera shows solid revenue momentum over time (strong growth in 2021–2023 and positive growth again in 2025), with profitability now consistently positive. 2025 annual margins are healthy (about 43% gross margin and ~18% net margin), and net income has improved versus 2024. The main weakness is margin compression versus 2022–2024 (gross and EBITDA/EBIT margins notably lower in 2025), and the history includes a loss year in 2021 plus unusually volatile profitability (e.g., outsized net margin in 2020), which reduces earnings stability.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is very conservatively financed: debt is minimal and leverage is extremely low (debt-to-equity roughly ~1% across recent years), which lowers financial risk and supports flexibility. Equity and assets are sizable and appear stable, and returns on equity are positive in most years (rebounding meaningfully from 2022 to 2023–2025). The key drawback is that returns on equity have fluctuated materially (negative in 2021, very low in 2022, then higher in 2023), indicating variability in how efficiently capital is being converted into earnings.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash generation is strong and improving: operating cash flow and free cash flow are both solid in 2025, and free cash flow growth accelerated sharply in 2025 after a slight decline in 2024. Cash conversion is generally healthy, with operating cash flow roughly covering net income in 2023–2025 and free cash flow close to net income in 2025. The weakness is historical volatility—coverage was weak in 2021 and below 1x in 2022—suggesting cash generation can fluctuate with operating conditions.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue616.73M480.65M396.83M331.04M250.99M
Gross Profit266.01M348.09M303.58M276.45M237.30M
EBITDA111.60M114.52M173.53M38.09M-23.19M
Net Income108.62M80.77M153.30M15.04M-43.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.14B1.06B1.01B964.69M1.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments155.47M126.80M93.86M118.66M181.01M
Total Debt12.95M9.59M10.55M7.83M13.51M
Total Liabilities132.54M115.48M91.09M76.47M79.42M
Stockholders Equity1.01B940.10M919.85M888.21M1.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow115.22M74.37M76.36M46.69M20.67M
Operating Cash Flow120.79M104.98M82.76M56.66M26.56M
Investing Cash Flow-17.80M-27.11M20.00M44.45M-49.70M
Financing Cash Flow-76.18M-42.15M-59.84M-150.58M-6.68M

Opera Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.11
Price Trends
50DMA
13.57
Positive
100DMA
13.80
Positive
200DMA
15.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Negative
RSI
61.42
Neutral
STOCH
78.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OPRA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.22, above the 50-day MA of 13.57, and below the 200-day MA of 15.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OPRA.

Opera Risk Analysis

Opera disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Opera reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Opera Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$1.35B11.6711.11%5.47%30.00%-9.72%
71
Outperform
$1.38B13.2220.02%5.35%33.74%
61
Neutral
$873.32M33.984.32%10.96%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
55
Neutral
$357.38M-50.84-1.13%-28.29%-126.12%
55
Neutral
$660.44M28.43783.82%64.86%-112.92%
50
Neutral
$233.06M-19.21-129.58%14.25%-211.21%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OPRA
Opera
15.11
-1.59
-9.54%
PERI
Perion Network
8.84
0.61
7.41%
YELP
Yelp
23.74
-10.22
-30.09%
MAX
MediaAlpha
10.25
1.29
14.40%
TBLA
Taboola.com
3.18
0.33
11.58%
SMWB
Similarweb
2.71
-6.54
-70.70%

Opera Corporate Events

Opera Tops 2025 Targets and Launches $300 Million Buyback as AI Browsers, MiniPay Fuel Growth
Feb 26, 2026

On February 26, 2026, Opera reported that its fourth-quarter 2025 revenue rose 22% year-over-year to $177.2 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $41.9 million and a 24% margin, both ahead of guidance. For full-year 2025, revenue climbed 28% to $614.8 million and adjusted EBITDA reached $142.5 million with a 23% margin, underpinned by strong growth in advertising and query revenue tied to e-commerce and user-intent monetization.

The company also unveiled a $300 million share repurchase program to be executed over two years, with pro rata buybacks from public shareholders and its majority owner, signaling confidence in its cash generation and complementing its recurring dividend strategy. Management framed 2025 as a year of “financial overperformance” and highlighted strategic advances, including the launch of two new AI-enhanced browsers and rapid expansion of the MiniPay wallet to 13 million activated accounts, moves that reinforce Opera’s bid to deepen user engagement and strengthen its position at the intersection of browsers, AI and digital finance.

Opera introduced 2026 guidance calling for full-year revenue of $720 million to $735 million, implying 17% to 20% growth over 2025 and adjusted EBITDA of $167 million to $172 million, maintaining margins around 23%. For the first quarter of 2026, the company projected revenue of $169 million to $172 million, representing 18% to 21% year-on-year growth, and adjusted EBITDA of $38 million to $40 million, suggesting continued disciplined scaling with strong profitability and cash conversion that may appeal to growth- and income-oriented investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPRA) stock is a Buy with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Opera stock, see the OPRA Stock Forecast page.

Opera Expects Q4 2025 Results to Top Guidance as Full-Year Revenue Jumps Over 26%
Feb 2, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Oslo-based Opera Limited reported that its preliminary fourth-quarter 2025 results are expected to exceed earlier guidance, with revenue projected to surpass $170 million and full-year 2025 revenue set to top $608 million, representing more than 26% growth versus 2024. The company also anticipates adjusted EBITDA for both the quarter and full year to come in above the high end of prior guidance, with full-year adjusted EBITDA expected to exceed $141 million, driven by a roughly 2 million sequential increase in high-ARPU Western users and strong monetization from e-commerce, search and partner promotions, reinforcing Opera’s growth trajectory and strengthening its position in the competitive browser and AI tools market ahead of its detailed earnings release on February 26, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPRA) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Opera stock, see the OPRA Stock Forecast page.

Opera Announces $0.40 Dividend for January 2026
Dec 11, 2025

Opera Limited announced on December 11, 2025, that its Board of Directors has declared a semi-annual cash dividend of $0.40 per share, payable on January 14, 2026, to shareholders of record as of January 7, 2026. This dividend, amounting to an aggregate payment of $35.9 million, reflects Opera’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and underscores its stable financial position in the global browser and AI industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPRA) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Opera stock, see the OPRA Stock Forecast page.

Opera Limited Expands Share Incentive Plan Following AGM Approval
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Opera Limited announced the results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where an amendment to the Share Incentive Plan was approved. The amendment, effective December 10, 2025, increases the number of American Depositary Shares (ADSs) from 10 million to 12 million, with an annual increase of 1 million ADSs starting January 1, 2026. This move aims to attract and retain talent, providing additional incentives to stakeholders and promoting the company’s long-term success.

The most recent analyst rating on (OPRA) stock is a Buy with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Opera stock, see the OPRA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 02, 2026