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Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)
NASDAQ:SRPT

Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) AI Stock Analysis

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SRPT

Sarepta Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:SRPT)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
▼(-5.06% Downside)
Sarepta Therapeutics' overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow, despite some positive technical indicators and strategic debt management. The company's valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings, and while recent earnings call and corporate events provide some optimism, they are not enough to offset the financial weaknesses.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sarepta's strong revenue growth rate of 47.15% indicates robust demand for its products, suggesting a solid market position and potential for sustained financial performance.
Regulatory Approval
FDA approval for dosing in Cohort 8 of ENDEAVOR enhances Sarepta's product pipeline, potentially leading to new treatment options and revenue streams.
Debt Management
By extending debt maturities, Sarepta improves its financial stability and liquidity, providing more flexibility for long-term strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues, as indicated by negative margins, could limit Sarepta's ability to reinvest in growth and maintain competitive positioning.
Cash Flow Issues
Persistent negative cash flows highlight operational inefficiencies, potentially constraining Sarepta's capacity to fund R&D and other strategic initiatives.
Regulatory Risks
The FDA's addition of a Boxed Warning for Elevidys could affect its market acceptance and sales, posing a risk to Sarepta's revenue from this key product.

Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sarepta Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSarepta Therapeutics, Inc., a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of RNA-targeted therapeutics, gene therapies, and other genetic therapeutic modalities for the treatment of rare diseases. It offers EXONDYS 51 injection to treat duchenne muscular dystrophy (duchenne) in patients with confirmed mutation of the dystrophin gene that is amenable to exon 51 skipping; and VYONDYS 53 for the treatment of duchenne in patients with confirmed mutation of the dystrophin gene that is amenable to exon 53 skipping. The company is also developing AMONDYS 45, a product candidate that uses phosphorodiamidate morpholino oligomer chemistry and exon-skipping technology to skip exon 45 of the dystrophin gene; SRP-5051, a peptide conjugated PMO that binds exon 51 of dystrophin pre-mRNA; SRP-9001, a DMD micro-dystrophin gene therapy program; and SRP-9003, a limb-girdle muscular dystrophies gene therapy program. It has collaboration agreements with F. Hoffman-La Roche Ltd; Nationwide Children's Hospital; Lysogene; Duke University; Genethon; and StrideBio. The company was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneySarepta Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its approved therapies, such as Eteplirsen, which provides a direct sales revenue stream. Additionally, the company engages in partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies and research institutions to develop and commercialize its drug candidates. These partnerships often involve upfront payments, milestone payments as products advance through clinical trials, and royalties on future sales. Furthermore, Sarepta may receive funding from grants and research initiatives aimed at advancing its therapeutic pipeline, which contributes to its overall revenue model.

Sarepta Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view, with significant achievements in revenue and study completions, alongside challenges such as the ESSENCE trial missing statistical significance and disruptions from paused shipments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Net Product Revenue
Sarepta posted solid net product revenue of $370 million for the quarter, despite disruptions.
Successful Completion of Confirmatory Studies
The confirmatory studies for ultra-rare disease CMOs, VYONDYS and AMONDYS, were completed. The studies showed a clinically favorable trend, although they missed statistical significance.
Real-World Evidence Supports PMOs
Over 1,800 patients worldwide have been treated with exon-skipping therapies, showing benefits such as delayed loss of ambulation and preserved pulmonary function.
ELEVIDYS Product Revenue Contribution
ELEVIDYS contributed $131 million in net product revenue for the quarter.
Strong Demand for PMO Franchise
The PMO franchise delivered strong demand performance, contributing $239 million to the quarter's revenue.
Financial Restructuring and Liquidity Improvement
Sarepta enhanced its liquidity and improved its balance sheet by monetizing strategic investments and completing a debt exchange.
Negative Updates
ESSENCE Trial Missed Statistical Significance
The ESSENCE trial did not reach statistical significance on its primary endpoint, which could affect the transition from accelerated to traditional approval.
Disruptions Due to Pause in ELEVIDYS Shipments
A temporary pause in ELEVIDYS shipments led to logistical challenges and potential impacts on Q4 revenue.
COVID Impact on Study Results
The ESSENCE trial results were impacted by the COVID pandemic, with many patients missing doses, affecting the study's outcome.
Restructuring Charges
Sarepta incurred $41 million in restructuring costs due to a reduction in force and reprioritization of its pipeline.
Company Guidance
During Sarepta's third-quarter 2025 financial results call, the company discussed several key metrics and future guidance. Net product revenue for the quarter was reported at $370 million, with ELEVIDYS contributing $131 million and the PMO franchise generating $239 million. The company expects to maintain ELEVIDYS revenue at a $500 million annual floor for the ambulant population, despite near-term disruptions and typical seasonal impacts in Q4, which are expected to result in flat to slightly down infusion volumes compared to Q3. Sarepta remains committed to advancing its siRNA pipeline, with data from the single ascending dose studies for DM1 and FSHD anticipated in the first quarter of 2026. Additionally, the company plans to request a meeting with the FDA by year-end to discuss transitioning VYONDYS and AMONDYS from accelerated to traditional approval, leveraging both ESSENCE trial data and real-world evidence.

