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Alkermes (ALKS)
NASDAQ:ALKS
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Alkermes (ALKS) AI Stock Analysis

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ALKS

Alkermes

(NASDAQ:ALKS)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▲(0.33% Upside)
Alkermes' overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and a positive outlook from the recent earnings call, which highlighted significant revenue growth and strategic acquisitions. While technical indicators show mixed signals, the company's reasonable valuation and strategic initiatives support a solid investment case.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals enhances Alkermes' portfolio with FDA-approved LUMRYZ, accelerating entry into the sleep medicine market and leveraging commercial expertise.
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Alkermes' products, supporting long-term financial health and market competitiveness.
Product Portfolio Expansion
Expanding the orexin 2 receptor agonist portfolio positions Alkermes for growth in the CNS disorder market, enhancing its competitive edge.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth could strain Alkermes' ability to fund operations and investments, potentially impacting long-term financial flexibility.
Increased R&D Expenses
Rising R&D expenses, while necessary for innovation, may pressure margins and require careful management to ensure sustainable profitability.
Decline in Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth suggests potential challenges in market penetration or product demand, which could affect future earnings potential.

Alkermes (ALKS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alkermes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlkermes (ALKS) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders, including addiction and mental health conditions. The company operates primarily in the biopharmaceutical sector and specializes in the commercialization of products designed to treat diseases such as schizophrenia, depression, and opioid dependence. Alkermes' core products include Vivitrol, an injectable medication used to treat opioid and alcohol dependence, and Aristada, an injectable formulation for the treatment of schizophrenia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlkermes generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, with Vivitrol and Aristada being key contributors to its revenue streams. The company also earns income through licensing agreements and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales of partnered products. Additionally, Alkermes invests in research and development to create new therapies, which can lead to future revenue through new product launches or expanded indications for existing products. Strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical firms enhance its market reach and provide financial support in the form of co-development agreements.

Alkermes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates a strong performance in Q3 2025, with significant revenue growth and raised financial guidance for the year. The acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals is positioned as a strategic move to enhance Alkermes' portfolio and market position. While there are concerns over increased R&D and SG&A expenses, the overall outlook remains positive with promising advancements in the orexin 2 receptor agonist portfolio.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Third Quarter Performance
Alkermes delivered a strong third quarter with total revenues of $394.2 million and net sales of $317.4 million, reflecting a 16% year-over-year growth.
Raised Financial Guidance for 2025
The company raised its full-year 2025 guidance, expecting total revenues of $1.43 billion to $1.49 billion, GAAP net income of $230 million to $250 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $365 million to $385 million.
Acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals
Alkermes announced the proposed acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals to diversify its commercial portfolio and strengthen profitability, with the FDA-approved LUMRYZ expected to generate $265-$275 million in net revenue in 2025.
Proprietary Products Performance
VIVITROL net sales reached $121.1 million, ARISTADA $98.1 million, and LYBALVI $98.2 million, with LYBALVI showing 32% year-over-year growth.
Expansion of Orexin 2 Receptor Agonist Portfolio
The orexin 2 receptor agonist portfolio, led by alixorexton, is advancing rapidly with positive Phase II data for narcolepsy type 1 and plans for a global Phase III program.
Negative Updates
Increased R&D Expenses
R&D expenses increased to $81.7 million compared to $59.9 million in Q3 last year, reflecting investments in the Vibrance Phase II studies and new orexin 2 receptor agonist candidates.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses were $171.8 million compared to $150.4 million in Q3 last year, driven by the expansion of the psychiatry field organization and promotional activities.
Company Guidance
During Alkermes' Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company raised its full-year 2025 guidance, reflecting confidence in its business momentum. The updated guidance anticipates total revenues between $1.43 billion and $1.49 billion, GAAP net income ranging from $230 million to $250 million, EBITDA between $270 million and $290 million, and adjusted EBITDA from $365 million to $385 million. The third quarter saw total revenues of $394.2 million, with proprietary product net sales of $317.4 million, marking a 16% year-over-year growth. Key drivers included VIVITROL, ARISTADA, and LYBALVI, with expected full-year net sales of $460–$470 million, $360–$370 million, and $340–$350 million, respectively. The company reported strong Q3 profitability with GAAP net income of $82.8 million, EBITDA of $96.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $121.5 million.

