Trupanion (TRUP)
NASDAQ:TRUP
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Trupanion (TRUP) AI Stock Analysis

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TRUP

Trupanion

(NASDAQ:TRUP)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(5.07% Upside)
Trupanion's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including record subscription adjusted operating income and strategic partnerships. However, the stock's high P/E ratio and bearish technical indicators weigh down the score. The company's ability to maintain profitability and cash flow efficiency will be crucial for future growth.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion and financial stability.
Financial Flexibility
The new credit facility enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and operational resilience, crucial for sustainable growth.
High Retention Rate
High retention rates reflect customer satisfaction and loyalty, ensuring a stable revenue base and reducing acquisition costs over time.
Negative Factors
Other Business Segment Growth Deceleration
Slower growth in other segments may limit diversification and revenue streams, potentially impacting overall business resilience and market adaptability.
Challenges with Group Channel Expansion
Challenges in expanding group channels could hinder market penetration and revenue diversification, affecting long-term growth prospects.
Low Net Profit Margin
A low net profit margin suggests limited profitability, which may constrain reinvestment capabilities and long-term financial health.

Trupanion (TRUP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trupanion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrupanion (TRUP) is a leading provider of medical insurance for pets, focusing primarily on dogs and cats. The company operates in the pet insurance sector, offering a range of insurance plans designed to cover veterinary expenses for illnesses and injuries. Trupanion's core products include comprehensive pet insurance policies that allow pet owners to manage their veterinary costs effectively, contributing to the overall health and well-being of their pets.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrupanion generates revenue primarily through the sale of pet insurance policies. The company earns money by charging monthly premiums to pet owners, which vary based on factors such as the pet's age, breed, and the specific coverage selected. Additionally, Trupanion benefits from a subscription-based model, providing a steady stream of recurring revenue as customers renew their policies each year. Key revenue streams include policy premiums, as well as potential investment income generated from the reserves set aside to pay future claims. Furthermore, Trupanion has established partnerships with veterinary clinics and hospitals, which can drive customer acquisition and enhance the company's market presence. These collaborations often involve integrated services that facilitate claims processing and payment, further strengthening Trupanion's business model.

Trupanion Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Pets Enrolled
Pets Enrolled
Tracks the number of pets covered by Trupanion's insurance plans, indicating market penetration, customer growth, and potential for future revenue.
Chart InsightsTrupanion's total pets enrolled have been declining since late 2023, contrasting with steady growth in subscription enrollments. Despite this, the earnings call highlights strong financial performance, with a 16% increase in subscription revenue, driven by higher average revenue per pet. Operational efficiencies and improved retention rates are contributing to profitability. However, challenges remain in first-year customer retention and market share. The company is optimistic, raising its 2025 revenue guidance, indicating confidence in overcoming these hurdles and sustaining growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Trupanion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements such as record subscription adjusted operating income and strong revenue growth. The company also announced strategic partnerships and improved financial flexibility. However, there were challenges in the other business segment growth and in maximizing potential from the group channel partnership with Aflac.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Subscription Adjusted Operating Income
Trupanion delivered record subscription adjusted operating income of $39 million, an increase of 27% year-over-year, with a subscription adjusted operating margin of 15.5%.
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue for the quarter was $366.9 million, up 12% year-over-year. Subscription revenue was $252.7 million, up 15% year-over-year.
High Retention Rate
Average monthly retention for the trailing 12 months was 98.33%, slightly up from 98.29% in the third quarter last year.
Financial Flexibility with New Credit Facility
Trupanion refinanced its outstanding term loan with a new $120 million credit facility with PNC Bank, reducing interest expense and providing greater financial flexibility.
Strategic Partnerships
Announced a new partnership with BMO Insurance in Canada, expanding access to Trupanion’s solutions through trusted partners.
Negative Updates
Other Business Segment Growth Deceleration
Other business revenue was $114.2 million, an increase of only 5% year-over-year. Growth is expected to decelerate as new pets are no longer being enrolled in the majority of U.S. states for the largest partner in this segment.
Challenges with Group Channel Expansion
The partnership with Aflac in the group channel is still nascent and the current product may not fully meet market needs, with no significant contribution expected in the upcoming quarter.
Company Guidance
In the Trupanion Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company highlighted several impressive metrics, showcasing their strong financial performance and growth trajectory. During the quarter, Trupanion achieved a record subscription adjusted operating income of $39 million, marking a 27% increase year-over-year, with a subscription adjusted operating margin of 15.5%. The total revenue reached $366.9 million, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase, while subscription revenue specifically grew by 15% to $252.7 million. The company added over 16,000 net new pets in its subscription segment, achieving the highest net pet growth in seven quarters. With a focus on maintaining a high adjusted operating income, Trupanion saw an increase in free cash flow to $23.9 million, up from $13.4 million in the previous year. Additionally, Trupanion ended the quarter with $348.5 million in cash and short-term investments, and announced a new $120 million credit facility to further strengthen their financial position. For the full year 2025, Trupanion updated its guidance to project total revenue between $1.433 billion and $1.439 billion, with an expected 31% year-over-year growth in total adjusted operating income.

