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Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA)
NYSE:TEVA

Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) AI Stock Analysis

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TEVA

Teva Pharmaceutical

(NYSE:TEVA)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(1.83% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/29/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (return to profitability and solid free cash flow) but constrained by elevated leverage and historical volatility. Technicals are supportive with strong uptrend momentum, while valuation is a headwind at a ~27 P/E and no dividend yield. Earnings-call guidance is constructive on margins, growth brands, and deleveraging, but near-term revenue and quarterly volatility risks cap the upside.
Positive Factors
Innovative-brand momentum
Sustained double-digit growth across AUSTEDO, UZEDY and AJOVY provides a durable, higher-margin revenue stream that diversifies Teva away from low-margin generics. Consistent brand growth supports long-term gross margin expansion, predictable cash generation and reduced dependence on volatile generic pricing.
Gross margin improvement & guidance
Improving and guided gross margins reflect a structural portfolio shift toward specialty products and operational efficiencies. Higher sustained gross margins increase operating leverage on revenue, supporting durable profitability even if top-line growth is uneven across quarters or geographies.
Cash generation & deleveraging progress
Improving free cash flow alongside explicit net-debt reduction targets strengthens financial flexibility and lowers refinancing risk. Reliable cash generation funds R&D and brand investment, and management's deleveraging goal indicates sustainable capital allocation improving credit profile over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Teva's high leverage remains a material structural constraint on strategic flexibility and increases sensitivity to interest costs or cash-flow volatility. Even after improvement from prior years, the capital structure limits capacity for large investments, M&A or buffers against generics revenue swings.
Generics softness & Revlimid headwind
A flat generics business and the anticipated loss of Revlimid volume create a structural revenue gap exceeding $1B, pressuring near-term top-line and forcing greater reliance on branded launches and milestones. This reduces predictability of free cash flow and heightens execution reliance on new products.
Clinical and execution risk in pipeline
Teva's growth thesis depends on multiple upcoming clinical readouts and registrations. Binary outcomes for key programs (duvakitug, anti-IL-15, emrusolmin, DARI) create sustained event risk: failures would materially impair projected brand revenue and margin improvement over the next 2–6 months and beyond.

Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Teva Pharmaceutical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTeva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited, a pharmaceutical company, develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes generic medicines, specialty medicines, and biopharmaceutical products in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers sterile products, hormones, high-potency drugs, and cytotoxic substances in various dosage forms, including tablets, capsules, injectables, inhalants, liquids, transdermal patches, ointments, and creams. It also develops, manufactures, and sells active pharmaceutical ingredients. In addition, it focuses on the central nervous system, pain, respiratory, and oncology areas. Its products in the central nervous system include Copaxone for the treatment of relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis; AJOVY for the preventive treatment of migraine; and AUSTEDO for the treatment of tardive dyskinesia and chorea associated with Huntington disease. The company's products in the respiratory market comprise ProAir, QVAR, ProAir Digihaler, AirDuo Digihaler, and ArmonAir Digihaler, BRALTUS, CINQAIR/CINQAERO, DuoResp Spiromax, and AirDuo RespiClick/ArmonAir RespiClick for the treatment of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Its products in the oncology market include Bendeka, Treanda, Granix, Trisenox, Lonquex, and Tevagrastim/Ratiograstim. Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited has a collaboration MedinCell for the development and commercialization of multiple long-acting injectable products, a risperidone suspension for the treatment of patients with schizophrenia. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
How the Company Makes MoneyTeva makes money mainly by selling prescription pharmaceuticals through two principal revenue streams: (1) generics and (2) specialty (branded) medicines. 1) Generic medicines (core revenue stream) - Product sales to channels: Teva earns revenue by manufacturing and selling off-patent (generic) versions of branded drugs to wholesale distributors, pharmacies, hospitals, pharmacy benefit managers, and other healthcare providers. Revenue is recognized from product shipments under customer contracts, typically at negotiated prices that reflect expected rebates, chargebacks, returns, and other deductions. - Scale manufacturing and portfolio breadth: Generics are a volume-driven business; Teva’s earnings depend on efficient manufacturing, broad product offerings, and supply reliability. The company benefits when it is one of the first approved generic entrants for a given molecule (where temporary limited competition can support higher prices), and when it can maintain cost advantages as competition increases and prices decline. - Geographic mix: Teva sells generics across multiple regions (notably the U.S. and Europe), and regional pricing and reimbursement dynamics affect realized prices and margins. 2) Specialty/branded medicines (higher-margin revenue stream) - Branded product sales: Teva also generates revenue from selling certain proprietary medicines. These products typically have patent/exclusivity protection (at least for some period) and are promoted to physicians and other prescribers. Branded/specialty revenue depends on prescription demand, competitive dynamics (including branded competitors and eventual generic entry), and payer coverage. - Lifecycle management and indications: Earnings from specialty products are influenced by label expansions, formulation improvements, and efforts to sustain demand as products mature. 3) Other contributors to revenue and earnings - API (active pharmaceutical ingredient) and supply-chain capabilities: Teva has internal manufacturing of APIs for its own products and, where applicable, can generate revenue from supplying APIs or finished-dose products to third parties. Specific amounts are not available here. - Licensing/alliances and settlements: Pharmaceutical companies may generate income from collaboration arrangements (e.g., development, commercialization, or licensing deals), milestone payments, royalties, or litigation-related settlements. Specific current partnerships, terms, or material contributions are not available here. Key factors that influence how much Teva earns - Product mix (generics vs. specialty), pricing pressure in generics, competitive entries, and the timing of major product launches. - Manufacturing efficiency, quality/compliance performance, and supply continuity. - Regulatory approvals for new generic launches and for branded product indications, and payer reimbursement/coverage decisions.

