Fomento Economico Mexicano S.a.b. De C.v. (FMX)
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Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX) AI Stock Analysis

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FMX

Fomento Economico Mexicano

(NYSE:FMX)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$106.00
▲(10.88% Upside)
Fomento Economico Mexicano's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and stable financial performance, despite challenges in profitability and leverage. The valuation is on the higher side, but the dividend yield provides some compensation. The earnings call reflects a balanced sentiment with both achievements and challenges, contributing to a stable outlook.

Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fomento Economico Mexicano Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFomento Economico Mexicano (FMX) is a leading Mexican multinational company primarily engaged in the beverage, retail, and food sectors. Known for its significant presence in the soft drink and bottled water markets, FMX operates various production and distribution facilities across Mexico and other countries. The company also has a retail division that includes convenience stores and restaurants, providing a diverse portfolio of products and services that cater to a wide range of consumer needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyFMX generates revenue through multiple key streams, with its primary source being the production and sale of beverages, including soft drinks and bottled water. The company benefits from high-volume sales and economies of scale in its manufacturing processes. Additionally, FMX's retail operations, which encompass convenience stores and dining establishments, contribute significantly to its earnings through direct sales to consumers. Strategic partnerships with major brands and suppliers enhance its market presence and product offerings. Furthermore, FMX capitalizes on market expansion opportunities in international markets, allowing for diversified revenue generation. Overall, the combination of its beverage manufacturing and retail operations, along with strong brand partnerships, forms the backbone of FMX's revenue model.

Fomento Economico Mexicano Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in Spin by OXXO and store expansion across divisions, yet these positives were overshadowed by substantial declines in net income, challenges in the Mexican market, and volume declines in key segments. The ongoing strategic initiatives and market expansions offer positive outlooks, but current economic and environmental challenges present significant hurdles.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Spin by OXXO Growth
Spin by OXXO has achieved major milestones, including more than 14.5 million accounts, with over 9.4 million active in the last 56 days. The customer base is young and dynamic, with over 50% being women, a historically underserved group by financial institutions.
Proximity Americas Store Expansion
Proximity Americas division added 334 new stores in the quarter and delivered total revenue growth of 6.9%, driven by the expansion of the network by 1,500 stores year-on-year.
Valora Retail Performance
Valora delivered solid results with total revenues increasing by 31.4% in pesos or 5.9% on a currency-neutral basis, driven by strong performance in the retail business in Switzerland.
Spin Premia Program Adoption
In Spin Premia, there are over 58 million accounts with 26.6 million transactions in the last 90 days. Almost 46% of OXXO sales are identified through the loyalty and rewards program.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Income
Net consolidated income decreased by 64.3% to MXN 5.6 billion, mainly due to a noncash foreign exchange loss of MXN 4.1 billion and lower interest income.
Traffic Decline in Mexico
OXXO's same-store sales in Mexico declined modestly by 0.4%, with weaker traffic contracting 6.6%, attributable to a weak consumer environment and adverse weather conditions.
Health Division Challenges
Health division faced a challenging environment in Mexico, closing 432 underperforming stores. Operating income rose by 5.7% but declined 5.2% on a currency-neutral basis.
Coca-Cola FEMSA Volume Decline
Coca-Cola FEMSA faced a volume decline of nearly 10% in Mexico and Central America due to adverse weather conditions and a tougher demand environment.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, FEMSA reported a total revenue growth of 6.3%, driven by strong performances outside of Mexico and currency tailwinds, despite challenges in the Mexican market. Operating income increased by 1.2% year-over-year, while net consolidated income decreased by 64.3% to MXN 5.6 billion, primarily due to a non-cash foreign exchange loss of MXN 4.1 billion and lower interest income. The Proximity Americas division saw a 6.9% revenue growth, with a 0.4% decrease in same-store sales due to weaker traffic in Mexico, though strong performance was noted in Latin American markets. Spin by OXXO, FEMSA's digital wallet, achieved 14.5 million accounts with more than 9.4 million active in the last 56 days, and Spin Premia had over 58 million accounts, with significant transaction activity. Spin Negocios reached almost 20,000 merchants, processing MXN 12 billion monthly. The company's capital allocation plan included MXN 66 billion in shareholder remuneration between March 2025 and March 2026, with $374 million executed in share buybacks by the end of July 2025.

