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Alkermes (ALKS)
NASDAQ:ALKS

Alkermes (ALKS) AI Stock Analysis

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ALKS

Alkermes

(NASDAQ:ALKS)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(19.34% Upside)
Alkermes' strong financial performance and strategic acquisitions are the primary drivers of its high score. The company's robust profitability, low leverage, and positive earnings call sentiment further bolster its position. Technical analysis presents some caution, but overall, Alkermes is well-positioned for growth in the biotechnology sector.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth highlights Alkermes' expanding market reach and successful product adoption, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals is expected to enhance Alkermes' market position in sleep medicine, driving future revenue growth and portfolio diversification.
Financial Health
Strong financial health with low leverage provides Alkermes with flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Increased R&D Expenses
Rising R&D expenses may pressure short-term profitability, though they are essential for long-term innovation and product pipeline development.
Increased SG&A Expenses
Higher SG&A expenses could strain margins, reflecting increased investment in sales and promotional activities necessary for market expansion.
Patent Litigation
Ongoing patent litigation could lead to legal costs and uncertainties, potentially impacting future revenue from key products like LYBALVI.

Alkermes (ALKS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alkermes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlkermes plc is a biopharmaceutical company that focuses on developing innovative medicines to address the unmet needs of patients with serious mental illness, addiction, and central nervous system (CNS) disorders. The company operates primarily in the pharmaceutical sector, specializing in drug development and commercialization, particularly in the areas of schizophrenia, depression, and opioid dependence. Alkermes' core products include Vivitrol, a medication for the treatment of alcohol and opioid dependence, and Aristada, an injectable antipsychotic for schizophrenia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlkermes generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proprietary pharmaceutical products, including Vivitrol and Aristada. The company also earns income from royalties on products developed through its proprietary technologies, as well as through collaborations and partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies. Significant partnerships, such as those with larger pharmaceutical firms, enhance its research and development capabilities and provide additional revenue streams. Alkermes also engages in licensing agreements that may contribute to its earnings, allowing it to leverage its drug development expertise while minimizing risk.

Alkermes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates a strong performance in Q3 2025, with significant revenue growth and raised financial guidance for the year. The acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals is positioned as a strategic move to enhance Alkermes' portfolio and market position. While there are concerns over increased R&D and SG&A expenses, the overall outlook remains positive with promising advancements in the orexin 2 receptor agonist portfolio.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Third Quarter Performance
Alkermes delivered a strong third quarter with total revenues of $394.2 million and net sales of $317.4 million, reflecting a 16% year-over-year growth.
Raised Financial Guidance for 2025
The company raised its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting total revenues of $1.43 billion to $1.49 billion, GAAP net income of $230 million to $250 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $365 million to $385 million.
Acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals
Alkermes announced the proposed acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals to diversify its commercial portfolio and strengthen profitability, with the FDA-approved LUMRYZ expected to generate $265-$275 million in net revenue in 2025.
Proprietary Products Performance
VIVITROL net sales reached $121.1 million, ARISTADA $98.1 million, and LYBALVI $98.2 million, with LYBALVI showing 32% year-over-year growth.
Expansion of Orexin 2 Receptor Agonist Portfolio
The orexin 2 receptor agonist portfolio, led by alixorexton, is advancing rapidly with positive Phase II data for narcolepsy type 1 and plans for a global Phase III program.
Negative Updates
Increased R&D Expenses
R&D expenses increased to $81.7 million compared to $59.9 million in Q3 last year, reflecting investments in the Vibrance Phase II studies and new orexin 2 receptor agonist candidates.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses were $171.8 million compared to $150.4 million in Q3 last year, driven by the expansion of the psychiatry field organization and promotional activities.
Company Guidance
During Alkermes' Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company raised its full-year 2025 guidance, reflecting confidence in its business momentum. The updated guidance anticipates total revenues between $1.43 billion and $1.49 billion, GAAP net income ranging from $230 million to $250 million, EBITDA between $270 million and $290 million, and adjusted EBITDA from $365 million to $385 million. The third quarter saw total revenues of $394.2 million, with proprietary product net sales of $317.4 million, marking a 16% year-over-year growth. Key drivers included VIVITROL, ARISTADA, and LYBALVI, with expected full-year net sales of $460–$470 million, $360–$370 million, and $340–$350 million, respectively. The company reported strong Q3 profitability with GAAP net income of $82.8 million, EBITDA of $96.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $121.5 million.

