Molson Coors (TAP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $9.26B
• Dividend Yield: 3.92%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.56M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.17
• Revenue Growth: -4.01%
• EPS Growth: -339.22%
• Country: US
• Employees: 16,800
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Beverages - Alcoholic
• EPS (TTM): 1.67
• Shares Outstanding: 185,297,880
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 3,392,522
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,562,469
• PEG Ratio: 0.47
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.91
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.03
• P/FCF Ratio: 9.68
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.61
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.32
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.42
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -9.86
• 1Y Price Target: $52.06
• Price Target Upside: 10.39% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 16
• EPS Forecast (FY): 5.38
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $11.20B

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: $45.00 ▼(-4.58% Downside)

Molson Coors' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including negative profitability and declining revenue. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further weighing on the score. However, the stock's low valuation and attractive dividend yield offer some upside potential. The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook, with strategic initiatives providing some hope for improvement.

Positive Factors

Cash Flow Strength

Strong cash flow generation provides a financial cushion, enabling Molson Coors to invest in strategic initiatives and weather operational challenges.

Brand Performance

Growth in key brands like Peroni indicates successful market strategies and potential for sustained revenue growth through increased media investment and distribution.

Non-Alcoholic Portfolio Expansion

Strong performance in non-alcoholic offerings like Fever-Tree reflects diversification efforts, catering to changing consumer preferences and expanding market reach.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue

Declining revenue signals potential market share loss and challenges in maintaining sales momentum, impacting long-term financial health.

Goodwill Impairment

Significant goodwill impairment reflects overvaluation of past acquisitions, impacting balance sheet strength and future earnings potential.

Industry Challenges

Industry-wide decline poses a structural challenge, affecting consumption patterns and potentially limiting growth opportunities in core markets.

Molson Coors Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Molson Coors Beverage Company manufactures, markets, and sells beer and other malt beverage products under various brands in the Americas, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific. It offers flavored malt beverages, craft, and ready to drink beverages. The company was formerly known as Molson Coors Brewing Company and changed its name to Molson Coors Beverage Company in January 2020. Molson Coors Beverage Company was founded in 1774 and is based in Golden, Colorado.

How the Company Makes Money

Molson Coors generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beer products, which are distributed to retailers, bars, and restaurants. The company operates under a revenue model that includes both direct sales and partnerships with distributors. Key revenue streams come from the sale of various beer brands, including premium and craft offerings, as well as non-alcoholic beverages. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its distribution network and market reach. Seasonal promotions, marketing campaigns, and sponsorships of major events also contribute to sales growth. The company's focus on innovation, including the introduction of new flavors and product lines, further bolsters its revenue potential.

Molson Coors Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Molson Coors faces significant challenges in profitability and revenue growth, with a negative net profit margin and declining revenue. However, stable gross profit margin and manageable debt levels provide some resilience. Cash flow remains a strength, offering a cushion against operational difficulties.

Income Statement

Molson Coors has faced significant challenges in its income statement, particularly in the TTM period. The company reported a negative net profit margin of -18.64% and a substantial decline in revenue growth rate of -61.3%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational difficulties. However, the gross profit margin remains relatively stable at 38.74%, suggesting some resilience in cost management.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61, indicating manageable leverage levels. However, the return on equity is negative at -16.74%, reflecting recent profitability challenges. The equity ratio stands at 45.14%, suggesting a solid capital structure despite recent losses.

Cash Flow

Molson Coors has shown some strength in cash flow metrics, with a positive free cash flow growth rate of 13.8% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33, indicating that the company is generating cash from operations despite net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.63, highlighting efficient cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	11.21B	11.63B	11.70B	10.70B	10.28B	9.65B
Gross Profit	4.34B	4.53B	4.37B	3.66B	4.05B	3.77B
EBITDA	-1.51B	2.55B	2.17B	872.90M	2.29B	552.70M
Net Income	-2.09B	1.12B	948.90M	-175.30M	1.01B	-945.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	22.87B	26.06B	26.38B	25.87B	27.62B	27.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	950.20M	969.30M	868.90M	600.00M	637.40M	770.10M
Total Debt	6.29B	6.19B	6.27B	6.61B	7.21B	8.28B
Total Liabilities	12.20B	12.61B	12.94B	12.95B	13.95B	14.71B
Stockholders Equity	10.33B	13.09B	13.20B	12.69B	13.42B	12.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.09B	1.24B	1.41B	840.60M	1.05B	1.12B
Operating Cash Flow	1.74B	1.91B	2.08B	1.50B	1.57B	1.70B
Investing Cash Flow	-752.80M	-648.00M	-841.70M	-625.10M	-509.90M	-413.60M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.04B	-1.14B	-981.40M	-889.50M	-1.17B	-1.07B

Molson Coors Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 47.16
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TAP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 47.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.47, above the 50-day MA of 46.31, and below the 200-day MA of 51.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TAP.

