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Taboola.com (TBLA)
NASDAQ:TBLA
US Market

Taboola.com (TBLA) AI Stock Analysis

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TBLA

Taboola.com

(NASDAQ:TBLA)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(15.38% Upside)
Taboola.com has a strong overall stock score driven by positive financial performance and a favorable earnings call. The technical analysis supports a bullish trend, although the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation. The company's strategic initiatives and strong cash flow management enhance its market position.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Performance
Exceeding guidance with robust revenue and EBITDA growth indicates strong operational execution and financial health, supporting long-term stability.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with LG Ad Solutions expands Taboola's reach in connected TV, enhancing its market position and offering advertisers broader engagement opportunities.
Growth in Scaled Advertisers
Growth in scaled advertisers and revenue per advertiser reflects successful platform adoption, driving sustained revenue growth and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Year-Over-Year Margin Decline
Declining margins may indicate pricing pressure or increased costs, potentially impacting profitability unless addressed through strategic cost management.
Challenges with Chinese Advertisers
Reduced demand from Chinese advertisers could limit growth in a significant market, necessitating diversification to mitigate regional risks.
Foreign Exchange Rate Impact
Foreign exchange volatility can impact financial results, requiring effective hedging strategies to manage currency risk and protect margins.

Taboola.com (TBLA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Taboola.com Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTaboola.com Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates an artificial intelligence-based algorithmic engine platform in Israel, the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, France, and internationally. It offers Taboola, a platform that partners with websites, devices, and mobile apps to recommend editorial content and advertisements on the open web to users. Taboola.com Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyTaboola generates revenue primarily through its native advertising solutions, where it charges advertisers based on performance metrics such as clicks or impressions. The company operates on a cost-per-click (CPC) and cost-per-impression (CPM) model, allowing clients to pay only when users engage with their ads. Key revenue streams include partnerships with various publishers who utilize Taboola's platform to display sponsored content, as well as direct advertising deals with brands. Additionally, Taboola benefits from data analytics services that provide insights to advertisers, further enhancing its value proposition. Significant partnerships with major media outlets and digital platforms bolster its reach and effectiveness, contributing to its overall earnings.

Taboola.com Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook for Taboola, driven by strong financial performance, growth in scaled advertisers, and successful adoption of the Realize platform. However, challenges such as margin declines, issues with Chinese advertisers, and foreign exchange impacts remain. Overall, the positive highlights outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Taboola reported revenue of $497 million, ex-TAC gross profit of $177 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $48 million, exceeding the high end of guidance with an EBITDA margin of over 27%. They also generated $46 million in free cash flow this quarter and $117 million year-to-date.
Growth in Scaled Advertisers
The number of scaled advertisers grew by 4% to 2,064, and the average revenue per scaled advertiser increased by 11%, reflecting the success and adoption of the Realize platform.
Share Repurchase Program
Taboola repurchased approximately 10 million shares during the quarter for a total of $34.4 million. Year-to-date, they have bought back $184 million worth of shares, representing 14% of the company.
Positive Outlook for Realize Platform
The Realize platform is gaining traction, with advertisers seeing strong performance metrics. A major online travel company using Realize's advanced targeting achieved 67% lower CPCs compared to Meta and increased site traffic by 48%.
Strong Cash Position
Taboola ended the third quarter with a net cash balance of $41.5 million and cash and cash equivalents of $115.5 million, more than offsetting long-term debt of $74 million.
Negative Updates
Year-Over-Year Margin Decline
Ex-TAC gross profit margins were down year-over-year, primarily due to last year's Yahoo testing, impacting the margins negatively.
Challenges with Chinese Advertisers
There was an unusual strong demand from Chinese advertisers in Q4 last year which has not returned to previous levels, partly due to tariffs and other market conditions.
Foreign Exchange Rate Impact
The adjusted EBITDA was affected by a $2 million headwind from foreign exchange rates in Q3, with an expected $5 million headwind in Q4 due to operating expenses.
Company Guidance
During Taboola's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported exceeding the high end of its guidance, with revenue reaching $497 million, an ex-TAC gross profit of $177 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $48 million, representing an EBITDA margin of over 27%. The new performance platform, Realize, is driving these strong results, with the number of scaled advertisers growing by 4% to 2,064 and average revenue per scaled advertiser increasing by 11%. Taboola anticipates nearly $2 billion in gross revenue and more than $700 million in ex-TAC gross profit for 2025, projecting over $200 million in adjusted EBITDA with a 30% margin. Furthermore, Taboola has bought back 14% of the company year-to-date and continues to see significant opportunities in a $55 billion market, positioning itself as a leading performance advertising platform outside of search and social.

