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Taboola.com (TBLA)
NASDAQ:TBLA
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Taboola.com (TBLA) AI Stock Analysis

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TBLA

Taboola.com

(NASDAQ:TBLA)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(5.11% Upside)
Taboola's overall stock score is driven primarily by its strong earnings call performance and stable financial position. The company's robust cash flow and low leverage are positive factors, while high valuation metrics and neutral technical indicators present some risks. The positive outlook from the earnings call, including exceeding guidance and growth in advertisers, significantly boosts the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Exceeding revenue guidance indicates strong demand for Taboola's services, suggesting robust market position and growth potential.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns.
Platform Adoption
Increased adoption of the Realize platform suggests competitive advantage and potential for sustained revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Margins
Low profitability margins highlight challenges in cost management, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Foreign Exchange Impact
Foreign exchange impacts can create earnings volatility, complicating financial planning and performance consistency.
Challenges with Chinese Advertisers
Reduced demand from Chinese advertisers could limit growth in a key market, affecting revenue diversification.

Taboola.com (TBLA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Taboola.com Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTaboola.com (TBLA) is a technology company specializing in content discovery and native advertising solutions. It operates primarily in the digital advertising sector, connecting publishers, advertisers, and users through its platform that recommends personalized content based on user interests. Taboola's core services include content recommendations on publisher websites, video advertising, and engagement tools that enhance user experience while maximizing revenue opportunities for publishers.
How the Company Makes MoneyTaboola generates revenue primarily through a performance-based advertising model. The company earns money by charging advertisers for clicks or impressions on their promoted content displayed on partner publisher sites. Key revenue streams include cost-per-click (CPC) and cost-per-impression (CPM) advertising, where advertisers pay for user interactions with their ads. Additionally, Taboola benefits from partnerships with various media companies and publishers that integrate its recommendation engine into their content platforms, enhancing their monetization strategies. The company's ability to leverage data analytics to optimize ad placements and improve user engagement further contributes to its earnings.

Taboola.com Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook for Taboola, driven by strong financial performance, growth in scaled advertisers, and successful adoption of the Realize platform. However, challenges such as margin declines, issues with Chinese advertisers, and foreign exchange impacts remain. Overall, the positive highlights outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Taboola reported revenue of $497 million, ex-TAC gross profit of $177 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $48 million, exceeding the high end of guidance with an EBITDA margin of over 27%. They also generated $46 million in free cash flow this quarter and $117 million year-to-date.
Growth in Scaled Advertisers
The number of scaled advertisers grew by 4% to 2,064, and the average revenue per scaled advertiser increased by 11%, reflecting the success and adoption of the Realize platform.
Share Repurchase Program
Taboola repurchased approximately 10 million shares during the quarter for a total of $34.4 million. Year-to-date, they have bought back $184 million worth of shares, representing 14% of the company.
Positive Outlook for Realize Platform
The Realize platform is gaining traction, with advertisers seeing strong performance metrics. A major online travel company using Realize's advanced targeting achieved 67% lower CPCs compared to Meta and increased site traffic by 48%.
Strong Cash Position
Taboola ended the third quarter with a net cash balance of $41.5 million and cash and cash equivalents of $115.5 million, more than offsetting long-term debt of $74 million.
Negative Updates
Year-Over-Year Margin Decline
Ex-TAC gross profit margins were down year-over-year, primarily due to last year's Yahoo testing, impacting the margins negatively.
Challenges with Chinese Advertisers
There was an unusual strong demand from Chinese advertisers in Q4 last year which has not returned to previous levels, partly due to tariffs and other market conditions.
Foreign Exchange Rate Impact
The adjusted EBITDA was affected by a $2 million headwind from foreign exchange rates in Q3, with an expected $5 million headwind in Q4 due to operating expenses.
Company Guidance
During Taboola's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported exceeding the high end of its guidance, with revenue reaching $497 million, an ex-TAC gross profit of $177 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $48 million, representing an EBITDA margin of over 27%. The new performance platform, Realize, is driving these strong results, with the number of scaled advertisers growing by 4% to 2,064 and average revenue per scaled advertiser increasing by 11%. Taboola anticipates nearly $2 billion in gross revenue and more than $700 million in ex-TAC gross profit for 2025, projecting over $200 million in adjusted EBITDA with a 30% margin. Furthermore, Taboola has bought back 14% of the company year-to-date and continues to see significant opportunities in a $55 billion market, positioning itself as a leading performance advertising platform outside of search and social.

