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Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA (CCU)
NYSE:CCU

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA (CCU) AI Stock Analysis

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CCU

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA

(NYSE:CCU)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(30.43% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:12/02/25
Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA's overall stock score is driven by its strong cash flow performance and positive technical indicators. While financial performance shows some challenges, particularly in revenue growth, the company's cash flow strength and operational efficiencies provide a solid base. Technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation and earnings call insights present a balanced view, with both opportunities and challenges.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Sustained FCF expansion (184.3% TTM) strengthens CCU’s ability to fund dividends, capex, deleveraging and strategic initiatives without relying on external financing. Strong cash conversion provides a durable buffer against cyclical downturns and supports reinvestment in growth and sustainability programs.
Operational EBITDA Momentum
EBITDA growth and margin expansion in Chile reflect durable operational efficiency and pricing power in CCU’s core market. Combined with international segment gains, this operational leverage supports profitability even amid revenue pressure, underpinning long-term cash generation and ability to invest in brand and distribution.
Governance Strengthening
Implementing a formal policy for subsidiary directors and a planned board leadership transition signals stronger governance and oversight. Improved board selection standards and leadership renewal reduce agency risk, improve strategic consistency across subsidiaries and increase investor confidence over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A 23.7% TTM revenue decline is a durable red flag for scale and market demand. Persistent top-line contraction can erode fixed-cost coverage, limit margin recovery, constrain reinvestment and weaken bargaining power with retailers and suppliers, making profitability improvements harder to sustain.
Argentina Currency & Market Exposure
Heavy exposure to Argentina creates structural earnings volatility from currency depreciation and volatile domestic demand. Large FX moves compress local prices and translate into lower consolidated revenues and margins, reducing predictability of cash flows and complicating long-term planning and capital allocation.
Wine Segment Weakness
A significant EBITDA and margin deterioration in the wine business reflects structural demand softness and rising input costs. Persistent underperformance in this segment drags consolidated profitability, forces resource reallocation, and may require strategic repositioning or cost restructuring to restore acceptable returns.

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA (CCU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCompania Cervecerias Unidas SA (CCU) is a leading beverage company based in Chile, primarily engaged in the production and distribution of a wide range of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages. The company operates in various sectors, including brewing, soft drinks, and bottled water. CCU's core products include beer, sparkling water, and fruit beverages, with a portfolio that features both proprietary brands and licensed products. The company has a strong presence in Chile and has expanded its operations into other Latin American markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyCCU generates revenue primarily through the sale of its diverse beverage offerings. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of beer, which is one of its largest segments, as well as non-alcoholic beverages such as soft drinks and bottled water. CCU also benefits from partnerships with international brands, allowing it to produce and distribute licensed products, which contributes to its earnings. Additionally, the company leverages its extensive distribution network to reach a wide customer base across various retail channels, including supermarkets, convenience stores, and restaurants, thereby enhancing its market penetration and revenue potential.

