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Tandy Leather Factory (TLF)
NASDAQ:TLF
US Market

Tandy Leather Factory (TLF) AI Stock Analysis

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TLF

Tandy Leather Factory

(NASDAQ:TLF)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(5.63% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is held back most by weakening financial quality in 2025—negative operating profit, negative free cash flow, and higher leverage—despite strong gross margins. Offsetting this, technicals are mildly constructive with the stock trading above major moving averages, and valuation looks attractive due to a very low P/E.
Positive Factors
High Gross Margins
Sustained gross margins near the high-50% range indicate durable product pricing power and favorable unit economics for leather goods. That margin buffer supports profitability through cost pressure, funds reinvestment in channels, and helps preserve cash generation potential over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow
Deeply negative free cash flow signals the business is consuming cash from operations or heavy investment, reducing runway for strategic initiatives. Persistently negative FCF constrains capital allocation, increases reliance on external funding, and raises execution risk if operating results don’t recover.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Gross Margins
Sustained gross margins near the high-50% range indicate durable product pricing power and favorable unit economics for leather goods. That margin buffer supports profitability through cost pressure, funds reinvestment in channels, and helps preserve cash generation potential over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Tandy Leather Factory (TLF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tandy Leather Factory Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tandy Leather Factory, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer of leather and leathercraft-related items in North America and Spain. It offers leather, hand tools, hardware, kits, liquids, teaching materials, open workbenches,...
How the Company Makes Money
Tandy Leather Factory generates revenue primarily through the sale of leather and leatherworking supplies, including hides, tools, dyes, and hardware, both in retail locations and online. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes d...

Tandy Leather Factory Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 22, 2024
(Q4-2023)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant improvements in operating income, adjusted EBITDA, and gross margin, coupled with strategic new store openings. However, these positives were offset by a decline in overall sales and lower-than-expected interest income. The company showed strong financial discipline and strategic planning, suggesting cautious optimism for future growth.
Positive Updates
Increase in Operating Income
Operating income rose to $4.4 million, marking a $3 million increase over the previous year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Sales
Sales decreased by 5.1% to $76.2 million, attributed to weak consumer demand and store closures.
Read all updates
Q4-2023 Updates
Negative
Increase in Operating Income
Operating income rose to $4.4 million, marking a $3 million increase over the previous year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the Tandy Leather Factory (TLF) Q4 2023 earnings call, the company provided guidance focused on maintaining profitability and cash flow amid a challenging market environment. For the year, TLF reported a 5.1% decline in sales totaling $76.2 million, yet achieved a $4.4 million operating income, up $3 million from the previous year. Gross margin improved by 130 basis points, while operating expenses dropped by 9.7%. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $6.5 million, a $2.5 million increase year-over-year. The company ended the year with $12.2 million in cash, a $4 million increase, and maintained a debt-free balance sheet. Looking to 2024, Tandy plans to open 3 to 5 new stores, leveraging a new retail model that focuses on a smaller footprint and expert customer service. Additionally, the company is exploring the sale of its Fort Worth property to potentially unlock more value and excess cash, which could be returned to shareholders.

Tandy Leather Factory Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gross margin remains strong (~56–59%), but 2025 shows pressured fundamentals: negative operating profit, slightly negative operating cash flow, and deeply negative free cash flow (~-$8.1M). Rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.52) alongside weaker cash generation increases near-term financial risk, and the gap between net income/ROE and weak operating results raises earnings-quality concerns.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue76.32M74.39M76.23M80.33M82.66M
Gross Profit43.54M41.80M45.16M46.50M47.00M
EBITDA18.46M5.36M9.04M2.83M4.66M
Net Income9.10M827.00K3.77M1.23M1.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets86.63M74.92M72.14M68.58M73.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.09M13.27M12.16M7.97M10.15M
Total Debt27.38M10.77M9.43M10.37M11.66M
Total Liabilities34.04M17.77M15.79M17.12M21.58M
Stockholders Equity52.59M57.15M56.35M51.46M51.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.09M1.56M3.96M519.00K2.71M
Operating Cash Flow-556.00K4.55M4.54M1.15M3.72M
Investing Cash Flow17.36M-2.98M-576.00K-625.00K-1.00M
Financing Cash Flow-14.11M-1.00K-26.00K-2.17M-2.78M

Tandy Leather Factory Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.84
Price Trends
50DMA
2.33
Negative
100DMA
2.19
Positive
200DMA
2.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
44.64
Neutral
STOCH
37.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TLF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.31, above the 50-day MA of 2.33, and above the 200-day MA of 2.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TLF.

Tandy Leather Factory Risk Analysis

Tandy Leather Factory disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tandy Leather Factory reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tandy Leather Factory Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$18.41M-2.7916.54%-0.28%363.27%
51
Neutral
$24.45M-40.28-3.23%25.20%-5.07%-115.50%
49
Neutral
$18.64M-9.51%-12.53%-3.24%
44
Neutral
$21.11M-2.29-10.64%37.38%
44
Neutral
$7.73M-0.31-35.95%26.08%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TLF
Tandy Leather Factory
2.28
0.21
10.14%
TBHC
Brand House Collective
0.94
-0.21
-18.35%
NHTC
Natural Health Trends
2.85
-1.29
-31.09%
MOGU
Mogu
2.28
0.24
11.76%
YJ
Yunji
1.57
-0.09
-5.42%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026