Teva Pharmaceutical Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Shows how sales are split across regions so you can see where Teva earns its money and which markets drive growth or face the most risk from pricing, regulation, or competition. Geographic splits reveal exposure to currency swings and how well diversified the business is outside any single market.
Chart InsightsTeva’s geographic mix shows US momentum driving recent growth—late‑2025 strength aligns with management’s callout of U.S. generics launches and a booming innovative portfolio (AUSTEDO, AJOVY) that materially lifted revenue and helped reduce net debt below 3x EBITDA. Europe remains a laggard, pressured by tough comps and tender losses, while International Markets bounced in 2024 but are inconsistent. That pattern implies upside from sustained U.S./innovative demand, but execution in European generics, the TAPI divestiture uncertainty, and cash‑flow timing are key near‑term risk factors to watch.
Data provided by:The Fly

Teva Pharmaceutical Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong progress on the company’s Pivot to Growth: double-digit growth in key innovative brands, improved gross margins, meaningful pipeline validation and clear deleveraging progress. These positives were tempered by dependency on a $500M milestone for headline Q4 growth, a flat generics business with regional softness, near-term one-time inventory/gross-to-net effects that complicate comparability, higher OpEx pressure and persistent clinical/catalyst risk. On balance the strong commercial momentum, improving margin profile and validated pipeline catalysts outweigh the transitory one-time effects and execution risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Profit Growth (FY 2025)
Total revenues increased 5% to $17.3B; adjusted EBITDA grew 12% to $5.3B; EPS increased 19% to $2.93; free cash flow rose ~16% to $2.4B (includes $500M Sanofi milestone).
Innovative Portfolio Momentum
AUSTEDO, UZEDY and AJOVY combined reached $3.1B for the year, up ~35%; AUSTEDO $2.26B (+34%), UZEDY $191M (+63%), AJOVY $673M (+30%).
AUSTEDO Performance
AUSTEDO Q4 $725M (+40% YoY); TRx +10% and milligram volume +19%; AUSTEDO XR accounts for 60% of new patients; 2026 guidance $2.4B–$2.55B with potential to hit $2.5B ahead of plan.
UZEDY and AJOVY Strength
UZEDY Q4 $55M (+28%) with TRx volume +123%; 2026 guidance $250M–$280M. AJOVY Q4 $211M (+43%); full-year $673M (+30%); 2026 guidance $750M–$790M.
Pipeline Catalysts and External Validation
Multiple near-term catalysts in 2026: duvakitug maintenance readout H1, anti-IL-15 vitiligo data H1 and celiac H2, DARI Phase III completion by year-end, olanzapine LAI submission made and EU filing planned; external funding/partnerships (Sanofi milestone $500M; Royalty Pharma support) validate programs.
Gross Margin Improvement
Non-GAAP gross margin improved 80 bps YoY in Q4 to 56.2%; full-year gross margin 54.7% (above guidance). 2026 gross margin guidance 54.5%–55.5% reflecting portfolio mix shift.
Balance Sheet and Deleveraging Progress
Net debt reduced to ~ $13B; net debt-to-EBITDA at 2.5x (target 2.0x by 2027); finance expense expected to decline to approx. $800M in 2026; positive rating momentum (S&P upgrade, improved Moody's outlook).
Transformation Savings and Biosimilars Growth
