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Alkermes (ALKS)
NASDAQ:ALKS
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Alkermes (ALKS) AI Stock Analysis

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ALKS

Alkermes

(NASDAQ:ALKS)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(14.74% Upside)
Alkermes' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, highlighting robust growth and profitability. Technical analysis presents some caution with bearish trends, but valuation remains reasonable, supporting a favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Performance
The 14% YoY growth in proprietary product sales indicates strong market demand and effective commercialization strategies, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Strong Cash Position
A robust cash position enhances Alkermes' ability to invest in R&D, pursue strategic acquisitions, and withstand market fluctuations, securing its growth trajectory.
Growth in Proprietary Product Portfolio
The growth in key products like VIVITROL and LYBALVI highlights successful market penetration and product adoption, reinforcing Alkermes' competitive position in the CNS disorder market.
Negative Factors
Increased R&D Expenses
Rising R&D costs, while necessary for innovation, can pressure short-term profitability and require sustained revenue growth to justify long-term investment returns.
Mixed Cataplexy Endpoint Results
Variability in clinical trial results could delay product development timelines and impact future revenue streams if further trials are inconclusive.
Revenue Growth Fluctuations
Inconsistent revenue growth may indicate challenges in market expansion or product adoption, potentially affecting long-term financial stability and investor confidence.

Alkermes (ALKS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alkermes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlkermes plc, a biopharmaceutical company, researches, develops, and commercializes pharmaceutical products to address unmet medical needs of patients in various therapeutic areas in the United States, Ireland, and internationally. Its marketed products include ARISTADA, an intramuscular injectable suspension for the treatment of schizophrenia; VIVITROL for the treatment of alcohol and prevention of opioid dependence; RISPERDAL CONSTA for the treatment of schizophrenia and bipolar I disorder; INVEGA SUSTENNA for the treatment of schizophrenia and schizoaffective disorder; XEPLION, INVEGA TRINZA, and TREVICTA to treat schizophrenia and schizoaffective; and VUMERITY for the treatment of relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis in adults, including clinically isolated syndrome, relapsing-remitting and active secondary progressive diseases. The company is also developing LYBALVI, an oral atypical antipsychotic drug candidate for the treatment of adults with schizophrenia and bipolar I disorder; and nemvaleukin alfa, an engineered fusion protein to expand tumor-killing immune cells and to avoid the activation of immunosuppressive cells. It has collaboration agreements primarily with Janssen Pharmaceutica N.V., Janssen Pharmaceutica Inc, and Janssen Pharmaceutica International. Alkermes plc was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlkermes generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, with Vivitrol and Aristada being key contributors to its revenue streams. The company also earns income through licensing agreements and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales of partnered products. Additionally, Alkermes invests in research and development to create new therapies, which can lead to future revenue through new product launches or expanded indications for existing products. Strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical firms enhance its market reach and provide financial support in the form of co-development agreements.

Alkermes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook for Alkermes, with strong financial results, successful clinical trial outcomes, and a robust cash position. However, increased R&D expenses and variability in cataplexy endpoint results present challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Alkermes reported total revenues of $390.7 million for the second quarter, with net sales of proprietary products reaching $307.2 million, reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth. The company also achieved GAAP net income of $87.1 million and adjusted EBITDA of $126.5 million.
Successful Phase II Study for Alixorexton
Positive top-line results were reported from the Vibrance 1 Phase II study of alixorexton in patients with narcolepsy type 1, showing significant effects on wakefulness and improvements in fatigue and cognition.
Strong Cash Position
The company ended the quarter with $1.05 billion in cash and total investments, providing significant optionality for future growth.
Growth in Proprietary Product Portfolio
VIVITROL, ARISTADA, and LYBALVI showed strong year-over-year growth, with VIVITROL net sales reaching $121.7 million and LYBALVI net sales growing 18% year-over-year to $84.3 million.
Negative Updates
Increased R&D Expenses
R&D expenses rose to $77.4 million from $59.6 million in the previous year due to investments in the Vibrance Phase II studies.
Mixed Cataplexy Endpoint Results
While alixorexton showed improvements in cataplexy, statistical significance was only achieved at the 6-milligram dose, indicating variability in the data.
Company Guidance
During the Alkermes second quarter 2025 financial results conference call, the company provided robust guidance reflecting strong commercial and financial performance. Alkermes reported total revenues of $390.7 million, with net sales from proprietary products reaching $307.2 million, marking a 14% year-over-year growth. The company highlighted a one-time gross-to-net benefit of approximately $20 million and projected third-quarter sales for their proprietary product portfolio to be between $280 million and $300 million. Manufacturing and royalty revenues were $83.4 million. The company maintained a strong financial position with $1.05 billion in cash and projected finishing the year at the higher end of revenue and profitability expectations. The call emphasized positive results from the Vibrance 1 Phase II study of alixorexton in narcolepsy type 1, which demonstrated significant improvements in wakefulness and a well-tolerated profile, setting the stage for future Phase III studies.