Fomento Economico Mexicano Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fomento Economico Mexicano shows strong revenue growth and a solid asset base, but faces challenges with profitability margins and increased financial leverage. Cash flow generation has improved, yet efficiency in cash conversion remains an area for improvement. Overall, the financial health is stable with room for enhancing profitability and managing leverage.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Fomento Economico Mexicano shows a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a notable increase in gross profit margins over the years, reaching 41.27% in TTM. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 3.13% in TTM from 3.42% in 2024, indicating some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen a decline in TTM, suggesting potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.10 in TTM, indicating higher leverage, which could pose financial risks. However, the equity ratio remains stable, and the return on equity, although slightly reduced, is still healthy at 8.84% in TTM. The balance sheet reflects a solid asset base but with increased financial leverage.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 12.86% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, suggesting less efficiency in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio also reflects a moderate level of cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue827.78B890.08B685.68B581.76B562.57B456.33B
Gross Profit340.76B363.22B270.72B232.92B213.67B173.54B
EBITDA120.67B139.03B105.43B88.22B84.60B58.52B
Net Income15.36B25.70B64.04B23.30B28.82B-1.79B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets171.00M851.54B805.86B798.82B737.50B34.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments81.00M183.05B191.84B83.49B121.82B5.44B
Total Debt20.00M256.30B232.90B285.06B252.94B12.39B
Total Liabilities56.00M470.40B427.49B461.01B402.38B18.95B
Stockholders Equity115.00M297.50B303.86B262.60B262.60B11.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.12B28.80B11.56B41.10B52.79B33.03B
Operating Cash Flow51.69B72.49B49.68B72.58B73.09B53.17B
Investing Cash Flow-25.19B-33.12B132.29B-46.43B-46.17B-31.37B
Financing Cash Flow-52.47B-84.05B-92.55B-35.90B-36.99B19.57B

Fomento Economico Mexicano Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price95.60
Price Trends
50DMA
93.88
Positive
100DMA
92.10
Positive
200DMA
93.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Positive
RSI
50.48
Neutral
STOCH
30.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FMX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 95.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.87, above the 50-day MA of 93.88, and above the 200-day MA of 93.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FMX.

Fomento Economico Mexicano Risk Analysis

Fomento Economico Mexicano disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fomento Economico Mexicano reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fomento Economico Mexicano Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$40.48B14.1715.97%1.79%-0.68%4.29%
75
Outperform
$125.82B17.738.97%1.91%-2.06%21.03%
73
Outperform
$19.31B41.725.48%4.74%1.44%-38.87%
70
Neutral
$2.43B16.949.07%3.71%16.59%1.72%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
57
Neutral
$22.48B18.8515.91%3.12%-5.57%119.49%
56
Neutral
$9.19B-17.66%3.98%-4.01%-339.22%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexicano
94.44
10.59
12.63%
BUD
Anheuser-Busch Inbev Sa
61.16
5.76
10.40%
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA
13.00
2.32
21.72%
STZ
Constellation Brands
130.53
-103.96
-44.33%
TAP
Molson Coors
46.45
-12.35
-21.00%
ABEV
Ambev SA
2.53
0.52
25.87%

Fomento Economico Mexicano Corporate Events

FEMSA Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results Amid Market Challenges
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, FEMSA reported its third-quarter financial results, highlighting a 9.1% increase in total consolidated revenues and a 4.3% rise in income from operations compared to the same period in 2024. The company’s retail segment, particularly Proximity Americas, showed significant growth with a 9.2% increase in revenues. Additionally, the digital payment platform Spin by OXXO expanded its user base by 20.5%. Despite challenges in the Mexican market, FEMSA’s diversified operations in South America and Europe helped mitigate local market softness. The company remains optimistic about future growth, especially with upcoming events like the FIFA World Cup and Coca-Cola’s 100th anniversary in Mexico.

FEMSA Reports Strong Revenue Growth in First Half of 2025
Sep 30, 2025

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (FEMSA) reported its financial results for the first half of 2025, showing an increase in total revenues to U.S. $21,606 million compared to the same period in 2024. The company experienced growth in gross profit and managed to maintain steady operations despite challenges such as fluctuating raw material prices and changes in economic conditions. These results reflect FEMSA’s resilience and strategic positioning in the market, which could have positive implications for its stakeholders.

FEMSA Announces New CEO Appointment Effective November 2025
Sep 18, 2025

On September 17, 2025, FEMSA announced a leadership transition, appointing Jose Antonio Fernández Garza-Lagüera as the new CEO, effective November 1, 2025. This decision follows a comprehensive succession planning process led by FEMSA’s Board of Directors and a Special Committee. José Antonio Fernández Carbajal, who served as interim CEO since July 2023, will continue as Executive Chairman. The transition is expected to guide FEMSA into a new phase of growth and innovation, emphasizing economic and social value creation.

FEMSA to Fully Control OXXO Stores in Brazil After Ending Joint Venture
Sep 4, 2025

On September 4, 2025, FEMSA announced the termination of its joint venture with Raízen, S.A. in Brazil, allowing FEMSA to take full control of OXXO stores in the country. This strategic move aligns with FEMSA’s focus on expanding its retail operations in Brazil, a market with significant growth potential due to its large size and fragmented retail landscape. The separation agreement, which is cash-neutral, will see FEMSA assume the existing debt of the joint venture and is expected to close in the coming months, pending regulatory approvals.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025