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Tiptree Financial (TIPT)
NASDAQ:TIPT
US Market

Tiptree Financial (TIPT) AI Stock Analysis

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TIPT

Tiptree Financial

(NASDAQ:TIPT)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(1.09% Upside)
Tiptree Financial's overall score is driven by strong corporate events and reasonable valuation. However, financial performance concerns and bearish technical indicators weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Merger
The merger with DB Insurance is a strategic move that enhances Tiptree's market positioning and is expected to create long-term value.
Revenue Growth
A 9.3% increase in quarterly revenues indicates strong performance in earned premiums, supporting long-term growth potential.
Profitability Margins
Strong profitability margins and a healthy return on equity suggest effective management and operational efficiency, supporting sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth raises concerns about the company's ability to maintain its market position and financial stability over time.
Free Cash Flow Concerns
A decline in free cash flow growth may limit Tiptree's ability to invest in new opportunities and meet financial obligations, impacting long-term growth.
Shareholder Opposition
Significant shareholder opposition to the Fortegra sale highlights governance challenges and potential misalignment with shareholder interests.

Tiptree Financial (TIPT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tiptree Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTiptree Inc., through its subsidiaries, underwrites and administers specialty insurance products primarily in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Insurance and Mortgage. It offers niche commercial and personal lines insurance, credit insurance and collateral protection products, and warranty and service contract products and solutions, as well as premium finance services. The company also offers mortgage loans for institutional investors; and maritime shipping services, as well as invests in shares. It markets its products through a network of independent insurance agents, consumer finance companies, auto dealers, retailers, brokers, and managing general agencies. The company was formerly known as Tiptree Financial Inc. and changed its name to Tiptree Inc. in December 2016. Tiptree Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyTiptree Financial generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its insurance operations, which include underwriting and premium income from specialty insurance products. Additionally, the company earns income from its investment management activities, which involve managing assets for third-party clients and generating management fees. Tiptree also benefits from investment income derived from its own portfolio of investments in various securities and real estate. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and service providers enhance its capabilities and market reach, contributing positively to its overall earnings.

Tiptree Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with significant revenue and income growth, particularly in the insurance and investment segments. Although there were some challenges like a high tax rate and a tough environment for the mortgage business, the positive aspects significantly outweighed the negatives.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Year-to-date revenues increased by 28% from the prior year, driven by strong performance across the business sectors.
Fortegra's Performance
Fortegra's revenue growth was 28% with adjusted net income growth of 38%, fueled by expansion in specialty insurance lines.
Improved Combined Ratio
Fortegra's combined ratio improved to 90% despite several catastrophic events, showcasing underwriting discipline.
Investment Portfolio Growth
Tiptree Advisors ended the quarter with $1.5 billion of investable assets, focusing on high-quality liquid fixed income securities.
Adjusted Net Income
Adjusted net income for the quarter was $27.9 million, representing a 56% increase, driven by strong underwriting and investment income.
Significant Recovery of Unrealized Losses
Book value per share increased by 18.6% from the prior year, driven by earnings growth and significant recovery of unrealized losses on Fortegra's fixed income portfolio.
Positive Outlook for Mortgage Business
Reliance mortgage business achieved profitability with increased volumes and fee income, anticipating future profit as mortgage rates tighten.
Negative Updates
High GAAP Tax Rate
Tiptree's GAAP tax rate for the quarter was 44%, though the effective tax rate was 28% when adjusted for book tax implications.
Challenging Operating Environment for Reliance
Reliance faced a tough operating environment, although it managed to remain profitable.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2024 earnings call for Tiptree Inc., executives highlighted several key financial metrics that underscore the company's strong performance and future prospects. Year-to-date revenues increased by 28% compared to the previous year, while the adjusted return on equity reached 22%. Fortegra, Tiptree's insurance company, reported a 28% growth in revenue and a 38% rise in adjusted net income, with gross written premiums totaling $2.2 billion, marking a 10% increase year-over-year. The insurance segment maintained a robust combined ratio of 90%, demonstrating disciplined underwriting despite recent catastrophic events. Tiptree's investment portfolio amounted to $1.5 billion, predominantly invested in high-quality liquid fixed income securities, contributing to a book yield of 4.1%. Consolidated net income for the quarter was $11.9 million, a significant increase from $2.2 million in the prior year, with adjusted net income surging by 56% to $27.9 million. The company's mortgage business also showed resilience, with origination volumes rising modestly and contributing to profitability. Overall, Tiptree's book value per share increased by 18.6% from the prior year, bolstered by earnings growth and a recovery in Fortegra's fixed income portfolio.

