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Alkermes plc (ALKS)
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Alkermes (ALKS) AI Stock Analysis

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ALKS

Alkermes

(NASDAQ:ALKS)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(21.11% Upside)
Alkermes' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company's strategic acquisition and raised guidance reflect confidence in future growth. Technical indicators support a positive trend, while valuation remains reasonable. Increased expenses are a minor concern but are outweighed by the company's growth prospects.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability
High profit margins indicate efficient operations and pricing power, contributing to long-term financial stability and competitive advantage.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition enhances Alkermes' product portfolio and market position, potentially increasing revenue streams and market share.
Product Pipeline Expansion
Advancements in the orexin 2 receptor agonist portfolio could lead to new product launches, driving future growth and market expansion.
Negative Factors
Decline in Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth can signal challenges in market demand or competition, potentially impacting long-term growth prospects.
Increased R&D Expenses
Rising R&D costs may pressure margins if not offset by successful product development, affecting profitability and cash flow.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth can limit financial flexibility and investment capacity, impacting the company's ability to fund future growth.

Alkermes (ALKS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alkermes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlkermes plc, a biopharmaceutical company, researches, develops, and commercializes pharmaceutical products to address unmet medical needs of patients in various therapeutic areas in the United States, Ireland, and internationally. Its marketed products include ARISTADA, an intramuscular injectable suspension for the treatment of schizophrenia; VIVITROL for the treatment of alcohol and prevention of opioid dependence; RISPERDAL CONSTA for the treatment of schizophrenia and bipolar I disorder; INVEGA SUSTENNA for the treatment of schizophrenia and schizoaffective disorder; XEPLION, INVEGA TRINZA, and TREVICTA to treat schizophrenia and schizoaffective; and VUMERITY for the treatment of relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis in adults, including clinically isolated syndrome, relapsing-remitting and active secondary progressive diseases. The company is also developing LYBALVI, an oral atypical antipsychotic drug candidate for the treatment of adults with schizophrenia and bipolar I disorder; and nemvaleukin alfa, an engineered fusion protein to expand tumor-killing immune cells and to avoid the activation of immunosuppressive cells. It has collaboration agreements primarily with Janssen Pharmaceutica N.V., Janssen Pharmaceutica Inc, and Janssen Pharmaceutica International. Alkermes plc was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlkermes generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proprietary products, including Vivitrol and Aristada, which are marketed directly to healthcare providers and patients. The company also earns revenue from royalties and milestone payments associated with its collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies. Key partnerships and collaborations enhance its revenue streams, allowing Alkermes to share development costs and access additional markets. Additionally, Alkermes invests in research and development to expand its product offerings, which can lead to new revenue opportunities through the commercialization of new therapies.

Alkermes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates a strong performance in Q3 2025, with significant revenue growth and raised financial guidance for the year. The acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals is positioned as a strategic move to enhance Alkermes' portfolio and market position. While there are concerns over increased R&D and SG&A expenses, the overall outlook remains positive with promising advancements in the orexin 2 receptor agonist portfolio.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Third Quarter Performance
Alkermes delivered a strong third quarter with total revenues of $394.2 million and net sales of $317.4 million, reflecting a 16% year-over-year growth.
Raised Financial Guidance for 2025
The company raised its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting total revenues of $1.43 billion to $1.49 billion, GAAP net income of $230 million to $250 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $365 million to $385 million.
Acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals
Alkermes announced the proposed acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals to diversify its commercial portfolio and strengthen profitability, with the FDA-approved LUMRYZ expected to generate $265-$275 million in net revenue in 2025.
Proprietary Products Performance
VIVITROL net sales reached $121.1 million, ARISTADA $98.1 million, and LYBALVI $98.2 million, with LYBALVI showing 32% year-over-year growth.
Expansion of Orexin 2 Receptor Agonist Portfolio
The orexin 2 receptor agonist portfolio, led by alixorexton, is advancing rapidly with positive Phase II data for narcolepsy type 1 and plans for a global Phase III program.
Negative Updates
Increased R&D Expenses
R&D expenses increased to $81.7 million compared to $59.9 million in Q3 last year, reflecting investments in the Vibrance Phase II studies and new orexin 2 receptor agonist candidates.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses were $171.8 million compared to $150.4 million in Q3 last year, driven by the expansion of the psychiatry field organization and promotional activities.
Company Guidance
During Alkermes' Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company raised its full-year 2025 guidance, reflecting confidence in its business momentum. The updated guidance anticipates total revenues between $1.43 billion and $1.49 billion, GAAP net income ranging from $230 million to $250 million, EBITDA between $270 million and $290 million, and adjusted EBITDA from $365 million to $385 million. The third quarter saw total revenues of $394.2 million, with proprietary product net sales of $317.4 million, marking a 16% year-over-year growth. Key drivers included VIVITROL, ARISTADA, and LYBALVI, with expected full-year net sales of $460–$470 million, $360–$370 million, and $340–$350 million, respectively. The company reported strong Q3 profitability with GAAP net income of $82.8 million, EBITDA of $96.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $121.5 million.

