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Teads Holding (TEAD)
NASDAQ:TEAD
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Teads Holding (TEAD) AI Stock Analysis

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TEAD

Teads Holding

(NASDAQ:TEAD)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-36.71% Downside)
Teads Holding's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial and operational environment. While there is promising growth in certain segments like Connected TV, the company faces significant profitability issues and high leverage. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the valuation is unattractive due to negative earnings. Strategic initiatives are in place to address these challenges, but the immediate outlook remains cautious.
Positive Factors
Connected TV Growth
The strong growth in the Connected TV segment indicates a successful expansion into high-demand areas, potentially driving future revenue and market share.
AI and Algorithmic Advancements
Enhanced AI capabilities can lead to better ad performance and personalization, strengthening competitive advantage and customer retention.
Cash Flow Generation
Improved cash generation provides financial flexibility for strategic investments and debt reduction, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant revenue decline suggests challenges in maintaining market position and could impact profitability if not addressed.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns.
Operational Challenges
Operational difficulties can hinder strategic initiatives and delay improvements in efficiency and profitability, affecting long-term performance.

Teads Holding (TEAD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Teads Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTeads Holding (TEAD) is a global media platform specializing in video advertising and digital marketing solutions. Founded in 2011, the company operates in the ad tech sector, providing innovative advertising solutions that enhance brand visibility and user engagement across various digital mediums. Teads offers a range of products including outstream video ads, branded content solutions, and programmatic advertising capabilities, enabling advertisers to reach their target audiences effectively on premium publishers' websites.
How the Company Makes MoneyTeads generates revenue primarily through the sale of advertising space on its platform. The company operates on a cost-per-impression (CPI) and cost-per-click (CPC) model, charging advertisers based on the number of impressions or clicks their ads receive. Key revenue streams include direct sales to brands and agencies, as well as programmatic advertising through partnerships with demand-side platforms (DSPs). Additionally, Teads collaborates with premium publishers, sharing ad revenues generated from their inventory. Strategic partnerships with major media companies and technology providers also enhance its offerings and drive revenue growth.

Teads Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted substantial growth in connected TV and promising advancements in AI and algorithms. However, these were tempered by significant revenue declines, operational challenges, and client losses. The company is actively addressing these issues, but the immediate outlook remains cautious.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Connected TV Growth
Connected TV remains a significant growth area with approximately 40% year-over-year growth in Q3. It is expected to hit $100 million by the end of the year.
Cross-Screen and CTV Performance
Over 10% of branding advertisers are now active across both CTV and web. A campaign with Men's Wearhouse generated over 41,000 site visits and more than 50,000 incremental store visits.
AI and Algorithmic Advancements
The merger has accelerated AI and algorithmic capabilities, improving conversion rates, click-through rates, and ad selection personalization, setting a promising trajectory for 2026.
Leadership Strengthening
Mollie Spilman was appointed as the new Chief Commercial Officer, bringing extensive experience and expected to lead transformation.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Pro forma revenue saw a year-over-year decline of 15% in Q3, with volatility in top-line and challenges in key markets like the U.S., UK, and France.
Page View Decline
Declining page views on premium publishers attributed partly to increased adoption of AI summaries and volatility in programmatic supply.
Operational Challenges
Integration complexities from the merger and execution challenges have led to slower-than-expected improvements, particularly in the U.S., UK, and France.
Client Losses in DSP Business
A few large clients significantly reduced spending in the DSP business, leading to a $5 million decline in Ex-TAC revenue year-over-year.
Company Guidance
During the Teads Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance reflecting both challenges and strategic actions for improvement. Despite experiencing a 15% year-over-year decline on a pro forma basis, Teads highlighted a 40% year-over-year growth in their Connected TV (CTV) segment, projecting it to reach $100 million by the end of 2025. The company is focused on portfolio optimization, operational efficiency, and cost optimization to drive growth and profitability. In terms of financial metrics, Teads reported Q3 revenue of approximately $319 million, with Ex-TAC gross profit at $131 million, and adjusted EBITDA at $19 million. Looking ahead to Q4, Teads expects Ex-TAC gross profit between $142 million and $152 million and adjusted EBITDA between $26 million and $36 million. They aim to achieve positive adjusted free cash flow for the year, following $3 million year-to-date, and project at least $35 million in annualized EBITDA improvement from their strategic initiatives.

