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Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA)
NYSE:TEVA

Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) AI Stock Analysis

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TEVA

Teva Pharmaceutical

(NYSE:TEVA)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(5.39% Upside)
TEVA scores as moderately attractive: improving operational momentum and a generally positive earnings-call outlook support the score, reinforced by bullish technicals. The rating is held back by ongoing profitability/leverage concerns in the financials and a high P/E with no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Innovative brands driving durable growth
Sustained double‑digit growth across AUSTEDO, UZEDY and AJOVY shows Teva is building a diversified specialty franchise that generates higher‑margin, recurring revenue. This reduces reliance on generics and supports durable top‑line resilience and commercial scale over 2–6 months and beyond.
Improving gross margins and margin guidance
An 80bp YoY gross margin improvement and explicit 2026 guidance reflect a structural mix shift toward higher‑margin specialty and biosimilars. Higher gross margins support sustainable operating profitability even as SG&A/R&D investments rise, improving cash conversion over the medium term.
Deleveraging progress and clear capital targets
Meaningful net debt reduction and a defined target to reach ~2.0x net debt/EBITDA by 2027, plus rating upgrades, indicate improving financial flexibility. Steady deleveraging and pledged transformation savings enhance resilience to funding needs and lower long‑term financing costs.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage still a structural risk
Persistently high leverage constrains strategic optionality and heightens sensitivity to interest rates and cash flow swings. Even with targets to deleverage, existing debt levels limit capital allocation flexibility for M&A or heavier R&D if pipeline readouts disappoint, raising medium‑term solvency risk.
Reliance on non‑recurring milestone boosts near‑term results
Material contribution from a one‑time milestone masks organic performance and implies reported growth may not persist. Reliance on such non‑recurring items elevates execution risk for sustainable revenue, particularly as management also flags a ~$1.1B Revlimid headwind in 2026.
Generics volatility and margin pressure from investment
A flat, regionally uneven generics business alongside intentional OpEx increases to fund innovation compresses operating margins. Structural generics pricing pressure and increased S&M/R&D spending raise profitability volatility and make free cash flow more dependent on successful specialty rollouts.

Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Teva Pharmaceutical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited, a pharmaceutical company, develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes generic medicines, specialty medicines, and biopharmaceutical products in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers sterile products, hormones, high-potency drugs, and cytotoxic substances in various dosage forms, including tablets, capsules, injectables, inhalants, liquids, transdermal patches, ointments, and creams. It also develops, manufactures, and sells active pharmaceutical ingredients. In addition, it focuses on the central nervous system, pain, respiratory, and oncology areas. Its products in the central nervous system include Copaxone for the treatment of relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis; AJOVY for the preventive treatment of migraine; and AUSTEDO for the treatment of tardive dyskinesia and chorea associated with Huntington disease. The company's products in the respiratory market comprise ProAir, QVAR, ProAir Digihaler, AirDuo Digihaler, and ArmonAir Digihaler, BRALTUS, CINQAIR/CINQAERO, DuoResp Spiromax, and AirDuo RespiClick/ArmonAir RespiClick for the treatment of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Its products in the oncology market include Bendeka, Treanda, Granix, Trisenox, Lonquex, and Tevagrastim/Ratiograstim. Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited has a collaboration MedinCell for the development and commercialization of multiple long-acting injectable products, a risperidone suspension for the treatment of patients with schizophrenia. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
How the Company Makes MoneyTeva generates revenue primarily through the sales of its generic and specialty pharmaceuticals. The company's revenue model is predominantly based on the volume of medications sold, particularly in the generic segment, where it benefits from significant market share and cost advantages. Key revenue streams include the sale of generic drugs, which are often sold at lower prices than their branded counterparts, as well as specialty pharmaceuticals, which can command higher prices due to their unique therapeutic benefits. Teva also engages in partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, research institutions, and healthcare providers, which enhance its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, the company may earn revenue through licensing agreements and the development of generic versions of patented drugs once they come off patent. Factors contributing to Teva's earnings include its large manufacturing scale, diverse product portfolio, and the increasing global demand for affordable medications.

Teva Pharmaceutical Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Shows how sales are split across regions so you can see where Teva earns its money and which markets drive growth or face the most risk from pricing, regulation, or competition. Geographic splits reveal exposure to currency swings and how well diversified the business is outside any single market.
Chart InsightsTeva’s geographic mix shows US momentum driving recent growth—late‑2025 strength aligns with management’s callout of U.S. generics launches and a booming innovative portfolio (AUSTEDO, AJOVY) that materially lifted revenue and helped reduce net debt below 3x EBITDA. Europe remains a laggard, pressured by tough comps and tender losses, while International Markets bounced in 2024 but are inconsistent. That pattern implies upside from sustained U.S./innovative demand, but execution in European generics, the TAPI divestiture uncertainty, and cash‑flow timing are key near‑term risk factors to watch.
Data provided by:The Fly