Alkermes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alkermes demonstrates strong profitability and financial stability with high margins and low leverage. However, the decline in revenue growth and negative free cash flow growth are areas of concern. Overall, the company is financially sound but should focus on reversing the negative growth trends.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Alkermes shows strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 85.13% and a net profit margin of 23.15% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, the revenue growth rate is negative at -0.56%, indicating a decline in revenue. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, suggesting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.045, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity is robust at 23.65%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid financial foundation.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, indicating good cash conversion. However, free cash flow growth is negative at -36%, which could be a concern. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 92.10%, showing strong cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.51B1.56B1.66B1.11B1.17B1.04B
Gross Profit1.28B1.31B1.41B893.73M976.43M860.44M
EBITDA450.15M494.86M519.48M59.77M177.60M-6.02M
Net Income348.45M367.07M355.76M-158.27M-48.17M-110.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.25B2.06B2.14B1.96B2.02B1.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments521.20M751.67M773.49M608.47M536.31M635.03M
Total Debt72.68M75.54M372.19M379.44M416.21M410.16M
Total Liabilities628.23M590.59M933.54M920.23M911.90M882.75M
Stockholders Equity1.62B1.46B1.20B1.04B1.11B1.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow479.84M405.64M353.31M-17.21M72.69M40.62M
Operating Cash Flow521.00M439.12M401.35M21.04M101.72M82.84M
Investing Cash Flow-143.32M-111.31M53.36M-64.54M-66.20M-11.48M
Financing Cash Flow-391.63M-494.14M-289.71M-1.57M29.07M-2.17M

Alkermes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.89
Price Trends
50DMA
29.80
Positive
100DMA
29.06
Positive
200DMA
30.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Negative
RSI
64.55
Neutral
STOCH
43.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALKS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.03, above the 50-day MA of 29.80, and above the 200-day MA of 30.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALKS.

Alkermes Risk Analysis

Alkermes disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alkermes reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alkermes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$5.74B29.6919.66%54.51%275.94%
74
Outperform
$5.43B16.2722.35%1.08%3.40%
74
Outperform
$5.76B8.3997.54%
65
Neutral
$5.12B11.61111.96%100.88%
52
Neutral
$7.22B-51.57%57.54%-36.57%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
41
Neutral
$5.01B-25.34%-81.18%-69.19%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALKS
Alkermes
32.89
2.81
9.34%
PTCT
PTC Therapeutics
71.78
26.91
59.97%
TGTX
TG Therapeutics
32.24
1.50
4.88%
MRUS
Merus
95.23
42.27
79.81%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
55.12
0.26
0.47%
KRYS
Krystal Biotech
197.93
2.06
1.05%

Alkermes Corporate Events

Alkermes Q3 2025 Earnings: Strong Growth & Strategic Moves
Oct 29, 2025

Alkermes plc’s recent earnings call for Q3 2025 paints a picture of robust financial health and strategic growth. The company reported significant revenue growth and has raised its financial guidance for the year. The acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals is highlighted as a strategic move to bolster Alkermes’ portfolio and market position. Despite some concerns over increased R&D and SG&A expenses, the overall sentiment remains positive, buoyed by promising advancements in the orexin 2 receptor agonist portfolio.

Alkermes Advances in Sleep Disorder Treatment with ALKS 2680 Study
Oct 27, 2025

Alkermes plc is conducting a clinical study titled ‘A Phase 2, Randomized, Parallel-Group, Double-Blind, Dose-Range-Finding Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of ALKS 2680 in Subjects With Idiopathic Hypersomnia (Vibrance-3).’ The study aims to assess the safety and effectiveness of ALKS 2680 in reducing daytime sleepiness in individuals with Idiopathic Hypersomnia, a condition characterized by excessive daytime sleepiness.

Alkermes’ ALKS 2680 Study: A Promising Step in Sleep Disorder Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

Alkermes plc is conducting a long-term clinical study titled An Open-Label, Long-Term Extension Study to Investigate the Safety, Tolerability, and Durability of Treatment Effect of ALKS 2680 in Subjects With Narcolepsy Type 1 and Type 2 and Idiopathic Hypersomnia. The study aims to evaluate the safety and effectiveness of ALKS 2680 in treating Narcolepsy Type 1, Narcolepsy Type 2, and Idiopathic Hypersomnia, conditions that significantly impact sleep and daily functioning.