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflected a mixed picture: CCU's core Chile business showed clear improvements—recovering volume growth, mid-single-digit EBITDA gains, margin expansion and strong innovation-led growth in RTD and water categories. However, these positives were materially offset by severe underperformance in the International Business (notably Argentina) and the Wine segment, which drove significant quarterly and yearly declines in consolidated EBITDA and net income. Management emphasized operational actions (revenue management, efficiency, high-margin innovation) and some input-cost tailwinds from FX, but notable near-term headwinds remain.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Chile Operating Segment Performance (Full Year)
Chile operating segment delivered robust results in 2025: EBITDA grew 7.8% year-on-year and EBITDA margin expanded by 48 basis points. Consolidated organic volumes growth was fully driven by Chile, with the country recovering volume growth after three years of contraction.
Consolidated Volume Expansion (Full Year)
Consolidated volumes reached 36.2 million hectoliters in 2025, expanding 7.3% versus 2024. Organic volumes increased 0.6% year-over-year.
Quarterly Chile Top-Line and Profitability Strength (Q4 2025)
In Q4 2025 Chile top line rose 5.5% (volumes +4.1%, average prices +1.3%). Gross profit increased 9.1% and EBITDA in the quarter expanded 6.0% despite higher MSD&A expenses.
High Growth in Low-Alcohol / RTD and Water Categories
Low-alcohol ready-to-drink (RTD) and flavored products showed strong growth: RTD products grew over 20% (now ~7% of Chile mix) and flavored/low-alcohol spirits grew ~25%. Enhanced and functional water products posted double-digit growth in Chile.
Regional Footprint and Scale Gains
CCU strengthened its regional presence by integrating PepsiCo's beverage and snacks distribution in Paraguay and growing joint-venture volumes in Colombia to 2.4 million hectoliters (+6.1% in 2025).
Operational & Sustainability Milestones
Company advanced its 2025-2027 strategic plan (Profitability, Growth, Sustainability), reduced industrial water consumption, received Top Employer certifications in Chile and Argentina, and earned recognition for corporate governance practices.
Potential Input Cost Tailwinds from FX
Management highlighted a favorable impact from the appreciation of the Chilean peso on U.S. dollar-linked costs, which could support margin expansion in 2026 if sustained.
Negative Updates
Consolidated Profit Declines (Full Year)
Consolidated EBITDA decreased 2.9% in 2025 when isolating a 2024 nonrecurring land-sale gain; net income fell 16.3% year-on-year.
Sharp Quarter Declines in Consolidated Profitability (Q4 2025)
In Q4 2025 consolidated EBITDA contracted 17.2% and net income declined 25.7%, reflecting weak performance outside the core Chile segment.
Severe International Business Weakness (Argentina Impact)
The International Business operating segment suffered major declines: a 29.5% EBITDA contraction for the year and a 44.5% EBITDA drop in Q4. Net sales in the segment fell ~36.3%, driven by lower average prices (translation effects) and a volume contraction (Argentina beer down high-single digits).
Wine Segment Underperformance
The Wine operating segment experienced steep weakness: EBITDA declined 14.9% year-on-year and 45.2% in Q4. Wine top line contracted 16.8% (volumes -9.7%, average prices -7.9%), hit by weaker exports, negative mix and higher wine costs.
Argentina Pricing and Demand Headwinds
Argentina faced a particularly challenging 2025 with pricing below inflation and a soft alcoholic industry. Beer prices were below inflation for the year (after being above inflation in prior years), pressuring margins and profitability.
Rising Specific Input Costs and Higher SG&A
Management flagged persistent cost pressures in aluminum and higher PET recycling costs. In Q4 Chile MSD&A (SG&A & distribution) rose ~10.1%, driven by higher distribution and marketing spending, which weighed on margins.
Credit / Leverage Considerations
Management aims to keep net financial debt/EBITDA around current levels (about 2x) to preserve ratings; S&P maintains a negative outlook on the company, indicating continued scrutiny of leverage and performance.
Company Guidance
CCU guided that for 2026 it will seek to grow prices in line with inflation, pursue revenue‑management and high‑margin innovation to expand EBITDA and margins (management expects a positive EBITDA/margin impact in 2026), and expects favorable input‑cost dynamics from an appreciated Chilean peso (each 1% CLP appreciation ≈ CLP 4,000 million benefit) partially offset by higher aluminum and PET recycling costs; operationally, management sees beer stabilizing around 0–1% growth while non‑alcoholic and low‑alcohol RTD products should continue double‑digit growth (RTD >20%, low‑alcohol spirits ≈25%), with low‑alcohol RTD already ~7% of Chile mix and CCU holding >80% share in flavored low‑alcohol, plans CapEx roughly in line with depreciation, aims to keep net debt/EBITDA at ≈2 or below to protect its rating, and expects marketing spend to normalize after a temporary Q4 increase—context: CCU closed 2025 with consolidated volumes of 36.2 million hl (+7.3% YoY; organic +0.6%), Chile volumes +1.1% (recovery), Chile FY EBITDA +7.8% and +48 bps margin, while consolidated EBITDA excluding a 2024 land sale fell 2.9% (Q4 consolidated EBITDA -17.2%, Q4 net income -25.7%).

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA shows a mixed financial performance. The income statement highlights challenges with declining revenue and profitability, while the balance sheet indicates moderate leverage and stability. The cash flow statement is a bright spot, with significant improvements in free cash flow, providing a solid foundation for future improvements.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is stable at 45.2%, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 4.96% from 5.54% in the previous year, reflecting reduced profitability. Revenue growth has been negative in the TTM, with a decline of 23.7%, which is concerning. EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively stable, suggesting operational efficiency, but the negative revenue growth is a significant drawback.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.86 in the TTM from 0.93 in the previous year, indicating a reduction in leverage. Return on equity is slightly lower at 10.1% compared to 10.55% last year, showing a slight decline in shareholder returns. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. Overall, the company maintains a reasonable level of financial stability, but the slight decline in ROE is a concern.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong performance in the TTM. Free cash flow growth is robust at 184.3%, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.46, showing adequate cash flow relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.64, reflecting strong cash conversion. Despite previous fluctuations, the current cash flow metrics suggest a healthy liquidity position and effective cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.02T2.90T2.57T2.71T2.48T1.86T
Gross Profit1.36T1.31T1.19T1.20T1.19T873.56B
EBITDA317.40B262.70B344.05B211.68B454.00B172.32B
Net Income136.21B160.94B105.65B118.17B199.16B96.15B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.60T3.99T3.42T3.60T2.85T3.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments498.79B707.95B621.47B609.04B279.58B575.09M
Total Debt1.30T1.41T1.33T1.37T573.65B706.71M
Total Liabilities1.98T2.32T2.09T2.16T1.42T1.57B
Stockholders Equity1.48T1.53T1.22T1.32T1.31T1.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow149.41B127.43B164.65B-157.67B121.50B157.88B
Operating Cash Flow252.35B287.52B294.10B45.94B293.36B280.67B
Investing Cash Flow-105.82B-118.29B-137.23B-236.46B-178.99B-140.55B
Financing Cash Flow-246.88B-125.04B-118.04B537.10B-233.64B64.75B

