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Viatris (VTRS)
NASDAQ:VTRS

Viatris (VTRS) AI Stock Analysis

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VTRS

Viatris

(NASDAQ:VTRS)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▲(1.64% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability (deep 2025 losses and negative P/E) despite solid and stable cash flow. Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, but momentum is overbought, limiting the technical score. Guidance and corporate actions (cost-savings program and Biocon stake sale) are constructive, though near-term margin pressure, manufacturing disruption risk, and sizable one-time restructuring costs temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow
Consistent, multi-year positive operating and free cash flow provides durable financial flexibility. It supports debt servicing, dividend maintenance, share buybacks and targeted BD or portfolio moves even while earnings are weak, reducing insolvency risk and enabling strategic optionality.
Enterprise strategic review and savings
A defined multi-year cost program that targets substantial gross and net savings can structurally improve operating leverage. Phased savings and reinvestment plans, if executed, should raise margins and free cash flow over 2026–2029, enabling reinvestment and debt reduction.
Biocon stake sale unlocks biosimilars access
Monetizing the Biocon stake both strengthens liquidity and accelerates expiry of biosimilars non-competes, restoring access to a high-growth segment. Regaining biosimilars freedom expands long-term addressable market and BD options, improving portfolio optionality and growth avenues.
Negative Factors
Deep 2025 net losses
A sharp swing to significant accounting losses erodes equity and reduces earnings reliability. Persistent negative margins threaten long-term ROE and could force deeper cost cuts or asset sales; relying on cash flow while earnings remain negative weakens investor confidence in sustainable profitability.
Multi-year revenue decline
A multi-year contraction in topline scale signals secular pressure from LOEs, pricing and mix shifts. Reduced revenue scale limits fixed-cost absorption, constrains R&D and BD investment, and makes margin recovery and sustained growth harder without successful new product introductions or market share gains.
Manufacturing and regulatory execution risk
Operational reliance on a major India facility plus discretionary FDA reinspection timing creates supply and timing risk for sales recovery. Coupled with multiple regulatory milestones and back-end-weighted cost savings, these execution dependencies raise the chance that anticipated savings and launches are delayed.

Viatris (VTRS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Viatris Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionViatris Inc. operates as a healthcare company worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Developed Markets, Greater China, JANZ, and Emerging Markets. It offers prescription brand drugs, generic drugs, complex generic drugs, biosimilars, and active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). The company offers drugs in various therapeutic areas, including noncommunicable and infectious diseases; biosimilars in the areas of oncology, immunology, endocrinology, ophthalmology, and dermatology; and APIs for antibacterial, central nervous system agents, antihistamines/antiasthmatics, cardiovascular, antivirals, antidiabetics, antifungals, and proton pump inhibitor areas, as well as support services, such as diagnostic clinics, educational seminars, and digital tools to help patients better manage their health. It provides its medicines in the form of oral solid doses, injectables, complex dosage forms, and APIs to retail and pharmacy establishments, wholesalers and distributors, payers, insurers and governments, and institutions. The company distributes its products through pharmaceutical wholesalers/distributors, pharmaceutical retailers, institutional pharmacies, mail-order and e-commerce pharmacies, and specialty pharmacies. It sells its products under the Lyrica, Lipitor, Creon, Influvac, Wixela Inhub, EpiPen auto-injector, Fraxiparine, and Yupelri; Norvasc and Viagra; AMITIZA, Lipacreon, and Effexor; and Celebrex and ARV names, as well as offers biosimilars franchises, including Fulphila, Ogivri, Hulio, and SEMGLEE. The company has collaboration and licensing agreements with Revance Therapeutics, Inc.; Momenta Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Theravance Biopharma, Inc.; Biocon Ltd.; and Fujifilm Kyowa Kirin Biologics Co. Ltd. Viatris Inc. was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyViatris generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling a wide range of pharmaceutical products, including generics, branded medications, and over-the-counter treatments. The company benefits from its extensive global reach, allowing it to serve diverse markets and meet various healthcare needs. Key revenue streams include prescription drug sales, where Viatris leverages its established market presence and partnerships with healthcare providers and payers. Additionally, the company engages in strategic collaborations and alliances with other pharmaceutical firms to enhance its product offerings and reach. Viatris also derives income from its biosimilars portfolio, which is a growing segment in the pharmaceutical industry. Overall, the company's revenue model is reinforced by its commitment to providing affordable access to essential medicines and its ability to adapt to changing market dynamics.