Molson Coors Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
BUD	75 Outperform	$125.21B	17.59	8.97%	1.67%	-2.06%	21.03%
ABEV	75 Outperform	$39.39B	13.56	15.97%	1.79%	-0.68%	4.29%
SAM	74 Outperform	$2.15B	24.18	9.58%	―	-1.13%	24.34%
FMX	73 Outperform	$19.79B	42.77	5.48%	4.55%	1.44%	-38.87%
CCU	70 Neutral	$2.30B	16.20	9.07%	3.71%	16.59%	1.72%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
TAP	56 Neutral	$9.26B	―	-17.66%	3.92%	-4.01%	-339.22%

Molson Coors Corporate Events

Molson Coors Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results

Molson Coors Beverage Company, a leading player in the beverage industry, is renowned for its iconic beer brands and a diverse portfolio that extends beyond traditional beer offerings. The company recently reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, revealing a challenging period marked by a decline in net sales and significant impairment charges.

Molson Coors Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments Amid Challenges

Molson Coors Brewing Company recently held its earnings call, revealing a mixed sentiment. On the positive side, the company celebrated strong performances from its Peroni and Topo Chico brands and reaffirmed its commitment to returning capital to shareholders. However, the call also highlighted significant challenges, including declines in key financial metrics, a substantial goodwill impairment charge, and the need for restructuring amidst industry-wide pressures.

Molson Coors Faces Third Quarter Challenges Amid Strategic Restructuring

Molson Coors reported a challenging third quarter in 2025, with a 2.3% decrease in net sales and a significant U.S. GAAP loss before income taxes, primarily due to non-cash impairment charges. Despite these setbacks, the company remains optimistic about its long-term growth, supported by a strong balance sheet and strategic organizational changes aimed at enhancing agility and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TAP) stock is a Sell with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Molson Coors stock, see the TAP Stock Forecast page.

Molson Coors Announces Major Restructuring Plan

On October 20, 2025, Molson Coors announced a restructuring plan to streamline its Americas operations by eliminating approximately 400 salaried positions, equating to about 9% of its workforce, by the end of December 2025. This move aims to enhance agility and reinvest in the business, focusing on growth in both its traditional beer portfolio and expanding into adjacent categories like premium mixers and non-alcoholic beverages, with expected restructuring charges ranging from $35 million to $50 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (TAP) stock is a Hold with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Molson Coors stock, see the TAP Stock Forecast page.

Molson Coors Announces Chief Commercial Officer Departure

On October 3, 2025, Molson Coors announced that Michelle St. Jacques, the Chief Commercial Officer, will leave the company effective November 14, 2025. The company plans to enter into a severance agreement with her, signaling a significant change in its executive leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (TAP) stock is a Buy with a $57.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Molson Coors stock, see the TAP Stock Forecast page.

Molson Coors Appoints New CEO Rahul Goyal

On September 19, 2025, Molson Coors announced the appointment of Rahul Goyal as the new President and CEO, effective October 1, 2025, following Gavin Hattersley’s retirement. Goyal, who has been with the company for 24 years, is expected to drive the next phase of growth, leveraging his extensive experience in strategy, IT, and finance. Hattersley will remain as a special advisor until the end of 2025 to ensure a smooth transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (TAP) stock is a Hold with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Molson Coors stock, see the TAP Stock Forecast page.

Molson Coors Reports Q2 2025 Earnings Amid Industry Challenges

Molson Coors Beverage Company, a prominent player in the beverage industry, is known for its diverse portfolio of beers and non-alcoholic beverages, including iconic brands like Coors Light and Miller Lite. The company operates globally with a focus on premiumization and strategic partnerships.

Molson Coors Faces Mixed Outlook Amid Market Challenges

Molson Coors Brewing’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture for investors. While the company showcased strong performance in its core brands and successful premiumization efforts, significant challenges in the U.S. beer market and rising costs have led to a downward revision in financial guidance. The spike in Midwest Premium pricing has further complicated the outlook.

Molson Coors Adjusts 2025 Guidance Amid Industry Challenges

Molson Coors reported a decrease in net sales and income for the second quarter of 2025, impacted by macroeconomic conditions and industry challenges. Despite these pressures, the company remains committed to its long-term growth objectives and has adjusted its full-year guidance, reaffirming its free cash flow expectations. The company continues to invest in its brands and maintain market share gains, focusing on premiumization and strategic partnerships to support future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TAP) stock is a Hold with a $62.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Molson Coors stock, see the TAP Stock Forecast page.