Teva Pharmaceutical Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong progress on the company’s Pivot to Growth: double-digit growth in key innovative brands, improved gross margins, meaningful pipeline validation and clear deleveraging progress. These positives were tempered by dependency on a $500M milestone for headline Q4 growth, a flat generics business with regional softness, near-term one-time inventory/gross-to-net effects that complicate comparability, higher OpEx pressure and persistent clinical/catalyst risk. On balance the strong commercial momentum, improving margin profile and validated pipeline catalysts outweigh the transitory one-time effects and execution risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Profit Growth (FY 2025)
Total revenues increased 5% to $17.3B; adjusted EBITDA grew 12% to $5.3B; EPS increased 19% to $2.93; free cash flow rose ~16% to $2.4B (includes $500M Sanofi milestone).
Innovative Portfolio Momentum
AUSTEDO, UZEDY and AJOVY combined reached $3.1B for the year, up ~35%; AUSTEDO $2.26B (+34%), UZEDY $191M (+63%), AJOVY $673M (+30%).
AUSTEDO Performance
AUSTEDO Q4 $725M (+40% YoY); TRx +10% and milligram volume +19%; AUSTEDO XR accounts for 60% of new patients; 2026 guidance $2.4B–$2.55B with potential to hit $2.5B ahead of plan.
UZEDY and AJOVY Strength
UZEDY Q4 $55M (+28%) with TRx volume +123%; 2026 guidance $250M–$280M. AJOVY Q4 $211M (+43%); full-year $673M (+30%); 2026 guidance $750M–$790M.
Pipeline Catalysts and External Validation
Multiple near-term catalysts in 2026: duvakitug maintenance readout H1, anti-IL-15 vitiligo data H1 and celiac H2, DARI Phase III completion by year-end, olanzapine LAI submission made and EU filing planned; external funding/partnerships (Sanofi milestone $500M; Royalty Pharma support) validate programs.
Gross Margin Improvement
Non-GAAP gross margin improved 80 bps YoY in Q4 to 56.2%; full-year gross margin 54.7% (above guidance). 2026 gross margin guidance 54.5%–55.5% reflecting portfolio mix shift.
Balance Sheet and Deleveraging Progress
Net debt reduced to ~ $13B; net debt-to-EBITDA at 2.5x (target 2.0x by 2027); finance expense expected to decline to approx. $800M in 2026; positive rating momentum (S&P upgrade, improved Moody's outlook).
Transformation Savings and Biosimilars Growth
Transformation program target $700M of net savings by 2027; $70M achieved in 2025 and on track for ~2/3 by end-2026. Biosimilars: 10 assets in market, 6 launches planned by end-2027 and target to grow biosimilars revenue by ~$400M by 2027.
Negative Updates
Dependency on One-Time Milestone for Q4 Growth
Q4 growth of 11% included a $500M Sanofi development milestone; excluding the milestone, Q4 revenue was slightly down (~1%), highlighting reliance on non-recurring items.
Generics Business Under Pressure / Mixed Regional Performance
Generics were flat in 2025 (ex-Japan); 2-year CAGR 6% but U.S. grew 2%, international 1% and Europe declined 2%, indicating continued volatility and regional weakness.
Non-GAAP Operating Margin Compression
Non-GAAP operating margin decreased ~120 bps YoY to 26.7% in 2025, driven by higher planned OpEx to support innovative growth (higher sales & marketing and R&D investments).
Inventory and Gross-to-Net One-Time Benefits
AUSTEDO Q4 benefited from year-end inventory stocking and a favorable gross-to-net of roughly $100M; management expects some sequential destocking and one-time effects to impact 2026 Q1, complicating comparability.
Significant Non-GAAP Adjustments and Impairment
Total non-GAAP adjustments in Q4 were $649M, including an impairment charge of $77.3M related to a European manufacturing facility, reducing headline adjusted earnings clarity.
Revenue Guidance Reflects Headwinds
2026 revenue guidance of $16.4B–$16.8B implies roughly flat to down performance vs. 2025 on a like-for-like basis (ex-milestone and Japan), and management notes a ~$1.1B headwind from generic Revlimid loss in 2026.
Near-Term Quarterly Volatility and Q1 Guidance Risks
Q1 2026 expected to be light due to Revlimid loss, AUSTEDO destocking/gross-to-net reversal and seasonal dynamics; potential Q4 2026 AUSTEDO risk ahead of IRA implementation noted.
Execution and Clinical Risk on Several R&D Programs
Several high-reward pipeline programs (e.g., duvakitug maintenance, anti-IL-15, emrusolmin) carry clinical readout risk—emrusolmin Phase II considered the riskiest—so near-term catalysts are binary and could materially affect outlook.
Company Guidance
Teva guided 2026 full‑year revenue of $16.4–$16.8 billion (excluding the $500M duvakitug milestone and ~$75M Japan contribution), non‑GAAP gross margin of 54.5%–55.5%, operating expenses of ~27%–28% of revenue, non‑GAAP EPS of $2.57–$2.77, and adjusted free cash flow of $2.0–$2.4 billion; finance expenses are expected to be about $800 million and the non‑GAAP tax rate 16%–19%. Product-level guidance includes AUSTEDO $2.4–$2.55 billion, UZEDY $250–$280 million, and AJOVY $750–$790 million. Management expects revenue to ramp through the year with H2 above H1, Q1 to be light due to the ~ $300 million Revlimid decline and reversal of Q4 one‑time benefits (AUSTEDO year‑end stocking and ~ $100 million gross‑to‑net), and an approximate $1.1 billion Revlimid headwind for 2026; balance‑sheet targets include net debt of about $13 billion (net debt/EBITDA 2.5x today, targeting 2.0x by 2027). The company reaffirmed a ~$700 million transformation savings target by 2027 ( $70 million achieved in 2025; ~2/3 expected by end‑2026) and a 30% non‑GAAP operating margin ambition by 2027, with free cash flow rising toward >$3.5 billion by 2030.

