tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Similarweb Ltd. (SMWB)
NYSE:SMWB

Similarweb (SMWB) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
473 Followers

Top Page

SMWB

Similarweb

(NYSE:SMWB)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-2.31% Downside)
Similarweb's overall stock score is driven by its strong revenue growth and positive earnings call sentiment, which highlight potential for future profitability. However, significant financial risks due to high leverage and ongoing profitability challenges weigh heavily on the score. The technical analysis and valuation further reflect a cautious outlook, with bearish trends and a lack of profitability impacting the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Consistent revenue growth
Sustained double-digit revenue growth driven by product expansion and customer additions shows the core subscription model is scaling. This supports long-term top-line durability and funds further product investment and go-to-market expansion over the next several quarters.
Reliable cash generation
Eight consecutive quarters of positive free cash flow indicate the business converts revenue into operating cash consistently. That cash generation provides flexibility for product development, debt servicing, and selective M&A without relying solely on equity financing.
Rising multiyear contract mix
A growing proportion of ARR in multiyear contracts materially increases revenue visibility and reduces churn sensitivity. This structural shift improves forecastability and supports stable renewal and upsell economics over multi-quarter planning horizons.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 1.74 implies material financial leverage, raising interest and refinancing risk. With ongoing GAAP losses, high leverage constrains strategic flexibility and increases the importance of consistent cash generation to meet obligations and fund growth.
Ongoing unprofitability
Negative net and EBIT margins signal structural profitability issues despite strong gross margins. Until the company consistently converts gross profit into operating income, shareholder returns remain uncertain and cash must be managed carefully to support growth investments.
Declining net revenue retention
NRR below 100% implies expansions and upsells are not fully offsetting churn for the broader base. Persistently sub-100% NRR would limit organic ARR growth, increase pressure on new customer acquisition, and weaken long-term unit economics.

Similarweb (SMWB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Similarweb Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSimilarweb Ltd. provides a platform for digital intelligence in the United States, Europe, Asia Pacific, the United Kingdom, Israel, and internationally. It offers digital research intelligence solutions that allow senior leaders, strategy, business intelligence, and consumer insights teams to benchmark performance against competitors and market leaders, analyze trends in the market, conduct deeper research into specific companies, and analyze audience behavior; and digital marketing solutions, which enable marketing leaders, search engine optimization, and content managers, pay-per-click, performance marketers, affiliate marketers, and media buyers to understand their competitors' online acquisition strategies in each marketing channel. The company also provides shopper intelligence solutions that allows digital commerce leadership, and category and product managers to analyze a view of their customers' digital journeys, monitor consumer demand, increase brand visibility in the search process, and optimize category and product level conversion in the purchase process; and sales intelligence solutions, which enables sales management and operations, sales representatives, and account management teams to access relevant buying signals and digital insights of their customers in to generate leads quickly. In addition, it offers investor intelligence solution that allows portfolio managers, investment professionals, data scientists, and research analysts to access an end-to-end view of market, sector or company performance to ideate and monitor investment opportunities, forecast market performance, and perform due diligence. The company serves retail, consumer packaged goods, travel, consumer finance, business-to-business software, and logistics companies; and consultancies, marketing and advertising agencies, media and publishers, payment processors, and institutional investors. Similarweb Ltd. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel.
How the Company Makes MoneySimilarweb generates revenue primarily through subscription-based models, offering tiered pricing plans for its analytics tools and services. This includes access to its comprehensive data sets and insights, which are essential for businesses aiming to optimize their online strategies. Key revenue streams include monthly and annual subscriptions from businesses seeking competitive intelligence and market analysis. Additionally, Similarweb may earn revenue through partnerships with other digital marketing and analytics platforms, providing integrated solutions that enhance their service offerings. The company's focus on delivering actionable insights to a diverse range of clients further contributes to its sustained earnings.

