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Taboola.com (TBLA)
NASDAQ:TBLA
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Taboola.com (TBLA) AI Stock Analysis

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TBLA

Taboola.com

(NASDAQ:TBLA)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(8.36% Upside)
Taboola's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's robust revenue growth, strategic initiatives like the Realize platform, and share buyback program highlight its potential. However, high valuation and mixed technical indicators present cautionary elements.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Taboola.Com Ltd. reported a significant increase in gross revenue and EBITDA, showing strong growth and financial performance.
Share Repurchase
Taboola.Com Ltd. has been actively repurchasing shares and authorized an additional $200 million, reflecting confidence in the company's future prospects.
Negative Factors
Operational Expenses
There is an expectation of needing to cut operational expenses in the second half to meet EBITDA guidance.
Revenue Guidance
Revenue guidance reflects no '25E incrementality from Realize, China-based advertiser weakness, and additional macro deterioration.

Taboola.com (TBLA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Taboola.com Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTaboola.com (TBLA) is a prominent content discovery and native advertising platform that operates within the digital media and advertising sectors. The company helps users discover new articles, videos, products, and other content across a wide network of publishers and advertisers. With a focus on personalized recommendations, Taboola's core service is to drive traffic and engagement through its content discovery platform, which is integrated into many high-profile websites and media outlets worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyTaboola makes money primarily through its native advertising services. The company partners with publishers and advertisers, allowing them to place sponsored content alongside organic content on publisher websites. Revenue is generated on a cost-per-click (CPC) or cost-per-impression (CPM) basis, where advertisers pay Taboola for the visibility and engagement their content receives. Taboola shares advertising revenue with its publisher partners, incentivizing them to host Taboola's content recommendations on their sites. Significant partnerships with large media companies and a robust network of advertisers and publishers contribute to Taboola's earnings. Additionally, Taboola offers advanced targeting and analytics capabilities to advertisers, enhancing the effectiveness of their campaigns and driving further revenue.

Taboola.com Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with growth in revenue and profitability, bolstered by a successful share buyback program and the early traction of the Realize platform. However, challenges remain in expanding existing advertiser budgets and the China market. Overall, the positive outcomes outweighed the concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Taboola delivered a strong second quarter, beating the high end of the guidance across all key metrics. Revenue was $465 million, representing growth of 9% year-over-year. Ex-TAC gross profit was $172 million, 15% higher than last year, and adjusted EBITDA was $45 million, 21% higher than last year.
Successful Share Buyback Program
The company repurchased approximately 32 million shares at an average price of $3.13 for a total consideration of $100.1 million, shrinking the shares outstanding by nearly 12% in the first half of the year.
Launch and Traction of Realize
Taboola's new performance advertising platform, Realize, is showing early traction with 650 advertisers testing the new display and social capabilities since its February launch.
Growth in Scaled Advertisers
The number of scaled advertisers grew by nearly 9%, and the average revenue per scaled advertiser rose by about 2% compared to last year.
Negative Updates
Minimal Growth in Existing Advertiser Budgets
The average revenue per scaled advertiser only increased by 2%, which was seen as disappointing given the focus on increasing budgets from existing clients through the new Realize platform.
Challenges in China Market
Revenue from China faced headwinds, accounting for about 5% of total revenue, with a reduction in spend resulting in a notable impact last year.
Company Guidance
In the Taboola Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong performance, exceeding the high end of its guidance across all key financial metrics. Revenues for Q2 reached $465 million, reflecting a 9% year-over-year growth, while ex-TAC (traffic acquisition costs) gross profit increased by 15% to $172 million. Adjusted EBITDA grew by 21% to $45 million, with a margin of 26.2%, and free cash flow rose 31% year-over-year to $34 million, enabling a significant stock buyback of approximately $100 million. CEO Adam Singolda highlighted the successful launch and early traction of Taboola's new performance advertising platform, Realize, which is poised to capture a share of the $55 billion performance advertising market. The company raised its full-year guidance, now projecting revenues of $1.86 billion to $1.89 billion, ex-TAC gross profit of $689 million to $703 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $208 million and $214 million. Taboola also announced an additional $200 million authorization for its share repurchase program, demonstrating confidence in its long-term value.

