tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)
NASDAQ:SRPT
Advertisement

Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
3,929 Followers

Top Page

SRPT

Sarepta Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:SRPT)

Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▼(-1.48% Downside)
Sarepta Therapeutics faces significant challenges in profitability, cash flow, and valuation, which weigh heavily on its overall stock score. While the company shows strong revenue growth and has a positive long-term demand outlook, recent corporate events and technical indicators suggest caution. The strategic restructuring and FDA hold further highlight operational risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Revenue of ~$611M, above Citi/FactSet’s ~$530M, driven by a Roche milestone on Japanese Elevidys approval, gains on strategic investments, and an income tax benefit.
Market Position
With ELEVIDYS back in the ambulatory setting, no issues are expected meeting the <4x total net leverage ratio required to draw upon the $600M revolver.
Product Demand
There is still enthusiasm amongst ambulatory patients to be dosed with Elevidys, with observed improvement and long-term stabilization of function.
Negative Factors
Financial Strategy
The rapid pivot from strategic investment to divestiture in less than 12 months weakens Sarepta's credibility in capital allocation and renews concerns that Sarepta’s late-stage and commercial portfolio may not generate sufficient near-term cash to support its current debt and pipeline ambitions.
Regulatory Challenges
A recommendation for rejection of EU approval in ambulatory DMD patients, with the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) citing no statistical significance in NSAA.
Safety Concerns
Elevidys’ risk profile on severe and possibly fatal liver-toxicity is unchanged, a persistent risk for investors.

Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sarepta Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSarepta Therapeutics, Inc., a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of RNA-targeted therapeutics, gene therapies, and other genetic therapeutic modalities for the treatment of rare diseases. It offers EXONDYS 51 injection to treat duchenne muscular dystrophy (duchenne) in patients with confirmed mutation of the dystrophin gene that is amenable to exon 51 skipping; and VYONDYS 53 for the treatment of duchenne in patients with confirmed mutation of the dystrophin gene that is amenable to exon 53 skipping. The company is also developing AMONDYS 45, a product candidate that uses phosphorodiamidate morpholino oligomer chemistry and exon-skipping technology to skip exon 45 of the dystrophin gene; SRP-5051, a peptide conjugated PMO that binds exon 51 of dystrophin pre-mRNA; SRP-9001, a DMD micro-dystrophin gene therapy program; and SRP-9003, a limb-girdle muscular dystrophies gene therapy program. It has collaboration agreements with F. Hoffman-La Roche Ltd; Nationwide Children's Hospital; Lysogene; Duke University; Genethon; and StrideBio. The company was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneySarepta Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its therapeutic products, including its lead drug, Exondys 51, which is used to treat DMD. The company earns money from product sales, royalties, and milestone payments associated with its collaborations and partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies. Additionally, Sarepta has engaged in licensing agreements that provide upfront payments and potential future royalties based on sales of partnered products. The company also benefits from government grants and research funding aimed at advancing its clinical programs.

Sarepta Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 24.85%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth and strong demand projections for the future. However, challenges such as the tragic patient safety incident, administrative delays, and site capacity imbalances have led to a downward revision of revenue guidance. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about long-term demand and continues to work on addressing the issues.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Sarepta achieved $612 million in total net product revenue for the first quarter of 2025, representing 70% growth over the same quarter last year.
ELEVIDYS Sales Increase
ELEVIDYS achieved sales of $375 million in the quarter, representing a 180% increase over the same quarter last year.
Successful PMO Franchise Growth
The PMO franchise grew 5%, achieving $237 million for the quarter.
Positive Long-Term Demand Outlook
Despite short-term challenges, Sarepta projects a pickup in demand beginning in the summer and extending through the remainder of the year, maintaining confidence in the long-term demand outlook for ELEVIDYS.
Negative Updates
Revised Revenue Guidance
Sarepta revised its net product revenue guidance for the year to $2.3 billion to $2.6 billion across its four approved therapies due to various factors including a safety event and administrative delays.
Patient Safety Incident
A patient treated with ELEVIDYS suffered acute liver failure and passed away, causing delays in treatment schedules as families sought more information.
Administrative Delays
The administrative path from initial paperwork to infusion is taking about one month to six weeks longer than original estimates, impacting revenue timing.
Site Capacity Imbalance
60% of current revenue comes from top sites, many of which are fully booked out to 12 months, necessitating a focus on engaging sites with more capacity.
Company Guidance
During the call, Sarepta Therapeutics updated its guidance for the year, projecting net product revenue between $2.3 billion and $2.6 billion across its four approved therapies. This adjustment reflects several factors, including a significant safety event involving their gene therapy product ELEVIDYS, which contributed to delays in patient treatment. The company reported first-quarter total net product revenue of $612 million, marking a 70% increase compared to the previous year, with ELEVIDYS achieving sales of $375 million, a 180% increase. While the PMO franchise grew by 5% to $237 million, the company anticipates a 20% revenue decrease in Q2 compared to Q1 due to ongoing impacts from the safety event and administrative challenges. Sarepta emphasized its commitment to improving patient access and education while addressing site capacity issues to support revenue growth for the remainder of 2025.

