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Trupanion (TRUP)
NASDAQ:TRUP
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Trupanion (TRUP) AI Stock Analysis

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TRUP

Trupanion

(NASDAQ:TRUP)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$52.00
▲(11.92% Upside)
Trupanion's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. However, the high P/E ratio and mixed technical indicators present risks. The company's strategic improvements and raised guidance provide a positive outlook, but valuation concerns and technical weaknesses temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Trupanion's 2Q25 result came in well ahead of the forecast and consensus, primarily due to a one-time realized gain.
Price Objective
The price objective rises to $67, indicating potential for future growth and opportunity for investment.
Negative Factors
Cost Management
The medical loss ratio of 71.1% missed the forecast, which might indicate challenges in cost management.
Pet Acquisition Costs
Management expects pet acquisition costs to continue to increase, with growth in gross pet adds anticipated to follow.

Trupanion (TRUP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Trupanion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrupanion, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides medical insurance for cats and dogs on a monthly subscription basis in the United States, Canada, Puerto Rico, and Australia. The company operates in two segments, Subscription Business and Other Business. It serves pet owners and veterinarians. The company was formerly known as Vetinsurance International, Inc. changed its name to Trupanion, Inc. in 2013. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrupanion generates revenue primarily through the sale of pet insurance policies. The company earns money by charging monthly premiums to pet owners, which vary based on factors such as the pet's age, breed, and the specific coverage selected. Additionally, Trupanion benefits from a subscription-based model, providing a steady stream of recurring revenue as customers renew their policies each year. Key revenue streams include policy premiums, as well as potential investment income generated from the reserves set aside to pay future claims. Furthermore, Trupanion has established partnerships with veterinary clinics and hospitals, which can drive customer acquisition and enhance the company's market presence. These collaborations often involve integrated services that facilitate claims processing and payment, further strengthening Trupanion's business model.

Trupanion Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Pets Enrolled
Pets Enrolled
Tracks the number of pets covered by Trupanion's insurance plans, indicating market penetration, customer growth, and potential for future revenue.
Chart InsightsTrupanion's total pets enrolled have been declining since late 2023, contrasting with steady growth in subscription enrollments. Despite this, the earnings call highlights strong financial performance, with a 16% increase in subscription revenue, driven by higher average revenue per pet. Operational efficiencies and improved retention rates are contributing to profitability. However, challenges remain in first-year customer retention and market share. The company is optimistic, raising its 2025 revenue guidance, indicating confidence in overcoming these hurdles and sustaining growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Trupanion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with significant growth in subscription revenue, improved operating income, and positive cash flow. Despite some challenges in the other business segment and rising pet acquisition costs, the overall outlook remains positive with raised guidance for the full year.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Subscription Revenue Growth
Subscription segment revenue rose 16% year-over-year, with adjusted operating income increasing 45% to over $33 million, resulting in a 13.8% subscription adjusted operating margin.
Strong Total Revenue and Earnings Performance
Total revenue for the quarter was $353.6 million, up 12% year-over-year. Net income for the quarter improved to $9.4 million or $0.22 per share from a net loss of $5.9 million in the previous year.
Positive Cash Flow and Dividend Payment
Free cash flow increased to $12 million from $4 million last year, and a $26 million extraordinary dividend was paid to the operating company from the largest insurance entity.
Improved Operating Metrics
Average monthly retention for the trailing 3 months was 98.4%, up from the same quarter last year. Subscription adjusted operating margin expanded by 280 basis points to 13.8%.
Raised Full-Year 2025 Guidance
Total revenue is now expected to be between $1.417 billion to $1.434 billion, with subscription revenue anticipated to grow by 15% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Deceleration in Other Business Segment
Revenue from other products and services grew only 5% year-over-year, with expectations for growth deceleration due to lack of new pet enrollments in U.S. states for the largest partner.
Increased Pet Acquisition Costs
Average pet acquisition cost rose to $276 per pet from $231 in the prior year period, indicating rising costs in acquiring new subscriptions.
Slight Decline in Retention Rate
Average monthly retention for the trailing 12 months was 98.29%, slightly down from 98.34% in the same quarter last year.
Company Guidance
During Trupanion's Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance, with a 12% year-over-year increase in total revenue to $353.6 million, driven by a 16% rise in subscription revenue. The adjusted operating income surged 40% year-over-year to $34.8 million, and the subscription adjusted operating margin expanded by 280 basis points to 13.8%. Total subscription pets grew by 4% to over 1,066,000, with retention slightly improving on a trailing 3-month basis to 98.4%. The cost of paying veterinary invoices improved, resulting in a value proposition of 71.1%, while variable expenses decreased as a percentage of subscription revenue. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $1.417 billion-$1.434 billion, with subscription revenue projected to reach $983 million-$992 million, reflecting approximately 15% growth. Trupanion's strategic emphasis on high-quality pet acquisition and operational efficiency was highlighted, with investments in technology and retention efforts bolstering future growth prospects.