Similarweb Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted steady revenue growth, positive free cash flow, and successful product launches, particularly in AI and app intelligence. However, challenges include a decline in net revenue retention and ARPU, and uncertainties in deal timing which impacted the guidance range. The company is optimistic about future growth and profitability, with a focus on long-term contracts and new AI-driven products.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by 11% year-over-year to $72 million, in line with expectations. This growth was driven by a 15% increase in the customer base and new products, including App Intelligence and Gen AI Intelligence.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Reported eighth consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow, totaling $3 million for Q3 with a 4% free cash flow margin.
Gen AI Intelligence Milestone
ARR from Gen AI Intelligence product grew rapidly to over $1 million since its launch in April.
App Intelligence Growth
More than 580 customers were using the App Intelligence product, with ARR increasing to above $10 million.
Increased Multiyear Contracts
58% of ARR is now contracted under multiyear agreements, up from 45% last year.
Raised Profit Guidance
Raised non-GAAP operating profit guidance to between $8.5 million and $9.5 million, significantly higher than previous expectations.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Revenue Retention
Overall NRR was 98%, a decline reflecting strong expansion activity in 2024, particularly from large contracts booked during the second and third quarters of last year.
Sequential ARPU Decline
ARPU declined slightly, attributed to adding customers below the average ARPU level, with a focus on future upsell opportunities.
Uncertain Deal Timing
Some large deals expected in Q3 were booked earlier in Q2, causing uneven revenue recognition and contributing to a wider guidance range for Q4.
Company Guidance
During Similarweb's Q3 Fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance by reiterating its revenue target for the full year 2025, expecting total revenue to range between $285 million and $288 million, which represents a 15% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Additionally, they raised their non-GAAP operating profit guidance to between $8.5 million and $9.5 million, an increase from previous expectations. The company highlighted its focus on disciplined execution, which contributed to its eighth consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow, generating $3 million with a 4% free cash flow margin in Q3. The remaining performance obligations were reported at $268 million, up 26% year-over-year, with 68% expected to be recognized as revenue over the next twelve months. They also noted that 58% of their annual recurring revenue (ARR) is now under multiyear contracts, up from 45% last year, demonstrating revenue durability. Despite a slight decline in net revenue retention (NRR) to 98% across all customers, it was 105% for those with over $100,000 of ARR, indicating strong retention among larger customers.

Similarweb Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Similarweb shows strong revenue growth and gross profit margins, indicating a solid business model. However, the company faces challenges with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The high debt-to-equity ratio and negative return on equity highlight financial risks, while cash flow management shows some resilience despite declining free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Similarweb's revenue has shown consistent growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.64%. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 78.46% for the TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, which suggest ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.74 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage. The return on equity is negative, reflecting losses and potential risks for equity holders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 31.34% in the TTM, which is concerning. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating that the company is generating cash from operations despite net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong, suggesting efficient cash management relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue275.43M249.91M218.02M193.23M137.67M93.49M
Gross Profit217.26M195.10M170.93M139.96M105.92M72.07M
EBITDA-14.18M864.00K-18.55M-77.27M-63.61M-17.71M
Net Income-30.86M-11.46M-29.37M-83.66M-68.98M-22.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets248.27M242.91M239.01M246.04M227.00M103.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments65.46M63.87M71.73M77.81M128.88M53.94M
Total Debt42.05M39.73M67.42M74.17M0.0026.85M
Total Liabilities223.26M215.40M223.47M224.09M142.09M112.88M
Stockholders Equity25.01M27.51M15.55M21.95M84.91M-9.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.66M27.44M-5.42M-77.24M-30.74M-4.89M
Operating Cash Flow14.61M30.17M-3.04M-46.06M-27.63M-3.76M
Investing Cash Flow-18.26M-18.70M-2.59M-33.01M7.36M-30.76M
Financing Cash Flow7.37M-18.84M1.19M29.12M125.25M51.23M

Similarweb Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.63
Price Trends
50DMA
7.11
Negative
100DMA
8.11
Negative
200DMA
8.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.47
Positive
RSI
26.55
Positive
STOCH
18.24
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMWB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.59, below the 50-day MA of 7.11, and below the 200-day MA of 8.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.55 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.24 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SMWB.

Similarweb Risk Analysis

Similarweb disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Similarweb reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Similarweb Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$681.64M11.4810.76%7.14%13.06%66.19%
72
Outperform
$1.19B56.672.63%10.96%
64
Neutral
$614.90M28.476.18%12.68%133.00%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$788.14M-12.58-14.07%6.65%50.32%
50
Neutral
$495.25M-15.25-120.56%14.25%-211.21%
50
Neutral
$540.62M-5.89-13.79%3.10%-264.21%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMWB
Similarweb
5.63
-10.88
-65.90%
SSTK
Shutterstock
19.99
-6.94
-25.77%
FVRR
Fiverr International
16.69
-15.18
-47.63%
GETY
Getty Images Holdings
1.30
-1.19
-47.79%
TBLA
Taboola.com
4.12
0.31
8.14%
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings
2.04
-0.46
-18.40%

Similarweb Corporate Events

Similarweb Reports Q3 2025 Results with Revenue Growth and New CFO Appointment
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, Similarweb Ltd. announced its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, highlighting an 11% revenue growth and a 15% increase in customer base. The company reported its eighth consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow and emphasized strong commercial interest in its Generative AI data and solutions as key growth drivers. Despite a GAAP net loss of $4.3 million, the company achieved a non-GAAP net income of $4.4 million. Additionally, Similarweb announced the appointment of Ran Vered as the new CFO starting December, succeeding Jason Schwartz after a decade of service.

The most recent analyst rating on (SMWB) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Similarweb stock, see the SMWB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025