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Taboola.com (TBLA)
NASDAQ:TBLA
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Taboola.com (TBLA) AI Stock Analysis

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TBLA

Taboola.com

(NASDAQ:TBLA)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(3.86% Upside)
Taboola's overall score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes, tempered by technical analysis indicating a lack of clear momentum and a high P/E ratio suggesting overvaluation. The company's robust cash flow and strategic initiatives, such as the Realize platform, are positive indicators for future growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Taboola.Com Ltd. reported a significant increase in gross revenue and EBITDA, showing strong growth and financial performance.
Product Adoption
Management highlighted the momentum with the Realize Platform, as clients are experiencing ROI gains, indicating successful product adoption.
Stock Buyback
Taboola.Com Ltd. has been actively repurchasing shares and authorized an additional $200 million, reflecting confidence in the company's future prospects.
Negative Factors
Growth Deceleration
Gross revenue decelerated to +3% year-over-year, reflecting tough comparisons and the conclusion of a Yahoo ad test.
Operational Expenses
There is an expectation of needing to cut operational expenses in the second half to meet EBITDA guidance.
Revenue Guidance
Revenue guidance reflects no '25E incrementality from Realize, China-based advertiser weakness, and additional macro deterioration.

Taboola.com (TBLA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Taboola.com Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTaboola.com Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates an artificial intelligence-based algorithmic engine platform in Israel, the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, France, and internationally. It offers Taboola, a platform that partners with websites, devices, and mobile apps to recommend editorial content and advertisements on the open web to users. Taboola.com Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyTaboola makes money primarily through its native advertising services. The company partners with publishers and advertisers, allowing them to place sponsored content alongside organic content on publisher websites. Revenue is generated on a cost-per-click (CPC) or cost-per-impression (CPM) basis, where advertisers pay Taboola for the visibility and engagement their content receives. Taboola shares advertising revenue with its publisher partners, incentivizing them to host Taboola's content recommendations on their sites. Significant partnerships with large media companies and a robust network of advertisers and publishers contribute to Taboola's earnings. Additionally, Taboola offers advanced targeting and analytics capabilities to advertisers, enhancing the effectiveness of their campaigns and driving further revenue.

Taboola.com Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Taboola's second-quarter earnings call was generally positive, with the company outperforming guidance on key financial metrics and expressing confidence through significant share repurchases. The launch and initial success of the Realize platform indicate potential future growth. However, some concerns were noted regarding the limited increase in average revenue per scaled advertiser and challenges in the Chinese market.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Guidance Across Key Metrics
Taboola reported second-quarter revenues of $465 million, representing a growth of 9% year-over-year, ex-TAC gross profit of $172 million (15% higher than last year), and adjusted EBITDA of $45 million (21% higher than last year). The company has raised its full-year guidance across the board.
Successful Share Repurchase Program
Taboola bought back about 12% of the company in the first half of the year, reflecting confidence in their business. The Board approved an incremental $200 million to the share repurchase program.
Launch and Traction of Realize Platform
Realize, Taboola's new performance advertising platform, is showing early traction with 650 advertisers testing new capabilities since its launch in February.
Strong Financial Position
Taboola ended the second quarter with a net cash balance of $27.2 million and a new $270 million revolving credit facility, allowing significant liquidity.
Negative Updates
Limited Growth in Average Revenue per Scaled Advertiser
The average revenue per scaled advertiser rose only about 2% year-over-year, which was seen as a primary focus area that did not meet expectations.
Challenges in the Chinese Market
Revenue from China experienced a reduction, with the region currently accounting for about 5% of total revenue, and no significant recovery is expected in the second half of the year.
Company Guidance
During the Taboola Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported strong financial performance, exceeding the high end of its guidance across key metrics. The revenues reached $465 million, reflecting a 9% year-over-year growth. Ex-TAC gross profit was $172 million, up 15% from the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA was $45 million, representing a 21% increase, with a margin expansion noted. The free cash flow saw a 31% year-over-year growth, amounting to $34 million. The company also repurchased approximately $100 million worth of stock during the quarter and announced an incremental $200 million to its share repurchase program. For the full year, Taboola raised its guidance, expecting revenues between $1.86 billion and $1.89 billion, ex-TAC gross profit of $689 million to $703 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $208 million to $214 million. The company highlighted its new performance advertising platform, Realize, as a key growth driver, alongside its strategic focus on expanding its unique supply initiatives.