Transformation program target $700M of net savings by 2027; $70M achieved in 2025 and on track for ~2/3 by end-2026. Biosimilars: 10 assets in market, 6 launches planned by end-2027 and target to grow biosimilars revenue by ~$400M by 2027.
Negative Updates
Dependency on One-Time Milestone for Q4 Growth
Q4 growth of 11% included a $500M Sanofi development milestone; excluding the milestone, Q4 revenue was slightly down (~1%), highlighting reliance on non-recurring items.
Generics Business Under Pressure / Mixed Regional Performance
Generics were flat in 2025 (ex-Japan); 2-year CAGR 6% but U.S. grew 2%, international 1% and Europe declined 2%, indicating continued volatility and regional weakness.
Non-GAAP Operating Margin Compression
Non-GAAP operating margin decreased ~120 bps YoY to 26.7% in 2025, driven by higher planned OpEx to support innovative growth (higher sales & marketing and R&D investments).
Inventory and Gross-to-Net One-Time Benefits
AUSTEDO Q4 benefited from year-end inventory stocking and a favorable gross-to-net of roughly $100M; management expects some sequential destocking and one-time effects to impact 2026 Q1, complicating comparability.
Significant Non-GAAP Adjustments and Impairment
Total non-GAAP adjustments in Q4 were $649M, including an impairment charge of $77.3M related to a European manufacturing facility, reducing headline adjusted earnings clarity.
Revenue Guidance Reflects Headwinds
2026 revenue guidance of $16.4B–$16.8B implies roughly flat to down performance vs. 2025 on a like-for-like basis (ex-milestone and Japan), and management notes a ~$1.1B headwind from generic Revlimid loss in 2026.
Near-Term Quarterly Volatility and Q1 Guidance Risks
Q1 2026 expected to be light due to Revlimid loss, AUSTEDO destocking/gross-to-net reversal and seasonal dynamics; potential Q4 2026 AUSTEDO risk ahead of IRA implementation noted.
Execution and Clinical Risk on Several R&D Programs
Several high-reward pipeline programs (e.g., duvakitug maintenance, anti-IL-15, emrusolmin) carry clinical readout risk—emrusolmin Phase II considered the riskiest—so near-term catalysts are binary and could materially affect outlook.
Company Guidance
Teva guided 2026 full‑year revenue of $16.4–$16.8 billion (excluding the $500M duvakitug milestone and ~$75M Japan contribution), non‑GAAP gross margin of 54.5%–55.5%, operating expenses of ~27%–28% of revenue, non‑GAAP EPS of $2.57–$2.77, and adjusted free cash flow of $2.0–$2.4 billion; finance expenses are expected to be about $800 million and the non‑GAAP tax rate 16%–19%. Product-level guidance includes AUSTEDO $2.4–$2.55 billion, UZEDY $250–$280 million, and AJOVY $750–$790 million. Management expects revenue to ramp through the year with H2 above H1, Q1 to be light due to the ~ $300 million Revlimid decline and reversal of Q4 one‑time benefits (AUSTEDO year‑end stocking and ~ $100 million gross‑to‑net), and an approximate $1.1 billion Revlimid headwind for 2026; balance‑sheet targets include net debt of about $13 billion (net debt/EBITDA 2.5x today, targeting 2.0x by 2027). The company reaffirmed a ~$700 million transformation savings target by 2027 ( $70 million achieved in 2025; ~2/3 expected by end‑2026) and a 30% non‑GAAP operating margin ambition by 2027, with free cash flow rising toward >$3.5 billion by 2030.