Taboola.com Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Taboola.com exhibits a positive financial trajectory with improving profitability and strong cash flow management. The company has low leverage and a strong equity position, providing a stable financial foundation. However, profitability metrics like ROE could be improved to enhance shareholder value.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Taboola.com shows a modest revenue growth rate of 3.51% TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin of 36.71% TTM is healthy, though it has decreased from previous years. The net profit margin of 1.62% TTM reflects a return to profitability after previous losses, but remains relatively low. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, suggesting better operational efficiency, yet they remain modest.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 TTM indicates low leverage, which is a positive sign of financial stability. Return on equity at 2.60% TTM shows improvement but remains low, suggesting limited profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio of 59.60% TTM indicates a strong equity base, contributing to financial stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Taboola.com demonstrates strong cash flow management with a free cash flow growth rate of 1.87% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 4.51 TTM indicates robust cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.80 TTM suggests efficient conversion of net income into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.88B664.66M1.44B1.40B1.38B1.19B
Gross Profit571.55M534.22M425.56M464.25M441.07M319.50M
EBITDA151.85M126.84M32.77M77.56M39.85M60.15M
Net Income25.29M-3.76M-82.04M-11.97M-24.95M8.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.53B1.72B1.71B1.53B1.60B580.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments115.47M230.36M181.83M262.81M319.32M242.81M
Total Debt168.64M180.89M214.88M298.73M362.89M78.79M
Total Liabilities617.88M666.75M650.74M695.09M829.74M533.53M
Stockholders Equity911.46M1.05B1.06B834.53M767.57M46.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow168.43M149.18M52.24M18.57M24.45M121.31M
Operating Cash Flow210.65M184.33M84.37M53.48M63.52M139.09M
Investing Cash Flow-38.24M-30.11M59.64M-139.56M-620.46M10.88M
Financing Cash Flow-274.17M-99.98M-134.61M-62.87M631.13M2.60M

Taboola.com Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.90
Price Trends
50DMA
3.73
Positive
100DMA
3.54
Positive
200DMA
3.40
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
55.13
Neutral
STOCH
29.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TBLA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.01, above the 50-day MA of 3.73, and above the 200-day MA of 3.40, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TBLA.

Taboola.com Risk Analysis

Taboola.com disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Taboola.com reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Taboola.com Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.12B55.432.63%10.96%
70
Outperform
$1.90B13.7020.37%5.35%33.74%
64
Neutral
$663.88M11.1810.76%7.06%13.06%66.19%
61
Neutral
$828.33M-599.0764.86%-112.92%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$434.61M-38.11-1.56%-28.29%-126.12%
50
Neutral
$597.93M-19.51-120.56%14.25%-211.21%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TBLA
Taboola.com
4.03
0.19
4.95%
PERI
Perion Network
9.92
1.71
20.83%
YELP
Yelp
31.06
-7.02
-18.43%
SSTK
Shutterstock
18.86
-9.29
-33.00%
MAX
MediaAlpha
12.94
1.73
15.43%
SMWB
Similarweb
7.20
-7.36
-50.55%

Taboola.com Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Taboola.com Executes Share Repurchase Agreement
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Taboola.com Ltd. executed a share repurchase agreement with Pitango Venture Capital, buying back 6,387,648 shares for approximately $23.4 million. This transaction, approved by the company’s Audit Committee, reflects Taboola’s strategic financial management and could influence its market positioning by consolidating ownership.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Taboola Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Taboola reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing the high-end of its guidance across all metrics. The company experienced a 14.7% increase in revenues, driven by growth in Scaled Advertisers and an increase in Average Revenue per Scaled Advertiser. The results reflect the momentum of Taboola’s performance platform, Realize, and contributions from Taboola News and Bidded Supply. The company also improved its net income from a loss in the previous year and raised its full-year outlook, indicating a positive impact on its operations and industry positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025