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Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX)
NYSE:FMX

Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX) AI Stock Analysis

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FMX

Fomento Economico Mexicano

(NYSE:FMX)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$101.00
▲(5.65% Upside)
Fomento Economico Mexicano's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and operational efficiency, despite a low net profit margin and increased leverage. The technical analysis indicates a stable trend with no significant momentum, while the valuation suggests the stock may be overvalued, offset by an attractive dividend yield. The earnings call sentiment is neutral, with balanced achievements and challenges.

Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fomento Economico Mexicano Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFomento Economico Mexicano (FMX) is a leading Mexican company primarily focused on the beverage industry, particularly in the production and distribution of soft drinks, bottled water, and snacks. As a major bottler and distributor of Coca-Cola products in Mexico and Central America, FMX operates in sectors including beverages, retail, and food products. The company's diverse portfolio also includes convenience stores and various food and beverage brands, positioning it as a significant player in the regional market.
How the Company Makes MoneyFMX generates revenue primarily through the sale of beverages, including soft drinks, bottled water, and flavored drinks, which contribute significantly to its earnings. The company operates on a business model that combines direct sales to retailers and distributors alongside its extensive network of convenience stores, where it also sells snacks and other food items. Key revenue streams include the sale of Coca-Cola products, which are sold under franchise agreements, as well as the operation of its own brand products. Additionally, FMX benefits from strategic partnerships with major brands and suppliers, enhancing its distribution capabilities and market reach. Its ability to innovate and adapt to consumer preferences in the beverage and food sectors also plays a crucial role in driving revenue growth.

Fomento Economico Mexicano Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in Spin by OXXO and store expansion across divisions, yet these positives were overshadowed by substantial declines in net income, challenges in the Mexican market, and volume declines in key segments. The ongoing strategic initiatives and market expansions offer positive outlooks, but current economic and environmental challenges present significant hurdles.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Spin by OXXO Growth
Spin by OXXO has achieved major milestones, including more than 14.5 million accounts, with over 9.4 million active in the last 56 days. The customer base is young and dynamic, with over 50% being women, a historically underserved group by financial institutions.
Proximity Americas Store Expansion
Proximity Americas division added 334 new stores in the quarter and delivered total revenue growth of 6.9%, driven by the expansion of the network by 1,500 stores year-on-year.
Valora Retail Performance
Valora delivered solid results with total revenues increasing by 31.4% in pesos or 5.9% on a currency-neutral basis, driven by strong performance in the retail business in Switzerland.
Spin Premia Program Adoption
In Spin Premia, there are over 58 million accounts with 26.6 million transactions in the last 90 days. Almost 46% of OXXO sales are identified through the loyalty and rewards program.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Income
Net consolidated income decreased by 64.3% to MXN 5.6 billion, mainly due to a noncash foreign exchange loss of MXN 4.1 billion and lower interest income.
Traffic Decline in Mexico
OXXO's same-store sales in Mexico declined modestly by 0.4%, with weaker traffic contracting 6.6%, attributable to a weak consumer environment and adverse weather conditions.
Health Division Challenges
Health division faced a challenging environment in Mexico, closing 432 underperforming stores. Operating income rose by 5.7% but declined 5.2% on a currency-neutral basis.
Coca-Cola FEMSA Volume Decline
Coca-Cola FEMSA faced a volume decline of nearly 10% in Mexico and Central America due to adverse weather conditions and a tougher demand environment.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, FEMSA reported a total revenue growth of 6.3%, driven by strong performances outside of Mexico and currency tailwinds, despite challenges in the Mexican market. Operating income increased by 1.2% year-over-year, while net consolidated income decreased by 64.3% to MXN 5.6 billion, primarily due to a non-cash foreign exchange loss of MXN 4.1 billion and lower interest income. The Proximity Americas division saw a 6.9% revenue growth, with a 0.4% decrease in same-store sales due to weaker traffic in Mexico, though strong performance was noted in Latin American markets. Spin by OXXO, FEMSA's digital wallet, achieved 14.5 million accounts with more than 9.4 million active in the last 56 days, and Spin Premia had over 58 million accounts, with significant transaction activity. Spin Negocios reached almost 20,000 merchants, processing MXN 12 billion monthly. The company's capital allocation plan included MXN 66 billion in shareholder remuneration between March 2025 and March 2026, with $374 million executed in share buybacks by the end of July 2025.

