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Blueprint Medicines (BPMC)
NASDAQ:BPMC

Blueprint Medicines (BPMC) AI Stock Analysis

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Blueprint Medicines

(NASDAQ:BPMC)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$128.00
▲(0.04%Upside)
Blueprint Medicines' overall score is primarily impacted by its strong financial growth potential and positive earnings call sentiment. However, profitability challenges and an overvalued stock, as indicated by the P/E ratio, weigh heavily on the score. Technical indicators show a bullish trend, but potential overbought conditions warrant caution. The corporate merger event, while positive, is excluded from weighted scoring but is a significant strategic advantage.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Strategy
Sanofi's announced acquisition of BPMC for $129/share plus CVRs complements Sanofi's existing footprint/portfolio in rare disease and immunology.
Financial Impact
Sanofi expects the acquisition to be immediately accretive to gross margin and accretive to operating income and EPS after 2026.
Market Validation
The transaction validates the opportunity in the indolent systemic mastocytosis market and the value of KIT agents, benefiting both the sector and Blueprint Medicines Corp.
Negative Factors
Competitive Concerns
The timing of the deal may suggest concerns about the quality of upcoming competitor data, motivating the execution of the deal ahead of the data announcement.
Macro Issues
Macro issues affecting biotech, such as pricing and tariffs, remain a concern for investors.
Safety Risks
There remains risk that larger BLU-808 trials will reveal a novel safety issue.

Blueprint Medicines (BPMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blueprint Medicines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlueprint Medicines Corporation (BPMC) is a precision therapy company focused on developing targeted treatments for genomically defined cancers, rare diseases, and cancer immunotherapy. The company leverages its proprietary scientific platform to create small molecule medicines that selectively target genetic drivers of disease. Blueprint Medicines aims to improve patient outcomes through the development of transformative therapies that address the underlying causes of various diseases.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlueprint Medicines makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary drug therapies. The company's revenue model includes product sales, particularly from its FDA-approved therapies like AYVAKIT (avapritinib) and GAVRETO (pralsetinib), which target specific genetic mutations in cancer patients. Additionally, Blueprint Medicines generates revenue through collaborations and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies, which may include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales generated by partner-developed products. Strategic partnerships and collaborations, such as those with Roche and CStone Pharmaceuticals, are significant contributors to its earnings by enhancing its research capabilities and extending its market reach.

Blueprint Medicines Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which might need strategic adjustments to enhance profitability.
Chart InsightsBlueprint Medicines' product revenue has shown a robust upward trajectory, driven by the strong performance of AYVAKIT, which saw a 61% year-over-year increase. This growth aligns with the company's raised revenue guidance for 2025, reflecting confidence in their strategic focus on expanding their prescriber base and increasing patient starts. Despite challenges in international markets, the company maintains a positive outlook, supported by pipeline advancements and a solid cash position, aiming for significant revenue growth by 2030.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Blueprint Medicines Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 42.96%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Despite some challenges in the first quarter and international markets, Blueprint Medicines shows strong performance with significant revenue growth, successful pipeline advancements, and a solid financial position. The sentiment is largely positive, driven by the strong market reception of AYVAKIT and increased revenue guidance.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
AYVAKIT Revenue Growth
Blueprint Medicines achieved 61% year-over-year AYVAKIT revenue growth, capturing substantial commercial opportunities in systemic mastocytosis.
Raised Revenue Guidance
Due to strong performance and favorable dynamics, Blueprint Medicines raised its AYVAKIT net product revenue guidance to $700 million to $720 million for the year.
Pipeline Advancements
Initiated two proof-of-concept studies for BLU-808 in allergic rhinoconjunctivitis and chronic urticaria. Elenestinib showed potential best-in-disease profile with ongoing pivotal Harbor study.
Strong Cash Position
Blueprint Medicines maintains a strong cash position of $900 million, allowing continued investment in R&D and commercial initiatives.
Positive Market Reception
AYVAKIT has been well-received by both providers and patients, with over 95% of patients expressing high satisfaction, and prescriber base has tripled since ISM approval.
Negative Updates
Challenging First Quarter Dynamics
Typical first quarter insurance dynamics and fewer ordering days impacted gross to net, though this was anticipated and managed.
Limited International ISM Reimbursement
Currently, Germany is the only ex-US market with ISM reimbursement. Other international markets are still in pricing and reimbursement negotiations.
Potential Free Goods Rate Uncertainty
While the free goods rate is currently well below 10%, future Medicare patients' access to commercial therapy could be impacted by foundation funding availability.
Company Guidance
During the Blueprint Medicines 1Q 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 61% year-over-year increase in AYVAKIT revenue, contributing to total revenues of $149.4 million for the quarter. The revenue breakdown included $129.4 million from the U.S. and $20 million from ex-U.S. markets. Due to strong performance and favorable dynamics, Blueprint raised its revenue guidance for the year to a range of $700 million to $720 million. The company highlighted the significant potential of its two prioritized pipeline programs, elenestinib and BLU-808, and their progress in clinical trials, including the initiation of two proof-of-concept studies for BLU-808. Blueprint's strategic focus remains on expanding its prescriber base, particularly among allergists, dermatologists, and gastroenterologists, and increasing patient starts, aiming for a $2 billion revenue goal for AYVAKIT by 2030.