Teads Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Teads Holding shows a mixed financial performance. Revenue growth is promising at 13.44%, but profitability is a challenge with negative net profit margins. The balance sheet indicates high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.38, posing potential risks. Cash flow generation is improving with a strong free cash flow growth rate of 47.88%, but operating cash flows are not fully supporting net income.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Teads Holding shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a revenue growth rate of 13.44%, which is a positive sign. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has improved to 24.31% in the TTM, but the net profit margin remains negative, indicating ongoing challenges in cost management and profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.38 in the TTM, suggesting significant leverage. This could pose a risk if not managed carefully. The equity ratio is relatively stable, but the return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's struggle to generate profits from its equity base. Overall, the balance sheet shows a need for improved financial stability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a strong free cash flow growth rate of 47.88% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting that operating cash flows are not yet fully supporting net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy, showing that the company is generating cash despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B889.88M935.82M992.08M1.02B767.14M
Gross Profit364.72M192.10M184.80M192.65M240.26M165.06M
EBITDA5.00M24.83M42.45M15.97M11.98M26.99M
Net Income-89.01M-711.00K10.24M-24.58M10.99M4.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.71B549.21M664.64M781.15M795.89M356.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments138.25M166.13M165.20M272.49M455.40M93.64M
Total Debt639.92M15.82M130.90M247.68M239.07M3.85M
Total Liabilities1.19B317.87M441.57M563.36M539.12M273.86M
Stockholders Equity519.34M231.34M223.06M217.79M256.77M82.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow63.92M51.27M-6.49M-22.13M36.71M51.48M
Operating Cash Flow73.81M68.56M13.75M3.81M56.76M52.99M
Investing Cash Flow-553.80M67.15M69.64M-317.90M-20.10M-9.42M
Financing Cash Flow553.75M-117.70M-117.07M-31.70M325.89M-4.23M

Teads Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.79
Price Trends
50DMA
1.57
Negative
100DMA
1.97
Negative
200DMA
3.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
22.87
Positive
STOCH
11.17
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEAD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.44, below the 50-day MA of 1.57, and below the 200-day MA of 3.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.87 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TEAD.

Teads Holding Risk Analysis

Teads Holding disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Teads Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Teads Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$337.46M-0.65%3.53%-109.03%
61
Neutral
$603.27M-26.69%13.09%32.34%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$547.05M255.955.20%30.92%
53
Neutral
$2.61B-76.08%28.35%24.57%
50
Neutral
$139.61M-23.85%30.91%-1632.95%
50
Neutral
$563.74M-25.34%-7.43%61.29%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEAD
Teads Holding
0.73
-4.27
-85.48%
SPT
Sprout Social
10.00
-16.71
-62.56%
PUBM
PubMatic
7.40
-8.21
-52.59%
GRND
Grindr
15.09
0.09
0.60%
DSP
Viant Technology
8.60
-4.37
-33.69%
BMBL
Bumble
4.26
-3.81
-47.21%

Teads Holding Corporate Events

Teads Holding Co. Reports Strong Revenue Growth
Nov 7, 2025

Teads Holding Co., formerly known as Outbrain Inc., is a prominent player in the digital advertising industry, specializing in omnichannel outcomes for the open internet, and is known for its predictive AI technology that enhances media and advertising effectiveness.

Outbrain’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

The recent earnings call for Outbrain, Inc. presented a mixed sentiment, with notable highlights in growth areas tempered by significant challenges. While the company showcased impressive advancements in connected TV and AI, it also faced revenue declines and operational hurdles, leading to a cautious outlook.

Teads Holding Co. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Teads Holding Co., formerly known as Outbrain Inc., is a prominent player in the digital advertising industry, specializing in omnichannel outcomes for the open internet. The company leverages predictive AI technology to connect advertisers with premium media and creative content, fostering meaningful business outcomes.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025