Tiptree Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tiptree Financial presents a mixed financial picture. While the company maintains strong profitability margins and a healthy return on equity, the declining revenue growth and free cash flow are areas of concern. The balance sheet remains stable with moderate leverage, but the cash flow metrics suggest potential liquidity challenges.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Tiptree Financial's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth, which is concerning, but the company maintains a solid gross profit margin of 82.34%. The net profit margin is modest at 2.77%, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable. However, the negative revenue growth trajectory is a potential risk.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.16 in the latest TTM, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 11.84%, suggesting effective use of equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly provided, but the overall balance sheet suggests a balanced approach to debt and equity financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 96.10%, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.05B2.04B1.65B1.40B1.20B810.30M
Gross Profit1.06B1.20B1.05B945.15M873.50M573.40M
EBITDA219.24M203.22M134.21M107.22M127.45M11.31M
Net Income50.57M53.37M13.95M-8.27M38.13M-29.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.42B5.69B5.14B4.04B3.60B3.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.67B1.43B1.27B1.15B753.17M514.05M
Total Debt0.00428.68M407.81M262.40M387.75M364.16M
Total Liabilities5.67B5.04B4.56B3.51B3.20B2.62B
Stockholders Equity505.17M457.70M416.87M397.37M382.95M356.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow187.16M236.72M57.42M452.35M201.55M133.47M
Operating Cash Flow193.32M240.76M71.45M463.07M204.32M140.17M
Investing Cash Flow-299.68M-322.99M-244.67M9.51M-273.76M-123.49M
Financing Cash Flow82.32M6.29M113.41M-115.19M73.73M31.75M

Tiptree Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price18.30
Price Trends
50DMA
18.20
Positive
100DMA
20.11
Negative
200DMA
21.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Negative
RSI
49.25
Neutral
STOCH
73.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TIPT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 18.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.32, above the 50-day MA of 18.20, and below the 200-day MA of 21.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TIPT.

Tiptree Financial Risk Analysis

Tiptree Financial disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tiptree Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tiptree Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$470.82M13.1213.12%4.17%13.47%26.15%
72
Outperform
$741.27M15.0016.95%6.54%-1.73%-18.36%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$951.32M16.665.86%2.98%1.69%-52.43%
64
Neutral
$694.44M16.1910.46%1.31%4.44%22.40%
63
Neutral
$772.22M8.2025.65%34.48%
48
Neutral
-4.14%-37.46%-117.36%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TIPT
Tiptree Financial
18.30
-1.89
-9.36%
AMSF
Amerisafe
39.44
-9.39
-19.23%
EIG
Employers Holdings
42.78
-5.98
-12.26%
ITIC
Investors Title Company
253.09
16.98
7.19%
AMBC
Ambac Financial
8.45
-3.77
-30.85%
HIPO
Hippo Holdings
30.25
5.15
20.52%

Tiptree Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tiptree Financial Announces Executive Departure and Severance
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Tiptree Inc. announced the separation of Neil Rifkind from his roles as Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary as part of a legal department downsizing. The separation agreement entitles Mr. Rifkind to a cash severance of $1,600,000, unvested equity interests, and COBRA benefits under specific conditions, reflecting Tiptree’s strategic adjustments in its legal operations.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Tiptree Financial Approves Merger with Fortegra Group
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Tiptree Inc. held a Special Meeting of Stockholders to approve a merger agreement involving The Fortegra Group, Inc. and DB Insurance Co. Ltd. The merger proposal was approved with approximately 81% of votes cast in favor. This transaction marks a significant milestone in Tiptree’s history of value creation, and the company expects to finalize the merger by mid-2026, pending customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Tiptree Financial’s Fortegra Merger with DB Insurance
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Tiptree Inc. announced that Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. recommended shareholders vote in favor of the merger between The Fortegra Group, a Tiptree subsidiary, and DB Insurance Co., Ltd. This all-cash acquisition is seen as the best available option after exploring other transaction structures. The merger reflects Tiptree’s strong track record and is expected to deliver compelling value for stockholders, with a special meeting scheduled for December 3rd to finalize the vote.

M&A Transactions
Tiptree Financial Sells Reliance First Capital Stake
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Tiptree Inc. entered into a Purchase Agreement with Carrington Holding Company, LLC, to sell all outstanding membership interests of Reliance First Capital, LLC, a subsidiary of Tiptree, to Carrington. The transaction’s completion is contingent upon regulatory approvals and other customary conditions, with an outside date set for April 30, 2026. The agreement includes indemnification clauses and termination rights, emphasizing the allocation of risk between the parties rather than factual representations of Reliance’s condition.

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tiptree Financial Reports Q3 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Tiptree Inc. announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a 9.3% increase in quarterly revenues to $540.3 million, driven by growth in earned premiums and gains at Fortegra. The company also declared a cash dividend of $0.06 per share, with a record date of November 17, 2025, and a payment date of November 24, 2025. Tiptree agreed to sell Fortegra for $1.65 billion and its mortgage business, Reliance First Capital, for $51 million, with both transactions expected to close in 2026. These strategic moves are part of Tiptree’s focus on long-term value creation and streamlining operations.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tiptree Financial Announces Merger with DB Insurance
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 26, 2025, Tiptree Inc. entered into a merger agreement with DB Insurance Co., Ltd. for the acquisition of its subsidiary, The Fortegra Group, Inc., for $1.65 billion in cash. This strategic acquisition by DB Insurance, marking its largest U.S. market entry, is expected to enhance its global growth in the property and casualty markets and provide Fortegra with a strong capital base for continued growth. The merger, anticipated to close in mid-2026, is subject to regulatory approvals and stockholder consent, with implications for Tiptree’s operational focus and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025