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Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa (BUD)
NYSE:BUD
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Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa (BUD) AI Stock Analysis

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BUD

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa

(NYSE:BUD)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$64.00
â–²(4.68% Upside)
Anheuser-Busch Inbev's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlight robust EBITDA growth and strategic investments. However, the technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which is a concern. The valuation is fair, providing some support to the stock price. The primary strengths are its financial health and strategic initiatives, while the technical indicators point to potential short-term risks.
Positive Factors
Dividend Policy
Management has signaled confidence with a 22% dividend increase, which currently yields 1.7%.
Financial Performance
The company recently reported 4Q24 results that beat consensus expectations.
Stock Performance
BUD shares have outperformed over the past quarter, rising 23% compared to gains of 9% for the MSCI EAFE index and 6% for the industry ETF IYK.
Negative Factors
Earnings Outlook
EPS is broadly flat for FY24, but reduced by 4% in FY25 and 3% for FY26, reflecting a modest offset from slightly lower below the line financial charges.
Growth Expectations
Growth and share price performance is likely to be H2 weighted, with better near-term opportunities elsewhere in Beverages.
Stock Listing
The stock has been removed from the Top Pick list.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa (BUD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAnheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV engages in the production, distribution, and sale of beer, alcoholic beverages, and soft drinks worldwide. It offers a portfolio of approximately 500 beer brands, which primarily include Budweiser, Corona, and Stella Artois; Beck's, Hoegaarden, Leffe, and Michelob Ultra; and Aguila, Antarctica, Bud Light, Brahma, Cass, Castle, Castle Lite, Cristal, Harbin, Jupiler, Modelo Especial, Quilmes, Victoria, Sedrin, and Skol brands. The company was founded in 1366 and is headquartered in Leuven, Belgium.
How the Company Makes MoneyAnheuser-Busch InBev primarily generates revenue through the sale of alcoholic beverages, with beer being its main product category. The company's revenue model is based on the production, distribution, and sale of its extensive portfolio of beer brands, which cater to different consumer preferences across various markets. Key revenue streams include the sale of packaged beer (cans and bottles), draft beer served in bars and restaurants, and the licensing of its brands. Additionally, Anheuser-Busch InBev benefits from economies of scale in production and distribution, allowing it to optimize costs and enhance profitability. The company also engages in partnerships with distributors and retailers, ensuring broad market access and promotional opportunities for its products. Seasonal promotions, sponsorships of sporting events, and marketing campaigns further contribute to driving sales and brand loyalty, thereby enhancing overall earnings.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Beer Volume by Geography
Beer Volume by Geography
Shows the distribution of beer sales volume in various regions, highlighting market penetration and potential growth areas based on consumer demand and regional preferences.
Chart InsightsAnheuser-Busch InBev's beer volumes in North America have been declining, with a notable drop in late 2023. However, the earnings call highlighted gains in U.S. market share, driven by Michelob ULTRA and Busch Light. Middle Americas and EMEA show resilience, maintaining stable volumes. South America and APAC face challenges, with APAC seeing significant fluctuations. Despite a 1.9% overall volume decline, strategic investments in premium brands and digital marketplace expansion are bolstering revenue growth, indicating a strategic pivot towards value over volume.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -8.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted solid financial performance, particularly in EBITDA growth, non-alcohol beer, and digital marketplace expansion. However, volume declines in key markets like China and Brazil, alongside challenges in specific channels, pose significant concerns. The company is investing heavily in their brands and strategic initiatives, which may counterbalance some of these challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
EBITDA Growth and Margin Expansion
EBITDA increased by 6.5% with continued margin expansion. The strategic revenue management drove an increase in revenue per hectoliter growth by 4.9% versus last year.
Non-Alcohol Beer Revenue Growth
The non-alcohol beer portfolio continued to outperform globally, with revenues increasing by 33%.
BEES Marketplace Growth
The growth of the BEES marketplace accelerated, increasing GMV by 63% versus last year to reach $785 million.
U.S. Market Share Gains
In the U.S., the portfolio is gaining share of the industry, led by Michelob ULTRA and Busch Light. Spirits-based RTDs grew volumes by low teens.
EPS and Free Cash Flow Improvement
Underlying U.S. dollar EPS increased by 8.7% and free cash flow increased by $0.5 billion.
Strong Brand Investments
Invested $3.6 billion in sales and marketing in the first half of the year, reinforcing the strength of the portfolio. Eight of the top 10 most valuable beer brands are owned by AB InBev.
Net Debt Reduction
Net debt-to-EBITDA ratio improved to 3.27x from 3.42x year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Volume Decline