Alkermes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alkermes demonstrates strong financial performance with improvements across income, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics. The company has effectively managed its costs and leveraged its assets to maintain profitability and cash flow generation. While there are minor pressures on operational efficiency, the overall financial health is stable and promising, with low leverage and strong cash flow growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Alkermes has shown a strong improvement in its income statement metrics over the years. The TTM data indicates a healthy gross profit margin of 86.04% and a net profit margin of 22.27%, reflecting efficient cost management and profitability. The revenue growth rate has been positive, with a notable increase of 6.6% in the TTM period. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased compared to the previous year, indicating some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.041 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage and reduced financial risk. The return on equity is strong at 21.39%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio has not been explicitly calculated, but the overall asset management appears stable.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow metrics are robust, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 229.8% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.14, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 0.91, highlighting effective cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.52B1.56B1.66B1.11B1.17B1.04B
Gross Profit1.31B1.31B1.41B893.73M976.43M860.44M
EBITDA435.78M494.86M519.48M59.77M177.60M-6.02M
Net Income338.83M367.07M355.76M-158.27M-48.17M-110.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.33B2.06B2.14B1.96B2.02B1.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.11B751.67M773.49M608.47M536.31M635.03M
Total Debt71.60M75.54M372.19M379.44M416.21M410.16M
Total Liabilities596.08M590.59M933.54M920.23M911.90M882.75M
Stockholders Equity1.73B1.46B1.20B1.04B1.11B1.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow490.87M405.64M353.31M-17.21M72.69M40.62M
Operating Cash Flow541.08M439.12M401.35M21.04M101.72M82.84M
Investing Cash Flow-40.72M-111.31M53.36M-64.54M-66.20M-11.48M
Financing Cash Flow-280.20M-494.14M-289.71M-1.57M29.07M-2.17M

Alkermes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price28.49
Price Trends
50DMA
29.90
Negative
100DMA
29.31
Negative
200DMA
29.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Negative
RSI
45.41
Neutral
STOCH
51.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALKS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 28.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.81, below the 50-day MA of 29.90, and below the 200-day MA of 29.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALKS.

Alkermes Risk Analysis

Alkermes disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alkermes reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alkermes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$4.73B14.1022.35%1.08%3.40%
80
Outperform
$7.24B38.0019.66%54.51%275.94%
72
Outperform
$6.33B9.0897.54%
65
Neutral
$4.94B11.06111.96%100.88%
52
Neutral
$7.35B-18.16-51.57%57.54%-36.57%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
40
Underperform
$5.52B-10.12-25.33%-81.10%-99.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALKS
Alkermes
28.49
-1.16
-3.91%
PTCT
PTC Therapeutics
77.70
32.35
71.33%
TGTX
TG Therapeutics
30.73
-1.43
-4.45%
MRUS
Merus
96.90
54.49
128.48%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
56.46
15.52
37.91%
KRYS
Krystal Biotech
253.36
94.84
59.83%

Alkermes Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Alkermes Increases Offer for Avadel Acquisition
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Alkermes plc and Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc amended their transaction agreement, increasing the cash consideration for the acquisition of Avadel to $21.00 per share, while maintaining the contingent value right terms. This move followed Avadel’s receipt of a superior proposal from H. Lundbeck A/S, which was later deemed inferior to Alkermes’ revised offer. Additionally, Alkermes entered into an amended bridge loan agreement to finance the acquisition, ensuring compliance with Irish Takeover Code requirements. The acquisition is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026.

Product-Related Announcements
Alkermes Announces Positive Results from Vibrance-2 Study
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Alkermes announced positive topline results from its Vibrance-2 phase 2 study, which evaluated the safety and efficacy of alixorexton in patients with narcolepsy type 2. The study demonstrated that alixorexton, a novel oral orexin 2 receptor agonist, met its dual primary endpoints by significantly improving wakefulness and reducing excessive daytime sleepiness compared to placebo. These results support the advancement of alixorexton to phase 3 trials, marking a significant milestone for the narcolepsy patient community and Alkermes’ development program.

M&A Transactions
Alkermes to Acquire Avadel Pharmaceuticals for $2.1 Billion
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Alkermes announced its agreement to acquire Avadel Pharmaceuticals for up to $2.1 billion, enhancing its presence in the sleep medicine market with Avadel’s product LUMRYZ. The acquisition is expected to be immediately accretive and will strengthen Alkermes’ commercial portfolio and revenue growth, positioning it as a leader in treatments for sleep and neurological disorders.

Product-Related AnnouncementsLegal Proceedings
Alkermes Partners with Amneal for VIVITROL® Distribution
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Alkermes Pharma Ireland Limited entered into an agreement with Amneal Pharmaceuticals to distribute an authorized generic version of VIVITROL® in the U.S., contingent on certain launch conditions. Additionally, in August and September 2025, Alkermes filed patent infringement lawsuits against Teva, Apotex, and MSN following their attempts to market generic versions of LYBALVI® before patent expiration, triggering FDA approval stays under the Hatch-Waxman Act.

Executive/Board Changes
Alkermes Appoints Joshua Reed as New CFO
Positive
Sep 12, 2025

On September 12, 2025, Alkermes plc announced the appointment of Joshua Reed as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective September 15, 2025. Mr. Reed, who brings over 30 years of financial leadership experience in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical sectors, will assume the role of the company’s principal financial officer. His appointment is expected to strengthen Alkermes’ financial strategy and support its long-term growth and innovation goals, as emphasized by CEO Richard Pops.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025