Viatris Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsViatris is experiencing mixed performance across segments. While Greater China shows robust growth, driven by strong demand and proactive patient choice, Developed Markets and Japan face declines due to competition and regulatory impacts. The earnings call highlights strategic focus on pipeline advancements and shareholder returns, with promising Phase III results and upcoming product launches. Despite challenges, including the Indore facility impact and North American market decline, Viatris remains optimistic about sustaining growth through strategic initiatives and international expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Viatris Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized solid 2025 execution (revenue up ~2% operationally, adjusted EBITDA $4.2B), robust cash generation and a strengthened R&D pipeline with multiple regulatory milestones and late-stage programs. Management completed an enterprise strategic review targeting $650M gross savings ($400M net) with phased implementation and reinvestment to support growth. Near-term headwinds include an India facility shutdown (temporary), modest 2026 guidance (~2% revenue/EBITDA growth), margin pressure from LOEs and lower-margin mix, and one-time restructuring/transaction costs (~$700M range). Overall, the company presents a constructive, forward-looking plan with credible cash and pipeline catalysts, while acknowledging short-term execution and timing risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue and Profitability
Total 2025 revenues of $14.3B, representing ~2% growth versus 2024 on an operational/divestiture-adjusted basis; adjusted EBITDA of $4.2B and adjusted EPS of $2.35.
Quarterly Momentum
Q4 2025 revenues of $3.7B, up ~1% year-over-year (operational basis), with management describing strong commercial performance across key regions entering 2026.
Strong Cash Generation and Capital Return
Free cash flow (ex-transaction costs) of $2.2B in 2025; returned over $1B to shareholders through dividends and buybacks; expects >$2.5B of cash available for deployment in 2026 (including Biocon monetization proceeds).
Enterprise Strategic Review — Cost Savings and Reinvestment
Completed strategic review targeting ~$650M of gross cost savings over 3 years (net ~$400M after up to $250M reinvestment). Phasing of gross savings: ~30% in 2026, ~30% in 2027, ~40% in 2028. ~50% of savings expected from headcount reductions and ~50% from COGS/operational efficiencies.
Clear 2026 Financial Guidance
Guidance for ~2% total revenue growth and ~2% adjusted EBITDA growth versus 2025; new product revenues expected $450M–$550M; developed markets net sales +2%, Europe +4%, emerging markets +6%, Greater China +3%, North America flat.
R&D and Pipeline Progress
Five positive Phase 3 readouts in 2025; advancing multiple Phase 3 programs with full enrollment expected in key programs (cenerimod, Soladragrom); selatogrel enrollment accelerating (~1,200 patients/month); Nefecon top-line readout in Japan expected H1 2026.
Regulatory Milestones and Late-Stage Filings
Multiple expected regulatory decisions/filings in 2026: low-dose estrogen weekly patch (PDUFA July 30, 2026), phenylephrine ophthalmic for presbyopia (PDUFA Oct 17, 2026), EFFEXOR (Japan) expected March 2026, pitolisant JNDAs expected H2 2026; pre-NDA meeting for fast-acting meloxicam positive and NDA filing expected.
Targeted BD and Portfolio Actions
Completed ~60 regional BD transactions in 2025 (including Aculys Pharma in Japan); management prioritizes accretive, in-market commercial assets to accelerate growth rather than early-stage pipeline buys.
Product-Specific Opportunities
Fast-acting meloxicam targeted at post-operative acute pain with opioid-sparing data (company expects opioid-sparing language in label); sotagliflozin described as best-in-class SGLT with potential cardiovascular benefits; Influvac High Dose life-cycle program in Europe.
Negative Updates
India Manufacturing Disruption
A mid-February fire at the Nashik oral solid dose facility temporarily suspended manufacturing; restart expected beginning in April. Management baked <1% India recovery into 2026 guidance and previously faced a ~$325M headwind in 2025; FDA reinspection timing remains at agency discretion.
Modest 2026 Growth and Near-Term Margin Pressure
Management guided only ~2% revenue and EBITDA growth for 2026; expects modestly lower gross margins year-over-year driven by losses of exclusivity, mix shift and recovery in lower-margin ARV supply that dilutes margins; $40M of TSA income in 2025 will not recur.
One-Time Costs and Restructuring Impact
Strategic review involves one-time charges and transaction-related costs: management referenced a total one-time cost package roughly in the ~$700M range (including divestiture-related taxes/costs), with ~ $250M of restructuring cash costs expected in 2026 — creating short-term cash/expense pressure.
Regional Pricing and LOE Challenges (Japan/Australia)
JANZ region faces government-driven price regulations and a mid-year LOE (Amitiza) in Japan, pressuring near-term revenue/EBITDA; Japan requires careful repositioning and new product launches to return segment to growth.
Execution and Timing Uncertainties
Multiple key milestones depend on regulatory decisions, successful reinspection of India facility, and timely launches; many strategic launches (e.g., EFFEXOR, low-dose estrogen patch, sotagliflozin) are unlikely to be material drivers in 2026, shifting meaningful upside to later years.
Limited Near-Term Margin Benefit from Savings
While gross cost savings are targeted, roughly half of the $650M gross savings are from headcount reductions (which take time to implement) and COGS efficiencies are back-end weighted, so meaningful margin expansion is expected to be gradual through 2028–2029.
Company Guidance
Viatris guided 2026 to roughly 2% total revenue growth and ~2% adjusted EBITDA growth versus 2025 (a year in which it reported $14.3B in revenue, $4.2B adjusted EBITDA, $2.35 adjusted EPS and ~$2.2B free cash flow excluding transaction costs), and expects $450–$550M of new product revenues; regionally it anticipates developed markets +2%, Europe +4%, emerging markets +6%, Greater China +3% and North America flat (JANZ pressured by price regulation and a mid‑year Amitiza LOE), with gross margins modestly lower, adjusted SG&A down as a percent of sales, R&D flat and the $40M TSA benefit from 2025 not recurring. The company projects about $650M of gross cost savings from its strategic review over three years (phased ~30%/30%/40% in 2026–2028) with up to $250M reinvested for net savings of ~$400M and full run‑rate benefits by 2029, expects robust cash generation with >$2.5B available for deployment, will maintain the dividend, pursue accretive BD and some debt paydown to target ~2.8–3.2x gross leverage, and notes guidance is slightly back‑loaded (Q1 lowest for revenues, gross margin and FCF) and assumes <1% India recovery baked into the plan.

