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Similarweb (SMWB)
NYSE:SMWB
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Similarweb (SMWB) AI Stock Analysis

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SMWB

Similarweb

(NYSE:SMWB)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-3.85% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/13/26
The score is driven by mixed financials (strong margins and positive free cash flow but ongoing losses and slowing growth) and a still-weak longer-term technical trend despite near-term momentum. Offsetting these, the latest earnings call was notably positive with raised guidance and a return to non-GAAP profitability, while valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
High gross margins (software/data model)
Sustained ~78–79% gross margins reflect a scalable data+SaaS cost structure that preserves incremental revenue as operating leverage. High gross margins provide durable pricing power, fund R&D and AI investments, and make profitable unit economics achievable as sales scale.
Negative Factors
Ongoing GAAP losses and thin equity cushion
Despite improving leverage, persistent negative net margins and deeply negative ROE reflect earnings weakness. Thin equity vs. debt means limited buffer for shocks; if operating improvement stalls, the company could face capital pressure or dilution while trying to fund AI investments and international growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High gross margins (software/data model)
Sustained ~78–79% gross margins reflect a scalable data+SaaS cost structure that preserves incremental revenue as operating leverage. High gross margins provide durable pricing power, fund R&D and AI investments, and make profitable unit economics achievable as sales scale.
Read all positive factors

Similarweb (SMWB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Similarweb Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Similarweb Ltd. provides a platform for digital intelligence in the United States, Europe, Asia Pacific, the United Kingdom, Israel, and internationally. It offers digital research intelligence solutions that allow senior leaders, strategy, busine...
How the Company Makes Money
Similarweb primarily makes money through subscription-based sales of its software and data products (SaaS), where customers pay recurring fees (typically under term contracts) to access Similarweb’s platform, datasets, and analytics features. Key ...

Similarweb Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple positive operational and financial trends — top‑end revenue delivery (+10% YoY), return to non‑GAAP profitability, sustained positive free cash flow, stronger multiyear contract coverage (64% of ARR), improving sales productivity, and accelerating AI revenue and strategic integrations (Claude, ChatGPT, Manus). Offsetting items include overall NRR still under 100% (98%), sequential customer count decline driven by self‑service churn, reliance on additional large LLM deals for back‑half acceleration, currency headwinds, and an announced CEO succession process. Overall, the positive financial execution, raised guidance, durable cash generation, and clear AI momentum outweigh the identified challenges.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth at Top of Guidance
Q1 revenue of $73.9 million, up 10% year-over-year and at the top end of guidance, with management raising the lower end of full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $307M–$315M (~10% growth at midpoint).
Negative Updates
Overall NRR Below 100%
Reported overall NRR of 98%, indicating slight net contraction across the full customer base despite 103% NRR in the >$100k cohort; management expects improvement but NRR remains a focus area.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth at Top of Guidance
Q1 revenue of $73.9 million, up 10% year-over-year and at the top end of guidance, with management raising the lower end of full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $307M–$315M (~10% growth at midpoint).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised the lower end of 2026 guidance, now forecasting full‑year revenue of $307–$315 million (about 10% y/y growth at the midpoint) and non‑GAAP operating profit of $70–$90 million; Q2 revenue is guided to $74.5–$76.5 million (≈6% y/y at the midpoint) with Q2 non‑GAAP operating profit of $3–$5 million. This follows Q1 results that were at the top of guidance: $73.9M revenue (+10% y/y), $2.4M non‑GAAP operating profit (3% margin), $6.6M normalized free cash flow, RPO of $298M (+18% y/y) with ~70% expected to be recognized over the next 12 months, cash of ~$65M and no debt (plus a $75M credit line). Key customer and subscription metrics underpinning the outlook include NRR of 98% overall and 103% for >$100k customers, 64% of ARR on multiyear contracts (up from 52% a year ago), total customer count 6,038 (+5% y/y) while the >$25k cohort is 1,840 (+2% y/y) with average account value $132k (+9% y/y); management expects continued quarterly positive normalized FCF and second‑half revenue acceleration driven by AI/LLM opportunities.