Sarepta Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sarepta Therapeutics demonstrates strong revenue growth and a stable asset base, but faces profitability and cash flow challenges. The company is investing heavily in growth, potentially at the expense of short-term profitability. Careful management of operating expenses and strategic financing will be crucial for sustaining growth and improving financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Sarepta Therapeutics has shown consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase in total revenue from $540 million in 2020 to $2.23 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin remains strong, yet the company is facing challenges at the operating level with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating profitability issues. Net profit margin is also negative, pointing towards high operating expenses and potential inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting prudent financial leverage but potential exposure to interest rate risks. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid asset base, though return on equity is negative due to net losses. This indicates challenges in generating sufficient returns for shareholders despite asset growth.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals negative operating and free cash flows, highlighting potential liquidity concerns. The company's ability to convert operating cash flow into net income is weak, with significant cash outflows from operations. Despite negative free cash flow growth, financing activities provide some liquidity cushion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.48B1.90B1.24B933.01M701.89M540.10M
Gross Profit1.96B1.58B1.09B793.02M604.84M476.72M
EBITDA43.97M333.06M-439.20M-582.12M-306.08M-453.38M
Net Income-57.96M235.24M-535.98M-703.49M-418.78M-554.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.68B3.96B3.26B3.13B3.15B2.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments800.14M1.35B1.68B1.99B2.12B1.94B
Total Debt1.35B1.34B1.40B1.62B1.14B1.07B
Total Liabilities2.32B2.44B2.41B2.74B2.22B2.22B
Stockholders Equity1.36B1.53B859.34M384.95M928.01M761.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-441.55M-342.74M-588.34M-356.17M-481.66M25.26M
Operating Cash Flow-300.75M-205.79M-500.99M-325.35M-443.17M107.47M
Investing Cash Flow376.33M755.56M-165.80M-1.05B495.41M-121.72M
Financing Cash Flow51.40M124.81M125.00M232.51M561.57M682.32M

Sarepta Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price20.30
Price Trends
50DMA
20.97
Negative
100DMA
36.21
Negative
200DMA
75.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Negative
RSI
57.01
Neutral
STOCH
92.80
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRPT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 20.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.08, below the 50-day MA of 20.97, and below the 200-day MA of 75.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SRPT.

Sarepta Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Sarepta Therapeutics disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sarepta Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sarepta Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.53B13.7423.94%-0.17%23.84%
53
Neutral
$5.25B-280.68%69.83%22.16%
52
Neutral
$6.59B-46.61%-100.00%-23.49%
52
Neutral
$6.96B-29.70%75.01%-13.20%
51
Neutral
$7.44B-0.20-46.00%2.26%22.80%-2.27%
50
Neutral
$8.37B-47.71%99.19%48.43%
46
Neutral
$1.98B19.61-4.76%64.89%-221.56%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRPT
Sarepta Therapeutics
20.30
-113.16
-84.79%
ALKS
Alkermes
28.26
1.01
3.71%
BPMC
Blueprint Medicines
129.46
35.97
38.47%
AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics
108.75
22.58
26.20%
RVMD
Revolution Medicines
36.02
-6.83
-15.94%
LEGN
Legend Biotech
37.71
-19.18
-33.71%

Sarepta Therapeutics Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sarepta Therapeutics Announces Strategic Restructuring Plan
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

Sarepta Therapeutics announced a strategic restructuring and pipeline prioritization, resulting in the end of Bilal Arif’s employment as Executive Vice President, Chief Technical Operations Officer, effective September 16, 2025. Arif will transition to a Special Advisor role until his employment ends and will continue as a consultant through December 31, 2025. The company has agreed to provide Arif with a severance package and consulting fees, while his equity awards will continue to vest during his consultancy. This move reflects Sarepta’s ongoing efforts to optimize its operations and focus on its core strategic objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRPT) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sarepta Therapeutics stock, see the SRPT Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsLegal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sarepta Faces FDA Hold on Gene Therapy Trials
Negative
Jul 21, 2025

On July 21, 2025, Sarepta Therapeutics announced that the FDA placed a clinical hold on its investigational gene therapy trials for LGMD, affecting several of its product candidates. This follows a strategic restructuring process announced on July 16, 2025, where the company paused LGMD programs except SRP-9003, for which it completed Phase 3 enrollment and dosing in December 2024. Sarepta plans to discuss with the FDA a potential pathway for accelerated approval of SRP-9003 after the hold is lifted. Additionally, the FDA revoked the platform technology designation for Sarepta’s AAVrh74 platform, initially granted in June 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRPT) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sarepta Therapeutics stock, see the SRPT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sarepta Therapeutics Announces Strategic Restructuring Plan
Negative
Jul 16, 2025

On July 14, 2025, Sarepta Therapeutics announced a strategic restructuring plan, including a 36% workforce reduction, to prioritize high-value programs and ensure long-term financial sustainability. The company aims to save approximately $400 million annually and focus on its siRNA platform, while also updating the ELEVIDYS label with a black box warning for acute liver issues. Key executive appointments were made, and the company reported preliminary second-quarter 2025 financial results, with total net product revenue of $513 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRPT) stock is a Buy with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sarepta Therapeutics stock, see the SRPT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sarepta Therapeutics Approves Amendments at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Sarepta Therapeutics held its annual meeting where stockholders approved amendments to the company’s equity and employee stock purchase plans, increasing the number of shares available under these plans. Additionally, stockholders elected new directors, approved executive compensation, and ratified KPMG as the independent auditor, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic initiatives and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRPT) stock is a Buy with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sarepta Therapeutics stock, see the SRPT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025