Blueprint Medicines Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blueprint Medicines demonstrates strong revenue growth but remains unprofitable, with significant challenges in cash flow management and operational efficiency. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels, though profitability metrics are concerning.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Blueprint Medicines has shown a notable increase in revenue over recent years, indicating strong growth potential with a revenue growth rate of 10.46% TTM. However, the company remains unprofitable with a negative net profit margin of -27.69% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting ongoing challenges in cost management and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36 TTM, indicating manageable debt levels. However, the return on equity remains problematic at -45.51%, reflecting negative profitability. The equity ratio of 28.62% suggests a stable asset base, although the reliance on equity financing could be improved.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Blueprint Medicines faces challenges with cash flow, as indicated by negative free cash flow and a deteriorating free cash flow growth rate of 23.45% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow pressures and the need for improved cash management strategies.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
562.12M508.82M249.38M204.04M180.08M793.74M
Gross Profit
538.73M488.66M236.58M186.22M162.15M793.31M
EBIT
-174.31M-212.04M-486.28M-549.25M-648.46M302.15M
EBITDA
-131.05M19.23M-470.36M-515.41M-628.30M308.71M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-155.73M-67.09M-506.98M-557.52M-644.09M313.88M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
576.24M615.49M710.64M1.08B1.03B1.55B
Total Assets
1.20B1.18B1.05B1.35B1.25B1.72B
Total Debt
122.75M469.11M774.12M242.45M111.41M89.60M
Net Debt
504.00K367.09M702.84M122.74M-98.54M-595.03M
Total Liabilities
853.47M881.15M918.64M835.23M281.49M248.31M
Stockholders Equity
342.13M298.67M130.61M514.68M970.74M1.47B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-150.91M-197.22M-452.91M-511.20M-559.89M383.88M
Operating Cash Flow
-145.55M-192.59M-436.85M-502.28M-298.65M387.04M
Investing Cash Flow
-59.55M-47.50M274.04M-149.54M-225.86M-434.25M
Financing Cash Flow
215.34M273.11M119.22M561.81M50.72M617.76M

Blueprint Medicines Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price127.95
Price Trends
50DMA
98.02
Positive
100DMA
98.02
Positive
200DMA
94.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.06
Negative
RSI
76.12
Negative
STOCH
99.01
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BPMC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 127.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 111.46, above the 50-day MA of 98.02, and above the 200-day MA of 94.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.12 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BPMC.

Blueprint Medicines Risk Analysis

Blueprint Medicines disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blueprint Medicines reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Blueprint Medicines Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$5.12B14.8625.71%-12.31%-17.53%
58
Neutral
$7.61B35.68%-41.71%-9.37%
56
Neutral
$3.84B19.61-23.61%59.15%-1881.09%
55
Neutral
$5.41B-282.16%72.16%9.65%
54
Neutral
$5.38B3.40-45.06%3.28%16.75%-0.02%
52
Neutral
$7.82B-36.68%-100.00%5.49%
50
Neutral
$8.28B-47.71%99.19%48.43%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BPMC
Blueprint Medicines
127.95
21.56
20.27%
ALKS
Alkermes
31.20
6.39
25.76%
SRPT
Sarepta Therapeutics
37.81
-87.19
-69.75%
AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics
108.08
35.57
49.06%
BBIO
BridgeBio Pharma
39.05
10.05
34.66%
RVMD
Revolution Medicines
40.79
1.05
2.64%

Blueprint Medicines Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Blueprint Medicines Announces Merger Agreement with Sanofi
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Blueprint Medicines Corporation entered into a merger agreement with Sanofi, under which Sanofi will acquire Blueprint for approximately $9.1 billion in cash, with additional contingent value rights potentially increasing the total value to $9.5 billion. This acquisition is expected to enhance Sanofi’s portfolio in rare immunological diseases by adding Blueprint’s approved medicine for systemic mastocytosis and its early-stage immunology pipeline, thereby strengthening Sanofi’s position in the immunology sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (BPMC) stock is a Buy with a $135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blueprint Medicines stock, see the BPMC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.