Alkermes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alkermes shows strong financial performance with high profitability margins and efficient operations. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage and strong equity, while cash flow metrics indicate excellent cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Alkermes shows strong financial performance with a high gross profit margin of 87.63% and a net profit margin of 23.29% for the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating efficient cost management and profitability. The revenue growth shows fluctuations, with a decline of 2.82% from the previous year, raising some concerns about consistent revenue expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 25.83% and 29.57% respectively, reflecting solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet reveals a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 72.61%, showing financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.05, indicating minimal leverage and reduced financial risk. Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 23.33%, reflecting effective use of shareholders' equity to generate profits. Overall, the balance sheet is well-positioned with low debt and strong equity.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Alkermes demonstrates a robust cash flow position with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 18.73% and a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.47, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also high at 1.37, reflecting a strong ability to convert profits into cash. The cash flow statements highlight healthy liquidity and operational cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.51B1.56B1.66B1.11B1.17B1.04B
Gross Profit1.33B1.31B1.41B893.73M976.43M860.44M
EBITDA447.71M494.86M519.48M59.77M177.60M-6.02M
Net Income352.71M367.07M355.76M-158.27M-48.17M-110.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.08B2.06B2.14B1.96B2.02B1.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments399.81M751.67M773.49M608.47M536.31M635.03M
Total Debt74.10M75.54M372.19M379.44M416.21M410.16M
Total Liabilities570.39M590.59M933.54M920.23M911.90M882.75M
Stockholders Equity1.51B1.46B1.20B1.04B1.11B1.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow481.57M405.64M353.31M-17.21M72.69M40.62M
Operating Cash Flow516.83M439.12M401.35M21.04M101.72M82.84M
Investing Cash Flow-62.26M-111.31M53.36M-64.54M-66.20M-11.48M
Financing Cash Flow-475.52M-494.14M-289.71M-1.57M29.07M-2.17M

Alkermes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price27.89
Price Trends
50DMA
27.85
Positive
100DMA
28.98
Negative
200DMA
30.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Positive
RSI
49.32
Neutral
STOCH
53.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALKS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 27.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.07, above the 50-day MA of 27.85, and below the 200-day MA of 30.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ALKS.

Alkermes Risk Analysis

Alkermes disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alkermes reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alkermes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
4.86B34.1414.10%116.09%35.29%
77
Outperform
$4.59B13.0223.94%-0.17%23.84%
69
Neutral
5.63B94.8710.52%30.96%-38.30%
62
Neutral
5.21B-12.44-45.80%59.77%-92.92%
58
Neutral
4.69B8.46-304.62%96.00%
49
Neutral
5.61B-11.37-18.96%-81.18%-69.19%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALKS
Alkermes
27.89
-0.10
-0.36%
PTCT
PTC Therapeutics
58.99
21.89
59.00%
TGTX
TG Therapeutics
35.50
12.11
51.77%
MRUS
Merus
68.89
18.93
37.89%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
61.67
14.69
31.27%
KRYS
Krystal Biotech
167.82
-14.21
-7.81%

Alkermes Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Alkermes Announces Positive Phase 2 Study Results
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Alkermes announced positive results from its Vibrance-1 phase 2 study of alixorexton, an investigational treatment for narcolepsy type 1, at the World Sleep Congress. The study demonstrated significant improvements in wakefulness, cognition, and fatigue, with alixorexton being well tolerated across all doses. These findings highlight the potential of alixorexton as a new treatment option for narcolepsy type 1, supporting Alkermes’ position in the field of neuroscience and orexin-targeted therapies.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Alkermes Announces Positive Phase 2 Study Results
Positive
Jul 21, 2025

On July 21, 2025, Alkermes announced positive topline results from its Vibrance-1 phase 2 study, which evaluated the safety and efficacy of alixorexton in patients with narcolepsy type 1. The study demonstrated that alixorexton significantly improved wakefulness and patient-reported outcomes related to disease severity, fatigue, and cognition compared to placebo. These results support the advancement of alixorexton to phase 3 development, highlighting its potential as a transformative treatment in the narcolepsy market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2025