Taboola.com Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Taboola shows strong revenue growth and improving operational metrics. The balance sheet is stable with a sound equity base, and cash flow generation is robust, providing financial flexibility. However, net profitability needs enhancement for stronger financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Taboola has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a positive trajectory from 2020 to the TTM period ending in March 2025. The gross profit margin has been steady, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has been volatile, with occasional negative results, reflecting challenges in controlling operational costs. The EBIT and EBITDA margins show improvement, indicating better operational efficiency, yet still require attention to boost profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with a steady increase in stockholders' equity over the years. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Return on equity has been inconsistent, linked to fluctuating net income levels. The equity ratio indicates a healthy proportion of equity financing, reducing financial risk. Overall stability is present, though profitability improvements are needed.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Taboola's cash flow statement reveals strong operating cash flow generation, consistently exceeding net income. The company has been effective in maintaining positive free cash flow, which has shown growth in recent periods. The free cash flow to net income ratio underscores strong cash conversion capabilities, supporting liquidity and financial flexibility. Positive trends in cash flow metrics highlight operational robustness.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.78B664.66M1.44B1.40B1.38B1.19B
Gross Profit544.56M534.22M425.56M464.25M441.07M319.50M
EBITDA109.38M126.84M32.77M77.56M39.85M60.15M
Net Income33.46M-3.76M-82.04M-11.97M-24.95M8.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.65B1.72B1.71B1.53B1.60B580.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments216.22M230.36M181.83M262.81M319.32M242.81M
Total Debt213.48M180.89M214.88M298.73M362.89M78.79M
Total Liabilities642.57M666.75M650.74M695.09M830.28M533.53M
Stockholders Equity1.01B1.05B1.06B834.53M767.57M46.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow157.99M149.18M52.24M18.57M24.45M121.31M
Operating Cash Flow199.45M184.33M84.37M53.48M63.52M139.09M
Investing Cash Flow-36.77M-30.11M59.64M-139.56M-620.46M10.88M
Financing Cash Flow-122.03M-99.98M-134.61M-62.87M631.13M2.60M

Taboola.com Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.23
Price Trends
50DMA
3.51
Negative
100DMA
3.30
Positive
200DMA
3.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
46.10
Neutral
STOCH
18.91
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TBLA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.34, below the 50-day MA of 3.51, and below the 200-day MA of 3.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TBLA.

Taboola.com Risk Analysis

Taboola.com disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Taboola.com reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Taboola.com Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$858.42M18.9434.34%92.91%
72
Outperform
$958.40M88.011.40%12.01%
66
Neutral
¥482.45B18.811.03%2.20%6.31%-19.39%
66
Neutral
$779.98M14.685.86%-15.79%
57
Neutral
$182.35M-16.75%19.67%-1183.48%
57
Neutral
$65.33M-22.39%12.49%-30.99%
49
Neutral
$703.94M-14.27%9.65%56.50%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TBLA
Taboola.com
3.31
0.08
2.48%
ANGI
Angi
18.37
-7.43
-28.80%
IZEA
IZEA Worldwide
3.62
1.41
63.80%
EVER
EverQuote
24.10
1.12
4.87%
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings
1.90
-0.56
-22.76%
TEAD
Teads Holding
1.88
-3.02
-61.63%

Taboola.com Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Taboola Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Taboola announced its strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, surpassing the high-end of its guidance. The company reported an 8.7% increase in revenues and an 18.2% rise in gross profit compared to the same quarter in 2024. Additionally, Taboola raised its full-year guidance and expanded its share repurchase program by $200 million, reflecting confidence in its business and long-term vision. The company also highlighted the early success of its new performance advertising platform, Realize.

The most recent analyst rating on (TBLA) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Taboola.com stock, see the TBLA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Taboola.com Holds Annual General Meeting Online
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Taboola.com Ltd. held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders online, where key resolutions were passed. Shareholders approved the re-election of a Class I director, an advisory proposal on executive compensation, amendments to the CEO’s compensation terms, and the re-appointment of Kost, Forer, Gabbay & Kasierer as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing commitment to governance and operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TBLA) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Taboola.com stock, see the TBLA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 09, 2025