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Anheuser-busch Inbev (BUD)
NYSE:BUD

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa (BUD) AI Stock Analysis

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BUD

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa

(NYSE:BUD)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$79.00
▲(18.37% Upside)
Anheuser-Busch Inbev's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The technical analysis suggests a neutral trend, and the valuation indicates the stock is fairly priced. Challenges in China and weather impacts are noted risks.
Positive Factors
Premium brand leadership (U.S.)
Leading premium brand positions (Michelob Ultra #1) strengthen pricing power, channel leverage and consumer loyalty in the high-margin U.S. market. Durable premium momentum supports margin resilience and long-term revenue mix improvement versus lower-end competitors.
Strong cash generation
Large and improving free cash flow provides durable funding for reinvestment, dividends, and share buybacks without over-reliance on external financing. Consistent cash conversion enhances financial flexibility for M&A, capex and supply investments over the medium term.
Vertical supply control via plant reacquisition
Reacquiring container plants secures packaging supply, improves quality control, and reduces input cost volatility. Owning strategic manufacturing assets enhances margin control, innovation speed and long-term supply resilience versus outsourced arrangements.
Negative Factors
High absolute debt level
While leverage ratios are manageable, a meaningful absolute debt stock constrains strategic flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity. In prolonged downturns elevated debt can pressure cash flow allocation and limit opportunistic investment.
Significant China revenue decline
A 15.2% revenue drop in China signals structural market weakness or execution gaps in a large growth market. Sustained underperformance there reduces global top-line potential and requires incremental investment and strategy shifts to restore long-term growth.
Slower revenue growth vs historical highs
Moderated revenue expansion versus past peaks suggests maturity in core markets and tougher incremental growth. Persistent slower top-line growth pressures long-term EPS upside and requires successful product innovation or market expansion to regain prior growth rates.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa (BUD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAnheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV engages in the production, distribution, and sale of beer, alcoholic beverages, and soft drinks worldwide. It offers a portfolio of approximately 500 beer brands, which primarily include Budweiser, Corona, and Stella Artois; Beck's, Hoegaarden, Leffe, and Michelob Ultra; and Aguila, Antarctica, Bud Light, Brahma, Cass, Castle, Castle Lite, Cristal, Harbin, Jupiler, Modelo Especial, Quilmes, Victoria, Sedrin, and Skol brands. The company was founded in 1366 and is headquartered in Leuven, Belgium.
How the Company Makes MoneyAnheuser-Busch InBev primarily generates revenue through the sale of beer and other alcoholic beverages. Its revenue model is based on selling both packaged and draught beer to wholesalers, retailers, and directly to consumers. Key revenue streams include sales from its extensive portfolio of brands, which cater to various consumer preferences and regional tastes. Additionally, the company benefits from economies of scale, allowing it to optimize production and distribution costs. Significant partnerships with distributors, retailers, and hospitality businesses enhance its market reach and contribute to earnings. Seasonal promotions and marketing campaigns also play a crucial role in driving sales, particularly during peak consumption periods. Furthermore, Anheuser-Busch InBev invests in innovation and product development, introducing new flavors and alternative beverages, which helps to capture a broader market audience and sustain revenue growth.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsAnheuser-Busch InBev's revenue growth in EMEA and Middle Americas is robust, reflecting strategic revenue management and premium brand performance. However, APAC and South America face challenges, with APAC showing a declining trend exacerbated by China's underperformance. Despite a 1.9% overall volume decline, the company is optimistic about its EBITDA growth outlook, driven by strong developed market performance and investments in megabrands. The BEES marketplace and non-alcohol beer portfolio are bright spots, indicating successful diversification efforts.
Data provided by:The Fly