Overall volumes declined by 1.9%, impacted by soft industries and performance in China and Brazil.
China Revenue Decline
In China, revenue declined by 6.2% with volumes underperforming the industry.
Brazil Revenue Decline
In Brazil, revenue declined by 1.9%, impacted by volume performance and adverse weather conditions.
Challenges in On-Premise Channel in China
The on-premise channel in China continues to be weak, impacting overall performance in the region.
Company Guidance
During the AB InBev Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a 6.5% increase in EBITDA and highlighted continued margin expansion. Revenue per hectoliter grew by 4.9% compared to the previous year, driven by strategic revenue management and a strong performance from premium brands. The non-alcohol beer portfolio experienced a revenue increase of 33%, while GMV for the BEES marketplace grew by 63% to reach $785 million. Despite a 1.9% decline in overall volumes, the company saw a 0.7% growth in markets representing two-thirds of their business. The U.S. portfolio gained industry share, with Michelob ULTRA and Busch Light leading volume share gains. Free cash flow improved by $0.5 billion, and underlying U.S. dollar EPS increased by 8.7%. The company remains confident in achieving its 2025 EBITDA growth outlook of 4% to 8%, supported by strong performance in developed markets and strategic investments in megabrands.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Anheuser-Busch Inbev exhibits strong financial health across its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics. The company has maintained steady revenue growth and improved profitability margins. Its balance sheet is well-structured with a manageable debt level, although high debt remains a consideration. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting operational and investment needs. Overall, the financial statements reflect a stable and growing company with a solid foundation for future growth.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Anheuser-Busch Inbev has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a Revenue Growth Rate of 0.65% from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin for 2024 was 55.27%, indicating strong cost control. Net Profit Margin improved to 9.80% in 2024, signifying enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA Margins were also robust at 24.56% and 32.37% respectively, reflecting operational efficiency. However, the slower growth in total revenue compared to historical highs is a minor concern.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a stable Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.92, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The Return on Equity (ROE) is healthy at 7.48%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The Equity Ratio stands at 37.86%, suggesting a solid equity base. Despite these strengths, the total debt level remains significant, posing a potential risk if not managed well.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is strong at 2.57, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free Cash Flow grew substantially by 29.73% from 2023 to 2024, which is a positive indicator for financial flexibility. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio was also favorable at 1.91, illustrating effective cash management. The consistency in generating free cash flow supports the company's ability to sustain operations and invest in growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue58.52B59.77B59.38B57.79B54.30B46.88B
Gross Profit32.59B33.02B31.98B31.48B31.21B27.25B
EBITDA17.14B20.25B18.97B18.91B17.39B11.22B
Net Income7.12B5.86B5.34B5.97B4.67B1.41B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets211.11B206.64B219.34B212.94B217.63B226.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.27B11.39B10.40B10.07B12.47B15.56B
Total Debt75.58B72.17B78.17B79.99B88.83B98.56B
Total Liabilities119.69B117.94B126.66B128.66B138.29B148.06B
Stockholders Equity80.67B78.24B81.85B73.40B68.67B68.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.66B11.19B8.63B8.14B9.16B7.11B
Operating Cash Flow15.20B15.05B13.27B13.30B14.80B10.89B
Investing Cash Flow-3.18B-3.26B-4.35B-4.62B-5.88B6.34B
Financing Cash Flow-12.08B-9.85B-8.60B-10.62B-11.60B-8.47B

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price61.14
Price Trends
50DMA
67.46
Negative
100DMA
66.07
Negative
200DMA
59.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.05
Positive
RSI
37.97
Neutral
STOCH
70.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BUD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 61.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.20, below the 50-day MA of 67.46, and above the 200-day MA of 59.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BUD.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Risk Analysis

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.26B14.5510.15%3.60%13.92%32.69%
73
Outperform
$35.67B13.6715.08%2.05%-0.79%-10.83%
71
Outperform
$121.90B17.058.97%1.72%-2.06%21.03%
67
Neutral
$29.97B49.10-5.05%2.38%-0.47%-117.62%
67
Neutral
$17.77B31.616.88%5.27%-2.73%-37.93%
67
Neutral
$10.60B10.057.79%3.52%-5.48%-6.99%
63
Neutral
$21.01B14.53-7.26%3.13%3.36%-7.91%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BUD
Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa
61.14
1.24
2.07%
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA
12.60
1.45
13.00%
STZ
Constellation Brands
170.37
-69.66
-29.02%
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexicano
85.74
-21.44
-20.00%
TAP
Molson Coors
51.71
-0.17
-0.33%
ABEV
Ambev SA
2.21
-0.01
-0.45%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025