Teva Pharmaceutical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Turnaround is evident with TTM profitability back to positive, rising revenue since 2022, and solid free cash flow. Offsetting this, the balance sheet remains highly leveraged (debt-to-equity ~2.36) and earnings/cash-flow have been historically volatile with thin net margins, keeping the score in the mid-range.
Income Statement
65
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a clear profitability rebound with positive EBIT ($3.1B) and net income ($1.4B) after multi-year losses (2022–2024). Revenue is trending up (TTM $17.3B vs. $14.9B in 2022), and gross margin has been fairly stable around the high‑40% to ~50% range. However, net profitability remains modest (TTM net margin ~4%), and results have been volatile historically (large losses in 2020, 2022, 2023, and 2024), which lowers confidence in consistency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Leverage remains the key constraint. TTM total debt is ~$17.1B versus equity of ~$7.9B (debt-to-equity ~2.36), which is improved from 2024 (~3.36) but still high. Equity has recovered from 2024, and TTM return on equity is back to positive (~11%), yet the capital structure still carries meaningful balance-sheet risk given the elevated debt load relative to equity and assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash generation is a relative strength, with positive free cash flow across all periods provided and a strong TTM increase (free cash flow up ~25% to ~$1.15B). That said, TTM operating cash flow is notably lower than 2024 ($1.65B vs. $2.55B), and free cash flow is only about ~54% of TTM net income, suggesting cash conversion is not consistently strong. Overall, the company is generating cash, but the year-to-year variability is a watch item.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.26B16.54B15.85B14.93B15.88B
Gross Profit8.94B8.06B7.64B6.97B7.59B
EBITDA3.79B4.43B1.56B-925.00M4.41B
Net Income1.41B-1.64B-559.00M-2.45B417.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.75B39.33B43.48B44.01B47.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.56B3.30B3.23B2.80B2.17B
Total Debt17.38B18.08B20.15B21.56B23.46B
Total Liabilities32.83B33.61B35.35B35.41B36.42B
Stockholders Equity7.91B5.37B7.51B7.80B10.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.15B2.05B842.00M1.04B236.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.65B2.55B1.37B1.59B798.00M
Investing Cash Flow-519.09M-565.67M968.00M656.00M1.52B
Financing Cash Flow-2.13B-1.74B-1.91B-1.49B-2.17B

Teva Pharmaceutical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.21
Price Trends
50DMA
29.84
Positive
100DMA
25.12
Positive
200DMA
20.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.76
Positive
RSI
67.96
Neutral
STOCH
88.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.07, above the 50-day MA of 29.84, and above the 200-day MA of 20.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 67.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TEVA.

Teva Pharmaceutical Risk Analysis

Teva Pharmaceutical disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Teva Pharmaceutical reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Teva Pharmaceutical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$13.43B32.9514.96%19.61%11.36%
70
Outperform
$11.11B17.100.64%10.63%6.35%
63
Neutral
$36.66B27.1521.36%-0.25%
60
Neutral
$14.94B-4.22-21.09%3.99%-6.40%-320.23%
60
Neutral
$4.39B993.669.50%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$1.92B-36.47-0.65%8.48%-2.55%66.00%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEVA
Teva Pharmaceutical
33.07
15.23
85.37%
RDY
Dr Reddy's Laboratories
13.27
-0.47
-3.43%
VTRS
Viatris
13.07
2.20
20.24%
NBIX
Neurocrine
137.96
-15.33
-10.00%
PRGO
Perrigo Company
13.74
-9.85
-41.77%
AMRX
Amneal Pharmaceuticals
14.11
5.53
64.45%

Teva Pharmaceutical Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Teva Pharmaceutical Extends Revolving Facility Agreement
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited announced that it has obtained consent from its lenders to extend the maturity date of its Revolving Facility Agreement from April 29, 2027, to April 29, 2028. The amendment also includes changes to financial covenants, such as the maximum permitted leverage ratio and conditions related to Investment Grade Status, which could impact the company’s financial flexibility and operational strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (TEVA) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Teva Pharmaceutical stock, see the TEVA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026