Trupanion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trupanion shows strong revenue growth and a stable balance sheet, with improving cash flow. However, profitability challenges persist, as indicated by negative net income and EBIT margins. Continued focus on cost management and profitability is crucial.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Trupanion has shown consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue of $1.32 billion, up from $1.29 billion in the previous year. However, the company continues to face profitability challenges, as indicated by negative net income and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin stands at 14.65%, showing some improvement but still reflecting pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is 39.86%, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets. However, the company has a history of negative net income, which may affect future equity growth.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Trupanion's cash flow is improving, with a positive free cash flow of $53.24 million in the TTM period, up from $38.57 million in the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net losses. However, the company must continue to manage capital expenditures carefully to sustain this positive trend.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.36B1.29B1.11B905.18M698.99M502.03M
Gross Profit463.81M178.80M131.02M122.19M104.35M81.90M
EBITDA42.46M21.33M-20.48M-29.01M-23.25M2.73M
Net Income11.01M-9.63M-44.69M-44.67M-35.53M-5.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets847.79M806.85M782.95M671.63M562.58M498.25M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments319.60M307.38M277.17M222.41M213.41M229.74M
Total Debt114.47M128.89M128.93M69.46M0.000.00
Total Liabilities492.33M483.58M479.23M366.33M230.38M158.31M
Stockholders Equity355.45M323.27M303.72M305.30M332.20M339.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.31M38.57M358.00K-25.09M-4.90M14.09M
Operating Cash Flow69.99M48.29M18.64M-8.00M7.46M21.54M
Investing Cash Flow-34.44M-13.46M7.64M-67.52M-51.91M-76.75M
Financing Cash Flow-19.06M-3.96M59.13M60.74M-1.13M170.85M

Trupanion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price46.46
Price Trends
50DMA
50.63
Negative
100DMA
46.51
Negative
200DMA
46.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.83
Positive
RSI
37.94
Neutral
STOCH
10.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRUP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 46.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.11, below the 50-day MA of 50.63, and above the 200-day MA of 46.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.83 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TRUP.

Trupanion Risk Analysis

Trupanion disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Trupanion reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Trupanion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.01B10.499.60%2.88%2.32%-11.91%
72
Outperform
$873.38M17.4817.80%9.83%-0.86%-11.19%
68
Neutral
$17.69B11.8210.30%3.73%9.66%0.42%
68
Neutral
$868.88M17.7511.98%2.11%6.22%79.14%
65
Neutral
$2.00B182.273.33%13.11%
55
Neutral
$842.44M-3.27%43.15%94.09%
49
Neutral
$404.16M64.08-4.09%-17.06%-118.90%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRUP
Trupanion
46.46
-0.77
-1.63%
AMSF
Amerisafe
45.99
0.11
0.24%
EIG
Employers Holdings
43.00
-3.55
-7.63%
AMBC
Ambac Financial
8.71
-2.97
-25.43%
TIPT
Tiptree Financial
23.17
3.84
19.87%
HIPO
Hippo Holdings
33.66
13.73
68.89%

Trupanion Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Trupanion Holds Annual Meeting and Elects Directors
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Trupanion, Inc. held its Annual Meeting where stockholders elected nine directors to the board, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, approved executive compensation for 2024, and decided on an annual frequency for future compensation votes. These decisions reflect the company’s commitment to maintaining strong governance and transparency, which could positively impact its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRUP) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trupanion stock, see the TRUP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 16, 2025