Teva Pharmaceutical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Turnaround is evident with TTM profitability back to positive, rising revenue since 2022, and solid free cash flow. Offsetting this, the balance sheet remains highly leveraged (debt-to-equity ~2.36) and earnings/cash-flow have been historically volatile with thin net margins, keeping the score in the mid-range.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a clear profitability rebound with positive EBIT ($3.1B) and net income ($1.4B) after multi-year losses (2022–2024). Revenue is trending up (TTM $17.3B vs. $14.9B in 2022), and gross margin has been fairly stable around the high‑40% to ~50% range. However, net profitability remains modest (TTM net margin ~4%), and results have been volatile historically (large losses in 2020, 2022, 2023, and 2024), which lowers confidence in consistency.
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Leverage remains the key constraint. TTM total debt is ~$17.1B versus equity of ~$7.9B (debt-to-equity ~2.36), which is improved from 2024 (~3.36) but still high. Equity has recovered from 2024, and TTM return on equity is back to positive (~11%), yet the capital structure still carries meaningful balance-sheet risk given the elevated debt load relative to equity and assets.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength, with positive free cash flow across all periods provided and a strong TTM increase (free cash flow up ~25% to ~$1.15B). That said, TTM operating cash flow is notably lower than 2024 ($1.65B vs. $2.55B), and free cash flow is only about ~54% of TTM net income, suggesting cash conversion is not consistently strong. Overall, the company is generating cash, but the year-to-year variability is a watch item.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.26B16.54B15.85B14.93B15.88B
Gross Profit8.94B8.06B7.64B6.97B7.59B
EBITDA3.14B4.43B1.56B-925.00M4.41B
Net Income1.41B-1.64B-559.00M-2.45B417.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.75B39.33B43.48B44.01B47.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.56B3.30B3.23B2.80B2.17B
Total Debt17.38B18.08B20.15B21.56B23.46B
Total Liabilities32.83B33.61B35.35B35.41B36.42B
Stockholders Equity7.91B5.37B7.51B7.80B10.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.15B749.00M842.00M1.04B236.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.65B1.25B1.37B1.59B798.00M
Investing Cash Flow737.00M792.00M968.00M656.00M1.52B
Financing Cash Flow-2.15B-1.79B-1.91B-1.49B-2.17B

Teva Pharmaceutical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price29.46
Price Trends
50DMA
32.79
Negative
100DMA
29.49
Positive
200DMA
23.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.01
Positive
RSI
37.75
Neutral
STOCH
22.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEVA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 29.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.22, below the 50-day MA of 32.79, and above the 200-day MA of 23.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TEVA.

Teva Pharmaceutical Risk Analysis

Teva Pharmaceutical disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Teva Pharmaceutical reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Teva Pharmaceutical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$13.03B22.9516.67%19.61%11.36%
70
Outperform
$11.52B21.7216.00%0.64%10.63%6.35%
61
Neutral
$33.94B25.4320.09%-0.25%
56
Neutral
$15.56B-4.15-22.99%3.99%-6.40%-320.23%
54
Neutral
$3.76B54.80-67.91%9.50%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$1.34B-1.35-35.16%8.48%-2.55%66.00%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEVA
Teva Pharmaceutical
30.09
13.61
82.58%
RDY
Dr Reddy's Laboratories
14.19
0.92
6.91%
VTRS
Viatris
13.80
4.70
51.72%
NBIX
Neurocrine
130.71
21.01
19.15%
PRGO
Perrigo Company
10.30
-15.76
-60.48%
AMRX
Amneal Pharmaceuticals
12.43
3.81
44.20%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026