Similarweb Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and stable gross margins (~78–79%) and sustained positive free cash flow (positive in 2024 and TTM) are key positives. However, the company remains loss-making (TTM net margin ~-11.2%), operating profitability weakened versus 2024 (TTM EBITDA margin ~-5.1%), growth has slowed, and the balance sheet still shows a limited equity cushion versus debt in the statements provided.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
42
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue282.60M249.91M218.02M193.23M137.67M
Gross Profit224.80M195.10M170.93M139.96M105.92M
EBITDA-19.79M864.00K-18.55M-77.27M-63.61M
Net Income-32.94M-11.46M-29.37M-83.66M-68.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets261.14M242.91M239.01M246.04M227.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments72.42M63.87M71.73M77.81M128.88M
Total Debt43.30M39.73M67.42M74.17M0.00
Total Liabilities237.82M215.40M223.47M224.09M142.09M
Stockholders Equity23.33M27.51M15.55M21.95M84.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.15M27.44M-5.42M-77.24M-30.74M
Operating Cash Flow14.64M30.17M-3.04M-46.06M-27.63M
Investing Cash Flow-13.23M-18.70M-2.59M-33.01M7.36M
Financing Cash Flow6.91M-18.84M1.19M29.12M125.25M

Similarweb Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.12
Price Trends
50DMA
2.91
Negative
100DMA
4.87
Negative
200DMA
6.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Negative
RSI
45.75
Neutral
STOCH
60.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMWB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.59, above the 50-day MA of 2.91, and below the 200-day MA of 6.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SMWB.

Similarweb Risk Analysis

Similarweb disclosed 85 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Similarweb reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Similarweb Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.41B3.7011.91%9.62%880.15%
64
Neutral
$732.61M-11.86-10.32%6.78%52.54%
63
Neutral
$392.22M10.527.03%5.94%56.89%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$590.01M-3.10-3.62%7.14%-1.77%-152.61%
54
Neutral
$271.32M-21.63-137.41%13.08%-175.92%
49
Neutral
$317.57M-20.38-34.48%4.54%-39.79%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMWB
Similarweb
3.12
-5.05
-61.81%
SSTK
Shutterstock
16.06
-1.94
-10.78%
FVRR
Fiverr International
10.91
-21.49
-66.33%
GETY
Getty Images Holdings
0.76
-1.05
-58.12%
TBLA
Taboola.com
5.16
1.76
51.76%
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings
1.94
0.55
39.57%

Similarweb Corporate Events

Similarweb Launches Planned CEO Succession Search as Founder Or Offer Prepares Mid-2027 Exit
May 13, 2026
Similarweb announced on May 13, 2026, that its board has launched a formal CEO succession process, as founder and Chief Executive Officer Or Offer prepares to step down after nearly two decades at the helm. Offer, who founded the company in 2007 a...
Similarweb Lifts 2026 Outlook After Strong Q1 and AI-Focused Expansion
May 13, 2026
On May 13, 2026, Similarweb reported first-quarter 2026 revenue of $73.9 million, up 10% year over year, and delivered non-GAAP operating profit of $2.4 million, both at the top end of its guidance range. The company narrowed its GAAP operating lo...
Similarweb Sets May 28, 2026 AGM to Vote on Directors, Pay Policy and Auditor Reappointment
Apr 23, 2026
Similarweb Ltd. has called its 2026 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders for May 28, 2026 at its Givatayim, Israel headquarters, inviting holders of ordinary shares of record as of April 23, 2026 to participate. Shareholders will receive proxy m...
Similarweb Names Veteran Investor Harel Beit-On Chairman to Steer AI-Era Growth
Mar 26, 2026
On March 26, 2026, Similarweb Ltd. announced that long-serving board member and Viola Group co-founder Harel Beit-On has been appointed Chairman of its Board of Directors, leveraging more than three decades of leadership and technology investment ...
Similarweb CEO Or Offer Buys 40,000 Company Shares in Open Market
Feb 23, 2026
On February 19, 2026, Similarweb CEO and co-founder Or Offer purchased 40,000 of the company’s ordinary shares in open market transactions at an average price of $2.45, for a total personal investment of about $98,000. The insider share purc...
Similarweb Posts 2025 Revenue Growth as It Pushes Deeper Into AI Data Partnerships
Feb 17, 2026
Similarweb on February 17, 2026 reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results showing revenue growth but pressure on profitability as it invests to align its data platform with AI-driven demand. Q4 revenue rose 11% year-over-year to $72.8 mil...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 13, 2026