Alkermes’ ENLIGHTEN-Youth Study: A Potential Game-Changer in Pediatric Antipsychotic Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

Alkermes plc is conducting a Phase 3 clinical study titled ‘ENLIGHTEN-Youth’ to evaluate weight gain in pediatric patients with schizophrenia or bipolar I disorder. The study aims to compare changes in BMI Z-score between treatments with OLZ/SAM, a combination of olanzapine and samidorphan, and olanzapine alone. This research is significant as it addresses weight management, a common side effect of antipsychotic treatments in young patients.

Alkermes’ Pediatric Study on OLZ/SAM: A Long-term Safety Evaluation
Oct 27, 2025

Alkermes plc is conducting a long-term safety extension study titled ‘Long-term, Safety Extension Study of OLZ/SAM in Pediatric Subjects With Schizophrenia or Bipolar I Disorder.’ The study aims to evaluate the long-term safety and tolerability of the drug OLZ/SAM in pediatric patients diagnosed with schizophrenia or Bipolar I disorder. This research is significant as it addresses the need for safe, long-term treatment options for these conditions in younger populations.

M&A Transactions
Alkermes to Acquire Avadel Pharmaceuticals for $2.1 Billion
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Alkermes announced its agreement to acquire Avadel Pharmaceuticals for up to $2.1 billion, enhancing its presence in the sleep medicine market with Avadel’s product LUMRYZ. The acquisition is expected to be immediately accretive and will strengthen Alkermes’ commercial portfolio and revenue growth, positioning it as a leader in treatments for sleep and neurological disorders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALKS) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alkermes stock, see the ALKS Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsProduct-Related Announcements
Alkermes Partners with Amneal for VIVITROL® Distribution
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Alkermes Pharma Ireland Limited entered into an agreement with Amneal Pharmaceuticals to distribute an authorized generic version of VIVITROL® in the U.S., contingent on certain launch conditions. Additionally, in August and September 2025, Alkermes filed patent infringement lawsuits against Teva, Apotex, and MSN following their attempts to market generic versions of LYBALVI® before patent expiration, triggering FDA approval stays under the Hatch-Waxman Act.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALKS) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alkermes stock, see the ALKS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Alkermes Appoints Joshua Reed as New CFO
Positive
Sep 12, 2025

On September 12, 2025, Alkermes plc announced the appointment of Joshua Reed as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective September 15, 2025. Mr. Reed, who brings over 30 years of financial leadership experience in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical sectors, will assume the role of the company’s principal financial officer. His appointment is expected to strengthen Alkermes’ financial strategy and support its long-term growth and innovation goals, as emphasized by CEO Richard Pops.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALKS) stock is a Buy with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alkermes stock, see the ALKS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Alkermes Announces Positive Phase 2 Study Results
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Alkermes announced positive results from its Vibrance-1 phase 2 study of alixorexton, an investigational treatment for narcolepsy type 1, at the World Sleep Congress. The study demonstrated significant improvements in wakefulness, cognition, and fatigue, with alixorexton being well tolerated across all doses. These findings highlight the potential of alixorexton as a new treatment option for narcolepsy type 1, supporting Alkermes’ position in the field of neuroscience and orexin-targeted therapies.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALKS) stock is a Buy with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alkermes stock, see the ALKS Stock Forecast page.

Alkermes Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Jul 30, 2025

Alkermes plc is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative medicines in the field of neuroscience, with a portfolio targeting alcohol dependence, opioid dependence, schizophrenia, and bipolar I disorder, as well as a pipeline for neurological disorders like narcolepsy.

Alkermes Earnings Call: Strong Growth and Promising Trials
Jul 30, 2025

The recent earnings call for Alkermes plc was marked by a generally positive sentiment, driven by strong financial performance and promising clinical trial results. Despite some challenges, such as increased R&D expenses and concerns over cataplexy data, the overall outlook remains optimistic due to the company’s financial strength and clinical advancements.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025