Sarepta Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sarepta Therapeutics faces significant financial challenges, particularly in achieving consistent profitability and positive cash flows. Despite improvements in leverage and asset management, the company struggles with revenue growth and profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Sarepta Therapeutics has shown inconsistent revenue growth, with a recent decline in TTM. The company has struggled with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins over the years. Despite a strong gross profit margin, the overall income statement reflects challenges in achieving sustainable profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which has improved over time, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity remains negative, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Sarepta's cash flow statement reveals negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining trend in free cash flow growth. The company has a high free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating cash flow challenges despite net income improvements in some periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.41B1.90B1.24B933.01M701.89M540.10M
Gross Profit1.84B1.58B1.09B793.02M604.84M476.72M
EBITDA-180.69M316.89M-453.69M-594.85M-317.41M-453.38M
Net Income-271.51M235.24M-535.98M-703.49M-418.78M-554.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.49B3.96B3.26B3.13B3.15B2.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments850.99M1.35B1.68B1.99B2.12B1.94B
Total Debt1.25B1.34B1.40B1.62B1.15B1.09B
Total Liabilities2.17B2.44B2.41B2.74B2.22B2.22B
Stockholders Equity1.32B1.53B859.34M384.95M928.01M761.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-343.58M-342.74M-588.34M-357.60M-481.66M25.26M
Operating Cash Flow-230.05M-205.79M-500.99M-325.35M-443.17M107.47M
Investing Cash Flow505.15M755.56M-165.80M-1.05B495.41M-121.72M
Financing Cash Flow37.65M124.81M125.00M232.51M561.57M682.32M

Sarepta Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.12
Price Trends
50DMA
20.78
Positive
100DMA
20.08
Positive
200DMA
30.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Negative
RSI
56.10
Neutral
STOCH
70.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRPT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.60, above the 50-day MA of 20.78, and below the 200-day MA of 30.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SRPT.

Sarepta Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Sarepta Therapeutics disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sarepta Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sarepta Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$3.61B-81.72-28.17%129.21%80.35%
55
Neutral
$1.62B-161.3145.38%92.85%
53
Neutral
$2.50B-23.06-18.96%191.53%5.09%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$2.34B-7.65-21.37%47.15%-311.26%
43
Neutral
$3.29B-5.48-60.66%-2.75%
37
Underperform
$6.04B-16.40-95.40%4.32%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRPT
Sarepta Therapeutics
22.12
-99.38
-81.79%
BCRX
BioCryst
7.63
-0.08
-1.04%
MESO
Mesoblast
19.50
1.97
11.24%
COGT
Cogent Biosciences
38.88
31.14
402.33%
ARQT
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
28.97
14.67
102.59%
DYN
Dyne Therapeutics
20.04
-3.68
-15.51%

Sarepta Therapeutics Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sarepta Therapeutics Extends Debt Maturities with New Notes
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. entered into privately negotiated exchange agreements with certain holders of its 1.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2027, including an entity affiliated with board member Michael Chambers, to exchange approximately $291.4 million in principal of the existing notes for an equal principal amount of new 4.875% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030 plus about $31.6 million in cash. The new notes were issued on December 18, 2025, under an existing indenture and form part of the same series as the $602.0 million of 4.875% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030 issued in August 2025, bringing the total outstanding principal of that 2030 series to approximately $893.4 million and effectively extending the company’s debt maturity profile while modestly increasing its cash outlay to participating noteholders.

Private Placements and Financing
Sarepta Therapeutics Refinances Convertible Senior Notes
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Sarepta Therapeutics entered into exchange agreements to refinance approximately $291.4 million of its 1.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2027. These notes will be exchanged for new 4.875% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030 and approximately $31.6 million in cash. The exchange aims to enhance the company’s financial structure by consolidating its debt under a new series of notes, increasing the total principal amount of the 2030 notes to $893.4 million. This move could influence the market price of Sarepta’s common stock and notes, as the placement agent plans to purchase shares in privately negotiated transactions.

Executive/Board Changes
Sarepta Grants CEO Equity Awards After Eight Years
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 7, 2025, Sarepta Therapeutics‘ Board of Directors granted equity awards to CEO Douglas S. Ingram under the company’s 2018 Equity Incentive Plan. This marks the first equity grant for Mr. Ingram since 2017, with the award divided equally between time-based restricted stock units and performance-based awards, each valued at approximately $6 million. The performance-based portion is contingent on the company’s Incentive EBITDA performance over a two-year period, potentially doubling in value if targets are met, and is subject to Mr. Ingram’s continued service.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025