Viatris Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is a clear support (operating cash flow ~$2.3B–$3.0B and positive free cash flow ~$1.9B–$2.5B across 2021–2025), helping debt service flexibility. However, fundamentals are pressured by declining revenue since 2021 and a sharp swing to deep net losses in 2025 (net margin ~-25%), with profitability-driven equity erosion a key risk despite manageable leverage (~1.0 debt-to-equity in 2025).
Income Statement
32
Negative
Revenue has trended down from $17.9B (2021) to $14.3B (2025), despite a small rebound in 2025. Profitability is the key concern: net income swung from a strong profit in 2022 to losses in 2024 and a much larger loss in 2025, with net margin deteriorating to roughly -25% in 2025. Gross margin has held in the mid-30% to low-40% range, but the sharp move to negative operating results in 2025 signals meaningful cost/charge pressure and weak earnings quality.
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Leverage is moderate for the sector, with debt roughly in line with equity in 2025 (debt-to-equity ~1.0) and improved versus 2020–2021 levels. However, the balance sheet has weakened over time: total assets and equity have declined since 2021, and negative returns on equity in 2024–2025 reflect the earnings slump. Overall, the company appears financed adequately, but profitability-driven equity erosion is a clear risk if losses persist.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength. Operating cash flow has remained solid and fairly stable around ~$2.3B–$3.0B from 2021–2025, and free cash flow stayed near ~$1.9B–$2.5B over the same period. Free cash flow grew strongly in 2025 and free cash flow remained positive despite accounting losses, supporting debt service flexibility; the main watch-out is that earnings are negative while cash flow is carrying the story, which can be less durable if underlying business pressure continues.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.30B14.74B15.43B16.26B17.89B
Gross Profit5.01B5.62B6.44B6.50B5.58B
EBITDA-2.66B2.82B3.52B6.43B4.48B
Net Income-3.51B-634.20M54.70M2.08B-1.27B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.19B41.50B47.69B50.02B54.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.32B1.09B1.18B1.47B935.00M
Total Debt14.41B14.31B18.37B19.53B23.36B
Total Liabilities22.48B22.87B27.22B28.95B34.35B
Stockholders Equity14.71B18.64B20.47B21.07B20.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.94B1.98B2.33B2.51B2.51B
Operating Cash Flow2.32B2.30B2.80B3.00B3.02B
Investing Cash Flow-427.70M1.80B-764.10M1.47B-117.80M
Financing Cash Flow-1.29B-4.33B-2.30B-3.88B-3.01B