Trupanion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trupanion has shown improvements in revenue growth and profitability metrics, particularly in gross profit margin. The balance sheet indicates a healthier leverage position and improved return on equity. Cash flow generation has strengthened, with notable growth in free cash flow. However, maintaining profitability and cash flow efficiency will be key to sustaining long-term growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Trupanion has shown a positive trend in revenue growth, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.9%. The gross profit margin has significantly improved to 52.7% in the TTM, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin remains low at 1.1%, suggesting limited profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved but are still modest at 1.5% and 3.3%, respectively.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has decreased to 0.31, indicating a healthier leverage position. Return on equity has turned positive at 4.5%, reflecting improved profitability. The equity ratio stands at 41.9%, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, the company needs to maintain this trajectory to ensure long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Trupanion's free cash flow has grown by 17.2% in the TTM, showing improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.21, indicating moderate cash flow efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 85.6%, reflecting strong cash conversion. Continued focus on cash flow management will be crucial for future growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.40B1.29B1.11B905.18M698.99M502.03M
Gross Profit482.03M178.80M131.02M122.19M104.35M81.90M
EBITDA46.23M21.33M-20.48M-29.01M-23.25M2.73M
Net Income15.46M-9.63M-44.69M-44.67M-35.53M-5.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets880.17M806.85M782.95M671.63M562.58M498.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments348.53M307.38M277.17M222.41M213.41M229.74M
Total Debt114.54M128.89M128.93M69.46M0.000.00
Total Liabilities511.61M483.58M479.23M366.33M230.38M158.31M
Stockholders Equity368.56M323.27M303.72M305.30M332.20M339.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow71.86M38.57M358.00K-25.09M-4.90M14.09M
Operating Cash Flow83.93M48.29M18.64M-8.00M7.46M21.54M
Investing Cash Flow-35.30M-13.46M7.64M-67.52M-51.91M-76.75M
Financing Cash Flow-19.46M-3.96M59.13M60.74M-1.13M170.85M

Trupanion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price39.02
Price Trends
50DMA
42.66
Negative
100DMA
46.20
Negative
200DMA
43.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.09
Positive
RSI
37.06
Neutral
STOCH
22.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRUP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 39.02 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.63, below the 50-day MA of 42.66, and below the 200-day MA of 43.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TRUP.

Trupanion Risk Analysis

Trupanion disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trupanion reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trupanion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$523.35M14.5813.12%5.62%13.47%26.15%
72
Outperform
$843.64M14.775.86%3.22%1.69%-52.43%
72
Outperform
$774.20M15.6616.95%11.37%-1.73%-18.36%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
$1.70B109.454.49%12.50%
60
Neutral
$719.03M16.7610.46%2.77%4.44%22.40%
55
Neutral
$898.26M-85.1925.65%34.48%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRUP
Trupanion
38.91
-13.61
-25.91%
AMSF
Amerisafe
41.19
-13.33
-24.45%
EIG
Employers Holdings
39.04
-12.77
-24.64%
ITIC
Investors Title Company
282.05
24.49
9.51%
TIPT
Tiptree Financial
19.01
-2.32
-10.88%
HIPO
Hippo Holdings
33.61
6.70
24.90%

Trupanion Corporate Events

Trupanion Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Trupanion Inc. is a leading provider of medical insurance for cats and dogs, operating primarily in the pet insurance sector across North America and parts of Europe. The company is known for its unique technology that allows direct payment to veterinarians at checkout.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Trupanion Secures $120 Million Credit Facility with PNC
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Trupanion entered into a new credit agreement with PNC Bank, securing a $120 million credit facility to enhance financial flexibility and support long-term growth. This facility, which replaces a prior agreement, offers a lower interest rate, allowing Trupanion to allocate capital towards strategic initiatives. The announcement coincides with Trupanion’s strong third-quarter financial results, including a 12% revenue increase to $366.9 million and a significant rise in net income to $5.9 million. The company continues to demonstrate robust financial performance, positioning itself for sustainable growth and expanded access to pet medical care.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRUP) stock is a Hold with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trupanion stock, see the TRUP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Trupanion Appoints Bradley S. Powell to Board
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Trupanion, Inc. announced the appointment of Bradley S. Powell to its Board of Directors. Powell, who previously served as CFO at Expeditors International of Washington, brings extensive financial and strategic expertise to Trupanion. His appointment is expected to bolster Trupanion’s growth strategy and enhance shareholder value, as the company continues to scale its operations in the pet insurance industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRUP) stock is a Buy with a $67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trupanion stock, see the TRUP Stock Forecast page.

Trupanion’s Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Growth
Aug 13, 2025

Trupanion’s Q2 2025 earnings call revealed a positive sentiment, underscored by strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company reported significant revenue growth and improved margins, despite facing challenges such as a slight decline in overall retention and increased pet acquisition costs. The robust cash flow and improved retention in recent months, coupled with a positive outlook, suggest a solid foundation for future growth. Trupanion’s strategic positioning and raised guidance further contribute to the overall positive sentiment of the call.

Trupanion Inc. Shows Strong Financial Growth in Q2 2025
Aug 8, 2025

Trupanion Inc. is a leading provider of medical insurance for cats and dogs, operating primarily in the United States, Canada, and parts of Europe, known for its unique technology that allows direct payments to veterinarians. In the second quarter of 2025, Trupanion reported significant financial growth, with a 12% increase in total revenue compared to the previous year, reaching $353.6 million. The company also achieved a net income of $9.4 million, a substantial improvement from a net loss in the same period last year. Key highlights from the quarter include a 16% rise in subscription business revenue and a notable increase in adjusted EBITDA, which more than doubled from the previous year. Despite a slight decline in total enrolled pets, the subscription segment saw a 4% increase in enrolled pets, underscoring the company’s strategic focus on subscription growth. Looking ahead, Trupanion’s management remains optimistic about expanding its market presence and continuing to invest in growth opportunities, supported by a strong financial foundation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025