Taboola.com Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Taboola has shown strong revenue growth and improving operational metrics. The balance sheet is stable with a sound equity base, and cash flow generation is robust, providing financial flexibility. However, net profitability needs enhancement for stronger financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Taboola has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a positive trajectory from 2020 to the TTM period ending in March 2025. The gross profit margin has been steady, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has been volatile, with occasional negative results, reflecting challenges in controlling operational costs. The EBIT and EBITDA margins show improvement, indicating better operational efficiency, yet still require attention to boost profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with a steady increase in stockholders' equity over the years. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Return on equity has been inconsistent, linked to fluctuating net income levels. The equity ratio indicates a healthy proportion of equity financing, reducing financial risk. Overall stability is present, though profitability improvements are needed.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Taboola's cash flow statement reveals strong operating cash flow generation, consistently exceeding net income. The company has been effective in maintaining positive free cash flow, which has shown growth in recent periods. The free cash flow to net income ratio underscores strong cash conversion capabilities, supporting liquidity and financial flexibility. Positive trends in cash flow metrics highlight operational robustness.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.78B664.66M1.44B1.40B1.38B1.19B
Gross Profit544.56M534.22M425.56M464.25M441.07M319.50M
EBITDA109.38M126.84M32.77M77.56M39.85M60.15M
Net Income33.46M-3.76M-82.04M-11.97M-24.95M8.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.65B1.72B1.71B1.53B1.60B580.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments216.22M230.36M181.83M262.81M319.32M242.81M
Total Debt213.48M180.89M214.88M298.73M362.89M78.79M
Total Liabilities642.57M666.75M650.74M695.09M830.28M533.53M
Stockholders Equity1.01B1.05B1.06B834.53M767.57M46.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow157.99M149.18M52.24M18.57M24.45M121.31M
Operating Cash Flow199.45M184.33M84.37M53.48M63.52M139.09M
Investing Cash Flow-36.77M-30.11M59.64M-139.56M-620.46M10.88M
Financing Cash Flow-122.03M-99.98M-134.61M-62.87M631.13M2.60M

Taboola.com Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.37
Price Trends
50DMA
3.43
Negative
100DMA
3.36
Positive
200DMA
3.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
51.99
Neutral
STOCH
68.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TBLA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.32, below the 50-day MA of 3.43, and below the 200-day MA of 3.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TBLA.

Taboola.com Risk Analysis

Taboola.com disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Taboola.com reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Taboola.com Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$785.74M14.665.86%-15.79%
71
Outperform
$848.92M18.7434.34%92.91%
70
Outperform
$991.04M91.011.40%12.01%
60
Neutral
$44.01B4.13-12.81%4.14%1.86%-42.71%
54
Neutral
$64.29M-22.39%12.49%-30.99%
54
Neutral
$166.20M-16.75%19.67%-1183.48%
54
Neutral
$793.88M-14.27%9.65%56.50%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TBLA
Taboola.com
3.37
0.12
3.69%
ANGI
Angi
17.56
-8.24
-31.94%
IZEA
IZEA Worldwide
3.59
1.47
69.34%
EVER
EverQuote
23.04
0.83
3.74%
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings
2.07
-0.28
-11.91%
TEAD
Teads Holding
1.63
-3.35
-67.27%

Taboola.com Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Taboola Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Taboola announced its strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, surpassing the high-end of its guidance. The company reported an 8.7% increase in revenues and an 18.2% rise in gross profit compared to the same quarter in 2024. Additionally, Taboola raised its full-year guidance and expanded its share repurchase program by $200 million, reflecting confidence in its business and long-term vision. The company also highlighted the early success of its new performance advertising platform, Realize.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Taboola.com Holds Annual General Meeting Online
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Taboola.com Ltd. held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders online, where key resolutions were passed. Shareholders approved the re-election of a Class I director, an advisory proposal on executive compensation, amendments to the CEO’s compensation terms, and the re-appointment of Kost, Forer, Gabbay & Kasierer as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing commitment to governance and operational stability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 30, 2025