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a largely positive sentiment, with significant achievements in U.S. market share gains and strategic financial maneuvers, such as a share buyback and dividend. However, there were notable challenges in China and weather-related impacts in the Americas.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Top and Bottom-Line Growth
Despite challenging environments, AB InBev delivered another quarter of top and bottom-line growth, with a revenue increase in 70% of markets and EBITDA growth of 3.3% with margin expansion of 85 bps.
U.S. Market Performance
Michelob Ultra became the number one brand by volume year-to-date in the U.S., and Beyond Beer revenue increased in the mid-40s led by Cutwater, which grew revenue in the triple digits.
Share Buyback and Dividend Announcement
AB InBev announced a $6 billion share buyback program to be executed within the next 24 months and an interim dividend of EUR 0.15 per share.
BEES Marketplace Growth
Quarterly GMV of BEES marketplace reached nearly $1 billion, representing a 66% increase versus the previous year.
Negative Updates
Challenges in China
Revenue in China declined by 15.2%, with volumes underperforming the industry due to a soft consumer environment and operational adjustments.
Impact of Unseasonable Weather
Unseasonable weather in the Americas, particularly Brazil, constrained results, causing revenue to decline by 1.9% in Brazil.
Company Guidance
During AB InBev's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, CEO Michel Doukeris and CFO Fernando Tennenbaum highlighted several key performance metrics. The company achieved top-line growth of 0.9% despite challenges such as headwinds in China and unseasonable weather in the Americas. Revenue per hectoliter increased by 4.8%, and EBITDA grew by 3.3%, with margin expansion of 85 basis points. The BEES marketplace reached nearly $1 billion in quarterly gross merchandising value (GMV), and the company announced a $6 billion share buyback program, alongside an interim dividend of EUR 0.15 per share. The company's performance was bolstered by the success of premium brands like Michelob Ultra in the U.S., and Cutwater in the Beyond Beer segment, which saw a mid-40s revenue increase. Despite a 15.2% revenue decline in China, AB InBev is focused on reigniting growth through increased investments and innovation. The company remains optimistic about future growth, particularly with the upcoming FIFA World Cup in North America in 2026, positioning it well to achieve its 4% to 8% EBITDA growth outlook.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Anheuser-Busch Inbev exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet is well-structured with a manageable debt level, although high debt remains a consideration. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting operational and investment needs.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Anheuser-Busch Inbev has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a Revenue Growth Rate of 0.65% from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin for 2024 was 55.27%, indicating strong cost control. Net Profit Margin improved to 9.80% in 2024, signifying enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA Margins were also robust at 24.56% and 32.37% respectively, reflecting operational efficiency. However, the slower growth in total revenue compared to historical highs is a minor concern.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a stable Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.92, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The Return on Equity (ROE) is healthy at 7.48%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The Equity Ratio stands at 37.86%, suggesting a solid equity base. Despite these strengths, the total debt level remains significant, posing a potential risk if not managed well.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is strong at 2.57, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free Cash Flow grew substantially by 29.73% from 2023 to 2024, which is a positive indicator for financial flexibility. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio was also favorable at 1.91, illustrating effective cash management. The consistency in generating free cash flow supports the company's ability to sustain operations and invest in growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.90B59.77B59.38B57.79B54.30B46.88B
Gross Profit33.45B33.02B31.98B31.48B31.21B27.25B
EBITDA17.81B20.30B19.07B18.98B17.79B11.56B
Net Income6.64B5.86B5.34B5.97B4.67B1.41B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets211.11B206.64B219.34B212.94B217.63B226.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.27B11.39B10.40B10.00B12.39B15.56B
Total Debt75.58B72.17B78.17B79.99B88.83B98.56B
Total Liabilities119.69B117.94B126.66B128.66B138.29B148.06B
Stockholders Equity80.67B78.24B81.85B73.40B68.67B68.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.65B11.17B8.64B7.77B8.95B6.20B
Operating Cash Flow15.19B15.03B13.29B12.93B14.58B10.00B
Investing Cash Flow-3.18B-3.69B-4.38B-4.64B-5.87B9.44B
Financing Cash Flow-12.07B-9.40B-8.59B-10.23B-11.39B-10.63B

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price66.74
Price Trends
50DMA
64.20
Positive
100DMA
62.20
Positive
200DMA
64.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.69
Negative
RSI
71.42
Negative
STOCH
89.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BUD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 66.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.47, above the 50-day MA of 64.20, and above the 200-day MA of 64.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.42 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BUD.

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Risk Analysis

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$44.89B15.4415.97%8.22%-0.68%4.29%
75
Outperform
$139.02B19.418.97%1.83%-2.06%21.03%
70
Outperform
$2.81B19.359.07%2.53%16.59%1.72%
66
Neutral
$28.01B25.0414.29%2.92%-5.57%119.49%
65
Neutral
$22.11B47.725.48%4.33%1.44%-38.87%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
53
Neutral
$9.72B-17.66%4.08%-4.01%-339.22%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BUD
Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa
69.40
20.92
43.14%
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA
15.08
3.42
29.29%
STZ
Constellation Brands
161.55
-17.01
-9.53%
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexicano
107.50
27.10
33.71%
TAP
Molson Coors
49.14
-3.79
-7.16%
ABEV
Ambev SA
2.80
1.09
64.22%

Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa Corporate Events

AB InBev to Reacquire $3 Billion Minority Stake in US Metal Container Plants
Jan 6, 2026

On 6 January 2026, AB InBev announced it had exercised its right to reacquire the 49.9% minority stake in its US-based metal container plants from a consortium of institutional investors led or advised by Apollo Global Management, in a deal valued at approximately $3 billion. The company’s seven US metal container facilities, spread across six states, are described as strategically important for quality control, cost efficiency, innovation speed and supply security for AB InBev’s brands, while also supporting manufacturing employment and local economic growth. The repurchase, to be funded entirely with cash on hand, is positioned as aligned with AB InBev’s capital allocation framework focused on long-term shareholder value and is expected to be earnings-per-share accretive in the first year after closing, with completion targeted for the first quarter of 2026 subject to customary conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (BUD) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa stock, see the BUD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025