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Tandy Leather Factory (TLF)
NASDAQ:TLF
US Market
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Tandy Leather Factory (TLF) AI Stock Analysis

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TLF

Tandy Leather Factory

(NASDAQ:TLF)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-29.58% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/11/26
The score is held down primarily by weakened financial performance—loss-making results and deeply negative free cash flow despite a strong revenue rebound. Technical signals are neutral-to-soft with no clear uptrend, and valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no stated dividend yield. Corporate governance updates add a modest positive but are secondary to the cash flow and profitability risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue rebound
An ~80.7% TTM revenue rebound indicates durable demand recovery for core leathercraft products. Sustained top-line growth supports scale benefits, stocking efficiencies, and the potential to restore operating leverage if management controls SG&A and converts revenue into consistent cash flow.
Negative Factors
Deeply negative free cash flow
Material negative free cash flow (~-$5.9M) signals poor cash conversion and ongoing cash burn after investments. This weakens liquidity, increases reliance on external financing, and limits capacity to invest in growth initiatives or weather demand shocks without raising more capital.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue rebound
An ~80.7% TTM revenue rebound indicates durable demand recovery for core leathercraft products. Sustained top-line growth supports scale benefits, stocking efficiencies, and the potential to restore operating leverage if management controls SG&A and converts revenue into consistent cash flow.
Read all positive factors

Tandy Leather Factory (TLF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tandy Leather Factory Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tandy Leather Factory, Inc., along with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialized retail provider of leather and various leathercrafting supplies. The company's operations extend across North America and into Spain. It furnishes customers with a...
How the Company Makes Money
TLF primarily makes money by selling leathercraft products and supplies at retail and through direct-to-consumer online sales, generating revenue from product margins on items such as leather hides and pieces, leatherworking tools, dyes and finish...

Tandy Leather Factory Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 22, 2024
(Q4-2023)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant improvements in operating income, adjusted EBITDA, and gross margin, coupled with strategic new store openings. However, these positives were offset by a decline in overall sales and lower-than-expected interest income. The company showed strong financial discipline and strategic planning, suggesting cautious optimism for future growth.
Positive Updates
Increase in Operating Income
Operating income rose to $4.4 million, marking a $3 million increase over the previous year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Sales
Sales decreased by 5.1% to $76.2 million, attributed to weak consumer demand and store closures.
Read all updates
Q4-2023 Updates
Negative
Increase in Operating Income
Operating income rose to $4.4 million, marking a $3 million increase over the previous year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the Tandy Leather Factory (TLF) Q4 2023 earnings call, the company provided guidance focused on maintaining profitability and cash flow amid a challenging market environment. For the year, TLF reported a 5.1% decline in sales totaling $76.2 million, yet achieved a $4.4 million operating income, up $3 million from the previous year. Gross margin improved by 130 basis points, while operating expenses dropped by 9.7%. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $6.5 million, a $2.5 million increase year-over-year. The company ended the year with $12.2 million in cash, a $4 million increase, and maintained a debt-free balance sheet. Looking to 2024, Tandy plans to open 3 to 5 new stores, leveraging a new retail model that focuses on a smaller footprint and expert customer service. Additionally, the company is exploring the sale of its Fort Worth property to potentially unlock more value and excess cash, which could be returned to shareholders.

Tandy Leather Factory Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue rebounded sharply in the TTM period, but profitability deteriorated into a net loss with negative operating results. Cash generation is the main weakness: operating cash flow is minimal and free cash flow is deeply negative, indicating poor cash conversion and ongoing cash burn. Leverage is still moderate, but has worsened versus prior years, reducing balance-sheet flexibility.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue76.94M76.32M74.39M76.23M80.33M82.66M
Gross Profit43.14M43.54M41.80M45.16M46.50M47.00M
EBITDA3.64M18.46M5.82M9.17M2.83M4.66M
Net Income-2.26M9.10M827.00K3.77M1.23M1.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.52M86.63M74.92M72.14M68.58M73.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.10M16.09M13.27M12.16M7.97M10.15M
Total Debt27.72M27.38M10.77M9.43M10.37M11.66M
Total Liabilities35.02M34.04M17.77M15.79M17.12M21.58M
Stockholders Equity46.50M52.59M57.15M56.35M51.46M51.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.91M-8.09M1.56M3.96M519.00K2.71M
Operating Cash Flow886.00K-556.00K4.55M4.54M1.15M3.72M
Investing Cash Flow-6.79M17.36M-2.98M-576.00K-625.00K-1.00M
Financing Cash Flow-7.55M-14.11M-1.00K-26.00K-2.17M-2.78M

Tandy Leather Factory Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.84
Price Trends
50DMA
2.35
Negative
100DMA
2.33
Negative
200DMA
2.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
41.76
Neutral
STOCH
20.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TLF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.35, above the 50-day MA of 2.35, and above the 200-day MA of 2.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TLF.

Tandy Leather Factory Risk Analysis

Tandy Leather Factory disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tandy Leather Factory reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tandy Leather Factory Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
49
Neutral
$16.51M-3.29-9.51%6.50%
46
Neutral
$17.63M-17.78-3.23%25.20%-10.54%-332.20%
44
Neutral
$7.95M-0.37
43
Neutral
$18.81M-8.2116.54%3.76%-118.17%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TLF
Tandy Leather Factory
2.29
0.02
0.70%
NHTC
Natural Health Trends
2.03
-1.90
-48.31%
MOGU
Mogu
2.13
>-0.01
-0.37%
YJ
Yunji
1.49
-0.25
-14.37%

Tandy Leather Factory Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tandy Leather Enhances Board Governance and Shareholder Backing
Positive
Jun 10, 2026
On June 9, 2026, Tandy Leather Factory’s board approved higher cash retainers for non-employee directors and committee chairs, and changed its equity plan so all previously granted RSUs immediately vested on that date, with future RSUs vesti...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 11, 2026