Taboola.com Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Taboola.com demonstrates a stable financial position with moderate growth prospects. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with low leverage, and its cash flow generation is robust. However, profitability margins are relatively low, indicating potential areas for improvement in operational efficiency and cost management.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Taboola.com shows a moderate income statement performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is 31.1%, indicating a reasonable ability to convert revenue into gross profit. The net profit margin is low at 1.8%, reflecting limited profitability. Revenue growth is positive at 2.1% TTM, suggesting some growth momentum. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest at 2.4% and 6.3% respectively, indicating room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 TTM, showing conservative leverage. Return on equity is low at 3.3% TTM, suggesting limited returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is not explicitly provided, but the company's equity position appears solid given the low leverage.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow performance is strong with a free cash flow growth rate of 4.7% TTM, indicating healthy cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.47, showing a good conversion of earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 79.6%, reflecting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.82B664.66M1.44B1.40B1.38B1.19B
Gross Profit565.32M534.22M425.56M464.25M441.07M319.50M
EBITDA113.73M126.84M32.77M77.56M39.85M60.15M
Net Income33.41M-3.76M-82.04M-11.97M-24.95M8.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.53B1.72B1.71B1.53B1.60B580.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments115.44M230.36M181.83M262.81M319.32M242.81M
Total Debt175.45M180.89M214.88M298.73M362.89M78.79M
Total Liabilities603.55M666.75M650.74M695.09M830.28M533.53M
Stockholders Equity925.03M1.05B1.06B834.53M767.57M46.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow165.34M149.18M52.24M18.57M24.45M121.31M
Operating Cash Flow207.68M184.33M84.37M53.48M63.52M139.09M
Investing Cash Flow-38.64M-30.11M59.64M-139.56M-620.46M10.88M
Financing Cash Flow-238.35M-99.98M-134.61M-62.87M631.13M2.60M

Taboola.com Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.33
Price Trends
50DMA
3.37
Positive
100DMA
3.41
Positive
200DMA
3.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
63.51
Neutral
STOCH
53.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TBLA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.32, below the 50-day MA of 3.37, and below the 200-day MA of 3.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TBLA.

Taboola.com Risk Analysis

Taboola.com disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Taboola.com reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Taboola.com Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.98B14.2020.13%5.37%13.08%
73
Outperform
$769.79M12.0311.62%5.94%14.20%38.92%
67
Neutral
$988.07M90.741.40%12.01%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$870.04M64.86%-112.92%
56
Neutral
$413.89M-0.67%-38.18%-107.00%
49
Neutral
$687.48M-123.81%16.06%-134.90%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TBLA
Taboola.com
3.71
0.37
11.08%
PERI
Perion Network
9.26
0.21
2.32%
YELP
Yelp
32.16
-4.48
-12.23%
SSTK
Shutterstock
22.90
-9.67
-29.69%
MAX
MediaAlpha
13.50
1.88
16.18%
SMWB
Similarweb
8.30
-0.89
-9.68%

Taboola.com Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Taboola Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Taboola reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing the high-end of its guidance across all metrics. The company experienced a 14.7% increase in revenues, driven by growth in Scaled Advertisers and an increase in Average Revenue per Scaled Advertiser. The results reflect the momentum of Taboola’s performance platform, Realize, and contributions from Taboola News and Bidded Supply. The company also improved its net income from a loss in the previous year and raised its full-year outlook, indicating a positive impact on its operations and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TBLA) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Taboola.com stock, see the TBLA Stock Forecast page.

Taboola Surpasses Guidance with Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 7, 2025

Taboola.Com Ltd. is a global leader in performance advertising technology, offering solutions that go beyond search and social media to deliver measurable outcomes for businesses at scale. The company collaborates with numerous advertisers through its Realize platform, reaching millions of users daily across top publishers worldwide.

Taboola’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 7, 2025

Taboola.Com Ltd.’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, underscored by impressive revenue and profitability growth. The positive sentiment was further buoyed by a successful share buyback program and the promising early results of the Realize platform. Despite these achievements, the company acknowledged challenges in expanding existing advertiser budgets and navigating the China market. Overall, the upbeat outcomes overshadowed these concerns, leaving a positive impression on investors.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Taboola Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Taboola announced its strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, surpassing the high-end of its guidance. The company reported an 8.7% increase in revenues and an 18.2% rise in gross profit compared to the same quarter in 2024. Additionally, Taboola raised its full-year guidance and expanded its share repurchase program by $200 million, reflecting confidence in its business and long-term vision. The company also highlighted the early success of its new performance advertising platform, Realize.

The most recent analyst rating on (TBLA) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Taboola.com stock, see the TBLA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025