Alkermes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alkermes demonstrates strong financial performance with improvements across income, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics. The company has effectively managed its costs and leveraged its assets to maintain profitability and cash flow generation. While there are minor pressures on operational efficiency, the overall financial health is stable and promising, with low leverage and strong cash flow growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Alkermes has shown a strong improvement in its income statement metrics over the years. The TTM data indicates a healthy gross profit margin of 86.04% and a net profit margin of 22.27%, reflecting efficient cost management and profitability. The revenue growth rate has been positive, with a notable increase of 6.6% in the TTM period. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased compared to the previous year, indicating some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.041 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage and reduced financial risk. The return on equity is strong at 21.39%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio has not been explicitly calculated, but the overall asset management appears stable.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow metrics are robust, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 229.8% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.14, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 0.91, highlighting effective cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.52B1.56B1.66B1.11B1.17B1.04B
Gross Profit1.31B1.31B1.41B893.73M976.43M860.44M
EBITDA435.78M494.86M519.48M59.77M177.60M-6.02M
Net Income338.83M367.07M355.76M-158.27M-48.17M-110.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.33B2.06B2.14B1.96B2.02B1.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.11B751.67M773.49M608.47M536.31M635.03M
Total Debt71.60M75.54M372.19M379.44M416.21M410.16M
Total Liabilities596.08M590.59M933.54M920.23M911.90M882.75M
Stockholders Equity1.73B1.46B1.20B1.04B1.11B1.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow490.87M405.64M353.31M-17.21M72.69M40.62M
Operating Cash Flow541.08M439.12M401.35M21.04M101.72M82.84M
Investing Cash Flow-40.72M-111.31M53.36M-64.54M-66.20M-11.48M
Financing Cash Flow-280.20M-494.14M-289.71M-1.57M29.07M-2.17M

Alkermes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price28.90
Price Trends
50DMA
30.29
Negative
100DMA
29.16
Negative
200DMA
30.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.47
Positive
RSI
43.86
Neutral
STOCH
62.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALKS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 28.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.18, below the 50-day MA of 30.29, and below the 200-day MA of 30.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALKS.

Alkermes Risk Analysis

Alkermes disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alkermes reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alkermes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$6.32B32.7019.66%54.51%275.94%
74
Outperform
$4.77B14.3022.35%1.08%3.40%
73
Outperform
$6.90B10.0597.54%
65
Neutral
$5.03B11.40111.96%100.88%
52
Neutral
$7.29B-51.57%57.54%-36.57%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
40
Underperform
$5.10B-25.33%-81.10%-99.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALKS
Alkermes
28.90
-0.58
-1.97%
PTCT
PTC Therapeutics
79.20
28.91
57.49%
TGTX
TG Therapeutics
31.67
-1.72
-5.15%
MRUS
Merus
95.94
49.73
107.62%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
52.17
0.93
1.81%
KRYS
Krystal Biotech
215.11
29.14
15.67%

Alkermes Corporate Events

Product-Related Announcements
Alkermes Announces Positive Results from Vibrance-2 Study
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Alkermes announced positive topline results from its Vibrance-2 phase 2 study, which evaluated the safety and efficacy of alixorexton in patients with narcolepsy type 2. The study demonstrated that alixorexton, a novel oral orexin 2 receptor agonist, met its dual primary endpoints by significantly improving wakefulness and reducing excessive daytime sleepiness compared to placebo. These results support the advancement of alixorexton to phase 3 trials, marking a significant milestone for the narcolepsy patient community and Alkermes’ development program.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALKS) stock is a Buy with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alkermes stock, see the ALKS Stock Forecast page.

Alkermes’ Acquisition of Avadel Faces Uncertainty Amid Regulatory and Financial Hurdles
Oct 29, 2025

Alkermes plc faces significant risks regarding its proposed acquisition of Avadel, which may not be completed within the anticipated timeline or at all. The acquisition is contingent upon several conditions, including shareholder approval, court sanction, and regulatory clearances, which may encounter delays or obstacles. Additionally, unforeseen costs, liabilities, or competing offers could further complicate the process. Any disruption or failure in completing the acquisition could adversely impact Alkermes’ business operations, financial condition, and market share value.

Alkermes plc Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 29, 2025

Alkermes plc is a global biopharmaceutical company specializing in the development of innovative medicines for neurological disorders, including treatments for alcohol dependence, opioid dependence, schizophrenia, and bipolar I disorder. The company is headquartered in Ireland with additional facilities in Massachusetts and Ohio.