Viatris Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.25
Price Trends
50DMA
13.51
Positive
100DMA
11.95
Positive
200DMA
10.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.82
Positive
RSI
78.44
Negative
STOCH
56.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTRS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.04, above the 50-day MA of 13.51, and above the 200-day MA of 10.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 78.44 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VTRS.

Viatris Risk Analysis

Viatris disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Viatris reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Viatris Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$11.93B18.960.64%10.63%6.35%
68
Neutral
$1.72B46.797.83%48.87%
64
Neutral
$4.61B1,026.769.50%
63
Neutral
$39.96B27.6221.37%-0.25%
56
Neutral
$18.50B-5.19-21.09%3.99%-6.40%-320.23%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$2.01B-38.25-0.65%8.48%-2.55%66.00%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VTRS
Viatris
15.25
6.18
68.14%
RDY
Dr Reddy's Laboratories
14.58
1.70
13.15%
PRGO
Perrigo Company
14.19
-8.65
-37.86%
TEVA
Teva Pharmaceutical
33.77
17.45
106.92%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals
77.15
22.57
41.35%
AMRX
Amneal Pharmaceuticals
14.49
6.11
72.91%

Viatris Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Viatris Launches Major Restructuring After Strong 2025 Results
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

On February 26, 2026, Viatris reported robust fourth-quarter 2025 revenues of $3.7 billion and full-year revenues of $14.3 billion, meeting or exceeding its 2025 financial guidance and returning more than $1 billion to shareholders, supported by strong cash generation and a balanced capital allocation approach. On the same date, the company completed its enterprise-wide strategic review, launching a restructuring plan that includes a global workforce reduction of up to about 10%, expected pre-tax charges of $700 million to $850 million and anticipated net cost savings of $600 million to $700 million over three years, positioning Viatris for operational efficiency gains and sustained revenue and earnings growth beginning in 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTRS) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viatris stock, see the VTRS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Viatris Announces Chief Legal Officer Transition and Successor
Neutral
Feb 3, 2026

On February 3, 2026, Viatris Inc. reported that Chief Legal Officer Brian Roman will step down from his role effective February 9, 2026, and remain with the company until April 1, 2026, to facilitate a transition, during which he will receive separation benefits in line with those granted to comparable executives. The company also announced that veteran pharmaceutical industry lawyer Matthew Maletta, formerly Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary of Endo, Inc. from 2015 to 2025, will assume the Chief Legal Officer position on February 9, 2026, marking a planned leadership handover in Viatris’ legal function that underscores continuity and sector-specific experience at the top of its legal organization.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTRS) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viatris stock, see the VTRS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Viatris Sells Biocon Biologics Stake for $815 Million
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 6, 2025, Viatris Inc. announced an agreement to sell its equity stake in Biocon Biologics Limited to Biocon Limited for $815 million, comprising $400 million in cash and $415 million in equity shares. This transaction, expected to close in Q1 2026, will accelerate the expiration of biosimilars non-compete restrictions, allowing Viatris to regain access to the global biosimilars market, enhancing its portfolio of generics and innovative brands.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTRS) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viatris stock, see the VTRS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Viatris Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting on December 5
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Viatris Inc. held its annual meeting of shareholders to elect directors, approve executive compensation, and ratify its accounting firm. The meeting resulted in the election of thirteen directors, approval of the 2024 executive compensation, and ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (VTRS) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Viatris stock, see the VTRS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026