Molson Coors (TAP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $9.22B
• Dividend Yield: 4.08%
• Average Volume (3M): 3.74M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.16
• Revenue Growth: -4.01%
• EPS Growth: -339.22%
• Country: US
• Employees: 16,800
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Beverages - Alcoholic
• EPS (TTM): 1.67
• Shares Outstanding: 185,297,880
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 3,152,092
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 3,741,415
• PEG Ratio: 0.47
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.91
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.03
• P/FCF Ratio: 9.68
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.61
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.32
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.42
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -9.86
• 1Y Price Target: $51.81
• Price Target Upside: 12.56% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 16
• EPS Forecast (FY): 5.39
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $11.19B

• Rating: 53 Neutral
• Price Target: $47.00 ▲(2.11% Upside)

Molson Coors faces significant profitability and revenue challenges, reflected in a low financial performance score. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, and valuation is impacted by a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provided some positive brand performance insights but also highlighted major financial declines and restructuring efforts. Overall, the stock score reflects these challenges and uncertainties.

Positive Factors

Cash Flow Strength

Strong cash flow generation provides financial flexibility and supports strategic investments, even amid profitability challenges.

Brand Performance

Strong brand performance, such as Peroni's growth, indicates effective marketing and potential for sustained market share gains.

Leadership Change

New leadership can bring fresh strategic direction and drive growth, leveraging extensive experience within the company.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

Declining revenue reflects challenges in market demand and competitive pressures, impacting long-term growth prospects.

Goodwill Impairment

Significant impairment charges indicate overvaluation of past acquisitions and can affect future earnings and balance sheet strength.

Restructuring Challenges

Restructuring indicates operational inefficiencies and can lead to short-term disruptions, impacting morale and productivity.

Molson Coors Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Molson Coors Beverage Company manufactures, markets, and sells beer and other malt beverage products under various brands in the Americas, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific. It offers flavored malt beverages, craft, and ready to drink beverages. The company was formerly known as Molson Coors Brewing Company and changed its name to Molson Coors Beverage Company in January 2020. Molson Coors Beverage Company was founded in 1774 and is based in Golden, Colorado.

How the Company Makes Money

Molson Coors generates revenue primarily through the sale of beer and other beverages. The company operates a revenue model based on direct sales to retail outlets, bars, and restaurants, as well as through distribution agreements with wholesalers. Key revenue streams include the sales of their flagship beer brands, craft beers, and the emerging non-alcoholic beverage segment. Additionally, partnerships with various distributors and retailers enhance market access and visibility for their products. The company also engages in marketing and promotional activities to drive brand loyalty and expand its customer base, contributing to overall earnings. Seasonal and regional variations in beer consumption, along with strategic pricing strategies, further impact their revenue generation.

Molson Coors Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Molson Coors faces significant challenges in profitability and revenue growth, with a negative net profit margin and declining revenue. However, stable gross profit margin and manageable debt levels provide some resilience. Cash flow remains a strength, offering a cushion against operational difficulties.

Income Statement

Molson Coors has faced significant challenges in its income statement, particularly in the TTM period. The company reported a negative net profit margin of -18.64% and a substantial decline in revenue growth rate of -61.3%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational difficulties. However, the gross profit margin remains relatively stable at 38.74%, suggesting some resilience in cost management.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.61, indicating manageable leverage levels. However, the return on equity is negative at -16.74%, reflecting recent profitability challenges. The equity ratio stands at 45.14%, suggesting a solid capital structure despite recent losses.

Cash Flow

Molson Coors has shown some strength in cash flow metrics, with a positive free cash flow growth rate of 13.8% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33, indicating that the company is generating cash from operations despite net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.63, highlighting efficient cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	11.21B	11.63B	11.70B	10.70B	10.28B	9.65B
Gross Profit	4.34B	4.53B	4.37B	3.66B	4.05B	3.77B
EBITDA	-1.51B	2.55B	2.17B	872.90M	2.29B	552.70M
Net Income	-2.09B	1.12B	948.90M	-175.30M	1.01B	-945.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	22.87B	26.06B	26.38B	25.87B	27.62B	27.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	950.20M	969.30M	868.90M	600.00M	637.40M	770.10M
Total Debt	6.29B	6.19B	6.27B	6.61B	7.21B	8.28B
Total Liabilities	12.20B	12.61B	12.94B	12.95B	13.95B	14.71B
Stockholders Equity	10.33B	13.09B	13.20B	12.69B	13.42B	12.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.09B	1.24B	1.41B	840.60M	1.05B	1.12B
Operating Cash Flow	1.74B	1.91B	2.08B	1.50B	1.57B	1.70B
Investing Cash Flow	-752.80M	-648.00M	-841.70M	-625.10M	-509.90M	-413.60M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.04B	-1.14B	-981.40M	-889.50M	-1.17B	-1.07B

Molson Coors Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 46.03
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TAP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 46.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.57, above the 50-day MA of 45.76, and below the 200-day MA of 49.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TAP.

Molson Coors Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ABEV	80 Outperform	$37.45B	13.17	15.97%	8.22%	-0.68%	4.29%
BUD	75 Outperform	$126.75B	17.76	8.97%	1.83%	-2.06%	21.03%
CCU	70 Outperform	$2.36B	16.60	9.07%	2.56%	16.59%	1.72%
SAM	68 Neutral	$2.12B	22.92	9.58%	―	-1.13%	24.34%
FMX	65 Neutral	$20.88B	45.62	5.48%	4.38%	1.44%	-38.87%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
TAP	53 Neutral	$9.22B	-4.31	-17.66%	4.08%	-4.01%	-339.22%

Molson Coors Corporate Events

Molson Coors Announces Departure of Chief Commercial Officer

On November 14, 2025, Molson Coors Beverage Company announced the departure of their Chief Commercial Officer, Michelle St. Jacques. As part of her exit, she entered into a severance agreement that includes a payout of $750,282 over 52 weeks, with conditions affecting the payout if she joins a competitor or other employment. The agreement also outlines the continuation of certain benefits and the handling of her equity awards.

Molson Coors Announces Major Restructuring Plan

On October 20, 2025, Molson Coors announced a restructuring plan to streamline its Americas operations by eliminating approximately 400 salaried positions, equating to about 9% of its workforce, by the end of December 2025. This move aims to enhance agility and reinvest in the business, focusing on growth in both its traditional beer portfolio and expanding into adjacent categories like premium mixers and non-alcoholic beverages, with expected restructuring charges ranging from $35 million to $50 million.

Molson Coors Announces Chief Commercial Officer Departure

On October 3, 2025, Molson Coors announced that Michelle St. Jacques, the Chief Commercial Officer, will leave the company effective November 14, 2025. The company plans to enter into a severance agreement with her, signaling a significant change in its executive leadership.

Molson Coors Appoints New CEO Rahul Goyal

On September 19, 2025, Molson Coors announced the appointment of Rahul Goyal as the new President and CEO, effective October 1, 2025, following Gavin Hattersley’s retirement. Goyal, who has been with the company for 24 years, is expected to drive the next phase of growth, leveraging his extensive experience in strategy, IT, and finance. Hattersley will remain as a special advisor until the end of 2025 to ensure a smooth transition.