Alkermes Q3 2025 Earnings: Strong Growth & Strategic Moves
Oct 29, 2025

Alkermes plc’s recent earnings call for Q3 2025 paints a picture of robust financial health and strategic growth. The company reported significant revenue growth and has raised its financial guidance for the year. The acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals is highlighted as a strategic move to bolster Alkermes’ portfolio and market position. Despite some concerns over increased R&D and SG&A expenses, the overall sentiment remains positive, buoyed by promising advancements in the orexin 2 receptor agonist portfolio.

Alkermes Advances in Sleep Disorder Treatment with ALKS 2680 Study
Oct 27, 2025

Alkermes plc is conducting a clinical study titled ‘A Phase 2, Randomized, Parallel-Group, Double-Blind, Dose-Range-Finding Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of ALKS 2680 in Subjects With Idiopathic Hypersomnia (Vibrance-3).’ The study aims to assess the safety and effectiveness of ALKS 2680 in reducing daytime sleepiness in individuals with Idiopathic Hypersomnia, a condition characterized by excessive daytime sleepiness.

Alkermes’ ALKS 2680 Study: A Promising Step in Sleep Disorder Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

Alkermes plc is conducting a long-term clinical study titled An Open-Label, Long-Term Extension Study to Investigate the Safety, Tolerability, and Durability of Treatment Effect of ALKS 2680 in Subjects With Narcolepsy Type 1 and Type 2 and Idiopathic Hypersomnia. The study aims to evaluate the safety and effectiveness of ALKS 2680 in treating Narcolepsy Type 1, Narcolepsy Type 2, and Idiopathic Hypersomnia, conditions that significantly impact sleep and daily functioning.

Alkermes’ ENLIGHTEN-Youth Study: A Potential Game-Changer in Pediatric Antipsychotic Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

Alkermes plc is conducting a Phase 3 clinical study titled ‘ENLIGHTEN-Youth’ to evaluate weight gain in pediatric patients with schizophrenia or bipolar I disorder. The study aims to compare changes in BMI Z-score between treatments with OLZ/SAM, a combination of olanzapine and samidorphan, and olanzapine alone. This research is significant as it addresses weight management, a common side effect of antipsychotic treatments in young patients.

Alkermes’ Pediatric Study on OLZ/SAM: A Long-term Safety Evaluation
Oct 27, 2025

Alkermes plc is conducting a long-term safety extension study titled ‘Long-term, Safety Extension Study of OLZ/SAM in Pediatric Subjects With Schizophrenia or Bipolar I Disorder.’ The study aims to evaluate the long-term safety and tolerability of the drug OLZ/SAM in pediatric patients diagnosed with schizophrenia or Bipolar I disorder. This research is significant as it addresses the need for safe, long-term treatment options for these conditions in younger populations.

M&A Transactions
Alkermes to Acquire Avadel Pharmaceuticals for $2.1 Billion
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Alkermes announced its agreement to acquire Avadel Pharmaceuticals for up to $2.1 billion, enhancing its presence in the sleep medicine market with Avadel’s product LUMRYZ. The acquisition is expected to be immediately accretive and will strengthen Alkermes’ commercial portfolio and revenue growth, positioning it as a leader in treatments for sleep and neurological disorders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALKS) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alkermes stock, see the ALKS Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsProduct-Related Announcements
Alkermes Partners with Amneal for VIVITROL® Distribution
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Alkermes Pharma Ireland Limited entered into an agreement with Amneal Pharmaceuticals to distribute an authorized generic version of VIVITROL® in the U.S., contingent on certain launch conditions. Additionally, in August and September 2025, Alkermes filed patent infringement lawsuits against Teva, Apotex, and MSN following their attempts to market generic versions of LYBALVI® before patent expiration, triggering FDA approval stays under the Hatch-Waxman Act.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALKS) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alkermes stock, see the ALKS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Alkermes Appoints Joshua Reed as New CFO
Positive
Sep 12, 2025

On September 12, 2025, Alkermes plc announced the appointment of Joshua Reed as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective September 15, 2025. Mr. Reed, who brings over 30 years of financial leadership experience in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical sectors, will assume the role of the company’s principal financial officer. His appointment is expected to strengthen Alkermes’ financial strategy and support its long-term growth and innovation goals, as emphasized by CEO Richard Pops.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALKS) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alkermes stock, see the ALKS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Alkermes Announces Positive Phase 2 Study Results
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Alkermes announced positive results from its Vibrance-1 phase 2 study of alixorexton, an investigational treatment for narcolepsy type 1, at the World Sleep Congress. The study demonstrated significant improvements in wakefulness, cognition, and fatigue, with alixorexton being well tolerated across all doses. These findings highlight the potential of alixorexton as a new treatment option for narcolepsy type 1, supporting Alkermes’ position in the field of neuroscience and orexin-targeted therapies.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALKS) stock is a Buy with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alkermes stock, see the ALKS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025