Fomento Economico Mexicano Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Fomento Economico Mexicano Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price95.60
Price Trends
50DMA
97.21
Positive
100DMA
93.08
Positive
200DMA
95.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.56
Positive
RSI
59.60
Neutral
STOCH
53.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FMX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 95.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 101.05, below the 50-day MA of 97.21, and above the 200-day MA of 95.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FMX.

Fomento Economico Mexicano Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$38.38B13.1715.97%8.22%-0.68%4.29%
75
Outperform
$127.16B17.738.97%1.83%-2.06%21.03%
70
Outperform
$2.37B16.569.07%2.53%16.59%1.72%
67
Neutral
$24.45B20.5115.91%2.92%-5.57%119.49%
65
Neutral
$21.17B45.885.48%4.33%1.44%-38.87%
53
Neutral
$9.18B-17.66%4.08%-4.01%-339.22%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexicano
102.84
20.89
25.49%
BUD
Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa
63.83
14.20
28.61%
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA
12.66
1.35
11.94%
STZ
Constellation Brands
140.49
-76.71
-35.32%
TAP
Molson Coors
46.33
-9.41
-16.88%
ABEV
Ambev SA
2.37
0.65
37.79%

Fomento Economico Mexicano Corporate Events

FEMSA Initiates $260 Million Accelerated Share Repurchase
Dec 2, 2025

On December 2, 2025, FEMSA announced it has entered into an accelerated share repurchase (ASR) agreement with a U.S. financial institution to buy back $260 million worth of its American Depositary Shares (ADS). This move aligns with FEMSA’s capital allocation strategy to enhance shareholder returns. The ASR agreement includes an initial delivery of 540,035 ADSs on December 3, 2025, with the final settlement expected by the first quarter of 2026. This strategic financial maneuver is likely to impact FEMSA’s market positioning by potentially increasing shareholder value and demonstrating the company’s commitment to efficient capital management.

FEMSA Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results Amid Market Challenges
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, FEMSA reported its third-quarter financial results, highlighting a 9.1% increase in total consolidated revenues and a 4.3% rise in income from operations compared to the same period in 2024. The company’s retail segment, particularly Proximity Americas, showed significant growth with a 9.2% increase in revenues. Additionally, the digital payment platform Spin by OXXO expanded its user base by 20.5%. Despite challenges in the Mexican market, FEMSA’s diversified operations in South America and Europe helped mitigate local market softness. The company remains optimistic about future growth, especially with upcoming events like the FIFA World Cup and Coca-Cola’s 100th anniversary in Mexico.

FEMSA Reports Strong Revenue Growth in First Half of 2025
Sep 30, 2025

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (FEMSA) reported its financial results for the first half of 2025, showing an increase in total revenues to U.S. $21,606 million compared to the same period in 2024. The company experienced growth in gross profit and managed to maintain steady operations despite challenges such as fluctuating raw material prices and changes in economic conditions. These results reflect FEMSA’s resilience and strategic positioning in the market, which could have positive implications for its stakeholders.

FEMSA Announces New CEO Appointment Effective November 2025
Sep 18, 2025

On September 17, 2025, FEMSA announced a leadership transition, appointing Jose Antonio Fernández Garza-Lagüera as the new CEO, effective November 1, 2025. This decision follows a comprehensive succession planning process led by FEMSA’s Board of Directors and a Special Committee. José Antonio Fernández Carbajal, who served as interim CEO since July 2023, will continue as Executive Chairman. The transition is expected to guide FEMSA into a new phase of growth and innovation, emphasizing economic and social value creation.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025