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.65
Price Trends
50DMA
13.88
Positive
100DMA
13.21
Positive
200DMA
12.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
49.11
Neutral
STOCH
24.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CCU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.51, below the 50-day MA of 13.88, and below the 200-day MA of 12.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CCU.

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA Risk Analysis

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$50.69B17.6117.42%8.22%-0.68%4.29%
70
Outperform
$2.61B18.279.07%2.53%16.59%1.72%
68
Neutral
$159.60B23.148.29%1.83%-2.06%21.03%
68
Neutral
$2.42B26.819.58%-1.13%24.34%
65
Neutral
$22.52B50.235.48%4.33%1.44%-38.87%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
54
Neutral
$9.89B-4.60-18.35%4.08%-4.01%-339.22%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA
14.22
1.36
10.54%
BUD
Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa
80.66
26.70
49.48%
SAM
Boston Beer
227.45
-6.84
-2.92%
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexicano
111.86
28.98
34.97%
TAP
Molson Coors
49.89
-8.75
-14.92%
ABEV
Ambev SA
3.23
1.49
85.42%

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA Corporate Events

CCU Announces Leadership Transition as Chairman Francisco Pérez Mackenna Resigns
Jan 21, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. announced that long-serving chairman and director Francisco Pérez Mackenna resigned his positions effective January 31, 2026, with the board formally accepting his resignation and acknowledging his contributions. The board appointed Macario Valdés Raczynski as a replacement director effective February 1, 2026, pending a full board renewal at the next ordinary shareholders’ meeting, and named Pablo Granifo Lavín as the new chairman to assume leadership once Pérez’s resignation takes effect, signaling a planned transition at the top of CCU’s governance structure that could shape the company’s strategic direction across its regional beverage operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCU) stock is a Sell with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA stock, see the CCU Stock Forecast page.

CCU Approves New Governance Policy for Subsidiary Directors
Dec 4, 2025

On December 3, 2025, the Board of Directors of Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. (CCU) acknowledged the approval of a new General Policy for the Election of Directors in Subsidiary Companies by its parent company, Inversiones y Rentas S.A. This policy, set to take effect on December 11, 2025, aligns with Chilean corporate law and regulatory guidelines. The policy aims to enhance governance practices and will be accessible to shareholders and interested parties through CCU’s corporate offices and website. This development is expected to strengthen CCU’s governance framework and potentially impact its operational efficiency and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCU) stock is a Sell with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA stock, see the CCU Stock Forecast page.

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 7, 2025

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. released its interim consolidated financial statements for the nine-month period ending September 30, 2025. The report indicates a decrease in total assets from December 31, 2024, to September 30, 2025, with current assets and non-current assets both showing declines. This financial update provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial health and operational adjustments over the period.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCU) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA stock, see the CCU Stock Forecast page.

CCU Reports Mixed Financial Results for Q3 2025 Amid Market Challenges
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, CCU announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, which ended on September 30, 2025. The company reported a 1.2% increase in consolidated volumes and a 4.6% rise in EBITDA compared to the same period last year. However, net sales decreased by 1.1% and gross profit fell by 2.9%. Despite a challenging business environment, particularly in Argentina, CCU’s Chilean operations showed resilience with a 4.8% increase in EBITDA. The wine segment faced difficulties due to weaker domestic markets and higher costs. Overall, CCU’s strategic focus on profitability and efficiency has supported its financial performance amidst volatile market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCU) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA stock, see the CCU Stock Forecast page.

CCU Announces Interim Dividend Distribution for 2025
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, the Board of Directors of Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. approved the distribution of interim dividend No. 271, amounting to CLP 84.0 per share and CLP 168.0 per ADR, totaling CLP 31,038,241,248. This dividend will be paid starting November 27, 2025, to shareholders recorded by midnight on November 21, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s strong financial performance and commitment to returning value to its shareholders, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (CCU) stock is a Buy with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA stock, see the CCU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025